YPF Investor Q4 2023
YPF Investor Q4 2023
INVESTOR
PRESENTATION
MAY 2024
Documento: YPF-Público
IMPORTANT NOTICE Documento: YPF-Público
Safe harbor statement under the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (the “Private Securities Litigation Reform Act”).
This document contains statements that YPF believes constitute forward-looking statements under within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act.
These forward-looking statements may include statements regarding the intent, belief, plans, current expectations or objectives of YPF and its management, including statements with respect to YPF’s future
financial condition, financial, operating, reserve replacement and other ratios, results of operations, business strategy, geographic concentration, business concentration, production and marketed volumes and
reserves, as well as YPF’s plans, expectations or objectives with respect to future capital expenditures, investments, expansion and other projects, exploration activities, ownership interests, divestments, cost
savings and dividend payout policies. These forward-looking statements may also include assumptions regarding future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining and
marketing margins and exchange rates. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, prices, margins, exchange rates or other events and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and
other factors which may be beyond YPF’s control or may be difficult to predict.
YPF’s actual future financial condition, financial, operating, reserve replacement and other ratios, results of operations, business strategy, geographic concentration, business concentration, production and marketed
volumes, reserves, capital expenditures, investments, expansion and other projects, exploration activities, ownership interests, divestments, cost savings and dividend payout policies, as well as actual future
economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining margins and exchange rates, could differ materially from those expressed or implied in any such forward-looking statements.
Important factors that could cause such differences include, but are not limited to, oil, gas and other price fluctuations, supply and demand levels, currency fluctuations, exploration, drilling and production results,
changes in reserves estimates, success in partnering with third parties, loss of market share, industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, the risks of doing business in developing countries, legislative,
tax, legal and regulatory developments, economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions, political risks, wars and acts of terrorism, natural disasters, project delays or advancements and
lack of approvals, as well as those factors described in the filings made by YPF and its affiliates with the Securities and Exchange Commission, in particular, those described in “Item 3. Key Information—Risk
Factors” and “Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects” in YPF’s Annual Report on Form 20-F, filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”). In light of the foregoing, the
forward-looking statements included in this document may not occur.
Except as required by law, YPF does not undertake to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements even if experience or future changes make it clear that the projected performance, conditions or
events expressed or implied therein will not be realized.
These materials do not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of any offer to buy any securities of YPF S.A. in any jurisdiction. Securities may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration with
the SEC or an exemption from such registration.
Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors — The United States SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to separately disclose proved, probable and possible reserves that a company has
determined in accordance with the SEC rules. We may use certain terms in this presentation, such as resources, that the SEC’s guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. U.S. Investors are
urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No. 1-12102 available on the SEC website www.sec.gov.
Our estimates of EURs, included in our Development Costs, are by their nature more speculative than estimates of proved, probable and possible reserves and accordingly are subject to substantially greater risk of
being actually realized, particularly in areas or zones where there has been limited history. Actual locations drilled and quantities that may be ultimately recovered from our concessions will differ substantially.
Ultimate recoveries will be dependent upon numerous factors including actual encountered geological conditions and the impact of future oil and gas pricing.
As of 4Q2022, the financial information in this document is expressed, unless otherwise indicated, in US dollars corresponding to the functional currency of YPF S.A. The information is based on the financial
statements prepared in accordance with IFRS in force in Argentina. On the other hand, the financial information of previous periods is restated in US dollars corresponding to the functional currency of YPF S.A (in
replacement of the individual financial results of YPF S.A. expressed in Argentine pesos divided by the average exchange rate for the period).
Documento: YPF-Público
Documento: YPF-Público
AGENDA
02. UPSTREAM
03. DOWNSTREAM
Documento: YPF-Público
LARGEST AND LEADING COMPANY IN ARGENTINA Documento: YPF-Público
YPF is the largest company in Argentina – in The National State is the controlling shareholder
with a 51% stake. The remaining 49% floats
terms of revenues – with almost 100-year-old history
on the NYSE (72%) and BYMA (28%)(1)
(1) As of December 2023.
Upstream
REVENUES Fuels (Local) ADJUSTED EBITDA & MARGIN CAPEX
Natural Gas (Local) Downstream
IN BILLION OF US$ IN BILLION OF US$ IN BILLION OF US$
Exports Other
Other Local
6.000 100%
5.7
18.8 4.9 90%
17.3 5.000
80%
4.2
3.9 4.1
13.7 3.6 3.5
70%
13.7 4.000
60%
26% 23%
2.000
1.5 30%
1.6
20%
1.000
10%
16%
0 0%
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Documento: YPF-Público
INTEGRATED ACROSS THE ENTIRE VALUE CHAIN Documento: YPF-Público
NATURAL EXPORTS
37% RESIDENTIAL + CNG
UPSTREAM
GAS 4% DOMESTIC
36 MARKET
37% INDUSTRIAL
96%
Mm3/d
Source: Company filings.All
figures on average as of 2023
26% POWER PLANTS
calculated based on volumes sold.
