StockGuide Spring 2025
StockGuide Spring 2025
0S&P5
20204.58
20000
19366.07
19000
18671.07
Market Chart Nasdaq Composite
18327.34
16538.86 16668.57
16445.54
RS 16000
15708.54
15451.65
15150.07 15222.78
15000
14477.57
11.9B
Volume(00)
9.9B 9.6B
9.0B 92,500,000
8.4B 8.3B
6.9B 71,700,000
5.4B 55,600,000
43,100,000
15 29 12 26 09 23 08 22 05 19 03 17 31 14 28 12 26 09 23 06 20 04 18 01 15 29 13 27 10 24 07
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb
Quotes delayed 20 minutes. Ownership data provided by LSEG and Estimate data provided by FactSet. [email protected] 01.02.2025
© 2025 Investor's Business Daily, LLC. All rights reserved.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
STOCK GUIDE SPRING 2025
MARKET CHART
4 Nasdaq Composite
FEATURE ARTICLES
6 THE TOP STOCKS OF 2024
10 AppLovin (APP)
11 Palantir Technologies (PLTR)
12 Celestica (CLS)
13 Vertiv Holdings (VRT)
14 Coherent (COHR)
15 Deckers Outdoor (DECK)
Q&A
20 A Conversation with Leif Soreide
FEATURE HIGHLIGHT
24 Unlock Volatility Insights with ATR
*All screen results are computer-generated and were run on January 2, 2025 unless noted.
CONNECT WITH US
On pages 10-15, you’ll find charts for several of these stocks annotated by the
MarketSurge coaches.
% Gain/ % Gain/
Top Sectors of 2024 Top Sectors of 2023
Loss Loss
Communication Services (XLC) 33.2% Technology (XLK) 54.7%
In 2024, a stabilizing economy and the Fed’s strategic policy shifts breathed new life
into the financial sector. Easing rates and the increased likelihood of a soft economic
landing expanded lending activity and renewed investor confidence in bank stocks.
Beyond that, technological innovations (especially in fintech) improved efficiency
and profitability for traditional financial institutions and disruptors. In the investment
banking world, a revival in M&A and IPO activity further contributed to the sector’s
robust performance.
For now, financials remain one of the market’s strongest sectors—but investors will
be watching closely for signals from the Fed and broader economic data to gauge
whether the rally can continue through the rest of the year.
As 2025 unfolds, the outlook for utilities is a mixed bag. On one hand, AI-driven
energy consumption is expected to sustain high demand, but uncertainties around
interest rate cuts and regulatory shifts in renewable energy could pose challenges.
Investors will need to be watching closely to see how utilities balance infrastructure
investments with profitability as they navigate another pivotal year.
The rest of this year will be critical for materials—if global manufacturing rebounds
and infrastructure projects get back on track, we could see things turn around. Inves-
tors should keep an eye on commodity price shifts and macroeconomic indicators
that could reignite the demand for raw materials.
