Labour Market Intelligence: (LMI) in Ethiopia
Labour Market Intelligence: (LMI) in Ethiopia
Labour
Market
Intelligence
(LMI) in Ethiopia
April 2022
I
ACKNOWLEDGMENT
The Ministry of Labor and Skills would like to thank the following people for their special contributions to
the preparation of this report.
2. H.E. Nigussu Tilahun, State Minister for Labor and Employment Affairs, Ministry of
Labor and Skills
5. Dr. Aregawi Gebremedhin, Labor Economist Advisor to Data analytics and System
Directorate
6. Biruk Degefe, Senior Data analyst, Data Analytics and System Directorate
7. Tseganew Temesegen, Senior Data Analyst, Data Analytics and System Directorate
8. Getachew Bayeh, Senior Data Analyst, Data Analytics and System Directorate
9. Robel Melaku, Data Analytics Advisor, Data Analytics and System Directorate
10. Teshome Adno, Senior Data Analyst, Data Analytics and System Directorate
Cont ent s Page N o.
List of Tables IV
List of Figures V
1. Introduction
III
Page N o.
Contents
3. Supply Side of the Market
Page N o.
List of Tables
12 IV
List of Figures V
1. Introduction
3.1 Jobseekers’ Profile—etworks
1
12
2. The
3.2
Demand Side of the Market
Profiles of Registered Graduates
4
15
2.1.
3.3
Enterprise Registration
Education Enrollments—Potential Future Labor Supply
4
17
2.2. Online Vacancies 8
4.3. SupplySector
Public Side of the Market
Employment 12
6. Impact of COVID-19 26
5. Private Sector Employment
7. Conclusion 30
8. References 32
22
6. Impact of COVID-19 26
7. Conclusion 30
8. References 32
IV
List of Tables
Table 1: Enterprises by sector and size 7
V
List of Figures
Figure 1: The process of obtaining LMI 1
Figure 24: Did the firm face any operation decline in the last 1 year 27
Figure 25: Percentage of firms that laid of their workers in the last one year 28
VI
Acronyms
COVID-19 — Coronavirus Disease 2019
VII
Executive summary
Ethiopia is a youthful country where nonemployment could heavily impact its socio-economic
and political atmosphere. Realizing the potential challenges, the government has proactively
established the Ministry of Labor and Skills (MoLS) with a term to lead, coordinate and support
the job creation agenda through a robust Labor Market Information System (LMIS). MoLS is
also mandated to enhance job creation opportunities and enable the training and education
sector to produce qualified manpower and innovative start-ups.
This Labor Market Intelligence (LMI) report provides labor market insights by considering the
demand and supply side as well as the employment linkages of the labor market. This report
bases the administrative data coming from different stakeholders. The demand side of the labor
market is analyzed using the aggregated online vacancies and the Ministry of Trade and Industry
data. The data shows that most vacancies are in business and finance and require some level
of experience. While the trade sector dominates in terms of total employment in the private
sector, it, however, has the lowest employment creation.
From the supply side, the jobseekers’ profile and students’ educational enrollment data tell us
that most are young jobseekers and secondary school complete (primary or secondary school
dropouts). They, therefore, do not meet the requirements of most job vacancies, which necessitate
university education and some work experience.
From the establishments’ perspective, most are micro-enterprises and engaged in the trade sector.
This report also discusses the impact of COVID-19 on businesses most of which remarked
disrupted operations and lay off their employees. We hope this LMI report inspires further
research into more areas of the labor market to understand its intricacies and recommend policies
and actions to deal with them.
VIII
1. Introduction
Labour
Labor Market Data
(hard and soft) Market
Intelligence
Source: Adapted from a roadmap for the development of LMIS by Srenson and Mas (2016)
The labor market encompasses and is examined from the demand side, supply side, or both.
The supply side of the market comprises the characteristics, skill composition, and work
consent of the labor force. The demand side of the market consists of the number and type
of jobs available, skills in demand, the sectors, locations, and other necessitate of employers.
LMI, an emerging concept, described as the design and exercise of intelligent algorithms and
frameworks to analyze data related to the labor market for supporting policy and decision-making
(Mezzanzanica and Mercorio, 2019).
