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Fed Rate Monitor Tool

 
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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision Oct 30, 2025 02:00

4 Weeks 4 Days 18 Hours 32 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: Oct 30, 2025 02:00
Future Price: 95.920
3.75 - 4.00
90.8%
4.00 - 4.25
9.2%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.75 - 4.00 90.8% 90.8% 95.2%
4.00 - 4.25 9.2% 9.2% 4.8%
Updated: Sep 27, 2025 07:05 CST
Meeting Time: Dec 11, 2025 03:00
Future Price: 96.250
3.50 - 3.75
63.8%
3.75 - 4.00
33.4%
4.00 - 4.25
2.7%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.50 - 3.75 63.8% 58.4% 76.1%
3.75 - 4.00 33.4% 38.3% 22.9%
4.00 - 4.25 2.7% 3.3% 1.0%
Updated: Sep 27, 2025 07:05 CST
Meeting Time: Jan 27, 2026 03:00
Future Price: 96.320
3.25 - 3.50
25.3%
3.50 - 3.75
51.8%
3.75 - 4.00
21.2%
4.00 - 4.25
1.6%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.25 - 3.50 25.3% 23.2% 39.6%
3.50 - 3.75 51.8% 50.4% 48.4%
3.75 - 4.00 21.2% 24.4% 11.5%
4.00 - 4.25 1.6% 2.0% 0.5%
Updated: Sep 27, 2025 07:05 CST
Meeting Time: Mar 19, 2026 02:00
Future Price: 96.440
3.00 - 3.25
10.2%
3.25 - 3.50
36.0%
3.50 - 3.75
39.4%
3.75 - 4.00
13.3%
4.00 - 4.25
1.0%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.00 - 3.25 10.2% 9.4% 19.9%
3.25 - 3.50 36.0% 34.2% 44.0%
3.50 - 3.75 39.4% 39.9% 29.9%
3.75 - 4.00 13.3% 15.3% 6.0%
4.00 - 4.25 1.0% 1.2% 0.2%
Updated: Sep 27, 2025 07:05 CST
Meeting Time: Apr 30, 2026 02:00
Future Price: 96.505
2.75 - 3.00
2.4%
3.00 - 3.25
16.3%
3.25 - 3.50
36.8%
3.50 - 3.75
33.3%
3.75 - 4.00
10.4%
4.00 - 4.25
0.8%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.75 - 3.00 2.4% 2.0% 5.5%
3.00 - 3.25 16.3% 14.7% 26.6%
3.25 - 3.50 36.8% 35.4% 40.1%
3.50 - 3.75 33.3% 34.6% 23.2%
3.75 - 4.00 10.4% 12.3% 4.4%
4.00 - 4.25 0.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Updated: Sep 27, 2025 07:05 CST
Meeting Time: Jun 18, 2026 02:00
Future Price: 96.615
2.50 - 2.75
1.3%
2.75 - 3.00
9.8%
3.00 - 3.25
27.2%
3.25 - 3.50
34.9%
3.50 - 3.75
21.1%
3.75 - 4.00
5.3%
4.00 - 4.25
0.4%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.50 - 2.75 1.3% 1.1% 3.2%
2.75 - 3.00 9.8% 9.0% 17.5%
3.00 - 3.25 27.2% 26.2% 34.3%
3.25 - 3.50 34.9% 35.0% 30.5%
3.50 - 3.75 21.1% 22.3% 12.5%
3.75 - 4.00 5.3% 6.0% 2.0%
4.00 - 4.25 0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Updated: Sep 27, 2025 07:05 CST
Meeting Time: Jul 30, 2026 02:00
Future Price: 96.700
2.25 - 2.50
0.4%
2.50 - 2.75
3.7%
2.75 - 3.00
14.8%
3.00 - 3.25
29.4%
3.25 - 3.50
31.0%
3.50 - 3.75
16.6%
3.75 - 4.00
3.9%
4.00 - 4.25
0.3%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.25 - 2.50 0.4% 0.3% 1.0%
2.50 - 2.75 3.7% 3.4% 7.6%
2.75 - 3.00 14.8% 14.0% 22.7%
3.00 - 3.25 29.4% 28.7% 33.1%
3.25 - 3.50 31.0% 31.3% 24.9%
3.50 - 3.75 16.6% 17.6% 9.2%
3.75 - 4.00 3.9% 4.4% 1.4%
4.00 - 4.25 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Updated: Sep 27, 2025 07:05 CST
Meeting Time: Sep 17, 2026 02:00
Future Price: 96.800
2.00 - 2.25
0.1%
2.25 - 2.50
1.5%
2.50 - 2.75
7.3%
2.75 - 3.00
19.5%
3.00 - 3.25
29.9%
3.25 - 3.50
26.3%
3.50 - 3.75
12.5%
3.75 - 4.00
2.7%
4.00 - 4.25
0.2%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.00 - 2.25 0.1% 0.1% 0.3%
2.25 - 2.50 1.5% 1.4% 3.2%
2.50 - 2.75 7.3% 7.1% 12.8%
2.75 - 3.00 19.5% 19.1% 26.3%
3.00 - 3.25 29.9% 29.6% 30.3%
3.25 - 3.50 26.3% 26.5% 19.5%
3.50 - 3.75 12.5% 13.0% 6.5%
3.75 - 4.00 2.7% 3.0% 0.9%
4.00 - 4.25 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Updated: Sep 27, 2025 07:05 CST
Meeting Time: Oct 29, 2026 02:00
Future Price: 96.850
2.00 - 2.25
0.3%
2.25 - 2.50
2.3%
2.50 - 2.75
9.0%
2.75 - 3.00
21.0%
3.00 - 3.25
29.4%
3.25 - 3.50
24.4%
3.50 - 3.75
11.1%
3.75 - 4.00
2.3%
4.00 - 4.25
0.1%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
1.75 - 2.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.00 - 2.25 0.3% 0.2% 0.7%
2.25 - 2.50 2.3% 1.9% 4.6%
2.50 - 2.75 9.0% 8.2% 14.7%
2.75 - 3.00 21.0% 20.1% 26.8%
3.00 - 3.25 29.4% 29.3% 28.8%
3.25 - 3.50 24.4% 25.3% 17.7%
3.50 - 3.75 11.1% 12.1% 5.8%
3.75 - 4.00 2.3% 2.7% 0.8%
4.00 - 4.25 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Updated: Sep 27, 2025 07:05 CST
Meeting Time: Dec 10, 2026 03:00
Future Price: 96.905
2.00 - 2.25
0.7%
2.25 - 2.50
3.5%
2.50 - 2.75
11.2%
2.75 - 3.00
22.5%
3.00 - 3.25
28.5%
3.25 - 3.50
22.0%
3.50 - 3.75
9.5%
3.75 - 4.00
2.0%
4.00 - 4.25
0.1%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
1.50 - 1.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1.75 - 2.00 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
2.00 - 2.25 0.7% 0.5% 1.3%
2.25 - 2.50 3.5% 3.0% 6.2%
2.50 - 2.75 11.2% 10.3% 16.6%
2.75 - 3.00 22.5% 21.7% 27.2%
3.00 - 3.25 28.5% 28.6% 27.0%
3.25 - 3.50 22.0% 22.9% 15.8%
3.50 - 3.75 9.5% 10.4% 5.0%
3.75 - 4.00 2.0% 2.3% 0.7%
4.00 - 4.25 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Updated: Sep 27, 2025 07:05 CST

