India's economic outlook: PHDCCI projects growth, RBI warns of risks

India has quietly compounded unprecedented wealth. With inflation now at a historic 99-month low—lower than even the United States—India has showcased exemplary fiscal discipline, deep macro-economic resilience, and a high-trust investment climate built for long-horizon global capital. Anchored by powerful GDP growth, accelerated infrastructure modernisation, and an increasingly pro-investor regulatory architecture, India now stands as one of the world’s most compelling, secure, and scalable destinations for international capital. Upper Chambers (upperchambers.co) empowers global investors to harness this momentum through end-to-end FDI facilitation, strategic investment structuring, precision tax planning, and regulatory risk protection, ensuring superior capital safety with high-growth returns. For discerning investors seeking scale, predictability, and sovereign-backed assurance, India is no longer a future opportunity—it is the definitive investment advantage of the present decade.

India has quietly compounded unprecedented wealth. With inflation now at a historic 99-month low—lower than even the United States—India has showcased exemplary fiscal discipline, deep macro-economic resilience, and a high-trust investment climate built for long-horizon global capital. Anchored by powerful GDP growth, accelerated infrastructure modernisation, and an increasingly pro-investor regulatory architecture, India now stands as one of the world’s most compelling, secure, and scalable destinations for international capital. Upper Chambers (upperchambers.co) empowers global investors to harness this momentum through end-to-end FDI facilitation, strategic investment structuring, precision tax planning, and regulatory risk protection, ensuring superior capital safety with high-growth returns. For discerning investors seeking scale, predictability, and sovereign-backed assurance, India is no longer a future opportunity—it is the definitive investment advantage of the present decade.

India remains Asia's bright spot, but must 'fire all cylinders' to hit 8% growth: IMF's Krishna Srinivasan India continues to stand out as the fastest-growing major economy in the Asia-Pacific region, with its strong fundamentals, a well-managed fiscal deficit, and ongoing reforms working in its favour, said Krishna Srinivasan, Director of the IMF’s Asia and Pacific Department, during the Regional Economic Outlook press briefing on Thursday.

---- These are structural questions that go beyond a single fiscal year’s data. --- 🌏 The Broader Context Globally, FDI flows have been volatile amid higher interest rates, geopolitical shifts, and supply-chain realignments. India’s outward FDI surge also reflects Indian companies expanding footprints abroad, especially in manufacturing, technology, and green energy—sectors where global demand is accelerating. Thus, while gross inflows remain robust, net FDI tells the real story—capital circulation, not accumulation. 🚀 The Road Ahead To attract and retain long-term capital, India needs to: Simplify regulatory procedures and tax norms for foreign investors. Ensure policy stability, especially around retrospective taxation and sectoral limits. Foster domestic investment confidence so that Indian firms reinvest more within the country. If India can balance ease of doing business with capital retention, it can turn this temporary dip into a platform for sustainable inflows in the coming years. --- 💬 Final Thought India’s FDI trend is not a crisis, but a wake-up call. The flows show that India has matured—but maturity should bring stability and confidence, not capital flight. With the right reforms and consistent policy signals, India can convert this “maturity test” into a renewed growth opportunity.

As we navigate through late 2025, the latest data from Reuters, Bloomberg, and local sources highlight a resilient yet evolving economic landscape across India and Asia. India’s GDP growth remains robust at around 6.5%, outpacing many regional peers, driven by strong domestic consumption, digital transformation, and sustained FDI inflows. Meanwhile, inflation has moderated to approximately 4.2%, aligning with RBI’s targets, though supply chain disruptions in certain sectors continue to pose challenges. Trade dynamics show a mixed picture: India’s exports have increased by 8% YoY, supported by rising demand for technology and pharmaceuticals, while trade deficits persist. FDI inflows hit a new high of $45 billion in the last quarter, reflecting investor confidence amid ongoing policy reforms and infrastructure investments. Compared to countries like Vietnam and Indonesia, which are experiencing accelerated manufacturing growth, India’s diversified services sector remains a key differentiator. PMI indices across the region indicate expansion, with India’s manufacturing PMI at 55.2, signaling steady growth. Emerging trends include a surge in digital payments, e-commerce, and renewable energy investments, pointing towards a productivity shift and a more consumption-driven economy. Policy reforms, especially in fintech and infrastructure, are expected to further accelerate growth. Reflectively, as Asia continues to adapt to global shifts, resilience and innovation will be crucial. For India, balancing growth with sustainable development remains both a challenge and an opportunity. What are your thoughts on the region’s trajectory? Let’s discuss! #IndianEconomy #EconomicInsights #AsianBusiness

