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B3 CIGNIFICANCE TESTING
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0820" Poalyfical Chemisty
‘These are statistical tests used to compare individual values or sets of
values for significant differences. .
AA measurement or result that appears to differ significantly fromvothers
in the same set of replicates is described as an outlier.
“The F-test enables the precisions of two sets of data to be compared using
their variances.
“The t-test is used to compare two experimental means, an experimental
mean with a known value or sets of pairs of experimental values.
5 FEGUER] F-tests can be applied to several sets of data to assess and compare
different sources of variability.
_Reiated topic ‘Assessment of accuracy and precision (B2)
Significance Significan.e tests involve a comparisun between @ calculated experimental
5 NTT TOME MEST ceo CC TE
fader @ caluldled experimental data and a selected probability level that .> conclusion is correct.
fpcior delerined oy They are used for sever purposes, suchas: hak. ae purpose of siqntiun®
the umber of © to check individual values in a set of data for the presence of determinate “9”,
vor, vous © Ye errors (bias);
ek of © tocompare the precision of two or more sets of data using their variances;
© “to compare the means of two or more sets of data with one another or with
known values to establish levels of accuracy.
‘Tests are based on a null hypothesis ~ an assumption that there is no signifi-
vant difference between the Values being compared, The hypothesis is accepted
if the calculated experimental factor is less than the corresponding tabulated
factor, otherwise it is rejected and there is said to be a significant-difference
between the values at the selected probability level. The ‘conclusion: should
always be stated clearly and unambiguously:
Probability levels of 90%, 95% and 99% are generally considered appropriate
sponding 10%, 5% or 1% probabilities, respectively, of the opposite conelusion
‘being valid. For example, if a test indicates that the mull hypothesis is cormsct
and that there is no significant difference between two values at the 95% probe;
bility level, it also allows the possibility that there is a significant difference at
the 5% level
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oe
Two
oe tail
Tests
Tess
Outliers
Q-test
’- Significance testing
95
Separate tabular values for some significance test factors have been compiled
for what are described as one-tailed and two-tailed tests. The exact purpose of
the comparison that is to be made determines which table to use.
© The one-tailed test is used EITHER to establish whether one experimental
value is significantly greater than the other OR the other way around.
© The two-tailed test is used to establish whether there is a significant differ-
ence between the two values being compared, whether one is higher or
lower than the other not being specified.
“The two-tailed test is by farthe most widely used. Examples are given below.
Inspection of a set of replicate measurements or results may reveal that one oF
moreis considerably higher or lower than the remainder and appears tobeoutside
the range expected from the inherent effects of indeterminate (random) errors
alone. Such values are termed outliers, or suspect values, because it is possible
that they may have a bias due to a determinate error. On occasions, the source of
‘error may already be known or itis discovered on investigation, ‘and the outlier(s)
can be rejected without recourse to a statistical test. Frequently, however, this is
ot the case, and a-test of significance such as'the Q-test should be applied to a
puspedtvaluctoteterminzvriher chou berviected an
in any further. domputations and ‘statistical assessments of the data,
‘Also know as(@ixon’s w-tes}, sis one of several that have been devised 10
test suspected pulls ih a 96 of replicates. It involves the calculation of a ratio,
Qupur definédlas the'absohife “difference between a suspect value and the value
Glocest-to it divided:by the spread [Link] values intheset: ~
=| suspect palue ~ nearest value|/(largest value — smallest value)
Quay iS then. compared'witl'a tabuiaiee-value, Quy, at a selected level Or procs
bility, usualy 90% or 95%; for a set of m values (Table 1). 1f Qnya is less than Quy,
then the null [Link] there is: no. significant ifference between the
suspect value and the other valties in the s .ecepiéd, and the suspect value
is accepte
is retained for further dlata,progessing, However, if Quy is greater than Quay then
the*suspect-valu is:regarded:tas anioutlier and is rejected. A rejected value
e
should NOT be used in the rémaining calculations.
Table 1. Critical values of Q at the 95% (P = 0.05) level for a two-tailed fest
‘Sample size Critical value
0.631
0.717
0.621
0.870
0.524
Example 1
Four replicate values were obtained for the,determination of a pesticide in river
water
10.403, 0.410, 0.401, 0380 ng di? oo
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Inspection of the data suggests that 0.380 1g dm’ is a possible outlier.
Quya =| 0.380 - 0.401]/(0.410 - 0.380) = 0.021 /0.03=0.70
Quy = 0.83 for four values at the 95% probability level
oe = ~A8 Quy Teas than Qua 0380 jig dm is not an oullie? at the 95% level and
“c~~should beretained.: =~=- a sz
Example 2
If, in Example 1, three additional values of 0.400, 0.413 and 0.411 pg dm were
incl 881g dein ctilbepossiblecutlicr eee
Qeyu =| 0.380 — 0.400 /(0.413 - 0.380) = 0.020/0,083 = 0.61
‘Qus = 0.57 for seven values at the 95% probability level
Now, as Qa is greater than Quy, 0.380 pg dm” is an outlier at the 95% level and
should be rejected. Note that because the three additional values are all around
0.4 ug dm”, the suspect value of 0.380 jig dm” appears even more anomalous.