HEADQUARTERS: Palo Alto, CA PHONE: 800-839-9646 IPO 4/15/2021 EPS Due 2/12/2025 50-Day Avg Volume 6,211,800
Develops mobile app ecosystem by helping app developers to m arket, monetize, analyze, and publish their apps. Off 52-Week High -18.2%
11/20/24 To offer $550 mil of 5.950% Senior Notes due 2054 52-Week Hi-Lo $417.63-$37.40
EPS Rating 83
Climax Run, up 12Price out
Year (Dec) EPS ($) %Chg 20 weeks
+272% from Pivot in Scale
2017 Group RS Rating 80 of 13 weeks in a row
0S&P5
2018 -0.73
SMR Rating A Best Composite Rating possible
Acc/Dis Rating A- 500
2019 0.33 +145% Composite Rating 99
2020 -0.35 -206% Timeliness Rating B
Sponsorship Rating B 400
2021 0.09 +126%
N/A
Feature Article The Top Stocks of 2024
HEADQUARTERS: Denver, CO PHONE: 720-358-3679 IPO 9/30/2020 EPS Due 2/12/2025 50-Day Avg Volume 80,373,500
Develops software for institutions to protect individual pri vacy and prevent the misuse of information. Off 52-Week High -11.3%
52-Week Hi-Lo
12/05/24 In pact with Shield AI to develop and deliver large-scale command and control of autonomous uncrewed systems. $84.80-$15.66
Price
Year (Dec) EPS ($) %ChgEPS Rating 97 26 weeks
+173% from Pivot in Scale
2017 Group RS Rating 90 0S&P5
SMR Rating A
Strong proprietary rankings
2018 -0.36 Acc/Dis Rating A 140
2019 -0.36 0% Composite Rating 99
120
2020 0.08 +122% Timeliness Rating B
Sponsorship Rating B
2021 0.13 +63% 100
2022 0.06 -54% EPS Growth Rate 33%
Earnings Stability 66
2023 0.25 +317% P/E Ratio 216 (8.6 X SP) 80
2024 est 0.38 +52% Forward P/E 163
Earnings Line turns up Shakeout Week
2025 est 0.46 +21% 5-Year P/E Range 53-235
Return on Equity 19% 60
Yield NONE
Cash Flow $0.29
ExDiv N/A 34% 50
Book Value x49.57 Debt N/A Ownership
Inventory T/O N/A R&D 18.2% Mgmt 6% RS Rating
U/D Vol Ratio 1.6 Alpha 0.45 Banks 40
1% 99
New CEO N/A Beta 2.29 Funds 34% 34
Top RS in Grp Symbol RS EPS Rtg No. of Funds 30
Strong quarterly EPS/sales
KingsoftCloud KC 99 34 Mar-24 1183 26
Twilio TWLO 96 79 23
72% Jun-24 1325
Kyndryl KD ↑ 95 81
Ipo $7.25 Sep-24 1320 20
GoDaddy GDDY 94 99 18
Dec-24 1672 48%
DocuSign DOCU 94 96 16
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Quarterly EPS($) %Chg Sales($Mil) % Chg 14
↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑
↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ -->
Dec-22 0.04 +100% 508.6 ↑+17%
12
EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS Barrons
EPS EPS Barrons
EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPSEPS Due
0% -11%
Mar-23 +89% +113%
0.05 +133%
+150% +150% +500%
525.2+300%+18%+33% -60% -50% -125% -75% +100% +150% +600% +600% +100% +60% +80% +43%41 Days
11
The Top Stocks of 2024 Feature Article
HEADQUARTERS: Toronto, ON PHONE: 416-448-2211 IPO 7/1/1998 EPS Due 1/29/2025 50-Day Avg Volume 2,350,200
Canadian contract manufacturer of electronic products for he althcare, industrial, aerospace/defense and 52-Week High -7.4%
Up almostOff
50% in 13 weeks
10/23/24 Raised 2024 adjusted earnings guidance to $3.85 per share on revenues of $9.60 bil 52-Week Hi-Lo $100.51-$26.62
HEADQUARTERS: Westerville, OH PHONE: 614-888-0246 EPS Due 2/19/2025 50-Day Avg Volume 6,526,300
Manufactures and services of digital infrastructure technolo gy for data centres and communication networks. Off 52-Week High -18.8%
07/24/24 Raised 2024 adjusted earnings guidance to $2.47 to $2.53 per diluted share 52-Week Hi-Lo $145.67-$44.31
Price
Year (Dec) EPS ($) %Chg EPS Rating 98 +8% from Pivot in 13 weeks
Scale
2017 -0.01 0% Group RS Rating 48 0S&P5
SMR Rating A Strong proprietary ratings 260
2018 -4.29 -999% Acc/Dis Rating B 230
2019 0.33 +108% Composite Rating 98
