Global Private Equity Fund Performance
Global Private Equity Fund Performance
Abstract
We construct a novel and comprehensive dataset to formally explore the returns of private
equity funds in non-North American focused markets. We investigate a range of stylized
facts on private equity performance and persistence, and compare the findings to the
extensive evidence on North American funds. We find that European private equity funds
have performed at least similarly to their North American peers throughout the sample
period. European funds’ performance declines over time even though funds continued to
deliver above par with a range of public market indices. Funds focused on Asia Pacific,
or Latin America, Middle East and North Africa, and other parts of the world have
outperformed in only a few of the sample vintages, both relative to the broad US public
market and other regional equity markets. Inconsistent with the “money chasing deals”
hypothesis, fund performance does not seem to be driven by the capital infusions into the
industry, but by a rather maturing market for profitable deals. Non-North American funds
show evidence of return persistence in Europe only, as does a sample of US-backed funds
that are diversified globally. Persistence is random outside the European and Global
groups, and declines over time, with some variation across regions and investment styles.
*
This version updates and greatly extends a previous version by the same authors written in 2018. We
acknowledge the generous support of the Venture Capital and Private Equity Research Initiative, under the
aegis of the Europlace Institute of Finance and the Louis Bachelier Foundtaion, France. This research has
also received the financial support of NEOMA’s Seed Money Research Grant. We thank Cyril Demaria,
Tobias Dieler (Discussant), José-Miguel Gaspar, William Megginson, Tamara Nefedova, Ludovic
Phalippou, Per Strömberg, as well as participants at the 2018 European FMA Doctoral Student Consortium,
(Kristiansand, Norway), the 11th Hedge Fund and Private Equity conference, and the 2nd Private Markets
Research Conference (Lausanne, Switzerland) for their valuable comments and suggestions.
a
NEOMA Business School, Paris – France. [email protected]
b
Université Paris Dauphine – PSL Research University, Paris – France. [email protected]
c
EDHEC Business School, Nice – France. [email protected]
1
1 Introduction
The private equity industry has considerably grown to over six trillion dollars of assets
under management as of 2021, multiplying its value three folds compared to ten years
prior. This is now the largest segment in private markets, surpassing the size of other
alternative asset classes, and increasingly developing in markets other than North
America, with a share of half the value of assets under management worldwide1.
very little is known about the characteristics and distribution of private equity returns in
other geographies, mainly due to data availability and limitations. In this paper, we exploit
and combine newly available LP-sourced data on fund characteristics and cashflows in
non-North-American focused geographies, and offer a first look into how they compare
Our paper contributes to the nascent literature on the performance and economics of
private equity internationally. As of the late 90s, perspectives of higher returns and
internationally (Gompers and Lerner, 2000; Strömberg, 2008; Leeds and Satyamurthy,
given the investment geographies for a wide range of asset classes. Teo (2009) shows that
hedge funds with an international physical presence have a local information advantage
and perform better than distant hedge funds. Coval and Moskowitz (2001) show that
mutual fund managers earn higher returns from nearby investments compared to distant
investments. Malloy (2005) shows that US equity analysts are better at earnings forecasts
1
McKinsey Global Private Markets Review, 2022.
2
for nearby firms than for distant firms. Similarly, Bae et al. (2008) show that local analysts
issue better earnings forecasts than geographically distant analysts, with data on 32
countries. Specifically for private equity, previous studies show that geographical and
(Bengtsson et al., 2009), performance outcomes (Chen et al., 2010), and, internationally,
exit success (Johan and Zhang, 2016), and industry performance (Bernstein et al., 2017).
Early evidence also shows that deal-level or IRR returns are dependent on investment
geography (Teo, 2012; Lerner and Baker, 2017; Mingo et al., 2018), on the institutional
and regulatory settings (Cumming and Walz, 2010; Cumming and Johan, 2013), and,
specifically for emerging markets, on the order of entry of new market participants
(Sannajust and Groh, 2020). Earlier studies also tried to circumvent the data availability
(Hanby et al. 2022). Many of the efforts aiming to understand private equity performance
in other markets have long been hindered by the availability of fund-level cashflows, or
study one geographical group (Harris et al., 2016). We contribute to this important
question by offering early insights into the net-of-fee performance of private equity
their coverage to a wider range of private markets, including private equity. The data
spans a large set of funds and geographies, and counts more than 1,700 partnerships
directed towards corporate financing. We combine these newly available data with fund
cashflow data from Preqin, another specialist data provider, to form a significantly
representative sample of funds. Importantly, there is a small overlap between Preqin and
3
Eurekahedge, subsequently allowing for a larger coverage of funds worldwide. As private
equity performance research has been subject to debate around the reliability of the data
used (Stücke, (2011), Harris et al. (2014)), we perform several checks to ensure the
quality of our combined dataset. We start by looking at whether stylized facts on fund
performance in North America are verified in our sample. This would relatively certify
the quality of the data before extending the sample to other geographies. For these
analyses, we replicate in our sample the main findings of Harris et al. (2014), who
performance. Then, for the performance persistence results, we test whether our sample
of funds provides results in line with a follow-on paper (Harris et al., 2022). Our
subsample of North American-focused funds covers their universe of funds by about 70%
in terms of number of funds, and about 95% in terms of committed capital, between 1990
and 2015. Overall, we qualitatively and statistically confirm the alignment of the results
in our sample with the evidence in the literature on North American funds, and proceed
to extending the analyses to other world locations. For the reader’s reference, we report
and discuss the replication results in the internet appendix, section S1.
Our sample of non-North American funds comprises 614 partnerships, representing more
than 70 institutional investors and more than a trillion dollars in committed capital
between 1990 and 2017. Out of the 614 funds, 162 funds are invested in the Asia Pacific
region, with 21% of the total commitments for the sample period. Europe has the largest
share of commitment interests, with 73% of the total committed capital and 376 funds.
Other world locations count for only 6% of the commitment interests for the sample
period, these funds are mainly invested in Latin America, the Middle East and North
4
partnerships in our sample are sponsored by a local private equity firm, in addition to
having a local or regional investment focus. In our sample, North American-based firms
count for a small fraction of funds invested overseas2. To get a meaningful geographical
representation of funds, we group the funds by investment focus into regions, following
MSCI’s market classification3. We find that the dominant strategy in terms of committed
capital is, by far, buyout funds, with more than 90% of capital inflows. In non-tabulated
results, we also find the compensation structure largely similar to that in North America,
with fund managers charging 2% in management fee and 20% in carry on average across
funds and through the sample period. Interestingly, we do not find different compensation
structures between local or regional managers compared to US-based ones, neither do the
fees vary by investment style or investment geography. Other characteristics follow the
traditional organization of private equity funds, although we partially confirm that non-
North American focused funds have shorter lifespans than typically known for funds in
North America (Fang, 2019). Prior to 2008, fund performances based on money
multiples, show at least similar levels to those in North America for European funds, but
relatively decline on average after the financial crisis even though they continue to deliver
above par. These patterns also hold using the PME measure, both against the broad US
stock market and a wide array of size-, and geographically-adjusted benchmarks. Until
2008, fund PMEs for European funds are higher on average than what is documented for
North American funds, and although they relatively decline in the aftermath of the
financial crisis, the European PME levels still remain higher compared to their North
2
We formally test in Table 4 how a group of global funds in our sample compare to pure-North American
funds’ performance. These global funds are backed by a US-based sponsor, and have a geographically
diversified investment strategy, including North America. They are not included in our baseline sample of
internationally invested funds.
