2024 February
2024 February
Executive Summary
2. Fiscal Sector
NBR tax revenue collection augmented by 15.09 percent during July-January of FY24; achieving 46.12 percent
of the target set for FY24.
There was a net repayment of National Savings Certificates (NSC) of BDT 7350.35 crore during July-January of
FY24 compared to the net repayment of BDT 3069.43 crore of July-January of FY23.
The government made a net repayment of BDT 18966.60 crore to the banking system during July-January of
FY24, while net borrowing from the public (non-banking system) during July-January of FY23 was BDT 9063.02
crore. Domestic debt (public) to GDP ratio was 15.80 percent at the end of January 2023, slightly lower than
that of the previous year.
1
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
3. Real sector
Headline point-to-point inflation fell to 9.67 percent in February 2024 from 9.86 percent in January 2024.
Headline 12-month average inflation, however, rose to 9.66 percent in February 2024 from 9.59 percent in
January 2024.
The general index of industrial production grew by 3.24 percent (y-o-y) during July-December of FY24 compared
to 8.21 percent (y-o-y) growth of the said index during July-December of FY23.
The disbursement of agricultural credit increased by 17.55 percent while that of the non-farm rural credit
decreased by 7.95 percent during July-January of FY24 compared to the same period of FY23.
The disbursement of CMSME loans increased by 8.06 percent (y-o-y) in FY23 compared to 19.26 percent of
FY22.
The disbursement of industrial term loans increased 31.52 percent (y-o-y) in FY23 compared to 5.23 percent
of FY22.
4. External sector
Merchandise commodity exports grew by 3.71 percent (y-o-y) during July-February of FY24. This
achievement, however, fell short of the strategic target set for the period by 6.48 percent.
Merchandise imports declined by 18.30 percent during July-January of FY24 compared to the same period of
the previous fiscal year.
Fresh opening of import LCs fell by 2.44 percent during July-January of FY24 because of rising the price of
USD and BB’s close price monitoring of LC opening.
Inflow of remittances increased by 7.61 percent (y-o-y) during July-February of FY24 stood at USD 15.08
billion.
Gross foreign exchange reserves stood at USD 25.97 billion at the end of February 2024; however, according
to the BPM6 this gross foreign exchange reserves amounted to USD 20.78 billion.
Receipts of total foreign aid increased by 3.26 percent while that of net foreign aid decreased by 0.43 percent
respectively during July-January of FY24 compared to July-January of FY23.
Bangladesh Taka depreciated against USD by 1.49 percent during July-February of FY24 compared to 11.47
percent depreciation during July-February of FY23.
Current account balance recorded a surplus of USD 3.15 billion during July-January of FY24 compared to a
deficit of USD 4.65 billion during July-January of FY23. The financial account recorded a deficit of USD 7.35
billion during July-January of FY24 against the lower deficit of USD 0.81 billion during July-January of FY23.
As a result, the overall balance recorded a lower deficit of USD 4.68 billion during July-January of FY24
compared to an overall deficit of USD 7.39 billion during July-January of FY23 in the balance of payments.
Note: The information furnished in the executive summary and the subsequent pages are provisional and subject to revision.
2
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
1. Money and credit developments
(BDT in crore)
R R R P Flow of July- Flow of July-
Particulars June, 2022 January, 2023 June, 2023 January, 2024 R P
January, FY23 January, FY24
1 2 3 4 5 6=(3-2) 7=(5-4)
A. Net Foreign Assets of 364298.80 314305.10 316728.30 266789.20 -49993.70 -49939.10
Percent
10 10
8.51
5 5
FY23 FY24 FY23 FY24
0 0
Nov
May
Sep
Jul.
Mar
Jun
Feb
Aug.
Oct
Dec
Jan
Apr
Nov
Mar
May
Jun
Jul.
Sep
Feb
Dec
Aug.
Apr
Oct
Jan
3
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
B. Deposits held with BB* 90979.30 65647.00 71637.40 64875.60 -25332.30 -6761.80
(-24.92) (-28.57) (-21.26) (-1.18) (+56.70) (-365.63)
Of which: Excess
reserves 28302.58 57.87 4381.79 -6893.92 -28244.71 -11275.71
(-55.68) (-99.81) (-84.52) (-12013.56) (+38.19) (-90.17)
Money multiplier 4.92 4.96 4.92 5.48 NA NA
Source: Statis tics Department, BB.
Note:- Figures in the parenthes es indicate percentage changes (y-o-y). P = Provis ional, R = Revis ed, NA = Not applicable:
Growth rate of NDA at the end of current period= [(xt -xt-1 )/|xt-1 |]; where xt = NDA at the end of current period, xt-1 = NDA at the
end of previous period and |xt-1 | = abs olute value of NDA at the end of previous period.
*Includes non-bank financial institutions.
Dec
Aug
Oct
Nov
Jan
Apr
Mar
Jun
Sep
Feb
Money multiplier reached 5.48 at the end of January 2024, from 4.96 at the end of January 2023, as reserve
4
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
1 2 3 4a 4b 5 6 7
=(3+4a+4b
State-owned Banks 133929.83 4393.05 17668.63 925.74 316.25 105898.69 129202.36 74782.51
Specialised Banks 2540.33 n/a 1961.77 22.96 130.26 n/a 2114.98 1961.77
Private Banks
196662.18 14650.28 33317.01 1495.61 4282.71 148100.63 201846.25 140086.74
(Other than Islamic)
Islamic Banks 37933.18 6272.63 15791.51 593.84 1591.80 14306.98 38556.75 37603.68
Foreign Banks 50168.40 726.01 3837.05 2118.41 3776.76 42283.06 52741.29 17033.67
Total 421233.93 26041.97 72575.96 5156.56 10097.79 310589.35 424461.63 271468.37
(as % of total liquid (+6.14) (+17.10) (+1.21) (+2.38) (+73.17)
assets)
Source : Department of Offsite Supervision, BB.
