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Introduction To Labor Search Models: Dr. Parag Waknis

Here are the key points about the PDF and CDF of a uniformly distributed random variable: - A uniformly distributed random variable X has a constant probability density function (PDF) f(x) over its support. - For a uniform distribution over the interval [a, b], the PDF is: f(x) = 1/(b - a) for a ≤ x ≤ b 0 otherwise - The cumulative distribution function (CDF) F(x) gives the probability that a random variable X is less than or equal to x. - For a uniform distribution over [a, b], the CDF is: F(x) = (x - a)/(b - a) for a

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
104 views27 pages

Introduction To Labor Search Models: Dr. Parag Waknis

Here are the key points about the PDF and CDF of a uniformly distributed random variable: - A uniformly distributed random variable X has a constant probability density function (PDF) f(x) over its support. - For a uniform distribution over the interval [a, b], the PDF is: f(x) = 1/(b - a) for a ≤ x ≤ b 0 otherwise - The cumulative distribution function (CDF) F(x) gives the probability that a random variable X is less than or equal to x. - For a uniform distribution over [a, b], the CDF is: F(x) = (x - a)/(b - a) for a

Uploaded by

Parag Waknis
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Introduction to Labor Search Models

Dr. Parag Waknis

Ambedkar University Delhi


Macro II Winter 2020

April 16, 2020

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Why Labor Search

• Unemployment is the feature of any economy around the


world including India.
• Measured as number of people actively seeking work.
• No counterpart of this concept in the standard
representative agent neoclassical growth models
including the RBC model.
• Need a model which can model activities of job search,
leisure and employment and the time it takes to transit
between unemployment and employment.
• Search models have these characteristics where
unemployment arises as an equilibrium phenomenon
unlike in the Keynesian models where it is primarily a
disequilibrium outcome (rigid wages and prices).

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Two types of Search Models

• One sided search partial equilibrium model- McCall


Model.
• Two sided search and matching models- Mortensen &
Pissarides Model.

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. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
McCall Model

Suppose a continuum of agents with unit mass, each having


preferences given by:


E0 β t ct
t=0

where,
• 0 < β < 1 and
• β = 1+r
1
, with r being the real interest rate.

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. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
McCall Model

• Assume that there is no disutility form job effort or search


effort.
• Many jobs in the economy offering different wage,w .
• Distribution of wage offers given by probability
distribution, F(w) , with probability density function, f(w).
• Assume that w ∈ [0, w̄] which is the support of the
distribution.
• δ is the probability of an employed worker being
unemployed also called the separation rate.
• b is the unemployment benefit with b < w̄.

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. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
McCall Model

Let Vu the value of being unemployed and it is given by the


following Bellman equation:

∫w̄
Vu = {b + β max [Ve (w), Vu ] f(w)dw} (1)
0

• An unemployed agent receives unemployment insurance


benefit, b, at the beginning of the period, consumes it,
and then receives a wage offer from the distribution F(w).
• Wage offer is accepted if Ve (w) ≥ Vu and declined
otherwise.
• Integral is the expected utility of sampling from the wage
distribution.

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. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
McCall Model

Let Ve (w) the value of being employed at wage w as of the


end of period. It is given by the following Bellman equation:

Ve (w) = {w + β(δVu + (1 − δ)Ve (w))} (2)


• An employed agent receives the wage, w and consumes
it.
• Then either suffers a separation or will continue to work
at the wage w next period.

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. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
McCall Model

To get some results from these value functions, let us do some


manipulations. First divide both sides of equation (1) by β,
1
substitute β = 1+r and subtract Vu from both sides to get:

∫w̄
rVu = b(1 + r) + max[Ve (w) − Vu , 0] f(w)dw (3)
0

On the right-hand side of (3) is the flow return when


unemployed plus the expected net increase in expected utility
from the unemployed state.

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. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
McCall Model

Using the same method, equation (2) can be simplified to:

rVe (w) = w(1 + r) + δ[Vu − Ve (w)] (4)

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. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
McCall Model

Question: What wage offers will an agent accept when


unemployed?
From (4) we get the following:

w(1 + r) + δVu
Ve (w) = (5)
r+δ
thus:
• Ve (w) is strictly increasing linear function of w.
• ⇒ there is some w∗ such that Ve (w) ≥ Vu for w ≥ w∗ and
Ve (w) ≤ Vu for w ≤ w∗ .

