Stoll-1978-The Journal of Finance
Stoll-1978-The Journal of Finance
4 SEPTEMBER 1978
HANS R. STOLL
THERE HAS BEEN much discussionof a policy nature about the function of dealers
in equity securitiesmarkets,the efficiencyof differentmethodsof providingdealer
servicesand the regulatoryconstraintsunder which dealersshould operate. Some
empiricalworkhas been carriedout to determinewhat factorsunderliedealercosts
and to assess the efficiency of different market organizationsand regulatory
constraints, but that work has not been based on a very explicit theoretical
foundation [see Demsetz (1968), Institutional Investor Study, Ch. 12 (1971), Tinic
(1972),Tinic and West (1972),and Benstonand Hagerman(1974)].The purposeof
this paperis to developa more explicitand rigorousmodel of the individualdealer
and to discussthe implicationsfor the cost of tradingof differentmarketorganiza-
tions of dealers. It is hoped this model will provide a better framework for
empirical work and for discussion of the policy issues involved. The paper is
restrictedto the supplyside. For steps in the directionof specifyingthe demandfor
dealer servicessee Copeland(1976) and Epps (1976). Dealers facilitate tradingby
investorsbecausethey are willingto tradefor theirown accountas principalswhen
investors'agents(or investorsacting for themselves)cannot immediatelyfind other
investorswith whom to trade.' Following Demsetz (1968) one can, therefore,think
of dealersas providingthe serviceof immediatetradingor immediacy.The cost of
immediacydevelopedin this paper is the sum of: (1) holding costs, the price risk
and opportunitycost of holding securities;(2) order costs, the costs of arranging
trades,recordingand clearinga transaction;and (3) informationcosts which arise
if investorstradeon the basis of superiorinformation.
Dealers are to be distinguishedfrom brokers who act strictly as agents for
investorsand do not assumerisk.This paperemphasizesholding costs, which have
also been the emphasisof earlierstudieson dealers.Ordercosts, which are incurred
both by dealers and brokers, are included in the analysis but do not receive
extensivedevelopment.Informationcosts facing dealersare also modeled, but see
Jaffe and Winkler(1976)for a more extendedtreatmentof that issue. Dealers exist
I. A FAMILIAR PICTURE
The dealer can be viewed as any investor who has a desired portfolio (his
investment account) based on the opportunitieshe sees and on his preferences.
Supplying immediacy to other investors means moving away from this desired
portfolioin orderto accommodatethe desiresof investorsto buy or sell a stock in
which the dealer specializes.As a result the dealer assumes unnecessaryrisk and
moves to a level of risk and returnwhich may be inconsistentwith his personal
preferences.
These points are best illustratedby consideringFigure 1. Line RfE is the dealer's
efficient frontier,which representsthe possible combinationsof his efficient port-
folio of risky assets (point E) and the risk free asset (yielding Rf). Assume the
dealer'sdesired position-his investmentaccount-is point N. By taking nonop-
timal portfoliopositions the dealer moves away from N and indifferencecurve U0
to a lower indifferencecurve such as Ul. The dealer is forced off the efficient
frontierbecauseit is assumedthat he cannot initiatetradesin his efficientportfolio
of stocks, E. The portfolio acquiredin the process of acting as a dealer is termed
the trading account. Long or short positions in his trading account may de-
diversifythe dealer'stotal portfolio and cause the frontierof his new portfolio set
(trading plus investment account) to be described by a line such as ANB, the
positionof which dependson the riskcharacteristicsof the tradingaccount.
A movement upward along NA means the dealer has an undiversifiedlong
position financed by borrowingat Rf. At point A he has, for example,borrowed
100%of his wealth. This imposes a total percentageholding cost of g on him. In
other words,his customersmust pay him g per cent on his currentwealth in order
to keep the dealer at his initial indifferencecurve. Part of the cost is due to the
de-diversificationcausedby dealingin few stocksand partis due to the assumption
of a level of risk not consistentwith the dealer'spreferences.Even if a dealerwere
to trade a fully diversifiedportfolio and therebymaintainRfE as his frontier,he
incurs costs because he moves to a lower indifferencecurve. A movement along
NB means the dealer has an undiversifiedshort position in the tradingaccount.
