Thai Airways Polar Operations
Meeting
Bangkok Thailand
January 10, 2005
Gene Cameron
Manager Global Support Flight Operations
United Airlines
Polar Routes
Why Polar ?
• Faster
• Smoother
• Non-Stop!
Polar Benefits
• Flight Time Reduced Up To 1 Hour or more
• Increase in Payload/Reserve Fuel Capability
• Absence of Turbulence
• Possibility for New Service to Asia From a
Number of North American Cities
ORD
Polar Routes
North Pole Chicago
Polar 1
Polar 2
HKG
Polar 3
Polar 4
Who’s Flying Polar
United Chicago - Hong Kong - Chicago
Chicago - Beijing - Chicago
Chicago/New York (JFK) – Tokyo
Chicago – Osaka
Chicago – Shanghai
Continental Newark – Hong Kong
Newark - Tokyo
Air China New York (JFK) – Beijing
Cathay Pacific New York (JFK) – Hong Kong - JFK
Singapore Newark – Singapore
Air Canada Toronto – Hong Kong
Northwest New York (JFK) - Tokyo
Thai New York(JFK) - BangkoK (May,2005)
UNITED’s POLAR OPERATIONS
1999 Through December 31, 2004
1999 12
2000 253
2001 466
2002 461
2003 578
2004 1096
(163 eastbound in 2004)
2866 Total
Polar 1 Polar 2 Polar 3 Polar 4
29 433 1330 1068
September 20, 2004
ORD-HKG
Route Time Psngrs
Polar 4 14:30 347+
Polar 3 14:22 347+
Polar 2 14:36 347+
Polar 1 14:56 317
A218 14:49 331
R220 16:15 54
December 8, 2004
ORD-HKG
Route Time Psngrs
Polar 4 14:56 347+
Polar 3 14:44 347+
Polar 2 14:53 347+
Polar 1 14:59 347+
A218 16:00 200
R220 17:01 1
Chicago – Hong Kong Daily Route
Comparisons
Polar 1 Polar 2 Polar 3 Polar 4
9/7 15:17 14:54 14:05 14:31
9/8 15:15 14:59 14:29 14:45
9/9 15:11 14:55 14:44 14:51
9/10 15:22 14:57 14:47 15:22
9/11 15:15 15:02 14:43 14:49
9/12 15:37 15:14 14:49 14:53
9/13 15:41 15:23 14:58 14:51
Chicago – Hong Kong September 21, 2004
Route Comparisons
Route Time Fuel Burn Psngrs
Polar 3 14:08 348.2 347+
Polar 4 14:21 352.3 347+
Polar 2 14:31 353.4 344
Polar 1 14:39 355.3 331
RFE (A218) 15:22 355.3 182
NOPAC (R220) 15:55 355.3 52
Polar Operations Specifications- B055
Authorization Required For Operations North of 78
Degrees North Latitude
Authorizes Aircraft Types
Polar Diversion Airports
Polar Operations Recovery Plan
Communications Capability Throughout the Region
Fuel Freeze Strategy and Monitoring Requirements
Polar Operations Specifications- B055-
Continued
MEL considerations for Polar Operations
Pilot/Dispatcher Training issues/Long-range crew
requirements
Dispatch and Crew Considerations During Solar Flare
Activity
Minimum of two cold weather exposure suits
Expanded medical kit with AED
Validation Requirements for Polar Operations
Factors Influencing Route Selection
Flight time - Winds on day of operation will affect
route selection
Payload demand – What routing can accommodate
the desired payload
Over flight charges – Different routings may require
lower over flight costs
ETOPS – Are suitable alternates available on the
desired route?
Slot allocation – Anchorage slot allocation program
Significant weather considerations on desired route
Factors Influencing Route Selection (continued
Aircraft equipment, MEL, communications capability
Specific aircraft fuel performance
Solar radiation
Cold Fuel
HF Propagation
Crew Duty limitations
Aircraft Performance Factors
Each aircraft has a specific fuel correction factor can
have a significant affect on payload capability on ultra
long range routes such as Chicago to Hong Kong, usually
due to fuel load limititations.