Comment: The data shown in the above table are collected based on the regulatory purposes of Bangladesh Bank.
Note :- Figures in parentheses indicate sectoral share in the total liquid assets. P=provisional. , R= Revised.
*Required reserves is calculated @ 4.0% CRR since April 15, 2020; 1/ Minimum required liquid assets is the sum of required reserves (@4.0% CRR) and Statutory Liquidity
Rrequirement (SLR) (@13.0% for Conventional Banking and @5.5% for Islamic Banking); n/a=Data not required for supervision purpose.
5
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Total liquid assets of scheduled banks increased by 0.77 percent and registered at BDT 424461.63 crore at
the end of January 2024 from the level of end June 2023.
The minimum required liquid assets of the scheduled banks at the end of January 2024 stood at BDT
271468.37 crore, while it was BDT 254961.89 crore at the end of June 2023.
Excess reserves (cash in excess of CRR) stood at BDT 5156.56 crore in January 2024 which was BDT
11629.64 crore in June 2023.
Liquid assets in excess of maintained SLR decreased by 7.07 percent to BDT 154524.39 crore in January
2024 compared to June 2023, however, it was 5.38 percent lower than that of December 2023.
2000 Excess liquid assets (excess of SLR): bank group-wise*
1000 Islamic
State-owned
500 Private (Other than Islamic)
Total Excess Liquid Assets
0
Jun'23
Jan'23
Jan'24
Jul'23
Sep'23
Oct'23
Nov'22
Nov'23
Aug'23
Dec'22
Dec'23
-500 *Specialized banks are exempted from maintaining SLR
Advance Deposit Ratio (ADR) of the banking system was increasing gradually since March 2022
until March 2023. Since September 2023 it stopped falling, remaining well below the allowable
limit1 set by BB and in December 2023, it rose and reached 80.38 percent.
Maintained Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) of the banking sector reached 154.69 percent in
September 2023, still remaining above the minimum requirement of 100 percent that would cover
the banks net cash flows for a minimum of 30 days.2
Minimum regulatory requirement of holding Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR) was maintained at
110.28 percent in September 2023 compared to 109.71 percent percent in June 2023.3
1
Banks were instructed in April 2020 to maintain their ADR within maximum 87 (85 percent + 2.0 percent of special
consideration) percent for conventional banks and 92 (90.0 percent + 2.0 percent of special consideration) percent for Islamic
Shari’ah based banks respectively according to DOS circular no.02 dated 12 April 2020.
2
LCR measures a bank’s need for liquid assets in a stressed environment over the next 30 calendar days: minimum requirement
for LCR is greater or equal to 100 percent.
3
NSFR measures a bank’s need for liquid assets in a stressed environment over one year period: minimum requirement for NSFR
is greater than 100 percent.
6
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
FY23
June --- 6.80 7.07 7.90 8.09 8.71 --- --- --- 6.00 8.00 4.25 6.06
FY24
July --- 7.26 7.35 8.64 8.86 9.02 9.09 --- --- 6.50 8.50 4.50 6.30
August --- 7.33 7.38 8.42 8.92 9.00 9.12 --- --- 6.50 8.50 4.50 6.28
September --- 7.24 7.40 7.97 8.65 8.99 9.20 9.49 9.76 6.50 8.50 4.50 6.41
October 8.27 8.85 9.08 9.39 9.15 10.05 10.39 10.54 10.54 7.25 9.25 5.25 7.35
November 9.39 9.97 10.10 10.26 10.54 10.99 11.01 11.16 11.21 7.75 9.75 5.75 8.03
December 9.90 10.89 11.09 11.28 8.69 10.35 10.46 11.06 11.16 7.75 9.75 5.75 8.84
January -- 11.23 11.33 11.55 11.42 11.51 11.87 11.99 12.08 8.00 9.50 6.50 9.38
February -- 11.34 11.42 11.60 11.70 11.92 12.02 12.12 12.22 8.00 9.50 6.50 9.30
Source: Monetary Policy Department and Debt Management Department, Bangladesh Bank . ---- = no auction conducted,
* Bangladesh Bank has refixed policy Rate at 8.00 percent with 150 (±) basis points symmetric corridor consisting of SLF at 9.50 percent and SDF at 6.50 percent with effect from 21 January,
2024; 1/ Bangladesh Bank calculates SMART (six months moving average rate of Treasury bill) from the moving average of the yields on 182-Day treasury bill over the past six months.
1/ Bangladesh Bank calculates SMART (six months moving average rate of Treasury bill) from the moving average of the yields on 182-Day treasury bill over the past six months.
The weighted average yields on 91-Day, 182-Day and 364-Day increased in February 2024 compared to the
previous month.
The weighted average yields on 2-Year, 5-Year, 10-Year, 15-Year and 20-Year Bangladesh Government
Treasury Bond (BGTB) increased and registered 11.70 percent, 11.92 percent, 12.02 percent, 12.12 percent
and 12.22 percent respectively in February 2024.
The policy rate was increased by 25 basis points and re-fixed at 8.00 percent on 17 January 2024, with a
150(±) basis points symmetric corridor consisting Standing Lending Facility(SLF) rate and Standing Deposit
Facility(SDF) rate, with effect from 21 January 2024.
Weighted average call money rate decreased by 8 basis points to 9.30 percent in February 2024 from 9.38
percent of January 2024.
