PO Box 102628, Dubai, UAE Email: forecaster.dubai@stormgeo.
com
T: +9714 3678257 F: +9714 3678045 Web: www.stormgeo.com
Hess - Bergading Field : Table StormGeo, Forecaster
1500 forecast issued at 1404 MYT
Sunrise Sunset Position
06:52 MYT 18:53 MYT 7.116° / 103.66°
SYNOPTIC SITUATION Local Weather Monday 15:00 to Tuesday
A thin ridge of high pressure runs from interior southern China towards southern coastal Vietnam. 03:00
Trough of low pressure covers southern South China Sea. Pressure gradient remains weak over the Weather: Dry, rain soon
southern South China Sea. Visibility: 10 km
Lightning Risk: Low to Med
ACTIVE SYSTEM Max Sustained Wind (Ws10): 6 kts
Disturbance 36 has strengthened into a tropical depression north of the Northern Mariana Islands. Max Significant Wave Height (Hs): 0.2 m
The system is forecast to gradually become better organized as it tracks north to north- Max Temperature: 29 °C
northeastward over the next few days. After two days, the system will accelerate to the northeast Min Temperature: 27 °C
and interact with a frontal boundary, fully becoming extratropical by the end of the week. The system
is forecast to pass well to the east of Japan, bringing no significant impacts.
RAIN/SHOWER WARNING
Risk of isolated showers/thundershowers with temporary gusts to more than 35 kts and rough
sea/swell.
MYT CONF WINDS TOTAL SEA WIND SWELL WEATHER
WAVES
Date Conf Dir Ws10mWg10mWs50mWg50m Thunderstorm/Squall Dir Hs Hmax Tp Dir H Dir H Wx T2mTsurf Cloud Vis
Time Gusts Base
(kts) (kts) (kts) (kts) (m/s) (m) (m) (s) (m) (m) (°C) (°C) (ft) (km)
MON
07/10 17 ● ENE 4 5 4 5 ESE 0.2 0.4 4.1 ENE 0.0 ESE 0.2 Partly cloudy 29 31.0 2000 10.0
07/10 20 ● ENE 4 6 5 7 ESE 0.2 0.4 4.1 NE 0.1 ESE 0.2 Partly cloudy 29 30.9 10.0
07/10 23 ● ENE 5 6 6 8
Thunderstorm/Squall
E 0.2 0.4 4.1 ENE 0.1 ESE 0.2 Partly cloudy 29 30.4 2000
Cloud
10.0
TUE Conf Dir Ws10mWg10mWs50mWg50m Dir Hs Hmax Tp Dir H Dir H Wx T2mTsurf Vis
Gusts Base
08/10 02 ● ESE 2 2 2 3 5 E 0.2 0.3 4.1 NNE 0.0 E 0.2 Risk of thunder 27 29.9 14500 10.0
08/10 05 ● SSW 4 5 5 6 6 E 0.2 0.3 4.1 S 0.1 E 0.2 Light rain 27 29.7 15500 10.0
08/10 08 ● S 3 4 4 5 7 E 0.2 0.3 4.4 S 0.1 E 0.2 Overcast 28 29.6 1800 10.0
08/10 11 ● S 2 3 3 3 E 0.2 0.3 4.9 S 0.0 E 0.2 Cloudy 28 29.7 2000 10.0
08/10 14 ● W 1 2 1 2 5 E 0.2 0.2 5.5 WSW 0.0 E 0.2 Light rain 28 30.5 1700 10.0
08/10 17
● SSW 1 2 1 2 ENE 0.2 0.2 5.6 NNW 0.0 ENE 0.2Light rain showers 27 31.0 2500 10.0
08/10 20 ● NW 2 3 3 3 5 ENE 0.2 0.2 5.5 NNW 0.0 ENE 0.2 Light rain 28 30.8 10.0
08/10 23 ● NNW 2 3 3 3 6
