Financial Distress: Factors Impacting Firms
Financial Distress: Factors Impacting Firms
International Journal of Business, Economics and Law, Vol. 22, Issue 1 (AUGUST)
ISSN 2289-1552
Angela Dirman
ABSTRACT
The research objective to be achieved is to provide understanding and knowledge to the public, especially investors and creditors
about the effect of profitability, liquidity, leverage, company size, and free cash flow on financial distress and can be used as a
reference for future researchers and stakeholders (investors, creditors, and government) in making relevant and reliable decisions.
The method used is quantitative research with secondary data taken from the issuer's financial statements on IDX with data
collection techniques using the purposive sampling method. Analysis of the data used is multiple linear regression. The population
in this research is manufacturing companies of basic and chemical industry sectors which are listed on the Indonesia Stock
Exchange which is conducted for 3 years of observation, namely 2016-2018. The sample is determined by the purposive sampling
method so that as many as 90 samples are obtained. The analysis technique used is the statistical test t, and the classic assumption
test which includes normality test, multicollinearity test, heterokedasticity test, and autocorrelation test. The results of this study
indicate that the profitability variable has a positive effect on financial distress; variable liquidity, leverage, and free cash flow do
not effect financial distress; and firm size variables have a negative effect on financial distress
Keywords: Profitability, Liquidity, Leverage, Company Size, Free Cash Flow, Financial Distress
INTRODUCTION
The global economic crisis is an event in which all sectors of the world market economy experience collapse (degression) and
affect other sectors throughout the world. The global economic crisis occurs due to unavoidable market economic problems around
the world due to bankruptcy and turbulent economic situations. The most visible sector due to the effects of the global economic
crisis is the economic sector from the smallest to the largest. Including stock exchanges in the Middle East, Russia, Europe, South
America and North America. No exception in the US itself, investors on the Wall Street Exchange suffered huge losses. In
Indonesia, the real sector has been affected by the global crisis. The sectors most affected by the global crisis are those that rely on
external (tradable) demand, such as the manufacturing, agriculture and mining industries (kompas.com). In addition to the global
financial crisis, the start of free trade between ASEAN countries also affected the company's performance. The more freely foreign
companies enter Indonesia, the competition between companies is increasing. Companies that cannot survive facing the situation
indicate that the company has experienced failure which is indicated by financial distress. Companies that experience financial
distress will experience difficulties in generating profits in a reporting period, besides that the company also experiences difficulties
in fulfilling its short-term obligations to third parties such as investors, creditors and employees (Rahmawati, 2014).
As in manufacturing companies that are not free from financial problems. One of the companies experiencing financial distress is
PT Citra Maharlika Nusantara Corpora Tbk. (Cipaganti). The company previously named PT Cipaganti Citra Graha Tbk was
declared bankrupt on April 27, 2017 because the peace proposal was rejected by the majority of creditors. This bankruptcy case
also stems from the PKPU Cipaganti status since October 31, 2016. The company's total debt amounts to IDR245 billion. Another
case that befell a company listed on the IDX is PT. Berau Coal Energy, which was sued for bankruptcy by creditors because it
failed to pay off maturing debts. PT. Berau Coal Energy Tbk has defaulted its US $ 450 bond debt maturing on July 8, 2015. The
12.5 percent coupon bond was issued by Berau Resources Pte Ltd in Singapore and guaranteed by PT. Berau Coal Energy Tbk.
The delay in repaying the debt is then interpreted as the inability of the company to settle its debt burden so that it is reported to
have gone bankrupt or bankruptcy.
According to Platt & Platt (2002) financial distress has been defined as a decrease or even a condition of decline. Financial distress
becomes an interesting topic in the financial sector and financial health companies as an important indicator for users who are
interested in knowing more about company performance (Pernamasari, Purwaningsih, Tanjung, & Rahayu, 2019). Information
regarding finances is used by people who are at the same time as people who are at an early age. So that the damage and even the
parties to the worst conditions are still very poor. When a company experiences financial difficulties, it will be a consideration for
investors and creditors who will invest their capital. Thus, companies should be able to show good company performance to be
able to attract investors (Widhiari & Aryani Merkusiwati, 2015).
