Preparing For The Era of Uncertainty: Crisis Management
Preparing For The Era of Uncertainty: Crisis Management
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Crisis Management
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Preparing for the Era of
Uncertainty
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02 Article | A New Crisis Playbook for an Uncertain World
Reprint BG2104
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A New Crisis Playbook for an
Uncertain World
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We’re entering a period of unprecedented instability. Is your business
prepared? by John E. Katsos and Jason Miklian
Published on [Link] / November 17, 2021 / Reprint H06OSG
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Marie Emmerman/Skizzomat
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Today we stand at the precipice of not one but three converging and
potentially catastrophic long-term trends: climate change,
globalization, and growing inequality. On their own, each of these
makes the occasional crisis worse: We might see a more destructive
hurricane, a more widespread financial meltdown, or longer or more
violent civil unrest. Together, though, these trends magnify challenges.
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The Covid-19 pandemic, for example, was not just a health crisis but an
economic and political one as well.
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Welcome to the era of uncertainty, when constant crisis threatens every
business in every place on earth. We see it in supply shortages that are
no longer merely short-term inconveniences but disruptions that drag
on for years. It’s evident in power outages that last for a week or more,
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and in social unrest and protests over injustices that have persisted for
decades. Millions of managers are desperate to do the right thing in
these situations, but they have no clue just what that is or how to figure
it out. That’s because the most common ways companies have
responded to crises in the past are no longer applicable today.
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For the past two decades, for example, many have argued that the key to
weathering a storm is nimble, decisive action by a courageous leader.
Advocates of this approach assume that a crisis is a singular event —
typically a market-related or other financial upset — that happens,
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requires a response, and is then followed by a return to business as
usual. Other executives and managers believe that when their
companies are fighting to survive, prioritizing ethical action is a luxury.
They do whatever it takes to protect themselves. A third approach is to
use avoidance mechanisms, such as promising but never delivering
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supporting the Black Lives Matter movement but then do precious little
to make meaningful changes.
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Some firms, however, have learned and perfected ways to manage the
uncertainty that constant crisis brings. They do so in some of the most
volatile places on earth: conflict zones. To understand what works in
those conditions and why, we have conducted interviews with more
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than 300 business owners and managers in conflict-torn regions; held
discussions with leading practitioners and scholars; and researched
affected companies. In total, we studied hundreds of cases of businesses
thriving, scraping by, or crumbling as they faced a broad range of
violent and nonviolent political and social conflict from 1985 to today.
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What we found was that successful companies intentionally made more
contributions to their local communities than their peers did. In some
places they helped stop wars. In less-fraught settings, they reminded
people who disagreed with one another that they needn’t be perpetual
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enemies. Whether the companies were small entrepreneurial ventures
or large multinationals, they had a blueprint for engaging with society
in a positive way.
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Once you realize which problems might impact your operating
environment, you can get ready for them.
Our playbook outlines the three most important lessons we took away
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from our fieldwork and illustrates them with real-world examples. In all
these cases, the red-flashing danger signals were always apparent to
anyone reading the local news or talking to local people. The companies
we studied — even the ones that failed to cope well with crisis — were
all trying to do what they thought was the right thing. But the ones that
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both survived and thrived had more than good intentions or strong
leadership. The secret to their success involved three strategies: paying
as much attention to the community as to the business, looking beyond
local authorities for solutions, and making principled political choices
even when they may be unpopular. These practices can help any
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company trying to navigate the age of uncertainty. And we’ve found
empirically that they constitute the most profitable approach.
research showed that companies that had little engagement with local
communities, viewing them merely as sources of consumers or raw
materials, were unlikely to outrun upheaval. When crisis hits, such
companies often cut local ties by closing factories or country offices,
laying off workers, or withdrawing in other cost-saving ways. Shutting
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out the local community multiplies the risk that the project at hand, or
even the company itself, will fail.
must build deeper ties with the broader community, because those
connections are integral to business survival during crises. This means
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developing relationships with local leaders within and beyond the
corporate world and working across societal dividing lines instead of
siloing within the “safest” segment of the community.
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A cautionary tale comes from the Lake Toba region of Sumatra,
Indonesia, where, around 2010, Starbucks started buying coffee beans
from local farmers and sharing the profits from the resulting (and
pricey) limited-edition product. Initially, community members we
interviewed thought the project was promising. The U.S.-based coffee
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chain worked with the farmers on enhancing production, building their
capacity, and improving the quality of their goods — the hallmarks of
creating shared value. But by 2018 it all ended.
Farmers and distributors told us that they think those operations could
have been saved had Starbucks studied more about local politics,
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learned how to defuse the mafia’s influence, and worked with the
growers. But that didn’t happen. And buyers for the company said they
instead turned their attention to more productive valleys, depriving the
local farmers of a promising livelihood and depriving customers of Lake
Toba’s most exceptional beans.
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Marie Emmerman/Skizzomat
financial suicide.
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Today, after two intifadas, multiple failed peace negotiations, and
intractable economic troubles in Gaza and the West Bank, NBC boasts
more than $100 million in annual revenue and employs hundreds of
Palestinians, all while indirectly supporting the livelihoods of
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thousands more through supplier and contractor networks. NBC was
one of the only startups from that period that survived.
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But he was smarter about engaging key community leaders and building
bridges. He leveraged his business experience with Western brands to
persuade Israeli companies and officials to let him ship supplies
through Israeli-controlled ports and border checkpoints. He then leaned
on the trust he’d built with Palestinian leaders to get their help
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processing shipments and win their support for the operation, patiently
explaining how it would provide jobs and a popular consumer product.
Khouri took major financial and reputational risks to engage with both
communities. He could very well have been blacklisted by one or the
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other for “working with the enemy,” which could have meant losing
both the substantial sum he’d invested and the relationships he’d spent
years cultivating. But he didn’t shy away from those risks, and he was
transparent about his plans. Everyone knew he was partnering with
both sides (without favoring either one) to create something important.
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Khouri’s example illustrates the first rule in the new crisis playbook:
Leaders must gain the trust of all the stakeholders in the communities
where they operate.