Chicago to Hong Kong example September 10, 2004
B747-400
Aircraft 8106 Specific Fuel Range adjustment +0.0 percent
347 passengers (full) plus 2,500 pounds of cargo
Aircraft 8181 Specific Fuel Range adjustment +1.1 percent
338 passengers plus zero additional cargo
Aircraft 8171 Specific Fuel Range adjustment +2.8 percent
292 passengers plus zero addition cargo
Operational Concerns
• Cold Fuel
• Communications
• Emergency Landing Sites
• Search and Rescue
• Recovery Plan
• Solar Radiation
Operational Concerns
• Cold Fuel
• Communications
• Emergency Landing Sites
• Search and Rescue
• Recovery Plan
Boeing’s Limit
• “Inflight tank fuel temperature must be
maintained at least 3 degrees C above the
freeze point of the fuel being used.”
• United uses 3 degrees C above the
specification limit.
• OK for domestic operations, but not for
global operations.
Operational Limits
•Based on warmest freeze point allowed by
specification.
•Actual freeze point typically much lower.
Can We Get Jet A-1 vs. Jet A?
• ORD and JFK Fuel Systems Can Only Supply One Type
of Fuel
• ORD and JFK Supplies Jet A Fuel
• Fuel Trucks Are Not Allowed on the Ramp to Bring in
Alternate Fuels (Jet A-1).
• While Jet A-1 has a lower freeze point, it’s density is less,
yielding less range.
NEW TECHNOLOGY
• Freeze / Density Sensors Have Been Installed in the
Distribution System At ORD
• The Fuel Is Sampled Every 30 Minutes and the Actual
Freeze Point Is Recorded
• The Warmest Recorded Freeze Point Becomes the
“Expected Freeze Temperature”
• This Value Is Listed in the “Remarks” Section of the Flight
Plan Forecast (Pilot’s copy)
• Fuel Freeze Prediction Program (FFPP)
FPF Remarks
- 3 0 C = - 41 Limit
Actual Datalink Message
Actual Datalink Message
Excellent Correlation
Between In ground System
and Lab Results
Pre-Departure FPF Remarks
Cold Fuel
• Avoid The Extremely Cold Air If Possible
(SAT’s of -650 C or colder)
• The “Remarks” section of the FPF will
include:
• Expected fuel freeze value.
• Forecast areas of SATs of –65C or less.
• Polar Temperature Chart Included with
Paperwork
• TAT/SAT Conversion Table
• Wind Matrix Table With SAT (flightplan)
Polar Temp Chart
EXAMPLE OF CRITICAL COLD TEMP FORECAST
TAILORED FOR UAL POLAR FLIGHTS : KORD - ZBAA
KORD - VHHH
What If The Fuel Temp
Approaches the Limit In Flight?
What To Do?
In Summary
• Monitor Freeze Point In The Fuel Farm
• Measure Plane-side Freeze Point
• (Only If Routed Through –650C or Colder
Air)
• Route Around Cold Air If Possible
• Take Corrective Action Early If Limit
Approached
Operational Concerns
• Fuel Freeze Issues
• Communications
With ATC
With Company
• Emergency Landing Sites
• Search and Rescue
• Recovery Plan
• Solar Radiation
HF Communications
• Must Keep a Link With ATC
GP Operators
• Must Keep a Link With Company
LDOC Operators
ATC Communications
• Generally Good Throughout Polar Region
• Good Along Airways In Russia
• CPDLC with Magadan ACC is very good
• Lack of continuous CPDLC from US,Canada, and
through Russia needs to be addressed.
• Polar data link gap above 82 North latitude
requires HF. Improvements must be considered.
ATC Comm
Arctic Radio HF
Arctic Radio VHF
Edmonton Ctr
Winnipeg
Minneapolis Ctr
Chicago Ctr
North Pole
Russia 4
3
2
1
Mongolia Korea
China
Hong Kong
HF Communications
Magadan ACC
Murmansk ACC HF
CPDLC/ADS
4
VHF Communications
3
2
1 Normal VHF
Communications
Ulaanbaatar Control
Russia
Mongolia CPDLC/ADS Capable
POLHO
China
Company Communications
• Primary Company Communications Is
Via ACARS Data Link
• SATCOM Is Available up to 82o N on
Both Sides of the North Pole
So…….
