Market uncertainty not just about losses: Insights from Jump's data

MarketBeat recently launched a major upgrade to our analyst ratings pages and profiles. Why does this matter? Because not all analyst opinions are created equal, and now investors can see exactly who’s been right, who’s been wrong, and which firms are worth listening to. Users can: •View detailed analyst profiles, including success rates, average returns, and industry coverage. •Quickly spot buy/hold/sell recommendations with new color-coded ratings. •Compare analysts and firms by track record and performance metrics. •Explore best and worst calls to see how accurate recommendations really are. This upgrade is now live across MarketBeat, bringing more transparency and context to analyst research. Check out the full details below.

📉 When the Data Goes Dark, Price Still Speaks 📈 In our opinion... The federal shutdown left investors without the usual jobs report. No payroll numbers. No headline to trade. Just silence. This highlights a simple truth: markets don’t wait for data. When the news flow dries up, price action becomes the only real-time signal. At Quantum Price Action Futures (QPAF), this is not new—it’s how we operate every day. Our strategy doesn’t depend on economic releases or narrative-driven forecasts. Instead, we read the market’s own language: price. Why this matters for allocators and family offices: Clarity in uncertainty – Price is always available, even when data isn’t. Alpha in all regimes – Our models capture opportunities whether the calendar is full of releases or completely blank. Diversification – Price-driven strategies have historically delivered returns uncorrelated with stocks and bonds, particularly in stressed markets. When news stalls, investors often feel blindfolded. We believe disciplined, price-based strategies offer a compass: letting price—not opinion—be the guide. 👉 How do you approach markets when the data stream is cut off? D𝗶𝘀𝗰𝗹𝗮𝗶𝗺𝗲𝗿: 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗮𝗯𝗼𝘃𝗲 𝗿𝗲𝗳𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗼𝗽𝗶𝗻𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗮𝘂𝘁𝗵𝗼𝗿 𝗮𝘀 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝗽𝘂𝗯𝗹𝗶𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗶𝘀 𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗶𝗱𝗲𝗱 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗶𝗻𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝗽𝘂𝗿𝗽𝗼𝘀𝗲𝘀 𝗼𝗻𝗹𝘆. 𝗙𝘂𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗶𝗻𝘃𝗼𝗹𝘃𝗲𝘀 𝘀𝘂𝗯𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗿𝗶𝘀𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗹𝗼𝘀𝘀 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗶𝘀 𝗻𝗼𝘁 𝘀𝘂𝗶𝘁𝗮𝗯𝗹𝗲 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗮𝗹𝗹 𝗶𝗻𝘃𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘀. 𝗣𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗽𝗲𝗿𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗺𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝗶𝘀 𝗻𝗼𝘁 𝗻𝗲𝗰𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗹𝘆 𝗶𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝗳𝘂𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲 𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘂𝗹𝘁𝘀.

In a recent poll, I asked: What happens to the value of #alternativedata if US earnings disclosures drop from 4x to 2x per year? I expected something less one-sided. Instead, 86% said alt data becomes more valuable; only 14% disagreed. I agree—a 50% reduction in earnings cycles would elevate the strategic importance of alternative data. But such overwhelming consensus surprised me. Were this scenario to play out, I raise 12 critical questions: 1.   Does this widen the gap for firms with strong alt data strategies? 2.   Will regulators push back if alt data becomes too influential? 3.   Could this trigger new scrutiny around data sourcing? 4.   Does demand increase pressure on data accuracy? 5.   How will alt data pricing change with increased demand? 6.   Will fewer disclosures drive overall volatility? 7.   Will large funds benefit disproportionately? 8.   Can models hold up with fewer ground truth data points from earnings? 9.   Are sectors without alt data at risk? 10. Will crowding around alt data signals create liquidity risks? 11. Will companies release important KPIs quarterly and full earnings every six months? 12. Is the impact on sell-side analysts positive or negative? As earnings visibility shrinks, alt data may become the new ground truth. Are we ready for this?      #HedgeFunds #DataStrategy #WallStreet

Today's FT piece on private economic data in the US is interesting. It highlights its growing role, driven by innovative sources that offer real-time insights and novel metrics for investors and policymakers. But they come with flaws the article rightly notes: inconsistent methodologies, high costs, and lack of oversight. Critically, the FT misses a key strength of public economic data: its long time series, spanning decades across booms, busts, and recoveries. This historical depth contextualizes trends – is today’s inflation spike an anomaly or cyclical? Private data, often limited to a few years, excels for quick tactical insights but falls short for strategic analysis. On the one hand, private data is valuable and interesting because: 👉 It’s faster and more granular than government releases. 👉 It gives real-time reads on sectors like payroll, credit card spend, and even restaurant activity. 👉 For decision-makers, speed = edge. But the article also points out the trade-offs: ⚠️ These numbers are only as good as the “gold standard” official stats they sit on top of. ⚠️ If public statistics falter, private data quality slips too. ⚠️ And let’s not ignore the access issue — pricey datasets risk creating a “have vs. have-not” divide in who gets insight. The article notes, "If official statistics degrade, private sector data will get worse too." The fact that public data is revised is not a shortcoming - but a crucial measure of its reliability. IMHO, Private data providers couldn't care less about investing money in revisions. #economics #data #marketanalysis #finance #EconomicData #Finance #FTInsights

The Fed’s announcement last week of a quarter-point rate cut is another indicator that the ability to adapt is one of the most important skills for any business, big or small. It’s also worth noting that small and midsized businesses are well-equipped to handle short-term uncertainty, and this year has been chock-full of it. In the latest Principal Financial Well-Being Index findings, business owners report adapting a delicate balance—around three in four respondents report some tariff impact (58% report negative and 16% report positive), while 9 in 10 report maintaining or increasing staff in the three months prior to being surveyed. Check out the full results at the link below, and stay tuned for the next update coming in November. https://lnkd.in/gKMzjPh3

Wells Fargo is monitoring the pulse of the middle market segment. The Mid-Year 2025 Middle Market Indicator captures real-time insights from C-suite leaders at U.S. companies with $10M to <$1B in revenue. It tracks key metrics—growth, performance, economic confidence, and outlook—offering a clear view into what financial decision makers are thinking and planning. Read more.

Wells Fargo is monitoring the pulse of the middle market segment. The Mid-Year 2025 Middle Market Indicator captures real-time insights from C-suite leaders at U.S. companies with $10M to <$1B in revenue. It tracks key metrics—growth, performance, economic confidence, and outlook—offering a clear view into what financial decision makers are thinking and planning. Read more.

Wells Fargo is monitoring the pulse of the middle market segment. The Mid-Year 2025 Middle Market Indicator captures real-time insights from C-suite leaders at U.S. companies with $10M to <$1B in revenue. It tracks key metrics—growth, performance, economic confidence, and outlook—offering a clear view into what financial decision makers are thinking and planning. Read more.

Wells Fargo is monitoring the pulse of the middle market segment. The Mid-Year 2025 Middle Market Indicator captures real-time insights from C-suite leaders at U.S. companies with $10M to <$1B in revenue. It tracks key metrics—growth, performance, economic confidence, and outlook—offering a clear view into what financial decision makers are thinking and planning. Read more.

Wells Fargo is monitoring the pulse of the middle market segment. The Mid-Year 2025 Middle Market Indicator captures real-time insights from C-suite leaders at U.S. companies with $10M to <$1B in revenue. It tracks key metrics—growth, performance, economic confidence, and outlook—offering a clear view into what financial decision makers are thinking and planning. Read more.