Caremark Investments LTD Business Plan - 11.02.2019 PDF
Caremark Investments LTD Business Plan - 11.02.2019 PDF
OF A
OF YOGHURT
BY
FEBRUARY 2019
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CAREMARK INVESTMENTS LIMITED Business Plan Corporate Document
A. TABLE OF CONTENTS
3.0 INTRODUCTION 10
3.1 Importance of the Livestock Sector in Uganda 10
3.2 Dairy Sector 10
3.3 Objectives and Scope of the Study 14
3.4 Methodology 14
8.0 MARKETING 63
8.1 Market Orientation 63
8.2 SWOT Analysis 63
8.3 Marketing Mix 64
14 Product Pricing 69
4 Processing and Marketing Channels for Milk and Dairy Products in Uganda 39
04/1: Calculation of Working Capital: I Minimum Requirements of Current Assets and Liabilities 139
04/3: Calculation of Working Capital: III Annual Production Cost – Estimates 141
09: Projected Cash flow Table and Calculation of Present Value 146
I: Suppliers and/or Producers of Dairy/Dairy Packaging Equipment and other Material 153
CAREMARK INVESTMENTS LIMITED Business Plan Corporate Document
1.0 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1.1 Introduction
This Business Plan by the Caremark Investments Limited envisages the establishment
of a mini-dairy processing enterprise at the Company‟s 40-Acre farm at Nyamuhuti
Village in Hakibale Sub-County of Kabarole District – 12 kms from Fort Portal on the
Fort Portal – Kijura road. The dairy farm belonging to Caremark Investments Limited
has an organic cattle herd comprising of mostly Holstein-Friesian breed of cattle that is
now producing 100 litres per day of fresh raw milk which is mostly sold to domestic-
level consumers and commercial dairy wholesalers/retailers operating in the Rwenzori
region of western Uganda. Caremark Investments Limited now wants to scale up its
dairy operations by establishing a yogurt and pasteurized milk processing facility as a
dairy hub capable of processing its own raw milk output and that of dairy out growers
within its neighbourhood catchment area through the installment of a mini dairy
processing that will not only add value in terms of product quality and volumes but
also enable the Company to process and sell a variety of other dairy products including
fresh pasteurized milk (30% of output), cheese (20% of output) and butter (1% of
output) on the domestic dairy products market. To be able to break-even and ensure
that the enterprise becomes commercially viable, proposes to commence production at a
daily rated input capacity of 2,000 litres per day (LPD) that will yield approximately
568,800 units of assorted dairy products per year.
The rationale for setting up the multi-line mini-dairy processing plant is:
The estimated current market size for processed milk products is more than 30
million liters per annum; in addition, the market is growing at around 20% per
annum and is expected to maintain this growth rate for the next 5 years.
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CAREMARK INVESTMENTS LIMITED Business Plan Corporate Document
The consumers have developed a taste for value-added milk products and also
for its variants like “flavoured milk”, etc.
The Government of Uganda has launched a program to increase milk yield per
animal from the current 6 litres per day to 15 by 2020, in addition the GoU is
launching a mass consumer awareness program aimed at highlighting the
dangers of consuming raw unprocessed milk.
The technology and the skills required for setting up a modern multi-line dairy
processing plant exists in Uganda. The first multi-line dairy processing plant
which was set up in 1977 (at the then government parastatal – Dairy
Corporation) is now operating as Brookside Dairy Uganda Ltd and has seen
continuous capacity increase over the years.
The aseptic packaging which increases the shelf life of the composite dairy
products is ideally suited for the local climate in Uganda which is characterized
by high dry season temperatures.
The main products of the Caremark Investments Limited mini dairy plant [dairy
hub] will include:
Fresh pasteurized milk packaged in 1000ml litre, 500ml and 250ml sachets. The
milk will be available as whole milk (3.4% fat), full cream (fat-rich) and slim-milk
(99.5% fat-free).
Salted and unsalted butter that will packaged in 500g and 250g hygienic foil as
well as in 5kg cartons.
Yoghurt, in cups of 500ml, 250 ml, 150ml and 100ml as well as in sachets of 400ml
in plain, vanilla, mango, butterscotch, banana and strawberry flavours.
Soft (cottage cheese), semi-soft (munster cheese), and hard (cheddar cheese)
cheesesthat will be available in 500g and 1,000g packs.
Yogurt will represent the major business for Caremark Investments Limited, with 50
percent of the milk that will be processed daily being used to produce set and stirred
yogurt. 30 percent of the daily processed milk will go into production of fresh
pasteurized milk; while 20 percent of the daily raw milk input will be used to
manufacture cheddar cheese.
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CAREMARK INVESTMENTS LIMITED Business Plan Corporate Document
1.4 Target Markets & Product Distribution
The target markets are institutions, wholesalers (e.g. supermarkets and hypermarkets),
local urban markets, large contractual consumers, households, hotels, hospitals, offices,
schools, etc. The Company will cultivate its own niche dairy product markets in
Kampala that should provide it with a secure and reliable captive market of repeat
customers (end-market consumers) which it will capitalize on for future business
growth. Caremark Investments Limited shall ensure that the composite dairy products
it produces are of high quality and that standard specifications are met. The packaging
materials shall be attractive enough with a unique brand name for product
identification.
Our marketing strategy will be based mainly on ensuring that customers know about
our existence and the products we produce. Hence our intention is to make the right
information available to the right target customers. This will be done through
implementing a market penetration strategy that will ensure that we are well known
and respected in the market. We will ensure that our products' prices are favorable
relative to imported product prices, and that our potential customers appreciate the
quality of our products. However, the prices we charge will also take into consideration
the cost of production and distribution so as to ensure that we remain viable and
operational. In order to be competitive and have that cutting-edge market penetration
there will be need for us to not only aggressively market the high quality of our
composite dairy products, but also to go out of our way in serving our customers and
clients so as to establish a good long-term relationship.
The proposed processing capacity of the multi-line dairy processing plant is 2,000 litres
per day in Project Year 2; 3,000 litres per day in Project Year 3; 4,000 litres per day in
Project Year 4; and 5,000 per day in Project Years 5 – 10. The plant will work in a single
8-hour shift and will commence operations at 40% of rated capacity in the second year
of the project. The mini dairy processing plant will also be closed for 8-hours a day for
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CAREMARK INVESTMENTS LIMITED Business Plan Corporate Document
Cleaning-In-Place (CIP) operations to take place at the plant‟s premises since hygiene
standards in a dairy processing plant need to be at a premium and can never be
compromised.
Since this project is a livestock-based industry, the essential raw materials needed in the
dairy farm production section including feeds, drugs and vaccines will be sourced and
procured locally form a wide variety of supply sources. Caremark Investments Limited
will be able to easily source and procure other vital composite dairy production inputs
such as packing materials, cleaning chemicals & detergents, disinfectants and other
dairy industry consumables from local suppliers in Uganda – who produce, stock, and
supply them in abundance in major towns including Kampala.
The mini-dairy processing plant and other essential dairy farm section equipment will
be sourced and procured from reputable suppliers or their Ugandan local agents for
easy follow-up after-sales servicing and support.
The total project cost for setting up the Caremark Investments Limited mini-dairy
processing plant/dairy hub is estimated at UShs 2.057 billion. The project is to be
financed through 49.36% debt and 50.64% equity. The project NPV is around UShs
6.340 billion at a discount factor of 17%, with an IRR of 66.06%, payback period of 3.20
years and Break-even capacity utilization of 18.62%. The legal status of this business is
proposed as „Limited Liability Company‟.
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CAREMARK INVESTMENTS LIMITED Business Plan Corporate Document
The total capital investment cost in existing and planned land assets, existing livestock,
dairy processing plant, plant buildings, other equipment, vehicles, and office furniture
and equipment is UShs 1.655 billion approximately, while the margin money for
working capital and physical contingencies is approximately UShs 402 million.
We project a dairy product sales turnover to increase from more than UShs 2,383
million in the first year (Project Year 2) to slightly more than UShs 7,075 million in the
fourth year (Project Year 5), and UShs 9,486 million in the ninth year (Project Year 10).
Out of these amounts, pre-tax profits (operating profits) increase from UShs 702.89
million in Project Year 2 to UShs 5,373 million in Project Year 10.
Relevant ratios such as the percentage of net profit to total sales, return on equity and
return on total investment show promising returns (Refer to Schedule 13 on pages 150 –
151).
Investment cost and income statement projection are used in estimating the project
payback period. The projects will payback fully the initial investment in 3.20 years
(Refer to Schedule 12 on page 149).
Ultimately the attractiveness of our venture lies with the fact that customers will choose
our products above those of competitors because of the competitive prices as well as
their high quality. Hence, the Caremark Investments Limited's ongoing initiatives will
be to drive sales, market share and productivity so as to provide additional impetus
towards attainment of the corporate goals and objectives. Investment in this project is a
step in the right direction.