Companies must work not just with, but also beyond, government
agencies and office holders. In our research, the most common mistake
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we’ve seen is businesses partnering only with local appointed or elected
officials as if they are synonymous with community interests. When
public institutions are inadequate or are thwarting progress, that
approach is a recipe for disaster.
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A good example comes from Odisha, India, where the South Korean
steel manufacturer Posco tried in the early 2000s to launch an
ambitious $12 billion project that would have provided thousands of
jobs and $1 billion in development aid to local communities. The
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company’s agreement with the state included a plan for the government
to resettle 50,000 people living on the farmland where a new plant was
to be built. But officials reneged on their promise, instead moving the
farmers into barbed-wire tent cities and pocketing the resettlement
money. Those who’d been displaced appealed to Posco, but because the
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company was unaware of the situation on the ground and wanted to do
everything “by the book,” it referred them back to the corrupt officials.
In 2010, with groundbreaking set to begin, Posco highlighted the
investment as a “success story” of working with the local community.
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Meanwhile, the farmers grew desperate. They joined forces with Maoist
insurgents waging war against the Indian government and attacked
Posco’s local offices, kidnapping visiting executives who came to
christen the site. After 10 painful years and $1 billion lost, Posco
abandoned and wrote off the project, claiming in 2015 that it failed as a
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Posco wanted to act ethically and comply with local laws, so it followed
the government’s lead. But it should have also engaged directly with the
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Dilmah Ceylon Tea used such a strategy to operate successfully during a
civil war in Sri Lanka that split the country along ethnic, religious,
regional, and political lines in the 1980s. While many companies closed
as a result of supply disruptions, protests and labor strikes, Dilmah
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avoided those problems because CEO Merrill Fernando was prepared for
the looming crisis. Fernando considered his firm’s health to be part and
parcel of his community’s, and he was constantly asking for local
reports from his employees. Many of Dilmah’s tea plantations lay in
remote areas, so Fernando had to trust his managers to do much of their
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work unsupervised. When he did interact with them, he was open about
the problems he saw, and his team members were equally candid about
issues they noticed.
Make principled political choices. Our third rule might be the most
surprising: Companies must not be afraid to take principled political
stands. Our research shows that firms tend to thrive when they make
consistent choices and communicate them clearly, even if a segment of
the population disagrees with them. Consider the case of the American
yogurt company Chobani in the highly polarized United States.
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When Hamdi Ulukaya, a Turkish immigrant, founded Chobani in 2005,
he wanted to wear his politics on his sleeve by employing people who,
like him, had fled their home countries for safer lands. His company
funded school lunches for undernourished kids, because he’d gone
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hungry as a child. He built his factories in former industrial areas to
help revitalize communities most in need. And he hired lobbyists to
push for more-progressive policies nationwide. By 2016, employees
owned 10% of the company; by 2019, 30% of its workforce was made up
of former refugees.
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After President Donald Trump was elected, however, online trolls
attacked Chobani, claiming that Ulukaya wanted “to drown the United
States in Muslims” and calling for a national boycott of the company.
Ulukaya doubled down. He hired even more refugees and continued to
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advocate for his adopted homeland to become a more welcoming and
open society. By the end of 2017 Chobani was America’s top-
selling Greek yogurt brand. Today the company is in talks to do an
initial public offering that would value it at over $10 billion, more than
$7 billion higher than a 2015 valuation.
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Businesses that think they can stay above the fray of contentious
political issues are woefully misguided. Customers often view inaction
as cowardice and think less of such firms, but standing on the sidelines
can also have grave consequences. When Meta (formerly Facebook)
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Meanwhile, more than 25,000 people died and almost a million became
refugees. Meta’s global reputation was also badly tarnished. By trying to
ignore politics in order to maximize market share, the company sparked
widespread condemnation, burst the belief that it’s a positive actor for
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democracy and openness, and came to be viewed in Myanmar as little
more than a tool of the military.
Firms that take a stand early, clearly, and in line with their values (not
just spouting what customers or shareholders might want to hear) are
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usually able to grow new markets while limiting losses from
demographic groups that disagree with them. Coca-Cola has slammed
Republican attempts to restrict voting in Georgia, but that hasn’t
alienated all Republicans; even Donald Trump still drinks Diet Coke.
Chick-fil-A has come under fire for its CEO’s donations to an
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organization that opposes extended civil rights protections for LGBTQ+
people, but when asked about the company during his presidential run,
Pete Buttigieg, the only openly gay candidate, remarked: “I do not
approve of their politics. I kind of approve of their chicken.” In conflict
and crisis contexts as far-ranging as the Philippines and Sierra Leone, as
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The three lessons that we’ve just discussed are interlocking; all help
explain why companies succeed or fail during times of crisis and
uncertainty. Zahi Khouri made NBC successful despite the Israeli-
Palestinian conflict by building bridges across community divides. But
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that was possible only because he extended his outreach beyond official
government entities and he took consistent political stances. Merrill
Fernando kept Dilmah going strong in Sri Lanka despite the civil war
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(and in 2004, the tsunami) because he did not rely solely on official
channels for information. But the company’s success also depended on
the trust Fernando had built with leaders of all ethnic communities in
the country.
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The rules we’ve offered can help managers and businesses understand
what they need to do to steer through crises. The how involves securing
a social license to operate. By that we mean that in addition to legal
licenses, a company needs the community’s approval of its operations.
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Communities grant this when they feel confident that a firm is
providing jobs and development opportunities and following certain
local customs. In exchange, the firm gets to make a profit without major
community objections.
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Companies obtain a social license to operate by doing two things. First,
as we saw in Chobani’s case, they are clear about their purpose, goals,
and beliefs. Of course, communities are diverse, and a firm that is up-
front about what it stands for may put off some of the people it depends
on: certain customers, shareholders, suppliers, and employees. But the
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with the community, not forgetting that their local employees are part
of their audience too.
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empirical evidence shows that it can lead to much more substantial
long-term profits than does the old way of doing business. The good
news is that the “hard path” benefits society too. We found that
companies employing the lessons we’ve outlined made a host of
positive contributions to their local communities. They have helped
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stop wars, built peace, and created value not just for themselves but for
all of us. As the world moves out of the Covid-19 crisis and deeper into
an era of unprecedented, accelerating instability, the best way for
companies to get ready is to deliver on their unique influence as citizens
in their own right.