Once the dealeris at a nonoptimalpoint like A, the cost of anothertransactionis
the difference between the total percentagecost at A and at the new position
The Supply of Dealer Services in Securities Markets 1135
U0
fR
FIGURE 1
II. AsSUMPTIONS
or of shares. Ruled out under this assumptionis the possibility that dealers can
acquirefunds by sellingother stocks or that they use the proceedsof short sales to
buy other stocks. To permit this would simply transfer costs of immediacy to
anotherdealer.
However,by appropriatechangesin his bid-askquotationsthe dealerencourages
transactionsby the public that will rebalance his portfolio. In other words, the
dealeracts passivelysettingprices and letting the public choose which stocksit will
purchase from him and which stocks it will sell to him. Portfolio adjustments
arisingfrom his dealeractivity are thereforerestrictedto those stocks in which he
makes a market,i.e. his tradingaccount. The assumptionof constant Rf could be
relaxed at the cost of complicating the model, and the possibility is discussed
below.2
2. The dealer is assumed to have a utility function over terminalwealth. Since
the vast majority of dealers are proprietorships,partnershipsor closely held
corporations,ascribinga utilityfunction to the dealeris realistic.3Alternativelyone
can assume the utilityfunctionbelongs to the ownersof a dealerfirm and that the
ownerscannot offset on personnelaccount the positionstakenby the firm (because
they are unawareof the positionsor becauseit is too costly for them).
3. The dealermakes estimatesof the "true"price and "true"rates of returnthat
would exist in the absence of transactioncosts. This "true"price is the discounted
value of the dealer'sexpectedequilibriumprice one period hence. This estimateis
derivedfrom the fundamentalcharacteristicsof the stock and need not be the same
as the estimatesof other dealers or investors.All rates of returnin the paper are
"true"rates of return.The analysis is a partial equilibriumanalysis of the dealer
industry and the determinantsof "true"equilibriumprices are for example not
treated.
4. The dealer makes one transaction per trading interval during which the
stock's price does not change. Prices may change between tradingintervals.In a
one period world, the dealer buys or sells shares in the first tradinginterval and
becomes subject to one period of uncertainty.The period is assumed to be very
short,and certainapproximationsto be specifiedlater may be justified.The world
ends in the second tradingintervalwhen the dealer'sinventoryis liquidatedat the
equilibriumprice of the second tradinginterval.
Certainother assumptionsof lesser importanceare detailed in the development
of the model. These involve constraints on the utility function and certain
approximations.
The dealer tradesa stock if the dollar compensationpaid him is enough to offset
the loss of utility caused by deviatingfrom his initial portfolio. In other words he
will requirethat expectedutility of terminalwealthof the initial and new portfolios
be the same:
EU(W*)= EU(W) (1)
where the bar () over a variableindicates expected value and where tildes have
been dropped when the meaning is clear. Writing W and W* in terms of initial
wealth and rates of returnand takingexpectationsyields:
where a* and a are the varianceof rate of return of the initial portfolio and of
U(W)- U(W*)
U(-)-U(W_ ) = w- W* (A.2)
U'(W*)
The approximationsare legitimatein termsof the processdescribedin footnote 5.6
Using (A.1) and (A.2), (6) can now be writtenas:
I z [Q a2+2WoQ cov(R*,R.)[ WW*]O (7)
where o.e is the covariancebetween the rate of return on stock i and the rate of
returnon portfolioE, and a.s is the covariancebetween the returnon stock i and
the return on the initial trading account. Furthermorek, the desired holding of
portfolioE (representedby point N in Figure 1) can be eliminatedfrom (9) since it
dependson the utilityfunctionand the knowndesiredopportunityset (the line RfE
in Figure 1). By setting the slope of the dealer'sindifferencecurve equal to the
slope of the desiredopportunityset, it can be shown that7
Re-Rf
k= e (10)
ZoJe
2Z Q22
+ z p;,JC(l+Rft)-Q[(Ri-RfJ)-(Re-RfJ Cie _- (II)
2 o WO'4 J/ 2L
and
z Q~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~[0
WO iP i2 W0 i(i-t-R-g i2e
ci = l+Rf (12)
Ci WO
p 2W1 l (14)
(2) Size of the transactionin stock i, Qi.Total cost rises as the squareof Qi, and
percentagecost rises linearlywith Qi.
