TrendCatcher Robuxio
TrendCatcher Robuxio
“Where you want to be is always in control, never wishing, always trading, and always, first and
foremost protecting your butt.”
I have been trading for over 16 years. For a long time, I traded discretionary (made trading decisions
myself) on low time frames especially commodities like oil and gas. I was not successful for some
time, several years. Then I got into systematic trading and was able to make a decent income from
trading.
But do you know what the hardest part about discretionary trading is? That you have to be in a
perfect psychological shape all the time so that your emotions don't spill over into your trading.
This is exactly what happened to me and in one period I had several events in which I lost a
significant part of my trading account. In addition, bad periods of trading also affected my behavior
outside of it.
Therefore, about 7 years ago I decided to trade only systematically based on tested strategies.
Because there is an incredible amount of scams and total bullshit in the crypto world. I saw a similar
situation 15 years ago in the forex markets. And it’s the same in crypto space now.
They offer signals and attract you by showing only winning trades. They show the results of over-
optimized trading bots. They paint all sorts of waves and patterns on the charts to show that they
understand something.
I can tell you one thing with a fair amount of certainty. Most of them know next to nothing about
trading. It's all about luring in the holy grail.
If you want to be successful in trading for the long term, you need to remember one basic rule. You
are going to have losses, you are going to have periods where you lose for weeks and even months in
a row. But if you have a system that has a proven trading edge, you are very likely to make some
really decent money.
The huge volatility and inefficiency of cryptocurrencies makes it relatively easy to make huge gains. I
want to show people a professional way of trading crypto and I need to build an audience of people
who know what I'm talking about.
Disclaimer: All information provided by [Link] is intended solely for the purpose of studying topics related to crypto
trading and is in no way intended as a specific investment or trading recommendation. We are not a registered broker or
investment advisor. I mention specific financial products, especially cryptocurrencies, always and only for the purpose of
studying crypto trading. I am not responsible for the specific decisions of individual readers of this presentation. Trading
and investing in financial instruments (and cryptocurrencies in particular) is high risk. The decision to trade cryptocurrencies
is the responsibility of each individual and only they are fully responsible for their decisions. Never engage in trades that
you do not fully understand the merits of. Remember, the crypto exchange has rules that you need to understand before
risking your own money!
Why to trade cryptocurrencies at all?
Because they are extremely inefficient! You probably won't find any other markets in the world right
now that are liquid enough for us, retail traders, with such a huge number of amateurs and so few
professionals trying to take advantage of it.
The inefficiency is mainly due to the fact that individual cryptocurrencies are relatively small for
hedge funds. And there is also a lack of regulation. Smart money would gradually erase the big
trading edges. This is likely to happen in the future. But in my opinion we have plenty of time in the
meantime to make profits that ordinary money managers can only dream of.
What does that inefficiency actually look like? Huge trends! One coin starts pumping and all the
amateurs jump in, believing that the trend will never end.
Also huge drops. All the fools at some point start worrying about losing all their money and start
selling.
We can systematically profit from these fools creating inefficiencies and take money out of their
pockets.
Crypto of course is not the only market that is dominated by emotion, but no other is this extreme.
Now you know why. There is a lack of professional traders to dampen those emotions and bring the
entire market back to greater efficiency. And by doing so, they also reduce volatility.
My approach to crypto
I believe Bitcoin has the potential to be a viable alternative to government-backed currencies due to
its reliance on an extensive network of computers for security and validation of transactions. That is
why I have been buying it in the form of DCA for a long time. I make extra purchases during major
drops.
Although I believe in Bitcoin, I don't allocate nearly all my capital to it. Why would I do that? If the
idea of Bitcoin as non-state money catches on, the appreciation potential is huge. But there are still
many risks that Bitcoin maxis don’t talk much about. And remember, as a rule, the biggest risk is the
one we can't currently imagine.
That's why I take advantage of the high volatility of altcoins and trade mainly trend, momentum and
mean reversion strategies that can profit the most of it. All systematic.
