Predicting and Forecasting of Vehicle Charging Station Using ECNN With DHFO Algorithm
Predicting and Forecasting of Vehicle Charging Station Using ECNN With DHFO Algorithm
Article
Predicting and Forecasting of Vehicle Charging Station Using
ECNN with DHFO Algorithm
Rosebell Paul * and Mercy Paul Selvan
Department of Computer Science and Engineering, School of Computing, Sathyabhama Institute of Science and
Technology, Chennai 600119, India; [Link]@[Link]
* Correspondence: rosebellabin@[Link]
Abstract: The forecast of the optimal placement of a charging station (CS) according to the real-time
consumption of electric vehicles is a subject of urgency in this new era. The demand of a charging
station in an area based on the trend of consumption can be predicted by means of interpolation
and the extrapolation of historical data using a linear function of prediction model. The prediction
of the charging station system was performed with distance relevancy methods. An adaptive
optimal learning model was proposed to enhance the prediction performance for charging station
management and to represent the pattern of vehicles’ travelling directions. The proposed model
uses Distributional Homogeneity Feature Optimization (DHFO) using artificial intelligence (AI)
to categorize and forecast the charging station from the database. The prediction performance
of this model is improved more than the conventional classification model by filtering the apt
features from all the electric vehicular and charging station attributes in the database. The Enhanced
Cladistic Neural Network (ECNN) is used to improve the pattern learning model and increase
learning accuracy. By comparing statistical parameters with other state-of-the-art methodologies, the
suggested model’s overall findings were verified.
Keywords: vehicle charging station prediction; forecasting data; Distributional Homogeneity Feature
Optimization (DHFO); Enhanced Cladistic Neural Network (ECNN)
routing processes to be misclassified. To get around that, the charging station prediction
was followed by a historical data reference for relevancy. Apart from that, the lack of
sufficient numbers of charging stations is a primary concern hindering the growth of EV
adoption. This has triggered the necessity of installing new charging stations. Hence, the
identification of the most suitable location for the same is a challenging task.
The Multi-Objective Optimal Placement model is ideally based on the above percep-
tions to develop an optimal charging station prediction for EV users. The Multi-Objective
Optimal Placement model mainly concentrates on three stages—vehicle allocation, vehicle
count selection, and end-user vehicle node placement. In this, the vehicle allocation defines
the cluster-based coverage area computation of EVs that is in the proximity of the CS.
Based on the vehicle distance to the CS and the power requirement, the parameters are
validated and assigned to the best CS. The vehicle count selection takes into consideration
the traffic conditions that are to be matched against the maximum charging capacity of the
CS. This will select the number of vehicles that can be mapped with the available CS by
comparing the available power of the CS along with the requirement of the EV to charge.
The end-user vehicle node-based optimal placement refers to the parameters of the electric
vehicle that will meet the criteria such as State of the Charge (SOC), based on the power
demand, distance to travel, availability of terminals, and capacity of CS. Based on these
three stages of the optimization model, the vehicle can identify the best place to charge the
vehicle with minimum service time.
The proposed system takes into consideration the three stages of the Multi-Objective
Optimal Placement model in its design to predict the most optimal charging station from
the available ones for an electric vehicle, and forecasts the most suitable location to install
a new charging station, taking only the most necessary vehicle parameter values into
account. The study in [2] revealed that historical data for an area also play a prominent
role in developing an advanced model of feature prediction, and these are adopted in the
proposed classification system. To improve the prediction model, an optimization method
was used to forecast the data pattern feature analysis [3] from the vehicle data samples and
the weight input properties, which led to the selection of the best attributes. To improve
the classification performance and increase prediction accuracy, an adequate amount of
data samples were taken during the training process for forecasting the power demand as
studied in [4].
As in a linear function, a straight line was drawn to predict values outside the dataset—in
the proposed system, the route path of the EV from an origin to destination is the standard
baseline taken. The prediction of the available charging station system was then performed
with the distance relevancy methods across this line. The power demand of the charging
station in an area based on the power consumption rate and the vehicle density can be
predicted by means of interpolation and the extrapolation of the historical data using the
linear function of prediction model. An adaptive optimal learning model was proposed to
enhance the performance of prediction of the most apt charging station from the available
ones, and the pattern of vehicle movement in the travelling direction was the primary
source of data pattern, along with charging station parameters and power demand. This
pattern of EV movement and its intersection across the baseline O-D Trip formed the core
computation of the prediction. The proposed model used Distributional Homogeneity
Feature Optimization (DHFO) and artificial intelligence (AI) to obtain the optimal feature
selection for this prediction. The prediction performance of this model was improved more
than the conventional classification model by filtering the apt features from all the electric
vehicular and charging station attributes in the database. The Enhanced Cladistic Neural
Network (ECNN) was then used to improve the pattern learning model and increase
learning accuracy to forecast the co-ordinate positions for the installation of a charging
station. The pattern analysis for forecasting the co-ordinates of the new charging station
mainly concentrated on the power demand of the existing charging stations, along with
their availability. By comparing these statistical parameters with other state-of-the-art
methodologies, the suggested model’s overall findings have been verified.