2020 -0.15 -145% Timeliness Rating B 200
Sponsorship Rating C 180
2021 0.76 +607%
EPS Growth Rate 50% 160
2022 0.53 -30%
Earnings Stability 67 140
2023 1.77 +234% P/E Ratio 47 (1.9 X SP)
2024 est 2.67 +51% Forward P/E 33 120
2025 est 3.57 +34% 5-Year P/E Range 13-999 Earnings gap up, +360% EPS quarter
Return on Equity 40% 100
Yield 0.13%
Cash Flow $2.05
ExDiv 12/03/24
Book Value x21.16 Debt 145% Ownership 80
Inventory T/O 8.04X R&D N/A Mgmt 5%
U/D Vol Ratio 1.1 Alpha 0.17 RS Rating
Banks 1%
New CEO 01/2023 Beta 2.59 94 60
Funds 56%
Top RS in Grp Symbol RS EPS Rtg No. of Funds Increasing fund ownership 50
PowellIndustr POWL 95 81 Mar-24 1176
AmerSupercond AMSC 94 81 40
Jun-24 1486
ADS-TEC ADSE 93 7 34
Sep-24 1812
GatesIndustri GTES 89 65 Support at 10-week line
+ + + 5 quarters in+ a row, + 30
SunnyOpticalT SOTGY 88 79 Dec-24 1898
- - - - - triple-digit EPS - - - - - - 26
Quarterly EPS($) %Chg Sales($Mil) % Chg 23
↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑
Dec-22 0.28 +600% 1654.6 +17%
EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS New EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS 20
+300% +125%
Mar-23 -2067% 0.24 -58%
+60% #+400% +123%+132%
1521.1 +300%
+94%+32% -86% -138% -68% +15% C.E.O +600%+400% +360% +126% +100%+79% +46% +46%
13
The Top Stocks of 2024 Feature Article
HEADQUARTERS: Saxonburg, PA PHONE: 724-352-4455 IPO 10/2/1987 EPS Due 2/5/2025 50-Day Avg Volume 2,371,800
Makes modular laser processing heads, fiber optic cables, ul tra-violet filters, and thermo-electric modules Off 52-Week High -11.5%
11/06/24 Expects Q2 FY25 earnings of $0.61 to $0.77 per share on revenues of $1.33 bil to $1.41 bil 52-Week Hi-Lo $113.60-$40.12
Price
Year (Jun) EPS ($) %Chg EPS Rating 84 +24% from Pivot in 16 weeks
Scale
2018 1.99 +36% Group RS Rating 49 0S&P5
SMR Rating C
2019 2.52 +27% Acc/Dis Rating 260
C-
2020 2.67 +6% Composite Rating 88 230
2021 3.73 +40% Timeliness Rating B
200
Sponsorship Rating C
2022 3.74 0% 180
-7%
Feature Article The Top Stocks of 2024
HEADQUARTERS: Goleta, CA PHONE: 805-967-7611 IPO 10/15/1993 EPS Due 1/30/2025 50-Day Avg Volume 1,968,700
Markets luxury sheepskin footwear/sandals for men, women/chi ldren and operates 164 stores internationally. Off 52-Week High -4.7%
10/24/24 Expects FY25 adjusted earnings guidance of $5.15 to $5.25 per dil shr on revenues growth of 12% bil to52-Week
$4.8 bil. Hi-Lo $214.70-$108.65
Price
Year (Mar) EPS ($) %Chg EPS Rating 99 9 weeks
+19% from Pivot in Scale
2018 0.96 +57% Group RS Rating 36 Highest possible EPS Rating 0S&P5
SMR Rating A 400
2019 1.45 +51% Acc/Dis Rating A
2020 1.60 +10% Composite Rating 96 340
2021 2.25 +41% Timeliness Rating A 300
Sponsorship Rating C
2022 2.71 +20% 260
2023 3.23 +19% EPS Growth Rate 28%
Steady Earnings Line 230
Earnings Stability 8
2024 4.86 +50% P/E Ratio 36 (1.4 X SP) 200
2025 est 5.56 +14% Forward P/E 36 180
2026 est 6.33 +14% 5-Year P/E Range 9-37
Return on Equity 39% 160
Yield NONE
Cash Flow $32.01 140
ExDiv N/A Weekly breakout on volume
Book Value x14.64 Debt N/A Ownership 120
Inventory T/O 8.51X R&D N/A Mgmt 1% RS Rating
U/D Vol Ratio 2.0 Alpha 0.13 Banks 1% Strong earnings stability 93 100
New CEO 08/2024 Beta 1.57 Funds 63%
Top RS in Grp Symbol RS EPS Rtg No. of Funds Excellent quarterly 80
WolverineWwid WWW 97 46 Mar-24 1699 EPS/sales
OnHolding ONON 94 89 RS Line new high 60
Jun-24 1954
WeycoGroup WEYS 88 84 on breakout
Sep-24 2150 50
Birkenstock BIRK 85 97
Dec-24 2171
↑
SkechersUSA SKX 69 87 6/1
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 40
Quarterly EPS($) %Chg Sales($Mil) % Chg
↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ --> 34
