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The document discusses the probability of failure rates for different testing programs run on compact discs (CDs). It provides the individual failure rates for four testing programs and calculates: (1) the probability a CD fails any test, (2) the probability a CD fails the 2nd or 3rd test given it was tested, and (3) the expected number of CDs that would fail out of a sample of 100. It then considers the probability a defective CD was tested.

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667 views

Stat

The document discusses the probability of failure rates for different testing programs run on compact discs (CDs). It provides the individual failure rates for four testing programs and calculates: (1) the probability a CD fails any test, (2) the probability a CD fails the 2nd or 3rd test given it was tested, and (3) the expected number of CDs that would fail out of a sample of 100. It then considers the probability a defective CD was tested.

Uploaded by

lenah_22
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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2.88 Before the distribution of certain statistical software, every fourth compact disk (CD) is tested for accuracy.

The testing process consists of running four independent programs and checking the results. The failure rates for the four testing programs are, respectively, 0.01, 0.03, 0.02, and 0.01. (a) What is the probability that a CD was tested and failed any test? (b) Given that a CD was tested, what is the probability that it failed program 2 or 3? (c) In a sample of 100, how many CDs would you expect to be rejected? (d) Given that a CD was defective, what is the probability that it was tested?

Consider the events: F: failed the test, P: passed the test. (a) P(failed at least one tests) = 1 P(P1P2P3P4) = 1 (0.99)(0.97)(0.98)(0.99) = 1 0.93 = 0.07, (b) P(failed 2 or 3) = P(P1)P(P4)(1 P(P2P3)) = (0.99)(0.99)(1 (0.97)(0.98)) = 0.0484. (c) 100 0.07 = 7. (d) 0.25.

2.94 In the situation of Exercise 2.93, it is known that the system does not work. What is the probability that the component A also floes not work?

2.100 Define S: the system works. P(A | S) = P(AS)P(S) = P(A)(1P(CDE))1P(S) =(0.3)*1(0.8)(0.8)(0.8)]10.75112 = 0.588.

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