Energies 2024, 17, 4308 3 of 25
2. Related Works
This section provides a comprehensive overview of the current techniques for forecast-
ing data and predicting charging stations for electric vehicles The challenges and limitations
inferred from these studies, which paved the way to scope out further research, have been
summarized in Figure 1. Most of the recent techniques mainly give emphasis to socioeco-
nomic and environmental factors, but vehicle density and state of charge play dominant
roles and need to be considered. A study of the influence of the social, economic, and envi-
ronmental factors on the identification of the charging station location was made in [4–7].
The work [4] proposed a suitable ranking system based on the above influencing factors
but lacks the detailing on the technical aspects such as the electric demand and state of
charge of the vehicles travelling a particular path that may affect the forecasting of optimal
charging station placement. The Charging Station Allocation Data were approximated
using the time series and data samples from the Charging Station Time Chart in [8]. In
doing so, the production analysis in the basin-scale vehicle level allocation model makes
use of the OSM data samples. This also refers to the variation in charging power and the
availability forecast based on dataset history. In [9], a gravity-dependent Huff model was
described, taking into consideration Sioux-Fall network for illustration. The study’s main
focus is from the perspective of a private investor of in a charging station and leverages an
optimal pricing strategy. A dynamic pricing strategy based on the Markov decision process
and multi-agent neural network was proposed in [10]. The study suggested that charging
during off-peak times could be more cost effective. In [11], graph-based computations were
used for the maximum comfort and ease of EV users. The schedule time of route flow was
predicted in this work using data modeling from short-term availability forecasts. This was
operated based on historical data samples for station power and demand characteristics, as
well as availability.
Energies
Energies 2024,2024, 17, x FOR PEER REVIEW
17, 4308 4 of 26
4 of 25
[Link]
Figure Summaryof
of recent
recent approaches
approaches forforEVEVcharging
chargingstation prediction
station with
prediction details
with of dataset,
details of dataset,
algorithms, and limitations (Refs. [2–4,8–25]).
algorithms, and limitations (Refs. [2–4,8–25]).
Basedon
Based onthe
theavailable
available data
data and
anddemand
demandforecast,
forecast, Ref. [12]
Ref. developed
[12] developed a station avail-
a station avail-
ability retrieval model. This analyzed various classification models to compare
ability retrieval model. This analyzed various classification models to compare the efficacy the efficacy
ofofclassification
classification based
based ononstatistical variables
statistical andand
variables to estimate station
to estimate availability
station from sat-
availability from
ellite data. The behavior pa ern of EV users for charging was thoroughly analyzed in
satellite data. The behavior pattern of EV users for charging was thoroughly analyzed
[13,26–28]. The cost of land invested in by the operators was also taken into consideration
in [13,26–28]. The cost of land invested in by the operators was also taken into consideration
for predicting the best charging station location. These are all forecasted based on the
for predicting the best charging station location. These are all forecasted based on the power
power consumption and availability factors for the various station availability circum-
consumption and availability factors for the various station availability circumstances, but
stances, but lack vehicle parameters and SoC detailing. In a similar vein, Ref. [14] put forth
lack vehicle parameters and SoC detailing. In a similar vein, Ref. [14] put forth a prediction
a prediction model for the SOC level in the charging station that considered the uncon-
model
trolledforpower
the SOC
losslevel in the
and the charging
unequal station that
distribution considered
of the availablethe uncontrolled
content power loss
load. According
and the unequal distribution of the available content load. According
to this prediction, after the flooding effect, the status of the station will increase the rangeto this prediction,
after the flooding
of SOC > 6.5 to aeffect,
maximum the status of 7.
value of theThe
station will increase
construction of the the rangestation
charging of SOCat>the 6.5 to
a proper
maximum station is improved by this estimation. With this improvement in mind, Ref. [15] is
value of 7. The construction of the charging station at the proper station
suggestedby
improved a power logging prediction
this estimation. With thismodel for the charging
improvement in mind, station fieldsuggested
Ref. [15] to supply route
a power
flow-level data. This helps to grow the charging station in the field more by estimating theThis
logging prediction model for the charging station field to supply route flow-level data.
amount
helps of power
to grow supply and
the charging other associated
station in the fieldfeatures
more by based on the power
estimating level. A of
the amount CNNpower
feature-based path planner for EV was studied in [29]. Based on the traffic flow the waitingpath
supply and other associated features based on the power level. A CNN feature-based
time tofor
planner become
EV wascharged
studiedwasinpredicted.
[29]. BasedThis
oncan
thebe usedflow
traffic in further studiestime
the waiting to track the
to become
most suitable
charged CS when the
was predicted. SOC
This canofbe
a vehicle
used ingets below
further the minimum
studies to trackthreshold.
the most suitable CS
when the SOC of a vehicle gets below the minimum threshold.
Several additional techniques have improved the construction range and the other
decision plan based on the forecasting data and the station parameter prediction process.
