Iron and Steel Report
Iron and Steel Report
February 2008
Introduction
The world steel production landscape has been changing dramatically since the
1980s. One notable trend is for firms in industrialized countries to reallocate iron
and steel production facilities to developing countries. Growing production capacity
in developing economies, especially China, has been fostering their economic
growth and expanding their exports on low-value-added steel products. Since
2002, China has overtaken the EU to become the worlds largest iron and steel
exporter. However, along with this growth, energy shortages and increasing
greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are threatening sustainable growth in these
countries and globally.
The iron and steel sector accounts for about 19% of global final energy use, about
a quarter of direct CO2 emissions from the industry sector, and roughly 3% of
global GHG emissions, mainly CO2 (OECD, IEA, 2007). As China is the worlds
largest iron and steel producer, there is serious concern for it to increase energy
efficiency and reduce CO2 emissions in the steel industry. Iron and steel have a
complex industrial structure. The efficiency of an iron and steel plant is closely
linked to several elements including technology, plant size and quality of raw
materials. Owing to the large proportion of small-scale blast furnaces and high
proportion of basic oxygen furnaces (BOF), the energy efficiency of Chinas iron
and steel industry, on average, is lower than that in industrialized economies, for
example the European Union.
Thus, industrial restructuring in Chinas steel industry is highly desirable. And by
the same token, joint efforts by industrialized and developing countries to tackle
global energy shortages and global warming are presenting new challenges and
unprecedented business opportunities to the European steel industry. Enhancing
technology cooperation, information-sharing and joint research between the EU
production and use are concentrated in developed countries and also in China.
The history of the world steel industry can be divided into three periods: two booms
and one transformation. The first steel industry boom lasted from 1950 until the first
oil crisis in 1973. This period witnessed a flourishing world steel market sustained
largely by the reconstruction of European countries after the Second World War
and their automotive industry boom. However, the 19734 oil crisis put a brake on
the fast pace of steel production growth and further led the global steel industry into
a transformation era lasting two decades. The period 19752000 was
characterized by production stagnation, in terms of scale, and structural
transformation driven by widespread technological innovation which created 75%
of the categories of steel products used today.
Source: IISI.
The second steel industry boom started at the beginning of the 21st century. Since
2000, world crude steel production has risen at an unprecedented rate. According
to the International Iron and Steel Institute (IISI), world steel production has
4
increased by nearly 63% from 750.1 million tonnes to more than 1.22 billion tonnes
between 2000 and 2006. This dramatic growth was especially remarkable during
the period 200206, when production rose at an annual rate of 8%. Developing
countries such as China, India and Brazil were the main contributors to this second
steel industry boom.
2005
2003
2001
1999
1997
1995
1993
1991
1989
1987
1985
1983
1981
1979
1977
1975
Source: IISI.
The value of world exports of iron and steel (Standard International Trade
Classification (SITC) position 67) doubled in the period 19852002 from US$70.3
billion to US$143.2 billion, while their share in total world merchandise exports fell
from 3.64% to 2.27% and their share in world commodities exports rose by 0.5%
(from 10.2% in 1985 to 10.7% in 2002 (UNCTAD, 2005).
2002
Russia/Ukraine
2003
NAFTA
2004
Brazil
China
2005
India
2006
Japan/S. Korea
Source: IISI.
At the same time, there has been a sharp rise in Chinas export capacity. In 2006,
in terms of quantity, it overtook Japan, Russia and the EU-25 to become the
world's biggest steel-exporting country. Its steel exports reached 49.2 million
tonnes an increase of 92% over the figure of 25.7 million tonnes in 1975. Europe
and America have increasingly seen a wide range of steel products from China
flowing into their economies.
China is not only the largest steel producer; it is also the largest steel consumer
(see Figure 4). In 2006, its total steel consumption rose to 356 million tonnes,
accounting for more than 30% of the world total, ahead of consumption in the rest
of Asia (247 million tonnes), the EU (185 million tonnes) and NAFTA (155 million
tonnes). However, at the same time, China has clearly become more self-sufficient
in steel; its steel trade deficit peaked at 35.4 million tonnes (worth US$18.3 billion)
in 2003 (IISI, 2007a). China slipped from second largest importer in 2005 to fourth
largest in 2006. Its steel imports fell to 18.6 million tonnes, down 30% on the total
of 26.8 million tonnes for 2005. With its crude steel self-sufficiency rate up from
88.8% in 2000 to 91.3% in 2005, 2 China could become an importer of high-valueadded products.