Thunderstorm/Squall
ENE 0.1 0.2 5.3 NNW 0.0 ENE 0.1 Cloudy 28 30.5 1900 10.0
WED Conf Dir Ws10mWg10mWs50mWg50m Dir Hs Hmax Tp Dir H Dir H Wx T2mTsurf Cloud Vis
Gusts Base
09/10 02
● W 4 5 5 6 7 ENE 0.2 0.3 5.0 WSW 0.0 ENE 0.2Light rain showers 28 30.2 1600 10.0
09/10 05 ● W 5 7 6 8 8 SSE 0.2 0.3 4.2 WSW 0.1 E 0.2 Risk of thunder 27 29.7 1400 10.0
09/10 08 ● WNW 7 9 9 11 8 SW 0.2 0.4 3.0 W 0.2 SE 0.2 Light rain 27 29.6 1400 10.0
09/10 11
● NW 8 10 10 12 8 W 0.3 0.5 2.5 W 0.2 SE 0.2Light rain showers 27 29.7 1400 10.0
09/10 14 ● NW 9 11 10 13 9 W 0.3 0.5 2.7 WNW 0.3 S 0.2 Risk of thunder 27 29.9 1400 10.0
09/10 17 ● NW 5 6 6 8 8 W 0.4 0.6 3.0 NNW 0.1 WSW 0.3Light rain showers 27 30.0 1700 10.0
09/10 20 ● WNW 5 6 6 7 7 W 0.3 0.5 3.2 WNW 0.1 W 0.3 Overcast 28 29.8 1800 10.0
09/10 23 ● W 7 9 9 11 7
Thunderstorm/Squall
W 0.4 0.6 3.3 W 0.3 NE 0.2 Risk of thunder 27 29.7 1200
Cloud
10.0
THU Conf Dir Ws10mWg10mWs50mWg50m Dir Hs Hmax Tp Dir H Dir H Wx T2mTsurf Vis
Gusts Base
10/10 02
● W 7 9 9 10 7 W 0.4 0.6 3.3 W 0.3 SW 0.3 Overcast 28 29.6 1600 10.0
10/10 05 ● WNW 6 8 8 10 8 W 0.4 0.6 3.2 W 0.2 SSW 0.3Light rain showers 28 29.6 1600 10.0
10/10 08 ● WNW 8 10 10 12 8 W 0.4 0.6 3.0 W 0.3 S 0.2Light rain showers 28 29.6 5500 10.0
10/10 11 ● WNW 7 8 8 10 8 W 0.4 0.6 3.1 WNW 0.2 SW 0.3 Risk of thunder 27 29.6 5000 10.0
10/10 14 ● WNW 5 6 6 8 8 W 0.4 0.6 3.2 W 0.2 W 0.3 Risk of thunder 26 29.9 3000 10.0
10/10 17
● NW 5 6 6 7 7 W 0.3 0.5 3.3 NW 0.1 W 0.3 Overcast 28 30.2 1600 10.0
10/10 20
● NW 5 7 6 8 W 0.3 0.5 3.5 NW 0.1 WSW 0.3 Overcast 28 30.0 2000 10.0
10/10 23
● NW 3 3 3 4 W 0.3 0.5 3.5 NW 0.0 W 0.3 Overcast 28 29.6 2000 10.0
WIND
MYT CONF WINDS TOTAL SEA SWELL WEATHER
WAVES
Date Conf Dir Ws10mWg10mWs50mWg50m Thunderstorm/Squall Dir Hs Hmax Tp Dir H Dir H Wx T2mTsurf Cloud Vis
Time Gusts Base
(kts) (kts) (kts) (kts) (m/s) (m) (m) (s) (m) (m) (°C) (°C) (ft) (km)
FRI Conf Dir Ws10mWg10mWs50mWg50m Thunderstorm/Squall Dir Hs Hmax Tp Dir H Dir H Wx T2mTsurf Cloud Vis
Gusts Base
11/10 02 ● NW 2 2 2 3 6 W 0.3 0.4 3.5 WNW 0.0 W 0.3 Overcast 28 29.5 10.0
11/10 05 ● W 5 6 6 7 7 W 0.3 0.5 3.6 SW 0.1 W 0.3 Risk of thunder 27 29.4 1400 9.0
11/10 08
● W 3 4 4 5 8 W 0.3 0.4 3.7 WSW 0.1 W 0.3 Overcast 27 29.4 1600 10.0
11/10 11
● W 2 3 3 3 6 WSW 0.2 0.4 4.0 WSW 0.1 W 0.2 Overcast 28 29.6 1800 10.0
11/10 14 ● W 3 4 4 5 5 WSW 0.2 0.4 4.4 WNW 0.1 SW 0.2Light rain showers 28 30.3 2500 10.0
11/10 17 ● NNW 3 4 4 5 6 WSW 0.2 0.4 4.8 NW 0.0 WSW 0.2 Partly cloudy 28 30.7 1900 10.0