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CAREMARK INVESTMENTS LIMITED Business Plan Corporate Document
Table 1: Key Project Performance Parameters (UGX „000s)
KPI/Year Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Sales 2,383,200 3,784,320 5,343,192 7,075,013
Operating Profit 702,894 1,474,663 2,445,888 3,588,870
Tax 531,672 1,239,463 2,225,088 3,382,470
Net Profit / [Loss] 372,170 867,624 1,557,561 2,367,729
Gross Margin 77.57% 78.20% 79.41% 80.56%
Operating Margin 29.49% 38.97% 45.78% 50.73%
Net Margin 15.62% 22.93% 29.15% 33.47%
Return on Investment 18% 42% 75.73% 115%
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.43 2.18 3.07 4.21
Debt Coverage Ratio 3.56 4.67 8.04 12.46
Times Interest Earned Ratio 5.80 12.80 24.26 41.54
8,000,000
7,000,000
6,000,000
5,000,000
UShs '000s
4,000,000
3,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000
0
PY 2 PY 3 PY 4 PY 5 PY 6
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CAREMARK INVESTMENTS LIMITED Business Plan Corporate Document
1.10 Keys to Success
1.11 Objectives
Build our own high quality brand of composite dairy products for both the local
and international market within the next 2 years to average daily sales volume of
3,000 liters of composite dairy products.
To provide high quality and reliable supply of composite dairy products for both
retail/wholesale and value-added milk product consumers in Uganda.
Achieve first year (Project Year 2) EBIT (Earnings before Interest and Tax) of at
least UShs 700 million.
To fulfill all the customer orders and quality standards within the first year of
business operation.
To provide innovative support.
To improve the quality of raw milk produced at the farm-cum-industry by
applying advanced zero-grazing techniques.
To reduce cost of raw material inputs.
Boost productivity.
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CAREMARK INVESTMENTS LIMITED Business Plan Corporate Document
1.12 Mission
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CAREMARK INVESTMENTS LIMITED Business Plan Corporate Document
2.0 PURPOSE OF THE DOCUMENT
The objective of this Business Plan is primarily to facilitate the project promoter
(Caremark Investments Limited) and project financiers with the investment
information and provide an overview of a "Small-scale Dairy Products Industrial
Enterprise". The project Business Plan may form the basis of an important investment
decision and in order to serve this objective, the document/study covers various
aspects of project concept development, start-up, and marketing, finance and business
management. The document also provides sectoral information which has some bearing
on the project itself.
The Business Plan report is based on the information obtained by the Project
Consultant (PC) from industry sources as well as the PC‟s discussions with
businessmen in the Ugandan dairy sub-sector. For the financial models, since the
forecast/projections relate to the future periods, actual results are likely to differ
because of the events and circumstances that don‟t occur as frequently as expected.
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CAREMARK INVESTMENTS LIMITED Business Plan Corporate Document
3.0 INTRODUCTION
Agriculture is the mainstay of the Ugandan economy, providing 14% of Gross Domestic
Product, 85% of total export earnings, 73% of total employment, and the bulk of the raw
materials used by the mainly agricultural-based industrial sector1. The livestock sub
sector contributes 18% of agriculture gross domestic product (GDP) and between 7%-
9% of the national gross domestic product (GDP). Of the GDP attributed to the livestock
sub sector the dairy sector is estimated to contribute up to 45% and plays an important
role as a source of food, income and employment. Livestock is the main supplier of
basic raw material to the Ugandan food processing industry, with milk being the most
important sub-sector; the value of milk produced is higher than the value of two major
crops, i.e. maize and cotton.
A fast growing sector: The dairy sector is growing at an annual rate of 8-10 percent per
annum. This growth is even faster within the processed milk category, estimated at
about 11percent per annum. Growth is driven by a robust and unfulfilled level of
demand for milk products in the country and the region. The per capita consumption of
milk products is a mere 58 litres/person/year, far lower than the 100
litres/person/year in neighbouring Kenya or the 200 litres/person/year recommended
by FAO. The market has the potential to consume more milk.
The formal and informal segments are both important in the subsector: 80 percent of
all milk produced is offered for sale to the market, and this amounts to 2.0 billion litres
projected for 2018. This milk is retailed to the consumer through two different and
distinct segments: (i) the formal and (ii) the informal segments. The formal segment
deals with the processed milk, and includes various products such as: pasteurized milk,
UHT, yoghurt, Ice creams, powder milk and cheeses. The informal sector on the other
hand deals primarily with the sale of raw milk.
Export potential: The export market for milk exists, but is constrained by low level of
supply. About 66 million litres of UHT- the primary milk export product - were
exported in 2018, amounting to only 10 percent of all processed milk. The main regional
export markets are Kenya, Democratic Republic of Congo, Southern Sudan, and
Tanzania. The biggest milk processor, Brookside Dairy Limited, claims to have existing
markets in 17 countries, but is constrained by low supply in servicing these countries.
Informal export trade goes on across all borders of Uganda.
The main milk production areas: For the purposes of measuring milk supply, the
country has been divided into a number of “milk sheds” including: (i) the South West
(ii) the Midwest (iii) Central (iv) Eastern (v) Northern and (vi) Karamoja (Northeast).
The southwest and central regions together produce almost 50 percent of the 1.8 billion
litres of milk produced (as at 2012) - and together with the Midwest are considered milk
surplus regions. The Eastern and Northern regions do not produce enough milk relative
to their level of consumption and are considered milk deficit regions. Karamoja
produces the least amount of milk, which is all consumed within the region.
Improved dairy breeds and MCC‟s required drivers of growth: The high supply
performance of the Southwest and Central regions is largely attributed to the higher
presence of improved local and exotic dairy breeds, and particularly in the case of the
South west, the extensive cold chain infrastructure of milk collection centres (MCC‟s)
that have been set up (MCC‟s in Southwest: 69%, Central: 12%, Midwest 12%, North 3%
and East 3%). The low level of MCC infrastructure is one of the biggest constraints to
the increased competitiveness of the dairy value chain.
Key actors in the dairy value chain: Key Actors in the dairy value chain include the (i)
large scale processors, (ii) the small processors/cottage industry (iii) transport chain
actors (iv) farmers, and (v) regulators among others. Currently, Uganda has 100
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CAREMARK INVESTMENTS LIMITED Business Plan Corporate Document
operational milk processing companies (large scale, medium scale, small scale
and cottages) with a total installed capacity of 2.7 million litres per day. Six of these are
large scale operators and the rest are mini dairies. Most factories operate significantly
below capacity- although there is an increasing trend in capacity utilization –now at
about 68 percent.
Brookside Dairy Uganda Ltd significantly influences the industry: Brookside Dairy
Uganda Ltd [Fresh Dairy] is the biggest and most influential processor, with installed
capacity of 560,000 litres, with the biggest fleet of transportation tankers and MCC‟s.
Brookside Dairy Uganda Ltd as a result influences all the activity in the market
particularly the retail price and the farm gate price.
JESA demonstrates that the integrated model works: Jesa the other processor worth to
mention as it has a 100,000 litre a day processing facility, which is supplied over 50
percent from an own dairy farm. With many years of successful operation, Jesa
demonstrates that an integrated dairy farm/Processing model can be successful. Jesa
commands a sizeable portion of the Kampala processed milk market, and is able to offer
premium prices to its growing out grower dairy farmers.
Types of dairy products, upcoming new products and consumer markets: 80 percent
of all processing activity is applied towards the manufacture of pasteurized milk,
followed by yoghurt production. Only 5 processors have the capacity to produce UHT
milk, and only Brookside Dairy Uganda Limited [Fresh Dairy] has a milk powder plant
currently- although a new milk powder plant has been established by Pearl Dairy
Farms Limited in the Southwest.
Increasing growth in milk production, the role of small farmers: Dairy farmers are
largely small holder farmers. Many produce for home consumption and only offer the
available surplus to the market. Most rely on the traditional indigenous herd, known to
have very low productivity. Increasingly however cross breeding of local breeds with
especially the Friesian, has led to increasing productivity particularly in the Southwest,
Midwest and Central regions. This explains to a great extent the high growth in milk
production (8-10%) relative to growth in cattle population (3%). Another promising
feature of the farmer landscape is the increasing involvement of women. Increasingly
women are being supported through NGO and government efforts to own pure diary
breeds managed on zero grazing units. This is appropriate especially for such farmers
who often have small landholdings.
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CAREMARK INVESTMENTS LIMITED Business Plan Corporate Document
Farmers becoming more organized: Farmer organisation under associations and
cooperatives is a significant feature in the highly successful milk sheds. Farmers in the
South-west milk shed are organized into a very well structured cooperative union
registered at the national level. The impact and benefits of this are clear. Not only are
they ably accessing good markets, they have grown strong enough to develop plans to
set up their own dairy processing plant. It is also easier for such farmers to receive
appropriate support from national and international development actors. The success of
UCCCU, the successful cooperative union in the South-west, is yet to be properly
replicated in other regions.