3
https://www.msci.com/our-solutions/indexes/market-classification
5
American peers across the same vintages. However, funds in the Asia Pacific, Latin
America/MENA regions performed generally below par with the public equities across
the sample period, with the PME levels being above one only 5 times out of 20 vintages
in each region. By investment style, fund underperformance does not recover from the
dot-com squeeze for venture capital funds until 2006, while it seems to maintain strong
resilience levels through the financial crisis for buyout funds. We find using robust
regression analyses that these patterns are mainly driven by a potentially maturing local
market, where investment opportunities grow relatively scarce, pressuring time to exit
investments and fund durations. This is verified in the Asia Pacific and European regions,
while aggregate capital infusions into the industry seem to greatly explain the overall
disappointing fund performances in other parts of the world. We also find strong evidence
of performance persistence at both ends of the return distribution, where top performing
underperform. Interestingly, average funds are more likely to repeat among the best
performers than they are to repeat among the worst performers, especially if they are less
geographically restricted and target more mature companies. Persistence is stronger prior
to the financial crisis in the overall sample, and significantly decreases for the post-2007
vintages. However, top performing funds still deliver above par with the public market
and above median, however small the margins compared to pre-2008. We test and
controlling for GP skill, time and style effects across geographies. The rest of the paper
is organized as follows: Section 2 details the data and methodology used, and presents
the sample statistics. Section 3 discusses the fund performance relative to public equities.
6
Section 4 explores the relationship between fund performance and fund characteristics,
The data are first sourced from Eurekahedge, a historical hedge fund data provider which,
through 2019, extended their coverage to other asset classes, including private equity.
According to Eurekahedge, the data are sourced directly from their LP clients, and are
thoroughly extended and completed with information collected using FOIA requests or
their equivalent in other geographies. We use the fund level cash flow data as of March
2020. All the return and performance results we report are net of fees. To form a
geographically representative set of funds, we merge the Eurekahedge data with Preqin,
another specialist private equity data provider. The Preqin data are mainly sourced from
large investors using FOIA requests, and also voluntarily from GPs. We start by name-
matching the funds with available cashflow data in both datasets using Jaccard similarity
scores, then verify the correct correspondence of the overlapping funds by manually
checking the available legal information and characteristics of matched funds, such as the
backing firm, the fund investment style and location, fund commitments and available
reported returns. We limit the sample to the 2018 vintages to focus on mostly realized
funds, and express all values in 2018 dollars. We carefully harmonize the variable
conventions in both datasets and make sure that funds and firms are uniquely identified.
The final merged dataset comprises 2,692 unique funds with available cashflow
information all geographies combined, including one set of common funds to both
7
datasets (880 funds). In the particular use of Eurekahedge and Preqin, the overlap of funds
A considerable issue in private equity performance research is the data coverage and
quality (Harris et al. (2010), Harris et al. 2014)). Harris et al. (2014) review and compare
the existing sources for private equity performance, namely the LP-sourced data from
Burgiss, to other FOIA-, service-based and GP-sourced data providers: Preqin, Pitchbook,
Cambridge Associates and Venture Economics. They conclude that the latter suffers
considerable quality issues, while the other datasets yield relatively similar results to
Burgiss. They also conclude that the datasets providing similar conclusions on fund
performance are unlikely to bear quality issues. Another challenge is the differences in
the data access conventions, whereby one would contend with either better quality but
completely anonymized data (as in Burgiss), or identified investors and funds but limited
(geographical) coverage (as with using one individual vendor dataset). One common
characteristic to all the available databases with regards to our research question is their
limited coverage of non-North American focused funds when taken individually. We find
the coverage relatively higher using a combined dataset4. To overcome some of the data
quality concerns around using a new dataset, we follow the methodology of Harris et al.
(2014) in comparing the results yielded by our sample, to the evidence in the literature
using the other databases. For this test, we replicate the main analyses in Harris et al.
(2014) using the covered North American focused funds in our sample. Our merged
sample spans more than 2,600 partnerships with available cash flow data, involving at
least 300 limited partners, representing 2.18 trillion dollars in committed capital, and
4
For comparison, we have a relatively higher coverage of European funds to Harris et al. (2016), who
provide a first glimpse into European fund performance using a sample of 300 funds from Burgiss.
8
investing in 34 countries. We only consider equity strategies and focus on corporate
private equity. Credit funds, timber, infrastructure, fund of funds, secondaries, co-
investments and real estate strategies are excluded from the analysis. With these filters,
our sample totals 2,179 funds, 1,565 of which are North American-focused, including 863
buyout funds and 702 venture capital funds. We use this subsample to replicate the results
in Harris et al. (2014), as well as some of the updated findings in Harris et al. (2022)5. We
tabulate and discuss the findings in the Internet Appendix, Tables 1 to 3 in Section S1.
We find that the fund reported performance measures are qualitatively aligned, as are the
conclusions on the performance of North American funds relative to the public market
and their persistence over time. Additional tests for the difference in sample means and
medians of the overlapping vintages in our sample and Harris et al. (2014) are not
statistically significant. We thereby conclude that our data produce similar conclusions to
those in the literature on North-American focused funds, and do not present any particular
With these results in hand, we proceed with extending the analyses to other geographical
locations. Applying the same filters as described above, the non-North American sample
comprises 614 funds, taking into account corporate private equity only, and excluding
the funds in the sample, we group their investment focuses by region, following the
Eurekahedge and Preqin for the respective covered funds. We end the sample at the 2017
5
Harris et al. (2014) do not report the transition probabilities shown in Table 3 of the Internet Appendix
for the performance persistence calculations. We use their follow-on paper, Harris et al. (2022), as a
reference paper to benchmark our persistence findings.
6
https://www.msci.com/our-solutions/indexes/market-classification
9
vintages as funds beyond that year are still largely fundraising. Table 1 shows, in more
detail, the distribution of funds by vintage, investment region and investment strategy.
1990 and 2017. Importantly, about 83% of the funds in the sample are local or regional,
both across investment strategies and investment locations7. The dominant investment
strategy in terms of committed capital is by far buyout funds, with about 90% of capital
inflows. Across regions, buyout funds also account for 51% of the number of funds
investing in the Asia Pacific region, 77% of funds in Europe, and 54% of the funds
results that the compensation structure of the partnerships is largely similar to that in
North America, where the management fee and the carry average 2% and 20%
respectively, across all investment styles and regions. Funds hold investments for a
minimum of three to four years on average, across investment strategies and regions8.
The typical fund lifespan9 is around 8.5 to 9 years for buyout funds and venture capital
funds alike, with slight differences across the investment regions. Funds investing in the
Asia Pacific region span the shortest lifespan with an average (median) 7.5 (7.0) years,
7
US-sponsored funds investing overseas account for a small fraction of funds in our sample, we present
tests of how these funds’ performances compare to pure North American players in the following sections.
8
We have access to the information on the compensation structure and holding periods in the Eurekahedge
sample of funds only.
9
We do have the fund’s status but do not have the funds’ effective liquidation dates. We approximate the
fund lifespan by calculating the difference in years between the fund’s last distribution date and the fund’s
first capital call date.
10
followed by European funds at 8.6 (9.5) years. Geographically diversified funds10 have
an average (median) lifespan of 9.5 (9.2) years, while funds investing in Latin America
and the MENA regions seem closest to the North American conventions, with an average
(median) duration of 10.4 (10.1) years. Buyout funds are significantly larger, with an
average fund size of 2.3 billion dollars throughout the sample period, compared to earlier
stage investment strategies (i.e. venture capital and growth), with a combined average
size of 486 million dollars. Finally, Europe has been the primary investment destination
with more than 70% of fund commitments, followed by Asia-Pacific (about 21%). Latin
America, the Middle East and North Africa, as well as other sparse world locations, have
accounted for a combined 6% of the total commitments of the period. We group these
locations under the ROW group throughout the paper to have a meaningful group of
funds.
We show in Table 2 fund money multiples by vintage year. We present the average and
median Total Value to Paid In (TVPI), calculated as the sum of all investor distributions
and the fund’s residual value, to the sum of fund contributions. We further split these
We rather focus on this dollar to dollar metric rather than fund IRRs as it is less
10
These are US-backed funds which extend their investments overseas. They are not included in the
baseline sample of interest but are included in some tests to provide comparison with pure North American
funds.
