Abdu Statistics
Abdu Statistics
DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS
FACTORS THAT INFLUENCE THE SAVING HABIT OF WERABE UNIVERSITY
WORKERS
PREPARED BY:
February, 2023
WERABE, ETHIOPIA
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Abstract
Saving is one of the most predictable determinants of personal success and economic
development. People desire to save although they tend to postpone saving until they have
some stability in their lives. The purpose of this study has been to assess saving habits and
identify factors that influence the saving habits of Werabe University at EIH of Werabe
University. The sampling will be based on stratified random sampling and then which follow
simple random sampling from each group. The analysis will be done using binary logistic
regression with SPSS statistical software. This study will be expected to reveals factors
affecting saving habits of the college employee instructors and give solution how to solve
problems.
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Contents
Summary................................................................................................................................................II
List of acronyms..................................................................................................................................V
List of tables..........................................................................................................................................V
CHAPTER ONE...................................................................................................................................1
1. Introduction...............................................................................................................................1
1.1. Back ground of the study........................................................................................................1
1.2 Statement of the problem.......................................................................................................2
1.3 Objective of the study..............................................................................................................3
1.4 Significance of the study..........................................................................................................3
1.5 Scope of the study...................................................................................................................3
1.6 Organization of paper..............................................................................................................4
CHAPTER TWO.......................................................................................................................................4
2.1. Literature review........................................................................................................................4
2.1.1 Literature review in Ethiopia................................................................................................4
2.2 Saving institutes.......................................................................................................................5
2.3 Characteristics of saving associations......................................................................................5
CHAPTER THREE....................................................................................................................................6
3.1. Study methods............................................................................................................................6
3.1.1 The study area......................................................................................................................6
3.1.2. Study population..................................................................................................................6
3.1.3. Method of data collection...................................................................................................6
3.1.4 Sampling design and techniques..........................................................................................6
3.1.5 Sample Size Determination...................................................................................................7
3.1.6 Method of data analysis.......................................................................................................7
Logistic regression model..............................................................................................................8
Assumption of logistic regression..................................................................................................9
Model description.......................................................................................................................10
Goodness of Fit Test.................................................................................................................10
3.1.7 The Study Variables............................................................................................................10
3.1.8 Work Plan...........................................................................................................................11
3.1.9 Budget breakdown.....................................................................................................................11
III
REFERENCES........................................................................................................................................13
IV
List of acronyms
ACSI - Amhara Credit and Saving Institution
List of tables
V
CHAPTER ONE
1. Introduction
1.1. Back ground of the study
In the world, the concept of saving has played an important role in economic analysis since
it facilitates the stability of economic growth. Saving is defined as the difference between
income and consumption. (Denizer Wolf and Ying,2002) defined saving as a difference
between disposable household income and household expenditure. Based on a study done by
World Bank (1995), household saving is calculated as the net of increase in household assets
rather than as the difference between income and consumption because of its weak estimates
of consumption. Nevertheless, regardless of its definition, saving give a lot of benefits of to
an individual or government as a whole. According to (Norilmiah et al,2003) saving will
increase the level of the future wealth and improve the quality of life. It will increase the
economy of the family and thus ensure that savers be financially independent. The more that
individuals can become to be financially self- sufficient on retirement, the less the financial
burden on the state. "If a household is not saving enough to fund its needs, wether it is
consumption or investment, it will have to borrow. The more you borrow, the less
creditworthy you become and the higher interest rate you have to play. Exactly the same
happens at the content level.
Personal saving has two primary functions. First, saving provides the economic security of
the safety net. By transferring resources from the present to the future via savings, individuals
are prepared to face unexpected and irregular financial circumstances. Second, saving leads
to accumulation of wealth that enables individuals to improve their living standard and to
respond to new opportunities (Gokhale, 2000). Everyone agrees that, starting to save early
has merit in it and “Money grows on the tree of patience” and there are benefits of “power of
compounding “, but few actually practice it. When it comes to saving, people in general and
the poor in particular might not be completely rational and completely knowledgeable (karim,
2010) .The goal of promoting financial saving habit is to make people more aware of
financial opportunities, choices, and possible consequences. There is a growing recognition
of the importance of financial education as it relates to saving ( Greenwald etal, 2001; Gill,
2004). Financial education is one way of increasing savings and asset accumulation.
( Sherraden et al,2007) say that the extent to which an individual understands the process and
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benefits of asset accumulation is likely to affect their willingness to save. When we come to
in our country also the attitude of the peoples will be more or less, poor. Thus, EIHE of
Werabe University has been selected for the present study. It is, therefore, important to
conduct researches on employee instructor’s saving habits. Furthermore, in EIHE of Werabe
University also the necessary of saving habits is known, but not common.