There is an existing and effective regulatory process, with the DDA set up as a semi-
autonomous body responsible for the regulation, coordination and harmonization of
the dairy sector.
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CAREMARK INVESTMENTS LIMITED Business Plan Corporate Document
3.3 Objective and Scope of the Study
The purpose of this Business Plan is to establish the need for setting up of a small-scale
dairy products industrial enterprise to avail more than 20 percent growth per annum in
the dairy sector. The purpose of the project is to establish and operate a dairy products
processing enterprise capable of processing of more than 720,000 litres (in Project Year
2) of fresh milk into a variety of marketable dairy products including pasteurized milk,
cheese, butter and yogurt products for sale on the fast-growing Ugandan dairy
products market. All the proposed dairy primary and secondary products will be
processed on site (i.e. at Caremark Investments Limited‟s 40-acre farm at Nyamuhuti –
Hakibale in Kabarole District).
The scope of the study is thus to undertake, inter alia, need assessment, technical
evaluation, assessment of governance and management structure and financial
evaluation of the project, on the basis of which recommendations are to be developed
for setting up the said project.
3.4 Methodology
The methodology employed for this study consists of review of published data as well
as exhaustive interviews of the stakeholders including farmers, dairy experts, dairy
marketing companies, dairy processors, multilateral agencies and Government of
Uganda officials as well as those belonging to the Ministry of Agriculture Animal
Industry and Fisheries (MAAIF). Lastly, we would like to bring on record the
cooperation extended by those individuals and companies who though no longer
associated with the Industry, were willing to share their opinions and experiences to
facilitate new entrants coming into the industry.
The data collected has been analyzed using quantitative and qualitative techniques,
where required necessary assumptions have been made which have been mentioned in
the report.
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CAREMARK INVESTMENTS LIMITED Business Plan Corporate Document
4.0 PROJECT PROFILE
This project is about the setting up and operation of a mini-sized composite dairy
products processing plant at Nyamuhuti–Hakibale in Kabarole District and markets
the products under a brand name of Caremark Investments Limited.
Milk is the first food man takes on birth, is a „treasure-trove‟ of more than 200
ingredients, many with unique functional and nutritional properties which modern
processing is capable of isolating and refining for a multiplicity of uses in the food and
related industries.
Pasteurization is used to kill micro-organisms by heating the milk for a short time and
then cooling it for storage and transportation. Pasteurized milk is still perishable and
must be stored cold by both suppliers and consumers. Dairies print expiration dates on
each container, after which stores will remove any unsold milk from their shelves.
The highest quality milk shall be used for yogurt production as poor bacteriological
quality inhibits the growth of the yogurt culture during incubation. Residues of
penicillin and cleaning and sterilizing solutions also impede culture growth. For low-fat
or fat-free yogurt production the milk fat content of the milk is standardized by
separating off some, or all of the fat. A normal (full-fat) yogurt has butterfat content
greater than 3%. The fat content of a low-fat yogurt is greater than 1.5%, and for a fat-
free yogurt about 0.1%.
Yogurt/Ice Cream and Pasteurized milk processing in particular use similar equipment
and have in general terms less technological demands and provide faster cash turn
around with significantly less working capital requirements than cheese. For this
reason, these products have been grouped together.
The current activities at the farm comprise of dairy farming using a mixed herd of
Holstein-Friesian hybrid and cross-breed varieties. With a current herd stock of 40
animals, Caremark Investments Limited currently produces about 100 litres of fresh
raw milk daily with a potential to increase it three-fold with better pasture irrigation
and dairy farm management techniques.
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CAREMARK INVESTMENTS LIMITED Business Plan Corporate Document
Caremark Investments Limited presently has a number of equipment and physical
infrastructure on the farm including: a cow milking parlour, a solar powered electricity
system, livestock water troughs and feeding troughs, a cattle feeding barn, a calf-
rearing pen, and several other livestock farm structures that have been progressively
put up on the farm since 2015 when it was first established.
Caremark Investments Limited is a 40-Acre sized farm that started off as a modest
livestock farm way back in 2015 with a dairying herd of only about 20 heads of cattle of
the cross-breed local/Holstein-Friesian type. Over time, as a result of the rapidly-
changing dynamics of the livestock market in Uganda and the dictates of the domestic
market economy, the composition of cattle on the farm gradually evolved to mostly the
higher milk-yielding cross-breed local/Holstein-Friesian breeds by 2017 and this same
herd composition structure has been maintained up to this very day.
Driven by her strong interest and passion in dairy farming, the project promoter of
Ceremark Investments Limited, Ms Irene Birungi took a further step to expand the
grazing area for her dairy herd in 2017 by leasing an additional 40 acres within the
neighborhood of the nucleus dairy farm at Nyamuhuti – Hakibale. Besides providing
additional rangeland space upon which to make future expansion for the proposed
dairy hub activities such as acquisition of additional dairy cattle stock and production
of cattle fodder crops like maize, such a space will make it possible for Ms Irene
Birungi to have sufficient space upon which to install dairy hub plant building
infrastructure and the associated mini-dairy plant equipment and machinery as
proposed in this Business Plan. It is also worth noting that Ms Irene Birungi has so far
not received any form of input support from NAADS towards the sustained
development of the Ceremark Investments Limited dairy farm at Nyamuhuti –
Hakibale with all the developments that have taken place at the dairy farm since 2015
being solely through her own efforts as well as personal inputs and savings – which is a
telling indication of the amount of passion and zeal she puts into dairy farming as a
commercially viable agri-business enterprise.
However, over the 2015 – 2018 period, Caremark Investments Limited has been able to
put up a variety of other useful on-farm structures such as a milking parlour, a cattle
feeding barn, a calf-rearing pen, and hay/cattle fodder silos that have substantially
lifted the quality and quantity of milk produced at the farm from the previous 60 litres
per day in 2015 to the present 100 litres per day to date.
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CAREMARK INVESTMENTS LIMITED Business Plan Corporate Document
4.4 Objectives
Build our own high quality brand of composite dairy products for both the local
and international market within the next 2 years to average daily sales volume of
3,000 liters of composite dairy products.
To leverage the existing dairy farm infrastructure and management expertise of
Caremark Investments Limited as a nucleus for establishment and sustained
growth of a dairy hub in the Rwenzori region that is able to bulk and make
value-added primary processing of other dairy producers‟ milk output in the
budding Rwenzori milk shed area.
To provide high quality and reliable supply of composite dairy products for both
retail/wholesale and value-added milk product consumers in Uganda.
Achieve first year (Project Year 2) EBIT (Earnings before Interest and Tax) of at
least UShs 700 million.
To fulfill all the customer orders and quality standards within the first year of
business operation.
To provide innovative support.
To improve the quality of raw milk produced at the farm-cum-industry by
applying advanced zero-grazing techniques.
To reduce cost of raw material inputs.
Boost productivity.
4.5 Mission
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CAREMARK INVESTMENTS LIMITED Business Plan Corporate Document
4.6 Business Legal Aspects
Caremark Investments Limited comes into this composite dairy processing project
with an equity capital base of UGX 1,041.60 million. The Company has 4 principal
shareholders with share ownership as follows:
Caremark Investments Limited dairy farm is the proposed site for the dairy processing
plant. It is located at Nyamuhuti Village in Hakibale Sub-County of Kabarole District.
The farm is located approximately only 12 kms from Fort Portal on the Fort Portal –
Kijura road and is therefore in an ideal location for inward delivery of dairy processing
raw material inputs and outward movement of manufactured industrial products to
both the domestic and export markets. The land is also within easy proximity access of
the electricity mains grid that runs along the Kampala – Fort Portal highway and also
has access to clean and potable water supply.
In Uganda only 3-4% of the total milk is processed and marketed through formal
channels whereas the remaining 97% of the milk reaches end users for immediate
consumption through an extensive, multi-layered distribution system of middlemen.
However the processed milk consumption is growing at the rate of 20% per year.
Pasteurized milk and Extended Shelf Life (ESL) milk products like yogurt, butter and
cheese are becoming very popular products. The demand is increasing with the
increasing awareness among the consumers. Also the mass sale of unhygienic,
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CAREMARK INVESTMENTS LIMITED Business Plan Corporate Document
adulterated milk by milk traders is letting the urban low-income segment to gradually
shift from home delivered adulterated milk to self-purchased pasteurized milk and
Extended Shelf Life (ESL) milk products like yogurt, butter and cheese from branded
milk shops.
The proposed Caremark Investments Limited will have a maximum capacity to chill
and process 5,000 litres of raw milk per day or 1,800,000 litres of milk per annum into
various value-added dairy products including: pasteurized milk (30 percent of output),
cheese (20 percent of output), butter(1 percent of output), and yogurt (50 percent of
output). At full capacity utilization, this translates to 513,000 litres of pasteurized milk
per annum, 36,000 kgs of cheese per annum, 18,000 kgs of butter per annum, and
855,000 litres of yogurt per annum.