11
susceptible to suffer reporting issues (Phalippou, 2008; Larocque et al., 2022), especially
We do not have fund realization rates in the combined sample, but according to fund
status information in both our datasets, funds raised prior to 2010 are mostly realized.
About half to two thirds of fund investments of the 2014 and 2015 vintages have been
realized, while the rest of the follow-on vintages are relatively immature. This is true
across all geographical regions and investment styles, although younger venture capital
funds have a higher fraction of realized funds compared to buyout funds of the same
vintages in the data. For the TVPI measure, these realization rates help get a sense of the
extent to which money multiple calculations rely on estimated residual values, rather than
on their actual liquidation values. Across mostly realized vintages (up to 2010), non-
North American buyout funds have returned 1.53 times the invested capital on average to
their investors. This figure has been relatively stable for the 90s and the 2000s but has
dropped in the year after the 2008 financial crisis. Compared to North American funds11,
the drop has occurred in the 2000s in the period before the financial crisis, after
maintaining an average money multiple of 2.0 during the 90s. As for venture capital
funds, North American focused funds scored higher in the 90s, with about 3.6 times the
capital invested compared to only 1.56 times in non-North American funds. In the
following years until 2006, non-North American venture capital funds performed poorly
at values below par for the money multiple, unlike their North American counterparts
where TVPIs have averaged the value of 1 throughout the same period. Venture Capital
funds recover significantly for the rest of the vintages, while buyout funds performance
seems to have maintained at least on par values on average until 2012. Growth funds
11
For North American funds, the comparison figures cited here are drawn from Harris et al. (2014).
12
show largely similar results to those of buyout funds, although they only outperform in
By geographical focus, fund money multiples do not particularly stand out in Asia Pacific
and other parts of the world, where funds delivered in only 8 (respectively 5) of the 18
(respectively 19) covered vintages. It is worth noting, however, that Asia Pacific focused
funds have outperformed in terms of money multiple during the financial crisis years
(2007 through 2009), but did not sustain. European funds have delivered above par money
multiples throughout the sample period, although performances grow weaker over the
decades (1.83 on average in the 1990s, 1.58 in the 2000s, and 1.23 until 2012, focusing
on mostly invested funds). The decline in money multiples starts in the few years prior to
the 2008 credit crunch but shows relative resilience in the follow-on vintages.
Overall, private equity returns measured by the fund’s money multiples seem to be better
for buyouts and in the European region, even though they seem to decline over time. We
present more analyses of the fund performances relative to the public market in the
following section.
equities. To this end, we discount fund distributions in addition to the fund net asset values
at the total public equity market return (following a buy-and-hold strategy), then do the
ratio of that amount to a similarly discounted value of fund contributions at the total return
13
of the public market. The PME is interpreted as the surplus (compared to one), investors
get over the fund duration compared to a similarly held investment in the considered
public market index12. For the purposes of these calculations, we present the PME using
the regional and international MSCI indices to measure fund performance relative to a
similarly timed exposure to the relevant regional or international public market index. We
also present the PME measure using a number of US public market indices, first because
they are widely considered by investors as major reference benchmarks for public equity
investing, and second to see how the funds in our sample partially compare to North
American equities. An additional reason is to test for the sensitivity of the PME to the
used benchmark by using these alternatively adjusted or “tailored” PMEs (Robinson and
Sensoy, 2016, 2013), to relatively account for differences in risk. We report the results
by vintage year and investment strategy in Table 3 (Panel A), as well as by vintage year
We start by looking at the performance of non-North American funds against the broad
public market using the international and regional MSCI indices as benchmarks. We start
geographically relevant public equities, before testing the performance of the funds in our
12
See Sorensen and Jagannathan (2015) for a discussion of the PME as a performance measure.
14
The first three columns of Table 3 show fund performances relative to the MSCI indices
by vintage and by investment style. Buyout funds consistently outperforms the relative
annualized excess return of 2.4%. For earlier investment stages, non-North American
focused funds have outperformed the MSCI index across the sample vintages in only half
the time (in 8 out of the 17 covered vintages for growth funds, and 12 out of the 25 covered
vintages for venture capital funds). These funds still yielded an average 1.3% annualized
return on top and above the MSCI indices over the sample period. We relatively find this
same contrast between buyouts and venture capital funds in studies of North American
funds, where the latter have outperformed considerably and only up to the late 90s.
venture capital funds in our sample seem to consistently recover from the dot-com bust
as of the 2006 vintages. For both styles, the latter vintages do not allow drawing any firm
conclusions as many funds from this period are still investing. These patterns are
heterogenous across regions, where only European funds and a few fund vintages
elsewhere have delivered higher returns than public equities over the years. Relative to
the their respective regional MSCI benchmarks, European funds have performed on
average above par with the public market almost all the time, whereas funds invested in
the Asia Pacific did so only in few vintages of the 2000s, whereas in other parts of the
world, returns have been generally disappointing relative to the broad world index. We
reach similar conclusions looking at the PME performance results compared to the US
The results on fund performance in the above analyses may suggest differences in risk or
other factors across the funds in the sample. We analyze the relationship between fund
performance and other factors in the following section, but show in the latter columns in
15
Table 3 further results using the Russell indices, as it is customary for investors to use
them to proxy for size and value effects. We consistently reach the same above
conclusions, and partially conclude that the performance results are unlikely to be driven
Overall, focusing on mostly realized funds, i.e. up to the 2012 vintages, the general
takeaway is that non-North American buyouts have overperformed the public market
across all vintages. This is also true for European funds relative to other world regions.
Venture capital funds have only outperformed in the 90s and through the financial crisis.
Evidence on North American buyouts shows that private equity performance has declined
over the years but remained relatively at par with the US equities markets, though at lower
levels than do European funds. the literature also shows that North American venture
capital did not overperform overall relative to the S&P500 after the dot-com period, but
has provided better margins than non-North American funds. This suggests that while the
globalization of private equity investments held some promise in the early 2000s,
performances failed both compared to public equities and to North American funds in the
years following the financial crises in all regions other than Europe. In the next section,
we examine formally whether the changes in performance over the years are explained
by fund characteristics and capital inflows across investment styles and regions, and how
these performance compare to those in North America. For these following analyses, and
to allow for an intuitive readability of the results, we present our tests using the PME
measure relative to the broad US equities market (i.e. S&P500). Our conclusions below
are unchanged using other measures and public market benchmarks. Table S2-1 in
Section S2 of the internet appendix replicates these results with respect to using the
16
regional and international MSCI indices, the Russell size and value indices, as well as the
It has been shown in the literature that considerable capital flows into private equity funds
result in poorer subsequent performances, as demand drives up valuations and leaves little
room for fund managers to create value (Gompers and Lerner (2000), and Harris et al.
(2014), Robinson and Sensoy (2016)). We test this hypothesis by including fund capital
also test potential effects of other fund characteristics, including fund sequence, fund age
(approximated by the difference in years between the fund’s last distribution date and its
first capital call date), potential effects of geographical proximity (Teo, 2012), while
neutralizing the effects of time, GP skill, and investment styles across the explored
geographies. For the latter, we include vintage and firm dummies, as well as, where
applicable, investment style dummies. We regress the fund PMEs relative to the S&P500,
on the natural logarithm of fund size, the fund’s sequence number, the approximated
fund’s age, and a dummy variable for whether the is backed by a regional or local sponsor.
We include a test for how non-North American focused funds compare to North
American-focused ones across investment styles, and another test for how the latter
the standard errors by vintage and firm throughout the analyses, and report the results in
Table 4.
