Chapter Nine - Medical Factors

9.1. Time Frame For Survival (TFFS): The time-frame for survival is an assessment of the
minimum and maximum period a missing person is likely to live. This assessment is
subjective and contains numerous variables including the physical condition of the person,
their age, general health, clothing, weather conditions, the ability to remain dry, and their
consumption of food, water and alcohol. There are a number of medical conditions that go
hand in hand with search and rescue missions. These can be loosely divided into cold
weather problems and hot weather problems. We will touch briefly on both of these topics
to give you, as a co-ordinator, a basic understanding and awareness.
9.2. Survivor Stress Factors: Two basic assumptions are to be made concerning survivors of a
distress incident:
a. there are always survivors who require emergency medical care; and
b. they are under a condition of great stress and experiencing shock.
9.3. It may also be assumed that not even able-bodied, logical-thinking survivors will be able to
help themselves.
9.4. Records include numerous accounts where supposedly able-bodied, logical-thinking
survivors failed to accomplish extremely simple tasks in a logical order, and thus hindered,
delayed or even prevented their own rescue.
9.5. This is due to shock that, following an accident, is often so great that even those of strong
mind think and act illogically. All survivors will be in some degree of shock. Some may be
calm and somewhat rational, some may be hysterical and in panic, while the remainder will
be temporarily stunned and bewildered.
9.6. This last group will generally have passive attitude and can be easily led during the first 24
hours after the incident. As the shock wears off, most of them will develop active attitudes.
Those that do not develop active attitudes will die unless rescued quickly.
9.7. Individuals who observe an emergency situation and reporting it to the SAR system should
also be considered as being under stress. Many times it will be necessary for SAR personnel
to specifically request essential information from an individual reporting an emergency. This
situation should be expected and SAR personnel should be prepared to cope with it.
9.8. Survival Environment Factors: The environment in which the survivor is exposed is another
factor that limits the time available to complete their rescue. In some cases, environment
will be the most time critical of all. Climatic atlases are useful to evaluate probable climatic
conditions in regions where few or no weather reporting facilities are available.
9.9. The relation of survival time to water temperature, air temperature, humidity and wind
velocity is not a simple one. These and other factors often exist in combination to complicate
the problem of estimating life expectancy of survivors. Individuals will vary in their reaction
to cold and heat stresses.
9.10. Additional factors which will vary a survivor’s life expectancy include the type of clothing
worn, the clothing’s wetness, the survivor’s activity during their exposure, initial body
temperature, physical conditions, thirst, exhaustion, hunger, and various psychological
stresses such as isolation, loneliness and remoteness, and the all-important individual will
to live.