1
The main establishment of the Ministry of Labor and Skills (MoLS) is to:
Develop a Coordinate
robust Labor and support the
Market Information job creation efforts of
System (LMIS) that
the Federal and
enables job seekers,
employers, and Regional public
policy makers institutions and the
private sector
Enable the
training and
education sector to
produce qualified
graduates with skills
and ethics that fit
into the labor
market
Ensure the
adoption and
implementation of
pro-employment
policies
across sectors
MoLS had attempted to analyze all sides of the labor market in its first LMI report. In the previous
report, the main aspirations were to understand the demand side of the labor market, explore
the supply side of the labor market, and examine the employment characteristics in the private
and public sectors. In this version, we try to provide basic information about both sides of the
market; the general objective is to give insights regarding the labor market condition of Ethiopia.
2
The main intent of producing this report include:
1 3
To understand the To explore the
type of skills in supply of labour and
demand the general skills
and the requirements they are equipped
there of with
2 4
To examine private To understand the
and public sector types and numbers
employment and of business
the general establishments in
characteristics of the past 10 years
employees
Moreover, the analysis used statistic from the Private Employees Social
Security Agency (POESSA) for the private sector employment. Since
the handful of data available might be missing for some regions or
industries, this report requires to perceive, cautiously. For instance,
the vacancy aspect is from online jobs aggregators, which naturally
are concentrated in Addis Ababa.
3
2. The Demand Side of the Market
In Ethiopia, the government has put effort to endorse the development of MSEs—by adopting
MSE strategy including (i) skill training; (ii) marketing support; (iii) access to finance; (iv) production
support; (v) single centre support supply, and (vi) access to work premises support.
The MSE program, despite the huge resources dedicated to it, faced vital challenges making its
performance scarce. Thus, it’s important to highlight the number of business establishments, and
the general characteristics of these businesses. Efficient labor market refereeing helps to build
a well-functioning labor market. Although the labor market linkage in Ethiopia is vulnerable; the
public employment services made few linkages. Since the majority of the jobseekers lack information
about jobs, MoLS is planning to construct convenient employment services by creating job centers
paving the way for building effective labor market linkages.
In this report, we try to understand the number and attributes of ventures in Ethiopia to portray
the general business environment. Besides, we also mention the nature of online vacancies in
the past two years. Thus, the first section is devoted to the conversation on the characteristics of
enterprises, while the second part discusses the nature of online openings from the Hahu jobs data.
The Ministry of Trade and Industry (MoTI) granted about 2.6 million licenses starting from
2011 until January 2021, and gave 14,500 licenses in January alone. In this report, we try to
understand the nature and characteristics of establishments.
Figure 2 shows that the number of establishments has been growing since 2011, except
showing a decreasing trend in 2016 and 2018. In 2020, more than 380 thousand licenses
had been issued indicating businesses are flourishing and self-employment is also
increasing, expected to pull up wage employment.
4
Figure 2: Number of business establishments by year and size
400,000
350,000
300,000
250,000
Establishments
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Year
Apart from the business establishments, the sectors where these businesses are booming
matter for the country’s economic growth, especially in terms of the employment potential
of the sectors. As per MoLS’s classification (based on ISIC and MoTI), the sectors are nine,
including Agriculture, Mining and quarrying; Manufacturing, Construction, Tourism,
and Arts; ICT and digital works, Logistics and Communication, Services, and Trade.
The Trade sector dominates the business establishments followed by Service and Logistics,
Transport and Communication sectors. Another important sector that needs to be discussed is
the size of the enterprises establishments. Classification of business establishments reasons their
capital during registration, thus micro, small, medium, and large enterprises. The international
definition for enterprise bases on three criteria used jointly or separately: the number of employees,
paid up capital and sales turnover. However, for Ethiopia, the revised enterprise definition is on
the number of employees and total assets.