Based on this, Ref. [30] suggested using an optimization model to estimate the quality of
Energies 2024, 17, 4308 5 of 25
charging stations as a decision support for corridors. This validates the power availability
for the public in highways as special segment of highways are corridors dedicated to EV
charging. It classified the CS in corridors as better locations than other CSs. The vehicle
level quality was determined by the fuzzy interference system, which also segments each
division independently. But this study is suitable only for high density traffic areas. Ref. [17]
presented the estimation of geographical variance in the field of land used for charging
station installation. During power fills, this forecasts the SOC level of the car. To forecast
what kind of car-level charging station can develop there, this also assesses the redox
condition of the station. Ref. [18] converted double-layer vehicle levels to ratoon charging
station fields to lessen carbon emissions and enhance ecosystem benefits. This will result in
a higher annual yield, lower demand, and lower car battery charging costs because of the
ratoon vehicle-level (RV) technology. The analytical report of CS construction was used to
analyze this together with various data points in the entire article.
Numerous techniques are aimed at estimating the necessity of CSs taking into consid-
eration the OD (Origin Destination) trip and SOC level of the vehicles [17]. Considering
this, Ref. [19] suggested a model to allocate optimal CSs for the bus network in Toronto.
Depending on the vehicle-level SOC cycle and bus trip route, the fastest charging time with
minimum cost was assured. An additional state-of-prediction for determining the allocation
of discharge according to station characteristics, vehicle range estimation, and battery SOC
conditions was the focus of [20,31]. To make the best choice from the available charging
stations, the range of an electric vehicle is forecasted based on a fuzzy classifier. This study
provided a report of the maximum distance an EV can travel to reach the most suitable
charging station. An intelligent route flow system to increase the CSs based on weight and
station availability-level projected from the user preference features was proposed by the
author in [32]. Based on the remote sensing data, Ref. [21] suggested a city-level prediction
for the deployment of charging stations with a minimum budget. The study gave priority
to socioeconomic factors such as customer satisfaction, as well as population density. Using
the combination of deep learning with phenological properties, this was estimated and
forecasted [33]. An optimal placement of charging station in distribution networks was
suggested in [22]. To safeguard the charging station CS, the author of [34] provided research
based on several charging station discharge categorization models. The suggested model
was a data-based station range prediction based on the station’s availability, the cost value
of the station’s power demand, and other pertinent aspects and parameters. A business
approach to a charging station was proposed in [23]. This study led to the motivation of
finding the most optimal placement of charging station, but the technical aspects of the
prediction algorithm for the same was not elaborated. Although the battery swapping
method as in [35,36] is a great trend these days, taking into consideration the time, it may
not be practical in all adverse scenarios. A time series-based approach was discussed in [37]
regarding charging demand, but the optimal placement of CS is not suggested in that study.
All the studies discussed so far may mainly be categorized into the following domains
based on the decision parameters affecting EVs and their charging stations: power distribu-
tion, socioeconomic–environmental factors, EV vehicle, CS parameters, and geographical–
topological factors. Most of the studies summarized in the existing literature are based on a
plethora of features which are specific to regions. The datasets used by most of the studies
are real-time or recorded transportation data focused on a particular town or country, taking
into consideration the attribute features of that region. A thorough study was conducted
based on the literature summarized above to identify the constraints in each of the specified
domains as listed in Figure 1. The traffic and vehicle parameters play a prominent role
as influencing factors in all situations. Based on these features, a new optimal prediction
system was proposed in our study. The most significant features and their relationship to
computing the demand of CSs are discussed in detail in the next section. The proposed
framework enhances the accuracy of predicting the best CS from existing ones, as well as
forecasting the optimal location for installing a CS, taking into consideration the electric
Energies 2024, 17, 4308 6 of 25
vehicle parameter features obtained from the dynamic tracking of vehicle movements, as
well as its State of Charge.
The CS characteristics such as power demand, charging piles, as well as frequency of
vehicle occurrences and the distance to reach the CS, are also considered. The forecasting
model of the CS represents the best location to place a new CS based on the parameters
of power demand, frequency of vehicle occurrences, availability of existing CS, and the
peak time of vehicle visits. This will predict the best location for placement of CS according
to the suggested co-ordinate positions. For this purpose, cutting-edge techniques like the
Enhanced Cladistic Neural Network (ECNN) and the Ensemble Modulation Pattern (EMP)
system are recommended.
3. Proposed Methodology
This section explains the proposed procedure of the optimal charging station prediction
and forecasting model. When an EV travels from an origin to its destination, its initial co-
ordinate positions are initialised based on the OSM data samples. As its journey continues,
the state of charge (SOC) of the vehicle decreases and the distance that it can travel depends
on vehicle parameters such as its battery make—lithium or hybrid—as well as battery
power capacity, driving speed, and the traffic density. The existing charging stations near to
the EV current position are made available to the EV. The cluster similarity measures form
a cluster of CS where EV can place a charging request when the EV battery has a minimum
SOC. Vehicles may prefer level1, level2, or DC fast charging, depending on its capability
and charger compatibility. Each charging station has its own charging capacity which is
divided into the available charging piles. Hence, the demand of a charging station depends
on the availability of the number of charging piles, as well as its maximum charging
capacity. That is, if a charging station has a maximum of 100 kW and two charging piles,
then the charging capacity of that charging station is restricted to a maximum of 50 kW per
pile. Hence the vehicle approaching the charging station must ensure this power demand
of the CS by checking if the charging piles are available and other EVs are not plugged in at
the station.
The demand of CS is computed based on the generated dataset which takes into
consideration the number of charging piles, vehicle density, cost, and charging capacity of
the charging station.