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9.11. The graphs contained in this chapter are provided to assist the SMC in determining the
urgency required to remove survivors from the environment, and to assist in evaluating the
practicality of terminating a search. These graphs are based upon case histories, field tests,
laboratory experiments and analysis of all known data. However, the SMC must understand
that some individuals will exceed the life expectancy or tolerance times indicated in these
figures, and therefore should consider these figures as helpful guidelines rather than
absolute controlling factors.
9.12. Hypothermia: Hypothermia is the abnormal lowering of internal body temperature (heat
loss) and results from exposure to the chilling effects of cold air, wind or water. Death from
hypothermia may occur in both land survival and water survival situations. Hypothermia is
the leading cause of death for dementia suffers located deceased after being reported
missing.
9.13. Internal body temperature is the critical factor in hypothermia. If the body temperature is
depressed to only 35°C, most persons will survive. If the body temperature is depressed to
approximately 33°C, most persons will return to useful activity. At about 32°C, the level of
consciousness becomes clouded and unconsciousness occurs at 30°C. Only 30 percent
would be expected to survive these temperatures. At body temperature depressions of 26°C
and below, the average individual will die, and ventricular fibrillation (heart attack) will
usually occur as the final event. However in some cases individuals have survived with body
temperatures as low as 17°C.
9.14. Water Hypothermia: The body will cool when immersed in water having a temperature of
less than 33°C. The warmest temperature that ocean water can be at any time of year is
29°C. Approximately one-third of the earth’s oceans have water temperatures of 19°C or
above. Most dams and inland waterways have water at temperatures far less than that of
the ocean.
9.15. The rate of body heat loss increases as the temperature of air and water decreases. If a
survivor is immersed in water, hypothermia will occur very rapidly due to the decreased
insulating quality of wet clothing and the fact that water will displace the layer of still air
that normally surrounds the body. Water allows a rate of heat exchange approximately
twenty five times greater than that of air at the same temperature.
9.16. In water temperatures above 21°C survival time depends solely upon the fatigue factor of
the individual, some individuals having survived in excess of 80 hours at these temperatures.
9.17. Between 15°C and 21°C an individual can survive up to 12 hours. At 15°C skin temperatures
will decrease to near water temperature within 10 minutes of entry and shivering and
discomfort is experienced immediately upon immersion. Dunking and submersion
difficulties become increasingly distressful to the survivor.
9.18. From 10°C to 15°C the survivor has a reasonably good chance if rescue is completed within
6 hours. Faintness and disorientation occur at water temperatures of 10°C and below.
Violent shivering and muscle cramps will be present almost from the time of entering the
water and intense pain will be experienced in the hands and feet. This very painful
experience will continue until numbness sets in.
9.19. All skin temperatures decrease to that of the surrounding water temperature in about 10
minutes. In the temperature range from 4°C to 10°C, only about 50 per cent of a group can
be expected to survive longer than 1 hour. In water temperatures of 2°C and below the

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 survivor suffers a severe shock and intense pain on entering the water. This shock in some
instances may be fatal owing to loss of consciousness and subsequent drowning.
9.20. Water survivors who die within 10 to 15 minutes after entry into frigid water apparently do
not succumb because of reduced body temperature, but rather from the shock of rapid
entry into cold water. Fifteen minutes is too short a time for the internal body temperature
to fall to a fatal level, even though the outer skin temperatures are at the same temperature
as the water. In addition, the temperatures of the hands and feet fall so rapidly that such
immersions are frequently less painful than those in 4°C to 10°C water.
9.21. Factors that slow the loss of body heat are:
a. high body weight,
b. heavy clothing,
c. survival clothing,
d. or the use of a huddling or other protective behaviour.
Factors that make a person lose body heat faster are:
a. low body weight,
b. light clothing,
c. or exercising (such as the situation where a survivors without lifejackets must swim to
stay afloat).
Specialised insulated protective clothing, such as immersion suits or wet suits, is capable of
increasing survival time from 2 to 10 times the basic duration shown on the figure.
9.22. Wind Hypothermia: Although the body will lose heat approximately twenty-five times
slower in calm air than when immersed in water, the body heat loss will be accelerated with
increasing wind velocities. This is an additional factor to consider for exposed survivors.
9.23. Hypothermia can occur on land as well as at sea. A human has a much greater chance of
suffering hypothermia if immersed in the sea or other waterway. The warmest sea water
will get to is about 29°C, with a world wide average of 19°C. Temperature loss in water is
about 25 times greater that in air of the same temperature. Therefore immersion in the sea
can drop body core temperatures very quickly.
9.24. Hypothermia can happen during cold nights in desert country or anytime in the colder areas
of the State. It occurs when the body’s temperature falls below 35°C. It is characterised by
intense shivering, followed by loss of co-ordination, confusion and irrationality. If it is not
halted unconsciousness will follow and then death. This can happen in a period as short as
one hour. Once the body’s core temperature falls to 28°C the heart will stop. If a person is
wet, ill or dehydrated it will lessen their chances of fighting off hypothermia. Symptoms are
shivering, poor co-ordination, decreasing levels of consciousness, slow and irregular pulse
and numbness. This is a medical emergency. To treat, remove from the cold, remove any
wet clothing, move to a warm area if possible. Cover the victim with blankets and apply hot
water bottles or pads. Remember that the victim has lost body heat and will not be able to
warm themselves so just covering them with a blanket will not do, you have to provide a
source of warmth. Warm slowly. Seek urgent medical attention. Do not allow the victim
to relax as the sudden rush of cold blood from the extremities can cause the heart to stop.
This has happened during previous SAR missions when the victim has been located, relaxed
and has gone into cardiac arrest.
9.25. Assume that there are always survivors who require medical attention and that they are
under great stress and shock until evidence suggests otherwise.

