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1
• Two-Wheelers
• Overview :3
• Motorcycles : 10
• Exports : 21
• Realizations : 26
• Auto-Dealerships : 51
• Used Vehicles : 67
•Company Analysis : 78
2
2 Wheelers: Overview
3
Two wheeler industry had 3 continuous bad years in FY 20 and FY 21.
Source: SIAM
4
The share of motor- cycles sales has dropped from 77% in 2011 to 66%
in 2019. In contrast, the share of scooters has increased from 17% to
30% in the same period
Source: SIAM
5
FACTORS INFLUENCING GROWTH
• Improved road network in Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities and lack of public
transport
•Reducing mileage gap between motorcycles and scooters
•Gender-neutral positioning
•Launch of new models
•Steady expansion in players' dealership network
•Capacity expansion by leading players
• HMSI’s focus on Scooters
6
Electric Two Wheelers is expected to constitute 16% of the 2-wheeler
industry by 2025 of which 90% will be e-scooters and 10% will be e-
motorcycles.
9
HMSI has been gaining market share at the expense of Hero Motocorp
and Bajaj.
the decline.
Source: SIAM, CMIE
11
Hero lead this segment with 76% market share.
MOTORCYCLES SUB-SEGMENTS
EXECUTIVE
•HMSI has substantially increased
the share and became the market
leader through primarily due to
Honda Shine.
•Hero is the 2nd major player with 2
top-selling models – Splendour and
Passion Plus
•Bajaj has increased the share
through the launch of Pulsar series
15
HMSI is way ahead of others in the scooters segment while TVS has
been gaining market share since FY 19
17
Exports has been picking up since Q3 of FY 21
EXPORTS DESTINATION
Similarly, the other key export nation which drives Asia exports, namely
Bangladesh, witnessed growth in April-November of Fiscal 2022.
Sri Lanka, which accounted for ~8% of Indian two-wheeler exports in fiscal
2020, banned vehicle imports in early fiscal 2021 due to pressure on the
government's foreign debt repayment.
20
Motorcycles constitute more than 90% of 2-wheeler exports and Bajaj
holds dominant share.
22
Despite having lower market share, Bajaj is the highest profit
making 2-wheeler company due to it’s premium bikes and exports.
24
Raw material costs constitute 70 to 75% of the total costs.
COST BREAK-UP
25
Source: Company Reports
Steel , Aluminium, Plastics and Rubber constitute the bulk of the
Raw material for motorcycle manufacturers.
26
Source: Industry
Capacity Utilization at all time low in 2021.
MARGINS
29
Industry Overview
30
For the first time in a decade, car & UV segment suffered 2
consecutive years of decline in volumes
31
Share of small cars have reduced while that of UVs have improved
significantly.
SEGMENTAL MIX
MARKET SHARES
34
SMALL CARS
• The small cars segment comprised
Source: SIAM
35
SEGMENTAL ANALYSIS
– SEDANS
36
Market share in the sedan segment is very volatile with players
gaining and losing the market share significantly over short period of
time.
SEDAN : MARKET SHARE
Source: SIAM
37
SEDANS: COMPETITION
Maruti’s share in the large cars segment started declining after implementation of the
Goods and Services Tax (GST) due to a higher cess on hybrid vehicles compared with the
earlier tax rates.
The company’s only model in this segment – Ciaz – is available with a hybrid variant. The
market share of Ciaz declined to ~18% in the first three quarters of fiscal 2022 from ~28% in
fiscal 2018 due to stiff competition from Hyundai’s Verna, Honda's City and a range of
large cars of other manufacturers.
Sales of Honda City in fiscal 2018 helped the company partially regain the market share
lost in fiscal 2016, but City sales lost momentum, with the market share of reaching ~22%
in fiscal 2020.
Honda has regained significant market share, reaching ~44% with City gaining the numero
uno spot in the first three quarters of this fiscal.
Hyundai increased its market share to ~26% in the first three quartes of fiscal 2022 from
~18% in fiscal 2018 in the large cars segment due to superior sales of Verna over its rivals
The share of Toyota declined to ~1% in the first half of this fiscal from ~13% in fiscal 2018
due to decline in sales of Yaris.
Additionally, discontinuation of Etios sedan and Corolla from begining of 2020 has also led
to38decline in its market share.
Utility Vehicles
39
Mahindra’s share has fallen drastically in the last decade while Maruti
and Hyundai has gained considerably.
UV : MARKET SHARE
compact UVs such as Duster, Ford EcoSport, Maruti's Brezza, Hyundai's Creta,
contraction in M&M's share as most of its models are powered by diesel power
trains, while most compact UVs are available with a petrol option.
MG Hector gained ~10% market share in other UVs segment after its launch in
fiscal 2020 and reached ~16% market share in the nine months of fiscal 2021.
41
Why M& M lost it’s share?