Chinas strong production capacity was fuelled by surging domestic demand, which
accounted for more than one-third of total world steel consumption in 2006. Steel
consumption increases as governments invest more in infrastructure and transport
and business and private sector build new factories and houses. Remarkably, the
construction and automotive sectors function as the main drivers of the surging
domestic consumption. The construction sector alone accounts for more than half
of Chinese demand for steel. Strong economic development has intensified the
Figure 4: Apparent steel consumption by major area, 2006 (world total = 1,113 mt)
Asia (excl. China),
247
China, 356
Middle East, 37
Africa, 22
Latin America, 36
NAFTA, 155
EU-27, 185
CIS, 48
Other Europe, 28
Source: IISI.
EU steel industry
EU crude steel production dropped slightly from its 2004 peak of 193.5 million
tonnes to 164.7 million tonnes in 2006, accounting for 17% of the world total.
Germany, France, Italy and Spain are the four largest producers.
The EU, together with the United States, remains one of the key steel-importing
regions, importing a record 39 million tonnes in 2006 12 million tonnes more than
in 2005 of which 4 million tonnes came from China. The United States also
Energy efficiency
There is little doubt that at least one of the advantages of steel producers in China
and some developing countries has been the weak environmental control in these
countries. With increasingly serious concerns over energy and environmental
issues in industrialized economies, this fact alone has pushed and will continue to
push world steel production away from countries with strict environmental law and
regulations to those with more lax ones.
_ Techniques shall include both the technology used and the way in which
the
installation
is
designed,
built,
maintained,
operated
and
decommissioned.
Production process
The iron and steel industry accounts for about 19% of world final energy use, about
a quarter of direct CO2 emissions from the industry sector, and roughly 3% of
global GHG emissions, mainly CO2. CO2 emissions from iron and steel production
are caused by the combustion of fossil fuels, the use of electrical energy, and the
use of coal and lime as feedstock to reduce iron oxide to iron and later as an
additive to strengthen steel. However, energy intensity and emissions largely
depend on which processes are used in iron and steel plants.
Steel is an alloy of iron and carbon containing less than 2% carbon and 1%
manganese (and small amounts of silicon, phosphorus, sulphur and oxygen). The
iron- and steel-making process can be divided into five basic stages: 1) treatment
of raw materials; 2) iron-making; 3) steel-making; 4) casting; and 5) rolling and
finishing.
10
A large share of the differences in energy intensities and CO2 emissions among
plants and countries can be explained by variations in the number of steps used,
the quality of the materials and the type of energy used, and the cost of energy.
Three dominant processes, with different energy intensity and CO2 emissions, exist
in steel-making:
(i) basic oxygen furnace (BOF);
(ii) electric arc furnace (EAF); and
(iii) directly reduced iron-based electric arc furnace (DRI-EAF).
Coke oven
In the first stage, coke is used in blast furnaces for the chemical reduction of iron
ore. The energy efficiency and CO2 emissions are determined by the quality of the
coke oven and coke. Coke is produced by heating coal for several hours or days to
high temperatures in a pyrolysis process. Coke ovens are of two general types:
recovery ovens, which collect hot gas and are usually slot ovens; and non-recovery
ovens, which are usually beehive ovens. Old beehive ovens require less
investment and lower operating costs, but are less energy-efficient and more
polluting.
Blast furnace
In the iron-making step, iron ore is chemically reduced and converted into liquid hot
iron metal through a blast furnace. The size of a blast furnace largely determines
energy efficiency and the quantity of emissions generated during this stage. A
11
larger blast furnace is usually more efficient because the heat losses are lower
(lower surface/volume ratio) and it is usually more economical to install energyefficient equipment. It is estimated that small furnaces emit 20% more CO2 than
large ones. However, for blast furnaces of a certain size, energy efficiency is
independent of the production capacity.