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John E. Katsos is an associate professor of business law, business
ethics, and social responsibility at the American University of
Sharjah, in the United Arab Emirates, and a research affiliate at
Queen’s University Belfast. As a scholar, he has published dozens of
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better world.
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Jason Miklian is a senior researcher at the Centre for Development
and the Environment, at the University of Oslo. He has published
extensively on the topic of business and peace, including award-
winning articles based on fieldwork in Bangladesh, Colombia, India,
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and the Democratic Republic of Congo. Considered a top global
expert in the field of business, peacebuilding, and crisis, he sits on
numerous boards and high-level expert panels. Miklian has also
written for or been cited in an expert capacity by the New York
Times, the BBC, Foreign Policy, The Economist, and other news
organizations, and he is a coauthor (with Scott Carney) of The Vortex:
A True Story of History’s Deadliest Storm, an Unspeakable War, and
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Liberation (HarperCollins, forthcoming).
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HBR / The Big Idea / What Covid-19 Taught Us About Doing Business During a Crisis
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What Covid-19 Taught Us
About Doing Business During
a Crisis
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Takeaways from a seven-city global survey.
by The Working Through Violence Research Team
Published on [Link] / November 17, 2021 / Reprint H06OSY
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Marie Emmerman/Skizzomat
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Over the past two years, the Covid-19 crisis has forced a fundamental
reordering of work and life around the world. But has the experience
helped organizations prepare for future crises? To answer this question,
we studied how relationships between businesses and society have
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changed during the pandemic in several global cities known for their
dynamic growth but also deep fragility.
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We surveyed 78,000 people via mobile phone in Bogotá and Medellín,
Colombia; Beirut, Lebanon; Cape Town, South Africa; Caracas,
Venezuela; San Pedro Sula, Honduras; and San Salvador, El Salvador. Of
this number, 16,500 respondents were business owners and managers.
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Because we tailored questions to local contexts and did not ask all
questions in all cases, the number of respondents for the questions
varies. (More on our survey methodology by our partner RIWI is here.)
We gleaned insights from both business leaders and citizens about the
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broad challenges they faced, and this article presents our most
important findings. They point to a way forward for any manager
working in a risky sociopolitical environment.
[ 1 ]
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Businesses can be seen as problem-solvers and
peacemakers during a crisis — or as harmful actors.
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[ 2 ]
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in actors exploiting the pandemic to enhance their digital extortion
capabilities and targets.
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Firms operating in such violent settings are part of the conflict
dynamics whether they take an active role, directly engage with the
state or criminal gangs, or subvert violence. Those that speak out
publicly against these crimes create new risks for themselves. For
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instance, 32% of owners and managers in Caracas, San Pedro Sula, and
San Salvador said that when they took such actions, it harmed their
businesses. These findings highlight how the symbiotic relationships
between communities, businesses, the state, and criminal groups can
perpetuate insecurity within firms and communities.
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firms were also more than twice as likely to have experienced significant
growth since March 2020 than those of their older peers.
lack of aid, this cohort is also more likely to reach out to criminal
organizations. Younger managers and owners are three times more
likely to receive support from mafias and other unlawful groups than
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their older peers are, perhaps because they are 32% more likely to be
victims of crime and extortion and 25% less likely to get support from
municipal authorities.
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For example, in Cape Town, the Covid-19 crisis exacerbated problems of
endemic crime and institutional weakness. We found that 62% of those
aged 18 to 25 believe violence is at least sometimes justified, compared
with 36% of those aged 46 to 55. The younger cohort is also the most
likely to cope with social crisis by building relationships with violent
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actors and to see gangs as positive forces in their communities. Those
attitudes might be driven by a lack of faith in the state: This age group is
more likely than any other to say that government officials are the
primary instigators of violence and extortion.
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These perspectives influence citizen perceptions of business-
community interactions more broadly. For example, 18-to-25-year-olds
in Cape Town are the least likely to believe that small businesses in their
communities make life better, and the least likely to turn to formal
institutions for help.
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In the short term, these beliefs may make resorting to violence more
easily justifiable and socially acceptable; in the longer term, they may
further alienate the age group from formal institutions and result in
gangs being the primary mechanisms of local governance. The Cape
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[ 4 ]
Businesses of all types have faced immense pressure from the Covid-19
pandemic. This pain included higher-than-normal closure rates,
difficulty keeping up with payments to suppliers and employees, and
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example, in the cities we surveyed, only 9% of businesses received
significant assistance, while a full 75% received none.
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aid. The smallest companies were three times less likely to get it than
larger firms and less likely to get help from business associations and
municipal authorities.
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The amount of government aid received corresponded to how well
companies were able to ride out the pandemic. For example, 70% of sole
proprietorships were negatively affected by the pandemic (including
loss of revenue, employment, supply chain issues, and similar) and 30%
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permanently closed from March 2020 to our survey period. Compare
that with the nearly 60% of firms employing more than 100 people that
saw stable or improving business: Only 12% of these organizations
closed.
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And yet small businesses are critical to community success, as evidence
from Lebanon suggests. The country has recently suffered a series of
consecutive, overlapping crises: a political revolution and protests in
2019, the Covid-19 pandemic, the August 2020 explosion at the Port of
Beirut, and now the current financial crisis in the country, which some
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have called the worst in the world since the 1800s. As a result, nearly
half of Beirut residents feel less safe than in 2019, while only 18% feel
safer, according to our results.
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What These Results Mean for Managers
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benefit from increasing their community embeddedness. Where firms
do not have the luxury of a peaceful, well-governed society, this might
mean dealing with illicit actors as a matter of necessity. However, such
strategies can create an economy dominated by criminal organizations,
further contributing to societal fragility and operational risk.
yo
More positively, our findings provide support for managers who take a
relational rather than a transactional approach to community
engagement. In any situation of rapid social reordering triggered by
crisis, firms that have already established and continue to build strong
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bonds with the local citizenry are more likely to succeed.