17
[Table 4 around here]
For the total sample, Column 1 in Panel A of table 4 shows that, controlling for GP skill,
style and time effects, non-North American focused funds do not significantly yield
higher returns compared to pure North American funds for the overall sample, nor,
surprisingly, do local GPs significantly have higher advantage. Interestingly, larger fund
sizes do not drive performances both for the overall sample and across investment styles
and regions, inconsistent with the conventional wisdom in North America. We do find,
however, that funds with shorter life spans are significantly and negatively associated
funds. The respective coefficient estimates show a relative decrease in the PMEs of
shorter duration funds by 0.047 in the overall sample, significant at the 1% level, and a
level. This is verified across all investment styles, except for growth funds where
although the point estimate is not significant. Across regions in Panel B, these patterns
are particularly true for European funds, where increased fund durations and sequences
are significantly and negatively associated with an increase in fund PMEs. Consistent
with the observed PME patterns in Table 3, these results particularly suggest that there is
little room for potential returns to scale, as subsequent funds have on average lower
potential to repeat higher than historical PME levels. This could also highlight a potential
maturing of the industry, whereby the set of available investment opportunities grows
narrower over time, making, if competition also increases, profitable deal sourcing
harder, and time needed to create value longer. The negative and significant point estimate
18
on fund age seems to consistently support this hypothesis, as does the absence of local
GP advantage compared to foreign GPs. For Asia Pacific-focused funds, the coefficient
random GP skill in this subsample. In other world locations (last column in Table 4 Panel
B), we do find results in line with the evidence in the literature on North American funds,
whereby increased fund flows are negatively associated with performance ex-post. For
this geographical group, the results suggest that more capital flows are associated with
coefficient estimate on the size variable. However, subsequent funds are positively and
significantly associated with higher PMEs, suggesting either significant GP skill in these
comparing North American and global funds (i.e. funds investing in both the US and
diversification outside the US home market, especially with a local presence overseas,
although the previously highlighted negative effects of fund durations and ability to repeat
Overall, the results on fund performance using the multivariate analyses above show
skill as an explanation for the subsequent funds failing to achieve higher PMEs. In the
next section, we formally test for fund performance persistence to draw more light on
these patterns.
19
5 Performance persistence
In this section, we analyze fund performance persistence over time across the investment
styles and regional groups in the sample. To this end and following the literature, we
estimate conditional transition probabilities to measure the ability of funds to repeat given
previous performances. Given that the sample size is relatively small, we follow the early
performance transition matrices13. To this end, we limit the sample to funds that have at
least one follow-on fund. Then, we sort the funds according to their performance into
terciles. As in our previous analyses, we use the PME measure against the S&P500 as a
partnership’s follow-on fund falls into the same tercile as the previous fund. We calculate
separate transition matrices for separate investment styles and geographical focus groups,
We find evidence of performance persistence in the overall sample. Funds in the top
tercile have a 49% chance of repeating among the top performing funds. Persistence is
somewhat stronger for worse performing funds, where there are higher chances for funds
to remain in the bottom tercile than for good performing funds to remain in the top tercile.
13
Early papers that studied private equity performance were similarly faced with smaller samples. In the
earliest literature on persistence, particularly the seminal paper studying North American funds of Kaplan
and Schoar (2005), the authors use a sample of 398 funds. As access to more data on North American funds
grew over the years, sample sizes increased allowing for more refined quantiles to be analyzed.
14
The results are qualitatively unchanged using other performance measures (TVPI) and other benchmarks
for the PME calculations.
20
Over time, persistence has significantly declined after the 2008 financial crisis for the
total sample, where the GPs’ ability to repeat among the top performing has almost
halved, and that of the worse performing funds to repeat among the worse has doubled.
To get a sense of the persistence results by investment style, we divide the sample into
later stage funds (i.e. buyout funds), and early stage funds (venture capital and growth
funds15). Persistence is stronger for early stage funds than it is for later stage funds for the
total sample. For later stage funds, this is true at both ends of the distribution, where top
performers persistently stay top performers and bad performers consistently remain bad
performers. An interesting result is that the middle tercile funds, have higher chances of
moving to the top tercile than to remain in the same tercile or move to the bottom tercile
persistence over time by investment strategy. The transition probabilities are random prior
to the 2007 vintages for early stage investments, while there is evidence of strong
persistence for buyout funds. For funds raised after the financial crisis, persistence has
significantly declined for buyouts, with top performing funds repeating only 26% of the
time, while it spiked for venture capital funds at 73% chance of repeating among the top
for the best funds. In comparison with the literature on North American funds, we find
these results qualitatively similar. In North America, buyout fund performance has
declined over time, while there is evidence of marked persistence in venture capital funds
persistence in the Asia Pacific region nor in other parts of the world both individually and
15
We group the sample of venture capital and growth funds to have a relatively meaningful number of
funds for these analyses, as the number of growth funds is small in the sample. We get similar results by
restricting this test to pure strategies although the sample sizes are relatively small.
21
collectively. A chi-square test for the equality of terciles is insignificant. We conclude
with regards to the results in Table 3 that fund performances are rather explained by local
market conditions. European funds show relative top quartile persistence, with top
performing funds repeating 54% of the time and having an at most chance of falling into
one of the below terciles of 31%. Bad performing funds in Europe remain in the lower
tercile 62% of the time. Although persistence dropped after the financial crisis, average
tercile PME measures show that European funds still delivered on top and above par with
the public market even for the middle tercile, highlighting significant GP skill for
European funds even if investors are with the average GP. The same id true for global
funds, where we find significant persistence at both ends of the distribution. Top
performing funds and worse performing funds consistently remain so. Funds in the
middle tercile have higher chances of moving to the lower tercile than making it to the
top terciles. There is a marked difference between performance terciles both for European
funds and globally investing funds, where the chi-square test for the equality of terciles
is significant at the 1% level for both geographical groups. We do find marked drops in
performance persistence for global funds after the financial crisis, even though average
tercile PMEs are at stronger levels than observed for European funds.
Overall, performance seems to pertain markedly to individual GP skill for European and
global funds, while market conditions seem to rather drive the success of funds in Asia
22
6 Conclusion
Academic studies of private equity performance outside the North American scope have
so far been hindered by the lack of data. We exploit newly available data from
Eurekahedge and merge it with Preqin cashflow data to draw a first picture of the
614 partnerships totaling over a trillion dollars in committed capital across 34 countries.
We present some of the characteristics of these funds in terms of contractual designs and
absolute returns, and assess their performances relative to a variety of public market
equities. We also investigate the relationship between fund performance and fund
characteristics, and study performance persistence over time, across investment styles,
and geographical focuses. We find evidence of superior returns and strong persistence in
Europe, although performance declines over time. Funds focused on Asia Pacific and
other parts of the world do not particularly exhibit strong returns or persistence and have
disappointed overall. Non-North American funds persistently repeat at both ends of the
distribution, where both top performers and bad performers consistently fall within
similar tercile returns over time. Persistence has considerably declined after 2008,
both public equities and the typical fund in the sample across all geographical groups.
23
7 References
Bae, K. H., Tan, H., & Welker, M. (2008). International GAAP differences: The impact
on foreign analysts. The Accounting Review, 83(3), 593-628.
Bernstein, S., Lerner, J., Sorensen, M., & Strömberg, P. (2017). Private equity and
industry performance. Management Science, 63(4), 1198-1213.
Chen, H., Gompers, P.A., Kovner, A., and Lerner, J., (2010), "Buy Local? The Geography
of Successful Venture Capital Expansion." Journal of Urban Economics 67, no. 1,
90–110.
Coval, J. D., & Moskowitz, T. J. (2001). The geography of investment: Informed trading
and asset prices. Journal of political Economy, 109(4), 811-841.
Cumming, D. J., & Johan, S. A. (2013). Venture capital and private equity contracting:
An international perspective. Academic Press.
Cumming, D., & Walz, U. (2010). Private equity returns and disclosure around the world.
Journal of International Business Studies, 41(4), 727-754.
Fang, D. (2019). Dry powder and short fuses: Private equity funds in emerging markets.
Journal of Corporate Finance, 59, 48-71.
Gompers, P., and Lerner, J., (2000), “Money chasing deals? The impact of fund inflows
on private equity valuations”, Journal of Financial Economics,Volume 55, Issue 2,
Pages 281-325, ISSN 0304-405X
Hanby, M., Kanuri, S., Fulmore, A., & Mcleod, R. (2022). Private Equity (PE)
Performance Around the World. The Journal of Applied Business and Economics,
24(3), 159-168.