42
Source: SIAM, Crisil Research
Electric Vehicles
43
Electric passenger vehicles to contribute ~4% of domestic sales by
FY24 led by higher adoption within commercial use segment.
ELECTRIC VEHICLES
• Battery prices are falling at the rate of 20% annually over the last 10 years and
• In India, the adoption of EVs in cabs is expected to be faster than the personal
vars.
45
KEY FACTORS
• Number of Dealers
• Dealer profitability
• New initiatives
46
Though TVS has the largest number of dealers, sales volume per
dealer is highest for Hero Motocorp.
2 WHEELERS
COMPANY-WISE NUMBER OF SALES VOLUME PER DEALER
DEALERS
47
While Maruti has the largest number of dealers, Hyundai has the
highest sales volume per dealer.
CARS
COMPANY-WISE NUMBER OF SALES VOLUME PER DEALER
DEALERS
48
While Tata Motors has the largest number of dealers Mahindra has
the highest sales volume per dealer.
COMMERCIAL VEHICLES
COMPANY-WISE NUMBER OF SALES VOLUME PER DEALER
DEALERS
49
Workshop revenues constitute a critical portion of cars and 2-
wheeler dealerships.
50
ROCE is higher for the dealer of old OEMs like Maruti and
Hyundai.
51
Profitability of dealers varies across companies.
52
RECENT STRATEGIES BY DEALERS
53
RECENT STRATEGIES
•Such dealerships are mobile showrooms that can be deployed at any location
in about six weeks.
•This is a low-cost approach that enables dealers to reach remote locations and
also makes it flexible for them to relocate.
•One such OEM that set up mobile showrooms is BMW.
•The company opened its first mobile showroom in 2012 in Karnal that was
managed by one of its dealers in Chandigarh.
54
RECENT STRATEGIES
corporate offices of companies, airports, during festival events, carry out a road
55
RECENT STRATEGIES
•Auto dealers, especially two-wheeler and small car dealers are expanding in
tier-3 and smaller towns by opening only sales touch-points in these areas.
•This helps them expand in some of these low-turnover areas by keeping the
cost of opening a dealership low.
•Instead of increasing the number of dealerships, OEMs often prefer that their
existing dealers expand into these smaller markets through standalone sales
points.
56
RECENT STRATEGIES
•Maruti Suzuki India Ltd (MSIL) is among the first automakers to launch its
own driving school.
• While MSIL has granted franchise rights to select dealers across the country, to
run such driving schools, all systems, processes and course content are
monitored by MSIL.
•Through this additional service, dealers can help draw customers and OEMs
can create a brand recall. MSIL currently operates 332 driving schools across 172
cities.
• Other players including Tata Motors, Mahindra & Mahindra; along with
luxury carmaker Mercedes Benz have set up driving schools.
58
CV dealers setting up service stations
•Unlike car and two-wheeler dealers, commercial vehicle (CV) dealers typically
have sales touch-points only and the vehicles are usually serviced by local
garages.
•However, many large CV dealers are now looking to set up service stations as
well.
•As more international CV manufacturers enter the Indian market and more
complex models being manufactured, it makes business sense for CV dealers to
set up service stations.
59
OEMs open to multi-brand service stations
•Over the past few years, OEMs as well as standalone companies have been
setting up multi-brand service station chains in India.
•Prominent names in this space are Carz, Carnation Auto, Mahindra First Choice
Services and TVS Automobile Solutions.
•Eyeing the huge market that India is, foreign multi-brand dealerships are also
looking to set up shop in the country.
•Meineke Car Care Center, Midas Auto Service and AutoZone of the United
States, and Autodistribution International of France are some global service and
auto parts chains that are looking to enter India through an alliance with an
Indian player.
60
USED VEHICLES : CARS
61
Used car market in India is twice the size of the new car market by
sales volumes
62
Used car market is expected to reach 6 million units by 2018-19
63
USED CARS : DEMAND DRIVERS
2003-4 7
20010-11 6
2016-17 4.5
64
USED CARS BUSINESS MODELS
•Park-and-sell (pure-intermediaries):
Dealers allow sellers to park their used cars at their premises for potential
buyers to inspect and to make enquiries.
Dealers receive commissions from one or both parties.
•Buy-and-sell:
Dealers buy used cars, display them in their showroom/parking area and
eventually sell them at a margin, besides facilitating title transfers from
buyer to seller.
•Buy, refurbish and sell:
•Dealers buy used cars, refurbish and sell them at a premium (often with
certification and warranties).
65 •Dealers also facilitate title transfers from buyer to seller.
DEALERS FOLLOW MIXED MODELS IN THE USED CAR MARKET
•Transactions in the used car market differ widely from make to make, and model
to model, based on a number of factors such as car condition, vintage, accident
history, mileage, insurance records, etc.
•Dealers (both OEM-backed and independent) do not always stick to one model.
• To a certain extent, the choice of the business model is decided by the quality of
the used car.
