IAB Report: Ad Spend Shifts Amid Tariffs, Economic Pressure

View profile for Niket Shah

A trusted partner to brands in their growth | Co-Founder @ Acceler8 Labs, | Meta (Facebook/Instagram), OpenText, University of Waterloo Alum | Private Investor

Ad budgets are shifting fast. The next 90 days will separate scaling DTC brands from those that stall. IAB’s September report shows how quickly the ground is moving. Growth revised down. Ad spend is now projected at 5.7% (vs. 7.3% in January). Tariffs are the top concern, especially for auto, retail, and consumer electronics. This means budgets are being reshaped. 45% of buyers are cutting spend, while 42% are doubling down on performance. It’s not retreat...it’s reallocation. We can see money is moving. Social spend just jumped to +14.3%. CTV holds strong at +11.4%. Linear TV continues to sink at -14.4%. Priorities are shifting too: 64% still cite customer acquisition as #1, but repeat purchases jumped 8 points YoY to 21%. Brands are working harder to grow value from existing customers, which is a smart bet. If you’re a DTC brand scaling past $10M, this is your fork in the road. You’re big enough to feel the macro pressure, but not big enough to absorb inefficiency. The IAB data confirms what I see across dozens of DTC clients: brands are doubling down on acquisition (74% vs. 58% of agencies). Only 23% of buyers say it’s “business as usual.” The other 77% are already adjusting. If your channel mix still looks like it did in Q1, you’re leaving efficiency on the table...and you’ll feel it in 2026. The winners will reallocate now. The rest will wait and pay for it later. How are tariffs and economic pressure shaping your budget decisions as you head into Q4? We still have room for two more audits this month to get a better view of your options. Drop me a DM and let's set one up.

Chase Dimond

Top Ecommerce Email Marketer & Agency Owner | We’ve sent over 1 billion emails for our clients resulting in $200+ million in email attributable revenue.

2w

We’ve hit the moment where “wait and see” becomes the most expensive move you can make. The smart money’s already shifting.

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Ray Jang

Making ad creatives simple with AI | Founder, CEO at Atria (tryatria.com) 🚀 | Forbes 30u30 | Ex-TikTok

2w

Budget reallocation is critical for DTC brands facing shifting macro conditions.

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Jackson Pinkoski

Founder of Pinkberg, the first marketing agency focused on clients profits | Currently responsible for over $10M in profits across 15 clients | 3X your profits in 90 days, want to be number 16?

2w

brands obsess over acquisition but the real margin relief comes from repeat buyers

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Sean Wendt

founder @ dtcmvp | shopify's modern expert network (invite only)

2w

exactly! repeat purchases jumped 8 points yoy

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Martin Hinojosa

Creating Unforgettable Sports & Corporate Travel Experiences | Partnering with Global Brands to Deliver Seamless Incentive Programs & Activations

2w

Reallocating budgets strategically now prevents inefficiencies from compounding later.

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This sums it up perfectly - it’s not retreat, it’s reallocation. Smart brands are already moving money around

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The biggest takeaway here is mindset. Some leaders look at tariff and spending cuts as a threat, while others see it as a filter - the moment to sharpen strategy and lean into what’s working. The next 90 days will expose who can adapt under pressure and who’s still clinging to comfort

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Brian Schmitt

CEO at Surefoot.me | Driving ecom growth w/ CRO, Analytics, UX Research, and Site Design

2w

The customer retention focus is smart. Efficiency is the only safe path through macro pressure.

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The stat about only 23% saying “business as usual” says it all. Nearly everyone else is adjusting, which means if you aren’t, you’re not competing in the same reality. It’s like running a marathon in the wrong shoes - you’ll make it, but you’ll be hurting

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