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9.26. Not even able bodied, logical-thinking persons can help themselves when suffering the
effects of hypothermia and stress.
9.27. Persons assessing a time frame for survival must recognise the limitations of such an
assessment and not regard it as an arbitrary period for survival. The following subsections
may assist in providing a guide to assist in search planning.
9.28. Wind Chill: This is the sensation of cold felt by humans as a result of wind movement. This
causes people to feel colder than the actual temperature, even in low wind conditions. The
wind-chill diagram below is an adaptation of the work of Steadman and Dixon where the
wind speed has been converted from metres per second to kilometres per hour, rounded
up or down to the nearest 5 km.

Wind Chill Table

9.29. The dotted line is an example where the air temperature is -20°C and a wind speed of
approximately 30 km/h. This produces an equivalent temperature of -32°C on exposed flesh.
9.30. Hypothermia: Hypothermia is the condition experienced when the human body’s core
temperature decreases from a ‘normal’ 37°C to less than 35°C. Hypothermia in a field
environment can result from cold water immersion, exposure to cold wet conditions, or
from a variety of medical conditions. As this is a life-threatening condition, the possibility of
hypothermia will influence the time-frame for survival. As environmental conditions of rain,
wind and snow worsen, the opportunity for body heat loss increases. This loss can be
countered by insulation with clothing, both windproof and/or rainproof. As a rough guide,
a person suffering from hypothermia when the temperature is 0°C may be expected to
survive from as little as four hours up to ten or more days.

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 Hypothermia Survivability Graph
9.31. Hypothermia Survivability: The above graph which describes the range of days for fatal
exposure or hypothermia survivability, in days, for a given temperature. The information
calculated is a guide only and is based upon a healthy 25 year old male wearing the
equivalent of normal clothing, including a jacket.
9.32. Wet-Chill Survivability: The below graph which describes wet-chill survivability. Accidental
hypothermia resulting from wet-chill is the most dangerous and commonly-fatal weather
hazard. Essentially, wet-chill is the wetting of the missing person in cold and windy weather.
The result is a significant decrease in that person’s ability to survive.

Wet Chill Survivability Graph

9.33. Water Immersion: Hypothermia induced by immersion in cold water has a more rapid
onset. There is no ready answer to how long a person will survive as there are many factors
involved including:
(1) water temperature;
(2) duration of immersion;
(3) insulation (body fat and clothing worn);
(4) level of activity; and
(5) weather conditions (especially wind and wave action).

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 The following chart is a guide to the survival time of a lean person in rough water and
should not be regarded as arbitrary. For this reason, searchers must treat cold water areas
such as streams, lakes and dams as significant danger to the missing person(s).

Clothing Type Time to Time to Time to Cardiac

Incapacity (Body Unconsciousness Arrest (Body Core
Core Temp 34°C) (Body Core Temp Temp 25°C)
30°C)
Light Clothing 0.4 Hrs 0.8 Hrs 1.3 Hrs
4.8 mm Wet Suit 1.6 Hrs 3.2 Hrs 4.9 Hrs
Insulated Dry 3.0 Hrs 5.7 Hrs 9.1 Hrs
Clothing
Water Immersion Table Based on Steinman and Kublis (1986)