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Building a Culture That Can
Withstand a Crisis
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How a company that works in conflict zones prepares for the unknown.
by John E. Katsos, Jason Miklian, and Patrick L. McClelland
Published on [Link] / November 17, 2021 / Reprint H06OT1
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A market in Somalia. CTG employs hundreds of staff in Somalia as field monitors who travel across the
country to food delivery sites to measure the impact of food programs. (Photo: Iain Statham)
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that provides specialist staffing and logistics to the humanitarian
community. When we met Laugher in 2014, for example, CTG had just
built out the medical and emergency services that the World Health
Organization used in West Africa to address the emerging Ebola
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outbreak. Since the company’s founding in 2006, its clients have
included most major humanitarian organizations; it now operates in 26
countries. In 2019 Laugher was awarded the prestigious Oslo Business
for Peace Award.
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No
Alice Laugher
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We recently asked Laugher what she and her team have learned about
uncertainty through working in crisis zones, and how this might help
managers new to the type of crisis leadership our tumultuous time
requires. The conversation occurred in September 2021, right after
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Kabul fell to the Taliban and the United States withdrew from
Afghanistan. Our meeting was punctuated by calls and messages from
the members of Laugher’s team on the ground there and local staff
members who continued their work of supporting humanitarian action.
We later used email exchanges to ask follow-up questions. This
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conversation has been edited for clarity.
You’ve worked in Afghanistan for more than a decade. How are you
handling the current uncertainty?
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We navigate a new normal every day. The situation, the rules, the
regulations, and the needs of the local population shift constantly. Can
you imagine running a business in a place where banks are not
operating? Or where corporate accounts are frozen? There is still active
fighting and hostility in parts of Afghanistan where we have staff. How
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The United Nations has said it will “stay and deliver,” and so will CTG.
We’re able to do it only because we already have battle-tested systems in
place to make sure that payments get made to our employees on time.
While nobody foresaw how quickly the Taliban would reach Kabul, we
were perhaps able to react to the takeover better than other
international businesses because we are so locally connected through
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our staff. We prepared for eventualities that seemed obvious to us, yet so
many well-intentioned groups that simply weren’t paying attention to
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the situation on the ground were taken by surprise. And we had all
hands on deck to assist our partners with urgent evacuations because
we knew they would most likely need our help.
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These kinds of crises — and Afghanistan is only the most recent
example — test how strong our relationships with our staff, clients, and
partners really are. We ride the waves together. It’s as simple as that. We
share the same goal: to build humanitarian projects so that aid can get
to the people who need it no matter the danger or challenge involved in
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getting it there.
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One of CTG’s assignments is to train the Iraqi Police in explosive ordinance disposal and improvised
explosive device (IED) disposal. Above, a trainee attempts to disarm an IED.
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That’s why it’s so important to have local staff members as part of your
core team. They can help navigate the nuances and sensitivities of their
country, and they have a deep understanding of their environments, a
level of insight that can’t be matched by outsiders no matter how much
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research they do. CTG recognizes this, which is why we offer decent
work opportunities that can otherwise be hard to come by in low-
employment nations. We give people a sense of stability and financial
security and create mutual respect with local community leaders, who,
in turn, provide support when a crisis strikes. While conflict-affected
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How does CTG’s corporate culture help you and your employees
deal with the VUCA conditions you regularly face?
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the value of the work that we are enabling. We believe in what we are
helping to deliver.
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in their bunkers and moved people to safe locations while his own house
was being destroyed by a rocket attack. He went beyond the call of duty
amid his own crisis, which set the tone for his team. Many CTG
employees have done similar things in similar circumstances. It’s
actions like these that make our culture what it is, not statements on a
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website or in a press release.
information, while still getting the job done. CTG is not a “look to the
CEO for the answer” culture. I don’t pretend to have all the answers.
Instead, we work together to find solutions to complex problems.
for very long. Our employees, clients, and communities would have
abandoned us.
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One key strategy is to expose our headquarters staff to the realities of the
business. We don’t want to have an “ivory tower” feeling. All of our team
members go to the countries we work in, because everyone must see the
jobs their colleagues do in order to understand how we all fit together.
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Salwa Nassar, pictured above, is a female civil engineer with CTG in the Gaza Strip. She has worked in
Jordan, Egypt, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, and the U.S. but is one of only a few female civil engineers in
Palestine.
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How do you adapt quickly given the speed with which things
change?
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each country. For example, our team in South Sudan was prepared for
some serious civil unrest and escalation at the end of August, when the
opposition parties called for mass protests against President Salva Kiir.
Thankfully, the street protests didn’t really happen. This is the ideal
scenario for CTG, of course, as there was neither a disruption to our
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business operations nor a threat to our staff’s safety.
power. We adapt to fit the environment while very much keeping our
core principles and values a business priority.
Our relationships — with the local community, clients, and the wider
humanitarian aid sector — also help with adaptation. I have spent 18
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years working in emergency and conflict settings and have built many
relationships. Relationships are not just part of your broader network of
contacts; they take time, effort, and care. Ultimately, like all businesses,
you must know your sphere of influence to get done what is needed, but
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in fragile environments trust is very hard to come by — so if you’ve done
the work of building good relationships, it’s one less thing you must
worry about. Trust helps us play a role in making these places safer.
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In many ways, Covid-19 was just another crisis for us. Our ability to
travel was obviously the biggest challenge it posed. The pandemic made
it challenging to frequently and easily mobilize to the field from HQ,
due to long quarantine restrictions, suspended airline routes, and other
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regulations. We also lost a critical colleague to the virus — one of our
operations managers, who was on leave in the UK — and his passing hit
us very hard.
But honestly, our staff is prepared for the worst every time we deploy, so
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Covid-19 was a much bigger deal for people in countries that don’t
regularly face difficulties doing basic things. In the countries we work in
people die all the time; in that sense, Covid-19 was just another issue to
navigate, along with other medical diseases — such as cholera, malaria,
or Ebola — famine, drought, displacement, and terrorism. We have
No
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What advice do you have for leaders and organizations that aren’t
used to dealing with crisis?
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hero culture will not survive. You have to rely on your staff — from the
most junior to the most senior — to step up. This is why it’s so important
to really know everyone before crisis hits. You want to know how far you
can push people and who you can rely upon. It’s wonderful when you
see new talent in the organization stepping forward to assist their
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colleagues to get a needed job done.
students in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa
how to manage more ethical and sustainable organizations for a
better world.