The total capital investment of the proposed Caremark Investments Limited is UShs
2.057 billion and is comprised of the project promoter‟s equity input, land and site
development building & civil infrastructure development, purchase and installation of
plant equipment and machinery, construction of a yogurt cold-room, purchase of an
industrial electric generator, transportation vehicles, office furniture & equipment and
working capital and contingency expenditure budget. A sum of UShs 401,765,000 is
required as contingency expenses and working capital, which will be used to finance a
range of the proposed dairy hub‟s start-up costs including: acquisition of dairy
processing licenses and permits; initial marketing promotion expenses; dairy hub
insurance cover; payments for business consulting services; 3 months advance rental
payments for the dairy hub‟s market retail outlet in Kampala; cover for operational
costs for the first 3 months of business; financing of start-up inventory; acquisition of
storage equipment and hardware; acquisition of customer counters and POS [Point-of-
Sale] systems; and other start-up miscellaneous expenses.
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CAREMARK INVESTMENTS LIMITED Business Plan Corporate Document
Table 3: Total Initial Project Investment Cost (UShs „000s)
S. No. Project Investment Component Share Equity Loan Finance Total
Capital Finance
1 Existing Land (40 Acres) 9.72% 200,000 0 200,000
2 Cattle (40 heads) 3.89% 80,000 0 80,000
3 Land and Site Development 3.94% 80,975 0 80,975
4 Buildings & Civil Works 15.75% 323,900 0 323,900
5 Yoghurt Cold Room (US$ 100,000) 17.99% 0 370,000 370,000
6 Machinery & Equipment 22.86% 0 470,220 470,220
7 Industrial Generator 20 kVA 3.65% 0 75,000 75,000
8 Vehicles 1.70% 35,000 0 35,000
9 Office Furniture & Equipment 0.97% 20,000 0 20,000
10 Sub-Total 80.47% 739,875 915,220 1,655,095
11 Physical Contingency (5%) 4.01% 82,505 0 82,505
12 Working Capital 15.52% 219,260 100,000 319,260
13 TOTAL PROJECT FUNDING 100.00% 1,041,640 1,015,220 2,056,860
14 %age of Total Project Funding 50.77% 49.23% 100.00%
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CAREMARK INVESTMENTS LIMITED Business Plan Corporate Document
5.0 PRODUCTS & SERVICES
The main products of the dairy section of the proposed Caremark Investments
Limited will include:
Fresh pasteurized milk packaged in 1000ml litre, 500ml and 250ml sachets. The
milk will be available as whole milk (3.4% fat), full cream (fat-rich) and slim-milk
(99.5% fat-free).
Salted and unsalted butter that will packaged in 500g and 250g hygienic foil as
well as in 5kg cartons.
Yoghurt, in cups of 500ml, 250 ml, 150ml and 100ml as well as in sachets of 400ml
in plain, vanilla, mango, butterscotch, banana and strawberry flavours.
Soft (cottage cheese), semi-soft (munster cheese), and hard (cheddar cheese)
cheeses that will be available in 500g and 1,000g packs.
Yogurt will represent the major business for Caremark Investments Limited, with 50
percent of the milk that will be processed daily being used to produce set and stirred
yogurt. 30 percent of the daily processed milk will go into production of fresh
pasteurized milk; while 20 percent of the daily raw milk input will be used to
manufacture cheddar cheese.
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The proposed Caremark Investments Limited will ensure that it meets all the quality
standards as regulated by Uganda National Bureau of Standards and its ultimate goal
is to achieve ISO certification by the 3rd year of operation.
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6.0 THE DAIRY INDUSTRY IN UGANDA
Macroeconomic performance
Real GDP growth was an estimated 5.3% in 2018, up from 5.0% in 2017. On the supply
side, industry (9.7% growth) and services (8.2%) contributed considerably, while
agriculture showed slower growth (4.5%). On the demand side, greater investment in
public infrastructure was the main contributor to growth, while the current account
registered a deficit due to growing imports of capital goods, thereby stymieing growth.
The fiscal deficit widened to an estimated 4.7% in 2018, driven largely by ongoing
public infrastructure investments supported by borrowing from both external and
domestic sources. The country‟s debt-to-GDP ratio was estimated at 40.0% in 2018, with
external debt at 28.1% of GDP. The 2017 debt sustainability assessment indicated that
Uganda is at a low risk of debt distress. Inflation fell to an estimated 3.2% in 2018, due
mainly to lower food inflation and prudent monetary policy.
Real GDP growth is projected to improve to 5.5% in 2019 and 5.7% in 2020. Increased
infrastructure investment, foreign direct investment in the oil and mining subsectors,
and reforms to improve the business environment will drive stronger growth over the
short and medium term. The current account deficit is projected to stabilize at 4.9% in
2019 and further weaken to 5.4% in 2020, and the fiscal deficit is projected to further
narrow to 4.4% in 2019 and 4.3% in 2020. Headline inflation is projected to increase to
4.3% in 2019 and 4.8% in 2020.
Downside risks include adverse weather shocks, given agriculture‟s high reliance on
rain, and the slow implementation of infrastructure projects. Despite the government‟s
recent large public infrastructure investments, the quantity and quality of transport,
water and sanitation, energy, and agriculture infrastructure remain inadequate to meet
the country‟s economic transformation and development objectives. The country
continues to face shortages of skilled labor, especially in services and manufacturing,
and several business climate challenges that undermine competitiveness: heavy
burdens of regulations for registering and obtaining trading licenses and a high
administrative burden of taxes.
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Agriculture remains a strategic opportunity for spearheading the government‟s
development objectives. Uganda is abundantly endowed with natural resources,
including oil, gas, and mineral resources and a natural habitat for diverse wildlife that
could support the tourist industry. The country continues to post high economic growth
and price stability driven by prudent macroeconomic policies. And its strategic location
allows it to be accessible to Central and East African markets, including Common
Market for Eastern and Southern Africa members, making it a possible transportation,
logistics, and transit hub for regional trade.
The strategy of the Ugandan government is to build on the positive trends by;
Agricultural production and productivity remains unacceptably low, yet the sector
employs 85% of Ugandans. During the medium term additional resources will be
allocated to interventions that increase production and productivity for both farm and
non-farm activities so as to increase employment and consequently incomes of rural
households.
The medium term funding priorities in the agricultural sector will focus on the
expansion of National Agricultural Advisory Services (NAADS) to reach all sub-
counties, provision to farmers of necessary inputs, and investing in agro-processing and
marketing. Supply of improved varieties and inputs to farmers within NAADS will be
linked to Savings and Credit Cooperative Organizations (SACCOs) and marketing co-
operatives.
The agricultural sector will focus on the following emerging priorities for the medium
term: Institutional Reform and Strengthening, especially MAAIF; Water for Agricultural
Production; Strengthening of the capacity for Strategic Agricultural Planning,
Strengthen Agricultural Advisory Services; Primary and Middle-level Agricultural
Processing and Marketing; Provision of Physical Agricultural Infrastructure; Epidemic
Diseases, Parasites and Pest Control; Quality Assurance and Regulatory Services; and
Provision of Improved seeds, Planting and Stocking Materials.
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Strengthening and Expanding Rural Financial Services: With the appropriate
institutional framework now in place, Government plans to focus its efforts in FY
2008/09 on consolidating the creation of a nationwide network of rural financial
institutions. This will be done by:
Expanding Market Access: As parts of its efforts to draw in more farmers into
commercial agriculture,
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Loan Guarantee Scheme: Government plans to support a Loan Guarantee Scheme for
commercial banks that provide credit to agricultural and agro-processing projects. This
will be available for projects appraised and vetted by commercial banks for which the
scheme will guarantee 50% of the lending.
The dairy sector is one of the critical sectors in Uganda, COMESA and East African
Community (EAC), with high potential for improving food security and welfare. Recent
analysis provides clear evidence of increasing demand for dairy products (and other
foods of animal origin) in Sub Saharan Africa (SSA) and other developing regions of the
world as a result of rapid population growth, urbanization and increasing purchasing
power.
In Uganda, dairy production takes place under any of the following four categories of
farming systems;
Zero grazing (i.e. the cow is fed exclusively on concentrates; no grazing). Refers to the
confinement of a few animals in a small enclosure where feeds or fodder and water are
brought to the animals. According to study done by Mbabazi Pamela (2005), at least
20% of low income households in Ankole have received a zero-grazing cow not only
from government but also from such organizations as Send A Cow (UK) and Heifer
International Project. The advantage of this grazing system is that people without much
land for grazing are able to raise cattle to produce milk for home consumption and to
earn an income. This system is widely practiced in Uganda especially is the Eastern,
Western and Southern Western regions.
Fenced/paddock grazing (i.e. grazing cattle in paddocks or/and feeding them with
concentrates) is a common farming practice in areas where the land holdings are fairly
small. This type of grazing requires land clearing and improved pasture. It‟s largely
practiced by farmers of hybrid and cross-breed cattle and has expanded rapidly with
the liberalization of the economy which has resulted in the need to make farms
economically viable. In order to increase production, dairy farmers have planted
legumes, elephant grass and alfalfa for their cattle.