Yields on treasury bills Policy rate, SDF, SLF and call money rate
14.0 9.50
10.0
12.0 11.60 9.38
11.42 8.0
10.0 8.00
11.34
6.0
Percent
8.0
Percent
6.50
6.0 4.0
4.0 91-day 182-day
2.0 Policy rate(Repo) SDF rate
2.0 Call money rate SLF rate
364-day 14-day
0.0 0.0
Jun.23
Jan.24
Mar.23
Jul.23
May.23
Sep.23
Nov.23
Oct.23
Aug.23
Apr.23
Dec.23
Feb.23
Feb.24
Oct.23
Jun.23
Dec.23
Jan.24
Mar.23
Jul.23
Apr.23
Feb.23
May.23
Sep.23
Feb.24
Nov.23
Aug.23
7
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Spread
on on
WAIR* WAIR* WAIR*
Spread
deposits advances WAIR* on
on Spread on Spread on
advances
advances advances deposits
FY23
June 7.10 4.38 7.31 2.93 7.26 2.88 7.19 2.81 7.93 8.20 0.27
FY24
July 7.10 4.46 7.75 3.29 7.69 3.23 7.65 3.19 8.02 8.18 0.16
August 7.14 4.52 7.85 3.33 7.80 3.28 7.75 3.23 8.08 11.47 3.39
September 7.20 4.52 7.83 3.31 7.78 3.26 7.73 3.21 8.15 11.58 3.43
October 7.43 4.55 7.89 3.34 7.84 3.29 7.80 3.25 8.21 11.60 3.39
November 7.72 4.64 7.99 3.35 … … … … 8.34 11.65 3.31
December 8.14 4.70 9.36 4.66 … … … … 8.45 11.68 3.23
January 8.68 4.92 9.75 4.83 … … … … 8.65 11.77 3.12
February 9.61 … … … … … … … … … …
Source: Debt Management Department and Statistics Department, Bangladesh Bank.
*WAIR = Weighted Average Interest Rate. **Six M onths' M oving Average Rate of Treasury Bills. ... = Data not avaiable; @WAIR on advances for NBFIs was calculated
based on the last contractual interest rate for the current bad loans since August 2023.
The spread between the weighted average interest rate (WAIR) on advances and deposits of all
banks moved up by 17 basis points to 4.83 percent in January 2024 compared to the previous
month.
Spread between the WAIR on advances and deposits of NBFIs stood at 3.12 percent in
January 2024 which was 3.23 percent in December 2023. It should be noted that, the WAIR on
lending had been calculated based on the last contractual interest rate for bad loans from
August 2023.
The WAIR on deposits of all banks and NBFIs rose to 4.92 percent and 8.65 percent
respectively in January 2024 compared to the previous month.
The reference lending rate, known as ‘SMART’ (six months moving average rate of treasury
bills) increased by 93 basis point to 9.61 percent in February 2024.
Spreads between WAIR on deposits and advances, across types of financial intermediaries and
major sectors of the economy, ploted in the following charts (page 09), show a steady but
elevated stance in response to the reference rate.
8
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
c. Sector-wise breakdown of interest rate spread of all scheduled banks
(Percent)
Sector-wise break down of interest rate spread of all scheduled banks
All other sectors
SME Agriculture Large Industries Services
(excluding SME)
WAIR* WAIR* WAIR* WAIR* WAIR*
Spread
Spread
Spread
Spread
Spread
on on on on on
advances advances advances advances advances
FY23
June 6.99 2.61 7.39 3.01 7.48 3.10 7.23 2.85 7.66 3.28
FY23
July 7.39 2.93 7.82 3.36 7.96 3.50 7.70 3.24 8.36 3.90
August 7.45 2.93 7.94 3.42 8.23 3.71 7.77 3.25 8.38 3.86
September 7.49 2.97 7.91 3.39 8.29 3.77 7.74 3.22 8.40 3.88
October 7.57 3.02 7.96 3.41 8.30 3.75 7.83 3.28 8.45 3.90
November 7.68 3.04 … … 8.64 4.00 7.91 3.27 … …
December 9.52 4.82 … … 9.34 4.64 9.36 4.66 … …
January 9.87 4.95 … … 9.51 4.59 9.80 4.88 … …
Source: Statistics Department, Bangladesh Bank.
*WAIR = Weighted Average Interest Rate. # Revised.
5.6 Sector-wise break down of interest rate spread of banks
5.1 4.95
4.88
4.6
3.90 4.59
4.1
3.6
Percent
3.1
2.6
2.1 SME Agriculture Large Industry Service
1.6
Oct'23
Dec'23
Jan'23
Feb'23
Mar'23
Jul'23
Sep'23
Jan'24
Nov'23
Apr'23
Jun'23
May'23
Aug'23
2.00
3.50
1.00
3.00
2.50 0.00
Oct'23
Dec'23
Jan'23
Feb'23
Mar'23
Jul'23
Sep'23
Jan'24
Apr'23
Nov'23
Jun'23
May'23
Aug'23
9
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
The DSE Broad Index (DSEX) moved down by 1.49 percent (m-o-m) in January 2024.
Market capitalization decreased by 3.73 percent (m-o-m) to BDT 751734.10 crore at the end of January
2024 which is 15.01 percent of nominal GDP.
Total turnover in terms of value increased by 54.29 percent (m-o-m), while its’ volume increased by
39.24 percent (m-o-m) at the end of January 2024 respectively.
The relative strength index (RSI) of DSEX increased to 29.17 in January 2024 from that of index 36.58
in December 2023, indicating oversold situation of the stock market.
The PE ratio slightly moved up to 14.40 in January 2024 from 13.12 in December 2023.
The DSE Shariah index moved up to 1348.95 in January 2024 from 1346.15 in December 2023.
The number of enlisted issues (of securities) increased to 656 in January 2024 compared to 654 in
December 2023, thus issued capital (of listed securities) also increased as well in January 2024.