The performance of an entity can be seen from the analysis of financial statements. The results of the analysis of an entity's financial
statements can be used as material for decision making and decision making for company owners, managers and investors.
Financial statement ratio analysis can azlso be used as a medium to predict financial difficulties faced by companies (Widhiari &
Aryani Merkusiwati, 2015). Prediction errors in the future will be fatal in the survival of the company, prediction errors result in
loss of income or investment that has been invested into the company. The importance of a bankruptcy prediction analysis is very
much needed by several related parties, such as investors, banks, the government, and primarily the company itself. The correct
prediction will also make the company know in advance the company's financial condition (Rohmadini, Saifi, & Darmawan, 2018).
According to Li & Du (2011) research on financial distress generally uses financial indicators to predict the condition of a company
in the future. Financial indicators in this study are profitability ratios, liquidity ratios, and leverage. In addition to using indicators
of corporate financial performance, in this study there are also other factors namely firm size and free cash flows.
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Profitability is the company's ability to generate profits. Where profit is one indicator of how well the company's performance.
Profitability includes all revenues and costs incurred by the company as the use of assets and liabilities in a period. The main
purpose of the company is to have high profits. High profits will increase the welfare of its shareholders and will increase the
interest of investors to invest their funds in the company. High profits will also illustrate the level of success of the company in
carrying out its operational activities (Rohmadini et al., 2018). If the level of profitability of the company is getting higher, it is
unlikely that the company will experience financial distress. Ananto, Mustika, & Handayani (2017) and Curry & Banjarnahor
(2018) in their research found that profitability had a negative effect on financial distress, but in Rohmadini et al., (2018)
profitability measured by ROA had no effect on financial distress.
In addition to profitability, financial distress can also be predicted through a liquidity ratio. Liquidity ratio is the ratio used to
measure how liquid a company is (Kasmir, 2012). Short-term creditors are very concerned with this current ratio because the
conversion of inventories and accounts receivable to cash is the main source, from which companies can wash cash to pay short-
term creditors. From the point of view of short-term creditors, the higher the current ratio of companies the greater the protection
(Gamayuni in Triwahyuningtias & Muharam (2012). Curry & Banjarnahor (2018) found that liquidity had a negative effect on
financial distress, while the results of Rohmadini et al., (2018) and Cinantya & Merkusiwati (2015) in their research found that
there was no effect of liquidity on the possibility of financial distress.
Besides financial distress can also be predicted through financial leverage. Leverage ratio is a ratio used to measure the extent to
which a company's assets are financed from debt. Leverage indicates an influence on investment rates and investment opportunities
in companies where the level of debt of a company will indirectly affect the interests and trust of investors in investing (Rohmadini
et al., 2018). High and low corporate debt will affect the size of the risk of financial distress that will be borne by the company.
Rohmadini et al., (2018), and Curry & Banjarnahor (2018) in their research found that leverage has a negative effect on financial
distress, while research results from Bernardin & Tifani (2019) in their research found that there was no effect of leverage on
financial distress.
In addition to the above ratio, financial distress can also be predicted through firm size. The firm size illustrates how the total assets
owned by the company. The greater the company's total assets, the company's financial condition will be more stable and stronger
in dealing with the possibility of bankruptcy in the future. Bernardin & Tifani (2019) in their research found that there was a
significant influence with a negative direction between cash flows in predicting financial distress.
In addition, financial distress can also be predicted through stress cash flow. According to Sayari & Mugan (2017) cash flow has
relevant information in identifying the financial health or setbacks of a company. If the company has a good amount of cash flow,
then creditors will get the confidence that the company is able to perform its obligations and the company avoids financial distress
(Tutliha & Rahayu, 2019). This further illustrates the importance of the role of cash flow in determining the smooth running of
company activities. Bernardin & Tifani (2019) in their research stated that good free cash flow can minimize the potential for
financial difficulties in the future.