Fed Fund Rates

News

Dollar gains after Powell’s speech; euro retreats
Dollar gains after Powell’s speech; euro retreats By Investing.com - Sep 24, 2025

Investing.com - The U.S. dollar edged higher Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell struck a cautious tone on further easing, while the euro failed to take advantage of positive Ukraine...

European stocks mixed; German Ifo survey data released
European stocks mixed; German Ifo survey data released By Investing.com - Sep 25, 2025

Investing.com - European stocks were mixed on Wednesday, following overnight losses on Wall Street amid growing uncertainty over valuation levels as well as the future path of U.S. interest...

Analysis

James Smith
Are Central Bank Rate Cuts Pointless? By James Smith - Sep 27, 2025

You may be familiar with the hit teatime game show Pointless. And it’s got me thinking. After a surprise rate cut from Sweden’s Riksbank and, as the Fed kicks off its own easing cycle,...

Dan Sheehan
Fed Rate Cuts Don’t Always Mean Lower Mortgage Rates By Dan Sheehan - Sep 26, 2025

Mortgage rates rose over 70 basis points in late 2024 following the Fed’s initial cuts before volatile dips The 10-year Treasury yield influences mortgage rates more than the federal funds...

Khasay Hashimov
US Housing Market Stays Frozen Despite Rate Relief By Khasay Hashimov - Sep 25, 2025

America’s housing market remains stuck at historically low levels, defying expectations that falling mortgage rates would revive demand. With home sales running at just 4 million annually and...

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