11/10 20 ● NW 5 6 6 7 7 W 0.2 0.4 5.1 NW 0.1 WSW 0.2 Risk of thunder 28 30.6 2500 10.0
11/10 23 ● NW 3 4 3 4 6
Thunderstorm/Squall
W 0.2 0.4 5.1 NW 0.1 W 0.2 Risk of thunder 27 30.0 2000
Cloud
10.0
SAT Conf Dir Ws10mWg10mWs50mWg50m Dir Hs Hmax Tp Dir H Dir H Wx T2mTsurf Vis
Gusts Base
12/10 02
● W 3 4 4 5 6 W 0.2 0.3 5.1 WSW 0.1 W 0.2 Risk of thunder 27 29.7 1400 10.0
12/10 05 ● WSW 4 5 4 5 6 WSW 0.2 0.3 5.1 W 0.1 ESE 0.2 Thunderstorm 27 29.5 1200 7.0
12/10 08 ● NW 5 6 6 7 6 W 0.2 0.3 5.1 WNW 0.1 SSW 0.2 Light rain 27 29.5 1500 10.0
12/10 20 ● NW 3 4 4 5 6
Thunderstorm/Squall
WNW0.2 0.3 3.3 WNW 0.1 W 0.2Light rain showers 28 30.4 2000 10.0
SUN Conf Dir Ws10mWg10mWs50mWg50m Dir Hs Hmax Tp Dir H Dir H Wx T2mTsurf Cloud Vis
Gusts Base
13/10 02
● WNW 5 7 7 8 8 W 0.2 0.3 2.4 W 0.2 WNW0.2 Risk of thunder 26 29.6 1300 10.0
13/10 08 ● W 5 7 6 8 6 W 0.2 0.3 2.7 W 0.2 WSW 0.2 Overcast 27 29.5 1400 10.0
13/10 14 ● WNW 7 9 9 10 8 W 0.2 0.4 2.8 W 0.2 E 0.1 Overcast 28 30.3 1400 10.0
13/10 20 ● WNW 3 4 4 5 13
Thunderstorm/Squall
W 0.2 0.4 3.0 WNW 0.1 W 0.2 Partly cloudy 28 30.2 14000 10.0
MON Conf Dir Ws10mWg10mWs50mWg50m Dir Hs Hmax Tp Dir H Dir H Wx T2mTsurf Cloud Vis
Gusts Base
14/10 02
● WSW 3 4 4 5 9 W 0.2 0.3 3.2 WSW 0.1 WNW0.2Light rain showers 27 29.7 3000 10.0
14/10 08 ● SSW 4 5 5 6 8 WSW 0.2 0.3 3.0 SW 0.1 W 0.2 Cloudy 28 29.5 1700 10.0
14/10 14
● W 2 3 3 3 6 W 0.2 0.3 2.8 W 0.1 W 0.2Light rain showers 28 30.3 1800 10.0
14/10 20
● WNW 6 7 7 9 6
Thunderstorm/Squall
W 0.2 0.4 3.1 WNW 0.2 W 0.2Light rain showers 28 30.4 1800 10.0
TUE Conf Dir Ws10mWg10mWs50mWg50m Dir Hs Hmax Tp Dir H Dir H Wx T2mTsurf Cloud Vis
Gusts Base
15/10 02 ● SW 2 3 3 3 8 W 0.2 0.4 3.2 S 0.0 W 0.2Light rain showers 27 29.6 18000 10.0
15/10 08
● WSW 4 5 5 6 7 W 0.2 0.3 3.2 WSW 0.1 W 0.2Light rain showers 27 29.5 1400 10.0
15/10 14
● W 5 6 6 8 11 W 0.4 0.6 3.0 W 0.2 W 0.3Light rain showers 26 29.9 4000 10.0
15/10 20
● W 8 10 10 12 8
Thunderstorm/Squall
W 0.3 0.5 3.4 W 0.3 NW 0.1Light rain showers 28 30.0 1700 10.0
WED Conf Dir Ws10mWg10mWs50mWg50m Dir Hs Hmax Tp Dir H Dir H Wx T2mTsurf Cloud Vis
Gusts Base
16/10 02
● W 6 7 7 9 9 W 0.3 0.5 3.3 WSW 0.2 W 0.2 Risk of thunder 28 29.6 1600 10.0
16/10 08
● WSW 6 8 8 10 8 W 0.3 0.5 3.1 WSW 0.2 WNW0.2Light rain showers 28 29.6 1600 10.0
16/10 14 ● WSW 8 10 10 12 8 W 0.3 0.5 3.3 WSW 0.3 WNW0.2 Risk of thunder 27 30.0 1400 10.0
16/10 20 ● SW 6 8 8 10 9
Thunderstorm/Squall
W 0.3 0.5 3.5 SW 0.2 W 0.3Light rain showers 28 30.0 1800 10.0
THU Conf Dir Ws10mWg10mWs50mWg50m Dir Hs Hmax Tp Dir H Dir H Wx T2mTsurf Cloud Vis