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Patrick L. McClelland is associate professor of management at the
American University of Sharjah, where has served as the head of the
management department and director of graduate programs in the
School of Business Administration. His published work is an
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assessment of the impact that top managers have on their
organizations. As an educator, he teaches strategic management,
international business, and corporate governance to undergraduate,
graduate, and executive students in the United States, Europe, and
the Middle East. He has also served public and private organizations
in an advisory capacity in all three regions.
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No
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6 Types of Resilience
Companies Need Today
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Lessons in crisis management and agility from Unilever. by Paul Polman
and Andrew Winston
Published on [Link] / November 17, 2021 / Reprint H06OT3
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Marie Emmerman/Skizzomat
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When severe storms hit in tropical climates, buildings may fall, but
most palm trees survive. They bend but don’t break. They have
resilience. Can your organization say the same?
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core. New competitors and technologies upend the industry. A global
pandemic changes everything.
One of us (Paul) ran the consumer products giant Unilever for a decade.
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With operations in 180 countries and brands that reach a couple billion
people each day, Paul and his executives had front-row seats for every
kind of crisis. They saw how our two big existential challenges, climate
change and inequality, along with multipliers like rising transparency
and pressure from stakeholders, create emergencies. These megatrends
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are accelerating, so the way companies respond can protect or destroy
value quickly.
His team worked fast to begin the challenging work of getting the
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later, revenue was up 33%, to $60 billion, and Unilever’s stock was
performing better than that of its peers and the European FTSE index.
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creating real financial pressure. At one point, the effects of climate
change were costing Unilever more than $300 million per year. For
example, droughts in Brazil reduced reservoir capacity, triggering water
restrictions and preventing people from showering as frequently, which
caused shampoo sales to shrink by 15%. Only companies with already
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healthy balance sheets can weather such storms.
looking company. Leaders could get faster feedback from markets about
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what was working and what needed more investment, and were able to
identify possible problems before they became crises.
All companies, but especially those with long supply chains, will face
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continued pressure to justify how they and their partners operate and to
understand the social, political, and economic dynamics their
businesses are involved in. Human rights abuses or corruption will not
stay hidden for long. Local disruptions can quickly have outsize
consequences if left unaddressed. An organization set up for better
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information flow, one that empowers on-the-ground employees to
notice and talk about looming problems, will be better prepared for (or
able to avoid) surprises.
We argue that the strongest organizations today and in the future will
thrive by giving more than they take from the world. We call this kind of
company “net positive” because it seeks to improve the well-being of
everyone it touches through its operations, value chain, products,
No
services, and influence. (Our new book, Net Positive, lays out how to
build a business with that goal.)
Purpose. A company that knows its reason for being, and consistently
backs it up, is both tougher and more flexible during a crisis. At
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Unilever, a renewed focus on its history — going back to a commitment
to health and hygiene in the 1870s — aligned the company around a
clear mission: to make sustainable living commonplace. This was
reinforced by the Unilever Sustainable Living Plan (USLP), one of the
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earliest corporate sustainability plans in the world, which was
integrated into the organization’s strategic plan. It wasn’t a mere add-
on; it was (and still is) the strategy.
When the USLP launched, having a committed CEO wasn’t enough for it
yo
to succeed — Paul needed everyone on board. Unilever started with a
new, robust leadership-development program, a yearlong journey for
the top executives to discover their own purpose. There was a fair
amount of pushback and turnover, but even so, it was critical that a
company with a mission be full of the right people. Over time, Unilever
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rolled out purpose-finding programs to all employees; as of today, more
than 60,000 have gone through them.
When employees know they’re not just selling soap but also helping to
solve a major health issue and saving lives, they are more driven. The
data is clear — people working at a company with a clear purpose are far
more engaged, and Gallup studies show that organizations with
engaged people are more productive and financially successful. Those
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Trust. The USLP has helped Unilever build trust with major
stakeholders because its aggressive goals (50-plus targets covering
operations, supply chain, products, impact on communities globally,
and more) are fully transparent and because the company talks openly
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about which ones it has struggled to meet.
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In 2013, the Rana Plaza garment factory in Dhaka, Bangladesh,
collapsed, killing more than 1,100 workers who were making cheap
clothing for the West. It was a painful reminder of inequality and the
dangerous conditions in which many are forced to work.
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To ensure its own supply chain was safer, Unilever invited the
international NGO Oxfam to audit its Vietnamese vendors on issues like
living wages, working hours, and the right to collective bargaining —
and to publish the results publicly. Oxfam found nothing egregious but
identified some problems. For example, while Unilever was paying more
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than minimum wage in some places, the pay was still below what
experts considered a living wage. The company is now working its way
toward the goal of offering living wages throughout the value chain.
Stakeholders. When Paul arrived, Unilever was facing protests for its
use of contingent labor at a Pakistani tea factory. Out of 800 workers,
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security or benefits. The IUF, the federation of agriculture and
hospitality worker unions organizing the campaign, called it “Casual-T.”
Paul worked with IUF head Ron Oswald and the workers themselves on
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a solution. After discussing several options and holding a vote, they
settled on a plan to create a few hundred full-time jobs: stable roles with
benefits for employees who would get the training and experience
they’d need to be productive over the long term.
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Net-positive companies build better connections with stakeholders
besides employees as well. They forge bonds with suppliers by helping
to grow and improve their businesses, rather than simply demanding
the lowest cost. (For example, Unilever’s “Partner to Win” program
shifted this relationship from pure transaction to innovation
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partnership.) They also help consumers lead more sustainable lives,
support business customers on their sustainability journey, and find
and work with investors who want long-term value creation. And, in
turn, communities with stronger ties to an organization support it
through good times and bad.
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When the biggest crises hit, all six forms of resilience help you move
quickly and effectively. The global pandemic was one such event. It
Do
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choices, but many did the right thing. Medtronic, for example, shared
proprietary designs for a portable ventilator to help the world ramp up
production. These actions build trust: People remember who is there for
them.
