Riahi-Belkaoui 2004 PDF
Riahi-Belkaoui 2004 PDF
Ahmed Riahi-Belkaoui
ABSTRACT
This paper is an investigation of the relationship between earnings opacity
in 32 countries and elements of the political order. What the picture shows is
a clear manifestation of earnings opacity internationally. What is interesting
with this picture is the findings that earnings opacity is positively related to
the percentage of politically connected listed firms and negatively related to
the connected firms as a percentage of market capitalization and the degree
of law enforcement. What is puzzling with this picture is the findings that the
level of disclosure, the number of auditors per 100,000 inhabitants, and the
adoption of International Accounting Standards (as elements of the account-
ing order) are not significantly related to earnings opacity internationally.
It is the political climate rather than the technical accounting climate that
is at the core of accounting quality in general and earnings opacity in
particular.
1. INTRODUCTION
Earnings opacity is a measure that reflects how little information there is in a
firm’s earnings number about its true, but unobservable, economic performance
(Bhattacharya, Daouk & Welker, 2003).1 Both anecdotal and empirical evidence
point to international differences in earnings opacity with serious implications for
equity and other markets (Bhattacharya et al., 2003; Bushman & Smith, 2001;
Leuz, Nanda & Wysocki, 2001). While earnings opacity may just be viewed as a
technical accounting matter, its excesses may be corrected by the enforcement of
laws. This calls for two possibilities:
(a) Where the enforcement laws may not work effectively, as in the case of
political connectedness of firms that benefit from government-created rents
and protection. In this case of political connectedness, management may feel
more empowered to be aggressive in their choices of accounting methods
leading to a higher level of earnings opacity.
(b) Where the enforcement of laws may work even with instances of political
connectedness as in the presence of market discipline. Where the percentage
of market capitalization of connected firms is high, a lower level of earnings
opacity may be expected, as better accounting quality may be required by
market participants.
Accordingly, the goal of this paper is to test the relationships between earnings
opacity on one hand and political connectedness, market capitalization of
connected firms, and degree of law enforcement on the other hand. The results of
empirical study on data from 32 countries indicate that: (a) the level of earnings
opacity is positively related to the percentage of politically connected listed
firms; and (b) negatively related to both the percentage of market capitalization of
connected firms and the degree of law enforcement in the country. An expansion
of the model to test the impact of accounting order indicates that earnings opacity
was not significantly related to the level of disclosure, the number of auditors per
100,000 inhabitants and the adoption of international accounting standards. The
remainder of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 presents an earnings
opacity model contingent on political, market and legal factors. Section 3 discusses
the sample, data estimation, and presents summary statistics and correlations.
Section 4 presents and discusses the results of the determinants of earnings
opacity internationally. Section 5 discusses the robustness of the results, and
Section 6 concludes.
Stulz & Williamson, 2001). In the context of this study, the technical is expressed
by earnings opacity and it can only be studied in the total political context. It
results from a contingency theory of accounting that argues that accounting and
its phenomenon are a function of its environment in general and the political
environment in particular (Gernon & Wallace, 1995; Wallace & Gernon, 1991).
Applied to the context of this study, earnings opacity arises essentially from the
political culture and environment in a particular country. Figure 1 indicates the
hypothesized relationships between earnings opacity and the main characteristics
of the political environment. The political environment is depicted by: (a) the
percentage of politically connected firms; (b) the connected firms as percentage
of market capitalization; and (c) the degree of law enforcement. Each of these
relationships is explicated as follows:
(1) The model posits a positive relationship between earnings opacity and
the percentage of politically connected firms in a given country. Political
connectedness of a firm is generally defined by the fact that a large shareholder
(holding at least 10% of the votes) or top directors (i.e. CEO, president,
vice-president or secretary) is a member of parliament, a minister (including
the Prime minister) or the Chief of the State (i.e. dictator, president, King or
28 AHMED RIAHI-BELKAOUI
(3) The model posits a negative relationship between the degree of law en-
forcement and earnings opacity. The degree of law enforcement was first
seen as comprising three fundamental characteristics: (a) the supremacy of
regular law as opposed to arbitrary power, i.e. the rule of law, not men; (b)
equality before the law of all persons and classes, including government
officials; and (c) the incorporation of constitutional law as a binding part
of the ordinary law of the land (Dicey, 1915).2 Law enforcement requires
that individuals and firms be able to practically conform their behavior
to the laws. Therefore, managers of firms, including politically connected
firms, feel the legal pressure to present information compatible with the law
and degree of law enforcement. The higher the degree of law enforcement,
the less likely managers will resort to opportunistic choices of accounting
techniques, resulting in lower level of earnings opacity. The prediction in this
study is that the degree of law enforcement predisposes to a lower level of
earnings opacity.
The determination of the sample rested on securing the necessary data in the
variables of interest as specified by the earnings opacity model in Fig. 1. A total
of 32 countries met this test. They are shown in Table 1. The dependent variable
of earnings opacity as well as the independent variables of: (a) percentage of
politically connected firms; (b) percentage of market capitalization of connected
firms; and (c) degree of law enforcement are explicated next.