Documento: YPF-Público
CONTRIBUITING TO THE REDUCTION OF OUR CARBON FOOTPRINT Documento: YPF-Público
EQUITY STAKE EQUITY STAKE EQUITY STAKE EQUITY STAKE EQUITY STAKE
LTM EBITDA FY23 (US$ ) (1) LTM EBITDA FY23 (US$ ) (1) LTM EBITDA FY23 (US$ ) (1) LTM EBITDA FY23 (US$ ) (1) LTM EBITDA FY23 (US$ ) (1)
AGENDA
02. UPSTREAM
03. DOWNSTREAM
Documento: YPF-Público
LARGEST HYDROCARBON PRODUCER IN THE COUNTRY
Documento: YPF-Público
PRODUCTION (2)
UPSTREAM PORTFOLIO (1) Market share breakdown (%)
TOTAL Other
NOROESTE
DOMINANT A
PRODUCTION: 33%
UPSTREAM 3.4 mm boe
% LIQUIDS: % GAS: A
POSITION WITH 11% 89%
OPERATIONS
IN ALL B CUYANA
PRODUCTIVE
PRODUCTION:
4.8 mm boe
BASINS % LIQUIDS:
96%
% GAS:
4%
B
CRUDE Other
OIL
C NEUQUINA 37%
PRODUCTION:
142.0 mm boe
C
% LIQUIDS: % GAS:
50% 50%
VACA
MUERTA
D GOLFO SAN JORGE
PRODUCTION: D
31.8 mm boe
% LIQUIDS: % GAS:
86% 14% NATURAL Other
GAS
29%
E AUSTRAL
PRODUCTION: E
5.9 mm boe
% LIQUIDS: % GAS:
21% 79%
(1) Data as of 2023
(2) Source: IAPG, as of December 2023 Documento: YPF-Público
OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE Documento: YPF-Público
TOTAL PRODUCTION NGL Natural Gas Crude Oil NET SHALE PRODUCTION Shale Oil Shale Gas
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
LIFTING COST Lifting cost Lifting cost - Core Hub UNCONVENTIONAL Completed horizontal wells
HORIZONTAL WELLS Drilled horizontal wells
US$/bbl
15.4 # of Wells
182
13.3 154 161
12.0 138 144
11.0
9.8 119 113
5.9 77
4.7 4.1
3.8 3.6
34 43
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Documento: YPF-Público
OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE Documento: YPF-Público
YPF OPERATOR
Exploration
Pre-development VACA MUERTA´S 3.0
Development TOTAL ACREAGE
YPF NON OPERATOR
AND YPF´S SHARE
Exploration
1.6 2.6
Development
Million Acres 1.2
VM Acreage
1.1
0.6
Gross
Net
Oil Gas
Documento: YPF-Público
(1)(2)(3)(4) Loma Campana, La Amarga Chica, Bandurria Sur and Aguada del Chañar / (5)(6) Aguada de la Arena and Rincón del Mangrullo
OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE Documento: YPF-Público
597
473
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Reserves 2022 Extensions Production Revisions Purchases, Reserves 2023
Sales &
Recovery
2023 P1 RESERVES
BREAKDOWN 7%
P1 RESERVES RESERVES LIFE RRR(1)
%
Crude Oil TOTAL -9.7% Y/Y 5.7 years 0.4x
51%
Natural Gas 42%
SHALE -0.3% Y/Y 8.8 years 1.0x
NGL
Documento:
(1) Reserve YPF-Público
replacement ratio.
Documento: YPF-Público
AGENDA
02. UPSTREAM
03. DOWNSTREAM
Documento: YPF-Público
LEADING DOWNSTREAM PLAYER IN ARGENTINA Documento: YPF-Público
DOWNSTREAM PORTFOLIO
REFINING
Over 50% of Argentina’s refining capacity, A LUJÁN DE CUYO
CAPACITY:
operating 3 wholly-owned refineries with D 114 Kbbl/d
328.1 Kbbl/d capacity (2)(3).
B LA PLATA
High level of conversion and complexity. CAPACITY:
189 Kbbl/d
Pipelines(1): Nearly 2,800 Km of crude oil
and 1,800 Km of refined products. C PLAZA HUINCUL
CAPACITY:
25 Kbbl/d
PETROCHEMICAL A D REFINOR
Leading petrochemical producer. B CAPACITY:
MARKETING
57% market share in terms of diesel 3 PLAZA HUINCUL
CAPACITY:
& gasoline sales volumes in Argentina. 0.4MM tons/year
(3) Since 1Q21 the capacity 103(1) sale points covering the Agribusiness. TERMINALS: 17
AIRPLANE REFUELING
of the refineries is 328.1 Kbbl/d.