Gusts Base
17/10 02
● N 0 0 0 0 Clear 0 0 0.0
PO Box 102628, Dubai, UAE Email: [email protected]
T: +9714 3678257 F: +9714 3678045 Web: www.stormgeo.com
Hess - Bergading Field : Graphs StormGeo, Forecaster
1500 forecast issued at 1404 MYT
Sunrise Sunset Position
06:52 MYT 18:53 MYT 7.116° / 103.66°
Confidence high medium low
Dir Ws10m Wg10m Ws50m Wg50m
WINDS WINDS WINDS WINDS WINDS
MON 07/10 TUE 08/10 WED 09/10 THU 10/10 FRI 11/10 SAT 12/10 SUN 13/10 MON 14/10
25
kts
20
15
10
0
00 12 00 12 00 12 00 12 00 12 00 12 00
Confidence high medium low
Dir Hs Hmax Dir H
TOTAL SEA TOTAL SEA TOTAL SEA SWELL SWELL
MON 07/10 TUE 08/10 WED 09/10 THU 10/10 FRI 11/10 SAT 12/10 SUN 13/10 MON 14/10
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
00 12 00 12 00 12 00 12 00 12 00 12 00
10 Meter Winds Ensemble Probability Plumes
Ws10m 100% Ws10m 80% Ws10m 50% Ws10m Median
ENSEMBLE ENSEMBLE ENSEMBLE ENSEMBLE
SUN 13/10 MON 14/10 TUE 15/10 WED 16/10 THU 17/10 FRI 18/10 SAT 19/10 SUN 20/10 MON 21/10
25
kts
20
15
10
0
00 12 00 12 00 12 00 12 00 12 00 12 00 12 00 12
Significant Wave Height Ensemble Probability Plumes
Hs Hs 100% Hs 80% Hs 50% Hs Median
TOTAL SEA ENSEMBLE ENSEMBLE ENSEMBLE ENSEMBLE
SUN 13/10 MON 14/10 TUE 15/10 WED 16/10 THU 17/10 FRI 18/10 SAT 19/10 SUN 20/10 MON 21/10
2.5
1.5
0.5
0
00 12 00 12 00 12 00 12 00 12 00 12 00 12 00 12
Dir 0m Cs0m WT 0m
CURRENT CURRENT CURRENT
MON 07/10 TUE 08/10
1 32.5
kts °C
0.8 32
0.6 31.5
0.4 31
0.2 30.5
0 30
15 18 21 00 03 06 09
Dir 0m Cs0m WT 0m
CURRENT CURRENT CURRENT
MON 07/10 TUE 08/10 WED 09/10 THU 10/10 FRI 11/10
1 32.5
kts °C
0.8 32
0.6 31.5
0.4 31
0.2 30.5
0 30
18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
PO Box 102628, Dubai, UAE Email: [email protected]
T: +9714 3678257 F: +9714 3678045 Web: www.stormgeo.com
WEATHER RISK ASSESSMENT
Locations 07/10 08/10 09/10 10/10 11/10 12/10 13/10 14/10 15/10
HESS - BERGADIN Helicopter Ops
Cargo Ops (using
crane to vessel)
Cargo Ops (Internal
Transfer)
PTB
Swing Rope
Bunkering
Overside Work
Pilot Ladder
Tanker Crane Ops
Vessel Crane Ops
Vessel Overside
Work
Vessel Towing
Anchor Handling for
Spread Mooring
Anchor Handling for
Buoy Ops
Vessel Bunkering
THRESHOLD DESCRIPTION
Helicopter Ops Wind speed 10m < 32 kts Wind speed 10m >= 32 kts Wind speed 10m >= 40 kts
(Wind speed 10m < 20 kts) (Wind speed 10m >= 20 kts) (Significant wave height >= 2.0 m)
Cargo Ops (using crane to vessel)
OR (Significant wave height < 1.6 m) OR (Significant wave height >= 1.6 m) OR (Wind speed 10m >= 25 kts)
