Seminar-1
Frank Benford was a research physicist at General electric in the 1930s
He noticed something unusual in the book of logarithmic tables
He noticed numbers beginning with the digit 1 were being looked more often than
numbers beginning with 2 through 9
He found that this pattern was wide spread in nature
Benford’s law states that in many naturally occurring collection of numbers, the
leading significant digit is likely to be small
Leading digit of a number: Start from the left of each number and ignore the sign,the
decimal point and any zeros,the first digit between 1 and 9 is the leading digit
For example 3 is the leading digit of 37.3447 and 6 is the leading digit of -0.06345
For example, in sets which obey the law, the number 1 appears as the most
significant digit about 30% of the time, while 9 appears as the most significant digit
less than 5% of the time
If the digits were distributed uniformly, they would each occur about 11.1% of the
time
Benford’s law could be used as an indicator of accounting and expenses fraud
A recent example is Mark Nigrini’s research
One fraudster wrote numerous checks to himself just below US $100,000, causing
digits 7,8 and 9 to have aberrant percentages of actual occurrence in Benford’s law
analysis
Benford’s law could be used as an indicator of accounting and expenses fraud
A recent example is Mark Nigrini’s research
One fraudster wrote numerous checks to himself just below US $100,000, causing
digits 7,8 and 9 to have aberrant percentages of actual occurrence in Benford’s law
analysis
We say a data set satisfies Benford’s Law for the Leading Digit if the probability of
observing a first digit of d is approximately .
Explanations
1. Scale invariant : A system remain unchanged when multiplied by a constant is
called Scale invariant
2. Base invariance : Groups of numbers that follow Benford’s law in one base
also follow Benford’s law if converted into another base
Analysis of Benford's law
1. Ones Scaling test : One scaling test determines the fraction of numbers
having a leading digit of one , as the set of numbers is repeatedly multiplied
by a constant slightly greater than unity such as 1.01. If the set of numbers
follow Benford’s law, the fraction will remain close to 0.301
Seminar - 2
2. Benford's law as a convolution :
where ost(g) is the ones scaling of g and sf(g) is sampling function of g
Position along the logarithmic axis will be denoted by the variable, g.
3. Solving in the frequency domain :
Fourier transforms of pdf(g), sf(g), and ost(g), as PDF(f), SF(f), and OST(f)