Note: EAG = Earnings aggressiveness (Bhattacharya et al., 2001). LA = Loss avoidance (Bhattacharya
et al., 2001). ES = Earnings smoothiness (Bhattacharya et al., 2001). OEO = Average of EAG,
LA, and ES (Bhattacharya et al., 2001). DLE = Degree of law enforcement measured by a “Rule
of Law” score (La Porta et al., 1997) and represents the legal environment in each country. PCLF
= Percentage of politically connected listed firms (Faccio, 2002). CFMC = Connected firms as
percent of market capitalization (Faccio, 2002).
Bhattacharya et al. (2003) computed these three measures of earnings opacity for
a sample of 34 countries for the year 1985 through 1998 using variables from
Worldscope. They are shown in Table 1. Only 32 countries from the original
sample are used in this study based on the availability of data on the independent
variables. An average of the three measures is used in this study as a measure
of the earnings opacity and accounting quality for each country. The higher the
value of this variable, the higher is the degree of earnings opacity.
32 AHMED RIAHI-BELKAOUI
Table 1 includes the data for the dependent and independent variables used. The
earnings quality, as measured by the overall measure of earnings opacity, is the best
for Belgium and Portugal followed by the USA and Norway. The worst countries
in the sample for earnings quality are Turkey and Korea followed by Indonesia.
The best countries in terms of lower percentage of politically connected firms are
Brazil, Norway and South Africa. The worst countries in terms of higher percentage
of politically connected firms are Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia and Italy. Table 2
presents the descriptive statistics for the main variables in the study while Table 3
presents the Pearson correlations among the same variables.
4. DETERMINANTS OF EARNINGS
OPACITY INTERNATIONALLY
To determine the impact of political connectedness, market capitalization of con-
nected firms and degree of law enforcement on earnings opacity internationally,
the following regression was used:
OEOi = ␣0 + ␣1 PCLFi + ␣2 CFMCi + ␣3 DLEi + U i
where
OEOi = Overall earnings opacity measure for country i (obtained from
Bhattacharya et al., 2003)
PCLFi = percentage of politically connected listed firms (obtained from
Faccio, 2002)
CFMCi = Connected firms as percentage of market capitalization (obtained
from Faccio, 2002)
DLEi = Degree of law enforcement (La Porta et al., 1997)
Note: Variables such as PCLF, CFMC, and DLE one defined in Table 1. Other variables are defined
as follows: CL: Legal system with 1 for common law and 0 for civil law countries; RGDP: Ten
year GDP growth; AU: Number of auditors per 100,000 inhabitants; DISC: Financial disclosure
level; IAS: International accounting standards use.
∗ Significant at ␣ = 0.01.
∗∗ Significant at ␣ = 0.05.
(3) The impact of the degree of law enforcement is negative and significant
(t = −4.96, p = 0.01). This is very much in line with the thesis that the
higher degree of law enforcement and the implied penalties for failing to
meet the legal requirements predispose to a lower level of earnings opacity.
5. SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
The model is expanded to investigate the potential impact of accounting order. The
accounting order is measured by the following three variables:
(a) The relative number of auditors as a proxy for the demand for auditing
discipline. It is measured by the auditors per 100,000 population from
Saudagaran and Diga (1997, Table 6, p. 51). The original source is the
International Federation of Accountants (IFAC, 8/13/1996).
(b) The amount of financial disclosure in a country as a proxy for accounting
transparency. It is measured by the disclosure level from the Center for
Politically-Connected Firms 35
The model is also expanded by adding a dummy variable for the legal system
(common law 1; civil law 0) and economic growth measured by the real growth
of GDP for 10 years.
The results of the expanded model in column 2 of Table 4 show that all the new
variables added were insignificant and did not contribute to the original model.
It seems that the manifestation of opportunistic use of accounting techniques,
resulting in the level of earnings opacity observed is independent of the quality
of accounting order, the nature of the legal system and the economic growth
rate.
The results of Table 4 rely on White’s (1980) adjusted standard error estimates
to deal with heteroscedasticity. The Wald test for joint significance is reported in
the table. In addition, for the three regressions used, there is no evidence of serious
multicollinearity among the independent variables. The RESET (regression
specification error test) as suggested by Ramsey (1969) and Thursby (1981, 1985)
and the Hausman test (1978), as suggested by Wu (1973) and Hausman (1978),
were used as specification tests. The result of the RESET test, used to check for
omitted variables, incorrect functional form, and non-independence of regressors,
show that the models used in this study are not mispecified (see diagnostic check
statistics in Table 4).
6. CONCLUSIONS
NOTES
1. This view of earnings opacity is the opposite of earnings transparency, defined as the
timely incorporation of (unobservable) economic income into accounting earnings (Ball,
Kothari & Robin, 2000).
2. The core and traditional definition of rule of law in the U.S. still contains three
basic values or concepts: (1) constitutionalism; (2) rule-based decision making; and (3) a
commitment to neutral principles, such as federalism, separation of powers and textualism.
3. Teoh and Wong (2002) present some indirect evidence that scaled accruals affect
earnings opacity by affecting analysts’ forecast errors.
4. The law enforcement index used was found to be correlated with the “efficiency of
the judicial system” score provided by La Porta et al. (1998), the law and order indicator
provided by the International Country Risk Guide (ICRG), and the level of litigiousness
in a country from Wingate (1997). The Pearson correlations of the law enforcement index
used in the study with the three other legal enforcement indexes described earlier are high,
ranging from 0.4632 to 0.6931.
ACKNOWLEDGMENT
The author appreciates the valuable research assistance of Vijay Kamdar.
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