Free range grazing (i.e. grazing cattle by moving them all over the farm). Traditional
practice especially in the extensive grasslands in the Southern part of Uganda. The
farmland is often not paddocked, but the boundaries are fenced with a local plant. The
daily routine of open grazing is morning milking, grazing, watering evening milking
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and late evening grazing. This system is being phased out because of the sensitive
nature of land encroachment.
Uganda produces a variety of milk products; these include pasteurized milk, UHT milk
(long life milk), cheese, yoghurt, cultured milk, butter, ghee, creams and ice cream. A
substantial amount of milk and milk products is also imported indicating that the
domestic production is not sufficient to meet market demands. Uganda also exports
dairy products mainly to the regional market. The annual growth rate of milk
production between 2001 and 2017 has been 9 percent leading to total national milk
output growing from 900 million litres in 2001 to 1,800 million litres in 2012 and up to
2,200 million litres in October 2018. Dairy farming is concentrated in the cattle corridor
districts of Uganda which stretch from the south western region through central to
north eastern. On average, 60 percent of the households in the cattle corridor.
The cattle population in Uganda in 2016 was 14.368 million with the indigenous lot
accounting for 93 percent while the exotic and crosses accounting the balance. Because
of the high productivity associated with intensive dairy farming methods such as zero
grazing of improved breeds. Most farmers have adopted modern farming techniques at
various levels of production.
The population of goats has also increased from 5.8 million in 1997 to over 15.725
million in 2016 according to the Uganda Bureau of Statistics [UBOS] Statistical Abstract
2017. The number of the exotic dairy goats has proportionately increased with Kasese
continuing to lead in this area. Most of the milk produced by the goats is, however,
consumed at household level with minimal processing.
Within the livestock industry, dairy development continues to receive the greatest
attention in the development of the animal industry in Uganda. Consequently, as of
2017, per capita milk consumption in Uganda stood at 62 liters, up from 25 liters in
1986. 80 percent of the milk produced is marketed while 20 percent is consumed by the
farming households. 33 percent of the marketed milk is processed, while 67 percent is
sold as raw milk.
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The productivity of smallholder dairy farms is generally low. Small-scale producers are
facing many challenges/constraints, which are partly responsible for the poor
production performance. Despite various initiatives to enhance quality at various stages
of the dairy chain, many weaknesses still exist. The hygiene and handling practices at
farm level are generally poor. The collection and transportation of warm milk as well as
sale of loose unprocessed milk are still a big challenge as far as improving quality in the
dairy chain is concerned.
One of the key challenges to milk procurement and marketing may not be the generally
poor milk collection, transportation and marketing infrastructure but lack of harmony
between the formal and informal marketing channels. There is a need for policies to
streamline the procurement and marketing of milk in the country. There is also a need
for Policies that will promote processing and enhance the flow of milk from the surplus
to deficit areas within the country. There is a need for policies that will facilitate a
sustainable increase in the productivity of dairy farms, promote the collection,
transportation, processing and marketing of milk and enhance the participation of
stakeholders in the formulation and implementation of policies, standards and
regulations.
Uganda has probably been the most successful African example of economic
liberalization in the 1990s. Uganda probably has the most liberal trade regimes of any
African country today. Liberalization began way back in 1987 and included initiatives
aimed at redressing imbalances in the system of allocation of foreign exchange,
restoration of credibility of the monetary and fiscal policy, abolition of marketing
monopolies, the reduction of administrative red – tape, and gradual introduction of a
more rational tax and tariff structure. All these efforts were geared to increase
competition, which would in turn improve the quality of manufactured goods,
encourage the emergence of new products and promote adoption of new production
techniques.
The privatization of the Uganda Dairy Corporation in 2004 brought initially little
change as the government monopoly in processing was replaced by dominance by one
processor, Brookside Dairy Uganda Ltd. As recently as 2010, the Brookside Dairy
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Uganda Ltd factory with a processing capacity of 400,000 ltr/day still represented 90%
of the processed milk market in the country.
However, that has drastically changed in recent years. Two large processing factories
have opened for business in southwest Uganda. Amos Dairies can process up to
300,000 litres of milk per day to make casein for the export market (mainly America),
while Pearl Dairies has a capacity of 400,000 litre per day, exporting 90% of its produce
in the form of milk powder, ghee and UHT to Kenya, the Gulf and the Asian market.
This explains the sudden surge in dairy exports.
Uganda has always been a net importer of dairy, with high end products (butter,
cheese) in the supermarkets in Kampala imported from Kenya and Europe. With the
two processors in southwest Uganda entering the market, as well as some local dairy
processors also expanding, Uganda has become one of the few African countries that
are net exporters of dairy products.
The export growth has been exponential, from a zero base as recently as 2007 to US$ 25
million in 2014 and then US$ 50 million worth of dairy products in 2015. While there are
no reliable figures yet, the 2016 export can be estimated at US$ 80 million, and US$130
million for 2017 out of approximately 300 million litres in annual dairy exports, which is
more than 10% of the total milk produced in Uganda; currently estimated at 2.5 billion
litres per annum.
With the world dairy market still poised for further growth, and local conditions
favouring production at relatively low prices, exports are likely to further increase in
the future. Based on current market predictions, dairy exports from Uganda are likely
to reach US$ 150 million in 2018.
With this kind of phenomenal growth trend in dairy exports, the government would
also do quite well to also support the dairy sector in addition to the other six priority
commodities (coffee, fish, tobacco, sugar, flowers and tea) that have been lined up for
strategic government support by the Ministry of Trade, Industry and Cooperatives if it
is serious in attaining middle income status by 2020.
Over the last decade, the dairy sector has undergone a number of reforms. The Dairy
Master Plan (1993) has provided the key guidelines for transformation of the sector
particularly liberalisation of the dairy industry, establishment of a regulatory body as
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well as restructuring and privatisation of the state owned dairy processing company,
which is now at an advanced stage. The Dairy Industry Act, 1998 is the main law under
which the new institutional and policy reforms in the sector are being implemented.
This has been supported by the general livestock sector policies such as the Policy on
marketing of livestock and livestock products, Animal Health Policies, the Animal Breeding
Policy, as well as the Public Health Act and the broad national policies and strategies
such as Liberalisation, Privatisation, Decentralisation Policy (Local Government Act);
the Poverty Eradication Action Plan (PEAP), Plan for Modernisation of Agriculture
(PMA) and the National Agricultural Advisory Services (NAADS).
At the milk-shed level, the liberalisation policy has resulted in an upsurge in the
number of traders and processors vying to purchase the milk and an increase in
competition, better milk prices and a more reliable market. Under the decentralisation
policy, local governments levy taxes on dairy and dairy related businesses. Milk traders
who set up milk vending outlets in urban centres are required to pay for annual trading
licences up to as much as US$ 100. Hawkers and vendors who sell milk in urban areas
are obliged to pay a small fee ranging between 200/= (US$ 0.1) and 500/= (US$ 0.25)
per day to the local authorities.
In some areas dairy farmers who deliver milk to bulking facilities within town councils
are required to pay for an annual licence ranging between U Shs 10,000/= and 20,000/=
(US$ 5 and 10) per year depending on the amount of milk delivered per day.
The Dairy Development Authority is responsible for promoting and monitoring quality
in the dairy industry through enforcement of standards and regulations.
The Authority develops new and updates existing standards in liaison with the Uganda
National Bureau of Standards (UNBS). The government has released new regulations,
“The Dairy (Marketing and Processing of Milk and Milk Products) Regulations, 2003", which
provide the framework for enforcement of quality standards and good hygiene and
handling practices. DDA in liaison with UNBS has developed the Code of Hygienic
Practice for Milk and Milk Products. The document provides guidelines for hygienic
production and handling of milk and milk products at different stages of the dairy
chain There are several other legal documents (Policies, Acts of Parliament, Ordinances
of Local Authorities, etc.) being implemented by different government
institutions/departments but which also address dairy related issues. The Public Health
(sale of Milk and Milk Products) Rules, the Kampala City (Sale of Milk and Milk Products)
Ordinance and the UNBS Standards for milk and milk products are all concerned with the
standards for marketable milk and milk products, as well as the requirements for
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handlers and handling facilities. The need for harmonization of the content of different
statutory instruments/ legal documents in respect of the quality and handling of milk
and milk products cannot be over-emphasized.
In order to enhance quality in the dairy chain, DDA, on behalf of government outlawed
the use of plastic receptacles/equipment for handling transporting milk.
The Authority also registers and inspects all facilities for handling and processing milk
and milk products. Facilities that meet the minimum requirements are issued with a
registration certificate after paying an annual registration fee. The Authority also
promotes the training of dairy stakeholders on quality, and good hygiene and handling
practices for milk and milk products. There is a formidable challenge to improve the
quality and handling of milk at farm level. This study revealed that milk-handling
practices are generally poor.
