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Optimal
Experimental
Design with R
This page intentionally left blank
Optimal
Experimental
Design with R

Dieter Rasch
Jürgen Pilz
Rob Verdooren
Albrecht Gebhardt
CRC Press
Taylor & Francis Group
6000 Broken Sound Parkway NW, Suite 300
Boca Raton, FL 33487-2742

© 2011 by Taylor & Francis Group, LLC


CRC Press is an imprint of Taylor & Francis Group, an Informa business

No claim to original U.S. Government works


Version Date: 20110727

International Standard Book Number-13: 978-1-4398-1698-1 (eBook - PDF)

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Contents

List of Figures xi

List of Tables xiii

Preface xvii

Acknowledgments xix

1 Introduction 1
1.1 Experimentation and empirical research . . . . . . . . . . . 1
1.2 Designing experiments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
1.3 Some basic definitions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
1.4 Block designs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
1.5 About the R-programs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11

I Determining the Minimal Size of an Experiment for


Given Precision 13
2 Sample Size Determination in Completely Randomised
Designs 17
2.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
2.1.1 Sample size to be determined . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
2.1.2 What to do when the size of an experiment is given in
advance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
2.2 Confidence estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
2.2.1 Confidence intervals for expectations . . . . . . . . . 20
2.2.1.1 One-sample case, σ 2 known . . . . . . . . . . 20
2
2.2.1.2 One-sample case, σ unknown . . . . . . . . 22
2.2.1.3 Confidence intervals for the expectation of the
normal distribution in the presence of a noise
factor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
2.2.1.4 One-sample case, σ 2 unknown, paired
observations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27

v
vi

2.2.1.5 Two-sample case, σ 2 unknown, independent


samples—equal variances . . . . . . . . . . . 28
2.2.1.6 Two-sample case, σ 2 unknown, independent
samples —unequal variances . . . . . . . . . 29
2.2.2 Confidence intervals for probabilities . . . . . . . . . 30
2.2.3 Confidence interval for the variance of the normal
distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
2.3 Selection procedures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
2.4 Testing hypotheses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35
2.4.1 Testing hypotheses about means of normal distributions 36
2.4.1.1 One-sample problem, univariate . . . . . . . 36
2.4.1.2 One-sample problem, bivariate . . . . . . . . 38
2.4.1.3 Two-sample problem, equal variances . . . . 41
2.4.1.4 Two-sample problem, unequal variances . . . 43
2.4.1.5 Comparing more than two means, equal
variances . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44
2.4.2 Testing hypotheses about probabilities . . . . . . . . . 47
2.4.2.1 One-sample problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47
2.4.2.2 Two-sample problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48
2.4.3 Comparing two variances . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50
2.5 Summary of sample size formulae . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51

3 Size of Experiments in Analysis of Variance Models 55


3.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55
3.2 One-way layout . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59
3.3 Two-way layout . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65
3.3.1 Two-way analysis of variance—cross-classification . . . 66
3.3.1.1 Two-way analysis of variance—
cross-classification—Model I . . . . . . . . . 68
3.3.1.2 Two-way analysis of variance—
cross-classification—mixed model . . . . . . 72
3.3.2 Nested-classification A  B . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74
3.3.2.1 Two-way analysis of variance—nested
classification—Model I . . . . . . . . . . . . 74
3.3.2.2 Two-way analysis of variance—nested
classification—mixed model, A fixed and B
random . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76
vii