(3) Characteristicsof the stock-variance of returnand the covariancebetween
the returnon stock i and the returnon the initial tradingaccount portfolio.9Note
that the covariancewith the investmentaccountdoes not enter.
(4) Size of the initial position in the tradingaccount, Qp.If Qpis positive (and
a. > 0), the cost of buying stock i is largerthan if there were no initial position.
donverselythe cost of sellingstock i is smallerthan if therewere no initialposition.
In Figure2, Ci is plottedas a functionof Qi using some reasonablevalues for the
remaining variables. Placement of the curves depends on the dealer's initial
position, QP,and the size of aip.If Qp= 0 or if sip= 0, dollarcost has a minimumof
Qi= 0. If Qp# 0 and sip> 0, the minimumis at Qit 0 accordingas Qp O. 0 A notable
aspect of (14) illustratedby Figure2 is its symmetry-a sale of given size costs the
dealer the same amount as a purchaseof given size. Assumingthat the dealer has
no initial holding in the trading account and is thereforeat N in Figure 1, this
result implies that points A and B in Figure 1, which representlong and short
positions of the same amount, lie on the same indifference curve, as shown.
AlthoughB is much fartherinside the efficient frontierthan A, it is closer to the
level of risk desired by the dealer and these two factors are offsetting. If the
probabilityof purchasesby the dealerequals the probabilityof sales by the dealer,
C1 Ci I Q, = 50,0ooo0
1 000
._~~~~~~~~~~ 500
pR
FIGURE 2
9. Note that ai2and aipare not directlyobservablesince they dependon variabilityin "true"returns.
Observedvariabilityof returndependsas well on the cost of immediacywhich is reflectedin bid and
ask pricesand whichin turndependson the volumeof tradingand othervariables.
1142 The Journal of Finance
the symmetriccost function implies that the optimal inventory in the dealer's
tradingaccountis zero; or, in otherwords, that the optimaloverallportfolioof the
dealer is the same as that of any nondealer with the same preferences and
expectations.Thus even afterbecominga dealerthe desiredportfolioremainspoint
N in Figure 1.
Inability of the dealer to borrow and lend at the same rate of interest can
eliminate the symmetryof the cost function and could complicate the problem
slightly. In particularsuppose the dealer can borrow at Rf but can lend the
proceedsof shortsales only at a fraction,E(,of Rf. This affects the thirdtermin the
numeratorof (12) because eRf replaces Rf. Given (13), the term does not go to
zero but to Q'Rf(E)- 1),where Q. <0 is the dollarvalue of short sales requiredand
e)=I if Qi7=0 and e <I if Q <0.'0 The effect is to raise Ci by the amount of
interest not earned on the proceeds of a short sale. Dollar costs are therefore
greaterfor Qi<0 than for Qi>0. Given a symmetricprobabilitydistributionon
purchasesand sales, the dealer tends, in this case, to keep a positive inventoryin
the tradingaccountto avoid the extracost of shortselling."