Cargo Ops (Internal Transfer) Wind speed 10m < 20 kts Wind speed 10m >= 20 kts Wind speed 10m >= 25 kts
PTB (Wind speed 10m < 16 kts) (Significant wave height >= 1.5 m) (Wind speed 10m >= 20 kts)
OR (Significant wave height < 1.5 m) OR (Wind speed 10m >= 16 kts) OR (Significant wave height >= 2.0 m)
(Wind speed 10m < 16 kts) (Wind speed 10m >= 16 kts) (Significant wave height >= 2.0 m)
Swing Rope
OR (Significant wave height < 1.0 m) OR (Significant wave height >= 1.0 m) OR (Wind speed 10m >= 20 kts)
Bunkering (Wind speed 10m < 16 kts) (Wind speed 10m >= 16 kts) (Significant wave height >= 2.0 m)
OR (Significant wave height < 1.6 m) OR (Significant wave height >= 1.6 m) OR (Wind speed 10m >= 20 kts)
Overside Work Wind speed 10m < 20 kts Wind speed 10m >= 20 kts Wind speed 10m >= 25 kts
Pilot Ladder (Wind speed 10m < 16 kts) (Significant wave height >= 1.2 m) (Wind speed 10m >= 20 kts)
OR (Significant wave height < 1.2 m) OR (Wind speed 10m >= 16 kts) OR (Significant wave height >= 1.5 m)
(Significant wave height < 1.2 m) (Significant wave height >= 1.2 m) (Significant wave height >= 1.5 m)
Tanker Crane Ops
OR (Wind speed 10m < 16 kts) OR (Wind speed 10m >= 16 kts) OR (Wind speed 10m >= 20 kts)
Vessel Crane Ops (Wind speed 10m < 16 kts) (Significant wave height >= 1.2 m) (Significant wave height >= 1.5 m)
OR (Significant wave height < 1.2 m) OR (Wind speed 10m >= 16 kts) OR (Wind speed 10m >= 20 kts)
(Wind speed 10m < 20 kts) (Significant wave height >= 1.2 m) (Significant wave height >= 1.5 m)
Vessel Overside Work
OR (Significant wave height < 1.2 m) OR (Wind speed 10m >= 20 kts) OR (Wind speed 10m >= 25 kts)
Vessel Towing (Significant wave height < 2.0 m) (Significant wave height >= 2.0 m) (Significant wave height >= 2.5 m)
OR (Wind speed 10m < 28 kts) OR (Wind speed 10m >= 28 kts) OR (Wind speed 10m >= 35 kts)
(Significant wave height < 2.0 m) (Significant wave height >= 2.0 m) (Wind speed 10m >= 25 kts)
Anchor Handling for Spread Mooring
OR (Wind speed 10m < 20 kts) OR (Wind speed 10m >= 20 kts) OR (Significant wave height >= 2.5 m)
Anchor Handling for Buoy Ops (Significant wave height < 2.0 m) (Significant wave height >= 2.0 m) (Wind speed 10m >= 25 kts)
OR (Wind speed 10m < 20 kts) OR (Wind speed 10m >= 20 kts) OR (Significant wave height >= 2.5 m)
(Significant wave height < 1.2 m) (Significant wave height >= 1.2 m) (Significant wave height >= 1.5 m)
Vessel Bunkering
OR (Wind speed 10m < 20 kts) OR (Wind speed 10m >= 20 kts) OR (Wind speed 10m >= 25 kts)
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