The raw material that is used in the steel-making process is another factor
influencing energy and emission intensities during the steel-making process. In the
BOF process, pig iron and scrap are used and converted to steel in an oxygen
blown converter. The proportion of pig iron in the metal input varies between 65%
and 90%, with scrap or scrap substitutes (e.g. directly reduced iron) accounting for
the rest. Substituting scrap for pig iron in the BOF process provides an an option to
substantially reduce CO2 emissions during steel-making processes.
12
13
efficiency of BOF, which is used by more than 85% of Chinas steel plants, is
significantly lower than the international level.
Table 1: Net energy use per tonne of product in steel production processes:
comparison between China and the world average (primary energy equivalents, in
GJ/t)
Sintering
Coking
Blast
furnace
BOF
EAF
Rolling
International
1994
1.7
3.8
12.8
0.3
5.8
China
2002
2.0
4.3
13.8
0.8
6.7
3.0
China
2003
1.9
4.1
14.2
0.7
6.2
2.9
China
2004 average
1.9
4.2
13.7
0.8
6.2
2.7
China
2004 advanced
1.5
2.6
11.6
0.1
4.3
1.6
China
2004 laggard
3.2
6.7
17.3
2.2
9.5
8.4
In China, low energy efficiency is mainly due to the large proportion of small-scale
blast furnaces, high ratio of BOF, limited or inefficient use of residual gases, and
low-quality ore.
In 2006, 32% of world steel plants adopted the EAF process, while 65.5% used
BOF. In the European Union, 59.5% of crude steel was produced by integrated
BOF plants and the remaining 40.5% was produced by the EAF method. The old
open hearth furnace (OHF) technology had been phased out entirely.
BOF accounted for 87% of Chinas crude steel production processes, while EAF
accounted for 13%, a level well below the world average of 32%. The low efficiency
of BOF can largely explain the low energy efficiency of Chinas steel industry.
14
BOF
EAF
Million metric
tonnes
EU-25
197.9
59.5
40.5
Russia
70.8
61.6
Ukraine
40.9
NAFTA
OHF
Other
Total
100
18.4
20.0
100
56.4
9.8
33.8
100
130.3
42.7
57.3
100
Brazil
30.9
73.9
24.4
1.7
100
China
422.7
8.07
13.0
100
India
44.0
47.3
50.5
2.3
100
Japan
116.2
74.0
26.0
100
South Korea
48.5
54.3
45.7
100
Taiwan, China
20.2
53.0
47.0
100
World
1241.7
65.5
32.0
2.4
100
Source: IISI.
CO2 emissions
About 75% of the CO2 emissions from the steel industry are related to the
combustion of coal in primary integrated steel mills. Coal is used in the production
of coke, which again is used both as an energy source in the preparation of ore
(sintering) and as a reducing agent and an energy source in the blast furnace.
Pulverized coal may also be injected directly into the blast furnace. A minor share
of the carbon content of the coal is bound in steel products (<1%), but most of it is
released into the atmosphere as CO2.
Switching to larger blast furnaces requires modern technologies. The Chinese
government target is to close all blast furnaces below 100 m3 by 2007 and to close
all furnaces below 300 m3 by 2010. All steel-making furnaces of less than 20
tonnes capacity are to be closed in 2007.
15
making and maximizing the value of steel industry byproducts also provide more
options for the world steel industry in addressing energy and environmental issues.
and
Httenwerke
Krupp
Mannesmann
GmbH).
However,
introducing coke dry quenching and advanced wet quenching processes to China
could help to lower energy consumption in blast furnaces.
17
emissions. Slag that would formerly have been dumped is now used in the cement
industry, dramatically reducing CO2 emissions in cement production.
Trade flows between the EU and China comprise both primary iron and steel
products, and steel articles. As regards the primary iron and steel products trade,
China exports mostly low-value-added products (e.g. products from HS
(harmonized system) codes 7201 to 7217) to the EU market, and imports relatively
high-value-added products (e.g. products from HS codes 7218 to 7229) from the
EU. Ferro-alloys and flat-rolled products of iron and non-alloy steel account for the
largest shares in total Chinese exports to the EU. However, several stainless steel
products such as flat-rolled stainless steel and flat-rolled alloy steel are the main
categories that the EU exports to China (see appendix).