It should be pointed out that 0 can be made a more complicatedfunction of
other variables.For exampleif the bank is concernedabout default risk on dealer
borrowings,the logical variableis the dealer'sdebt-equityratio, L = (Qi+ QP)/WO,
where dE)(L)/dL>O. Such a modificationis straightforwardand would tend to
raise dealer costs above those in (14). However, since the theoreticalform and
empiricaljustificationfor these modificationsare not clear and since these modifi-
cations would not alter the character of the final model while adding to its
complexity,the modificationsare omitted from furtherconsideration.
10. Since the dealermay have stock i in his tradingaccount,shortsales may not be necessarywhen
the dealersells stock i.
11. The observedtendencyto find positiveinventorymay be due to a numberof other factors.For
example dealers may be able to anticipatebuying by the public better than selling by the public.
Second, and probablymost important,there are often tax benefits to carryingstock on one's trading
accountratherthan one's investmentaccount.If the dealeris taxed as a corporation,the corporatetax
may be lowerthanhis individualtax. Long termlosses can receiveordinaryincometax treatmentin the
tradingaccount.
12. It is assumedthat the dealeris in a competitiveenvironmentfor the purposesof this illustration.
The Supply of Dealer Services in Securities Markets 1143
P*- p
CC
b 11 ii c~~~~~~~~~~
io
Ci i)
(qb Ptl -- -
b -o i,^
io
iO iO) P*= C
Qio ~ ~ ~ Q
QiG i
1i 10 P
(Qa) -o
P*o ai
/~~~~~~~~~i |o
FIGURE 3
is sold. If a buyer appears and trades Q,Oat P,.O,the dealer sets Pb= pe in the
second tradinginterval,and the shortpositionis covered.
A dealerfaced with a tradeof Q,would like in the same tradingintervalto make
an offsetting transaction,in the same stock or some equivalent combination of
stocks, that perfectlyhedges his portfolio. Real world constraintsimposed in this
model are that the dealer cannot actively and immediatelytake such offsetting
positionsin the same stock or other stocks. However,the bid-askquotationin any
stock is set so as to encouragetransactionswhich reduce the risk of holding the
initial portfolio.This point is illustratedin Figure 3 by the line cil, the percentage
cost function for Qp>0, qip>0. Since in this case the dealer already has a long
position the returnon which is positively correlatedwith stock i's return,the bid
and ask prices are set so as to encourage sales by the dealer of stock i and to
1144 The Journal of Finance
discouragepurchasesby the dealerof stock i. Thus the bid price,P, l, is lower than
if there were no initial position and the ask price, Pial,is lower. If QP= Q,
= - 2(z/ WO)aiQi;and in this case the dealeris willing to pay customersto take
him back to his optimumportfolio (N in Figure 1) an amount equivalentto the
cost of holding the risky position. If it is assumed he has been paid off for the
immediacy costs of trading Qp, the dealer just breaks even and is properly
compensatedduringeach time intervalfor bearingrisk.
The percentagespreadis the percentagedifferencebetweenbid and ask price, or
just the verticaldistancebetweenthe two percentagepricesin Figure3. The spread
function correspondingto (15) for Qib = Qa = IQil is:
pa - pb
whichis independentof the initialinventoryof the dealerand does not involve any
covarianceterm. Thus, if the dealerpricesjust to cover the costs of each transac-
tion, the spread(but not the bid or ask price)is independentof the initialinventory
and thereforeholds for the dealer in many stocks as well as for a dealer in one
stock.This resultdependson the assumptionsthat previousinventoryholdingcosts
are sunk costs and that only one stock is tradedper tradinginterval.
V. OTHERCOSTS
In additionto holdingcosts the dealerincursothercosts that shall receiverelatively
brief treatmenthere. First the dealer incurs certain explicit costs-called order
costs-in carryingout a transaction.These costs which are incurredby brokersas
well as by dealers include the cost of labor, the cost of communicating,and the
cost of clearingand recordkeeping.The simplestassumptionis that ordercosts are
a constant dollar amount, M, per transactionand thereforea declining propor-
tional amountM/ Qi per dollar traded.
