Conor E. Doherty
Paris, Île-de-France, France
1 k abonnés
+ de 500 relations
À propos
I try to explain complex topics in ways people understand and care about.
At…
Articles de Conor E.
Expérience
Formation
Licences et certifications
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University of Cambridge Certificate in English Language Teaching to Adults (CELTA)
Cambridge English Language Assessment
Délivrance le Expiration le -
TESOL (120 Hours)
Open and Distance Learning Quality Council
Délivrance le Expiration le
Publications
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A Critical Evaluation of the Assumptions of Forecast Value Added
Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting
Voir la publicationForecast Value Added (FVA) is a simple tool for evaluating the performance of each
step (and contributor) in a forecasting process. Its goal is to eliminate waste by removing
processes and activities (of any kind) that fail to increase forecast accuracy or reduce bias.
FVA is predicated on the notion that better forecasting performance is worth pursuing, and
that identifying the activities that increase it and eliminating those that do not is desirable. In
this article…Forecast Value Added (FVA) is a simple tool for evaluating the performance of each
step (and contributor) in a forecasting process. Its goal is to eliminate waste by removing
processes and activities (of any kind) that fail to increase forecast accuracy or reduce bias.
FVA is predicated on the notion that better forecasting performance is worth pursuing, and
that identifying the activities that increase it and eliminating those that do not is desirable. In
this article, Conor Doherty argues that despite positive intentions, FVA demonstrates limited
once-off utility and, if deployed on an ongoing basis, presents a multitude of drawbacks
including faulty mathematical assumptions, misconceptions about the intrinsic value of
increased forecasting accuracy, and the absence of a robust financial perspective.
To request a copy of the paper, please email [email protected]
Projets
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Conversational English Skills edX MOOC
- aujourd’hui
Collaborated on the production of Tsinghua University's edX MOOC, "Conversational English Skills".
Langues
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Chinese
Notions
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French
Compétence professionnelle limitée
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English
Bilingue ou langue natale