5
The typology of this report bases solely on capital, since the number
of employees is missing in the MoTI data. Accordingly, classification
enterprises in the industry sector (Agriculture, Mining and Quarrying,
Manufacturing, Construction, and Tourism and Arts) are as micro if their
capital is less than or equal to birr 100,000; small if their capital exceeds
birr 100,000 and less than birr 1.5 million; medium if capital is greater
than birr 1.5 million and less than birr 20 million, and if capital is more
than birr 20 million, large.
6
Table 1: Enterprises by sector and size
Agriculture 35,827 79.4 7,245 16.1 1,559 3.5 498 1.1 45,129 100.0
Mining and
quarrying 928 72.3 185 14.4 138 10.7 33 2.6 1,284 100.0
Manufacturing 77,223 78.9 11,925 12.2 6,065 6.2 2654 2.7 97,867 100.0
Construction 67,472 70.3 19,579 20.4 7,032 7.3 1903 2 95,986 100.0
Tourism and
43,523 89.3 3,604 7.4 1,312 2.7 318 0.7 48,757 100.0
Arts
Logistics,
transport and 83,120 26.1 195,318 61.2 36,935 11.6 3660 1.1 319,033 100.0
communication
Services 163,892 79.3 23,755 11.5 15,232 7.4 3744 1.8 206,623 100.0
Trade 1,165,410 78.9 171,729 11.6 103,149 7 36761 2.5 1,477,049 100.0
Total 1,637,395 71.4 433,340 18.9 171,422 7.5 49571 2.2 2,291,728 100.0
Region where
Initial capital % of large
business is No. %
(ETB) enterprise
located
Benishangul
67,320 2.9 1,908,740.5 1.7
Gumuz
7
2.2 Online Vacancies
Among the several online job advertisers in Ethiopia, Hahu Jobs, has designed an impressive
work that aggregates all the jobs posted online. The main purpose of the job aggregator is to
summarize all job vacancies by sectors, subsectors, position, and years of experience. This gives
us a snapshot the number of jobs advertised in a period, and the sectors with high concentrations
of vacancies and positions/fields in high demand. However, the interpretation should be cautiously
generalized since the consideration is only for a handful of the job vacancies. As per the Hahu jobs
aggregator, about 38,021 jobs were advertised on the online platform in the last two years—June
1, 2019, until May 31, 2021. In the past 2 years, the average number of jobs posted per day is 60.3.
The jobs are posted in different vacancy announcement platforms including Ethiopian reporter,
Ethiojobs, Hahujobs, Ezega, Etcareers, Malefiyajobs, Zionjobs, Glassdoor, and Linkedin. Ethiojobs
also includes advertisements for public sector vacancies. Figure 3 depicts the share of jobs
announced by online advertising agencies in the last year. Ethiopian reporters have the largest
share of the online vacancy announcements about 45.03% followed by Ethiojobs with about 31.13%.
What makes it unique is that it also has a weekly news magazine including the lists of vacancies,
making it more accessible to the community. Ezega and Etcareers have also announced significant
numbers of jobs in the past two years.
Figure 3: Jobs by the online platform advertising agencies
50
45.03
40
31.07
30
ethiopian-reporter
ethiojobs_public
Percentage
malefiyajobs
glassdoor
addisjobs
ethiojobs
etcareers
hahujobs
geezjobs
linkiedin
zionjobs
icanjobs
ezega
20
10.47
10 6.46
4.17
Online platforms
8
Figure 4 reveals he share of vacancies advertised in the last two years, from June
1, 2019, until May 31, 2021. As can be seen from the figure, advertisement of the
maximum share was in Business and Finance sector followed by vacancies around
Engineering. Low and medium-skilled labor (9%) and Health care (7%) related
jobs have also fair shares of the total vacancies. Besides, social science, transport
and logistics, and ICT were also in the table ground of job advertisements which
constitutes about 6%, 4%, and 4% of the total job advertisement in the last nine
months respectively. On the other end, however, the non-profits, security, and
manufacturing sectors had very low shares of the total employment with less
than 1% of the total shares.
4.31 ICT
4.23 Transportation and Logistics
2.48 Natural Science
2.39 Education
2.28 Legal Services
2.13 Hospitality
1.65 Creative Arts
0.64 Security
0.35 Manufacturing
0.1 Non-Profit / Volunteer
0 10 20 30 40 50
Percentage
Experience is the major component that employers usually require when they advertise jobs.