The power demand ‘PD ’ in a charging station can be calculated by referring to the
below equation.
PD = (VC × β × R) − C
where, VC —Vehicle Count (number of vehicles that are connected in the piles in individual CS).
β—Power constant for charging a vehicle.
R—Random value to represent the power consumption of each EV vehicle that are
connected to the piles of a CS. Each vehicle will consume different amounts of power
based on the battery state and the range of battery, therefore, a random value will refer to
the different amount of power consumption for connected EVs, along with the charging
constant ‘β’.
C—Total capacity of CS that is the ability to supply power to the connected EVs in
the piles.
This demand value, if negative, indicates that some piles are empty and vehicles can
be connected to the CS. On the other hand, if the demand value is positive, it indicates that
the charging stations are fully occupied, and then, based on the historical data and pattern
of the feature attributes taken into account in the study, a new charging station location is
recommended within the coverage area of that EV. Thus, the forecasting of the CS is based
on the vehicle demand and the CS availability, as well as recognizing the area where the
vehicle cannot reach the CS with its minimum SOC of battery level.
This prediction is computed using the ECNN algorithm which performs a pattern
analysis while tracking the dynamic movement of the EV to available CS with respect to
time and the SOC parameters. SOC parameters mainly refer to the percentage of SOC
CS is based on the vehicle demand and the CS availability, as well as recognizing the area
where the vehicle cannot reach the CS with its minimum SOC of ba ery level.
This prediction is computed using the ECNN algorithm which performs a pa ern
Energies 2024, 17, 4308
analysis while tracking the dynamic movement of the EV to available CS with respect to
7 of 25
time and the SOC parameters. SOC parameters mainly refer to the percentage of SOC
ba ery level and the distance that can be covered by that EV to a CS. This distance varies
from time to time as it depends on the vehicle parameters such as the ba ery make and
battery level and the distance that can be covered by that EV to a CS. This distance varies
capacity,
from time driving
to timespeed, and traffic.
as it depends Hence
on the the parameters
vehicle proposed system
such aspredicts the make
the battery optimal andCS
for
capacity, driving speed, and traffic. Hence the proposed system predicts the optimal CS aforCS
an EV, and if the CS is already occupied it forecasts an optimal location to install
inanthe
EV,future.
and if the CS is already occupied it forecasts an optimal location to install a CS in
Figure 2 displays the main architecture diagram for the proposed charging station
the future.
prediction
Figuremodel. The methodology
2 displays is divided
the main architecture into three
diagram main
for the stages which
proposed are station
charging labelled
inprediction
the Figure 2.
model. The methodology is divided into three main stages which are labelled in
the Figure 2.
Architectureshowcasing
[Link]
Figure showcasing the
the three
three main
main phases
phasesofofthe
thesystem:
system:initialization,
initialization,DHFO,
DHFO,and
and
ECNN algorithm.
ECNN algorithm.
The first stage is the architecture initialization where the source and destination of the
The first stage is the architecture initialization where the source and destination of
path to be travelled by the user are initialized, along with all the necessary vehicle parameters.
the path to be travelled by the user are initialized, along with all the necessary vehicle
The second stage comprises the DHFO algorithm which mainly concentrates on the
parameters.
optimal feature selection based on the demand computation and vehicle parameters. It
The second
recognizes stage comprises
the geographical the DHFOofalgorithm
co-ordinates the CS that which mainly can
the vehicle concentrates
reach with onits
the
optimal
minimum feature
SOC of selection basedThe
battery level. on cluster
the demand computation
similarity measures formand vehicle
a clusterparameters.
of CS where It
recognizes the geographical co-ordinates of the CS that
EV can place a charging request when the EV battery has minimal SOC. the vehicle can reach with its min-
imumIn SOC of ba ery level. The cluster similarity measures form
the third stage, the Enhanced Cladistic Neural Network (ECNN) technique a cluster of CS where EV
op-
can place a charging request when the EV ba ery has minimal SOC.
timizes the clustering and feature selection, and makes the final prediction. The ECNN
In the third
algorithm stage, the
preprocesses theEnhanced Cladistic
testing weight data Neural
using the Network
concept(ECNN) techniqueThe
of normalization. opti-
mizes the clustering
preprocessed and feature
data blocks selection,
are then split intoand makes
groups the final
to extract prediction.
data [Link] ECNN
Every blockal-
gorithm
group ispreprocesses
then subjected the
to testing weightModulation
the Ensemble data using Pattern
the concept
(EMP).of This
normalization. The pre-
efficiently extracts
processed data blocks are then split into groups to extract data pa erns. Every block group
geometrical characteristics to raise the general level of classification accuracy. Finally, the
isclassifier
then subjected to the
is utilized Ensemble
to classify Modulation
whether Pa ern
the location ID (EMP). Thiswith
is satisfied efficiently extracts
the relevance geo-
ratio
metrical characteristics
or not. The to raise
relevance ratio the general
defines the ratiolevel of classification
between the number accuracy.
of known Finally, the the
values and clas-
sifier is utilized
predicted valuestoofclassify
the datawhether
samples. the location ID is satisfied with the relevance ratio or
Thus, the entire forecasting of the CS is based on the power demand and availability
of the CS, and the recognition of the area where the vehicle cannot reach the CS with its
minimum SOC of battery level. The cluster similarity measures form a cluster of CS where
EV can place a charging request when the EV battery has minimal SOC. This will predict
EV can place a charging request when the EV ba ery has minimal SOC. This will pr
the best location for the placement of a CS by suggesting geographical co-ordinate
tions extracted using a map matched tool. Figure 3 is the flowchart of the proposed
tem.
