Operations Research - Pyq
Operations Research - Pyq
(HONOURS) DEGREE
EXAMINATION, NOVEMBER 2013
B.B.A., LL.B.
CM 12— OPERATIONS RESEARCH
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Time: Three Hours Maximum: 75 Marks
Part B
1. From the following data table calculate Mean and obtain regression equations:
2. Eight unbiased coins were tossed simultaneously. Find the probability of getting (i)
exactly 4 heads (ii) no heads at all (iii) 6 or more heads.
3. From the following data estimate the yield of crops when the rainfall is 22 cm and
the rainfall when the yield is 600 kg:
Part C
2. The share price of a company on different days in the month of January 2011 were
given in the below table. Find out whether mean price of the shares in the month
is 65:
Share Price 66 65 69 70 69 71 70 63 64 68
3. Three varieties of crops A, B, C are tested in a randomized block design with four
replications from the following data. Test whether there is any difference between
varieties and also test whether yield of A differs significantly from that of B:
Part B
2. Probability that a batsman scores a century in a cricket match is 1/3. Find the
probability that out of 5 matches, he may score century in: (a) Exactly 2 matches
(b) No matches.
3. The mean life of 100 CFL lamps produced by a company is computed to be 1570
hours with SD of 120 hours. The company claims that the average life of the lamp
produced by the company is 1600 hours. Compute whether the claim is acceptable
if the significance level is 5%?
Part C
2. Compute the coefficient of rank correlation from the data mentioned in the below
table:
X 68 64 75 50 64 80 75 40 55 64
Y 62 58 68 45 81 60 68 48 50 70
3. The scores of students in a test follow normal distribution with mean = 80 and SD
= 15. A sample of 1000 students has been drawn from the population. Find out: (i)
Approximate number of students scoring between 65 and 95. (ii) The probability
that a randomly chosen student has scores greater than 100.
Part B
1. The probability that a contractor will get a plumbing contract is 2/3 and the proba-
bility that he will not get an electric contract is 5/9. If the probability of getting at
least one contract is 4/5, what is the probability that he will get both the contracts?
2. It is known from past experience that in certain manufacturing units there are on
average 4 accidents per month. Find out the probability that in a given year there
will be less than 3 accidents. Assume Poisson distribution.
3. The average life of 26 electric bulbs was found to be 1200 hours with SD of 150
hours. Test whether these bulbs could be considered as a random sample from a
normal population with mean 1300 hours.
Part C
1. Calculate Pearson’s coefficient of correlation from the following data table using 44
and 26 respectively as the origin of X and Y:
2. The following data relate to the yield of four varieties of sugarcane each shown on 5
plots. Find whether there is a significant difference between the mean yield of these
varieties:
Plot A B C D
I 99 103 109 104
II 101 102 103 100
III 103 100 107 103
IV 99 105 97 107
V 98 95 99 106
3. The SD of two samples of sizes 10 and 14 from two normal populations are 3.5 and
3.0 respectively. Analyze whether the standard deviations of the populations are
equal.
5. What do you understand by the term ”regression”? With the help of examples
illustrate how regression analysis helps in business-decision making.
6. Explain the following: (i) Type II error. (ii) Level of significance. (iii) Null hypoth-
esis.
7. Write short notes on the following: (i) Student’s T-test. (ii) F-test.
Part B
1. Calculate Karl Pearson’s coefficient of correlation from the following data, using 20
as the working mean for price, and 70 as the working mean for demand:
Price 14 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Demand 84 78 70 75 66 67 62 58 60
2. An urn contains 8 red, 3 white, and 9 blue balls. If three balls are drawn at random,
determine the probability that: (a) all 3 are red; (b) all 3 are white; (c) 2 are red
and 1 is blue; (d) at least one is white; (e) 1 of each colour is drawn.
3. The increase in weights due to two kinds of food are given below. Can it be said
that food B is better than A?
Food A 49 53 51 52 47 50 52 53
Food B 52 55 52 53 50 54 54 53
According to the theory of heredity, the probabilities of the four classes should
be in the ratio 1:9:3:3. Are these data consistent with theory? (Use 5% value of
Chi-square for 3 d.f. = 7.82).
2. Explain the meaning and uses of analysis of variance. How is an analysis of variance
table set up and how is a test based on it performed? What are the assumptions of
this test?
3. You are given the following information about advertisement and sales:
7. Addition Theorem.
Part B
1. If P(A) = 0.5, P(B) = 0.6, and P(A ∩ B) = 0.2. Find: (1) P(A ∪ B) (2) P(A′ ) (3)
P(A ∩ B′ ) (4) P(A′ ∪ B′ ).
2. If P(A) = 0.4, P(B) = 0.3, and P(A ∩ B) = 0.2. Find the probability of: (1) at least
one of the events to occur (2) exactly one of the events to occur (3) none of the
events to occur.
3. Find the probability that the number of heads lies in the range 185 and 220 when
a fair coin is tossed 400 times.
Part C
The eighth performance, which judge Q could not attend, was awarded 37 marks
by judge P. If judge Q had also been present, how many marks would be expected
to have been awarded by him to the eighth performance?
2. A systematic sample of 100 pages was taken from the Concise Oxford Dictionary
and the observed frequency distribution of foreign words per page was found to be
as follows: [Data incomplete in original document].