Figure 5 depicts the years of experience that employers required in their vacancy announcements
in the last two years. As can be seen from the figure, only about 6% of the total jobs require
fresh graduates, while more than 88% of the jobs, require 2 and more years of experience.
Besides, the average years of experience for a new job is about four years. The fact implies
that the window for entrants is very limited; the demand for individuals with no experience
is very low, making entry into the labor market considerably difficult. If entry into the labor
market is easy, then the youth who finished their training and aspiring to get professional
experience would get that professional experience; equipping them for tomorrow’s labor
market (Gammarano—ILO, 2019).
9
Figure 5: Jobs by years of experience
25
22.65
20
15 14.55
13.59
12.85
Percentage
9.9
10
6.60
5.88 6.02
5
3.94
2.42
1.21
0.32
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 >10
Years
The high and recent generation of internet access in the capital, Addis Ababa,
made high concentration of online jobs. Being the hybrid of economic activities
in and around the capital and being a seat for diplomatic and other international
organizations played the role too.
10
Table 3: Regional distribution of online jobs
Region No. %
Addis Ababa 25,187 66.80
Another feature of online jobs is the type of job advertised. Table 3 shows the online jobs
advertised by type of work. The data shows that about 89 percent of the jobs are full-time jobs
and about 8 percent are contract-based jobs, while the rest include internships, part-time and
other types of jobs. In terms of job quality, most of the online jobs are full-time jobs, which
makes them better in the eyes of the jobseekers.
Part-time 74 0.19
Bid 29 0.08
11
3. Supply Side of the Market
3.1 Jobseekers’ Profile—etworks
Region No. %
Addis Ababa 157,868 94.50
Afar 3 0.00
Somali 1 0.00
Tigray 20 0.00
12
Table 6 presents the age categories of registered jobseekers. It can be seen that more than half of
the registered jobseekers are below the age of 30 years, implying that youths are the majority of
the jobseekers. However, the aged population, 51–66, is limited, constituting about 6% of the total
population. An important implication that one draws here is that the majority of the jobseekers
are the youth population begging for an important intervention either from the government or
other concerned bodies.
46% Male
Female
54%
13
Table 7 presents the educational status of registered jobseekers. About one third of the total
registered jobseekers are in primary school. The next population of jobseekers are in lower
secondary school (grades 9–10) constituting about 25% of the total jobseekers. Whereas,
the share of university or TVET graduate jobseekers is only about 19%. This indicates the
majority of the jobseekers are not college graduates looking for professional
jobs ; rather primary or secondary dropouts who might look for medium skill jobs. This may
require further training and intervention from the government or the donor communities.
Furthermore, jobseekers were also asked Another important issue is the disability status
whether one has a job or not, and Figure 7 of registered jobseekers. In this regard, the
presents the current employment status of the share of individuals with disabilities is pretty
jobseekers. About 97% of them mentioned that much low, constituting less than 1% of total
they were unemployed and the employed are registered jobseekers. More than 95% of them
only about 3% of the jobseekers but looking for reported to have no experience.
another job.
3% Employed
Employed Unemployed
97% Unemployed
14
3.2 Profiles of Registered Graduates
From all regions, at the end of 2019, MoLS collected the profile of graduates who were
looking for a job. However, the response was not as steady and complete as one would
expect. Only some regions registered the list of graduates and compile it appropriately. In
this report, we present the profile of those registered graduates who were looking for a job.
As of Dec 2019, in all regions, more than 109 thousand graduates registered as jobseekers.
These graduates have different educational preparations and demographic characteristics.
Figure 8 depicts the gender-wise distribution of registered graduate jobseekers. It shows that
about 58% of graduated jobseekers are male, indicating that the share of female graduated
jobseekers is insignificant. The gender-wise distribution is to the ministry of education report
for 2018/19 prospective graduates.
58%
Male Female
42%
Figure 9 shows the educational qualifications of graduated jobseekers; showing most of the
graduates are TVET and undergraduate degree graduates with TVET graduates outweighing in
the number of graduates, while graduated jobseekers with masters and above are insignificant.