NB: The above times are not cumulative and are a guide only. An example of the variation
in survival time between two persons in light clothing immersed in water at 6°C is that one
could remain capacitated for 1.3 hours whilst the second could go into cardiac arrest in the
same time.
9.34. Effects of Alcohol: The consumption of alcohol can impact upon the time-frame for survival,
both in hot and cold environments. Alcohol is likely to accelerate dehydration in hot climate
and may lessen the ability to retain heat in cold areas.
9.35. Hyperthermia, Heat Stress and Dehydration: Hyperthermia, heat stress and dehydration
are dangers in hot climates, particularly in desert areas. The most severe form of heat stress
is heatstroke, during which the body temperature rises due to the collapse of the
temperature control mechanism of the body. If the body temperature rises above 42°C, the
average person will die. Milder forms of heat stress are heat cramps and heat exhaustion.
Another limiting factor both in hot climates and in survival situations at sea is dehydration.
A person totally without water can die within a few hours (Western Qld 1999 4 hrs from
leaving vehicle to death), although some have survived for a week or more.
9.36. The human body functions best at 38°C ± 2°C, although it will tolerate the core temperature
dropping to 33°C or rising to 42°C with a good chance of full recovery. Between 32°C and
26°C body functions begin to shut down and unconsciousness usually follows. Below 26°C
the average individual will perish, although there have been many cases of persons
surviving. Temperatures above 43°C will prove fatal in most circumstances unless urgent
medical assistance is sought. Death can occur in as short a period as four hours.
9.37. The least serious, but still potentially dangerous, of the heat related problems are muscular
cramps. The exact cause is unknown but the onset of cramps can be rapid. They mostly
affect the larger muscles of the body, but can occur in any of the body’s muscles. Cramping
is brought on by strenuous activity in warm or moderate temperature conditions and can
be described as a bunching of shortening of the muscles causing what feels like a knot. To
alleviate cramps place the victim in a cool, comfortable place, provide cool water but do not
give salt or salt tablets as a normal diet contains adequate salt for recovery. The cramped
muscles may be lightly stretched and massaged to hasten recovery. Recovery is normally
swift.
9.38. Heat exhaustion: Is the next most serious of the heat related illnesses. It is brought on by
long periods of activity in a hot environment. This not only occurs with persons in arid areas
but also to fire-fighter and factory workers working in confined spaces with high
temperatures. To maintain a constant body temperature in hot weather the body sweats,

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 using the evaporation of body fluids from the skin to produce a cooling effect. A side effect
of this is the loss of vital body fluids which in turn decreases blood volume. Blood
temperature then rises resulting in an increased blood flow to the limbs to assist in cooling,
reducing blood flow to the internal organs. This lack of blood can cause shock and heat
exhaustion. If recognised early heat exhaustion can often be controlled and reversed. If left
undetected the body’s temperature will continue to rise and will result in changes in levels
of consciousness. Symptoms include dizziness and weakness, exhaustion, rapid and weak
pulse, nausea, headache, skin that may feel cool and moist and look pale but progressing to
hot and red. First aid treatment of heat exhaustion is vital. If conscious lay the victim down
in a cool and shaded area with legs slightly elevated, remove or loosen tight clothing, give
water in small quantities. If vomiting or unable to drink seek urgent medical attention. If
the victim is unconscious place them in the recovery position in a cool and shaded area.
Check breathing, airway and circulation. Keep them cool and seek urgent medical attention.
9.39. Heat stroke: Is the most serious of the heat related illnesses. As the body’s fluid levels
become low sweating stops. As a result of this the body’s core temperature continues to
rise. The lack of blood to the vital organs necessitates that blood be brought from the limbs
back to the core, thereby contributing to a further increase in body temperature. At this
stage the body is unable to cool itself and the temperature rises rapidly. Vital organs then
begin to fail; convulsions, unconsciousness and death soon result. Symptoms of heat stroke
include rapid, shallow breathing, a pulse that may be strong and rapid at first but
deteriorating to weak and irregular, falling in and out of consciousness, hot, dry and red skin
and a high body temperature. Treatment is similar to heat exhaustion. Stop the victim from
doing anything; at this stage they will have lost the ability to make rational decisions. Place
them in a cool area, lying down with the legs elevated. Cool the body and given small
quantities of cool water. Seek urgent medical assistance. To cool the body remove any tight
or restrictive clothing and any clothing soaked with perspiration. Cover the skin with cool
and wet items such as towels. Fan the body to aid in evaporation and cooling. Continue to
do so until the body’s temperature falls to 38°C.
9.40. In all cases rapid assessment of the situation and prompt first aid can mean the difference
between life and death. If you have any doubt about which stage a victim may be in then
assume the worst and treat accordingly.
9.41. Dehydration is the excessive loss of water from the body, this leads to an imbalance in the
electrolytes. As the body is composed mostly of water there needs to be equilibrium
between water lost, as in sweat and urine, and water gained as in drinking and food. If more
water is lost than ingested then dehydration is the result. Severe dehydration can end in
death. Small amounts of water or clear fluids can assist a person suffering dehydration but
ultimately medical attention needs to be sought as fluids can be replaced more efficiently
intravenously. The body can only take in approximately 1.1 litres of liquid per hour via the
stomach whereas intravenous fluids can be introduced at a much greater rate if necessary.
9.42. Hyperthermia: Hyperthermia is the condition experienced when the human body’s core
temperature increases from a ‘normal’ of 37°C to more than 39°C. If the missing person’s
core temperature exceeds 42°C, the person might be expected to die. The below graphs
provide a guide to expected desert survivability but should not be regarded as arbitrary.
The old survival adage of 3 minutes without air, 3 days without water and 3 weeks without
food should be remembered when referring to these graphs.