Harris, R., Jenkinson, T., Kaplan, S. N. and Stucke, R., (2022), “Has Persistence Persisted
in Private Equity? Evidence from Buyout and Venture Capital Funds” Fama-Miller
Working Paper
Harris, R., T. Jenkinson, and R. Stucke, (2010), “A White Paper on Private Equity Data
and Research”. UAI Foundation Working Paper, University of Virginia
Harris, R.., Tim Jenkinson, and Steven N. Kaplan, (2014), “Private Equity Performance:
What Do We Know?” Journal of Finance, October, 1851-1882.
Harris, Robert S., Tim Jenkinson, and Steven N. Kaplan, (2016), “How Do Private Equity
Investments Perform Compared to Public Equity?” Journal of Investment
Management 14, 1-24.
24
Johan, S., & Zhang, M. (2016). Private equity exits in emerging markets. Emerging
markets review, 29, 133-153.
Kaplan, S. N., and A. Schoar, (2005). Private Equity Returns: Persistence and Capital
flows. Journal of Finance 60, 1791-1823.
Larocque, S., Shive, S., & Stevens, J. S. (2022). Private Equity Performance and the
Effects of Cash-Flow Timing. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 48(9), 86-102.
Leeds, R. S., & Satyamurthy, N. (2015). Private equity investing in emerging markets:
Opportunities for value creation. Palgrave Macmillan.
Lerner, J., & Baker, M. (2017). An Empirical Analysis of Investment Return Dispersion
in Emerging Market Private Equity. The Journal of Private Equity, 20(4), 15-24.
Malloy, C. J. (2005). The geography of equity analysis. The Journal of Finance, 60(2),
719-755.
Mingo, S., Morales, F., & Dau, L. A. (2018). The interplay of national distances and
regional networks: Private equity investments in emerging markets. Journal of
International Business Studies, 49(3), 371-386.
Phalippou, L. (2008). The hazards of using IRR to measure performance: The case of
private equity. Available at SSRN 1111796.
Robinson, David and Berk Sensoy, (2013). Do Private Equity Fund Managers Earn their
Fees? Compensation, Ownership, and Cash Flow Performance. Review of Financial
Studies 26, 2760-2797.
Sannajust A., Groh A., (2020), There’s no need to be a pioneer in emerging private equity
markets, Journal of Corporate Finance, 65.
Sorensen, M. and Jagannathan, R., (2015). The Public Market Equivalent and Private
Equity Performance. Financial Analysts Journal 71, 43-50
Strömberg, P. (2008). The new demography of private equity. The global impact of
private equity report, 1, 3-26.
Teo, M. (2012). The geography of private equity. Asia Private Equity Institute (APEI),
Private Equity Insights Q3
Teo, M. (2009). The geography of hedge funds. The Review of Financial Studies, 22(9),
3531-3561.
25
Table 1: Number of funds
This table shows the distribution of private equity funds throughout the sample vintages by investment style (Panel
A) and geographical focus (Panel B). We consider corporate strategies only, namely buyouts, growth equity and
venture capital. Values are expressed in 2018 US dollars. Regional or local funds are funds backed with a firm in-
situ or in a neighboring country.
26
Table 1: Number of funds – Continued
Panel A – By vintage year and investment strategy – Continued
27
Table 1: Number of funds – Continued
Panel B – By vintage year and geographical focus
Number of Number of
Number of Total Committed
Geographical focus Vintage year regional or local buyout
funds Capital (USDm)
funds funds
1991 1 20 1 0
1995 2 759 1 2
1998 1 276 1 1
2000 2 2,198 2 1
2001 4 3,561 3 3
2004 3 1,870 3 3
2005 7 9,170 5 3
2006 8 12,831 8 6
2007 12 16,608 11 6
Asia Pacific 2008 22 28,931 18 8
2009 5 4,705 4 2
2010 8 8,421 7 4
2011 15 14,350 14 7
2012 9 12,581 4 5
2013 13 23,044 12 9
2014 19 20,648 18 7
2015 17 26,651 15 7
2016 12 27,987 9 8
2017 2 7,145 1 1
Asia Pacific Total/Average 162 221,755 137 83
1990 5 5,066 5 1
1992 1 341 1 1
1993 3 1,147 2 2
1994 2 3,320 2 2
1995 3 8,212 3 2
1996 5 13,074 3 5
1997 5 5,138 4 4
1998 12 35,224 8 12
1999 6 59,692 6 6
2000 9 26,588 5 6
2001 14 36,770 8 8
2002 6 15,757 6 5
2003 5 26,007 5 5
Europe 2004 5 9,334 4 5
2005 20 58,688 18 17
2006 17 79,551 16 15
2007 27 66,109 25 21
2008 28 139,918 26 24
2009 15 32,211 13 12
2010 11 4,008 9 7
2011 21 19,139 20 15
2012 20 31,488 20 15
2013 25 21,540 22 17
2014 25 29,194 24 19
2015 32 8,684 31 23
2016 33 30,074 20 26
2017 21 12,578 18 16
Europe Total/Average 376 778,851 324 291
28
Table 1: Number of funds – Continued
Panel B – By vintage year and geographical focus – continued
Number of Number of
Number of Total Committed
Geographical focus Vintage year regional or local buyout
funds Capital (USDm)
funds funds
1992 1 88 1 0
1995 1 419 1 0
1996 4 3,287 3 2
1997 3 992 2 2
1998 3 4,330 2 2
2000 3 2,599 2 0
2003 2 1,014 1 1
2004 3 970 2 0
2005 2 369 2 1
2006 2 6,604 1 2
ROW
2007 8 5,432 8 5
2008 4 5,177 3 2
2010 1 1,887 1 1
2011 9 9,760 8 9
2012 4 1,395 3 2
2013 4 4,615 3 1
2014 5 4,535 3 4
2015 2 2,026 2 1
2016 11 3,226 2 6
2017 4 500 0 0
ROW Total /Average 76 59,225 50 41
Overall Total /Average 614 1,059,831 511 415
29
Table 2: Money multiples
This table shows the average and median money multiple of the funds in the sample, by investment style and
geographical focus. The money multiple for the individual funds is the TVPI (total value to paid-in), calculated as
the ratio of (i) the total distributions to investors plus the residual value of the fund, and (ii) the total fund
commitments.