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Unilever, under current CEO Alan Jope, provided €500 million to
support suppliers and extend credit to customers. While the world shut
down and employers everywhere furloughed people, Unilever
guaranteed jobs for months, which was even extended to indirect
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suppliers like cleaning companies and security firms. It also shifted
people and operations to help produce medical equipment and redirect
supply chains that were overwhelmed. After a decade of being
committed to a purpose-driven model, Unilever could make big changes
quickly because it had the financial leeway, the support of employees,
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and the trust of suppliers and governments. The company was more
agile than its peers due to investing in strong roots.
hostile takeover bid from Kraft Heinz and its coinvestors, private equity
firm 3G and Warren Buffett. Kraft’s business model at the time, which
was widely reported as being based mainly on slashing costs and
maximizing immediate profits, was fundamentally incompatible with
Unilever’s. But that disconnect wasn’t enough to stop the bid.
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What scuttled the deal was the unusual level of support from the
company’s stakeholders. Many long-term investors made their
displeasure known; they felt an independent Unilever would build
longer-term value. Even more surprising was the public backing of
traditional antagonists: unions and NGOs like Greenpeace. By working
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in genuine partnership with these groups for years, Unilever had built a
foundation of trust, which it drew on to fend off Kraft Heinz.
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•••
No company can prepare for every outcome, but these six forms of
resilience, put together, can provide a serious buffer. They also allow
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organizations to work in larger coalitions on the biggest issues, such as
climate change and income inequality.
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Paul Polman works to accelerate action by business to achieve the
UN Global Goals, which he helped develop. He was the CEO of
Unilever from 2009 to 2019 and has been described by the Financial
Times as “a stand out CEO of the past decade.”
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Andrew Winston is one of the world’s leading thinkers on
sustainable business strategy. He is an adviser and speaker on how to
build companies that profit by serving the world. His books include
Green to Gold, The Big Pivot, and Net Positive.
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@AndrewWinston
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The Power of Community
Partnerships in Times of
Crisis
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When building peace and building business go hand in hand.
by Jason Miklian, John E. Katsos, Angelika Rettberg,
and Jennifer Oetzel
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Published on [Link] / November 17, 2021 / Reprint H06OT6
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No
A man harvests coffee in Santuario municipality, Risaralda department, Colombia, on May 10, 2019.
(Photo: Raul Arboleda/AFP via Getty Images)
Rodrigo Lopez plucked the deep-red coffee cherries with his calloused
hand, dropping them a handful at a time into a burlap bag. Nestled
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nearly a mile above sea level, Lopez’s farm in the Andes mountains of
Colombia has the perfect climate and soil for coffee. Lavazza buys his
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exceptional harvests for its finest espresso-quality Italian roasts; his
decent harvests become Folgers.
But the hard-to-access terrain is also the perfect climate for growing
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another addictive cash crop: coca, used to make cocaine. Lopez’s small
farm stands nearly equidistant between the cities of Cali and Medellín,
home to two of Latin America’s most notorious drug cartels. The thick
vegetation and lack of infrastructure like paved roads has made the area
an ideal hideout for insurgent groups and paramilitaries.
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In 2005, Lopez’s farm was ground zero for some of the western
hemisphere’s most brutal violence in 50 years. Lopez remembers those
times when he walks past the house of his former neighbors, who
vanished one night without a trace. The next day, leftist guerrillas from
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the Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (FARC) lived there.
The next month, rightist paramilitaries forced FARC out and attacked
Lopez’s family, taking their life savings at gunpoint and eating every
one of their chickens. Lopez didn’t dare complain. He stopped farming,
fearing he’d be killed for daring to fight for his land or forced to grow
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coca instead.
FARC retook the area a year later, but Lopez’s hope that things would
get better was short-lived. He heard gunshots in his field for hours
before insurgents yelled, “Comrade! Come out immediately, we need
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you.” Lopez emerged in his pajamas, sure he was a dead man walking.
He was forced to chauffeur FARC soldiers around town in his old pickup
truck at gunpoint while they took potshots at police officers. That night,
Lopez ripped out the truck’s alternator and threw it into a ravine — he
and his truck would never be pawns of war again.
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risk of violence, switch to coca and become direct participants in drug
production, or abandon their farms, like Lopez, and try to scrape by in
cities overflowing with conflict migrants. Eventually, though, they
found a fourth option, one that contains a lesson in how to run a
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business in the face of constant danger, uncertainty, and violence.
Lopez, who we spoke with over several visits in late 2016 and early 2017,
and whose name has been changed for protection, is part of the
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Federación Nacional de Cafeteros de Colombia (FNC). Founded in 1927,
and popularly known as Juan Valdez, FNC is one of Colombia’s largest
and most important businesses. It is a public and private alliance of
more than 500,000 coffee producers, and historically it has prioritized
strong relationships with its farmers. But by 2008, amid the global
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financial crisis, coffee prices were crashing, FNC was losing money
quarter after quarter, and long-simmering conflicts between the
government and insurgents ignited into all-out war.
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But standard fixes — including pulling out of the worst-hit areas — were
the exact things that would endanger farmers like Lopez and FNC’s local
employees. They would also harm the company’s long-standing
business model, which depended on small-scale Colombian coffee
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First, he made the company the public face of peacebuilding in the
coffee regions. This meant putting FNC branding on peace initiatives
that had no guarantee of success and using the company’s political
capital to bring key actors to the negotiation table. If it worked, the
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government, rebels, and local community could all rebuild society
together with help from FNC. If it failed, he’d take the blame for a failed
peace and a new spiral of violence.
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one of buyer and occasional benefactor to one of partners in crisis.
Working with the United Nations, the Spanish Agency for International
Development Cooperation, and the NGO Humanismo y Democracia
(now called La Fundación Concordia y Libertad), Muñoz integrated
national and international development agencies into his company’s
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operations in hundreds of villages, building long-term projects aimed at
finding solutions that worked for all stakeholders, even FARC and the
paramilitaries.
supplies; they were in-depth consultations that treated the business, the
local community, and authorities as equal participants, with equal
stakes in their mutual success. Muñoz hired more than 1,000 people
across the country to distribute peacebuilding training modules at
village roundtables, train their neighbors and fellow citizens in
No
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A man carries a coffee bag at a farm in Santuario municipality, Risaralda department. (Photo: Raul
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Arboleda/AFP via Getty Images)
Third, and most audacious of all, Muñoz invited both the leftist
guerrillas and the rightest paramilitaries to the village roundtables,
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Lopez and tens of thousands of brave coffee farmers responded to
Munoz’s call by doing something radical of their own: They banded
together under the project, hoping that there would be strength in
numbers. Some were murdered as a result, but that didn’t stop the rest.