Energies 2024, 17, 4308 8 of 25
The proposed algorithms are explained in depth in the ensuing subsections.
Section 3.1: Distributional Homogeneity Feature Optimization (DHFO);
Section
the best 3.2:
location forEnhanced Cladistic
the placement Neural
of a CS by Network
suggesting (ECNN)
geographical Algorithm.
co-ordinate positions
extracted using a map matched tool. Figure 3 is the flowchart of the proposed system.
tion
3.1. Distributionalwhich
algorithm uses Feature
Homogeneity the various parameters
Optimization (DHFO) in different objective conditions
nalizeThethe most suitable
Distributional combination
Homogeneity FeatureofOptimization
parametersis that will enhance
a multi-objective the classific
optimiza-
accuracy. Here,
tion algorithm the optimization
which uses the various algorithm
parameters is in
used to reduce
different the conditions
objective size of feature
to data
(before training) of a classifier to enhance the prediction performance. For that, the
finalize the most suitable combination of parameters that will enhance the classification
of the DHFO
accuracy. Here, optimization
the optimizationalgorithm
algorithm isisused
the to full datathe
reduce ofsize
theoftraining feature set. A
feature database
(before training) of a classifier to enhance the prediction performance. For that, the input of
scribed in the algorithm below, the input is the geographical co-ordinates of the ve
the DHFO optimization algorithm is the full data of the training feature set. As described in
obtained from
the algorithm the the
below, OSM Data
input Samples
is the andco-ordinates
geographical Demand Cost of the(𝑀 )] obtained
vehicle (the entire
fromchargin
tion parameters
the OSM as inand
Data Samples Figure
Demand 4) ofCost
randomly generated
(M N ID ) (the CS. From
entire charging these
station inputs, the ou
parameters
of
asthe DHFO
in Figure 4) algorithm
of randomlyisgenerated
the optimal selected
CS. From thesefeature
inputs, atheributes
output among
of the DHFOthe overall
base. Based on the selected indexes of the training database, the selectedona ribute
algorithm is the optimal selected feature attributes among the overall database. Based
the selected indexes of the training database, the selected attributes are passed as the input
passed as the input for the classifier in both the training and testing processes.
for the classifier in both the training and testing processes.
In Algorithm 1, the multi-objective DHFO method’s precise steps and equation model
are made available. To construct the root direction, the input was selected as the co-ordinate
position of the available charging stations, and the starting direction was formed based on
Energies 2024, 17, 4308 9 of 25
the vehicle’s geographic latitude–longitude co-ordinates setting of 0.5 if the link difference
obtained from the datapoints was less than the defined range as in algorithm below. The
coverage area for the randomly allocated CS location in terms of latitude and longitude was
24, 17, x FOR PEER REVIEW ±0.5 from the route path co-ordinate position of EV movement. The number 12 ofof26divisions
to allocate the random CS was specified as 10 numbers which split the CS location into
different positions. These randomly allocated CS contained the additional parameters along
with the latitude and longitude, such as total capacity (kW), number of charging piles, cost
was chosen. The(Pstraining
per kWh),model of the
vehicle ECNN
count was
already used to classify
connected to the CSthe classes
piles, of live demand
and power mov- in the
ing vehicle parameters.
CS (kW).
1
Next, the ratio of and difv is used to compute the distance distxy . As a
log(Dervxy )
result, the sum of Tdist and distxy is updated in the Tdist .
q
disls = avg2List − ( avg R 2 ) (3)
1 size( Idxls )
x ∑ x =1
avgidx = Ri( Idx x ) (4)
The values of Tdist are then used to update the value of Odist , and lastly, the updated
Odist
M is used to estimate MNID (i, j).
The charging station architecture optimized the station’s orientation and set it up for
quicker data transfer based on the evaluation of these criteria. The output of DHFO was
the optimal feature database (training database), and the selected attributes of the overall
training database were used as the input for the ECNN classifier.
X − Xmin
X′ =
Xmax − Xmin
Algorithm 2: Cont.
∗ (s) .
From the matrix arrangement, the block correlation feature can be estimated by F XD (s).XD
This can be represented as
∗ (s ) = X ∗ .e T − Tm
F XD (s).XD D
Where, ‘T’ and ‘Tm ’ represent the attribute values from matrix XD (s).
Estimate the
√ kernel
model
√ ofclassifier
q
1 2q 2q
Km = 2q −1 l kq l r ∀ q = 1, 2, . . . , N //’r’ represents the range of feature
distance, ‘l’ represents the length of the feature vector.