The share of individual industries in total turnover is shown in the pie chart:
Share of sectoral turnover, January 2024 Market capitalization and index of DSE
nication 7200
16.88% 6000
0.53%
Food & 5200
Fuel
&Power Allied 4000
Product 3200
4.10%
7.04% 2000
Mutual 1200
Funds
3.88% Pharmaceuti 0 -800
Cement cals &
June'23
Oct'23
Jan'23
Jan'24
Mar'23
Dec'23
Apr'23
Feb'23
May'23
Sep'23
Nov'23
Aug'23
July'23
2.03% Textile
Engineering Chemicals
5.85%
12.98%
13.07%
10
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
6. Public finance
a. Government tax revenue collections
(Taka in crore)
Total revenue collections
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY222/ FY23
during
NBR Tax Revenue 171679.14 202312.94 223892.42 218406.05 259881.8 301633.84 331454.88
(185000.00) (225000.00) (280000.00) (300500.00) (301000.00) (330000.00) (370000.00)
1/ 6282.39 7041.07 6031.9 3950.11 4918.3 6990.92 7555.59
Non-NBR Tax Revenue
(7261.00) (7202.00) (9600.00) (12567.00) (15000.00) (16000.00) (18000.00)
Total Tax Revenue 177961.53 209354.01 229924.32 222356.16 264800.1 308624.76 339010.47
(192261.00) (232202.00) (289600.00) (313068.00) (316000.00) (346000.00) (388000.00)
Note:- Figures in parentheses indicate the target of revenue collection.
1/ Before FY22 Non-NBR tax revenue included narcotics & liquor duty, taxes on vehicals, road tax, land revenue and stamp duty (non judicial);2/ According to iBAS++ from FY22
onwards.Non-NBR tax revenue includes taxes on financial and capital transactions, narcotic and liquor duty, taxes on use of goods and on permission to use goods or perform
activities and stamp duty. 3/Data for non-NBR tax revenue available up to June 2023 (FY23) since October 2023.
(BDT in crore)
NBR Tax Revenue Non-NBR Total Tax
Customs Tax Revenue
VAT Income Tax Others* Total
duties Revenue2/ Collections
1 2 3 4 5=(1+..+4) 6 7=(5+6)
FY23R
January 3053.41 10374.88 8504.11 4946.34 26878.74 946.94 27825.68
20916.07 66027.98 52463.14 32903.03 172310.22 4438.10 176748.32
July-January
(+10.89) (+22.09) (+0.00)
P
FY24
January 3525.79 12566.20 11050.52 5532.93 32675.44 NA NA
22897.46 81254.48 61840.23 32313.08 198305.25 NA NA
July-January
(+15.09) NA NA
Source: National Board of Revenue and Office of the Controller General of Accounts, Bangladesh, P=Provisional, R=Revised. Note:-* others include
sup p lementary tax (local+imp ort), Exp ort, Excise duty , Turnover tax and Travel tax. Figures in the p arentheses indicate p ercentage changes over the
corresp onding p eriod of the p receding y ear; NA=Not Available. #Data for total tax revenue is not available from July 2023, as Non-NBR tax revenue is
not available.
NBR tax revenue collection grew by 15.09 percent (y-o-y) during July-January of FY24. VAT,
income tax and customs duty stood at 40.97 percent, 31.18 percent and 11.55 percent of total
NBR tax revenue respectively during the period under review.
This collection during July-January of FY24 was 46.12 percent of the target set for FY24 (target
for NBR tax revenue collection have been set at BDT 4,30,000.00 crore in the budget for FY24).
Total tax revenue (NBR and Non-NBR) during July-December of FY24 grew by 13.18 percent
(y-o-y), plotted in the following chart on the left-hand side.
20
percent
20
13.18 15.09
15
0 10
10.89
-20 5
Jul-23
Jan-23
Feb-23
Jun-23
Sep-23
Oct-23
Dec-22
Mar-23
Apr-23
Dec-23
Aug-23
Nov-23
May-23
0
May
Jun.
Sep.
Feb.
Nov.
Mar.
Jul.
Jan.
Oct.
Dec.
Apr.
Aug.
11
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Percent
during July-January of FY24 compared to the same period of the -400
Sep.
Feb.
Jul.
Jan.
Mar.
Jun.
Nov.
Apr.
Dec.
Oct.
May.
Aug.
substantially by 139.47 percent (y-o-y) resulting in a net repayment of
Outstanding amount of NSC stood at BDT 353354.69 crore at the end of January 2024, which was 2.10 percent lower compared to the same
13
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Total
Net borrowing of Net non-bank
Total Net foreign Total financing as Outstanding Outstanding domestic
the Govt. from borrowing of the
FY domestic financing 3/ financing % of GDP @
Domestic debt debt as % of GDP@
the banking Govt. from the
1/ financing at current (end period)4/ at current market price
system public 2/
market price
1 2 3 4=(2+3) 5 6=(4+5) 7 8 9
FY19 18269.30 53928.68 72197.98 42084.37 114282.35 3.87 428262.35 14.51
FY20 66907.60 22986.27 89893.87 50999.13 140893.00 4.44 518156.22 16.34
FY21 39790.00 44280.64 84070.64 47402.71 131473.35 3.72 602226.86 17.06
FY22 61940.50 26925.08 88865.58 73197.27 162072.00 4.08 691092.44 17.40
FY23 102017.30 7651.84 109669.14 74645.22 184314.36 4.10 800761.58 17.83
July-January of FY23 19880.30 3796.75 23677.05 32123.95 55801.00 1.24 714769.49 15.92
July-January of FY24 -18966.60 9063.02 -9903.58 36616.39 26712.81 0.53 790858.00 15.80
Source: Statistics Department and Debt Management Department, Bangladesh Bank; Department of National Savings (DNS); Ministry of Finance & Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS).
