SDE Intro
SDE Intro
Ophir Gottlieb
3/21/2007
1
dWt4 = 4Wt3 dWt + · 4 · 3 · Wt2 (dWt )2 ; (Wt4 (0) = 0) (1)
2
Integrate:
Z t Z t
Wt4 =4 Ws3 dWs +6 Ws2 ds + 0
0 0
Take Expectations and apply Fubini to move the expectation inside the integral:
Z t
E[Wt4 ] =0+6 E[Ws2 ]ds
0
Z t
=6 sds
0
Z t
WS dWs (3)
0
1
dWt2 = 2Wt dWt + · 2 · dt; (Wt2 = 0)
2
Integrate:
1
Z t Z t
Wt2 =2 Ws dWs + ds
0 0
Z t
1 1
Ws dWs = Wt2 − t (4)
0 2 2
3. Apply Ito’s formula to compute E[St /S0 ] from Geometric Brownian Motion defined as:
1 1 1
dlnSt = dSt − dS 2
St 2 St2 t
1 1 1 2 2
= St [µdt + σdWt ] − S [σ dWt2 ]
St 2 St2 t
1
dlnSt = µdt + σdWt − σ 2 dt
2
1
lnSt − lnS0 = (µ − σ 2 )t + σWt
2
1 2 )t+σW
St = S0 e(µ− 2 σ t
Recall the general formula for the expected value of a Gaussian random variable:
1 2
E[eX ] = E[eµ+ 2 σ ]
where X has the law of a normal random variable with mean µ and variance σ 2 . We know that
Brownian Motion ∼N (0, t). Applying the rule we get:
2
1 2 )t
E[St ] = S0 e(µ− 2 σ · E[eσWt ]
1 2 )t
E[St /S0 ] = e(µ− 2 σ · E[eσWt ]