3.3.2.3 Two-way analysis of variance—nested


classification—mixed model, B fixed and A
random . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78
3.4 Three-way layout . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79
3.4.1 Three-way analysis of variance—cross-classification
A×B×C . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80
3.4.1.1 Three-way analysis of variance—classification
A × B × C—Model I . . . . . . . . . . . . 81
3.4.1.2 Three-way analysis of variance—cross classifi-
cation A × B × C—Model III . . . . . . . . 85
3.4.1.3 Three-way analysis of variance—cross classifi-
cation A×B × C—Model IV . . . . . . . . 86
3.4.2 Three-way analysis of variance—nested classification
ABC . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90
3.4.2.1 Three-way analysis of variance—nested
classification—Model I . . . . . . . . . . . . 91
3.4.2.2 Three-way analysis of variance—nested
classification—Model III . . . . . . . . . . . 93
3.4.2.3 Three-way analysis of variance—nested
classification—Model IV . . . . . . . . . . . 95
3.4.2.4 Three-way analysis of variance—nested
classification—Model V . . . . . . . . . . . . 98
3.4.2.5 Three-way analysis of variance—nested
classification—Model VI . . . . . . . . . . . 99
3.4.2.6 Three-way analysis of variance—nested
classification—Model VII . . . . . . . . . . . 100
3.4.2.7 Three-way analysis of variance—nested
classification—Model VIII . . . . . . . . . . 101
3.4.3 Three-way analysis of variance—mixed classification
(A × B)  C . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102
3.4.3.1 Three-way analysis of variance—mixed classi-
fication (A × B)  C—Model I . . . . . . . 104
3.4.3.2 Three-way analysis of variance—mixed classi-
fication (A × B)  C—Model III . . . . . 106
3.4.3.3 Three-way analysis of variance—mixed classi-
fication (A × B)  C—Model IV . . . . . . 107
3.4.3.4 Three-way analysis of variance—mixed classi-
fication (A × B)  C—Model V . . . . . . 108
3.4.3.5 Three-way analysis of variance—mixed classi-
fication (A × B)  C—Model VI . . . . . 110
viii

3.4.4 Three-way analysis of variance—mixed classification


(A  B) × C . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111
3.4.4.1 Three-way analysis of variance—mixed classi-
fication (A  B) × C—Model I . . . . . . 112
3.4.4.2 Three-way analysis of variance—mixed classi-
fication (A  B) × C—Model III . . . . . 116
3.4.4.3 Three-way analysis of variance—mixed classi-
fication (A  B) × C—Model IV . . . . . . 118
3.4.4.4 Three-way analysis of variance—mixed classi-
fication (A  B) × C—Model V . . . . . . 119
3.4.4.5 Three-way analysis of variance—mixed classi-
fication (A  B) × C—Model VI . . . . . . 121
3.4.4.6 Three-way analysis of variance—mixed classi-
fication (A  B) × C—Model VII . . . . . 123
3.4.4.7 Three-way analysis of variance—mixed classi-
fication (A  B) × C—Model VIII . . . . . 124

4 Sample Size Determination in Model II of Regression


Analysis 127
4.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127
4.2 Confidence intervals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 128
4.2.1 Confidence intervals for the slope . . . . . . . . . . . . 129
4.2.2 A confidence interval for the correlation coefficient . . 130
4.2.3 Confidence intervals for partial correlation coefficients 131
4.2.4 A confidence interval for E(y|x) = β0 + β1 x . . . . . . 131
4.3 Hypothesis testing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 133
4.3.1 Comparing the correlation coefficient with a constant 133
4.3.2 Comparing two correlation coefficients . . . . . . . . 134
4.3.3 Comparing the slope with a constant . . . . . . . . . . 135
4.3.4 Test of parallelism of two regression lines . . . . . . . 135
4.4 Selection procedures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 136

5 Sequential Designs 139


5.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139
5.2 Wald’s sequential likelihood ratio test (SLRT) for
one-parametric exponential families . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 142
5.3 Test about means for unknown variances . . . . . . . . . . . 149
5.3.1 The sequential t-test . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149
ix

5.3.2 Approximation of the likelihood function for the


construction of an approximate t-test . . . . . . . . . 151
5.3.3 Approximate tests for binary data . . . . . . . . . . . 154
5.3.4 Approximate tests for the two-sample problem . . . . 156
5.4 Triangular designs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 159
5.4.1 Basic principles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 159
5.4.2 Testing hypotheses about means of normal distributions 160
5.4.2.1 One-sample problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 160
5.4.2.2 Two-sample problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . 161
5.4.3 Testing hypotheses about probabilities . . . . . . . . . 163
5.4.3.1 One-sample problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 163
5.4.3.2 Two-sample problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . 165
5.5 A sequential selection procedure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 166

II Construction of Optimal Designs 171

6 Constructing Balanced Incomplete Block Designs 175


6.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 175
6.2 Basic definitions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 177
6.3 Construction of BIBD . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 185
6.3.1 Specific methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 185
6.3.2 General method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 209

