Ways to Find Good Quality Stock
Summary of
Investing Books
Sumit Das
+91 7001922626 // smtds04@[Link]
Summary of Coffee can Investing, How to avoid loss and earn
consistently in Stock Market , Stocks to Riches , The Intelligent
Investor.
Book : How to avoid loss and earn consistently in Stock Market
Expectations
20 – 25% returns annually. A return at least double the FD and positive
returns considering inflation and taxes.
Learn before you Earn. Investment in Knowledge provides the best returns.
Stock Valuation
P/E ratio is the most popular metric. However it is not to be used standalone.
Comparison with historical Average, peer comparison, broader market to be used to
value the current P/E.
P/S ratio can be used for cyclicals (eg: Agri input companies or with one time
profit/loss impacts or turnarounds Eg: Arcelor-Mittal.)
P/B ratio – Banking stocks (Eg: SBI or capital intensive Eg: Power projects)
Criteria's
If PE and P/B is less than 5 years average, PEG <0.5 – Undervalued – BEST
Investment Opportunity
If PE and P/B is about average, PEG <= 1. Mediocre Opportunity
PEG = 1- 2 – Hold. Don’t make fresh investments.
PEG > 2 Overvalued. Sell
Book : How to avoid loss and earn consistently in Stock Market
Criteria's
Last 3 years and last 1 year annualized return is negative – Avoid
Last 3 years annualized return <10 % – Could be a value trap. Approach with caution
Last 1 year and last 3 years return > 10% – then consider to buy.
ROE and ROCE >20% for the last 3 years
Not applicable for
Debt to Equity < 1
Banking and
NBFC’s
Promoter’s Pledging < 10%
Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Sales > 10%
Compounded Annual Growth Rate CAGR Profit > 12%
PE < 2(Avg. EPS growth of last 3 years)
Minor Correction : 5 – 30 % fall from peak – Hold on to good stocks and get rid of poor quality ones
Market Crash : More than a 50% fall – Move most of your portfolio into Gold /Cash and wait for
good opportunities.
Book : Coffee can Investing
Invest in companies that have
• A business we understand
• Favorable long-term economics
• Able and trustworthy management
• A sensible price tag.
Limit our search to companies with a minimum Market Capitalization of Rs.100 crore
Look for companies that over the preceding decade have Grown Sales Each Year by at Least 10%
Revenue Growth 10%
Generating ROCE (pre-tax) of at least 15%
For financial services stocks, ROE and sales growth 15%
Debt Ratio Less than 1, if 0.5 available is much better
Book : Stocks to Riches
For Non-financials
• Revenue > 10%
• ROCE > 15%
For Financials
• Loan growth > 15%
• ROE > 15%
Book : The Intelligent Investor
Market Cap > 200 Cr
Current Assets > Current Liabilities.
EPS 10 Years Growth at 1.33 Time
Must Paid dividends at least 20 Years
Stock CMP shall not be more than 15 times if 3 years earning
Safest way to Invest in Stock Market is ETF. Buy in Correction (Near 20 EMA and 50 EMA)