LITERATURE REVIEW
Signalling Theory
Signal theory is an action taken by company management to provide instructions to investors about how management assesses the
company's prospects. The management will try to improve company performance where by increasing performance the company's
profits will also increase. Signal theory provides information to external parties about the company's future conditions (Scott, 2014:
305). Information provided by the company can be in the form of good news such as good company conditions, earnings
announcements, dividend distribution and bad news information can be in the form of corporate losses so that they cannot divide
dividends, or too much corporate debt thereby increasing the risk of bankruptcy.
Financial Distress
Financial Distress is a condition in which the company is experiencing financial difficulties. According to Platt & Platt (2002)
financial distress is the stage of decline in financial conditions that occurs before bankruptcy occurs. Information regarding finances
is used by people who are at the same time as people. So that damage and even those who have an important role can make an
effort to take part in a very destructive life. When the company experiences financial difficulties, it will be a consideration for
investors and creditors who will invest. So, the company should be able to show good company performance in order to attract
investors (Widhiari & Aryani Merkusiwati, 2015).
There are three approaches to assessing a company's financial vulnerability. Saji (2018) in Pernamasari et al., (2019) said that the
three approaches are statistical approaches based on the inequality between current assets and short-term liabilities, both the
functional approach and the third approach to the Z-Score approach. The Altman Z Score Bankruptcy Risk Prediction Model is a
multivariable equation used by Altman in order to predict the bankruptcy rate of a company. Altman uses a statistical model called
discriminant analysis, to be precise is multiple discriminant analysis (MDA).
MDA came into use in biological research in the 1930's. In the MDA the sample is divided into two groups, in this case the
companies that are bankrupt and the companies that are not bankrupt. This Z-Score analysis was developed in 1968 by Edward I.
Altman. In his research (Altman, 1968) took a sample of 66 public manufacturing companies located in America consisting of 33
companies that went bankrupt and 33 companies selected randomly that never went bankrupt. Altman calculated 22 ratios to test.
From this number, only the 5 ratios that have the strongest correlation with bankruptcy are selected.
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Altman formed 3 Z Score formulas where the three formulas are intended for 3 different company categories, namely for publicly
listed companies, closed companies, and for non-manufacturing public companies. This study uses the Altman Zscore model for a
public manufacture company, such as Pernamasari et al., (2019). Where shares or shares of a company are traded openly or listed
on a stock exchange. The formula used is as follows:
Z = 1,2 (X1) + 1,4 (X2) + 3,3 (X3) + 0,6 (X4) + 1,0 (X5)
Information:
Z = Bankruptcy Indeks
X1 = Working Capital/Total Assets
X2 = Retained Earnings/Total Assets
X3 = Earning Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
X4 = Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Debt
X5 = Sales/Total Assets
Score Condition> 2.99 Not Bankrupt, 1.81 - 2.99 Gray Area, <1.81 Bankrupt
Profitability
Profitability ratio is a ratio to assess the company's ability to seek profit or profit in a certain period (Kasmir, 2014: 15). Profit is
one indicator of how well the company is performing. Profitability includes all revenues and expenses incurred by the company as
the use of assets and liabilities in a period. The main purpose of the company is to have high profits. High profits will increase the
welfare of its shareholders and will increase the interest of investors to invest their funds in the company. High profits will also
illustrate the company's success rate in carrying out its company's operational activities (Rohmadini et al., 2018).
Liquidity
The liquidity ratio is a ratio used to measure how liquid a company is (Kasmir, 2012). A company can be said to be liquid if the
company is able to settle its short-term obligations at maturity. When the liquidity ratio is high, the company has the ability to meet
its short-term debt obligations.
According to Syamsuddin (2011: 43-44), the current ratio can be determined by comparing current assets with current liabilities.
There is no absolute measure of how much the current ratio is considered good or should be maintained by a company because
usually this level of current ratio also depends on the type of business of each company.
