Douglas Brown MBA (Open)
Payback Period
Designed to answer the question
How Long..
..will it take to recover the initial Investment?
..will it take for the project to break-even?
..will it take for the returns to cover the costs?
Some examples
AAT Diploma – Costs &
Revenues
Payback Period
Example 1
Assuming even cash flows!
Investment
Cash Flow Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Net Cash Flow (800) (100) 200 700 350
Cumulative
Cash Flow (800) (900) (700) 0 350
Payback Period = 3 years
AAT Diploma – Costs &
Revenues
Payback Period
Example 2
Investment
Cash Flow Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Cash Inflows 300 300 300 300 300
Cash
Outflows (500) (300) (150) 0 0 0
Net Cash
Flow (500) 0 150 300 300 300
Cumulative
Cash Flow (500) (500) (350) (50) 250 500
Payback Period = 3 years + (50/300) * 12 = 3 years 2 months
AAT Diploma – Costs &
Revenues
Payback Period
Example 3
Investment
Cash Flow Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6
Cash Inflows 200 300 800 400 300 200
Cash
Outflows (800) (300) (200) (100) (50) (50) (50)
Net Cash
Flow (800) (100) 100 700 350 250 150
Cumulative
Cash Flow (800) (900) (800) (100) 250 500 650
Payback Period = 3 years + (100/350) * 12 = 3 years 4 months
AAT Diploma – Costs &
Revenues
Payback Period
How do we use Payback Period?
Limit – Minimum payback period
Comparison – Tool for comparing projects/proposals
AAT Diploma – Costs &
Revenues
Payback Period
Payback – Pro’s and Con’s
Pro’s
Widely used
Easily calculated
Easily understood
Could say it addresses risk
Cons
Too simple
Doesn’t consider total cash flow
Doesn’t consider cash flow patterns
Doesn’t take into account the time value of money
AAT Diploma – Costs &
Revenues