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They used their collective strength to tackle the conflict head-on,
holding community dialogues and peacebuilding trainings under the
threat of death.
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initiative, seeing more to gain from a transition to peace than from yet
another cycle of war. Confident that FNC was a trusted broker that
wouldn’t vanish if violence spiked, farmers began to rebuild their
communities. “We realized that they had our backs,” Lopez said. As for
the community, “the project helped to establish friendships across party
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lines. We became closer to each other and started building peace
together. We started taking care of our public goods such as the roads
and schools.…Peace is not just something coming from the government
but from neighbors, too.”
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After one year, the security situation improved so much that Lopez and
thousands of his FNC brethren could safely return to their fields. The
project concluded shortly after the government of Colombia signed a
peace agreement with FARC in 2016. Today FNC has not only survived
in one of the world’s most dangerous crisis zones but has expanded its
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coffee sales into 32 countries. More importantly, its farmers earn higher
prices and have greater yields all while living and working in a safer,
more secure, and more sustainable business environment.
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Move beyond traditional CSR and ESG activities. When communities
are dealing with a socioeconomic or political crisis, anything that looks
like lip service from a company won’t improve community relations.
Most mining and oil firms in Colombia, for example, combine
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traditional corporate social responsibility (CSR) or environmental,
social, and governance (ESG) activities with securitization strategies to
cope with violence. Despite the high financial cost, these initiatives
have largely failed to improve the companies’ standing with locals, as
they are perceived to help the company’s needs more than the
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community’s, exacerbating mistrust of the firms. The companies that,
like FNC, build lasting programs instead of one-offs are the ones that
succeed.
But there isn’t just one way to become crisis-proof through community
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engagement. For example, Éxito, a Colombian retail company, stands at
the fore of reintegration efforts by helping former fighters return to
civilian life. Company operations serve as a training ground, and Éxito
has hired former members of both FARC and the paramilitaries. Éxito
works to reintegrate fighters and communities as a strategic goal to face
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crisis head-on, and profits have followed. The strategy both reinforced
the idea that Éxito works for the people, gaining it customer loyalty, and
protected the company from attacks by criminal organizations, allowing
it to expand into markets it could not enter before.
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While its exact activities differed from FNC’s approach, Éxito was
equally successful in building trust among key actors across Colombian
society. These examples show that marrying the community’s deepest
needs to a company’s deepest expertise leads to the strongest
partnerships.
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tend to adopt a business-as-usual mindset. But firms impact the places
where they operate whether they realize it or not, and local perceptions
matter. In worse-case scenarios, if locals believe a company is enabling
violence rather than trying to stop it, they can revoke its social license to
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operate — that is, its acceptance by the community. And once lost, that
license can take years or even decades to win back.
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part of their responsibilities. Our research finds that companies that
fully embed in a community typically gain legitimacy and reputational
advantages over competitors, especially in places where people have
been ignored or even victimized by their own government.
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Further, research has shown that context-specific knowledge is critical
when addressing complex risks. This means it’s crucial for managers to
understand what motivates local actors, the real versus perceived
severity of potential crises, and on-the-ground rumblings about looming
threats.
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many conflict and crisis settings, well-intentioned community projects
by outsiders come and go, filled with grand promises in the beginning
and usually failing to deliver in the end. Any firm wishing to build trust
and support in such settings must prove — not just claim — that it will
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be a committed partner in the community’s survival. FNC demonstrated
this by expanding the project’s timeline from five years to 10. Only once
trust — and business — was concretely established within this period
did FNC end its deep engagement efforts, transitioning to a lighter
approach.
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•••
From violent conflicts to social unrest, businesses are facing crises that
they can no longer ignore or avoid. Managers that recognize the value of
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contributing to local prosperity and peace will enjoy tangible returns to
the company’s bottom line, even if the gains might seem difficult to
immediately quantify. These decisions can also save livelihoods — and
sometimes even lives.
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Ten years after he threw his alternator into a ravine, Lopez tended to his
trees with the care of an artisan. His hard work had paid off: The
cherries he harvested would be in Italian espresso cups the next year.
That’s thanks in large part to the courage FNC’s Muñoz showed by
believing in a new community model, and the peace that farmers like
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Jason Miklian is a senior researcher at the Centre for Development
and the Environment, at the University of Oslo. He has published
extensively on the topic of business and peace, including award-
winning articles based on fieldwork in Bangladesh, Colombia, India,
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and the Democratic Republic of Congo. Considered a top global
expert in the field of business, peacebuilding, and crisis, he sits on
numerous boards and high-level expert panels. Miklian has also
written for or been cited in an expert capacity by the New York
Times, the BBC, Foreign Policy, The Economist, and other news
organizations, and he is a coauthor (with Scott Carney) of The Vortex:
A True Story of History’s Deadliest Storm, an Unspeakable War, and
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Liberation (HarperCollins, forthcoming).
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HBR / The Big Idea / Spotting a Modern Business Crisis — Before It Strikes
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Spotting a Modern Business
Crisis — Before It Strikes
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Eight perspectives on how societal challenges are evolving, and what that
means for companies. by Rakshitha Arni Ravishankar
Published on [Link] / November 17, 2021 / Reprint H06OTC
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Top row, from left: Tima Bansal; Sarah A. Soule (photo: Elena Zhukova); Sarah Kovoor-Misra. Middle row:
Ruha Shadab (photo: Jamie Mullick); Chang Hoon Oh. Bottom row: Marianna Fotaki; Sinziana Dorobantu;
Maziar Minovi (photo: Richard Jopson).
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Further, research shows that younger generations are more likely than
others to see large firms as sociopolitical actors that can have a positive
impact on their communities.
