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Capital Budgeting and Investment Analysis

Capital budgeting involves evaluating major investment projects that have benefits over multiple years, estimating their future cash flows, selecting a required rate of return, and applying capital budgeting techniques like NPV, IRR, and payback period to analyze which projects will maximize value and should receive funding. Key decisions include identifying and assembling potential projects, analyzing them using capital budgeting tools, and preparing a capital expenditure budget to implement approved projects.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
41 views31 pages

Capital Budgeting and Investment Analysis

Capital budgeting involves evaluating major investment projects that have benefits over multiple years, estimating their future cash flows, selecting a required rate of return, and applying capital budgeting techniques like NPV, IRR, and payback period to analyze which projects will maximize value and should receive funding. Key decisions include identifying and assembling potential projects, analyzing them using capital budgeting tools, and preparing a capital expenditure budget to implement approved projects.

Uploaded by

naveen penugonda
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© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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 Capital expenditures are those which:

 Benefit future periods


 Increase the serviceable life of the asset.
 Increase the efficiency & productivity of the

asset.
 Examples:

Land,building,machinery,furniture,vehicles,
expensive tools.
 Capital Budgeting decisions is used to
evaluate investment decisions which
involve current outlays (or series of outlays)
but are likely to produce benefits over a
period of time longer than one year.
 Peculiar features:

 Large outlay with large anticipated return


 Uncertainty – high degree of risk
 Long time period between the initial outlay

& the anticipated return


 Earning assets – generate finished goods to
be sold for profits
 Covers long time span affecting company’s
future cost structure
 Decision can not be reversed without heavy
financial loss
 Large cash outlays involved ,hence wise
investment decision required for use of
scarce capital resources.
 Identifying investment opportunities
 Assembling of proposed investments
 Decision making
 Preparing capital budget and rationing
 Implementing the capital expenditure plan
 Performance review -feedback
 Mandatory investments-Safety /Environmental
projects
 Replacement of assets
 Expansion of present capacity
 Diversification projects
 Mergers and Acquisitions
 Estimate the future incremental after-tax
cash flows from the proposed investment .

 Deciding the selection criterion e.g.required


rate of return on investment.(Cost of capital
or hurdle rate)

 Application of the decision rule for making


the investment choice
 Traditional tools(Non-Discounting criteria):
 Payback Method
 Discounted payback
 Accounting rate of return
 Discounted cash flow techniques:
 Net Present Value (NPV)
 Profitability index
 Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
 Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR)
 Number of years required for recovering
initial investment in the project is known as
the pay-back period.
 Shorter the payback period ,better is the

project
 Firms usually specify the maximum

acceptable pay-back period ,for independent


projects
 Initial investment of Rs.8,000,life of the asset
= 4 years

 Expected cash inflows :


Rs.3000,Rs.3500,Rs.2500,Rs.3600.
Pros:
 Simple to understand and use
 Cost effective
 Insight into liquidity and minimising risk

Cons:
 Cash flows after the PB period not
considered
 Ignores time value of money
 Not consistent with shareholder value
maximisation objecive.
 ARR is calculated in different ways.The most
common ways are:

 ARR = Average annual after-tax profits


Average book value of investment

 Decision rule: accept the projects with ARR


higher than minimum rate established by the
management
 Initial investment : Rs.80,000
 Earnings for 5 years (EBIT) :

 Year 1 : Rs.20,000
 Year 2 : Rs.24,000
 Year 3 : Rs.30,000
 Year 4 : Rs.32,000
 Year 5 : Rs.36,000
 Tax rate : 30 %
Pros:
 Simple to use
 Prepared from accounting data

Cons:
 Does not consider cash flows
 Time value of money ignored
 Arbitrary cut-off rate
 NPV= Present Value of future cash inflows – Investment

 Process :
◦ Capture the relevant Cash Flows.
◦ Discount the Cash Flows to arrive at Present Value of the Cash
Flows.
◦ Deduct the Investment from the PV to arrive using an
appropriate discount rate

 Discount rate is the cost of capital invested in the proposed


investment being evaluated.