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. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
McCall Model

w∗ is called the reservation wage implying the unemployed


agent will accept any wage offer w∗ or more and decline
anything else.

Technically at w∗ the agent should be indifferent between


being employed or staying unemployed.

⇒ Ve (w∗ ) = Vu , which when used in (5) gives:

w∗ (1 + r)
Vu = (6)
r

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. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
McCall Model

Then, if we substitute for Vu in equation (3) using (6) and for


Ve (w) using (5) we get:

∫w̄ [ ]
∗ (w − w∗ )(1 + r)
w (1 + r) = b(1 + r) + max , 0 f(w)dw
r+δ
0

Dividing both sides by (1 + r):

∫w̄
∗ 1
⇒w =b+ { (w − w∗ )f(w)dw}
r+δ
w∗

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
McCall Model

∫w̄
1
⇒ w∗ − b = (w − w∗ )f(w)dw (7)
r+δ
w∗

• Equation (7) is often used to characterize the reservation


wage.
• LHS is the cost of searching one more time when an offer
w∗ is in hand.
• RHS is the expected benefit of searching one more time in
terms of the expected present value associated with
drawing w > w∗ .
• Equation (7) instructs the agent to set w∗ s.t. the cost of
searching one more time equals the benefit.

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
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Probability- a detour

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Probability- a detour

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Probability- a detour

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Probability- a detour

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Probability- a detour

PDF and CDF of a uniformly distributed variable:

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. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Probability- a detour

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. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Probability- a detour

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McCall Model

Following from (7), we have:

∫w̄
∗ 1
w =b+ { wf(w)dw − w∗ [1 − F(w∗ )]}
r+δ
w∗

Next use integrate by parts to obtain:

∫w̄
1
w∗ = b + {w̄ − w∗ F(w∗ ) − F(w)dw − w∗ [1 − F(w∗ )]}
r+δ
w∗

∫w̄
∗ 1
⇒w −b= [1 − F(w)]dw (8)
r+δ
w∗

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
McCall Model
Note that:
• LHS of (8) is a strictly increasing and continuous function
of w∗ .
• RHS of (8) is a decreasing function of w∗ .
• For w∗ = 0, the right-hand side of the equation exceeds
the left-hand side, and for w = w∗ the left-hand side
exceeds the right
• ⇒ a solution for w∗ exists, and it is unique.
Define the following:

∫w̄
∗ 1
A(w ) = [1 − F(w)]dw (9)
r+δ
w∗

We will use the above equation to draw a graph for McCall


Model. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
McCall Model

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. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
McCall Model-Comparative Statics

We can now use the model and the associated graph to


figure out effect of changes in the exogenous variables on the
endogenous variable w∗ .

Exogenous variables:
dw∗
db Changes in the unemployment benefits.
dw∗
dr Changes in the real interest rate.
dw∗
dδ Changes in the job separation rate.

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
McCall Model-Comparative Statics

Changes in the unemployment benefits.

Totally differentiating equation (7) and solving gives:

dw∗ r+δ
= >0 (10)
db r + δ + 1 − F(w∗ )

⇒ An increase in b increases the reservation wage w∗ . This


occurs because an increase in b reduces the cost of search
while unemployed. An unemployed worker therefore
becomes more picky concerning the jobs he or she will accept.

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
McCall Model-Comparative Statics

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McCall Model-References

1 Degroot M & M Schervish 2012, Probability & Statistics,


Fourth Edition
2 Ljungqvist, Lars & Sargent, Thomas J., 2012. “Recursive
Macroeconomic Theory, Third Edition,” MIT Press Books,
The MIT Press, edition 3.
3 Yashiv, Eran, 2007. “Labor search and matching in
macroeconomics,” European Economic Review, Elsevier,
vol. 51(8), pages 1859-1895, November.
4 Williamson Stephen, “Notes on Labor Search”

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