Investment Strategy Vintage year Number of funds Average TVPI Median TVPI
1990 1 1.32 1.32
1992 1 1.59 1.59
1993 2 1.80 1.80
1994 2 2.05 2.05
1995 4 1.10 0.68
1996 7 1.97 1.62
1997 6 0.89 0.94
1998 15 1.60 1.30
1999 6 1.63 1.22
2000 7 1.87 1.94
2001 11 1.90 1.58
2002 5 2.12 2.00
2003 6 2.55 1.82
Buyout 2004 8 1.26 1.16
2005 21 1.24 1.28
2006 23 1.09 1.01
2007 32 1.10 1.11
2008 34 1.38 1.25
2009 14 0.99 0.89
2010 12 1.06 0.87
2011 31 1.09 1.09
2012 22 0.96 0.92
2013 27 0.77 0.60
2014 30 0.76 0.49
2015 31 0.50 0.36
2016 40 0.68 0.59
2017 17 0.17 0.11
Buyout Total/Average 415 1.31 1.17
1990 1 1.07 1.07
1993 1 2.75 2.75
1995 1 1.05 1.05
2001 1 1.06 1.06
2005 4 2.35 1.68
2006 1 1.92 1.92
2007 7 0.95 0.97
2008 13 1.59 0.75
Growth Equity 2009 2 0.97 0.97
2010 6 0.81 0.68
2011 8 0.97 1.12
2012 6 0.60 0.32
2013 8 1.20 1.36
2014 13 0.67 0.77
2015 9 0.80 0.89
2016 6 0.51 0.52
2017 5 1.17 1.17
Growth Equity Total/Average 92 1.20 1.12
30
Table 2: Money multiples – continued
Investment Strategy Vintage year Number of funds Average TVPI Median TVPI
1990 3 2.47 2.33
1991 1 1.10 1.10
1992 1 2.79 2.79
1995 1 1.21 1.21
1996 2 0.56 0.56
1997 2 2.46 2.46
1998 1 0.35 0.35
2000 7 0.94 0.88
2001 6 0.86 0.63
2002 1 0.88 0.88
2003 1 0.21 0.21
2004 3 0.72 0.14
Venture Capital 2005 4 0.69 0.73
2006 3 1.38 0.87
2007 8 1.27 1.16
2008 7 1.41 0.32
2009 4 1.53 1.38
2010 2 2.08 2.08
2011 6 0.95 0.97
2012 5 1.35 1.21
2013 7 1.33 1.17
2014 6 0.52 0.20
2015 11 0.49 0.43
2016 10 0.58 0.55
2017 5 0.45 0.45
Venture Capital Total/Average 107 1.14 1.00
Overall Total/Average 614 1.22 1.10
31
Table 2: Money multiples – continued
Number of
Geographical focus Vintage year Average TVPI Median TVPI
funds
1991 1 1.10 1.10
1995 2 0.68 0.68
1998 1 0.13 0.13
2000 2 1.09 1.09
2001 4 1.53 1.43
2004 3 0.81 0.79
2005 7 1.95 1.38
2006 8 0.80 0.57
2007 12 1.02 0.67
Asia Pacific* 2008 22 1.11 0.70
2009 5 1.40 1.65
2010 8 0.56 0.43
2011 15 0.79 0.45
2012 9 0.56 0.28
2013 13 1.06 1.20
2014 19 0.55 0.32
2015 17 0.53 0.46
2016 12 0.46 0.24
2017 2 - -
Asia Pacific Total/Average 162 0.99 0.75
1990 5 1.96 2.28
1992 1 1.59 1.59
1993 3 2.12 2.56
1994 2 2.05 2.05
1995 3 1.42 1.21
1996 5 2.38 2.21
1997 5 1.40 1.36
1998 12 1.93 1.64
1999 6 1.63 1.22
2000 9 1.52 1.78
2001 14 1.50 1.39
2002 6 1.91 1.91
2003 5 2.93 2.21
Europe 2004 5 1.53 1.52
2005 20 1.17 1.19
2006 17 1.36 1.47
2007 27 1.19 1.17
2008 28 1.78 1.52
2009 15 0.99 0.99
2010 11 1.45 1.48
2011 21 1.30 1.33
2012 20 1.16 1.21
2013 25 0.76 0.81
2014 25 0.93 0.99
2015 32 0.57 0.43
2016 33 0.66 0.57
2017 21 0.51 0.38
Europe Total/Average 376 1.47 1.42
32
Table 2: Money multiples – continued
Geographical focus Vintage year Number of funds Average TVPI Median TVPI
1992 1 2.79 2.79
1995 1 1.05 1.05
1996 4 0.76 0.94
1997 3 1.07 0.47
1998 3 0.37 0.35
2000 3 1.26 1.47
2003 2 0.45 0.45
2004 3 0.72 0.14
2005 2 0.54 0.54
2006 2 0.86 0.86
ROW*
2007 8 0.99 1.04
2008 4 0.82 0.78
2010 1 0.59 0.59
2011 9 0.92 1.04
2012 4 0.68 0.67
2013 4 1.68 1.68
2014 5 0.48 0.35
2015 2 0.31 0.31
2016 11 0.91 0.92
2017 4 - -
ROW Total /Average 76 0.91 0.87
Overall Total /Average 614 1.14 1.07
*
The funds in the 2017 vintages for these geographical groups have not made any distributions, hence the TVPI is not
calculated.
33
Table 3: Fund PMEs
This table shows the vintage year average PMEs by fund investment strategy and geographical focus. The reported PMEs are computed relative to a similar timed
investment in the international and regional MSCI indices, as well as the S&P500 and the Russell smaller indices (2000, 2000 Growth, 2000 Value).
34
Table 3: Fund PMEs – continued
35
Table 3: Fund PMEs – continued
MSCI Europe,
Investment Strategy Vintage MSCI World MSCI Europe S&P500 Russell 2000 Russell 2000 Value
Australia and Far East
1990 1.71 1.97 1.61 1.47 1.60 1.54
1991 0.65 0.74 0.62 0.56 0.56 0.57
1992 2.79 2.79 2.79 2.79 2.79 2.79
1995 1.16 1.16 1.15 1.17 1.09 1.06
1996 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56
1997 2.36 2.36 2.39 2.37 2.30 2.29
1998 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.32 0.31
2000 0.88 0.89 0.90 0.87 0.83 0.83
2001 0.73 0.74 0.75 0.75 0.69 0.71
2002 0.69 0.75 0.75 0.66 0.62 0.65
2003 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.17 0.17
2004 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.73 0.73 0.73
Venture Capital 2005 0.62 0.71 0.72 0.56 0.55 0.57
2006 1.09 1.29 1.32 0.95 0.92 0.96
2007 1.09 1.14 1.14 1.06 1.06 1.07
2008 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.41
2009 1.67 1.66 1.67 1.68 1.74 1.73
2010 2.14 2.07 2.08 2.22 2.27 2.20
2011 1.11 1.08 1.10 1.15 1.15 1.13
2012 1.49 1.44 1.44 1.54 1.54 1.51
2013 1.39 1.30 1.30 1.48 1.43 1.40
2014 0.94 0.90 0.89 0.97 0.98 0.96
2015 0.79 0.76 0.75 0.82 0.80 0.81
2016 0.84 0.83 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.87
2017 0.57 0.58 0.58 0.57 0.57 0.57
Venture Capital Total/Average 1.12 1.14 1.12 1.11 1.10 1.10
Total/Average 2010s 1.16 1.12 1.12 1.19 1.19 1.17
Total/Average 2000s 0.91 0.95 0.96 0.88 0.87 0.88
Total/Average 1990s 1.37 1.42 1.35 1.32 1.32 1.30
Overall Total/Average 1.18 1.21 1.19 1.16 1.15 1.16
36
Table 3: Fund PMEs – continued
37
Table 3: Fund PMEs – continued
38
Table 3: Fund PMEs – continued
39
Table 4: The relationship between fund performance and fund characteristics
The dependent variable is the fund PME relative to the S&P500. Non North American-focused is a dummy variable
equal to 1 if the fund’s investment focus is not North America. Regional or Local is a dummy variable which is set
to one if the private equity firm is based in the same region or country as the investment focus of the fund. Fund
regional distribution is established following the MSCI classification. Size is the natural logarithm of the fund’s total
commitments in 2018 dollars. Fund age is a variable to proxy for the fund’s duration, expressed as the difference in
years between the fund’s last distribution date and first capital call date. Fund sequence is the fund’s sequence number
within the fund family by the same GP. Standard errors are double clustered by firm and vintage year. t-statistics are
reported in brackets. ***, ** and * denote significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% level respectively.
40
Table 4: The relationship between fund performance and fund characteristics – continued
The dependent variable is the fund PME relative to the S&P500. Non North American-Focus is a dummy variable
equal to 1 if the fund’s investment focus is not North America. Regional or Local is a dummy variable which is set
to one if the private equity firm is based in the same region or country as the investment focus of the fund, or, for
global funds, has a local branch. Regional distribution is established following the MSCI classification. Size is the
natural logarithm of the fund’s total commitments in 2018 dollars. Fund age is a variable to proxy for the fund’s
age, expressed as the difference in years between the fund’s first capital call date and the last distribution date. Fund
sequence is the fund’s sequence number within the fund family by the same GP. Standard errors are double clustered
by firm and vintage year. t-statistics are reported in brackets. ***, ** and * denote significance at the 1%, 5% and 10%
level respectively.