FACILITY: 50
OIL PIPELINE:
(4) YPF holds a 50% stake.
2,800 Km Documento: YPF-Público
OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE Documento: YPF-Público
PLAYER IN 25.000
10.000
18%
5.000
US$/BBL
105
350
99
278 285 294
300
270 86 83
250
234 72 99
64 71 82
200
43
150
62 61
100
53 54
41
50
(1) As of 2023.
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Documento: YPF-Público
Documento: YPF-Público
AGENDA
02. UPSTREAM
03. DOWNSTREAM
Documento: YPF-Público
Documento: YPF-Privado
Negative net income mainly impacted
by an impairment charge in Q4 of conventional
fields segregated for disposal
MAIN HIGHLIGHTS Fully deployed CAPEX plan of US$5.7 billion
FY2023 & 4Q23 allowing a significant expansion in oil production
along the year, increasing by 10% y/y in Q4
4,058 1,082 -1,277 -1,861 514 511 5,684 1,466 -740 -60 1.7x
Y/Y Y/Y Y/Y Y/Y Y/Y Y/Y Y/Y Y/Y Y/Y Y/Y Y/Y
-18% +16% -US$ -US$ +2% +2% +36% +3% -US$ +US$ +38%
3,511 mn 2,325 mn 1,495 mn 128 mn
Documento: YPF-Privado
FINANCIAL RESULTS Documento: YPF-Privado
Gap %
DOMESTIC FUELS’ PRICE VS IMPORT PARITY Gap % MEDANITO PRICE VS EXPORT PARITY
Local Fuels Medanito
US$/M3 & % US$/BBL & %
Import Parity Export parity after
100
Export Duty
1.050
944 91
+95%
912 +95%
90
82
76 76 74
+75%
805 775
80
+75%
850
772 776
69 +55%
70
+55%
67
650
710 66
+35%
+35% 60
678 662 62
620 621 61
584 +15%
50
58 58 +15%
450
-8% -5%
-12%
-5%
-16%
40
(1) 30 -25%
4Q22 3Q23 4Q23 Mar-24 2022 2023 4Q22 3Q23 4Q23 Feb-24
(2)
2022 2023
(1) As of March 2. 2024 (2) Preliminary figures
Documento: YPF-Privado
FINANCIAL RESULTS Documento: YPF-Privado
NEGATIVE FREE CASH FLOW, AS EXPECTED, ON THE BACK OF THE FULLY DEPLOYED CAPEX PLAN
WHILE MAINTAINING A STRONG LIQUIDITY POSITION AND MANAGEABLE SHORT TERM DEBT MATURITIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF ADJUSTED CASH FLOW (1) CONSOLIDATED PRINCIPAL International bonds
DEBT AMORTIZATION SCHEDULE Other local debt
(1) Cash & equivalents include Argentine
In millions of US$ sovereign bonds and Treasury notes. Other foreign debt
1,268 (2) Includes mainly payment of leasing,
In millions of US$
FX differences and net payments for
financial assets. 1.745 1.825
5,913 54 220
268
1,338 1.226
1.103
102
104 92
785
655 1.588
1.422 101
93 719
(5,673) 305 158 251 1.032 455
1,092 1,387 127
(623) 125 2
56
404 149
(590) 79 280 229
102 99 56 16
Cash & Operating Net Acquisition Interest Other (2) Cash & 1Q24 2Q24 3Q24 4Q24 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029+
equivalents Cash Flow borrowing of PP&E payments equivalents
at the end of at the end of 80 160 160 400
US$346m to be canceled
2022 2023
through the new 2031 bond US$800m 2031 bond issued in Jan-24
100% of liquidity dollarized Liquidity covers Successfully reopened international Net leverage
or hedged (3)(4) minimizing over 13 months capital markets in Jan24 through ratio at 1.7x
impact of Dec-23’ deval of debt maturities US$800m export-backed bond
(3) Includes cash position in dollars, Sovereign bonds, peso-denominated debt and tax moratorium debt. / (4) Includes long-term investments in financial assets which mature in less than 24 months.
Documento: YPF-Privado