Thus, the purpose of this study is to assess the current status of saving habits services, and
factors that influence utilization of these services such factors to be the attitude of the
instructor’s, incomes, expenditures and then to find out the possible reasons for under
utilization of saving habit services using primary data collected from EIHEDC -of Wollo
university. Due to this reason we involves these types of the problems with a solution.
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To identify factors that influences the saving habits of Werabe University
workers
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source. The fourth chapter covers data analysis and interpretation and the last chapter is
conclusion and recommendation that will be made by the researcher.
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CHAPTER TWO
2.1. Literature review
2.1.1 Literature review in Ethiopia
The study of saving has a contribution to change personal behavior and economic growth in
the country. Dedebit creadit and saving institution (DCSI) and Amhara credit and saving
institutions (ACSI) take more than 65% share in serving clients in the market (Befekadu,
2007). Higher cross domestic savings (GDS) has improved the saving income function of
employee instructor’s. The major determinants of GDS are demographic aspect, interest rate,
tax, broad money, stage and duration of disease, association of infectious disease, export, etc.
The result of this study shows export has high value to saving habit; tax has a significant
positive effect when it regresses on private saving. The impact assessment of micro finance
records positive results of saving habits in the country by different researchers.
( Mengistu ,1997) shows that increase in the number of program beneficiaries is one indicator
of the contribution of assistance program to employment creation and income generation.
(Kassa ,1998) shows in south Ethiopia in the area of education, consumption expenditure,
medical expenditure, family assistance, employment creation, and income generation are very
important to saving habits. In addition, (Kassa ,1998) reported a 30 .82%, 10.5% and 19.7%
annual growth in consumption expenditure of the first, second and third credit cycle
beneficiaries, respectively. About 7%, 8.03% and 2.07% growth in first, second and third
saving cycle beneficiaries’ respectively. Using Wilcoxon grouped pair’s non parametric test,
he did not accept the null hypothesis of average income before and after saving is the same at
5% level of significance implying that the average income after saving is greater than before
saving in the first , second and third credit cycle.
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5% is unproductive assets composed of land, buildings and equipments. On the other hand
70-80% of credit union liability should be composed of members’ saving to achieve financial
independence. In order to finance non- performing assets, improve earnings and absorb
losses, members share capital and institutional capital should be greater or equal to 20% and
to 10% of total asset respectively. Rate of return and costs operating expenses to total assets
ratio is set to be less than 10% and other return and cost to be greater or equal to market rate.
However, administrative cost should not be greater than 5% of the average total assets
(Gebeyaw, 2008) .In our country, there are different traditional financial system which have
long history and dominant contribution to economic betterment and social wellbeing of the
society. Traditional institutions organized with a sense of cooperation and risk sharing has
enabled Ethiopians to experience saving and financial management within its cultural
context. “Equb”,”Edir”, “Mahiber” etc are some of the informal financial institutions that
shaped the social bond and interaction (Gebeyaw, 2008).
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CHAPTER THREE
3.1. Study methods
3.1.1 The study area
Werabe university is one of the higher educational institution found in Ethiopia. It locates in
Werabe town and 172 km far from Addis Ababa. Currently, the University operating education
programs in 47 departments under 6 colleges, one institution and two schools. The University is
found at around 2 Km far from the center of the town.
In this study the researcher will be use primary data .The primary data collected by designing
and distributing the information using questionnaires and interviews on the sample
instructor’s or the respondents. The questionnaire will have opened and closed ended
questions. Not only questionnaire but also personal talking will be made through active
participation of the researcher to make the researcher aware about how to save money.
Therefore, the researcher has been appointing to carry out every day personal talking.
Probability sampling is the most preferred type of sampling. There are four common methods
of selecting probability sample. These are simple random sampling, systematic random
sampling, stratified random sampling and cluster random sampling. Among these four types
of sampling methods, the researcher will be tried to apply simple stratified sampling
techniques. Simple stratified sampling is a random sampling method in which each
observation has equal chance of to be included in the sample and the nature of study
population is heterogenous.
The data which is cross –sectional will be collected from the target population through a
structure questionnaire. And also sampling technique is a system of taking small ratio of
observation by using large population to get information of those large populations from
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sample observation by using statistical techniques. This technique also the researcher use
stratified random sampling (SRS) techniques in order to get good representative sample size
and this technique is by selecting appropriate sample size from target population (studied
population).
Normally the sample size determination requires three factors, which are: - Level of
precision, Margin of error and Level of confidence.
Care should be taken when the researcher determine the sample to make more accurate and
to get high precision. Hence, the sample size depends up on the following four criteria.
Level of significance(α)
Margin of error(d)
2
( z α ) pq
no = 2 , FPC= no/N
2
d
Note: When n o/N>5%, use n =no/ (1+no/N), other wise use n=no, n o/N≤5%, from
(Cochran ,1977)
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binary, such as (save or no save presence or absence, success or failure etc) in logistic
regression.