Global 2.117***
-2.77
Vintage year, Style and Firm dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes
41
Table 5: Performance persistence
This table reports the performance transition probabilities across fund performance terciles. Performance is measured as the fund’s PME relative to the S&P500.
Separate estimations are provided by time periods, investment styles and geographical focus.
Total sample
All funds Pre-2009 Post-2008 Average Tercile PME
1st 2nd 3rd N 1st 2nd 3rd N 1st 2nd 3rd N All funds Pre-2009 Post-2008
1st 48.8% 32.9% 18.3% 82 60.0% 32.5% 7.5% 40 38.1% 33.3% 28.6% 42 1.43 1.70 1.17
2nd 28.2% 49.5% 22.3% 103 31.0% 48.3% 20.7% 29 27.0% 50.0% 23.0% 74 1.04 1.09 1.02
3rd 12.9% 21.2% 65.9% 85 7.7% 53.9% 38.5% 13 13.9% 15.3% 70.8% 72 0.58 0.64 0.57
Buyouts
All funds Pre-2009 Post-2008 Average Tercile PME
1st 2nd 3rd N 1st 2nd 3rd N 1st 2nd 3rd N All funds Pre-2009 Post-2008
1st 46.9% 31.3% 21.9% 64 66.7% 27.3% 6.1% 33 25.8% 35.5% 38.7% 31 1.39 1.81 0.94
2nd 31.2% 45.5% 23.4% 77 30.4% 52.2% 17.4% 23 31.5% 42.6% 25.9% 54 1.05 1.07 1.05
3rd 13.3% 16.7% 70.0% 60 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 6 14.8% 13.0% 72.2% 54 0.55 0.48 0.56
Venture Capital and Growth Equity
All funds Pre-2009 Post-2008 Average Tercile PME
1st 2nd 3rd N 1st 2nd 3rd N 1st 2nd 3rd N All funds Pre-2009 Post-2008
1st 55.6% 38.9% 5.6% 18 28.6% 57.1% 14.3% 7 72.7% 27.3% 0.0% 11 1.57 1.16 1.83
2nd 19.2% 61.5% 19.2% 26 33.3% 33.3% 33.3% 6 15.0% 70.0% 15.0% 20 0.99 1.15 0.95
3rd 12.0% 32.0% 56.0% 25 14.3% 57.1% 28.6% 7 11.1% 22.2% 66.7% 18 0.67 0.78 0.63
42
Table 5: Performance persistence – continued
Europe
All funds Pre-2009 Post-2008 Average Tercile PME
1st 2nd 3rd N 1st 2nd 3rd N 1st 2nd 3rd N All funds Pre-2009 Post-2008
1st 53.5% 31.0% 15.5% 58 66.7% 30.0% 3.3% 30 39.3% 32.1% 28.6% 28 1.51 1.88 1.12
2nd 34.7% 46.7% 18.7% 75 38.1% 42.9% 19.1% 21 33.3% 48.2% 18.5% 54 1.11 1.13 1.10
3rd 16.2% 21.6% 62.2% 37 25.0% 75.0% 0.0% 4 15.2% 15.2% 69.7% 33 0.65 0.95 0.61
Global funds
All funds Pre-2009 Post-2008 Average Tercile PME
1st 2nd 3rd N 1st 2nd 3rd N 1st 2nd 3rd N All funds Pre-2009 Post-2008
1st 57.3% 24.3% 18.5% 103 69.7% 19.7% 10.6% 66 35.1% 32.4% 32.4% 37 2.12 2.57 1.30
2nd 33.9% 28.6% 37.5% 56 50.0% 25.0% 25.0% 20 25.0% 30.6% 44.4% 36 1.25 1.79 0.95
3rd 11.0% 17.8% 71.2% 73 21.1% 26.3% 52.6% 19 7.4% 14.8% 77.8% 54 0.58 0.99 0.44
Asia Pacific and ROW
All funds Pre-2009 Post-2008 Average Tercile PME
1st 2nd 3rd N 1st 2nd 3rd N 1st 2nd 3rd N All funds Pre-2009 Post-2008
1st 37.5% 37.5% 25.0% 24 40.0% 40.0% 20.0% 10 35.7% 35.7% 28.6% 14 1.21 1.14 1.27
2nd 10.7% 57.1% 32.1% 28 12.5% 62.5% 25.0% 8 10.0% 55.0% 35.0% 20 0.85 0.97 0.80
3rd 10.4% 20.8% 68.8% 48 0.0% 44.4% 55.6% 9 12.8% 15.4% 71.8% 39 0.53 0.50 0.54
43
Internet Appendix
Private Equity Fund Performance around the World
Ain Tommar, Darolles and Jurczenko
SUPPLEMENTARY RESULTS
In the below sections, we present and briefly discuss supplementary information and additional results to
S1. On the quality of fund data in the merged sample of Eurekahedge and Preqin
Using the combined sample of fund cashflows from Eurekahedge and Preqin, we replicate and report in the
tables below the main analyses of Harris et al. (2014) on fund performance, and Harris et al. (2022) on fund
performance persistence for North American-focused funds. The objective of these analyses is to test the
quality of our sample’s data, by checking whether the coverage of funds allows to replicate the conventional
findings on private equity performance and persistence, before extending the use of the data to other
international markets. We find the results generally aligned with the literature and conclude that the
S1.1. Table S1-1 compares the coverage of North American-focused funds in the combined Eurekahedge
and Preqin sample, relative to other private equity data as reported by Harris et al. (2014). Harris et
al. (2014) use the Burgiss data. Kaplan and Schoar (2005) use Venture Economics data, and Robinson
and Sensoy (2011)a use proprietary data from a large, anonymous investor. Harris et al. (2022) use
the Burgiss data and provide recently updated statistics. Our sample comprises 1,565 unique,
corporate-focused, North American invested private equity funds that have cash flow information,
including 863 buyout funds and 702 venture capital funds. The total sample is represents 73% of the
number of funds in Harris et al. (2014) in the overlap period (between 1984 and 2008), and 63% of
1
Internet Appendix
Private Equity Fund Performance around the World
Ain Tommar, Darolles and Jurczenko
the same universe in more recent statistics by Harris et al. 2022, for vintages between 1984 and 2015.
By fund strategy, the combined Eurekahedge and Preqin sample of buyout funds represents about
85% of the reported number of funds in Harris et al. (2014, 2022). For venture capital funds, our
sample roughly covers between one half to two thirds of the number of funds in Harris et al., (2014,
2022).
S1.2. Table S1-2 shows the average fund PMEs (Public Market Equivalent) relative to the S&P500 and
other US equities benchmarks, for the funds in the combined sample. Comparison is provided with
the existing literature on the North American-focused funds in Harris et al. (2014) by vintage year
and investment strategy. The reported PMEs are computed relative to a similar timed investment in
the S&P500, as well as alternative market benchmarks: the Nasdaq, the Russell indices (3000,2000,
2000 Value, 2000 Growth). We perform tests for the equality of means of the PME results in both
our sample and Harris et al. (2014) on the overlapping vintages. We find no statistical evidence that
the PME results using the combined sample are different from those reported in the literature.
S1.3. Table S1-3 shows the performance persistence results using the combined sample of Eurekahedge
and Preqin, compared to the most recent results on North-American focused funds, described in
Harris et al. (2022). For this analysis, we use the PME relative to the S&P500 as a performance
measure, across successive funds by vintage year within fund families. We report the results by
investment strategy and performance quartile to allow for comparison with the existing literature.
Consistent with the literature, we find that top (respectively worse) performing funds continue to
consistently yield higher (lower) returns to their investors for both investment strategies. Also
consistent with the literature, we find that buyout fund performance declined significantly after the
2000s, while it relatively maintained the same levels for venture capital funds over time.