• Because SATCOM Will Not Be Available
Above 82N
• An LDOC Facility Must Be Used to
Maintain Company Communications
LDOC Communications
• Dispatch Will Pre-coordinate HF Freqs with
San Francisco ARINC (new Barrow site),
Stockholm, and Cedar Rapids Radio
• The Recommended Freq’s Will Be Sent via
ACARS
• If You Lose Contact, Try Another Freq Or A
Different LDOC
Operational Concerns
• Fuel Freeze Issues
• Communications
• Emergency Landing Sites
• Search and Rescue
• Recovery Plan
• Solar Radiation
Emergency Airports
• May NOT have Medical Facilities
• May be UNABLE to Remove Passengers
from Plane
• May NOT have Lodging, Food, Water
• May NOT have Protection from the Elements
• May be UNABLE to Service the Aircraft
ENROUTE AIRPORTS
Blue: Published in AIP
Bodo Red: Not published
Longyearbyen ___: Surveyed Fairbanks
Anchorage
Barrow
Oulu Rovaniemi
King Salmon
Murmansk
St. Petersburg Nome
Cold Bay
Arkhangelsk
Mis Shmindta
Moscow
Pevek
Amderma
Nizhniy Novgorod Syktyvkar Usinsk
Anadyr
Ukhta Salehard
Kazan Norilsk Tiksi
Samara Novyj Urengoj Khatanga
Igarka
Ufa Kogalym Shemya Is.
Ekaterinburg Surgut Raduzhnyi Polyarnyj
Nizhnevartovsk Magadan
Yakutsk
Petropavlovsk-kamchatsky
Mirny
Novosibirsk
Barnaul Krasnojarsk Neryungri
Abakan Bratsk
Irkutsk Yuzhno-sakhalinsk
Chita Blagoveschensk
Ulan-ude
Khabarovsk Existing tracks
Ulaanbaatar Choibalsan
Sapporo Proposed tracks
747- 400 Diversion to an
Emergency Airport
ONLY For Serious Threat to Continued Safe Flight
Fire That is Unknown or Uncontrollable
Airframe Structural Damage
Continued Safe Flight Impossible
747-400 Diversion to an
Emergency Airport
NOT For:
Medical Emergency
Engine Failure
777 Diversions
NOT For:
Medical Emergency
In Flight Shut down (IFSD)
Limited number of suitable
en-route alternates in the polar
region that must be considered
Polar Route Emergency Airport
Coverage
Above 80 Degrees North
Emergency Airports are Within 2 Hours
Below 80 Degrees North
Emergency Airports are Within 1 Hour
Emergency Airports Within 2 Hours
Longyear Norway
Thule
North Pole Chicago
Polar 2
HKG
Polar 3
Tiksi, Siberia
Barrow
RUSSIA
Polar 1
Norilsk
Polar 2
Polar 3
Irkutsk
Tiksi
Mirny
Emergency Airports within 1 Hour
Enroute Alternates (ETOPS)
Canada: Iqaluit (CYFB) 8600FT
Yellowknife (CYZF)7500FT
Churchill (CYYQ) 9200FT
Alaska: Fairbanks (KFAI) 11050FT
Barrow (KBRW) 6500FT
Greenland : Thule (BGTL) 9997FT
Norway: Longyear (ENSB) 7221FT
Russia: Norilsk (UOOO) 10925FT
Yakutsk (UEEE 10827FT
Magadan (UHMM) 11325FT
Khabarovsk (UHHH) 12467FT
OPBWX ETOPS and Emergency Station Outlook
DATE: 22-Jan-02
Issued By: WATT
Low est
Station Forecast ETOPS Emergency Standard WX Wx Viable
M in. T e m p
18z-00z Station Station Minimums for Use
(C)
YWG(Winnipeg) CYWG Y 400ft/1mi YES 2
YYQ(Churchill) CYYQ Y 600ft/1.5mi YES -21
YZF(Yellowknife) CYZF Y 600ft/1.5mi YES -18
YFB(Iqaluit) CYFB Y 600ft/1.75mi YES -17
THU(Thule) BGTL Y 600ft/1.5mi YES -22
LYR(Svalbard) ENSB Y 900ft/2.25mi YES -9
DYR(Anadyr) UHMA Y 800ft/2mi YES* -34