40,000
TVET AND CERTIFICATES
UNKNOWN
DIPLOMA
30,000
DEGREE
20,000
13,237
10,000
450 1,439
0
Qualifications
15
The regional distribution of the registered graduates is also presented in Figure 10. It highlights
that the largest share of the registered graduates is from Amhara region which constituted about
46%. Next to Amhara region, SNNP, Addis Ababa and Oromia follows with a share of 22%, 13%
and 12% graduates respectively. However, this does not reflect the number of graduates from
each region rather the number of registered and reported graduates by the respective regions.
Figure 10: Regional distribution of graduated jobseekers
Amhara
SNNP
Addis Ababa
Oromia
Tigray
Gambella
Benishangul Gumuz
Hareri
Somali
A n o t h e r i m p o r t a n t i s s u e t h a t n e e d s t o b e h i g h l i g h t e d i n t h e re p o r t i s , t h e f i e l d s o f
e d u c a t i o n t h a t t h e g r a d u a t e s a t t e n d e d . F i g u re 1 1 p o r t r a y s t h a t E n g i n e e r i n g a n d
Te c h n o l o g y h a s t h e h i g h e s t s h a r e o f g r a d u a t e s ( 2 7 % ) f o l l o w e d b y B u s i n e s s a n d
Economics (23%), Social science and linguistics (8%) and applied and computational
science (7% ). Besides, Automotive and drafting, agricultural and environmental
science, agriculture related, medicine and health, and electricity have some significant
s h a re s .
Figure 11: Field of studies of graduated jobseekers
30,000
Agriculture and environmental science
Applied and computational sciences
25,000
Social science and linguistics
Engineering and technology
20,000
Business and economics
Number of graduates
Agriculture related
Auto and drafting
Business related
Manufacturing
15,000
Creative Arts
Construction
Electricity
Unknown
Tourism
Other
ICT
10,000
5,000
0
Field of studies
16
3.3 Education Enrollments—Potential Future Labor Supply
Educational enrolments at different educational grades could give us the potential of the
supply side. It will also imply whether enrolments increase or decrease with grades and
geographic locations. Table 7 presents the educational enrolments at all education levels by
gender excluding Addis Ababa. As of 2019/20 (2012 EFY), enrollment of more than 27 million
pupils in school with a balanced share of female and male pupils where the male slightly
overwhelms females (53% versus 47%). Of the total enrollment, more than 73% of the total
enrollment is in primary kindergarten. Though the share of enrolments in primary school is
high, enrollment in secondary school is significantly lower. This could be attributed to lower
completion rates and higher dropout rates.
Total
Education level Male Female
No. %
Table 9 presents primary school completion and dropout rates by region and gender. It can
be seen that the completion rate is higher for lower primary schools—about 88% of the
students enrolled complete Grade 5 (84% for females vs. 92% for males). But it declines
significantly for higher primary. The completion rate for Grade 8 is lower, which is about 58%
indicating that of the total students enrolled, only 58% of them complete Grade 8.
The lower completion rate could mean either grade repetitions or dropouts. Table 8 also
presents the dropout rates in primary school and depicts that about 14% of the students
drop out of primary education in 2012 EF Y. Thus, looking into the future labor market,
there seems to be a high potential of incoming labor force consisting mostly primary or
some secondary dropouts. This requires an active labor market policy that addresses the
employment problems associated with the type of labor force.
17
Table 9: Primary completion and dropout rates by region
Figure 12 presents educational enrolments by region and gender, high enrollment is in Oromia,
following SNNP and Amhara regions. This could be attributed to the size of the population and
the number of schools in each region.