Disclaimer: All information provided by [Link] is intended solely for the purpose of studying topics related to crypto
trading and is in no way intended as a specific investment or trading recommendation. We are not a registered broker or
investment advisor. I mention specific financial products, especially cryptocurrencies, always and only for the purpose of
studying crypto trading. I am not responsible for the specific decisions of individual readers of this presentation. Trading
and investing in financial instruments (and cryptocurrencies in particular) is high risk. The decision to trade cryptocurrencies
is the responsibility of each individual and only they are fully responsible for their decisions. Never engage in trades that
you do not fully understand the merits of. Remember, the crypto exchange has rules that you need to understand before
risking your own money!
The advantage of trading systems is:
1. You partially reduce your risk of the huge drops that altcoins have.
2. You don't have to try to pick a winner, and you still take advantage of the huge potential in
the form of volatility that crypto offers.
The downside is that any strategy can lose its trading edge over a long period of time. This happens
especially if the nature of the market changes completely.
In crypto, this can happen when there are large increases in liquidity and smart money starts to enter
in large numbers.
The second disadvantage of systematic trading for new traders is the lack of experience. On historical
data you will always find a successful combination of parameters that has shown positive results in
the past.
However, if the system lacks logic and is not robust enough, you will most likely end up with a loss.
You are not trading past data. You are trading an idea that has to have a trading edge going forward.
Investing to me simply means holding an asset for the long term, years, for its value.
Why not invest in Altcoins? Simply put, because statistically most altcoins usually die or end up with
almost zero value.
Many altcoins are money grabs. They are not there to create long term value, but rather for their
creators to make a profit.
There are exceptions, of course, but they are quite hard to spot.
Moreover, statistically, most of the best performing altcoins from one Bull/Bear cycle don’t
outperform Bitcoin over the long term.
Also watch my video about why investing in Crypto is not a good idea:
[Link]
Disclaimer: All information provided by [Link] is intended solely for the purpose of studying topics related to crypto
trading and is in no way intended as a specific investment or trading recommendation. We are not a registered broker or
investment advisor. I mention specific financial products, especially cryptocurrencies, always and only for the purpose of
studying crypto trading. I am not responsible for the specific decisions of individual readers of this presentation. Trading
and investing in financial instruments (and cryptocurrencies in particular) is high risk. The decision to trade cryptocurrencies
is the responsibility of each individual and only they are fully responsible for their decisions. Never engage in trades that
you do not fully understand the merits of. Remember, the crypto exchange has rules that you need to understand before
risking your own money!
Trend Catcher
Basic characteristics
Trend Catcher (TC) is a mechanically tradable system, tested on large amounts of data. It gives the
trader no room for individual decision making. As a result, it does not bring emotions into trading.
Emotions in trading are one of the biggest disasters.
There are fixed conditions for entry and for exit, and all that is needed is to check once a day at the
close the charts of the markets being traded and enter possible orders.
Trend Catcher is a trend system. It works by capturing major trends. A characteristic of all trend
systems is that they have a large number of small gains and losses and once in a while they catch a
home run that shifts the entire performance of the system.
That’s why you need to trade every signal and not exit a winning trade when it seems that you have
already made enough money. Especially in crypto, once in a while you make multiples on one trade
and these have to cover many small losses from previous trades.
Finally, you will never get out of the market at the high of a move. It's not possible and if anyone tells
you they can do it long term, they are lying. Often in trend systems, you give some of the open profit
back to the market. It's a feature not a bug. Even so, the profits are enormous!
1. You are using a context filter. You only search for trades on any cryptocurrency when Bitcoin
closes above the 50-day moving average on the daily chart.
2. If the context filter is OK, you look at the TOP10 cryptocurrencies by market cap (excluding
stablecoins).
3. On each coin, you are looking at the 20-day moving average on the daily chart.
4. If a cryptocurrency closes or is already above its 20-day moving average, you open a trade.
5. If you are in a trade, you only watch the 20-day moving average and the price of the
cryptocurrency.
