Canvas reposted this
Two decades of groundwork has set the stage. The next ten years in robotics will make the last twenty look slow. When I entered the field in 2004, keeping a robot on-task in a real world environment felt like a groundbreaking leap forward. Vision was grainy. Sensors cost a fortune. Today, robots navigate hospitals, finish drywall, and work on farms affordably and at scale. Here’s why robotics will grow even faster in the next decade: 1. The labor math is upside-down. In 1990, the U.S. had 5.7 working-age adults for every retiree. By 2000 it was ~ 4. Today it’s 2.1. The question has switched from “Can we deploy robots?” to “Can we afford not to?” 2. A generation of vertical robots is field-proven. A mid-2010’s capital surge birthed a new wave of vertical robotics companies (think Path, Locus, Dusty, etc). After a decade of hardware cycles and customer feedback, these systems are finally reaching maturity enabling them to operate reliably in real world environments. 3.Sensing got cheaper and better. Whether it’s surface topology at Canvas or mapping at Waymo, sensing precisely and affordably has always been the ceiling of a robot’s potential. Today high resolution vision, advanced LIDAR, and other key sensor technologies cost a tenth of what they did five years ago. What this means for you: - Founders: You can iterate and reach production faster than any generation before you. Leverage what’s already been built and tested to achieve reliability fast. - Investors: Technical risk is shifting to execution risk. The foundations are in place and the world needs robots to start working now. - Everyone: Robots will lower the cost of labor-intensive goods and services. This means better infrastructure, cheaper housing, and more affordable essentials. Soon we’ll stop calling them “robots”, they’ll just be standard equipment. Whether you’re building, backing, or just along for the ride - the future is promising.