7 Constructing Fractional Factorial Designs 211


7.1 Introduction and basic notations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 211
7.2 Factorial designs—basic definitions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 214
7.3 Fractional factorial designs with two levels of each factor
(2p−k -designs) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 221
7.4 Fractional factorial designs with three levels of each factor
(3p−m -designs) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 228

8 Exact Optimal Designs and Sample Sizes in Model I


of Regression Analysis 235
8.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 235
8.1.1 The multiple linear regression Model I . . . . . . . . 236
8.1.2 Simple polynomial regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 238
8.1.3 Intrinsically non-linear regression . . . . . . . . . . . 239
8.2 Exact Φ-optimal designs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 245
x

8.2.1 Simple linear regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 246


8.2.2 Polynomial regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 248
8.2.3 Intrinsically non-linear regression . . . . . . . . . . . 249
8.2.4 Replication–free designs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 255
8.3 Determining the size of an experiment . . . . . . . . . . . . 255
8.3.1 Simple linear regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 255

III Special Designs 259


9 Second Order Designs 263
9.1 Central composite designs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 264
9.2 Doehlert designs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 268
9.3 D-optimum and G-optimum second order designs . . . . . . 270
9.4 Comparing the determinant criterion for some examples . . 271
9.4.1 Two factors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 271
9.4.2 Three factors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 274

10 Mixture Designs 279


10.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 279
10.2 The simplex lattice designs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 283
10.3 Simplex centroid designs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 284
10.4 Extreme vertice designs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 284
10.5 Augmented designs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 285
10.6 Constructing optimal mixture designs with R . . . . . . . . 285
10.7 An example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 286

A Theoretical Background 289


A.1 Non-central distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289
A.2 Groups, fields and finite geometries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 290
A.3 Difference sets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 295
A.4 Hadamard matrices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 300
A.5 Existence and non-existence of non-trivial BIBD . . . . . . 303
A.6 Conference matrices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 305

References 307

Index 319
List of Figures

2.1 Graphical representation of the relation (2.32) for one-sided


case . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37

3.1 Graphical representation of the relation (3.2) . . . . . . . . . 58

4.1 The indifference zone for Example 4.8 in the parameter space
[0; 1] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137

5.1 Triangular design for Example 5.12 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 162


5.2 Triangular design for Example 5.13 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 163
5.3 Triangular design for Example 5.14 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 164

7.1 Treatment combinations for the 32 -design . . . . . . . . . . . 228

8.1 Scatter-plot for the association between age and height of hemp
plants . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 242
8.2 The graph of the fitted cubic polynomial . . . . . . . . . . . . 243
8.3 The graph of the fitted cubic polynomial over 16 weeks . . . . 243
8.4 The graph of the fitted logistic function over 16 weeks . . . . 244
8.5 The graph of the sigmoid curve modelling extracted metal . . 254
8.6 The graph of the improved sigmoid curve modelling extracted
metal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 254

10.1 Simplexes with two, three and four components . . . . . . . . 282


10.2 Simplex lattice designs with p = 3 components and m = 2 and
m=3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 284

xi
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List of Tables

1.1 Incomplete Block Design with ν = 5 Treatments A, B, C, D,


E in b = 10 Blocks with Size k = 2. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10

2.1 Sample Size Formulae for Constructing Two-Sided Confidence


Intervals with Expected Length δ (Procedure 1) and for Selec-
tion. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52
2.2 (Approximate) Sample Size Formulae for Testing Hypotheses
for Given Risks α and β for a Given Distance δ (or Ratio τ of
Variances). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53

3.1 ANOVA Table: One-Way Classification, Model 1(ni = n). . . 60


3.2 Parameters of C, f1 and f2 for Some of the Classifications in
ANOVA Models for Testing H0 : E1 = E2 = . . . = Eq of Some
Fixed Factor. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61
3.3 ANOVA Table for the Two-Way Cross-Classification (nij =
n > 1). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67
3.4 The Expected Mean Squares for the Models of the Two-Way
Cross-Classification (nij = n > 1). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68
3.5 Analysis of Variance Table for the Two-Way Nested Classifi-
cation and the E (M S) for Model I—Balanced Case: nij =
n, bi = b. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75
3.6 E(M S) for Balanced Nested Mixed Models. . . . . . . . . . 77
3.7 ANOVA Table—Three-Way ANOVA—Cross-Classification. . 82
3.8 Expected Mean Squares for the Three-Way Cross-Classification.
83
3.9 Values of the Empirical Power in Percentages for α = 0.05 and
α = 0.01, Respectively in Dependence on the Number b = c
of Levels of the Two Random Factors and of the Number a of
Levels of the Fixed Factor with n = 2 and δ = σy = 5. . . . 88
3.10 ANOVA Table of the Three-Way Nested Classification. . . . 91
3.11 Expected Mean Squares for Model I. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92
3.12 Expected Mean Squares for Model III. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94
3.13 Expected Mean Squares for Model IV. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95