Estimate the relevancy using the kernel function with feature points.
tn = F T ωn
Where, ‘ωn ’ weight value of attributes.
un = F T ωn
Extract the training features and form the network by
Tr = {t1 , t2 , . . . , tn }
Xb = Xb + ∑iN=1 ti (d) pi
Estimate the matching score for the correlated blocks by
T
T
T̂s = Xbd − Xb PT
(a)
(b)
Figure 5. Data Samples taken for the experimental study. (a) Five road trips D1 to D5 chosen for
Figure 5. Data
study Samples taken offor
(b) path of direction the
route experimental
Bangalore study.
to Mysore from (a) Five road trips D1
OSM data. to D5 chosen for
study (b) path of direction of route Bangalore to Mysore from OSM data.
Figure 4 shows the initialized demand parameters of CS at each co-ordinate position
which comprises co-ordinate positions of the CS in terms of latitude and longitude, the
Figuremaximum
4 shows thepower
output initialized
that a CSdemand
provides in parameters of CS
kW, number of piles at each
available co-ordinate
in the CS, position
cost per kWh
which comprises (varying frompositions
co-ordinate 5 to 10), andof
number
the CSof vehicles
in termsalready
of ge ing charged.
latitude and longitude, the
maximum These
outputparameter values are used to compute the power demand of CS. The CS with and
power that a CS provides in kW, number of piles available in the CS, cost
without demand are further examined using the DHFO and ECNN algorithm to predict
per kWh (varying fromcharging
the most optimal 5 to 10),
stationand number
for the EV [Link] vehicles already getting charged. These
parameter values are used to compute the power demand of CS. The CS with and without
4.2. Track Analysis with Map
demand are further examined using the DHFO and ECNN algorithm to predict the most
The map-matched route trips taken from the OpenStreetMap Database were utilized
optimal charging
to performstation for study.
the proposed the EVThe users.
data of available charging stations on the trips taken
were extracted using the Open-Source Routing Machine (OSRM). All the available charg-
ing stations near to the EV were grouped together based on clustering. The demand value
of each CS was computed as described in the DHFO algorithm, taking into consideration
the vehicle SOC and traffic density. The demand value in the positive range indicates that
a greater number of vehicles can be charged there. The negative value of demand suggests
unavailability of suitable charging stations, and hence there is an urge to place one there.
Figure 6 shows the simulation update of vehicle movement in all the O-D road trip
datasets that were generated for the locations from Bangalore to Mysore (D1), Bangalore
to Pune (D2), Bangalore to Tumkur (D3), Bangalore to Cochin (D4), and Bangalore to Hy-
derabad (D5) in random directions on the map. The dynamic prediction of optimal CS
placement is represented by the legend marks. In this, the black color represents the vehi-
Energies 2024, 17, 4308 15 of 25
(a)
Figure 6. Cont.
Energies 2024, 17, x FOR PEER REVIEW 17 of 2
Energies 2024, 17, 4308 16 of 25
(b)
(c)
Figure 6. Cont.
Energies 2024, 17, x FOR PEER REVIEW 18 of 26
Energies 2024, 17, 4308 17 of 25
(d)
(e)
Figure 6. Simulation of the paths taken for the testing of the prediction. (a) Simulation of vehicle
Figure 6. Simulation of the paths taken for the testing of the prediction. (a) Simulation of vehicle
tracking and CS prediction for the direction path from Bangalore to Mysore; (b) simulation of vehi-
tracking and CS prediction for theand
cle tracking direction path from
CS prediction Bangalore
for direction pathtofrom
Mysore;
Pune (b) simulation
to Bangalore; (c) of vehicle of vehicle
simulation
tracking and CS prediction for direction path from Pune to Bangalore; (c) simulation of vehicle
tracking and CS prediction for the direction path from Tumkur to Bangalore; (d) simulation of vehicle
tracking and CS prediction for direction path from Hyderabad to Bangalore; (e) simulation of vehicle
tracking and CS prediction for the direction path from Bangalore to Ernakulam.
generate all of these, which are then assessed by comparing the categorized results to the
dataset’s ground truth. The true positives and false positives of the predictions made are
used to compute the precision, recall, accuracy, and F1 score. Each of these measures is
significant, according to the varying situations, to get a broader understanding of the errors
and performance of the model. The accuracy is the baseline measure used in the classifier
model to get an indication of how efficient the system is. It is computed as in Equation (5).
To ensure that the system performs well, even when the datasets are not properly
balanced, we utilized the precision value as it gives the ratio of true positives across all the
positive values. It is beneficial in scenarios when the estimate of false positives is high. The
mathematical equation of precision is mentioned in Equation (6) stated below.
TP
Precision, P = (1 − FPR) = (6)
TP + FP
Recall is taken into consideration when the estimate of false negatives is high and the
equation to compute it is specified in Equation (7) stated below.
The F1 score is also considered to find an equilibrium between the precision and recall.
The F1 score is a single metric that is computed as the harmonic mean of precision and
recall, as in Equation (8).
2PR
F1 Score, F_S = (8)
P+R
Area under Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve is another important metric
used to evaluate the performance of the model. The ROC curve is plotted as the curve
between recall or sensitivity defined in Equation (9) and the false positive rate (FPR) which
is (1 − specificity which is mentioned in Equation (10)) or the proportion of incorrect
classification made by the model, as in Equation (11).
