Emmanuelle Brizay

Turns Out… My Fund LP Portfolio Beat My Direct Portfolio 😅 Maybe I’m not a bad investor — maybe FoFs aren’t the fallacy we think they are. I’ve been reading several great pieces lately and reflecting on a touchy subject: venture funds of funds (FoFs). Hamilton Lane has hammered this home for years: venture isn’t really an “asset class” — it’s an access class 🚪. • 📊 VC has the widest dispersion in private markets. • ⏳ That dispersion hasn’t narrowed, even as VC scaled — the power law still rules. • 📉 Drawdowns cut deeper here than anywhere else. Translation: pick the right managers and you look like a genius; miss them and you look… well, like me on some of my direct deals 🙃. That’s why the Pattern Ventures benchmarking caught my eye: across 2005–2019 vintages, FoFs (yes, even with “double fees”) actually: ✨ Beat direct VC in the median quartile in 14/15 vintages (+0.68x TVPI). ✨ Outperformed the bottom quartile every single time (+0.89x) — and never fell below 1x. ✨ Smoothed returns, with dispersion nearly halved (0.58x vs. 1.21x). Confession time: even in my own portfolio, my LP fund investments have outperformed my direct ones. Not sure if that makes me a bad direct investor 😅 … or just a better FoF LP. Either way, it taught me something about where my real portfolio chops lie. In hedge funds, double fees kill. In venture, access math beats fee math. So the real question for LPs isn’t: “Do we avoid FoFs?” It’s: Do we build selection capability — or buy it? Because in venture, average is the most dangerous place to hide.🚫 🔖 David Dug Skylar Anurag John Samir #VentureCapital #PrivateMarkets #FundofFunds #LPInsights #VCInvesting #PowerLaw #Dispersion #InstitutionalInvesting Asilica | Redshift Capital | Allocate

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Firstly, this isn't a post about Europe vs US. They're different beasts at different stages of development… However, as a European VC, it's critical to be connected to the US VC market. If you are, on average, you'll get bigger markups for your portfolio by taking advantage of the UK/US arbitrage among other things. Two examples of this are Lawhive and StackOne from our portfolio. Both have founders who've moved to the US and both have raised from GV (Google Ventures) with deep US ties of course. Same with companies like Mimica (Khosla Ventures), Carwow (Bessemer Venture Partners, Accel) and many more. You need to be able to pick the phone up to tier 1 US VCs and get them to meet your portfolio. So when Adam Shuaib, PhD, Millan Suri and I went to SF a few weeks back, we tried to cover as much ground as we could, meeting about 40 of the tier 1 US funds like Founders Fund, Greenoaks, Sequoia Capital, Thrive Capital, Andreessen Horowitz…. It takes time to build this network but the rewards are great. As you can see, we also went surfing.

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We had Tom Charman (Co-founder at Blok) on Ventures, Fresh out of stealth having raised $7.5m He explains why their star-studded team is building Blok "A lot of companies aren't particularly good at predicting how their customers are going to behave, but more importantly, they're not necessarily targeting the right customer." "Most companies will optimise for short-term benefit as opposed to long-term gain - what's actually happening is in the long term they're shooting themselves in the foot." "Nine in ten experiments are failing, it's taking too long to run experiments, teams don't know which experiments to run." "If we're going to move towards a world where it's multimodal interfaces with lots of different UI, knowing what to generate for who and when is going to become significantly more difficult." You can watch the full conversation by searching "Tom Charman, Co-founder @ blok: How We're Predicting User Behaviour Before Writing Code"

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What's going on in the venture capital market? While we see very large, highly valued rounds for AI companies, many founders struggle to secure funding at all. 😳 I see 4 founder profiles in the market: 1️⃣ Serial founders or scale-up executives → They raise big rounds (+20m valuations) led by Tier1 VCs. 2️⃣ Founders with traction (100-200k ARR) → They usually find a pre-seed lead after multiple VC talks and then fill rounds quickly on average valuations. Only works for VC Cases. 3️⃣ Founders with little traction but competitive markets → They struggle with endless VC conversations that often lead nowhere. Better off raising angel rounds or bootstrapping. 4️⃣ Software founders bootstrapping → They build MVPs, start selling, and skip early rounds altogether—or wait for better momentum. What are pre-seed investors looking for in 2025? 👉 Proprietary data sources 👉 Strong domain knowledge (vertical SaaS is a win!) 👉 Real customer traction 👉 Deep-tech with a clear edge Fundraising strategy matters more than ever. Here’s what works: • Cluster VCs - don’t pitch your dream fund first. • Use early NOs as free feedback to improve your story. • One term sheet creates momentum - then the round fills up fast. What has been your experience raising in this market❓ #fundraising #venturecapital #investments 📸 Fabian Klima

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What are the chances your startup will get acquired? Around 1.2% it appears Latest insights from Carta and Peter Walker show a decent increase on prior years Consider though, that this is from the US which is by far the most active venture market For other markets, the stats are def way worse ⏯️ Key insight: it's never too early to pursue an acquisition - deals happened all the way from pre-seed to series E

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