1/ 2/
Excludes interest. Includes treasury bills & bonds (both in face value, Bangladesh Government Investment Sukuk included since December 2020) held by the non-bank financial institutions through secondary
3/
auctions, Net sale (NSCs) and excludes P.Bonds/income tax Bonds. Total foreign aid disbursement less amortization payment (converted using cummulative exchange rate of the corresponding period).
4/
Outstanding Domestic Debt (end period)= Outstanding domestic debt of a fiscal year + Total Domestic financing of the following fiscal year. @ Actual revised GDP and estimated annual GDP for FY23 as published
by BBS. nominal GDP (base 2015-16=100) has been used.Estimated GDP for FY23 is as per Medium Term Macroeconomic Framework (MTMF) of MoF.
Net repayment of the government from the banking system reached BDT 18966.60 crore while, non-bank borrowing of the government
from the public reached BDT 9063.02 crore. The large repayment to banking system resulted in a net domestic repayment of BDT
Net foreign financing increased by 13.98 percent (y-o-y) to BDT 36616.39 crore during the period under review.
14
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Despite the larger domestic repayment, borrowing of the government was BDT 26712.81 crore during July-January of FY24 compared to
As per budget for FY24, targets for government’s borrowing from the banking system (net), non-banking system (net) and foreign sources
(net) for FY24 has been set at BDT 1323.95 billion, BDT 230.00 billion and BDT 1024.90 billion respectively. Total deficit financing
15
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
CPI inflation
Headline inflation (point to point) declined to Base shifted from
FY06
13.0
9.67 percent (y-o-y) in February 2024 from to Base:
12.0 FY222 FY2021-22=100
January 2024.
11.0
Food inflation (p-t-p) and non-food inflation 10.0 9.67
(p-t-p) declined to 9.44 percent and 9.33 percent
Percent
9.0 9.66
respectively. Headline inflation (p-t-p) declined, 8.0
due to the fall in both food and non-food 7.0
inflation. 6.0
12 month average Point to Point
Twelve-month average headline inflation 5.0
Jan'24
Oct'23
Feb'23
Sep'23
Dec'23
Feb'24
Mar'23
Apr'23
Jun'23
May'23
Aug'23
Nov'23
1
BBS has changed the base of CPI from 2005-06 to 2021-22 along with new basket weights, methodologies and introducing classification of Individual
Consumption by Purpose (COICOP). (Details about the new base can be found in the volumes before 09/2023 September 2023, of this document.)
2
Base shifted from FY06 to FY22 for point to point general index and twelve month average general index. Inflation is calculated accordingly.
16
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
8.0
compared to 8.13 percent growth of January 7.78
7.0
2024. 7.11
Sep'23
Feb'24
Mar'23
Nov'23
Jul'23
Jan'24
Oct'23
Apr'23
Dec'23
Aug'23
May'23
Among the eight divisions of Bangladesh, Rangpur experienced 8.25 percent growth (y-o-
y) in WRI followed by Dhaka (7.44 percent), Khulna (7.23 percent), Rajshahi (7.15
percent), Barishal (6.83 percent), Chattogram (6.55 percent) and Sylhet (6.38 percent). The
new division Mymensingh had the wage rate index of 114.71 in February 2024, which was
113.87 in January 2024.
1
BBS has changed the base of WRI from 2010-11 to 2021-22, with the help of Labor Force Survey 2016-17, and have been publishing with this new base
since July 2023.
17
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
8. Industrial production
a. Industrial production of manufacturing industry
The production index of all manufacturing enterprises (large, SMME and cottage) decreased
by 0.88 percent to 223.60 in December 2023 from 225.59 in December 2022.
Dec
Aug
Oct
Nov
Apr
Jan
Mar
Jun
Sep
Feb
1
According to base: FY2015-16=100. Monthly data were introduced instead of quarterly data for the new base (FY2015-
16=100) since October 2022.
18
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
9. Food Situations
(In lac metric ton)
Food grai n Imports Foodgrai
Actual Domesti c Publ i c n Stock
Fi scal Producti on Producti on Net Domesti c Publ i c
Domesti c (Publ i c)*
Year Target Producti on* Publ i c** Pri vate Total Di stri buti on
(Gross) 1 Procurement ** (End
June)
FY18 372.97 373.76 336.38 13.91 83.83 97.74 15.35 21.17 13.15
FY19 373.12 374.08 336.67 5.44 52.90 58.34 24.15 25.94 16.74
FY20 399.69 376.32 338.69 4.36 60.02 64.38 18.71 27.77 11.20
FY21 395.53 386.93 348.24 10.52 56.50 67.02 15.53 32.63 14.48
FY22 407.08 392.31 353.08 12.29 37.70 49.99 20.20 30.77 16.07
1
FY23 427.32 402.19 361.97 13.14 36.17 49.31 19.43 30.08 18.48
T
FY24 446.50 ---- ---- 11.00 ---- 11.00 20.74 33.53 ----
Note : T =Target. ---- = Data not avaiable; 1 Actual Domestic Production (gross) for Rice (Aus, Aman & Boro) and wheat. B = Boro, R =
Revised, (import, procrument and distribution are revised),
1
*= After 10% deduction for seed, feed, waste etc., **Including food aid, ***Including transit, Rice= Aus, Aman and Boro. , Production of
Aus and Aman for FY22 .
(In lac metric ton)
Parti cul ars Jul y-January, FY24 Jul y-January, FY23
Food production (rice and wheat) reached 402.19 lac metric tons in FY23.
Food grain (Aus, Aman, Boro and wheat) production target for FY24 is set at 446.50 lac metric tons.
Import (rice and wheat), distribution (rice and wheat) and procurement of rice (Aman and Boro) rose
by 6.24 lac metric tons (y-o-y), 1.65 lac metric tons (y-o-y) and 2.55 lac metric tons (y-o-y)
respectively during July-January of FY24.
Stock of food grains was lower by 3.14 lac metric tons at the end of January of FY24 compared to the
same period of the previous fiscal year.