True Positive(TP)
Sensitivity, TPR = (9)
Total No. of Positive samples
True Negative(TN)
Specificity, TNR = (10)
Total No. of Negative samples
False Positive(FN)
1 − Specificity = FPR = (11)
True Negative(TN) + False Positive(FP)
Figure 7.
Figure
Figure 7. Plot
[Link] representing
Plotrepresenting
representingthe
the quantitative
the evaluation
quantitative
quantitative based
evaluation
evaluation on performance
based
based on performance measures.
on performance measures.
measures.
Figure 8.
Figure
Figure 8. ROC
[Link] curve
ROCcurve ofofthe
curveof the proposed
proposed
the model
model
proposed onon
on
model thethe
the different
different datasets
datasets
different D1 to
D1
datasets to
D1D5.
D5.
to D5.
4.5. Computational
4.5.
4.5. Computational Complexity
ComputationalComplexity
Complexity
The
The proposed
Theproposed
proposed study mainly
study
study mainly
mainly comprises
comprises
comprises two main
two main algorithms—DHFO
two algorithms—DHFO
main algorithms—DHFO and ECNN.
and ECNN. and The
TheECNN.
computational complexity
computational
The complexity of
computational of the
the system
complexity system depends
of the depends on
system on the
the working
depends working of
on the of the
the feature
workingfeature optimiza-
of optimiza- op-
the feature
tion and
tion and neural
timization neural network
and network algorithms,
neural algorithms, as
network as discussed
discussed in
algorithms, as in [38].
[38]. The
discussedThe DHFO
DHFO algorithm
in [38].algorithm takes
The DHFO takesalgorithm
into
into
consideration
consideration
takes the input
the input co-ordinates
into consideration co-ordinates
the input of of the EV
the EV user,
co-ordinatesuser,of asthe
as well
wellEV as user,
as the charging
the charging station.
as wellstation.
as the TheThe
charging
availability
availability
station. and
Theand the demand
the demand
availability and matrix
matrix are updated
are
the demand updated
matrixforare
for each
each of the
of the nodes
updated nodes taken
taken
for each into
ofinto consid-taken
the consid-
nodes
eration.
eration.
into The construction
The construction
consideration. of the
of the relevancy
relevancy
The construction matrix
matrix
of the is nested
is
relevancynested for loop,
for
matrix loop, whichfor
which
is nested is iterated
is iterated to
to
loop, which is
the maximum
the maximum
iterated of
to theof N, where
N,
maximumwhere of
N is
N is the
N, the totalN
total
where number
number of nodes.
of
is the total nodes. It is
It
number is of
followed
followed
[Link] by the
the
It is updatingby the
updating
followed
part of
part of the
updating thepart
above-constructed
above-constructed matrix based
matrix
of the above-constructed based on the
on
matrix the relevant
relevant
based vector
vector
on the as well
as
relevant well as the
as
vector theasvehicle
vehicle
well as the
vehicle node co-ordinate positions. This modification again includes an iteration within the
above-nested for loop, thereby the final computational complexity is O(n3 ).
The complexity of the algorithm depends on the training and testing phases. Dur-
ing the training phase, the complexity of the one-time step of the forward pass of each
layer involves matrix manipulations resulting in a complexity of O (ni × ni+1 ), where i
refers to the layers. The updating of the weights in the backward pass also results in O
(ni × ni+1 ) computational time. The estimation of the matching score for the correlated
blocks is O (n2 R), where R represents the total attributes. Hence, total computational
complexity of the ECNN algorithm, taking into consideration k epochs and T time steps, is
O(k.T∑ni=−11 (ni ∗ ni+1 )) + O n2 .R . For the testing phase, the computational complexity is
much less linear in nature as it is directly proportional to the input size only.
Energies 2024, 17, 4308 20 of 25
Figure
[Link]
Roadtrip
tripfrom
fromDenmark
Denmarkto
toHannover
Hannover with
with the prediction of
the prediction ofoptimal
optimalCS.
CS.
Figure 10 represents the geographical picture of the route trip from the road network
in Wuhan which is a case study in [39]. The route chosen was from Wuhan to Wanggang,
and labelled D7. In the study in [39], different baseline standards were chosen to analyze
the influence of urban area in the prediction. The RMSE and MAE for the different baselines
were tabulated. These hypothetical regression results, when converted using the trade-
off threshold 2.0, clearly revealed that the effectiveness was high, with an accuracy and
precision of approximately 0.9, and a precision and F1 score of almost over 0.85.
The performance measures obtained for these two road trips, D6 and D7, using our
system, were also of a high standard in terms of accuracy, precision, and recall. In Table 1,
the results are evaluated from the tracking of vehicle movement with respect to time
response based on the SOC parameters. This result is simulated for routes D6 and D7. With
our proposed approach, the optimal charging stations predicted are highlighted as purple
dots in Figures 9 and 10.
Figure 10. Road trip from Wuhan to Wanggang with the prediction of optimal CS.
Energies 2024, 17, 4308
Figure 9. Road trip from Denmark to Hannover with the prediction of optimal CS. 21 of 25
Figure
Figure10.10.