6. Once the coin closes below its 20-day moving average, you close the trade.
7. You repeat the process over and over again. Pretty simple, right?
Disclaimer: All information provided by [Link] is intended solely for the purpose of studying topics related to crypto
trading and is in no way intended as a specific investment or trading recommendation. We are not a registered broker or
investment advisor. I mention specific financial products, especially cryptocurrencies, always and only for the purpose of
studying crypto trading. I am not responsible for the specific decisions of individual readers of this presentation. Trading
and investing in financial instruments (and cryptocurrencies in particular) is high risk. The decision to trade cryptocurrencies
is the responsibility of each individual and only they are fully responsible for their decisions. Never engage in trades that
you do not fully understand the merits of. Remember, the crypto exchange has rules that you need to understand before
risking your own money!
1. Context filter
All you need is to put a 50 day moving average on the daily chart of Bitcoin. I use [Link].
Anytime the price of Bitcoin closes or moves above the 50 day moving average, you start waiting for
trading signals.
Examples:
A - Bitcoin moves above the 50-day moving average. You look for signals all the time.
B - Bitcoin closed below the average. You are no longer waiting for a trading signal on the day of the
close. You do not trade the entire time Bitcoin is below the average.
C - A point where the market is indecisive. You always evaluate based on the close of the daily
candle. If Bitcoin is closing above you’re trading if below you are not.
D - Bitcoin closed below the average. You have a beer and don't trade.
E - On the day the daily candle closes above average, you start trading signals.
F - Bitcoin is above average. You trade during this period. You have a beer after you enter your
trades.
Or read our blog about it: Algorithmic Crypto Trading VII: Regime Filter - Robuxio
Disclaimer: All information provided by [Link] is intended solely for the purpose of studying topics related to crypto
trading and is in no way intended as a specific investment or trading recommendation. We are not a registered broker or
investment advisor. I mention specific financial products, especially cryptocurrencies, always and only for the purpose of
studying crypto trading. I am not responsible for the specific decisions of individual readers of this presentation. Trading
and investing in financial instruments (and cryptocurrencies in particular) is high risk. The decision to trade cryptocurrencies
is the responsibility of each individual and only they are fully responsible for their decisions. Never engage in trades that
you do not fully understand the merits of. Remember, the crypto exchange has rules that you need to understand before
risking your own money!
2. TOP10 cryptocurrencies by market cap
At the end of the day, when the contextual filter is ok, you look at [Link] and pick the
TOP10 cryptocurrencies. Skip stablecoins.
You don't have to do it every day when markets are in the Bull Run. Always check it once a week and
prepare what altcoins you'll be trading in the coming week. It takes a minute.
According to the image above, you would wait for signals on BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, SOL, DOGE,
DOT, TRX and SHIB.
Disclaimer: All information provided by [Link] is intended solely for the purpose of studying topics related to crypto
trading and is in no way intended as a specific investment or trading recommendation. We are not a registered broker or
investment advisor. I mention specific financial products, especially cryptocurrencies, always and only for the purpose of
studying crypto trading. I am not responsible for the specific decisions of individual readers of this presentation. Trading
and investing in financial instruments (and cryptocurrencies in particular) is high risk. The decision to trade cryptocurrencies
is the responsibility of each individual and only they are fully responsible for their decisions. Never engage in trades that
you do not fully understand the merits of. Remember, the crypto exchange has rules that you need to understand before
risking your own money!
3., 4., 5., 6. Entry and Exit Signal
After the contextual filter is ok (1.) and you know what cryptocurrencies you can trade (2.), you move
on to a chart of TOP10 coins. All you need is to put a 20-day moving average on the daily chart and
trade signals according to whether the price of the coin closes below or above this average.
Examples:
A - The price of ETH on the daily chart closes above the 20-day average. You're buying on the close.
B - ETH closes below average. You're closing the trade on the close of the daily bar.
C, D - Quick trade - one day you open a trade on close, the next day you close with a small loss.
F - You close the trade. You leave some of the profit in the market - that's trend trading!
K - We're finally catching a big move. We stay in the market until ETH closes below the 20-day
average. This trade alone would have been up almost 200%. Don't sell too early!