Dec-22 1.75 +25% 1345.6 +13%
EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS Due 30
+8%
+13% Mar-23 +55%
-29% 0.58 +33%
+38%+26% +100%
791.6 +2%
+680% +8% -7% +110% -3% +3% +25% +38% +43% +81% +44% +43% +88% +39% 28 Days
15
The Top Stocks of 2024 Feature Article
between the megacap stocks and the Apple on sales growth and record-high
rest of the market. While the “Magnifi- profit margins.
cent Seven” (Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia,
Amazon, Meta, Tesla and Alphabet) MarketSurge’s RS Line Blue Dot List
played a key role in driving overall index is a great place to start when you’re
returns, the broader market showed searching for the strongest outperform-
persistent weakness. For most of the ers during a rotation. In it, you’ll find a
year, tech and AI-adjacent growth stocks diverse range of emerging leaders be-
rallied as institutional investors piled into yond the familiar megacaps—and those
these high-flying names. potential new leaders may have much
more upside and room to run.
So what changed by the end
of the year?
"Let stock charts guide you, not headlines. Investors who followed price
action rather than economic predictions fared better in 2024."
vestors, with stocks like Advanced Micro traditional renewables like wind and so-
Devices (AMD) and Taiwan Semiconduc- lar to meet increasing energy demand.
tor (TSM) undergoing a period of sell-offs.
A look at the charts confirmed that
Despite these challenges, investors this wasn’t just another passing trend.
who stayed disciplined and avoided Investors poured into uranium-based
emotional reactions gained an edge. If stocks like Cameco (CCJ), which rose
you were one of the ones who wait- over 70% as the demand for nuclear
ed for price action confirmation, then fuel increased. Leader in nuclear power
you saw how leaders like NVDA and generation Constellation Energy (CEG)
TSM shrugged off the initial panic and also saw strong accumulation from
resumed their uptrends. institutional investors, confirming serious
confidence in the sector’s prospects
The bottom line: Follow price action and over the long term.
don’t panic. While market volatility makes
trading more difficult, sticking to a rules- The market action in 2024 showed us
based system helps you filter out noise that nuclear energy is no longer a vi-
and stay focused on actionable setups. sion for the future—it’s happening now.
Investors who focused on sector trends
India’s NIFTY 50 index hit record highs dollar created challenges for emerg-
thanks to strong GDP growth and a ing markets and increased volatility in
booming IT industry. Japan’s Nikkei global equities.
225 also gained over 30%, mainly due
to corporate governance reforms that Investors who navigated these markets
encouraged buybacks and a weak- successfully had to balance their expo-
ening yen, which gave exporters like sure with technical analysis focusing on
Toyota (TM) a leg up in EV and hybrid price trends rather than relying only on
markets. Meanwhile, Brazil’s Bovespa macroeconomic narratives.
Index delivered double-digit returns,
driven by a surge in commodity prices, If you were able to stomach the volatility,
with mining giant Vale (VALE) becoming international markets provided many in-
a key supplier of iron ore and nickel. teresting opportunities—especially com-
pared to recent years when they broadly
Even still, these gains came with con- underperformed U.S. equities.
siderable risk. Geopolitical tensions—
including trade disputes and persistent
inflationary pressures—dampened in-
vestor sentiment. Currency fluctuations
made matters worse as a strong U.S.