Successive governments since the 1960s partly saw the cooperative movement as an
instrument of control and an informal mechanism through which rural surplus could be
extracted for the benefit of the urban dwellers while at the same time improving the
incomes and quality of life of rural communities. However, the cooperative system was
abused and cooperatives lost the purpose for which they were created. Cronyism
become rampant and often the hard earned savings of society members were
misappropriated.
Recently, co -operatives societies have developed and many of them are involved in
milk collection and marketing. Some have gone into milk processing. The Uganda Dairy
Industry Stakeholders Association (UDISA), an organization of all stakeholders in the
dairy Industry was recently formed. UDISA together with Uganda National Bureau of
Standards have completed the formulation of the code of practice for Raw Milk
Handing and Marketing.
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In 2005, Uganda Crane Creameries Cooperative Union was born out of the Western
Uganda Dairies Association. It has a membership of 7 district cooperative unions, 76
primary society/milk collection centres (MCC) and total of 10,500 dairy farmers. The
East African Dairy Development Project will help small scale farmers to come out of
poverty.
Currently, there are 219 Primary Dairy Farmers‟ Cooperative Societies and 11 Dairy
Farmers Cooperative Unions across the country.
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7.0 TRENDS AND PERFORMANCE OF THE DAIRY INDUSTRY
In terms of milk production, Uganda is divided into six milk sheds based on the
differences in geographical agro-ecological characteristics, market dynamics and cattle
population.
South-western 25
Mid-western 12
Central 24
Eastern 21
Northern 11
Karamoja 7
TOTAL 100%
Central and South western milk sheds together contribute 50% of the total national
production. The other milk sheds or regions particularly Eastern and Northern
experience a deficit of marketable milk almost throughout the year and are referred to
as milk deficit areas while South-Western and Central regions continue to experience a
surplus of marketable milk particularly in the wet season.
Milk surplus and deficit milk sheds present differences in market opportunities for poor
dairy farmers and aid in the focusing of knowledge dissemination, market
infrastructural investments, and service delivery to dairy farmers.
Uganda has about 2.5 million livestock farmers, 90% of whom are smallholders.
Milk production in Uganda went up to 1.8b liters in 2011 from 1.5b liters in 2010
following the improvement in the skills of dairy farmers and management and care of
dairy animals. Out of this annual milk product, only 40% is processed, 45% is sold
unprocessed and 15% is dumped.
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Milk transport tankers have also increased from 99 in 2010 to 126 in 2012. The number
of processing plants has increased from 22 to 30. The plants process pasteurized milk,
UHT, yogurt and milk powder. Importation of milk products has declined because of
the increase in supply and processing. The milk collecting centers have increased from
476 to 628 this year.
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7.2 Organization of Milk Production
There are groups and associations that have organized themselves to influence the
supply and demand of the dairy industry sector and these are: the Uganda National
Dairy farmers Association/groups, transporters, vendors and processors. These groups
influence standards as well as market conditions in terms of supply and demand for the
products. However the milk and dairy products market in Uganda has been liberalized
since early 1990s whereby the price of both raw milk and its products are determined
by market forces to a larger extent. This has led to free participation of the private sector
and also increased informal marketing standards and regulations for dairy products.
Unlike other regions, the South Western part of Uganda has revived the cooperative
movement; this has led to the formation of the Uganda Crane Creameries Cooperative
Union with a membership of twelve (12) district unions, 110 primary societies/MCCs,
and 18,000+ dairy farmers. Its mandate is to represent the views of the farmers as a
single voice.
Currently the milk market is mainly in two categories namely: the formal and informal
sector. There are categories of milk buyers and vendors. The first categories are the
bicycle vendors who buy milk from farmers and sell it from house to house. Secondly,
there are the licensed traders who own coolers and sell milk on wholesale or retail basis.
Then there are established and licensed processors who process pack and sale milk and
milk products to consumers where the demand for milk is high. The milk marketing
chains are therefore two fold; the processed milk chain and unprocessed milk chain.
The boundaries between the two chains are at times porous and continuous shifting.
Since the vendors and some licensed traders have no regular suppliers, they receive
milk of variable quality. However, the informal/unprocessed milk chain is flexible
enough to undercut the prices offered by the processors more regular and upfront
through payments. Given their lower overhead costs, vendors and licensed traders have
managed to out-compete the formal/processed milk chain and this has constrained the
growth of the milk industry.
Approximately 85% of the marketed milk goes through the informal sector (raw milk
market) leaving only 15% to be processed and packaged before marketing. The formal
sector markets pasteurized milk and other dairy products. The informal sector mainly
markets unpasteurized milk because the Public Health Act that prohibits its sale is not
enforced. However, the enforcement of the Act began in 2003 and has prohibited the
sale of unpasteurized milk, thus boosting sale of pasteurized milk.
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Table 5: Key characteristics of milk chain in Uganda
Processed Milk Chain Unprocessed Milk Chain
Test the raw milk at the farm level to ensure Do not usually test the milk and quality is not
quality. an issue.
Largely use modern methods to preserve the Use traditional methods like boiling to
milk and quality is an important issue. preserve milk.
Obtain fresh milk from key established Obtain milk from any source.
suppliers.
Maintain contact and collaborate with Often have no attachment to suppliers.
suppliers.
Deal in processed milk with a longer shelf life. Deal in raw milk with a very short shelf life.
This formal sector distributes and markets dairy products through vendors or direct
delivery to groceries, supermarkets, hotels, restaurants, schools and hospitals. Some
dairy co-operative societies and agents also involved in marketing mainly un-
pasteurized milk.
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7.3 The Structure of Uganda‟s Dairy Industry
The structure of Uganda’s dairy industry can be described using Figure 4. A key
characteristic of the industry is the large informal sector that serves as the conduit for
approximately 85 percent of the milk marketed in Uganda. The formal sector, which
includes conventional milk processing, handles only about 15 percent of the milk
marketed in the country. Approximately 20 percent of the milk produced in Uganda is
consumed on the farm and enters neither formal nor informal marketing channels.
Milk and dairy products consumed on farms make important contributions to nutrition
in Uganda. Households with one or more dairy cows tend to be healthier than
households without dairy cattle. This is partly because milk is a whole food that
supplements other facets of the diet.
7.3.2 Farmers
The dairy industry in Uganda is based largely on smallholder farmers – producing for
home consumption and only offering available surplus to the market – estimated
nationally at about 2.5 billion litres in 2018. In an effort to increase production and
productivity, there has been an increase in cross breeding the indigenous stock with
pure dairy breeds particularly the Friesian through use of Artificial Insemination (AI)
and exotic bulls. Consequently milk production has increased by 8-9 percent annually
over the past two decades mainly from a rapid build-up of the dairy herd2. Sale of milk
is the major and often the only source of regular income for the vast majority of these
smallholders. A very small but growing number of farmers have started manipulating
breeding so that animals calve down in the dry season taking advantage of higher milk
prices in the dry seasons. Supplementary feeding is emerging as a practice among these
particular farmers.
Some smallholder farmers particularly women who have benefitted from NGO‟s
involved in livestock sector now own pure dairy breeds sourced from the existing stock.
Partly due to this, a significantly increasing proportion of milk is being produced from
zero-grazing units that have been established by farmers with only small land holdings,
mostly living close to a market. Typically, these farmers, who are mainly women, keep
between one and three dairy cows in a stall on a zero-grazing regime. As land is usually
The demand for good dairy breeding stock outweighs supply hence the skyrocketing
prices for pure dairy breeds and crossbreeds. The current market price for an exotic
breed dairy in-calf heifer ranges from 4.15 – 5.18 million shillings (US$ 1,120 – 1,400).
However, upgrading of the cattle has only minimally been accompanied by the
corresponding change in the cattle farmers‟ management skills and practices, especially
improved feeding of the dairy cow. In addition limited change has occurred in the
availability of extension and research services to the farmer. Important to mention is
that the number of commercial farmers with large herds of exotic dairy cows (Holstein-
Friesian, in particular) is very limited.
Small scale dairy farmers have over the past two decades started re-organizing
themselves into associations or cooperatives in order to better participate in the market.
Farmers in the south-western milk shed have evolved into an extremely well organized
cooperative Union, (UCCCU) operating at the national level. Members through this
union supply over 36 million litres of milk a year mainly to Brookside Dairy Uganda
Limited. The union is in the process of establishing a milk processing plant 3 to further
integrate farmers into the market4.
Farmers in the central region are following closely behind and formed the Central
Uganda Dairy Cooperative Union in 2010. The union is currently looking for financing
to start a small animal feeds processing unit as a means to serve its membership with
quality feeds and earn an income for the union. Also in this region, with assistance from
various projects and funders5, a total of 39 dairy farmer cooperatives have been revived
and new ones established. Of these, 11 (28%) have acquired new chilling plants through
loan financing guaranteed by EADD, 7 (18%) are running processor owned chilling
plants and 21 (54%) are participating in the informal milk segment. The expected long
term objective is for the development of dairy hubs fully capable of providing all the
required by the dairy farmers including veterinary services,, artificial insemination (AI)
services, financing services (through SACCO) and others.