Disclaimer: All information provided by [Link] is intended solely for the purpose of studying topics related to crypto
trading and is in no way intended as a specific investment or trading recommendation. We are not a registered broker or
investment advisor. I mention specific financial products, especially cryptocurrencies, always and only for the purpose of
studying crypto trading. I am not responsible for the specific decisions of individual readers of this presentation. Trading
and investing in financial instruments (and cryptocurrencies in particular) is high risk. The decision to trade cryptocurrencies
is the responsibility of each individual and only they are fully responsible for their decisions. Never engage in trades that
you do not fully understand the merits of. Remember, the crypto exchange has rules that you need to understand before
risking your own money!
Portfolio management
One of the big advantages of this system is that it doesn't try to trade one particular cryptocurrency.
It always targets the TOP10 coins according to the market cap. This in itself brings a certain edge in.
The garbage will be dropped and you will always be trading the strongest coins on the market.
You are always looking for signals on all TOP10 coins and can have up to 10 positions open in total if
you get a signal in all these coins.
You enter each cryptocurrency with only one tenth of your total capital, even if you only had one
signal on a given day and no other open position.
Example:
1. You start trading and get 2 signals. One on ETH and one on BTC. On the close candle you take 1/10
($100) of your capital and with that you buy ETH and with the other 1/10 ($100) you buy BTC.
You have 2 positions open and 2/10 of your total capital allocated.
2. The next day you get another signal on SHIB. You take $100 and open another position. You have
3/10 of your capital allocated.
3. The day after you get exit signals on all 3 coins and you exit all 3 positions.
With the example above I tried to show that you never, under any circumstances, use more than
1/10th of your capital on any one position.
It is quite common that you will often trade with only a quarter of your capital. On the other hand,
you can trust me that at the moment of a true Bull Run you will be loaded to 100%.
And that's what you want. With less capital you will usually be in worse situations and when crypto is
trending strongly, you will have full capital invested. That's how systematic trend portfolios behave
and it's their big advantage.
The portfolio approach adds an element of diversification to trading. With diversification, you reduce
the fluctuations of your account and also the risk of losing all your money in the event that the
altcoin you bought is a pure scam.
I'll say it again just to be sure. You always trade the TOP10 cryptocurrencies by market cap and
allocate only a tenth of your capital to each trade.
Disclaimer: All information provided by [Link] is intended solely for the purpose of studying topics related to crypto
trading and is in no way intended as a specific investment or trading recommendation. We are not a registered broker or
investment advisor. I mention specific financial products, especially cryptocurrencies, always and only for the purpose of
studying crypto trading. I am not responsible for the specific decisions of individual readers of this presentation. Trading
and investing in financial instruments (and cryptocurrencies in particular) is high risk. The decision to trade cryptocurrencies
is the responsibility of each individual and only they are fully responsible for their decisions. Never engage in trades that
you do not fully understand the merits of. Remember, the crypto exchange has rules that you need to understand before
risking your own money!
Money and risk management
This part is one of the most important. It's about how you protect your capital. First you have to
protect your capital in a drawdown, and then you can multiply it.
Drawdowns will always come! If someone tells you that they are trading the crypto market without
losses, he is a liar.
Trend-based systematic strategies are some of the most profitable. But their downside is the bigger
drawdowns that we simply have to go through.
The main point of risk management in Trend Catcher strategy is that you always recalculate the
capital per position according to the current amount of capital.
For example, you allocate $1000 to the entire system. During the following period, you get into a
20% drawdown. You will have $800. One tenth will no longer be $100, but $80.
If, on the other hand, you double the account to $2000, one tenth will be $200.
And this is how you keep recalculating the amount of capital per position before every trade. It's
absolutely crucial. With this recalculation, as your account grows, the amount of capital involved in
each trade grows.
Most importantly, as the capital decreases, the size of the trading position decreases.
I know leverage is pretty sexy with a lot of influencers trying to show that they can make 100% on a
tiny amount of market movement. But it is pure bullshit.