A second cost arises if some investorstrade with the dealer because they have
superiorinformation.[See Bagehot(1971).Jaffe & Winkler(1976)on this point.] In
organizedmarkets,a dealerquotes a bid price at which he is willingto buy and an
ask price at which he is willing to sell withoutknowingwhetherthe next tradewill
be a purchaseor sale. Even if the dealer possesses inside information(because of
knowledgeof the book of limit orders,for example), such informationwould be
reflectedin bid and ask prices;and relativeto such knowledgehe is still subjectto
losses from investorswho have informationhe does not possess.On the assumption
that the dealercannot distinguishinformationtradersfrom otherswithoutinforma-
tion (liquidity traders),the dealer must increase his bid-ask spread vis-a-vis all
traders to protect himself against possible losses of dealing with information
traders.He widens the spreadso as to recoverfrom liquiditytraderswhat he loses
to informationtraders.
For the purposesof this paper,informationtradingcan be incorporatedinto the
dealer's cost function by recognizing that (13) does not hold in such a case.
Instead:
Ri Rf =(Re Rf ) 2Yai (17)
ge
The Supply of Dealer Services in Securities Markets 1145
Qi* 2W
=+ ZG2 (19)
c.
_ 0 ~ ~ ~ ~ _Q
C.~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~C
1~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~0l
FIGURE 4
14. As of the Spring 1976 competingdealers were permittedon the NYSE, but few have as yet
appeared.
The Supply of Dealer Services in Securities Markets 1147
given numberof dealersallocate themselvesamong stocks such that the cost of the
marginal transaction depends only on characteristics of stocks and not on
characteristicsof dealers.Wealthierdealers take larger positions (in the form of
holding more stocks or more per stock) than less wealthy dealersso that marginal
cost in any particularstock is equal across dealers.Similarlydealersless averse to
risk take larger positions than more risk averse dealers. To the extent that the
allocation of stocks to dealers under a monopoly dealer system is not optimal,
reorganizationinto a competitiVesystemproducesa net welfaregain to society by
equalizingmarginalcosts across dealers.Reorganizationinto a competitivesystem
benefits marketsin stocks with previouslyinadequatecapital or high z specialists
and harmsmarketsin stockswith previouslyexcessivecapitalor low z specialists.15
Second, if entry restrictionscause monopoly dealers to operate at too large a
scale (to the right of Q,*in Figure 4), competitionfrom new entrantswould push
costs to the minimum.The equilibriumnumberof dealersin a stock can be derived
using (19) if one is willing to assume that dealershave identicalcost functionsand
operateat the minimumaveragecost. Let IDl denote the absolutedollar value of
investors'tradingwith dealersin stock i at the price of immediacycorrespondingto
minimumaveragecost. Let I= absolute dollar value of minimumcost output.
The equilibriumnumberof dealers,d*, is the numberthat demand can supportif
all are operatingat minimumaveragecost. From (19) this is:
di*=1IQ*1IDil 2M (21)
VII. MULTIPERIOD
CONSIDERATIONS
There is no guaranteethat the dealer can readily liquidate his inventory in the
second trading interval.Assume there is a cost, Di, of liquidatingthe inventory
should it still exist. This cost, a randomvariablein the first tradinginterval,can be
thought of as the paymentnecessaryto cause someone to accept the inventoryat
the new "true"price, or alternativelyas the differencebetween trade price (bid or
ask price)and the new "true"price that is necessaryto createsufficientincentiveto
othersto purchasethe dealer'sinventory.Under certainassumptionsone can view
D, as the (implicit)payment by the dealer to himself that makes him willing to
continueto hold the inventory.
