Agentic AI: A $267 billion opportunity for partners by 2030

View profile for Jay McBain

Chief Analyst - Channels, Partnerships & Ecosystems - Omdia - Channel Influencer of the Year

New research alert: From GenAI to agents: the $267 billion AI opportunity for partners by 2030. The evolution of AI, from instruction-dependent generative functions to autonomous, agentic capabilities, is shifting business models and rewriting the rules of engagement for partners. The shift from experimental use cases to embedded, strategic business integration presents a generational opportunity for vendors, partners, and customers. While reports from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology are showing 95% failure rates (after talking to only 52 people and using a 6-month timeline), smart technology services companies are investing heavily in the next 20-year era of our industry. Vendors are pivoting as well; agentic AI is now at the core of their long-term product and business strategies, with hyperscalers and ISVs reshaping their partner programs, incentives, and co-creation models to support it. Simultaneously, customers are rapidly prioritizing agentic AI initiatives, making specialized expertise from partners essential for designing, building, training, integrating, governing, securing, and optimizing these intelligent systems.   From cloud marketplaces to agent ecosystems, every touchpoint across the industry is being recalibrated. For partners, this means moving beyond project-by-project delivery and into repeatable IP, agent development frameworks, and hyper-specialized vertical capabilities with new, value-based packaging and services. Agentic AI is evolving as a partner-delivered service; the partners that lean in will capture long-term relevance and value, and those that wait risk marginalization in an increasingly agent-driven market. The $267 billion services opportunity is growing at 35.3% CAGR, making it one of the largest partner opportunities in the next 3-5 years timeframe. This report by Lisa L., myself, and the team at Omdia explores the partner ecosystem approach of AI leaders such as Microsoft, Amazon Web Services (AWS), Google Cloud, Salesforce, ServiceNow, IBM, and Oracle. We also dive into key moves by data companies Snowflake and Databricks, as well business software leaders including SAP, Adobe, Workday, and HubSpot. There are significant programmatic, pricing, and packaging implications for channel partners as well - with new compensation models, value-based selling, and different levels of certifications and competencies. Pricing will move to micro-consumption models and delivered based on outcomes, consumption-plus models, subscriptions, managed services, IP monetization, and hybrid. By measuring the number of billion-dollar partners we knew what success was in the 20-year client-server and 20-year cloud eras. What will be the secret sauce for the AI era?

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Steve Cohen

Learner | Listener | Leader

4w

Hey! Think the Microsoft line could use a bit more completeness…. It’s OpenAI and all others (in reality) and copilot studio + azure AI foundry. Most complete low code to pro code offerings AND highest model choice available

This is fascinating - the majority of these companies are customers of ours at Crossbeam - what I find most surprising is that our large enterprise customers are actually pushing for AI functionality even harder than the "fast moving startups" we serve (including MCP access, AI-ready data, etc). The way these large companies have rallied their orgs around AI is impressive, but I agree there is still a real hunger for outputs and success that is not being met. I have a feeling this will start to congeal in the next year or less, though. The 5% that are working will stick hard and spread.

Chip Rodgers

🎙 Inside Partnering | Chief Partner Officer | CMO | Ecosystem Strategy | B2B SaaS Growth & GTM Leader

4w

Awesome Jay! Congrats to you and the Omdia team. This point is spot on: “[C]ustomers are rapidly prioritizing agentic AI initiatives, making specialized expertise from partners essential for designing, building, training, integrating, governing, securing, and optimizing these intelligent systems.” I suspect the (infamous) MIT study will soon be a blip in the rear view mirror. 🤷♂️ Partners are critical for customer AI adoption. And smart partners are levering up today! 🚀

King Arthur

AIBUYER: The sourcing expert with you every step of the way

4w

Jay McBain what is your view on Dell/Nvidia AI Factory?

Roman Kirsanov

CEO of Partner Insight | Follow to unlock Cloud GTM & marketplace growth

4w

Great call out, Jay McBain! It looks like Agentic AI will 2X every 2 years, concentrating around hyperscalers/marketplaces and major ecosystems like Salesforce, ServiceNow, etc. Partners need to start picking winners.

Stiv Sterjo

Chief AI & Digital Transformation Advisor | Led $500M+ Global Programs | Former Google AI Leader

3w

Thank you, Jay. Which partner competencies do you see emerging strongest?

Agam Chaudhary

Founder & CEO – Two99 | Creator – Binary Wall & GenShark

3w

The shift from generative AI to agentic AI marks a fundamental change in the market. With a $267 billion opportunity, this evolution offers immense growth for partners who adapt early. The key to success will likely lie in developing repeatable IP, specialized vertical capabilities, and value-based services. What do you think will be the defining trait of the partners who succeed in this era?

Shubham S.

Partnerships, SaaSLabs - JustCall { }

1w

Great insights Jay - thanks for sharing!

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