On the contrary, leverage can take you out of the game by getting you into too deep drawdown that
you are no longer able to sustain.
This system shows a profit of 30,000% over the last 6 years. Do you really need more?
The volatility of crypto can easily be over 30% on some days. You don't need to multiply your position
sizes.
Don't use leverage. You don't need it in this system. Protect your trading account!
Disclaimer: All information provided by [Link] is intended solely for the purpose of studying topics related to crypto
trading and is in no way intended as a specific investment or trading recommendation. We are not a registered broker or
investment advisor. I mention specific financial products, especially cryptocurrencies, always and only for the purpose of
studying crypto trading. I am not responsible for the specific decisions of individual readers of this presentation. Trading
and investing in financial instruments (and cryptocurrencies in particular) is high risk. The decision to trade cryptocurrencies
is the responsibility of each individual and only they are fully responsible for their decisions. Never engage in trades that
you do not fully understand the merits of. Remember, the crypto exchange has rules that you need to understand before
risking your own money!
Results of Trend Catcher
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. No representation is being made that any
account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. There are frequent differences
between hypothetical performance results and the actual results achieved by any trading system.
The test is conducted on the current ten largest cryptocurrencies. The period of the test is January 1,
2017 to July 6, 2022. It is quite difficult to find good crypto quality data for larger testing. If you
repeat a similar test, we may differ slightly in our results.
Also note that the so-called survivorship bias free database was not used for this test. In real trading,
the results will be worse. This strategy is still more of a study to see the power of a systematic
approach
Disclaimer: All information provided by [Link] is intended solely for the purpose of studying topics related to crypto
trading and is in no way intended as a specific investment or trading recommendation. We are not a registered broker or
investment advisor. I mention specific financial products, especially cryptocurrencies, always and only for the purpose of
studying crypto trading. I am not responsible for the specific decisions of individual readers of this presentation. Trading
and investing in financial instruments (and cryptocurrencies in particular) is high risk. The decision to trade cryptocurrencies
is the responsibility of each individual and only they are fully responsible for their decisions. Never engage in trades that
you do not fully understand the merits of. Remember, the crypto exchange has rules that you need to understand before
risking your own money!
Net Profit %: 28,920%
Profit is why we're all here. 30,000% over the last 6 years is decent. A hypothetical $1,000 put into
the system in 2017 would be worth $300,000 today. Plus, on a system where you have absolute
control over all the decision making.
Of course, we are only able to achieve such profits because of the huge moves that were in crypto. If
the volatility of crypto decreases, we cannot expect such astronomical results. But this is true for all
investments in the crypto space.
The total number of trades is 923. On average, you enter 12 trades per month. You really don't have
to be stuck with the charts from morning to night to make money!
30% winning trades. That's exactly what I was talking about. You're going to have more losses. A
losing trade should be treated as a cost of trading. But the bottom line is that winning trades earn on
average 5x more than you lose on losing trades.
Drawdown is what we should be very interested in. 60% at the start of 2018 is not bad for such a
simple strategy. Especially when you consider that it's a drawdown from open profits. Ethereum lost
94% during this period. Bitcoin lost 83%, Ripple 96%. Crypto is volatile!
In 2021, for example, Ethereum was down 60%, Dogecoin almost 80%, Bitcoin more than 50%. Trend
Catcher was in a drawdown of less than 25%.
In 2022 drawdown also hit hard but so did in all the other coins. You have to trade more advanced
strategies if you want to avoid deeper drawdowns.
Disclaimer: All information provided by [Link] is intended solely for the purpose of studying topics related to crypto
trading and is in no way intended as a specific investment or trading recommendation. We are not a registered broker or
investment advisor. I mention specific financial products, especially cryptocurrencies, always and only for the purpose of
studying crypto trading. I am not responsible for the specific decisions of individual readers of this presentation. Trading
and investing in financial instruments (and cryptocurrencies in particular) is high risk. The decision to trade cryptocurrencies
is the responsibility of each individual and only they are fully responsible for their decisions. Never engage in trades that
you do not fully understand the merits of. Remember, the crypto exchange has rules that you need to understand before
risking your own money!