It is helpful to think of events unwindingin the following time sequence.In the
first trading interval the dealer takes a position, Qi. He enters a period of price
uncertaintyin which thereis no trading.The second tradingintervalis dividedinto
two parts.The dealerentersthe second tradingintervalby pricinghis inventoryat
Pt*+, the new "true"price. Thus if he initially bought the stock (at P,tb), he sets
p,a +=P*t+1; if he initially sold the stock (at Pa) he sets t = Pt+ . In the
model of SectionII, the world ends here, and the dealeris assumedto liquidatehis
position at P,*t+ . In fact he may not be able to liquidate his inventory at Pi,t+. If
it is not liquidated,he sets at new concessionprice which deviatesfrom P,*t+, and
whichis sufficientto liquidatehis position.The dollaramountof the concessionon
all his sharesis Di, a randomvariablein the first tradinginterval.
The one period frameworkof section II can be maintainedbut modified simply
by noting that terminal wealth in (4) will be reduced by Di. The development
proceeds exactly as before except that some of the expressionsare more compli-
cated. The primarycomplicationarises in going from (5) to (6), which involves
writingE( W- W)2= a2(W) in termsof its components.With Di this is
a2( W)= WOa+ Qi +& (Di )+ 2 WoQicov(R*,Ri)
2 WOcov(R *, Di )-2 Qi cov(Ri, Di) (22)
Recall that Di is the concessionrelative to the "true"price and that R and R* are
The Supply of Dealer Services in Securities Markets 1149
D==rg C, (24a)
If the probabilityof a forced liquidationis zero, the cost functionis the same as in
(14).
The solution(25) can be statedin multiperiodterminologyby letting Ci represent
the cost to the dealerof continuingto hold the position acquiredin the first period.
Under this interpretation,the dealer does not liquidatehis inventoryat a conces-
sion price, but he continues to price it at the "true"price and to wait until an
investortradesin the opposite direction.This is not a true multiperiodframework
in which intermediatedecisionswould be allowed. It is the case that C,= C, under
the assumptionthat characteristicsof the stock (a72, cip)and the dealer (z, WO)are
unchanged over time and that the probability(,g) of holding the stock is un-
changed. Independence and stationarity of the distribution of returns and of
trading volume will lead to unchanged ai, ai , gi for given Qp.It is not unreasonable
to assume constantz. However WOchanges,and we must argue that the change is
too small to have a significanteffect.17
When viewed as the cost of continuingto hold the stock, it is naturalto specify
the dealer'scost in termsof the numberof periodshe expectsto hold the inventory
17. On average Wo increasesover time, which would reduce costs. This partly offsets the pre-
ponderenceof factorswhichlead to increasedcosts.
1150 The Journal of Finance
where
1 z 1 Ti-1 _
*i 2 WO Ti
This differs from (14), only in that the expected holding period multiplies the
per-periodvariance and covarianceand in the second term in the denominator,
which is small. If Ti = 1, (14) results.
A dealer cost function composed of holding costs, order costs and information
costs is developed.The emphasisis on the holdingcost componentwhich is derived
on the assumptionthat the cost is an amountwhich maintainsthe dealer'slevel of
expected utility of terminalwealth in responseto transactionsimposed upon him
by the public that tend to move him away from his optimalportfolio.The holding
cost depends on the dollar size of the transaction,the variance of return of the
stock-being traded, the size of the initial holdings of all stocks in the dealer's
tradingaccount, the covariancebetween the returnon the stock being traded and
the returnon the tradingaccount,the wealth of the dealer,and his attitudetoward
risk. Dollar holding cost for the incrementaltrade is a quadraticfunction of the
size of the position acquired,and percentageholding cost is thus linear.Under the
assumptionthat dealersare able to earn full intereston the proceedsof short sales,
the cost function is symmetric-that is, the cost of going short equals the cost of
going long. Under certain simplifyingassumptions,the multiperiodholding cost
function is shown to be quite similarto the one period function, differingonly in
that the holding period enters the function (or, equivalentlyin this model, the
The Supply of Dealer Services in Securities Markets 1151