Low est
Station Forecast ETOPS Emergency Standard WX Wx Viable
M in. T e m p
00z-06z Station Station Minimums for Use
(C)
LYR(Svalbard) ENSB Y 900ft/2.25mi YES -11
DYR(Anadyr) UHMA Y 800ft/2mi YES* -34
MMK(Murmansk) ULMM Y 600ft/1.5mi YES -38
NSK(Norilsk) UOOO Y 600ft/1.5mi NO* -32
HTG(Khatanga) UOHH Y 800ft/2mi NO -33
IKS(Tiksi) UEST Y 800ft/2.25mi NO* -35
BTK(Bratsk) UIBB Y 600ft/1.75mi YES* -10
IKT(Irkutsk) UIII Y 400ft/1.25mi NO -12
ULN(Ulaanbatar) ZMUB Y 800ft/2mi YES -29
YKS(Yakutsk) UEEE Y 600ft/1.5mi NO -40
NER(Neryungri) UELL Y 800ft/2mi YES -36
GDX(Magadan) UHMM Y 600ft/1.5mi NO -19
PKC(Petropavlovsk) UHPP Y 600ft/1.5mi YES -14
UUS(Sakhalinsk) UHSS Y 600ft/1.5mi YES -20
KHV(Khabarovsk) UHHH Y 400ft/1mi. YES -18
NOTE: * denotes a disagreement between
OPBWX and government TAF
Polar Safety Kits
• Polar Safety Kit Will Be Onboard all Polar
Flights
• Each Kit Contains Two Suits
• The Captain Will Determine Who Will Have
Access To The Kits
• Their Purpose Is To Allow Someone To
Deplane For Coordination Of Services, etc.
Operational Concerns
• Fuel Freeze Issues
• Communications
• Emergency Landing Sites
• Search and Rescue
• Recovery Plan
• Solar Radiation
POLAR CAP Search & Rescue
Norway
SAR
Greenland SAR
North Pole
Canadian SAR
Chicago
Russian SAR
USCG Juneau
&
HKG 11 AF RCC Anchorage
Areas of CAPABILITY
•SAR Agreements Effectively Extend U.S. Actual
Responsibility
POLAR CAP Search & Rescue
Norway
SAR
Greenland SAR
Russian SAR
North Pole
Canadian SAR
Chicago
Extended
U.S. Area USCG Juneau
&
HKG 11 AF RCC Anchorage
Operational Concerns
• Fuel Freeze Issues
• Communications
• Emergency Landing Sites
• Search and Rescue
• Recovery Plan
• Solar Radiation
DIVERSION & RECOVERY PLAN
For diversions to offline airports
A: Provide for Passengers and Crew
B: Recover Aircraft
Passenger Recovery Plan
• Plan Immediate Relief (Shelter And Food)
• Determine If Other Carriers Service the
Airport
• Fly A UAL Charter To Pick Up Passengers
• Coordinate US Military Assistance If
Needed
Operational Concerns
• Fuel Freeze Issues
• Communications
• Emergency Landing Sites
• Search and Rescue
• Recovery Plan
• Solar Radiation
Solar Activity
Review Space Weather Now Website
Review NOAA Space Weather Scales
Do Not Plan A Polar Operation If An S4
Solar Storm is Active or Expected
S3 Storm Will Permit Polar Operations
At Flight Level 280 or FL310
OPBWX Significant Weather Report
SOLAR ACTIVITY
Issued by: WATT Time: 1130Z
Date: 22-Jan-02
Status: WARNING
Radio Effects: R2
Solar Radiation: S3
Navigation Effects: G2
Use the following scale to determine effects from Solar Activity.
(R1)Minor Impact on HF (S1)No Effects (G1) No Effects
(R2)Small HF Effects (S2)No Effects (G2)Possible Errors
(R3)Degraded HF (S3)Modify Flight Plan (G3)Positions Errors Likely
(R4)HF Blackouts (S4)No Polar Flying (G4)Increased Errors
(R5)Complete HF Blackout (S5)No Polar Flying (G5)Major Positions Errors
Note: For R2, R3, R4, or R5, consider POLAR 4 for routing.