A CONVERSATION WITH
Leif Soreide
Leif Soreide is a dedicated stock trader,
entrepreneur and founder of Champion
Team Trading, a platform that provides
a collaborative space for traders of all
experience levels to refine their skills
through real-time trade analysis and
structured learning. Throughout his
career, Leif has built a reputation for
identifying high-potential stocks and stocks. I wanted my money to work for
implementing aggressive entry strategies me by trading stocks, and that became
around well-developed pivot points. He my full-time career.
placed first in the 2019 U.S. Investing
Championship, successfully overcoming You’ve succeeded in the market by
a challenging market environment identifying high-potential stocks that
marked by failed breakouts. most traders overlook and avoiding
blue chip stocks. What gives you
MarketSurge recently sat down with confidence in lesser-known names? Is
Leif to discuss some of his biggest wins there a mindset shift you think traders
from 2024, the key lessons investors need to adopt to spot opportunities
can apply to 2025 and his approach to like these?
trading in choppy markets. While a stock like JNJ can trend, it’s a
sluggish mover. That clashes with my
Tell us about your background. You goal of rapidly compounding gains by
earned your MBA in Finance and here actively trading fast-moving stocks. I
you are, years later, as a full-time target stocks with a higher Average
trader. What initially sparked your Daily Range percentage—ones that
interest in investing and motivated you typically move over 2% per day across
to pursue it as a career? a 20-day stretch. Fast movers in a tight
I've been trading since 1996, when consolidation are what I’m after.
I was in high school. My passion
for entrepreneurship and analyzing A stock on the IBD 50 list is more
businesses sparked this interest. I aimed typical of what I trade. I only trade
to launch my own companies and invest stocks in uptrends. Also, consumer
in others, which naturally led to trading defensive names are not likely to go up
100% in a year, as opposed to a stock Most of our trade ideas originate from
like APP or SPOT. the CTT Stock Universe, though we also
manually toss in IPOs since their charts
You're known for utilizing the High often lack a 200-day moving average
Tight Flag pattern. Can you explain line. We also look at the IBD 50 list. The
this pattern and why it's effective in ETF movement of FFTY (an ETF which
identifying high-growth stocks? tracks the IBD 50 stock list) is indicative
The biggest stock winners in history of what you can expect in general from
usually started out as relatively unknown swing trading in the short term. The RS
names that moved 1000% higher or Line New High list (also known as the
more. Many of them form High Tight Blue Dot list), IBD Live Ready list and
Flags when they are relatively unknown edited scans of sales/earnings/margins
as they’re starting those big moves. improvements are all tools we use in
MarketSurge.
I look at High Tight Flags that rise at least
90% in 8 weeks or less and consolidate This issue of Stock Guide focuses on
from peak to low of flag no more than the Top Stocks of 2024. What key
25%. That “flag” portion of the pattern lessons from last year did you learn
should be 3 to 5 weeks long, ideally. through your post-analysis that have
helped you so far in 2025?
I really enjoy studying High Tight Flags Buying when leaders set up and
and will soon put a “High Tight Flag sentiment is lousy in an uptrend can
Model Book” so other traders can learn yield great results.
from past winners. You have to have an
instinct for this pattern, and you will de- Getting more aggressive (incrementally
velop that over time by studying charts. scaling in faster) after a market
correction can pay out much better if
Walk us through your process. How do you get that initial entry correct. Scaling
you research and screen for stocks? in too slowly usually means you have to
For years, MarketSurge has been my buy the laggards by the time you scale
go-to tool. I use it weekly on Champion all the way in. The strongest stocks
Team Trading livestreams, diving into typically set up first after a correction.
100+ charts after breaking down macro
indicators. We focus solely on stocks in High Tight Flags (my favorite William
uptrends and track their numbers with a O’Neil pattern) are best when they are
histogram beneath the indices—it offers relatively unknown like RKLB and LUNR
a window into what’s going on beneath were. Those were some of my best
the surface. trades in 2024.