Road trip
Road from
trip Wuhan
from to Wanggang
Wuhan withwith
to Wanggang the prediction of optimal
the prediction CS. CS.
of optimal
InThe
thisproposed
work, the technique could
data pa erns classify
were the results
efficiently in using
extracted a generalized
DHFO, andapproach
the mov-by effec-
ing vehicle was accurately detected by using the ECNN technique. From these CS location
tively extracting the data patterns of the input image and taking into consideration the
predictions and the tracking performance evaluation, the parameters representing the
most optimized parameters from the OSM sample data. The approaches which have been
performance
taken for the of analysis
the proposed model
in the were
current satisfactory
study when compared
also include additionalwith other state-
parameters from the
of-art methods. The precision, recall, and accuracy defined the sensitivity of the proposed
urban region, as well as environmental factors such as weather perspective. This proposed
study is not specific, and is independent of whether the samples were taken from urban
or rural areas, as well of other environmental factors, but still provides a promising and
satisfactory prediction of suitable CS.
In this process, the ECNN classifier worked as the multi-level classifier to predict the
best location based on the feature attributes that were collected from the parameters of
the CS and EV. While driving the EV, the parameters from the live running vehicle were
arranged as the testing feature vector. At this testing stage, the parameters from each time
point were used as the input to the classifier for testing. The classifier predicted the class
according to the best match with the training database (feature set) and gave out the class
label as 1:CS station available with sufficient power to charge the EV (green-colored dots),
CS station available with power demand (KW)—Class 2 (red-colored dots), or no CS—Class
3 (purple-colored dots as in Figures 9 and 10). If it predicted class 3, then the classifier
would, again, validate the parameters to recommend the best location for a new CS that
gives out the longitude and latitude for the new CS.
In this work, the data patterns were efficiently extracted using DHFO, and the moving
vehicle was accurately detected by using the ECNN technique. From these CS location
predictions and the tracking performance evaluation, the parameters representing the
performance of the proposed model were satisfactory when compared with other state-of-
art methods. The precision, recall, and accuracy defined the sensitivity of the proposed
algorithm in the prediction of CS and the forecasting of the CS location to recommend the
position where we can optimally place the CS in the path of direction.
Table 1 and Figure 11 show the accuracy and tracking performance rates of the existing
approaches: Data-Driven Context Aware Learning DDCAL [39], Probabilistic Deep learning
for EV [8], Machine learning Analysis (MLA) based on Linear Regression and Support
Vector Machine [2], Fuzzy-based multi-criteria decision-making NWHFMCGDM [40], and
Proposed Techniques. All these existing approaches have been studied using the data
samples D6 and D7. These results are evaluated based on the successful classification
with less time difference. To track the evaluation, the performance measures’ accuracy and
tracking performance rates of these approaches were calculated. From the evaluation, it was
found that the proposed system provides an efficient result, when compared to the other
techniques, and it is stable across all the data routes. To compare the efficiency of feature
extraction and classification performance across the systems, the tracking performance
PDLEV [8] 0.90 94.45
D6 MLA [2] 0.90 90.01
NWHFMGDM [41] 0.89 99.00
Proposed 0.91 99.89
Energies 2024, 17, 4308 22 of 25
DDCAL [39] 0.89 89
PDLEV [8] 0.88 93.29
D7 MLA [2] 0.89 91.2
rate was used. The tracking performance depends on the computational time taken with
NWHFMGDM [41] 0.88 99.1
respect to the data used, as well as the hyperparameters which are model-specific tunable
Proposed
settings. In this work, the data patterns0.91 99.95using DHFO, and the
were efficiently extracted
moving vehicle could be accurately detected by using the ECNN technique.
From the CS location predictions and the tracking performance evaluation, the pa-
rameters representing the performance of the proposed model were better than the other
state-of-art methods.
5. Conclusions
An innovative charging station prediction model was put forth in this era of the
Internet of vehicles [42], utilizing an Enhanced Cladistic Neural Network (ECNN) for
charging station prediction and an adaptive Distributional Homogeneity Feature Optimiza-
tion (DHFO) method for optimal feature selection based on pattern analysis. The results
were evaluated from the tracking of vehicle movement, in which the EV could reach the
CS with an optimal time difference, and it ensured a high score in all standard metrics
across all the OSM data samples used, showing the stability of the system’s performance.
From the evaluation, it was found that the proposed system provided a satisfactory result,
when compared to the other existing techniques, by taking into consideration only the most
significant features obtained on the pattern of vehicle for prediction of the most optimal
existing CS, as well forecasting the geographical co-ordinates apt for the installation of the
CS. The additional socioeconomic and geographical factors, as described in other existing
Energies 2024, 17, 4308 23 of 25
approaches, influenced the system, but their impact was considerably small on vehicle and
CS parameters.
Nomenclature
CS Charging Station
EV Electric Vehicle
AI Artificial Intelligence
DHFO Distributional Homogeneity Feature Optimization
ECNN Enhanced Cladistic Neural Networks
SoC State of Charge of Electric Vehicle
OSM OpenStreetMap
CNN Convolution Neural Network
O-D Origin Destination
EMP Ensemble Modulation Pattern
OSRM Open-Source Routing Machine
P Precision
R Recall
FPR False Positive Rate
FNR False Negative Rate
ROC Receiver Operating Characteristic
Acc Accuracy Measure
RMSE Root Mean Square Error
MAE Mean Absolute Error
DNN Deep Neural Network
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