xiii
xiv

3.14 Expected Mean Squares for Model V. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98


3.15 Expected Mean Squares for Model VI. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100
3.16 Expected Mean Squares for Model VII. . . . . . . . . . . . . 101
3.17 Expected Mean Squares for Model VIII. . . . . . . . . . . . . 102
3.18 ANOVA Table for Three-Way Mixed Classification
(A × B)  C. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103
3.19 Expected Mean Squares for Model I. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 104
3.20 Expected Mean Squares for Model III. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106
3.21 Expected Mean Squares for Model IV. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108
3.22 Expected Mean Squares for Model V. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109
3.23 Expected Mean Squares for Model VI. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111
3.24 ANOVA Table for the Three-Way Analysis of Variance—Mixed
Classification (A  B) × C. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113
3.25 Expected Mean Squares for Model I. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114
3.26 Expected Mean Squares for Model III. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116
3.27 Expected Mean Squares for Model IV. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118
3.28 Expected Mean Squares for Model V. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 120
3.29 Expected Mean Squares for Model VI. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 122
3.30 Expected Mean Squares for Model VII. . . . . . . . . . . . . 123
3.31 Expected Mean Squares for Model VIII. . . . . . . . . . . . . 124

5.1 Parameters and Link Functions of Some Discrete


Distributions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 148
5.2 The Formulae for zn and vn for Some Distributions. . . . . . 155
5.3 Data and Estimated Variances after n > 2 Stages. . . . . . . 166
5.4 Data and Derived Statistics from Example 5.16 after n = 2
Stages. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 168

6.1 Smallest (v, k)-BIBD for v ≤ 25 and Methods of


Construction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 182
6.2 Matrices M and R for Constructing BIBDs by Means of Method
9 for λ = 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 199
6.3 D(v, 3) for Constructing BIBDs by Means of Method 9 for λ = 3
and v = 6t + 5. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 200

7.1 Coefficients of the Orthogonal Contrasts for Example 7.3. . . 218


7.2 A Partition of Factor Level Combinations. . . . . . . . . . . 218
7.3 Coefficients of the Orthogonal Contrasts for Example 7.4. . . 219
xv

7.4 A Partition of Factor Level Combinations for Example 7.4. . 219


7.5 The 25 -Complete Factorial Design. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 225
7.6 Defining Relations and Resolutions for 2p−k -Designs. . . . . 226
7.7 Combinations of Factors A(x1 -levels) and B(x2 -levels). . . . . 229

8.1 The Height of Hemp Plants (y in cm) during Growth (x Age


in Weeks). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 241
8.2 Exact D- and G-optimal Designs for Polynomial Regression for
x ∈ [a, b] and n = t(k + 1). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 249
8.3 Average Withers Heights (in cm) of 112 Cows in the First 60
Months of Life. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 252

9.1 Matrix of the Coefficients of a Standard Composite Design with


Three Factors. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 266
9.2 Parameters of the Smallest Rotatable and Orthogonal Second
Order Designs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 267
9.3 Hartley Designs for 3 and 4 Factors. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 267
9.4 Smallest D- and G-Optimal Second Order Central Composite
Designs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 270

10.1 Number r of Design Points in {p, m} Simplex Lattice


Designs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 283

A.1 Some Primitive Elements. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 292