F-test This test is used to compare the precisions of two sets of data which may origi-
nate from two analysts in theGamélaboratory, two different methods of analysis
. for the same anaiyte or results from two aulterent laboratories. A statistic, F, is
- can the ratio of the population variances(o,7/g,2,)or the sample variances,
5i2s,}, of the two sets of data where the larger VAF'=" Aad significantly different.
eR
Table 2. Critical values of F at the 95% (P = 0.05) level for a two-talled test
% 5 7 8
Ye
5 7.148 6.853 66st
7 5.205 4.995 4823
9 4404 4.197 4026
= numberof degrees of freedom of the numerator. v,= number of dagrees of freedom of he
senaminator
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‘The application of' a two-tailed Fest is demonstrated by the following
example.
Example 3.
‘A proposed new method for the determination ofits) an industrial waste
ar eacheis compared with an existing method, giving the following results:
Method Mean/g dm? No. of No. of degrees s/mg dev
replicates ._ of frpedom
oe Existing 72 . 8 7 3.98
New 7 8 7 1.50
Is there a significant difference between the precisions of the two methods?
i
Sia] 2 3%
Font te, asor 7 °°
7 degrees of freedom for both the
‘The two-tailed tabular value for F wit
numerator and the denominator is
Fy, =5.00 at th€ 95% probability level
greater than Fys, the sll hypothesis is relected; the two methods are
Z significantly different precisions. =,
test ‘This test is used to compare the experimental mepns of two sets of data or to
compare the experimental mean of one set of dais: \witlf . knowin or reference
. compar gealtslic fis defined, deperding on the sizcumstansss by one of three
alternative equations
Comparison of two experimental means, X4 and
Goad, (NMA ; =
: eT sow NEM) -
wher¢ my, sumated standard ‘dcviaiion (Topic B2) for sets A and
B,andN hors values insets A. and B respectively- IfN=M,
to (N/2)", A simplified ‘version of equation (4),
senrtive second term reduces
Topic B2, can be used to calculate Sa 2S thereare onl
smuelfov-vasor-na] [veara]} a @
the use of equation (1) may not be appropriate for the
Jes of when this may be the case
iy two sets of data.
In some circumstances,
comparison of two-experimental means. Exampl
are if
‘e the amount of sample is 50 restricted as to allow only one determination by
each of the two methods:
‘ « hemethods are to be compared for a series of samples containing different
renels of analyte rather than replicating the-analysis at one level only:
samples are tobe analyzed over a long period of time when the same expe
mental conditions cannot be guaranteed,
it may therefore be essential or convenient to pair the results (one from each
method) and use a paired t-test where is defined by
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ae
. fe oiixn @
% being the mean diterence between palred values and oy The estine
standard deviation of the differences.
Sexy )
Using the appropriate. equation, an experimental value, fay is calculated and
compared with a tabulated value, ty, at a defined probability level, usually
between 90 and 99%, and for N-1 degrees of freedom (equations (3) and (4)) or
(N+M-2) degrees of freedom (equation (1)). If teprdS less than f,, then the null
. hypothesis that there is no significant difference between the two experimental
‘means or between the experimental mean and a known value is accepted, ie.
i there is no evidence of a bias. However, if tay is greater than fy,, there is a
/ significant difference indicating a bias.
Both one-tailed and two-tailed t-tests can be used, depending on circum-
REBT TST IE ET PEE TEST TRESS SP
t-test equations is demonstrated by the following examples.
Table 3. Critical values of tat the 95% and 99% (P = 0.05 and 0.01) levels for a
two-talled test
~ Sa eee
ees of freedom 95 percent level 9° percent level
3 430 ase
= pa itera cg 4.03 ss
~ 3.10
2.88
% $i
. — * Example 1 :
#42 methods for the determination of polyaromatic hydrocarbons*in soils were
z compares: by analyzing a starsia! "3 the following results:
No. of degrees of fréedor
UV spectrophotometry:
Fluorimetry:
Do the mean results for the two methods differ significantly?
A Equation (2) is first used to calculate a pooled standard deviation:
r ae
Speed = {{o ~Ds+- vw +M- al|'- (9x03? +9x0.23)/18)%
Spay = 0.267 mg kg"
_ ‘Then equation (1) is used to evaluate Jays
Haat) y ( aaa y = ((28.0 ~ 26.25)/0.267] x 5*=14.7
: For [Link] of freedom, the two-tailed value of fy at the 95% probability
SEAT TS LTO, AME ATURE DINE TEV HED BE
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