India is expected to remain one of the world’s fastest-growing major economies through 2025–26, with GDP projected to grow by 6.6%, according to the International Monetary Fund’s latest World Economic Outlook (WEO) report. This is an upward revision from April, showing India’s economic strength and resilience, even as global growth experiences new challenges. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised India’s FY26 growth forecast to 6.6%. . . #internationalmonetaryfund #indianeconomy #IndiaGDP #BusinessIndia #indianbusinessnews #MarketingMotivationn

We are pleased to share our latest whitepaper titled “India’s Rising Export Potential”, which explores a critical dimension of India’s #growth story. While #India’s economic success has largely been driven by domestic consumption—with many consumption-linked stocks trading at elevated P/E multiples—we believe the next phase of India’s ascent will be defined by its #export capabilities. To achieve its ambition of becoming a developed #economy by 2047 and rival the scale of the US and China, India must complement its consumption engine with robust export momentum. The country’s #demographic profile is uniquely positioned to support this shift, offering unmatched scale and operating leverage over the next two decades. Recent global disruptions, including #tariff wars under President Trump, have impacted sentiment and valuations across several Indian export sectors. However, we see this as a strategic opportunity for Indian companies to pivot toward a more diversified export base, benefit from a structurally weaker currency, and move up the value chain—transitioning from traditional export categories to more sophisticated global roles. Over the next few weeks, we will be sharing summary snippets of our white paper. Please reach out if you would like to discuss any aspect of the paper. #growthinvesting #regionalinvesting #indianequities #activemanagement Financial Standard Financial Advisor Magazine Livewire Markets ausbiz Australia India Institute Australia India Business Council Australian (Sydney) Chapter of ICAI

India and Asia’s Economic Outlook: Key Trends and Insights! As we navigate Q4 2025, the latest data highlights a resilient yet evolving economic landscape across India and Asia. India’s GDP growth remains robust at around 6.5%, outpacing many Asian peers, driven by strong domestic consumption, digital transformation, and sustained FDI inflows. Meanwhile, inflation has moderated to approximately 4.2%, aligning with RBI’s target, but supply chain disruptions in certain sectors continue to pose challenges. Trade dynamics show a mixed picture: India’s exports have increased by 8% YoY, supported by rising demand for tech and pharmaceuticals, while trade deficits persist. FDI inflows hit a new high of $45 billion in the last quarter, reflecting investor confidence amid policy reforms and digital infrastructure investments. Comparatively, countries like Vietnam and Indonesia are experiencing accelerated manufacturing growth, but India’s diversified services sector remains a key differentiator. PMI indices across the region indicate expansion, with India’s manufacturing PMI at 55.2, signaling steady growth. Emerging trends include a surge in digital payments, e-commerce, and renewable energy investments, pointing towards a productivity shift and a more consumption-driven economy. Policy measures, such as the recent reforms in the fintech sector and infrastructure spending, are expected to further boost growth. Reflectively, as Asia continues to adapt to global shifts, the region’s resilience and innovation capacity will be crucial. For India, balancing growth with sustainable development remains the overarching challenge and opportunity. What are your thoughts on the region’s trajectory? Let’s discuss! #IndianEconomy #EconomicInsights #EmergingEconomies

If you look at the chart below, one thing stands out. India’s growth curve has consistently stayed above that of advanced economies. Our economic performance continues to outpace advanced economies which is a result of consistent reforms, infrastructure push, and improved efficiencies. But I believe the next phase will demand even greater agility.  With exports now forming 21.2% of GDP and financial flows 28.5% (up from 12.6% and 8.9% in FY2002), India’s exposure to global tides is rising. As global trade realigns in FY2026, the challenge isn’t just to grow.  It’s to stay resilient while the world resets. What are your thoughts? Let’s discuss. #IndiaGrowth #EconomicOutlook #GlobalEconomy #FY2026 #EconomicDevelopment Chart reference: Growth performance, India vs. advanced economies, S&P Global

India’s growth remains firmly anchored in domestic fundamentals despite global volatility, says Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, highlighting internal demand and reforms. She highlighted that India’s robust domestic factors minimise impact of global uncertainties. “We are in a shifting global landscape which resembles a zero-sum approach. Indian economy is resilient and..... 🔗 Read more: https://lnkd.in/gYsMhnfC #IndiaEconomy #worldnews #nirmalasitaraman #ViksitBharat #EconomicReforms