3 A building to house the processing plant has been constructed and roofed. Farmers are now in the process of raising funds to
complete the building and purchase processing equipment.
4 Supported by Danish mixed credit finance instruments.
5 The East Africa Dairy Development project (EADD) funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and the United Nations
Dairy Farmers
Exports Retailers
Distributors
Retailers
Consumers
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Farmers in the eastern and northern regions are not yet well organized. Efforts are
being made to stimulate increased milk production in these regions. Currently DDA is
rehabilitating three of its defunct MCCs with plans to hire them out to private
operators. In addition SNV has made efforts to organize dairy farmers in the Soroti and
surrounding districts linking them to local small-scale processor in the region. Farmers
in Gulu embarked on forming a cooperative union, which is still in its very early stage
and will need significant support in capacity building in the coming years.
Businesses established along the dairy chain by farmers, transporters, processors and
traders require support services. Farmers and processors can easily access business
support through embedded services, if they have long-lasting relationships with their
input suppliers. Suppliers of inputs and services in the dairy sector include:
Seed, animal feed and animal health products
Processing ingredients
Packing materials
Equipment
Service providers (Artificial Insemination (AI), veterinary, extension and
business development).
Animal nutrition has been noted as one of the constraints limiting productivity.
Optimum production especially improved dairy breeds require supplementation of the
conventional feed resources with compounded animal feeds. There are few large scale
animal feed processing companies in the country the largest being Engaano Millers Ltd
based in Jinja. However, there are numerous small-scale feed mixing units scattered
mainly in peri-urban areas. These enterprises mainly produce poultry feeds with dairy
feeds accounting for less than 20% of the output. Dairy feeds are supplied to farmers
with improved breeds mainly in the central region. Despite Uganda having a
favourable climate, availability of raw materials for animal feeds varies from season to
season leading to inconsistence in quality and quantity of feeds produced between
firms and within the same firm.
Low adoption or use of inputs was cited as a very big challenge to development of the
market for dairy inputs. The distribution networks for dairy inputs (except to a certain
extent veterinary drugs) are not well developed and in some areas are non-existent.
Absence of reliable agricultural data and statistics on the other hand has made it
difficult for suppliers to make forecasts for demand of inputs.
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Dairy stakeholders particularly farmers lack information on benefits of using inputs and
many would be users are not aware that the inputs exist. The relatively low farm gate
price for milk in some areas therefore, does not motivate farmers to incur any extra cost
on inputs to improve productivity. Lack of trust amongst the dairy industry
stakeholders was also cited as a challenge to use of inputs. In the absence of a
regulatory institution for inputs such as animal feeds, food additives amongst others,
dairy industry stakeholders may not believe that suppliers are telling them the truth
about the products they sell and how they could benefit from their use.
The different views are advanced in the literature on the relationship between milk
production and growth in cattle population, and the fact that milk productivity per cow
has not greatly improved with time in Ugandan dairy sector. A large proportion (over
80 percent) of the total milk produced comes from the local cattle breeds6 – the local
bread account for over 83 percent of the national herd. Yet, other studies such as assert
that annual milk production hit 2.2 billion litres in 2018 partly due to more farmers
adopting milk yielding cattle. That said, increased up-take of improved breeds was
observed during the field work.
6Milkproduction from local breeds averages 2 litres of milk per head per day with lactation period of 200 days – considerably
below the performance of improved breeds, which can produce as much as 990 litres per head per year {World Bank, 2009}.
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region at 249.3 million litres and the north-eastern region (Karamoja) at 143.3 million
litres (Source DDA).
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Animal Industry and Fisheries (MAAIF), and Uganda Bureau of Statistics
Figure 6 below illustrates the relationship between livestock population and dairy milk
production in the various regions.
The Western region is the milk hub of the country with the most productive dairying
farm units, with output per unit farm estimated at about 5,450 litres per annum in 2018.
It is worth noting that with the exception of the Northern region, dairy farms in other
regions improved in terms of average raw milk productivity per annum (Figure 7). This
is can be attributed to the growing number of dairying households adopting improved
breeds.
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Figure 6: Distribution of cattle population versus milk production
% of Livestock Population % of Milk Production
30.00%
25.89% 25.16%
24.10%
25.00% 21.32% 21.56%
20.00% 17.43%
14.79%
15.00% 11.33% 11.58%
10.27% 10.06%
10.00% 6.51%
5.00%
0.00%
6,000 5,449
5,000
3,777
Average Litres
4,000
2,887
3,000 2,572 2009
2018
1,843
2,000 1,444
1,338 1,256
0
Central Eastern Northern Western Uganda
Source: Author’s computations from the 2009/10 UNPS and 2016/17 UNHS
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7.4.2 Milk Pricing and Margins
Consumer milk prices are directly impacted by the price fluctuations of milk at the farm
gate. Prices will shoot up in the dry seasons, when milk supply levels drop, and fall in
the wet season when milk supply increases. Due to the modest level of competition
among processors – as Brookside Dairy Uganda Limited is the price setter, and the
others followers, the processors are able to load all their costs in the prices offered to the
customer, and to shift this upward as input costs go up.
Table 6: Indicative Analysis Margins for Pasteurized Milk 2019 [In UGX]
1000 ML % margin 500 ML % margin
Retail price 2,600 1,400
margin 300 12% 238 17%
Ex-Factory 2,300 1,162
margin 920 40% 460 40%
Trader 1,380 702
margin 480 35% 252 36%
Farm Gate 900 450
Source: Field Research, February 2019
The above analysis illustrates the frequently encountered theme from the several visits and interviews held
that there are good margins7 being made by milk processing companies. The margins for yoghurt are even
higher and explain the tremendous growth of yoghurt supply – that has translated into increased yoghurt
consumption in Uganda. At a cottage industry level most actors that are upgrading into processing are
specializing in the processing of yoghurt – with Ceremark Investments Limited being a clear-cut case in
point.
7The margin cited does not account for production and overhead costs, as this information is not publically available, but most
upcoming processors indicate that margins are very competitive
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It is important to note that the income elasticity of demand for milk is greater than one,
meaning that with the projected continued growth of the economy and the associated
increase in household incomes, the demand for milk can be expected to expand rapidly.
Implications for Investment: From a demand analysis, it appears certain that there is a
robust and growing demand to justify investment and trade both in the formal and
informal segments.
Current high product pricing and margins offers entry and competitive
strategies, through low cost production and therefore competitive price
positioning.
The narrow range of product offerings offers more opportunities for innovative
ideas.
The informal segment is attractive from its sheer size, and opportunities in this
channel are perceived more in the area of trade – through selling, implementing
and servicing improved technologies for collection, quality checking, cooling,
transporting and distributing to larger and smaller end users.
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Box 1: Response to policy changes at farm level
South-western Region
As a result of the liberalization of the dairy sector, farmers interviewed noted that there is
an increase in quantity and an improvement in quality of milk produced at the farm level.
Farmer attitudes towards dairying have changed from subsistence to commercial and
there is a general shift from local to cross breeds. Access to market has improved as a
result of an improvement in the collection and bulking network with coolers now being
located closer to farmers. This has been possible due to the proliferation of co-operatives
and more players (vendors, and lager traders) joining the market.
However, issues of low farm gate prices persist mainly in the formal marketing channel
due to monopoly tendencies by Brookside Dairy Uganda Ltd the biggest player in the
formal marketing channel. An interview with the management of Brookside Dairy
Uganda Ltd, intimated that the company pays for raw milk following market demand
and supply conditions. The excessive marketing behaviour in the dairy sector is
documented by the MoFPED (2012), where farmers report that - “sometimes Brookside
Dairy Uganda Ltd cuts prices without informing us. We get to know this at the time of
payment yet when we were supplying we knew it was the usual known price”.
Eastern Region
As a result of the liberalization of the dairy sector, farmers interviewed noted that there is
an increase in quantity and an improvement in quality of milk produced at the farm level.
However, milk production in the area/region is still very low.
Farmer attitudes towards dairying have changed from subsistence to commercial and
there is a general shift from local to cross breeds.
Access to market has improved as a result of an increase in demand for milk due to
increased awareness of the nutrition value of milk.
Collection and marketing have had minimal changes due to the low milk production.
Milk prices have generally improved since liberalization although still low compared to
increases in prices for farm inputs. Unlike Southwestern Uganda the Eastern region does
not experience severe milk price fluctuations between seasons.
Northern Region
Farmers interviewed noted that there is an increase in quantity and an improvement in
quality of milk produced at the farm level as a result of liberalization. However, milk
production in the area/region is still very low partly due to impact the LRA war had on
dairy farming.
Farmer attitudes towards dairying have changed from subsistence to commercial and
there is a general shift from local to cross breeds.
Access to market has improved as a result of an increased in demand for milk.
Collection and marketing have had minimal changes due to the low milk production.