30
550 24.04
446.5 25
19.57
450 20
16.43
12.56 15
350 402.19 10.01
10
250
5
150 0
FY20
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
19
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
2000 600
1755.04
1500 400
1000 286.93 259.18
200
500 FY23 FY24 FY23 FY24
0 0
May
Sep.
Feb.
Jun.
Mar.
Nov.
Jul.
Jan.
Oct.
Dec.
Apr.
Aug.
May
Jul.
Jan.
Sep.
Oct.
Dec.
Feb.
Jun.
Mar.
Apr.
Aug.
Nov.
Total disbursement of agriculture and non-farm rural credit registered at BDT 21153.85 crore during
July-January of FY24, of which BDT 18233.02 crore was disbursed as agriculture credit and BDT
2920.83 crore as non-farm rural credit.
The disbursement of agricultural credit grew by 17.55 percent (y-o-y) during July-January of FY24, up
from 15.45 percent during the same period of previous fiscal year. On the other hand, Non-farm rural
credit, decreased by 7.95 percent (y-o-y) during July- January of FY24.
Recovery of agriculture credit showed 11.95 percent (y-o-y) growth, while the recovery growth of non-
farm rural credit was 0.50 perccent (y-o-y) during July-January of FY24.
c. Overdue and outstanding agriculture and non-farm rural credit
(BDT in crore)
P R
FY24 FY23
End Month Overdue as % Overdue Outstanding Overdue as %
Overdue Outstanding
of outstanding of outstanding
January 9031.63 55634.92 16.23 7301.45 51225.71 14.25
(+23.70) (+8.61) (-1.15) (+5.94)
Source: Agricultural Credit Department, Bangladesh Bank.
Note:- Figures in parenthesis indicate percentage changes over the corresponding period of the preceding year. P = Provisional, R = Revised.
Overdue of agriculture and non-farm rural credit as percentage of its total outstanding increased and
stood at 16.23 in January of FY24 compared to the same period of FY23, while it was a bit higher
compared to 14.59 percent in December of FY24.
Outstanding agriculture and non-farm rural credit registered 8.61 percent (y-o-y) growth in January of
FY24 compared to the same period of FY23.
20
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Overdue Outstanding
End Period
LSI MSI SSCI Total LSI MSI SSCI Total
June, 2022 34851.82 11738.42 4338.28 50928.52 246669.08 49664.12 24077.02 320410.22
June, 2023 41588.82 12414.37 5587.23 59590.42 305269.01 57555.00 32493.81 395317.82
Source: SME & Special Programmes Department, Bangladesh Bank .
Note:- Figures in parentheses indicate changes over the same period of the previous year.
LSI=Large Scale Industries, MSI=Medium Scale Industries, SSCI= Small Scale & Cottage Industries.
Total disbursement and total recovery of industrial term loans increased by 31.52 percent (y-o-
y) and 64.03 percent (y-o-y) respectively in FY23 as compared to their levels of FY22.
Disbursement and recovery of industrial term loans also increased by 22.01 percent (y-o-y)
and 2.72 percent (y-o-y) during April-June, the last quarter of FY23 against the same period of
Outstanding amount of industrial term loans at the end of June 2023 stood at BDT 395317.82
crore.
Overdue of industrial term loans at the end of June 2023 was BDT 59590.42 crore, which was
21
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Banks/NBFIs Non-Bank
State-owned Foreign Specialised
CMSME Loans Private Banks Financial Total
Banks Banks Banks
FY/Quarter Institutions
1
Table presented using latest available data and will be updated when new data is available.
22
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
12. Export
a. Annual exports
(USD in million)
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23R
36668.17 40535.04 33674.12 38758.31 52082.66 55558.77
(+5.81) (+10.55) (-16.93) (+15.10) (+34.38) (+6.67)
Source : Export Promotion Bureau (EPB), Bangladesh.
b. Monthly exports
(USD in million)
P
Month FY24 FY23R
July 4592.92 3984.81
August 4782.19 4607.00
September 4310.33 3905.07
October 3762.03 4356.62
November 4784.81 5092.56
December 5308.09 5365.19
January 5724.34 5136.24
February 5187.50 4630.18
July-February 38452.21 37077.67
(+3.71) (+9.56)
Export target is set at USD 62000.00 million for FY24.
S o urc e : Expo rt P ro m o tio n B ure au (EP B ), B anglade s h.
R =R e v is e d data; P =P ro v is io nal. S trate gic targe t during J uly-M ay o f FY 23
N o te :- Figure s in pare nthe s e s indic ate pe rc e ntage c hange s o v e r the
c o rre s po nding pe rio d o f the pre c e ding ye ar.
5000 5187.5
20.00
Percent
Apr.
Oct.
Dec.
Jan.
Aug.
Nov.
Sep.
Mar.
May
Feb.
Jun.
Jul.
Apr.
Oct.
Dec.
Jan.
Aug.
Nov.
Sep.
Mar.
Feb.
23
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Exports increased mainly due to increasing demand for knitwear, which contributed 48.35 percent
share of the country’s export and increased by 8.98 percent (y-o-y) during July-February of FY24.
The readymade garment products (knitwear and woven garments) contributed the lion’s share
(85.45 percent) of the country’s exports during the period.
Among all others items, exports of plastic products (+16.82%), chemical products (+12.53%), and
agricultural products (+2.14%) increased during July-February of FY24.
There were the highest decreases in exports of home textiles (-29.94%), followed by leather and
leather products (-14.38%), frozen and live fish (-14.10%), jute and jute goods (-4.68%),
engineering products (-3.26%) and woven garments (-0.26%) during July-January of FY24 as
compared to the preceding fiscal year. The highest reduction of exports by volume occurred in
exports of woven garments during the period.