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 23 Litres of Water
33

30

25

S
U
R
V 11 Litres
I 20
V
A
L

T 15
I 5 Litres
M
E
2 Litres
D 10
A 0 Litres
Y
S

10 16 21 27 32 38 43 49

SHADE AIR TEMPERATURE CELSIUS

Approximate Desert Survival (Survivor

Stationary)

23 Litres of Water
33

30

25

S
U
R
V
I 20
V
A
L

T 15
I 11 Litres
M
E

D 10 5 Litres
A
Y
2 Litres
S
0 Litres

10 16 21 27 32 38 43 49

SHADE AIR TEMPERATURE CELSIUS

Desert Survival (Survivor night

walking)

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9.43. Dehydration: The rate of dehydration will vary with the temperature, movement of the
missing person, their medical condition and other factors. As a guide, a person missing and
who has access to only 2 litres of water may be expected to survive from as little as a few
hours in extremely hot climates, to as much as 20 or more days in temperate climate. It
should be remembered that alcohol is not a substitute for water and may accelerate
dehydration.
9.44. Period of Mobility (POM): The period of mobility or time to confinement since missing are
used to assess the maximum distance a missing person could travel which will, in turn,
dictate the size of the overall search area. An assessment of the period of mobility can be
made by assuming a mobility period of 2/3 or 67% the missing person’s time frame for
survival.

Search Area Time Scale

TFFS

Period of Mobility

Period
to call Period to implement
help confinement

Missing Help Start Confinement POM

Dead

9.45. Search Area Time Scale: The total search area time-scale may be plotted to give a clear
picture of the situation and the time by which the missing person should be found, to ensure
the greatest chance of survival.
9.46. Example: A person is missing in the alpine area of NSW. The wind is 40kph from the south.
Air temperature is 0°C degrees and they are wearing nothing but underclothes. Using the
wind chill table we can ascertain that the equivalent air temperature is going to be very cold,
about -12°C. Consultation with the hypothermia graph will give an approximate period of
survival of between ¼ day (6hrs) and 4 ½ days. If our missing person can find shelter and
warmth he may survive to the 4 ½ day period. If he remains out in the open with limited
clothing he will perish in the 6 hours. It now starts to rain, soaking our MP. Consulting the
Wet Chill Survival graph we can see that there will be a distinct shortening of the TFFS. It is
now between about 4 hours and 2 days, depending on what the MP is able to find by way
of shelter and warmth. The POM can be as short as 2 ½ hours to just over a day. There is a
definite amount of urgency required now. The desert survival charts can be read in a similar
way, but be aware these are for the northern hemisphere. There are a number of recorded
instances where persons have perished in the desert in as little as four hours without water.

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