The logistic regression applies maximum likelihood estimation after transforming the
dependent into a log it variable (the natural log of the odds of the dependent variable
occurring or not). In this way, logistic regression estimates the probability of a certain event
occurring. Note that logistic regression calculates changes in the log odds of the dependent
variable, not changes in the dependent variable itself as ordinary list square regression does
(Hosmer and lemeshow, 1989).
However, logistic regression has many analogies to OLS regression: logit coefficients
correspond to beta coefficients in the logistic regression equation, the standardized log it.
2
Coefficients corresponding to beta weights, and a pseudo R statistics available to summarize
the strength of the relationship between the independent variables and the dependent variable,
does not require normally distributed variables, does not assume homoscedasticity, and in
general has less stringent requirement (Hosmer and Lemeshow, 1989)
β o+ β 1 x 1i +β 2 x2 i +. . . .. . . .. +β k xki
Q( x )=
e
β o+ β 1 x1 i +β 2 x2 i+ .. . . . .. +β
e k xki
1+
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Logistic regression does not assume a liner relationship between the dependent and
independent variable.
The dependent variable must be categorical.
The independent variable need not be interval no normally distributed no linearly
related and no equal variance with in each group.
The group must be mutually exclusive and exhaustive; a case can only be in one
group and every case must be a member of one of the groups.
Larger samples are needed than for linear regression because maximum
likelihood coefficients are largely sample estimates.
The log it regression equation should have a linear relationship with the logit forms
of the dependent variable.
Absence of multi co linearity among explanatory variables.
Logistic regression assumes linearity of independent variables and log odds. Odds ratio (OR):
it is usually to describe the chance that the binary response variable leads to a success
relative to failure. It is defined to be the ratio of odds of the two categories’ where odds
are the ratio of the probability of success to the probability of failure.
[Odds=π / (1-π)], where π is probability of success and 1-π is probability of failure.
To perform tests of hypotheses regarding the fit of the model the deviance is compared to the
percentiles of a χ2 distribution
Model description
Binary logistic regression is most useful when you want to model the event probability for a
categorical response variable with two outcomes. Since the an event must lie between 0 and
1, it is impractical to model probabilities with linear regression techniques, because the linear
regression model allows the dependent variable to take values greater than 1 or less than 0.
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The logistic regression model is a type of generalized linear model that extends the linear
regression model by linking the range of real numbers to the 0-1 range.
I. Dependent variable
The response variable in this study is the status of saving habits in EIHE of Werabe
University college employee instructors. The habits of college employee instructors are
identified either save out of income or no save out of income. The responses variable is a
dichotomous category, and thus coded as the value 1 for ‘save out of income and 0 for no
save out of income.
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Data collection Approximately up to April 30, 2015
Data entry, cleaning and Approximately up to May 30, 2015
analyzing
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REFERENCES
Agresti, A. (2002); An introduction to Categorical Data Analysis. John Wiley and So, Inc.
Andrew,Coleman,(2008); Inflation and the Measurement of Saving and Housing
Affordability.
Befekadu Kereta,(2007); Outreach and Financial Performance Analysis of Microfinance
Institution in Ethiopia.
Bewick, L. and Jonathan, B. (2005); Statistics review 14: Logistic Regression.
Cochran, W.G (1977). Sampling Techniques. Third edition, John Willey and sons (ASIA).
Feifei Wang, (2010). A cooperation of Employee Saving Motives between Chins and
Americans.
Gebeyhw Aychile, (2008). Financial Performance of National Bank of Ethiopia Worker’s
saving and Credit Association with Special Emphasis to Adjustments.
Gokhale, (2000) Personal Saving in Developing nations, Furthered Evidence.
Green Wald,(etal,2001;Gill,2004). Saving Performance in individual Development
Accounts: Does marital status matter ;Journal of marriage and family.
Hosmer and Lemeshow, (1998) Applied logistic regression , 2nd ed, university of
Massachusetts and the Ohio state university, Massachusetts and Columbus http:
Karii .Wuensch Journal of Social Behavior and Personality, (1998, 13, 139-150).
Kassa Woldesenbet,(1998).Impact Analysis of Southern Ethiopia Micro Enterprise project
on Beneficiaries social and economic.
Karim Moussoly,(2010). Participation in Private Retirement Saving Plans,2008.
Mengistu,(1997).Determinants of Micro enterprises loan Repayments and efficiency of
screening Mechanism in urban Ethiopian: in case of Bahirdar and Awassa Town.
Pelrine, Richard and olive Kabatalya, (2005) “Saving Habits, Needs and Priorities in Urban
Uganda “Kampala; USAID/ RURAL SPEED.
Ziorku S.Q,(2003). Financial Sector Reforms stratages and Financial Savings in SSA.
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