2
Internet Appendix
Private Equity Fund Performance around the World
Ain Tommar, Darolles and Jurczenko
Harris-Jenckinson-
Harris-Jenckison- Kaplan-Schoar Robinson-Sensoy
Vintage Our Sample Kaplan-Stucke
Kaplan (2014) (2005) (2011)a
(2022)
1984 3 2 2 6
1985 3 4 1 12
1986 3 4 5 16 1
1987 7 8 7 22 8
1988 6 9 7 21 14
1989 3 10 8 22 16
1990 7 8 2 14 7
1991 2 3 4 6 2
1992 8 9 5 17 4
1993 11 8 11 11 9
1994 20 18 13 6 24
1995 15 26 17 7 24
1996 21 17 9 41
1997 22 30 30 40
1998 39 39 38 59
1999 26 32 28 59
2000 40 51 39 68
2001 22 27 26 26
2002 21 20 21 5
2003 16 22 13 8
2004 29 37 46 3
2005 41 56 57 2
2006 42 57 67 8
2007 49 62 74 6
2008 45 60 68 12
2009 24 22
2010 28 26
2011 40 46
2012 39 47
2013 42 50
2014 51 65
2015 55 48
2016 47
2017 24
2018 12
Total 863 923 598 160 446
Total 2009-18 362 304
Total 2000-08 305 392 411
Total 1990-99 171 200 157 61 269
Total 1984-89 25 37 30 99 39
3
Internet Appendix
Private Equity Fund Performance around the World
Ain Tommar, Darolles and Jurczenko
Harris-Jenckinson-
Harris-Jenckison- Kaplan-Schoar Robinson-Sensoy
Vintage Our sample Kaplan-Stucke
Kaplan (2014) (2005) (2011)a
(2022)
1984 2 22 18 57 6
1985 4 26 20 37 5
1986 5 24 12 36 3
1987 5 26 17 63 6
1988 5 28 16 42 9
1989 3 26 18 45 10
1990 7 13 13 20 1
1991 1 6 6 11
1992 8 17 17 18 4
1993 8 20 13 45 5
1994 9 16 20 49 7
1995 14 29 18 43 13
1996 16 18 20 13
1997 13 44 33 19
1998 22 54 46 36
1999 36 88 65 40
2000 66 112 80 55
2001 42 59 48 18
2002 20 16 18 7
2003 17 19 25
2004 31 38 32
2005 34 52 48 1
2006 39 79 62
2007 48 74 65 2
2008 42 57 45
2009 10 27
2010 20 31
2011 26 46
2012 20 58
2013 19 55
2014 31 76
2015 25 91
2016 38
2017 15
2018 1
Total 702 1,347 775 466 260
Total 2009-18 205 384
Total 2000-08 339 506 423
Total 1990-99 134 305 251 186 138
Total 1984-89 24 152 101 280 39
4
Internet Appendix
Private Equity Fund Performance around the World
Ain Tommar, Darolles and Jurczenko
This table shows the average PMEs (Public Market Equivalent) for the funds in the combined Eurekahedge and
Preqin sample. Comparison is provided with the existing literature on the North American-focused funds (Harris et
al. 2014) by vintage year and fund investment strategy. The reported PMEs are computed relative to a similar timed
investment in the S&P500, as well as in alternative market benchmarks: the Nasdaq, and the Russell indices: 3000,
2000, 2000 Value, and 2000 Growth.
5
Internet Appendix
Private Equity Fund Performance around the World
Ain Tommar, Darolles and Jurczenko
6
Internet Appendix
Private Equity Fund Performance around the World
Ain Tommar, Darolles and Jurczenko
This table This table shows the performance persistence results using the combined Eurekahedge and Preqin sample,
compared to the most recent results on North-American focused funds, described in Harris et al. (2022). The
performance measure is the PME relative to the S&P500 of successive funds. Results are presented by investment
strategy for the current fund quartile, given the previous fund quartile.
Our sample
All funds Pre - 2001 Post-2000
1 2 3 4 N 1 2 3 4 N 1 2 3 4 N
Buyout funds
1 48.6% 26.2% 13.1% 15.1% 107 75.8% 21.2% 0.0% 3.0% 33 36.5% 28.4% 18.9% 16.2% 74
2 22.6% 24.5% 27.4% 25.5% 106 38.1% 19.1% 33.3% 9.5% 21 18.8% 25.9% 25.9% 29.4% 85
3 19.4% 23.2% 27.8% 29.6% 108 45.0% 15.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20 13.6% 25.0% 29.6% 31.8% 88
4 6.0% 11.0% 22.0% 61.0% 100 18.2% 27.3% 18.2% 36.4% 11 4.5% 9.0% 22.5% 64.0% 89
Venture Capital funds
1 39.5% 32.6% 12.8% 15.1% 86 47.4% 21.1% 18.4% 13.2% 38 33.3% 41.7% 8.3% 16.7% 48
2 32.1% 29.8% 26.2% 11.9% 84 40.0% 10.0% 25.0% 25.0% 20 29.7% 35.9% 25.6% 7.8% 64
3 14.1% 21.2% 25.9% 38.8% 85 18.2% 22.7% 18.2% 40.9% 22 12.7% 20.6% 28.6% 38.1% 63
4 8.1% 10.5% 30.2% 51.2% 86 0.0% 25.0% 37.5% 37.5% 8 9.0% 9.0% 29.5% 52.6% 78
7
Internet Appendix
Private Equity Fund Performance around the World
Ain Tommar, Darolles and Jurczenko
S2.1. The relationship between fund performance and characteristics: Additional tests with alternative
public market benchmarks for the PME and with the TVPI as an alternative performance measure
8
Internet Appendix
Private Equity Fund Performance around the World
Ain Tommar, Darolles and Jurczenko
Table S2-1: Additional tests for the relationship between fund performance and fund characteristics
This table replicates the regression analyses in table 4 in the main body of the paper using alternative public market benchmarks for the PME calculations and the
TVPI as an alternative performance measure. The dependent variable is the fund PME or the TVPI. Non North American-Focus is a dummy variable equal to 1 if the
fund’s investment focus is not North America. Regional or Local is a dummy variable which is set to one if the private equity firm is based in the same region or
country as the investment focus of the fund, or, for global funds, has a local branch. Regional distribution is established following the MSCI classification. Size is the
natural logarithm of the fund’s total commitments in 2018 dollars. Fund age is a variable to proxy for the fund’s age, expressed as the difference in years between the
fund’s first capital call date and the last distribution date. Fund sequence is the fund’s sequence number within the fund family by the same GP. Standard errors are
double clustered by firm and vintage year. t-statistics are reported in brackets. ***, ** and * denote significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% level respectively.
9
Internet Appendix
Private Equity Fund Performance around the World
Ain Tommar, Darolles and Jurczenko
Table S2-1: Additional tests for the relationship between fund performance and fund characteristics - continued
10
Internet Appendix
Private Equity Fund Performance around the World
Ain Tommar, Darolles and Jurczenko
Table S2-1: Additional tests for the relationship between fund performance and fund characteristics - continued
11
Internet Appendix
Private Equity Fund Performance around the World
Ain Tommar, Darolles and Jurczenko
Table S2-1: Additional tests for the relationship between fund performance and fund characteristics - continued
12
Internet Appendix
Private Equity Fund Performance around the World
Ain Tommar, Darolles and Jurczenko
Table S2-1: Additional tests for the relationship between fund performance and fund characteristics - continued
13
Internet Appendix
Private Equity Fund Performance around the World
Ain Tommar, Darolles and Jurczenko
Table S2-1: Additional tests for the relationship between fund performance and fund characteristics - continued
14
Internet Appendix
Private Equity Fund Performance around the World
Ain Tommar, Darolles and Jurczenko
Table S2-1: Additional tests for the relationship between fund performance and fund characteristics - continued
15
Internet Appendix
Private Equity Fund Performance around the World
Ain Tommar, Darolles and Jurczenko
Table S2-1: Additional tests for the relationship between fund performance and fund characteristics - continued
16