Decision Rule:
 Accept the project if it gives positive NPV
 Select the project with higher NPV
 Initial Investment :
Cost of fixed asset 300 L
Invt in W.C. = 50 L

 Cash flows (FCF) =


Year 1 = 100L,
Year 2 = 150L,
Year 3 = 250L

 Discounting rate = 10 %
CF 0(today) CF1(Rs.L) CF2(Rs.L) CF3(Rs.L)
(Rs.L)
-350 100 150 250

PV factor 1/(1.1) 1/(1.1)^2 1/(1.1)^3

Discounted 90.9 123.9 187.75


cash flows
PV of cash 402.55
inflows
NPV 52.55L
 It is the ratio of PV of Inflow to the PV of the
Investment
 PV of Cash inflows / PV of Out flows

3.Decision Rule:
 If ratio > 1 then accept the investment
 Select the project with higher profitability

index.
 The IRR of a project is the discount rate at
which the NPV of the project is zero.
 Process:

1.Capture the relevant cash flows


2.Using trial & error method find out the
discount rate at which
NPV = 0
3.Decision Rule:
 If the discount rate i.e. IRR is greater than the
opportunity cost of Capital. Accept the project
 Select the project with higher IRR
1.Determine the pay back period by dividing
the initial investment by average cash flow
after taxes
2.Look for the factor closest to the pay back
period in the annuity table for the life
period for the project.The interest rate
obtained is the rough approximation of IRR.
3.Make adjustments to the rate depending on
the pattern of mixed stream of cash flows
e.g. if the initial period CFAT are higher
than average then the IRR would be
adjusted upwards and vice-versa.
 NPV is in Rupee terms whereas IRR is in
percentage terms,hence practically IRR is
more popular as it is better understood , even
by a non-finance person.
 NPV and IRR would lead to the same decision
when…
 The cash-flows follow conventional patterns
 Evaluation of independent projects
 Companies use multiple evaluation methods
in investment analysis
 IRR is the most popular evaluation method
 For 2 or more mutually exclusive
projects,NPV is used
 Payback and ARR methods are also used as
supplementary methods,especially in small
sized projects.
 The discounting rate is the weighted
average cost of capital applicable based on
the risk involved.
 Estimation of future cash inflows/outflows is
the first step in investment analysis of any
project.

 The relevant cash flows to be considered for


capital investment decisions are based on
certain basic principles…
 Conventionally cash flows of a new project
would involve:
1. Initial Investment which includes :
 Capital expenditure on procuring fixed
assets
 Net working capital requirement
2. Operating cash inflows/outflows and
3. Terminal cash flows which include:
 Salvage value of the new asset(After tax) and
 Recovery of net working capital invested
1. Initial Investment which includes :
 Capital expenditure on procuring new fixed asset less the
proceeds from the sale of the old asset
 Net additional working capital required by the new asset as
compared to the old asset

2. Additional after tax operating cash inflows/outflows


expected from the new investment i.e. :
(Incremental operating profit before depreciation
Less: Incremental depreciation) * (1-t)
+ Incremental depreciation

3. Difference in the terminal cash flows which include:


 Salvage value of the new asset – salvage value of the old
asset(After tax )
 Recovery of additional net working capital invested in the
new asset
 Mutually exclusive projects which have
unequal lives and are repeatable can not be
compared on the basis of their respective
NPV

 2 approaches used for comparison /selection


are :

(a)Replacement chain approach


(b)Equivalent Annual Value (EAV)
A B
Initial Investment 20000 35000
Life 3 years 6 years
Cash flows :
Year 1 8000 8000
Year 2 10000 8000
Year 3 10000 9000
9000
10000
10000
Cost of Capital is 10 %
 In this approach NPV needs to be calculated for
‘common period’ for the 2 projects being
compared.
 This may involve repeating the investment for

a project with a shorter life multiple times to


match the common life.
 E.g. if Project A and B has life of 3 years and 6

years respectively, investment in Project A will


be twice , in the beginning and after 3 years ,
to match the common period of 6 years.
 In this approach ,the NPV of the mutually
exclusive projects (with unequal lives) is
calculated .

 Each NPV is then converted into EAV by


applying annuity factor based on the life of
the respective project.

 The project giving highest EAV (NPV) would


be selected.
M/C Alpha M/C Beta
Initial investment 40 L 30 L

Average annual 4L 5L
operating costs
Project life 6 years 4 years

Cost of capital 12 % 12 %

Annuity factor 6 years - 4.111 4 years – 3.037


@12 % :

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