In less than three weeks, Moldova heads into its parliamentary elections facing very aggressive and sophisticated foreign interference. In a new report I co-authored with my colleague Victoria Olari – in cooperation with Alliance4Europe, Debunk.org, & EU DisinfoLab – we break down the threat landscape: a mix of illicit money, manipulation, & manufactured dissent.
📅 Key developments 2023–2025
• 2023: crude intimidation - coup plots, street agitation, infiltration of protests.
• 2024: hybridization - spoofed emails, fake media outlets, Russian-linked transfers for vote-buying & mobilisation.
• 2025: escalation - anonymous bribes & threats by phone/text, financial apps promising thousands, cryptocurrency streams, and AI-driven deepfakes targeting Moldova’s institutions.
🕵️ Foreign actor tactics
• Russian ops like Storm-1516 & Matryoshka continue to target Moldova’s info space.
• Apps such as Taito and platforms like HaiTV funnel payments, harvest IDs, and recruit for protests.
• Sanctions circumvention: Moldova24 & mirror domains kept Kremlin narratives alive.
• Increasing sophistication of cyber-enabled ops.
• Offline, Russian agents have funnelled up to €200M (~1% of Moldova’s GDP) into vote buying and protester training.
💸 Vote buying & illicit financing
• Sanctioned Russian banks & cryptocurrency exchanges fuel shadow financing.
• Digital apps coordinate micro-payments, track protest attendance.
• Result: voter agency distorted, foreign leverage entrenched, trust in elections eroded.
🚩 Paid protest mobilisation
• Oligarch Ilan Shor offered protesters up to $3,000/month (4x the average Moldovan wage).
• “Tent protests” sustained by salaries, transport & lodging - designed to project a fake crisis & exhaust state institutions.
• These spectacles masquerade as grassroots dissent but are financed destabilisation ops.
✅ Steps taken, but gaps remain
• Moldova has adopted a National Strategy on Countering Disinfo (2024–28), modernised its electoral code, revoked pro-Kremlin media licenses, & stress-tested its cyber defences with EU partners. CSOs play a vital role.
• Yet, enforcement is patchy, inter-agency coordination lags, and big platforms react far too slowly (as Captain Renault would say “I’m shocked, shocked to find that gambling is going on in here!”) *coughs in platform-direction*
📌 Policy recs (2 highlights)
• Ensure the CCSCD & the 2024–2028 strategy are backed by real resources, cross-agency planning, & safeguards for independence - otherwise political pressure and fear of reprisals risk paralysing them.
• Build dynamic cooperation with platforms & ISPs to counter mirrored domains, proxy ownership, and rebranded outlets - static takedowns alone won’t cut it.
The question is whether institutions, allies, & platforms can move fast enough to keep pace. Standing with Moldova now means standing up for European democracy.
Grateful to Layla Mashkoor for her outstanding leadership in editing!
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