The psychology of trading
With many years of discretionary trading, I could write a lot about the psychology of trading. But I'll
keep it short...
In my career, I have learned one important thing. A trader is most influenced by greed, fear or lack of
confidence. Everyone is a little different, and for everyone, a different one of these emotions is the
worst. But at least one of them is always present a lot.
In discretionary trading, you're fighting emotions pretty much all the time. When you're winning,
you're fighting greed. When you have a losing streak, you fight fear. When you don't have fixed rules
for your trades, you struggle with doubt.
A systematic trading approach largely breaks this down. Emotions are always present, but you know
exactly what to do and that makes it all pretty easy.
Systematic trading and definitely when automated brings a new sneaky emotion into play. A feeling
of boredom. Trading becomes simple. You don't have to spend all day in front of your computer
figuring out where the market is going to go.
You have to find other entertainment, like going out or learning how to build mechanical systems...
But you have to get rid of that desire to trade for trading, for the adrenaline rush.
Professional traders say that the daily trading routine should be boring. It's a boredom that can make
money. Try to think about it!
Disclaimer: All information provided by [Link] is intended solely for the purpose of studying topics related to crypto
trading and is in no way intended as a specific investment or trading recommendation. We are not a registered broker or
investment advisor. I mention specific financial products, especially cryptocurrencies, always and only for the purpose of
studying crypto trading. I am not responsible for the specific decisions of individual readers of this presentation. Trading
and investing in financial instruments (and cryptocurrencies in particular) is high risk. The decision to trade cryptocurrencies
is the responsibility of each individual and only they are fully responsible for their decisions. Never engage in trades that
you do not fully understand the merits of. Remember, the crypto exchange has rules that you need to understand before
risking your own money!
Alternative use
The whole system as it is set up is a closed ecosystem and all parts of it need to be followed to
maximize the likelihood of profits while protecting capital.
But if, for example, a situation arises where you get a tip from your influencer in a Bull Run and you
want to trade it, using these entry and exit conditions makes a lot of sense.
Thus, only buy when BTC is above the 50-day moving average and the recommended cryptocurrency
is also above the 20-day average. And sell when the coin closes below the 20-day average. And so on
and on. You can ride the trend this way.
Do you know what the biggest problem with these tips is? That everything works in the Bull Run, but
you don't know when to get out. You have a systematic approach at least here.
Final thoughts
You just have to enter trades consistently over the long term, follow money management and wait
patiently for the Bull market. You don't make big money without big moves.
If you want to further improve the whole approach, don't try to tweak the parameters to get the best
past results. You can improve by studying a long time and creating more systematic strategies.
Then you can compound such strategies into large portfolios, as we do at [Link].
Please remember one thing: One miracle indicator will not make you rich in trading. Even though
your favorite crypto influencer may tell you otherwise.
Disclaimer: All information provided by [Link] is intended solely for the purpose of studying topics related to crypto
trading and is in no way intended as a specific investment or trading recommendation. We are not a registered broker or
investment advisor. I mention specific financial products, especially cryptocurrencies, always and only for the purpose of
studying crypto trading. I am not responsible for the specific decisions of individual readers of this presentation. Trading
and investing in financial instruments (and cryptocurrencies in particular) is high risk. The decision to trade cryptocurrencies
is the responsibility of each individual and only they are fully responsible for their decisions. Never engage in trades that
you do not fully understand the merits of. Remember, the crypto exchange has rules that you need to understand before
risking your own money!
Q & A section:
Reducing the maximum drawdown
The system has a historical drawdown of almost 60%. In the future, this drawdown may be even
higher. If you don't want to take drawdowns of this magnitude, you have 2 basic options:
A) Diversification - you split the capital between multiple trading systems with different entry
logic. I will show you more in the next section.
B) You will not use all the capital allocated to this system. Here I would focus mainly on the size
of the drawdown you would like to undergo. If instead of a 60% drawdown you would like to
get to values around 30%, then I would reduce the position size to 50%. Still think about
money management and hold 50% of the total capital whether the account is growing or
declining.