Additional Comments:
SOLAR ACTIVITY WILL BE ACTIVE. THE GEOMAGNITEC FIELD IS ALSO EXPECTED TO BE
ACTIVE FOR THE NEXT TWENTY-FOUR (24) HOURS.
VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORIES
KARYMSKY VOLCANO ERUPTED AT 22/0335Z. ASH EMISSION UP TO FL500, MVNG TO THE
NORTH AT 25-30KTS. AIRCRAFT TRAVELING POLAR 4 TRACK SHOULD BE ALERT TO ASH AT
HIGH ALTITUDES. WIND MODELS SHOW MORE WESTERLY WINDS AT 75 DEGREES NORTH
WITH ASH TRAVELING NO FUR
TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORIES
NONE
Solar Activity Affecting Polar Flights
10/26/00: Lost of HF prior to 75N, re- route
off Polar route with Tokyo fuel stop.
11/10/00: Due to poor HF, ORD to HKG flown
non-polar at 47 minute penalty
11/25/00: Polar flight re-route at 75N due to
Solar Radiation, Tokyo fuel stop 19:30 block
3/30/01-4/21/01
25 flights operated on less than optimum polar
routes due to HF disturbances resulting in time
penalties ranging from 6 to 48 minutes
ROUTE FLEXIBILITY
DAILY ROUTE SELECTION IS BASED ON THE
FOLLOWING CRITERIA:
Forecast enroute winds
HF radio propagation
Suitable enroute airports (777)
Solar radiation issues
Approved Entry points
Slot Allocation Factors
• Current Slots limits:
• Polar slots are 20 to 25 minutes between flights.
• Russia Far East Routes are 20 minutes
• Slot Delays or inability to obtain the desired
flight level could result in less than optimum
operation.
Russian Route Restrictions Winter 2004
Polar 1 - H24.
Polar 2 – H24.
Polar 3 - Restricted to crossing RAMEL between 1840 and 1110Z
(Various ACCs not 24 HR UEBB, UEVV )
Polar 4 – Restricted to crossing ORVIT between 2040 and 1125Z
(Various ACCs not 24HR UESO, UESU, UEBB, UEMH)
Polar 4 closed for Saturday departures from North America due to
same ACCs closed on Sunday (in Russia).
Polar 4 closed for Sunday departures from Asia to North America
due to ACCs closed.
China Entry/Exit Limitations
There are currently seven “possible” entry points into China for
flights from North America:
Lamen, Agavo, Arguk, Simli, Telok, Polho, Morit
Current CAAC policy approved a single entry/exit for flights
into/out or over China.
Qualified polar flights receive approval for three entry/exit fixes
into China: Polho, Simli, Arguk
China Entry/Exit Limitations
Initially UAL835 Chicago to Shanghai was approved for a single
entry via Lamen.
Routing via Lamen could affect flight time by over one hour
to one hour 30 minutes longer than polar routings.
Revenue payload would be held off due to aircraft
capability.
On certain days, Lamen would be the preferred entry point
providing the most cost efficient routing and payload, due
to variability in wind conditions.