Leverage
Leverage ratio is the ratio used to measure the extent to which company assets are financed from debt. Leverage shows an influence
on investment rates and investment opportunities in companies where the level of debt from a company will indirectly affect
investor interest and confidence in investing (Rohmadini et al., 2018). High and low corporate debt will affect the size of the risk
of financial distress that will be borne by the company. Debt to Equity Ratio (DER) is the ratio used to assess debt to equity. This
ratio is found by comparing all debt, including current debt, and total equity.
Firm Size
Firm size describes how much total assets the company has. According to Sayari & Mugan (2017) cash flow has relevant
information in identifying the financial health or decline of a company. This further illustrates the importance of the role of cash
flow in determining the smooth running of company activities.
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RESEARCH METHOD
Z = 1,2 (X1) + 1,4 (X2) + 3,3 (X3) + 0,6 (X4) + 1,0 (X5)
Information:
Z = Bankruptcy Indeks
X1 = Working Capital/Total Assets
X2 = Retained Earnings/Total Assets
X3 = Earning Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
X4 = Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Debt
X5 = Sales/Total Assets
Independent Variable
Profitability
Profitability Ratios are ratios to assess a company's ability to look for profits or profits for a certain period. The ratio used in this
study is Return On Assets (ROA) with calculations (Kasmir, 2019):
ROA = Net Profit / Total Assets
Liquidity
Liquidity ratio is the ratio used to measure how liquid a company is (Kasmir, 2012). The formula of the Current ratio (Syamsuddin,
2011: 43):
Current Ratio = Current Asset
Current Liabilities
Leverage
The Solvency Ratio is a ratio used to measure the extent to which a company's assets are financed with debt. The ratio used in this
study is Debt to equity ratio (DER) with calculations (Kasmir, 2019):
DER = Total Debt
Equity
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Firm Size
Asset value is used to measure the firm size, the value of these assets is measured as a logarithm of total assets. Measurement of
firm size variables are as follows:
Firm Size = Ln Total Assets
Analysis Method
In testing the hypothesis proposed in this study. The researcher uses the method of multiple linear regression analysis because of
the relationship between two or more independent variables where previously the classical assumptions were made in the first
stage.
Results
Classical Assumption Test
Normality test
The table above shows that the Kolmogorov-Smirnov value is 0.647 and the Asymp value. Sig. (2-tailed) of 0.797. Because the
Asymp value. Sig is greater than the significance level of 0.05 (0.797> 0.05), it can be concluded that the residual data in this
regression model is normally distributed.
Multicollinearity Test
Tabel. 2 Coefficientsa
Model Unstandardized Standardized t Sig. Collinearity Statistics
Coefficients Coefficients
B Std. Error Beta Tolerance VIF
(Constant) 4.758 1.375 3.459 .001
ROA 14.366 1.258 .798 11.423 .000 .738 1.354
CR .034 .033 .075 1.020 .311 .662 1.512
1
DER -.444 .373 -.073 -1.190 .238 .962 1.040
SIZE -.128 .048 -.185 -2.695 .009 .766 1.306
FCF -.541 .428 -.079 -1.263 .210 .912 1.097
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There is no multicolliniarity among the independent variables. Then there is no multicolliniarity between the independent variables.
Heteroskedaticity Test
Tabel. 3 Coefficientsa
Model Unstandardized Standardized T Sig. Collinearity Statistics
Coefficients Coefficients
B Std. Error Beta Tolerance VIF
(Constant) -.076 .796 -.095 .925
ROA -.400 .728 -.069 -.550 .584 .738 1.354
CR .010 .019 .066 .496 .621 .662 1.512
1
DER -.212 .216 -.108 -.981 .330 .962 1.040
SIZE .019 .028 .087 .709 .480 .766 1.306
FCF -.206 .248 -.094 -.831 .408 .912 1.097
a. Dependent Variable: Abs_RES
The profitability, liquidity, leverage, company size and FCF variables in the heteroscedasticity test show that there was no
heteroscedasticity, it can be seen from the sig value of each variable more than 0.05.