China has a strong export capacity for steel articles. For most of these, it has
started to accumulate large surpluses in its trade with the EU. These products
cover a wide range including tubes, pipes, cloth, screws, nails, springs, radiators,
household articles, sanitary ware, etc. However, EU exports of seamless tubes and
pipes to China are quite strong.
18
Trade disputes
The European Commission announced its decision on 4 January 2008 to launch an
anti-dumping investigation into certain hot-dipped metallic-coated iron or steel flatrolled products imported from China. Although European steel users complain they
have to rely on imported steel because European local production is not adequate,
Eurofer argues that Chinese steel products have been flooding into the European
market and brought down EU domestic product prices by up to 25%, making
European steel manufacturers life harder.
International pressure stems not only from a reaction against Chinese export levels
but also from concerns about pending global overcapacity driven by Chinese
expansion, and about the environmental impact of the multitude of smaller,
inefficient Chinese producers. There have been mounting complaints that the
growth in the Chinese steel industry has been a result of direct and indirect
subsidies by both local and central government in breach of undertakings to the
WTO. In February 2007 the United States brought an anti-subsidy case against
China to the WTO. Internally, the volume of exports is putting pressure on raw
materials as well as on power and water supplies.
The Chinese government is taking further steps, however, to discourage and
close small inefficient mills and to increase its control over smaller mills through
changes to the iron ore import regime and environmental licences. In May 2007
China's National Development and Reform Commission released its latest list of
outdated iron and steel capacity to be closed by 2010. Steel-making capacity
closures are running at 42 million tonnes per year and iron-making capacity
closures at around 40 million tonnes per year.
19
Import tariff
The EUs import tariff on most primary iron and steel products is zero, except for
pig iron and ferro-alloys. The Chinese tariff on primary iron and steel products
ranges from 0.04% on ferrous waste and scrap to 10% on several high-valueadded stainless steel products such as flat, bars and wires. The EU imposes import
tariffs of about 0.7% to 3.7% on various categories of steel products including
tubes, screws, bolts, household articles, sanitary ware, etc. Chinese import tariffs
on high-value-added steel articles, ranging from 4% to 20.6%, are higher than
those of the EU.
On 1 April 2005, it ended the VAT export rebate on crude steel and other
primary steel products.
On 1 May 2005, it further cut rebates to 11% on almost all finished steel
products.
4 Source: Mysteel website, Greatwall Securities (2007), and Essence Securities (2007).
20
From 1 July 2007 welded tubes with outside diameter no greater than
406.4mm have export rebates cut from 13% to 0%. The rebate for rails,
sheet piling, seamless tubes and tube fittings was cut from 13% to
5%. OCTG (Oil Country Tubular Goods) tubes still have a 13% rebate.
for
high-value-added
steel
products
and
new
energy-efficient
and
21
Chinas restructuring
The restructuring of Chinas steel industry will have global repercussions. China is
expected to increase its steel-making capacity by 53.8 million tonnes per year by
the end of 2008. It is aiming to produce high-value-added steel products, which are
currently in insufficient supply.
However, the Chinese central government, which regards the steel sectors overcapacity as a pressing problem, intends to eliminate existing out-of-date upstream
facilities, that is, about 100 million tonnes of iron-making capacity and 55 million
tonnes of steel-making capacity per year, between 2006 and 2010 in line with the
New Steel Policy issued in July 2005. The implementation of this programme will
have a profound effect on future trends in steel-making capacity in the economy.
One important project is the plan to reduce output at the Shougang plant and
relocate it. The 21 km2 new plant of the Beijing Capital Iron and Steel Group
Company, known in Chinese as Shougang, will be operational at the end of 2008
and will completely replace the old facilities in Beijing by 2010, becoming the
country's largest steel production base. It has been reported that emissions of dust
and sulphur dioxide per tonne of steel will be reduced to 0.44 kg and 0.42 kg
respectively. The reallocation and restructuring of Shougang mark a clear
departure from the earlier policies of growth regardless of energy and
environmental consequences.