China Entry/Exit Limitations
Chicago to Shanghai Flight Time Comparisons
Random Check in November 2004
Dte Polho Simli Arguk Lamen
11/413:37 14:16 15:07 14:31
11/614:14 14:34 14:45 14:17
11/17 13:27 13:53 14:30 14:48
11/20 14:04 13:58 13:57 13:55
ANCHORAGE TRACK ADVISORY November 26, 2003
FLIGHTS FOR TRACK P3 CROSSING FIX RAMEL
COA99 1745 2359 KEWR VHHH 1745 2359 340 P3
CCA982 2130 0400 KJFK ZBAA 2130 0400 340 P3
************************************************************
FLIGHTS FOR TRACK P4 CROSSING FIX ORVIT
UAL801 1648 2314 KJFK RJAA 1648 2314 340 P4
UAL851 1815 0015 KORD ZBAA 1824 0015 340 P4
UAL895 1850 0045 KORD VHHK 1850 0045 340 P4
UAL881 1827 0018 KORD RJAA 1829 0018 380 P4
UAL883 1901 0048 KORD RJAA 1858 0048 380 P4
************************************************************
ANCHORAGE TRACK ADVISORY November 26, 2004
FLIGHTS FOR TRACK P3 CROSSING FIX RAMEL
ACA15 1515 2050 CYYZ VHHH 1515 2050 340 P3
UAL851 1820 0020 KORD ZBAA 1820 0020 340 P3
UAL835 1900 0055 KORD ZSPD 1900 0055 340 P3
CPA831 2005 0210 KJFK VHHH 2005 0210 340 P3
COA99 2035 0240 KEWR VHHH 2035 0240 340 P3
CCA982 2100 0305 KJFK ZBAA 2100 0305 340 P3
************************************************************
FLIGHTS FOR TRACK P4 CROSSING FIX ORVIT
COA9 1630 2250 KEWR RJAA 1630 2250 340 P4
UAL801 1650 2325 KJFK RJAA 1650 2325 340 P4
UAL877 1820 0020 KORD RJBB 1820 0020 340 P4
UAL895 1850 0045 KORD VHHK 1850 0045 340 P4
UAL881 1830 0025 KORD RJAA 1830 0025 380 P4
UAL883 1930 0130 KORD RJAA 1930 0130 380 P4
************************************************************
China Entry/Exit Limitations
UAL Exit Approvals by Flight:
UAL836 PVG-ORD: Lamen
UAL850 PEK-ORD: Polho Simli Arguk
UAL896 HKG-ORD: Polho Simli Arguk
UAL858 PVG-SFO: Lamen
UAL862 HKG-SFO: Lamen
UAL888 PEK-SFO: Arguk
Flight Level Stratum in Polar Region and Asia
Altitude Table - RVSM Transition to Metric Altitudes
From Anchorage To Magadan To China
RVSM Altitude Metric Altitude Metric
FL300 9600M (FL315) 9600M (FL315)
FL320 9600M (FL315) 9600M (FL315)
FL340 10600M (FL348) 10800M (FL354)
FL380 11600M (FL381) 11600M (FL394)
ATM ISSUES (Continued)
Anchorage Center has limited application of CPDLC.
ADS is currently not functional (Ocean 21 is coming !)
Polar 1 requires coordination with Reykjavik and Edmonton. Traffic
using Polar 1 is on the increase.
Magadan ACC in Russia is fully functional with CPDLC/ADS
Polar routes 3 and 4 are not H24
RVSM is not available through Russia, Mongolia, and China
Metric flight levels inhibit efficiency, and require additional flight level
changes because of differences between Russia/Mongolia and China
Significant arrival delays due to inefficient use of airspace at
destinations, Example Hong Kong STAR.
Air Traffic Management Issues
We Lack end to end efficiencies in ATM
Slot Allocation restrictions:
20 to 25 minutes slot separation
Cross into Russia with 10 or 15 minutes separation
U.S. departure airports (Chicago, New York) do not
adhere to wheels up times
Coordination between Edmonton and Anchorage is challenged by
aircoms and further coordination required with Russia.
CPDLC and ADS is not available at Edmonton Center (Nav
Canada). This can affect route selection when HF propagation is
a problem, and also affect crossing traffic and separation issues.
Conclusions – What do we need?
FAA Implementation of Ocean 21 at Anchorage Center
Nav Canada implementation of CPDLC/ADS and ADS-B
Improve ATM coordination - FAA, Nav Canada, Iceland, and Russia
Russia and China need to embrace RVSM
24 HR route availability through Russian Airspace
Increased entry/exit approvals with China
Metric Flight levels standardization - ICAO recommendations.
Reduce separation standards where possible, and eliminate slot
allocation programs, if possible.
RNP/RNAV at airports for SIDs and STARS to increase efficiencies.
SUMMARY
Polar Operations Must Consider the Following Challenges
• AIRCRAFT PERFORMANCE, RANGE LIMITS
• COLD FUEL ISSUES
• SOLAR RADIATION
• ROUTE FLEXIBILITY
• COMMUNICATION LIMITATIONS ENROUTE
• TWIN ENGINE (ETOPS) OPERATIONS
• AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT ISSUES
In Conclusion:
Operations are on the increase
Controlling operating costs are essential
Small improvements bring large benefits
Cooperation and collaboration will be essential to
everyone’s success.
THANK YOU