Autocorrelation Test
Hypothesis testing
Determination Coefficient Test
In the table above shows that the coefficient of determination that shows the value of the R-square of 0.697. This means that 69.7%
variation in financial distress can be explained significantly by variations in ROA, CR, DER, Company Size, and Free Cash Flow
While (100% - 69.7%) = 30.3% the amount of financial distress can be explained by other variables.
F Test
Tabel. 6 ANOVAa
Model Sum of df Mean Square F Sig.
Squares
Regression 67.325 5 13.465 38.656 .000b
1 Residual 29.259 84 .348
Total 96.584 89
a. Dependent Variable: ZSCORE
b. Predictors: (Constant), FCF, SIZE, DER, ROA, CR
Based on the data above, a significant value of 0,000 is obtained. Because the significance is less than 0.05 or 5% then Ho is
rejected and Ha is accepted, so it can be concluded together profitability, liquidity, leverage, company size, and free cash flow
affect financial distress.
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T Test
Tabel. 7 Coefficientsa
Model Unstandardized Standardized t Sig.
Coefficients Coefficients
B Std. Error Beta
(Constant) 4.758 1.375 3.459 .001
ROA 14.366 1.258 .798 11.423 .000
CR .034 .033 .075 1.020 .311
1
DER -.444 .373 -.073 -1.190 .238
SIZE -.128 .048 -.185 -2.695 .009
FCF -.541 .428 -.079 -1.263 .210
a. Dependent Variable: ZSCORE
Tabel. 8 Coefficientsa
Model Unstandardized Standardized t Sig.
Coefficients Coefficients
B Std. Error Beta
(Constant) 4.758 1.375 3.459 .001
ROA 14.366 1.258 .798 11.423 .000
CR .034 .033 .075 1.020 .311
1
DER -.444 .373 -.073 -1.190 .238
SIZE -.128 .048 -.185 -2.695 .009
FCF -.541 .428 -.079 -1.263 .210
a. Dependent Variable: ZSCORE
Based on the table of the results of multiple linear regression tests, the regression equation is obtained as follows:
Zscore = 4,758 + 14,366 ROA + 0,034 CR + (-0,444 DER) + (-0,128 SIZE) + (-0,541 FCF) + e
DISCUSSION
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that experience financial distress, nor do companies with lower DER values are not necessarily categorized as non-financial distress
companies. This is due to the high total liabilities of the company but the total assets owned by the company are also high, so the
company is able to pay liabilities with the assets owned. These results are consistent with research conducted by Sporta, Ngugi,
Ngumi, & Nanjala (2017), Bernardin & Tifani (2019), Srikalimah (2017) and Tutliha & Rahayu (2019) which resulted in Debt
Equity Ratio (DER) research having no effect on financial distress.
CONCLUSION
Based on the results of the analysis and discussion explained in the previous chapter, the conclusions of this study are as follows:
1. Profitability has a positive effect on financial distress.
2. Liquidity does not influence Financial Distress.
3. Leverage has no effect on Financial Distress.
4. Company size has a negative effect on Financial Distress.
5. Free Cash Flow has no effect on Financial Distress.
SUGGESTIONS
In the research that has been done, there are still some limitations. Based on the results of the conclusions, as for suggestions that
can be given, include:
1. For further researchers, because the results of research on Liquidity, Leverage, and Free Cash Flow show that companies do
not experience the effect of financial distress on the samples that have been conducted, it is advisable to retest because it is not
in accordance with the prevailing theory. Further researchers can also increase the number of research samples or compare
manufacturing companies with other companies sub-sectors such as the food and beverage sub-sector, or even compare one
sector with several companies between countries.
2. For the Company, it is expected to pay attention to factors that can cause the company's financial distress, so that if there is an
indication the company is experiencing financial distress, the company can quickly take action to improve the company's
financial condition.
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Angela Dirman
Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis
Universitas Mercu Buana, 11610, Jakarta, Indonesia
Email: [email protected]
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