Technology transfer
Technology transfer will play an essential role on promoting low-carbon
technologies in the steel industry. During this process, best available technique
22
(BAT)
is
essentially
important
for
efficient
technology
diffusion
and
Data analysis
The creation of an energy use and CO2 emissions databank to carry out energy
and CO2 analysis on a scientific basis is also crucial to harness global energy
shortage and environmental issues. The ability of the steel industry to evaluate the
potential impact of energy-efficient and environmentally friendly technology is
hampered by inconsistencies in monitoring and reporting methodologies and the
lack of meaningful data on emissions (IISI, 2007b). There is a need for shared and
verified reporting procedures that account for and report progress towards
achieving CO2 emission reductions. Cooperation in data analysis between the EU
and China is highly recommended to ensure that common concerns are included in
the decision-making processes of both sides, and in procedures for dealing with
23
Conclusion
The global steel industry is experiencing a historic transformation. China is the
worlds largest steel-maker, and its growing production capacity, domestic demand
and export capacity are the three important factors impacting on the EU steel
market and the global steel industry. The recent boom in the global steel industry,
which accounts for about 19% of the worlds final energy use, a quarter of direct
CO2 emissions from the industry sector, and roughly 3% of global greenhouse gas
emissions, presents threats and new challenges to sustainable development
24
worldwide. In the context of this trend, the energy efficiency of Chinas steel
industry and its emission reductions are crucial. However, in order to tackle both
threats, cooperation is urgently required in the iron and steel industry between the
EU, which has the most state-of-the-art technology but is experiencing production
shortages, and China, which is the largest steel-maker but has more than 85% of
steel plants performing at a significantly lower level of energy efficiency than the
international level. Such cooperation involves bilateral efforts to facilitate trade
negotiations, encourage technology transfer and promote direct investment into
high-value-added products. Joint efforts on data construction and analysis are
necessary to achieve market and policy transparency.
25
Appendix
Tariff rates in the EU and China on steel products, and bilateral trade flows
HS
Code
Product name
Tariff
(MFN, %)
China
EU
China-EU
EU-China
Balance
7201
1.00
1.27
4.01
0.41
1.07
9.21
-2.94
7202
Ferro-alloys
2.17
2.71
312.65
5.74
3.06
0.86
-309.59
7203
2.00
0.00
0.04
0.01
0.02
0.45
-0.02
7204
0.04
0.00
42.81
1.42
390.63
13.74
347.82
7205
2.00
0.00
12.69
9.55
4.72
7.08
-7.97
2.00
0.00
1.33
4.77
0.38
1.46
-0.95
2.00
0.00
91.76
3.03
3.54
0.41
-88.23
4.21
0.00
1237.33
24.54
45.58
1.69
-1191.76
4.49
0.00
150.17
16.82
21.05
2.73
-129.12
5.94
0.00
589.59
25.45
67.30
2.71
-522.28
7206
7207
7208
7209
7210
26
6.00
0.00
16.88
4.88
41.68
9.42
24.80
7.29
0.00
39.54
27.50
39.92
10.49
0.37
4.77
0.00
238.18
23.89
61.20
9.04
-176.99
3.61
0.00
21.69
1.57
5.33
0.68
-16.36
6.08
0.00
4.29
1.14
11.89
4.67
7.60
plated or coated
Flat-rolled products of iron or non-alloy steel of a
7212
7213
7214
7215
7216
4.99
0.00
12.10
2.44
18.09
1.20
5.99
7217
8.00
0.00
99.24
20.85
8.62
1.84
-90.62
7218
2.00
0.00
2.28
3.23
25.46
6.33
23.18
7219
5.87
0.00
432.59
24.06
797.03
20.36
364.44
7220
10.00