24
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
13. Imports
a. Custom-based import, import LCs settlement and LCs opening
(USD in million)
Custom based import (c&f) Import LCs opening Import LCs settlement
P R P1 P1
Month FY23 FY22 FY23 FY23
July-June 75061.60 89162.30 67632.90 72856.21
(-15.81) (+35.93) (-26.67) (-12.94)
Month FY24
P
FY23
R
FY24
P2
FY24
P2
Custom based imports decreased by USD 8705.50 million or 18.30 percent (y-o-y) during July-January
of FY24, which had also decreased by 5.72 percent during July-January of FY23. The fall in imports
might be the outcome of a number of initiatives taken by the central bank as well as the government
since April 2022, i.e., close monitoring of LC opening with price rationalization along with
allowing depreciation of local currency.
Opening of import LCs fell by 2.44 percent (y-o-y) during July-January of FY24, while settlement
of import LCs declined by 15.23 percent. Even though, LC opening has been fluctuating over the
consecutive months, overall, total amount of LC opening has been falling since September 2022;
which has eventually caused a decline in total LCs settlement during July-January of FY24.
30 8000
Percent
20 6371.50
10 6000
0 -5.72
4000 5865.00
-10
-20 2000 FY23 FY24
-30 -18.30
0
Jun.
Jul.
Oct.
Apr.
Jan.
Aug.
Nov.
Dec.
Sep.
Mar.
May.
Feb.
May
Aug.
Dec.
Jan.
Sep.
Mar.
Jun.
Jul.
Apr.
Oct.
Nov.
Feb.
25
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Among the categories, intermediate goods, capital goods, consumer goods and food grains had
60.29 percent, 16.83 percent, 6.96 percent and 2.48 percent share respectively to total custom-
Decline in the imports of food grains (39.44 percent), capital goods (24.61 percent), intermediate
goods (18.02 percent) and consumer goods (17.42 percent) during July-January of FY24 as
26
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Item wise share of LCs opening during July-January of FY24 and July-January of FY23 are shown
in the following pie diagrams. Item-wise detailed data of fresh opening and settlement of import
LCs during July-January of FY24 and July-January of FY23 are also given in the appendix.
d. Projection of opening import LCs and probable liabilities against back to back LCs of
authorized dealer banks
(USD in million)
Probable liabilities of banks against
Month Opening of import LCs
back to back LCs
Feb'24 4683.74 908.60
March'24 4830.58 959.48
April'24 4741.47 805.06
Feb-Apr, FY24 14255.79 2673.14
Source: Compiled by Monetary Policy Department (MPD), Bangladesh Bank on the basis of the statements of all authorized dealer
banks.
The projection of import LCs opening during February-April of FY24 was USD 14255.79 million
which was higher than the projection of USD 13121.51 million during February-April of FY23.The
probable liability against back to back LCs was USD 2673.14 million during February-April of FY24
which was 43.13 percent of foreign currency holdings (Nostro account net balance+Investment in
OBU+FC balances with Bangladesh Bank) of AD banks as on 29 February 2024.
27
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Total workers’ remittances inflow increased by USD 1066.26 million or 7.61 percent to USD
15078.87 million during July-February of FY24 compared to that of July-February of FY23. This
increase in inward remittances may be a result of depreciation of BDT and new incentive
opportunity extended by banks, with effect from 22 October 2023, which allows up to 2.5 percent
incentive on inward remittances in addition to the existing 2.5 percent incentive facility by the
government.
Inflow of workers’ remittances continued to increase since December 2023 and registered USD
2166.04 million in February 2024, which was 38.81 percent higher compared to the same month
of previous year and it was also 2.50 percent higher compared to the previous month of the same
year.
Monthly movements of workers' Cumulative growth of workers'
3500
remittance inflow 60 remittance inflow
3000
40
2500
In million USD
2166.04
Percent
20 7.61
2000
1500 0
1560.48 4.27
1000 -20
500 -40
FY24 FY23
FY24 FY23
0 -60
Jan.
Aug.
Sep.
Dec.
Mar.
Jun.
Jul.
Oct.
Apr.
Nov.
Feb.
May.
Jan.
May
Dec.
Aug.
Sep.
Mar.
Jun.
Jul.
Apr.
Oct.
Nov.
Feb.
28
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
The U.A.E. appeared as the largest remittance sender country during July-February of FY24 while
U.S.A has been the top remittance sender country for the same period of FY23.
Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries (K.S.A, UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, Bahrain) had
49.00 percent share of total inflow of remittances during July-February of FY24, whereas about
11.11 percent of total remittance came from U.S.A. during the period under review.
In the top ten list, among the European countries, the U.K. and Italy contributed combindly to
19.11 percent of total remittances received during July-February of FY24.
29
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Sep.23
Feb.24
Mar.23
Nov.23
Jul.23
Oct.23
Jan.24
Apr.23
Dec.23
May.23
Aug.23
Year 5.20
July 5900.52 4881.49 4.60
August 5808.74 5018.67
B. Outstanding 4.00
September 6174.01 4904.99
reserve at the end 3.40
October 5924.02 4505.60
of the month 2.80
November 5970.87 4708.18
2.20
December 5559.65 4795.90
Jul.23
Jan.24
Jun.23
Oct.23
Feb.23
Sep.23
Feb.24
Mar.23
Apr.23
Dec.23
Aug.23
Nov.23
May.23
July 0.00 405.79 405.79 170.78 235.00 0.00 488.04 488.04 136.48 351.55
August 0.00 333.28 333.28 117.73 215.56 0.00 376.26 376.26 79.81 296.45
September 5.50 543.87 549.37 241.08 308.29 12.50 472.45 484.95 197.02 287.94
October 0.00 344.45 344.45 133.12 211.33 0.00 690.81 690.81 138.25 552.56
November 0.00 648.33 648.33 163.43 484.89 0.00 491.88 491.88 131.55 360.32
December 5.00 1777.61 1782.61 127.89 1654.71 12.50 1236.13 1248.63 108.42 1140.21
January 0.00 334.66 334.66 114.44 220.22 0.00 478.92 478.92 123.49 355.43
July-January 10.50 4387.98 4398.48 1068.48 3330.01 25.00 4234.48 4259.48 915.02 3344.46
(+3.63) (+3.26) (+16.77) (-0.43) (-10.17) (-9.69) (+0.74) (-12.18)
Source: Forex Reserve & Treasury Management Department (FRTMD), Bangladesh Bank & Economic Relations Division, Ministry of Finance.