•For example, an OEM-backed dealer would refurbish and certify used cars in
good condition, but offload the vehicles of inferior quality to dealers in the
unorganised market.
•Generally , Buy-and-sell model is more profitable than Park-and-sell. Model due
to the pricing power and potential value addition of certification and warranty.
66
USED CARS : DEMAND DRIVERS
67
USED CARS : DEMAND DRIVERS
69
USED CARS : DEMAND DRIVERS
•Used cars bridge the gap between aspiration and affordability, and provide
significantly lower than new cars, and with added quality certification and
70
USED CARS : DEMAND DRIVERS
ONLINE CLASSIFIEDS
71
Company Analysis
72
COMPANY’S SHARE PRICE
• Eicher Motors
achieved with
share in 2-wheelers
in commercial
74 vehicles.
While Motorcycles contribute 50% of revenues, it contribute 97% of
Eicher’s profits.
Commercial
Vehicles
77
ROYAL ENFIELD TURNAROUND
•In the year 2000,Royal Enfield was in a very bad shape. Their monthly
production was 2000 units against a capacity of 6000 units. (Capacity Utilization of
just 33%)
• Directors of Eicher Motors decided to either sell-off or shut down the motor-
cycle division.
• Siddarth Lal convinced the board that the Bullet need to be given another chance.
• Lal, then 26, was an unabashed Bullet fan:
• He even rode a red-coloured Bullet while leading the baraat (procession) to
his wedding venue, instead of the traditional horse.
• Though the Bullet had its reputation,
1
following, an instantly recognisable build,
and aspirational value, it faced many challenges.
78
CHALLENGES
• Competition:
Liberalization of 1990s had led to the introduction of deluge of light, easy to commute, cost
Competitive bikes in the Indian market.
• Quality
There was a joke that the Royal Enfield Bullet travelled directly from Showroom to
Mechanic.
Though the bikes had diehard followers, there were also frequent complaints about them
- of engine seizures, snapping of the accelerator or clutch cables, electrical failures and oil
leakages.
79
HOW ROYAL ENFIELD TRUNED AROUND?
• Design
• Quality
• Target Segment
• Product Mix
• Dealer Network
• Branding
• Exports
80
CHALLENGES
• Design:
The company had to deal with many basic design questions –
Should the gears be shifted close to the rider's left foot - as in most bikes - or
retained on the right side? Long-term users were dead opposed to this
change.
Many prospective buyers found the Bullet too heavy, difficult to maintain,
with the gear lever inconveniently positioned and a daunting kick-start.
Engine was made of Cast iron that made it prone to oil leaks and frequent
seizures. Its ability to meet increasingly strict emission norms was also
suspect.
A modern aluminium engine would eliminate these problems, but it would
lack the old engine's pronounced vibrations and beat - which Royal Enfield
81 customers loved.
ROYAL ENFIELD: KEY DECISIONS
• The company decided to retain the bikes' rugged looks, including the build, the
design of the head lamp and the petrol tank, many of the old engine's
characteristics - the long stroke, the single cylinder, the high capacity with push rod
mechanism.
• But the company decided to make some bold changes:
• The gear lever was shifted to the left despite the opposition from long-term users
• The new aluminium engine, unlike the old, had hydraulic tappets, a new engine
arrangement, and fewer moving parts. But it did not produce the vibrations and the
beat of the old, but international experts were consulted and sound mapping carried
out for over 1,000 hours to ensure it produced the maximum rhythmic vibrations
possible and a beat, which was 70 per cent of the amplitude of the original.
• The new engine had 30 per cent fewer parts and produced 30 per cent more power
than the old, with better fuel efficiency. By 2010, all Royal Enfield models had begun
to use the new engine.
ROYAL ENFIELD: KEY DECISIONS
Source: [Link]
classic-meteor-bullet-650/
84
WHY 350 CC?
85
Bajaj Domineer or KTM could not dent the dominance of Classic 350
cc
No. of Dealers
2500
2105
2000
1500
1000 825
500 400
0
2015 2018 2021
RE DEALERSHIPS
89
Royal Enfield’s advertising spend much less on advertising compared
to the industry average
ADVERTISING SPEND
Source: MOFSL
91
FOCUS ON EXPORTS
EXPORTS
FY 18 FY 19 FY 20 FY 21 FY 22 FY 23E
Exports 19,264 20,825 39,188 38,622 78,693 1,00,694
in Units
YOY 25.2 8.1 88.2 (1.4) 103.8% 28%
Growth
in %
93
FROM BIKES TO TRUCKS
•Lal turned his attention to trucks in 2006 after turning around Royal Enfield.
•Eicher and Volvo hold 54.4% and 45.6% respectively in the joint venture VE
Commercial Vehicles (VECV). This alliance too has led to shareholder value
creation.
•Though VECV is the number 4 player in terms of market share, it has managed to
margins.
94