Always keep in mind that a drawdown in real life affects the mind quite differently than one in a
historical test. Adjust your settings accordingly.
Many of you have asked me how the system would work on lower time frames. You can definitely
trade this strategy on a 4-hour timeframe. But will you be able to consistently follow the rules day
after day? In our service, we trade Trend Catcher with additional minor adjustments on the 4H chart.
The results are better, with lower drawdowns. However, we can afford to do this mainly because
everything is fully automated.
As a rule, though, this is a trading psychology problem. The trader ideally wants as much action as
possible and to make millions tomorrow, in a week at most.
Often this is due to the fact that there are many fake traders on twitter and the internet showing
how they make hundreds and thousands of percent on minute charts. But the reality will be
somewhere else.
Please note that the power of this system is in its simplicity. You check the markets and charts once a
day, enter any trades and walk away. Consistency is the key here. Do you really have enough time to
trade on the hourly charts, for example, and check the charts every hour, 24 hours a day? Trust me,
I've been there. A lot of stress, not enough time and worse results in the long run...
Disclaimer: All information provided by [Link] is intended solely for the purpose of studying topics related to crypto
trading and is in no way intended as a specific investment or trading recommendation. We are not a registered broker or
investment advisor. I mention specific financial products, especially cryptocurrencies, always and only for the purpose of
studying crypto trading. I am not responsible for the specific decisions of individual readers of this presentation. Trading
and investing in financial instruments (and cryptocurrencies in particular) is high risk. The decision to trade cryptocurrencies
is the responsibility of each individual and only they are fully responsible for their decisions. Never engage in trades that
you do not fully understand the merits of. Remember, the crypto exchange has rules that you need to understand before
risking your own money!
The entries are too late
This is one of the common objections to this system. We don't catch trend reversals, but enter too
late after the market has already made a move.
And you're right. This is not a system that tries to catch reversals. We have Mean Reversion
strategies for reversal trading. This is a trend system and trend systems enter after a trend has run its
course.
In this case, I think it is more of a trading psychology problem. We want to be right and be with the
trend from the beginning.
3. Use our proprietary solution. We’re using a different method in [Link] which I cannot
disclose in this public document.
According to the system entries and exits are made on a close of the daily chart. But if you are
trading from Europe, the close of the chart tends to be in the middle of the night.
You can e.g. pick a time, like 10pm, and that will be your artificial close. You can then evaluate the
conditions for entry at that hour.
At [Link], we of course use an advanced automation process. This way you don't have to deal
with similar problems.
You often ask about how the system would behave on the short side. Or, whether to trade it that
way.
In our service we have a variant of Trend Catcher on the short side included. There are other
conditions that make the strategy the perfect hedge when crypto crashes. The key to using such a
strategy is folding it into a broad portfolio.
I'll show you what such a portfolio looks like at the end of this document.
Disclaimer: All information provided by [Link] is intended solely for the purpose of studying topics related to crypto
trading and is in no way intended as a specific investment or trading recommendation. We are not a registered broker or
investment advisor. I mention specific financial products, especially cryptocurrencies, always and only for the purpose of
studying crypto trading. I am not responsible for the specific decisions of individual readers of this presentation. Trading
and investing in financial instruments (and cryptocurrencies in particular) is high risk. The decision to trade cryptocurrencies
is the responsibility of each individual and only they are fully responsible for their decisions. Never engage in trades that
you do not fully understand the merits of. Remember, the crypto exchange has rules that you need to understand before
risking your own money!
ROBUXIO - a robust, systematic approach to crypto trading
Right now, my partners and I are working on a new service called [Link].
The philosophy of our service is to set up a broad portfolio of advanced systematic crypto strategies
to the client's risk profile and automatically trade these strategies in his trading account.
1. Subscribe on [Link]/pricing
With our service, you will not have to worry about the stress of constantly monitoring charts, chasing
after the latest tips from crypto influencers, or the uncertainty of whether your next trade will be
profitable. Instead, you can trade with confidence and peace of mind.