3. The following table gives the yield of three varieties. Perform an analysis of variance
on this data:
Varieties Yields
1 30 27 42
2 51 47 37 48 42
3 44 35 41 36
Part B
1. Two unbiased dice are thrown. Find the probability that: (1) both the dice show
the same number (2) one die shows five (3) first die shows five (4) the total of the
numbers on the dice is eight (5) total of the numbers on the dice is greater than 8
(6) a sum of 10.
2. The weekly wages of 1000 workmen are normally distributed around a mean of Rs.
70 and with a standard deviation of Rs. 5. Estimate the number of workers whose
weekly wages will be: (i) Between Rs. 70 and Rs. 72. (ii) Between Rs. 69 and Rs.
72.
3. There are two urns, one containing 5 white and 4 black balls and the other containing
6 white and 5 black balls. One urn is chosen and one ball is drawn. If it is white,
what is the probability that the urn selected is the first?
Part C
• Variance of x = 9
Find: (i) The mean values of x and y. (ii) The coefficient of correlation. (iii) The
standard deviation of y.
2. Below are given the yield (in kg.) per acre for 5 trial plots of 4 varieties of treatment:
3. With the following data in 6 cities calculate the coefficient of correlation by Pearson’s
method between the density of population and the death rate:
7. What are the precautions to be taken while using correlation and regression analy-
sis?
8. The chance that a ship safely reaches a port is 1/5. Find the probability that out
of 5 ships expected, at least one would arrive safely.
Part B
2. Sample of sales in similar shops in two towns are taken for a new product with the
following results:
3. Eight coins are thrown simultaneously. Find the chance of obtaining: (a) At least
6 heads; (b) No heads; (c) 6 heads.
Part C
2. Following is the number of computers sold by 4 salesmen during three months from
January to March:
3. A sample of 1000 students has a mean score of 75 with a standard deviation of 10.
Test whether the population mean score is 77 at a 5% significance level.
2. What is Z test?
Part B
1. The probability that a contractor will get a plumbing contract is 2/3 and the proba-
bility that he will not get an electric contract is 5/9. If the probability of getting at
least one contract is 4/5, what is the probability that he will get both the contracts?
2. If A, B, and C are mutually exclusive and exhaustive events and P(A) = 12 P(B) =
1
3 P(C), find P(A), P(B), and P(C).
Part C
A 40 30 38 41 38 35 39 38 32 39 40
34
B 32 39 40 34 40 30 38 41 38 35 39
38
Should these results be accepted as evidence that the two workers are equally stable
(use F-test)?
3. Varieties of crops A, B, C are tested in a randomized block design with four repli-
cations. The yields are given below:
Test whether there is a difference between varieties. Test also whether yield of A
differs significantly from that of B.
Section B
x 5 6 7 3 2
y 4 5 8 2 1
3. One bag contains 5 red and 3 white balls. Another bag contains 4 red and 7 black
balls. If one ball is drawn at random from each bag, what is the probability that
both are of the same colour?
Section C
5. Speaker A tells the truth 3 out of 4 times and speaker B in 4 out of 5 cases. What
is the probability that they will contradict each other in stating the same fact?
Part B
2. In tossing a rupee coin 100 times, a boy gets tail 66 times. Ascertain whether the
coin is biased or unbiased.
3. Four coins are tossed at a time, 208 times. Number of heads observed at each throw
is recorded and the results are as follows:
Part C
Age of husband 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
Age of wife 17 17 18 18 19 19 19 20 21 22
5. What is the probability that a non-leap year selected at random will contain 53
Sundays?
Section B
1. What do you mean by parametric test and narrate the advantages of using para-
metric tests?
2. Two persons A and B attempt independently to solve a puzzle. The probability that
A will solve is 3/5 and the probability that B will solve is 1/3. Find the probability
that: (i) Puzzle will be solved; (ii) Puzzle will not be solved.
3. The variable X follows a normal distribution with mean 45 and SD 10. Find the
probability for an item to fall: (a) beyond 60; (b) between 40 and 56.
Section C
1. Write note on: (i) Statistics and parameter. (ii) Confidence level and significance
level. (iii) Null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis. (iv) Random sampling and
non-random sampling. (v) Sampling error and non-sampling error.
x 5 6 7 3 2
y 4 5 8 2 1
3. The following data represent the number of units of production per day turned out
by 5 different workers using 4 different types of machines:
Workers A B C D
1 44 38 47 36
2 46 40 52 43
3 34 36 44 32
4 43 38 46 33
5 38 42 49 39
Perform a two-way ANOVA, using 5% level of significance to: (i) Test whether the
mean productivity is the same for the different machine types; (ii) Test whether the
five men differ with respect to mean productivity.
Part B
1. Outline the procedure for testing a hypothesis. What are the steps involved?
2. Calculate the coefficient of correlation between the value of X and Y given below:
X 65 66 67 67 68 69 70 72
Y 67 68 65 68 72 72 69 71
3. A factory produces metal rods, and on average, there are 2 defects per 100 rods.
What is the probability that a randomly selected set of 100 rods will contain no
defects?
Part C
Plots A B C D
1 200 230 250 300
2 190 270 300 270
3 240 150 145 150
3. The following table gives the classification of 100 workers according to sex and the
nature of work. Test whether nature of work is independent of the sex of the worker
(For ν = 1, the table value of χ 2 at 5% level of significance is 3.84):
Skilled Unskilled
Male 40 20
Female 10 30