Figure 12: Enrollments by region
Male Female
6,000,000
5,000,000
4,000,000
Number of enrollments
3,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000
18
4. Public Sector Employment
60.79%
Male Female
39.21%
Figure 14 shows the total public sector employment and annual public sector employment
g ro w t h r a t e s f ro m 2 0 0 7 / 0 8 t o 2 0 1 9 / 2 0 . I t c a n b e o b s e r v e d f ro m t h e f i g u re t h a t p u b l i c
s e c t o r e m p l o y m e n t h a s b e e n i n c re a s i n g o v e r t i m e f ro m a b o u t s i x h u n d re d t h o u s a n d
i n 2 0 0 7 / 0 8 t o m o re t h a n t w o m i l l i o n i n 2 0 1 9 / 2 0 . T h o u g h t h i s i n d i c a t e s a p o s i t i v e
growth rate in public sector employment, the growth rate has shown a declining trend,
d e c re a s i n g f ro m a n a n n u a l g ro w t h r a t e o f 1 4 % i n 2 0 1 3 / 1 4 t o 7 % i n 2 0 1 9 / 2 0 .
Another important dimension is the level of education equipped by public sector employees.
Figure 16 depicts the educational profile of public sector employees. Degree graduates with
about 34% hold the highest share, followed by Diploma graduates and TVET graduates (levels
1 to 5) with about 29% and 20% share of the total respectively. About 88% of all public sector
employees have an above grade 12 levels of education. Thus, the level of education public
sector employees have seemed fairly good, but no information on the levels of skill they possess.
19
Figure 14: Total number of employees and growth rate of employment
2,500,000 30
25
2,000,000
20
Employees
15
1,000,000
10
500,000
5
0 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 0
Year
Male Female
500,000
Diploma/ College (10+3)
1st - 4th Year College
400,000
Certificate (10+1)
Number of employment
Grade 9 - 12
M.A./ M.Sc.
Not Started
B.A. / B.Sc.
Grade 1 - 4
Grade 5 - 8
Diploma
300,000
Level 2
Level 3
Level 4
Level 5
Level 1
D.V.M.
L.L.M.
Ph.D.
L.L.B
M.D.
200,000
100,000
0
Level of education
20
Figure 16 presents public sector employees by their age groups. It depicts that more than half
of public sector employees are below the age of 33, indicating that the young-aged employees
filled the public sector .
>60
58 - 60 1.46
53 - 57 2.59
48 - 52 4.63
7.03
43 - 47
10.70
38 - 42
Age group
33 - 37 16.52
26.44
28 - 32
22.10
23 - 27
18 - 22 8.07
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Percentage share
21
5. Private Sector Employment
Figure 17 depicts the number of workers in the industry they work at. The trade sector appears
to employ the most people, followed by industry and other sectors. This is because the
service sector has a larger establishment, most of which employ fewer people per capita. As
a result, the trade sector appears dominant in terms of the total number of jobs produced.
12,000,000
10,000,000
8,000,000
Number of employment
Not Identified
Construction
6,000,000
Association
Agriculture
Industry
Others
Total
4,000,000
Aid
2,000,000
Sectors
22
The distribution of employment is also highlighted in the POESSA data. Figure 18 presents the
regional distribution of total employment in the last 10 years. It can be seen that most of the
private sector employment is concentrated in Addis Ababa.
Figure 18: Total number of employment by region
12,000,000
Addis Ababa
Benishangul
10,000,000
Dire Dawa
Gambella
Amhara
Oromia
Employment
Somali
SNNP
Hareri
Total
8,000,000
Afar
6,000,000
4,000,000
2,000,000
0
Region
Figure 19 presents the total number of employment by sector and year. The figure highlights that
the trade sector remains to have the highest total number of employees over the years followed
by the industry and the other sectors (not mentioned here). The association and aid sectors, on
the other hand, have the smallest workforce.
700,000
600,000
500,000
Establishments
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Year
23
Figure 20 shows the year-by-year distribution of establishments by sector, revealing that the trade
sector regularly has the most total establishments. Agriculture and associations have the lowest
number of establishments..
Figure 20: Sectoral distribution of total establishments by year
15,000
Establishments
10,000
5,000
0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Trade Year
Industry Construction A
Source: Own computation based on POESSA data
250
200
150
Percentage
100
50
0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Year
24
The average salary of private-sector workers should be explored. Figure 22 shows the average
salary of employees by sector, revealing that the aid sector pays the most, with an average
monthly wage of roughly ETB 7,359, more than double the national average (ETB 2,878). The
construction industry follows with an average monthly wage of around ETB 3,009. The agriculture
sector, on the other hand, pays the least, with a monthly income of around ETB 1,672.