Note:- Figures in the parenthesis indicate percentage changes (y-o-y). P = Provisional, Project Aid includes grant and loan; food aid indicates
food grant.
4259.48
USD in million
3000
4398.48
3344.46
3330.01
2500
foreign aid was also reduced by USD 14.45 2000
million or 0.43 percent (y-o-y) during July- 1500
1000
January of FY24. 500
31
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
120
81.77 in February 2024. 110
upward turn of the index from 100 indicates a 70 NEER (LHS) REER (LHS)
Sep-23
Sep-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
Feb-23
Jun-23
Nov-23
Dec-23
Feb-24
Aug-22
Jul-23
Aug-23
Jan-23
Jan-24
Oct-22
Oct-23
32
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
R
July-January July-January
Particulars FY22 FY23
of FY23R of FY24P
Trade balance -33250 -17163 -13396 -4628
Exports f.o.b(including EPZ) 49245 52332 30631 31398
Imports f.o.b(including EPZ) 82495 69495 44027 36026
Services -3987 -4384 -2389 -2767
Credit 8531 6971 4321 3635
Debit 12518 11355 6710 6402
Primary income -2726 -3407 -1701 -2713
Credit 345 443 250 308
Debit 3071 3850 1951 3021
Of which:Official interest payment 518 1030 402 867
Secondary income 21767 22289 12838 13256
Official transfers 65 88 38 23
Private transfers 21702 22201 12800 13233
of which : Workers' remittances (current a/c. 0 21493 12382 12837
portion)**
Current account balance -18196 -2665 -4648 3148
Capital account 610 475 174 162
Capital transfers 610 475 174 162
Financial account 16691 -2078 -812 -7354
i) Foreign direct investment(net)* 1827 1649 999 901
ii) Portfolio investment (net) -158 -30 -46 -107
of which : Workers' remittances (financial a/c. 114 118 70 64
portion)**
iii) Other investment(net) 15022 -3697 -1765 -8148
Medium and long-term (MLT) loans 10295 8704 4048 4380
MLT amortization payments 1527 1745 915 1155
Other long-term loans (net) 1443 434 25 392
Other short-term loans (net) 3315 -1883 -546 -1359
Trade credit (net) 311 -6436 -2509 -9222
DMBs & NBDCs(net) 1185 -2771 -1868 -1184
Assets 791 799 379 13
Liabilities 1976 -1973 -1489 -1170
Errors and omissions -5761 -3954 -2102 -640
Overall balance -6656 -8222 -7387 -4684
Reserve assets 6656 8222 7387 4684
Bangladesh Bank(net) 6656 8222 7387 4684
Assets -4987 -8766 -8890 -4768
Liabilities 1669 -544 -1503 -84
Gross official reserves (as per BPM6) 33386 24754 24701 19963
Gross official reserves 41827 31203 32223 25112
In months of imports of goods and services (prospective) 6.2 4.9 5.3 4.4
33
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Current account balance recorded a surplus of USD 3.15 billion during July-January of FY24
compared to a deficit of USD 4.65 billion during July-January of FY23, mainly supported by lower
trade deficit during the period.
Overall balance incurred a lower deficit of USD 4.68 billion during July-January of FY24
compared to USD 7.39 billion deficit during July-January of FY23. Despite the surplus in current
account balance, a deficit in the financial account of USD 7.35 billion resulted in this deficit in
overall balance during the period under review. The deficit in financial account was mainly
attributed by deficits in trade credit net (USD 9.22 billion) and other net short term loans (USD
1.36 billion).
The foreign exchange reserves of January 2024 were sufficient to pay import of goods for 4.8
months (cif, prospective) which is lower from 5.1 months in December 2023.
-4000 5.5
Months
Sep.23
Mar.23
Nov.23
Jul.23
Jan.23
Jan.24
Apr.23
Oct.23
Dec.23
Aug.23
May.23
Balance
34
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Appendix A
Break-up of fresh opening and settlement of import LCs
(USD in million )
Percentage changes
during July-January of
July-January of FY24 July-January of FY23
FY24 over July-January
of FY23
Items Opening Settlement Opening Settlement Opening Settlement
A. Consumer goods 4002.49 3792.51 4791.58 4750.31 -16.47 -20.16
Rice and wheat 926.32 865.88 1536.89 1341.47 -39.73 -35.45
Sugar and salt 802.55 680.25 585.55 426.50 37.06 59.50
Milk food 188.74 213.94 183.17 205.17 3.04 4.28
Edible oil (refined) 772.65 792.10 1167.08 1386.18 -33.80 -42.86
All kinds of fruits 247.26 165.37 196.54 158.52 25.81 4.32
Pulses 123.67 136.23 149.49 141.92 -17.28 -4.01
Onion 161.76 168.66 82.45 75.90 96.18 122.23
Spices 297.71 289.93 144.31 146.06 106.30 98.50
Second hand clothings 0.78 0.38 2.40 1.32 -67.39 -71.15
35
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
36
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (February, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Appendix B
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Updates (MEI) Publication Panel
Chief Adviser
Chief Editor
Assistant Editor
Contributor
37