0.00
4.53
2.22
30.81
6.25
26.28
7221
10.00
0.00
0.14
0.17
6.07
2.39
5.93
7222
10.00
0.00
3.79
1.16
13.34
1.67
9.55
7223
10.00
0.00
26.96
13.58
3.30
2.38
-23.66
7224
2.00
0.00
3.05
1.98
1.31
0.88
-1.74
27
7225
7226
7227
4.14
0.00
25.60
5.71
218.86
11.13
193.26
3.58
0.00
1.49
1.18
38.97
6.74
37.48
3.12
0.00
0.17
0.29
3.02
1.96
2.85
7228
3.55
0.00
27.47
4.42
49.50
4.39
22.03
7229
6.84
0.00
7.93
15.03
10.96
8.48
3.03
7301
7.00
0.00
2.01
5.86
22.98
8.69
20.97
7302
6.12
0.70
2.12
2.97
23.99
4.62
21.87
7303
4.00
3.20
26.65
34.54
0.26
0.23
-26.39
7304
4.53
0.00
157.60
14.51
875.68
16.10
718.08
7305
6.46
0.00
1.12
0.86
20.62
1.12
19.50
7306
4.52
0.00
125.90
9.53
61.91
4.24
-63.98
7307
6.05
3.41
304.78
33.26
109.68
5.73
-195.11
7308
4.80
0.00
334.66
27.18
79.08
1.95
-255.58
7309
10.50
2.20
5.46
8.75
28.64
5.17
23.18
7310
14.57
2.70
69.12
33.77
8.78
1.77
-60.34
7311
12.75
2.70
9.86
4.39
9.55
2.68
-0.30
7312
4.00
0.00
59.86
13.01
46.03
9.01
-13.83
7313
7.00
0.00
3.40
38.62
0.03
0.26
-3.37
7314
9.61
0.00
82.11
43.24
6.51
1.97
-75.61
28
7315
7316
7317
7318
7319
11.88
2.70
137.57
42.09
31.32
5.49
-106.25
10.00
2.70
10.52
65.98
0.38
0.76
-10.14
10.00
0.00
72.06
40.63
1.08
0.74
-70.98
8.61
3.70
730.73
26.51
152.95
8.67
-577.78
10.00
2.70
7.33
46.57
0.33
3.22
-7.00
7320
8.43
2.70
14.90
5.60
33.67
8.23
18.77
7321
13.11
2.70
277.83
42.90
6.90
0.83
-270.93
7322
20.60
3.04
27.19
7.96
5.55
1.53
-21.63
13.64
3.20
869.00
72.93
9.11
1.62
-859.89
7323
7324
19.72
1.55
112.90
52.97
5.11
1.56
-107.78
7325
13.85
2.11
326.84
44.42
16.59
3.80
-310.25
7326
9.93
2.62
909.82
35.86
191.27
5.49
-718.55
Total
-4420.91
Sources: Tariff data from WITS (World Integrated Trade Solution) (2005 for China, 2006 for the EU). Trade data from Eurostat (2006).
29
References
American Iron & Steel Institute, Steel Manufacturers Association, Specialty Steel Industry of North America, Canadian Steel Producers
Association, and La Cmara Nacional de la Industria del Hierro y del Acero (2007), Environmental Aspects of Global Trade in Steel: the
North American Steel Industry Perspective, submitted to the Steel Committee of the OECD.
CISA (Chinese Iron and Steel Association) (2007), Steel Production Statistics online resource, Beijing.
Essence Securities (2007), 2007 , Guangdong.
Eurofer (2007a), EU Crude Steel Production Statistics, Brussels.
Eurofer (2007b), Report on the Economic and Steel Market Situation, Brussels.
Eurostat (2007), Annual Statistics on the Balance Sheet for Electrical Energy in the Steel Industry.
Greatwall Securities (2007), , Shenzhen.
IISI (International Iron and Steel Institute) (2007a), Crude Steel Production, Brussels.
IISI (2007b), Steel Industry Commits to Reduce CO2, Steel News Media Release, Brussels .
IISI (various years), Steel Statistics 20012007, Brussels.
OECD and IEA (International Energy Agency) (2001), An Initial View on Methodologies for Emission Baselines: Iron and Steel Case Study, Paris.
OECD (2003), Environmental Policy in the Steel Industry: Using Economic Instruments, Environmental Directorate and Directorate for Financial,
Fiscal and Enterprise Affairs, Paris.
30
UNCTAD (2005), Promoting Participation of Developing Countries in Dynamic and New Sectors of World Trade: (iii) Steel and Related Specialty
Products, Trade and Development Board, Geneva.
Worrell, E., N. Martin and L. Price (1999), Energy Efficiency and Carbon Dioxide Emissions Reduction Opportunities in the U.S. Iron and Steel
Sector, Ernst Orlando Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory.
31