8,000
7,359.00
7,000
6,000
5,000
Average salery
4,000
3,009.30
2,878.60
3,000
2,745.3 2,634.00
2,488.40
2,135.10
2,000
1,672.10
1,000
0
Trade Industry Agriculture Construction Aid Association Others Overall
average
Sector
25
6. Impact of COVID-19
COVID-19, an infectious disease, caused by a newly discovered virus and is transmitted through
droplets coming out when an infected person coughs, sneezes or exhales. Following the spread
of the virus, countries have closed their doors, business has slowed and people confined to
their homes. After cases were discovered in Ethiopia, the government declared a state
o f e m e rg e n c y a n d i m p l e m e n t e d s t e p s t o re d u c e t h e i m p a c t o n b u s i n e s s e s , s u c h a s
t a x c u t s a n d t a x e x e m p t i o n s . I t w o u l d be helpful to explore the impact of COVID-19 on
businesses and employees.
In the previous LMI report, the impact of COVID-19 on businesses was assessed using the
first wave of the World Bank’s high-frequency phone survey of firms (HFPS-F ). The viral
outbreak affected more than 93 percent of the sampled firm s. The MoLS surveyed 839
enterprises from six regions, including Amhara, Oromia, SNNP, Sidama, Addis Ababa, and
Dire Dawa, in this repor t. The survey covers firms of all sizes and industries, including
agriculture, industry, and services, and micro, small, medium, and large businesse s. The
general features of enterprises in terms of regional distribution, sectoral mix, and gender
of owners or managers is depicted in Figure 2 3.
The survey covers 6 regions with Addis Ababa and Amhara having about 30% share each followed
by Oromia, covering about 20% of the firms. In terms of gender, males owned more than 70% of
firms or managed by them. When we see the sectoral composition of the firms, more than half
of the firms in the survey are from the service sector while about one third of them are in the
industry sector.
80
Addis Ababa
Agriculture
Dire Dewa
71.53
SNNPRS
Medium
Industry
Amhara
70
Oromia
Sidama
Female
Service
Micro
Large
Small
Male
60
51.51
50
43.7
Percentage
40 36.4 36.32
29.95 29.59
28.47
30
19.81
20 15.01
12.09
26
Moreover, the distribution of firms revealed that micro and small enterprises cover about
44% and 36% of the total firms respectively, while large enterprises cover only 5% of
the firms. In the survey, firms were asked if COVID-19 hampered their operations since
the onset of COVID-1 9. As can be seen from Figure 24, about 92% of the surveyed firms
reported that they have faced a decline in their operations in the period between March
2020 to March 202 1. The early findings of the World Bank’s HFPS-F where the outbreak
of COVID-19 affected 93% of the firm s. Dismembered by different characteristics, the
percentage of firms reported a decline in operatio n. Figure 25 portrays that the decline
in operation was higher for firms from SNNPR and Sidama regions, female-owned
enterprises, the service sector, and large and micro-enterprise s.
Figure 24: Did the firm face any operation decline in the last 1 year (March 2020 to March 2021)?
SNNPRS 98.08
Sidama 98.18
Dire Dewa 96.15
Oromia 86.18
Amhara 89.22
Addis Ababa 93.7
Male 90.57
Female 94.5
Agriculture 90.62
Industry 91.58
Service 92.58
Micro 93.49
Small 88.81
Medium 91.53
Large 94.59
0 20 40 60 80 100
Percentage
8%
Yes No
92%
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COVID-19 has influenced not just on businesses, but also on the people who work for them.
Figure 25 shows the percentage of employers that laid of their employees in the previous year.
Approximately 39% of businesses have laid off employees in the previous year. The percentage of
businesses reporting that they have laid off employees varies by industry. The highest percentage
is reported in SNNPR and Sidama regions, for male-owned enterprises, for the industry sector,
and for large firms.