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But since not every crisis affects all companies equally, it can be
challenging for organizations to identify which ones pose a threat to
their businesses, their employees, their customers, and their
communities. Today’s crises are also more complex and fast-moving
than those from decades past, Covid-19 being the most recent example.
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To better understand what companies are facing and how they can
successfully respond to the challenges ahead, Harvard Business Review
posed four questions to scholars and practitioners.
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Here’s an edited collection of their responses.
[ 1 ]
last 50 years?
In the decades since, crises have only become more global, more
frequent, and more volatile, and this is likely to continue. Covid-19 is
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the most recent example: A public health crisis in a specific locality —
Wuhan, China — became a global disaster. Why? Because products,
financial assets, people, and information flow quickly and cheaply
today. Transportation and communication networks have created a
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complex, interconnected world. What’s more, we’re now seeing the
limits of industrial growth. Companies are extracting natural resources
faster than the Earth can regenerate them, and ecosystems are being
stretched to the breaking point. Given our finite resources, the business
environment is increasingly dynamic, chaotic, and unpredictable and
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small events are amplified.
from a single U.S. senator on a bill today can upend strategic plans in
Frankfurt and Tokyo tomorrow.
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Marianna Fotaki, professor of business ethics
at Warwick Business School: Globalization
has created unprecedented competition for
labor and opportunities, leading to exponential
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growth for transnational businesses. At the
local level, this ease of doing business across
borders has allowed some companies to
acquire disproportionate power to influence
local politics and governance. When that happens, they assume a
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dominant role in making policy decisions that affect people in a society
— which can then undermine democracy and public good in the region.
Ironically, the lack of strong legislative institutions, which makes all
this possible, can be a cause of instability in society, affecting
businesses in turn.
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At the global level, the absence of strong economic regulatory
institutions to ensure equitable and fair business practices means that
corporations have no limits on their size and influence. The result is
industries turning into monopolies or oligopolies, and giant companies
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preventing newer ones from entering the market. When left unchecked,
these anticompetitive behaviors can exacerbate inequalities between
rich and less developed countries, creating global disparities.
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What the public knew was largely defined by what businesses were
required to disclose. Today, however, public perception of businesses is
affected by a diverse range of stakeholders — consumers, activists, local
or national governments, nongovernmental organizations,
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international agencies, and religious, cultural, or scientific groups,
among others. My own research shows that when businesses operate in
a highly transparent society with new media technologies and a free
press, even decentralized, uncoordinated events can easily escalate into
a significant crisis for the firm.
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That said, risk assessment is only the first step. Any uncertainty or risk
can become a crisis if the company is not prepared for it. Take the 2011
Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster in Japan, an event my colleague
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spillover of radioactive elements from the nuclear plant happened due
to an error in foresight.
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Morgride Professor of Organizational
Behavior at the Stanford Graduate School of
Business: The rise of social media has made it
easier to identify crises. Smart leaders are
paying attention to what’s trending to
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anticipate how these issues impact their
businesses. For example, some businesses were
carefully tracking the emergence of the Covid-19 virus in China in
December 2019 through social media and other sources, even as
governments seemingly failed to do so. Another example is the Black
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Lives Matter movement in the U.S., which, especially after the killing of
George Floyd, has forced companies to reevaluate their responsibility to
stakeholders and change their strategies both externally (such as
marketing efforts) and internally (such as increased focus on diversity,
inclusion, and equity).
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[ 3 ]
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of carbon emissions are only being discussed now, despite their roots
dating back to the Industrial Revolution. Instead of just focusing on the
exact cause of a crisis, it’s important for businesses to recognize the
broader ways in which they can support communities.
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When Hurricane Katrina ravaged the Gulf Coast of the U.S. in 2005,
Walmart was among the first organizations to provide disaster relief.
Walmart employees brought food and water and offered shelter to
thousands of people in New Orleans who were affected. Lee Scott, the
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CEO at the time, seems to have made the decision not because it
mattered to stakeholders but because Walmart could help.
do we exist?” may seem like a very big question, but it allows businesses
to direct financial and operational resources to serve their purpose and
make a positive impact on society.
Take the example of global mining companies during the early months
of the Covid-19 pandemic. The purpose of mining firms is to extract raw
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things. To do this, mining companies need to not only focus on the
operational and financial aspects of their business but also take care of
the people and communities in which they operate — especially when
they are cut off from other distribution channels during a crisis. Doing
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so is a win-win for everyone: Local governments can rely on mining
companies to deliver essential supplies like food and medicines to the
people in the area of operation, communities’ essential needs are
fulfilled, and mining companies can continue their business operations.
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[ 4 ]
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The other lesson is empathy. Everything is really about people —
especially those who work with (and for) you. Recognize that your
employees, team members, and colleagues are not just “resources” but
humans with lives beyond their jobs. They are your first set of allies.
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Building this empathy requires trust and transparency, and that starts
with being honest about the challenges, risks, and opportunities for the
people supporting your business in times of crisis. When you do this, it’s
likely to create an enabling and rewarding environment for everyone.
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Sarah Kovoor-Misra, professor at CU Denver
Business School: The pandemic has taught us
that an individualistic, self-interested
approach is not effective in a crisis. For
instance, essential workers and their
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organizations have had to collaborate and
support each other through the crisis to save
lives and meet needs, demonstrating that
collective and altruistic efforts matter. Leaders need to develop cultures
that support collaboration and positive behaviors in the workplace and
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emergencies and think carefully about both their local and global
implications. Leaders must become perceptive and game out many
potential scenarios for unexpected shocks. They must stay active in the
global forums that will set the rules and standards to govern business in
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the future. Finally, corporations need to move away from virtue-
signaling and create strategies to address possible triggers for crises.
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after a crisis. For example, since last year, there has been a shortage of
semiconductor chips in the automobile industry due to restricted
supply chains. The industry experienced the same kind of shortage
following the Fukushima disaster. In the aftermath of that crisis,
companies developed alternative and reliable supply chain partners.
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But in the absence of predictable threats, they later forgot the lessons
they learned — leaving them unprepared in 2020.
This example highlights one of the key lessons for leaders: To improve
business adaptability and resilience, prepare for crises before they
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