"You only get two to four real chances per year to capture a big
move in the market. The rest of the time, I’m prepping, watching
bases form and often buying when everyone else is hesitant."
How stocks act during a correction is APP as buyable. Those two ended up
important. APP quickly touched the 200- being big winners.
day line and snapped back to its base
high. It then went from about $88 to over Technicals are the giveaway in the end.
$500 from a standard base breakout! Sure, anything can spike at any time,
but corrections often highlight the next
Identifying your environment is key. Know big winners. Spotting strong bases
when to hold for longer moves or play during pullbacks and timing your buys
more aggressively for short-term gains. with a market shift is the sweet spot!
longer the reset is needed. The year is And finally, you were the head coach
long—there is plenty of time left to put of your son's championship-winning
up big gains. basketball team, so of course our
question to you is: What’s your most
What inspired you to start Champion memorable trading mistake that made
Team Trading? you want to go full Bobby Knight and
After winning the U.S. Investing throw a chair?
Championship in 2019, I was approached Trading too aggressively in choppy
by numerous traders who wanted markets is typical of most traders, but
me to coach them. Some offered each cycle you endure sharpens your
feedback on how the services they ability to handle it. I stick to my rules.
used could be better. Since trading is There is nothing worse than thinking
a lifelong learning process, I launched “just this once” and catching a full stop.
ChampionTeamTrading.com to collaborate Stops happen, but being stopped out
with other traders, streamline my trading of a textbook trade is best. It's easier to
ideas and refine my strategies. I find that stomach a stop if you followed the rules.
my trading has improved because of this.
My most memorable trading mistake
Mentoring other traders is a big part was taking a full stop on a short-
of your work. What, in your opinion, term corporate bond ETF during the
are the most important skills or habits pandemic. I needed a place to park
newer traders should focus on to some cash and listened to another
become more successful? trader without analyzing what the fund
Knowing when to hit the gas or the held. It wasn’t a huge loss, but it was a
brakes is critical. Don’t fight the market! regrettable blunder. Treasuries are a safer
A survivor’s mindset is also essential— bet when panic hits. In highly volatile
you can’t continue to be chewed up by markets, protecting trading capital beats
chasing chart patterns alone in a bad chasing big wins every time.
environment. Knowing when the odds
are in your favor for breakout trading is Learning from mistakes is the price of
essential. I always encourage traders the path to success.
to think beyond the pattern to boost
their edge rather than rolling the dice
on some random stock with no real
momentum behind it.
FEATURE HIGHLIGHT
But what about a highly volatile stock that swings 5% to 10% or more in either
direction every day or moves 10% to 20% within its weekly range? This is when
sticking to strict sell rules becomes challenging for many investors. Price swings
like this can shake you out of a potentially powerful move. That’s why knowing a
stock’s Average True Range (ATR) can help you set realistic expectations for price
movement and avoid making impulsive selling decisions.
Whether you're trying to identify a stock's trading behavior or refine your risk
management strategy, ATR is a helpful tool for assessing price movement over time.
ATR can also help you evaluate a stock’s character—in other words, you can get
a sense of the level of volatility typical for that stock. Higher ATR values indicate
increased price swings, which can in turn mean increased risk. Conversely, lower ATR
values suggest more stable price action.
to your preferred location in the Column Layout Preview section. Click Apply
when done or Save As to name and save this specific stock list. Access the list
under the My Lists panel—this populates a list of stocks and their percentage
fluctuations over the selected timeframes.
As a general rule, you should stick to companies with an ATR of 5% or less unless
you have a high tolerance for volatility. If you’re a newer trader, you might consider
setting the 21-Day ATR % to a maximum of 3%, while those with more experience
might set a max of 7%.
Pro Tip: As with any trade you make, it’s not enough to only consider one indicator.
Using ATR in conjunction with other fundamental and technical indicators (such as
EPS Rating and RS Rating) will give you a more comprehensive view of a stock’s
potential and risk.
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captioning. Historical investment performances are no indication or guarantee of future success or performance. Authors may own the
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