A.2 Mimimum Functions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 292
A.3 Quadratic Residues for Some Small Primes. . . . . . . . . . . 294
A.4 Some (ν, k, λ)-Difference Families. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 298
A.5 Some Rotational (ν, k, λ)-Difference Families. . . . . . . . . . 301
This page intentionally left blank
Preface
Experimental design is the stepchild of applied and mathematical statistics. In
hundreds of text books and monographs about basic and advanced statistics,
nothing is said about planning a survey or a design—statistics is understood
there as a collection of methods for analysing data only. As a consequence of
this situation, experimenters seldom think about an optimal design and the
necessary sample size needed for a precise answer for an experimental question.
This situation consequently is reflected in statistical program packages—they
mainly are packages for data analysis. This is also the case for the S- or
R-packages and for more than ninety books describing statistics by R (see
http://www.r-project.org).
By reading the title of most of these books, we can already see that they deal
with data analysis only.
The present book has the following goals:

1. to introduce experimenters into the philosophy of experimentation and


the need for designing experiments and data collection – these readers
can skip the more theoretical parts of the text and Appendix A,
2. to give experimenters and consulting statisticians an easy process for
constructing optimum experimental designs and calculating the size
needed in experimentation by using R-programs,
3. to show by examples how the R-programs should be used,
4. to give mathematicians interested in the theoretical background of ex-
perimental designs the theoretical background of the programs through-
out the text and in the short theoretical Appendix A.

Together with this book the R-program package OPDOE has been developed.
It follows the structure of the book, and it will be available as soon as the book
is published. When the book is printed not all the programs are mentioned
in our book, but the program package OPDOE with missing programs will be
available online under www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781439816974.
This book is not a text book which introduces the reader systematically into
the theory of experimental design. It should instead be understood as a man-
ual for the R-package OPDOE. For instance Chapter three, “Size of Experi-
ments in Analysis of Variance Models”, is more a collection of recipes showing
how to determine the sample size in different situations than a chapter which
could be read through with pleasure from the beginning to the end.

Vienna, Klagenfurt and Wageningen, Spring 2011

xvii
This page intentionally left blank
Acknowledgments

The authors wish to express their thanks to:


Dr. Minghui Wang, ORTEC Finance BV, Rotterdam, The Netherlands,
who wrote most of the programs in Chapter 3;
Dr. Bernhard Spangl, University of Natural Resources and Applied Life
Sciences, Vienna, for Table 3.9 in Chapter 3;
Dr. Petr Šimeček, Institute of Animal Science, Prague, who was in charge
of the initial steps of the writing of this book, and
Dr. Ben Torsney, University of Glasgow, for many helpful comments and
proposals.

Because the authors are not native English speakers, we are happy to have
found help from:
Sandra Almgren, Kremmling, Colorado, USA, who we have to thank for
many helpful suggestions and corrections.
We give further thanks to:
Beate Simma, Alpen Adria Universität Klagenfurt, for carefully retyping
the whole manuscript in LATEX.

xix
This page intentionally left blank
1
Introduction

In this chapter we give an introduction both to basic ideas of the philosophy


of experimentation, including basic definitions of designing experiments, and
into the R-programs. Here especially we give a description of the R-package
OPDOE, which was developed during the process of writing this book.

1.1 Experimentation and empirical research


Empirical research: we understand this term to mean the acquisition of knowl-
edge either through passive observations (as in surveys) or from experiments,
where we actively influence or manipulate the research material and then
make observations. Given the steadily increasing financial problems facing
research institutions, how can empirical research be conducted as efficiently
(cost-effectively) as possible? This book seeks to make a contribution to an-
swering this question. The methods are in existence, but they are not widely
used. The reasons for this stem on the one hand from the traditions of ex-
perimental research, and also from the behavioural patterns of the researchers
themselves. Optimal research design implies that the objective of the investi-
gation is determined in detail before the experiment or survey is carried out
and that the precision requirements for the type of analysis planned for the
data using the chosen statistical model are formulated, and that all possible
things which could have a negative influence on the research work or could
bias or disturb the results are considered. This all makes work, takes time,
and is much more difficult than simply starting with the practical investi-
gation and formulating the objective of the study after the data have been
collected and then seeing what reliability the results have. Another reason
that design methods are not used as much as they could or should be is that
the designs are spread throughout a huge number of articles and books and
they are sometimes not easy for the experimenter to understand.
Even if many things are equal for surveys and experiments, the two fields
of empirical work differ in many aspects or in terminology. What is called
“blocking” by experimenters is called “stratification” in the survey area.
To avoid confusion, this book uses the language of experimentation only. But

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