All the strategies have been created by advanced techniques of building profitable trading systems.
We use survivorship bias free data. This means that our tests correspond to the real state of the
crypto market at each historical moment. It is worth noting that the results of our backtesting reflect
what we could have traded in reality, fully automated on the exchange, with the available trading
pairs. Read more it in our blog: [Link]
On the equity chart below you can see how the individual strategies stack up into a large portfolio.
The blue curve is the progress of all strategies together.
Disclaimer: All information provided by [Link] is intended solely for the purpose of studying topics related to crypto
trading and is in no way intended as a specific investment or trading recommendation. We are not a registered broker or
investment advisor. I mention specific financial products, especially cryptocurrencies, always and only for the purpose of
studying crypto trading. I am not responsible for the specific decisions of individual readers of this presentation. Trading
and investing in financial instruments (and cryptocurrencies in particular) is high risk. The decision to trade cryptocurrencies
is the responsibility of each individual and only they are fully responsible for their decisions. Never engage in trades that
you do not fully understand the merits of. Remember, the crypto exchange has rules that you need to understand before
risking your own money!
Even more interesting is the drawdown curve.
While individual strategies can have drawdowns of up to 30%, see how the blue curve representing
the whole portfolio behaves! Only 23% drawdown in 2022.
I know looks like chaos, but it’s far from it. Each strategy has its specific task in our portfolio!
This is where the true holy grail of trading lies - the ability to trade multiple strategies with different
trading ideas together.
At some moments one strategy works, at other times another strategy works. But together they form
an incredibly functional unit.
Disclaimer: All information provided by [Link] is intended solely for the purpose of studying topics related to crypto
trading and is in no way intended as a specific investment or trading recommendation. We are not a registered broker or
investment advisor. I mention specific financial products, especially cryptocurrencies, always and only for the purpose of
studying crypto trading. I am not responsible for the specific decisions of individual readers of this presentation. Trading
and investing in financial instruments (and cryptocurrencies in particular) is high risk. The decision to trade cryptocurrencies
is the responsibility of each individual and only they are fully responsible for their decisions. Never engage in trades that
you do not fully understand the merits of. Remember, the crypto exchange has rules that you need to understand before
risking your own money!
This, by the way, is the approach used by most professional hedge funds on Wall Street.
Our main vision is to bring professionalism to crypto trading with a cutting-edge trading software that
handles portfolio trading fully automated.
We are still working on our portfolio and tweaking minor details, but I can tell you the current basic
parameters:
90X in 3 years with only a drawdown of 23%. A huge strength of our service is trading many
uncorrelated strategies, each strategy trades a large universe of coins.
Disclaimer: All information provided by [Link] is intended solely for the purpose of studying topics related to crypto
trading and is in no way intended as a specific investment or trading recommendation. We are not a registered broker or
investment advisor. I mention specific financial products, especially cryptocurrencies, always and only for the purpose of
studying crypto trading. I am not responsible for the specific decisions of individual readers of this presentation. Trading
and investing in financial instruments (and cryptocurrencies in particular) is high risk. The decision to trade cryptocurrencies
is the responsibility of each individual and only they are fully responsible for their decisions. Never engage in trades that
you do not fully understand the merits of. Remember, the crypto exchange has rules that you need to understand before
risking your own money!
Contacts
Website: [Link]
Disclaimer: All information provided by [Link] is intended solely for the purpose of studying topics related to crypto
trading and is in no way intended as a specific investment or trading recommendation. We are not a registered broker or
investment advisor. I mention specific financial products, especially cryptocurrencies, always and only for the purpose of
studying crypto trading. I am not responsible for the specific decisions of individual readers of this presentation. Trading
and investing in financial instruments (and cryptocurrencies in particular) is high risk. The decision to trade cryptocurrencies
is the responsibility of each individual and only they are fully responsible for their decisions. Never engage in trades that
you do not fully understand the merits of. Remember, the crypto exchange has rules that you need to understand before
risking your own money!