Figure 25: Percentage of firms that laid of their workers in the last one year
Amhara 31.82
Oromia 37.58
Sidama 45.76
SNNPRS
Male 40.03
Female 36.24
Agriculture 36
Industry 49.32
Service 33.17
Micro 34.67
Small 44.67
Medium 36.89
Large 46.15
Overall 39.09
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Percentage
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In the survey, to better understand the impacts of COVID-19, firms were asked about the measures
taken to mitigate the effects on their operations. Figure 26 show the actions taken by businesses to
limit the impact of the pandemic on their operations. About 45 percent of the companies’ strategies
were widening and price increases for mitigating the pandemic’s impact on their business. The next
steps taken by businesses to alleviate the effects of the pandemic are obtaining loans and lowering
costs (reflected by staff layoffs), reported by 30% of businesses. About 13% of the firms said they
took no precautions against the pandemic’s effects.
1 Ceasing Operation
1 Getting government support
15 Getting credit
15 Cost reduction (including stuff layout)
0 10 20 30 40 50
Percentage
29
7. Conclusion
The Ethiopian government has given due attention to creating jobs, particularly for
the youth, who make up the majority of the population. Recognizing the country’s
growing unemployment problem and the need to coordinate on-the-job creation
agendas, various institutions merged to form the Ministry of Labor and Skills (MoLS).
The main purpose of the MoLS is to: Lead and drive Ethiopia’s job creation agenda in
Ethiopia; coordinate and support job creation efforts of federal and regional public
institutions, private sector actors, and development partners; ensure the adoption
and implementation of pro-employment policies across sectors; develop a robust
LMIS that fosters jobseekers, employers, and policymakers; mobilize resources and
innovative investments that support start-ups, enterprises, and job creation program;
promote and support innovations, entrepreneurship programs and engagement of
the private sector for job creation and enable the training and education sector to
produce qualified graduates with skills and ethics that fit into the labor market.
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The profiles of the registered jobseekers indicate that most of them are youths
who are primary and secondary school dropouts; only about 19% of them reported
having university and TVET graduate s. In terms of gender, female jobseekers
seem to outnumber male jobseekers. Divorced jobseekers registered, more than
40%. According to MoE data, more than 14 million pupils enrolled in grades 1–12,
including adult education in 2012 EFY, about 70% were in primary educatio n.
It is also highlighted that the completion rate for lower primary is about 88% while it
is about 58% for higher primary and that the primary school dropout rate was 14%.
Furthermore, the employment situation in both public and private sectors are also
explored. According to the 2012EFY CSC data, more than 2 million civil servants of
which about 60% of them are male and about 88% have either completed Grade 12
or have a higher level of education. While the trade sector dominates private-sector
employment, the POESSA data highlights that the average number of employees per
firm in the trade sector is among the lowest. Furthermore, the report also highlighted
the impact of COVID-19 on firms using data collected by the MoLS.
About 92 percent of the companies said their operations were impacted, and
about 39 percent of the companies said they had to lay off people. To alleviate
the effects of the pandemic, about 85 percent of the firms said they took various
efforts to reduce the pandemic’s impact on their operations. This expressive LMI
report describes both sides of the labor market. The trade sector dominates the
establishments, according to the demand side of the labor market. Though the
number of establishments is increasing with time, the increase in employment
may not be as significant as one might think.
Furthermore, while online openings show that business and finance are the most
popular, the government’s concentration is on engineering and technolog y.
This necessitates the government’s efforts to either promote engineering and
technology jobs or other disciplines that the market requires. However, substantial
research was implemented to investigate and comprehend the difference between
the demand for and supply of labor or skills plus what one can do to address the
labor market mismatch.
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8. References
Gammarano, R. (2019). Labor market access: a persistent challenge for youth around the world.
ILO Department of Statistics’ Data Production and Analysis Unit.
Mezzanzanica, M. & Mercorio, F. (2019). Big data for labor market intelligence: An introductory
guide. Eur. Training Found. Torino, Italy, Tech. Rep.
Sorensen, K. & Mas, J. M. (2016). A Roadmap for the Development of Labor Market Information
Systems.
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2022