Milk prices have generally improved since liberalization although still low compared to
increases in prices for farm inputs.
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7.5 Milk Storage and Transportation
There is a general increase in milk output and hence marketable surpluses in the post-
reform period across all regions in the country. About 80 percent of the total national
milk produced is marketed and 20 percent consumed by the farming households. This
is likely to increase even further after the rehabilitation of more milk collection centers.
Only 33 percent of the marketed milk is processed while 67 percent is marketed raw.
According to the Dairy Development Authority (DDA), an agency under the Ministry
of Agriculture, Government has invested in increasing milk production and
productivity, reducing post-harvest milk losses through rehabilitation of Milk
Collection Centers (MCC‟s), enhancing milk value addition and access to milk and milk
products‟ markets. Currently, the dairy subsector has a growth rate of 8 percent per
annum. Growth has been, and continues to be registered in milk production, milk
collection and transportation, milk processing according to the DDA. According to the
authority, the value of marketed milk had a 5 percent increase from USD 716 million in
2015 to USD 752 million (about Shs 2.7 trillion) in 2017/18.
Currently, Uganda has 100 operational milk processing companies (large scale, medium
scale, small scale and cottages) with a total installed capacity of 2.7 million litres per
day. Products currently processed include; milk powder, UHT Milk, Pasteurized Milk,
Yoghurt, Butter, Ice Cream, Cheese, Ghee and Casein.
Analysis of 2016/17 UNHS reveals that about 80 percent of the raw milk produced is
sold to either processors or direct consumers (Table 8).
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Box 2: Milk marketing channels and institutions in dairy industry
South-western Region
In South-western milk shed, milk from the farms is channelled through both formal and
informal channels.
The formal marketing channel is organized in that; from farms milk is sent to collecting
centres operated by primary co-operatives. From primary collecting centres milk is
transported to larger bulking centres at the district level (operated by district co-operative
unions). From the district co-operative unions, milk is chilled and transported to the
processing plants.
The formal network, farmers are organised into co-operatives based on networks that
were formed around the distribution networks of former DC that became SALL after
liberalisation. This channel largely feeds Brookside Dairy Uganda Ltd [Fresh Dairy] that
currently controls about 78 percent of the formal milk marketing channel.
Some of the milk is drawn into the largely informal collection channels at the different
nodes of the bulking stage. Some milk at primary co-operatives is sold to traders and
vendors and some co-operatives have outlets that sell directly to individual consumers in
urban areas. This largely happens during peak seasons when there is excess milk.
Some farmers have opted not to join the co-operatives and therefore sell their milk
through the informal market channels. It was observed during the field work that farmers
closer to peri-urban centres (market) are reluctant to join co-operatives and market a
substantive volume of their milk through the informal market channel. This is because
proximity to market guarantees better prices with money earned immediately.
It was revealed (from the FGD and in interviews with key informants in the industry)
that the market for milk is readily accessible. However, farm gate prices are rather low.
Farmers are free to sell milk to any buyer/agent of their choice irrespective of being
members of co-operatives. Co-operatives are the main buyers of milk from their members
(between 80 and 90 percent) and sell it to Fresh Dairy. Other buyers in the formal market
channel include GBK and Birunga, and an estimated 2 percent of the milk goes through
the informal marketing channels.
Processors exercise price differentiation depending on the volume and quality of raw
milk purchased during peak and lean seasons. For example, GBK offers Shs. 600 and Shs.
1,000 per litre during the peak and lean season respectively. While Paramount dairy
processes a smaller volume and specialises in the production of niche products (cheese
and fresh creams) produced from high quality milk offers premium price – ranging
between UShs. 700 and UShs. 900 per litre.
Northern Region
Milk from the farms in Northern Uganda is generally sold unprocessed due to lack of
processing plants in the region. Milk from farms is collected from door to door by
collecting agents, traders or vendors or marketed by farmers themselves. Only some
yoghurt is processed by the Gulu Women Dairy cooperative society.
Respondents revealed that the market for milk was readily available this being in a milk
deficit region. Marketing of milk from farm level is channelled through both “semi-
formal” and informal arrangements. Some farmers are organized in co-operative
through the guidelines ofthe co-operatives
unions/associations and sell theirwhile others sell
milk directly
48 their milk directly
to consumers and milktotraders.
consumers and
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Eastern Region
Milk from the farms to processing plants is channelled through farmer groups, individual
farmers and vendors. Milk from farms is collected from door to door by collecting agents,
traders or vendors and transported to the processing plants.
Respondents revealed that the market for milk was readily available this being in a milk
deficit region. Marketing of milk from farm level is channelled through both “semi-
formal” and informal arrangements. Some farmers are organised in co-operative
unions/associations and sell their milk through the guidelines of the co-operatives while
others have opted remain out of co-operatives.
Processors in the Eastern region offered the same price during both peak and lean
seasons. However, they practice price discrimination based on supplier category. Soroti
Dairy limited for example offers UShs 700 per litre to farmer groups and UShs 800 to
individuals and vendors while Eastern Dairies offers Ush 800 to farmers and UShs. 1,000
to vendors or collecting agents.
Formation of dairy farmers‟ co-operatives in Kamuli for example was mainly influenced
by the NAADS program where services could only be accessed by groups. Some farmers
opted not to join the co-operatives and therefore sell their milk independently. Unlike in
South-western Uganda where milk channelled through cooperatives largely ends up
being sold to processors (formal milk marketing channels), in the Eastern region, milk
collected through co-operative arrangements largely ends up being sold to consumers
through traders, cooperative outlets and retailers in raw unprocessed loose form.
There were no direct involvement of co-operatives in collecting and transporting milk
from farmers. Milk is collected by collectors/traders or cooperative agents who then sell
it directly either to consumers, co-operative outlets or to milk retailers. This type of milk
collecting arrangement greatly exposes farmers to dubious middle men and frequent
incidences loss of income and expensive farmers‟ milk collecting equipment (aluminium
cans).
Farmers are free to sell milk to any buyer/agent of their choice irrespective of being
members of a union/association.
The private sector has been assuming an increasing role in the collection, transportation,
processing and marketing of milk and milk products8. Numerous private sector
operators have set up dairy related enterprises all over the country with several bulking
and milk-processing facilities especially in the south-western milk-shed. However, the
capacity for milk bulking and transportation has not been equally developed in all the
milk sheds countrywide.
8Before the liberalization the dairy sector, milk collection and transportation had been under DC
government control. DC was inefficient and consequently milk marketing did not meet the farmers‟
expectations. The farm gate prices offered by DC were very low, something that acted as a disincentive to
the industry‟s growth. Following the liberalization of the dairy sector in 1993, and complete privatization
and the transfer of DC to Fresh Dairy, the network of collection centers expanded. This ultimately
reduced the informal and thereby expanded the formal sector milk collection network.
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According to the Dairy Development Association (2018), there are now 471 milk
collection centres spread throughout South-western, Central, and Eastern regions and
with total installed capacity of 1,770,417 litres – with 120 owned by Brookside Dairy
Uganda Limited [Fresh Dairy]. Each centre comprised of 2,000 to 5,000 litres capacity
milk cooler and a generator. However, Dairy Development Association (2018) also
reveals that there were 100,000 itinerant traders using metal milk cans instead of plastic.
There were also less than 50 milk traders countrywide and about 60 insulated milk
tankers with total capacity of over 400,000 litres.
This milk distribution network was supported by a large number of mobile hawkers (on
foot, bikes, using buses and vehicles) especially within 20 Km radius of major towns
(World Bank, 2017). These largely informal traders are involved in the delivery of raw
milk to bulking centres, kiosks, and households. At the tail end of the milk value chain,
hundreds of milk kiosks and shops sell fresh or hot milk and processed products to
consumers. It is important to note that the liberalization of the dairy industry opened
wide opportunities for many ill-equipped private informal milk traders to participate in
the value chain. This rampant informal market run by itinerant raw and loose milk
traders has been growing and out-competing the formal milk marketers, and has
proved difficult for the DDA to regulate. This amounts to unfair competition due to
regulatory obligations imposed on formal traders that informal traders evade. The
phenomenon remains the main constraint to developing and expanding the formal milk
marketing channel. The advantage that informality confers can be seen through the
employment opportunities that have been created in milk transportation, retailing, and
at bulking centres across all regions of the country.
The liberalization of the dairy industry in the mid-90s broke the monopoly of DC and
opened up opportunities for private investment. The dairy sector is one of the sectors
where the concept of value addition has been successfully achieved. The processing of
milk and production of dairy products previously imported is one of the successes
recorded by the dairy industry. Before the industry was deregulated, informal milk
trading9 formed the biggest network for surplus milk in most rural Uganda. The formal
sector handled only 10 percent of marketed milk (MAAIF, 1993). The development of
the informal sector began in the earnest period of civil disturbances between 1977 and
1986, when DC was unable to service its suppliers, and had suffered from widespread
9The development of the informal sector began in the earnest period of civil disturbances between 1977
and 1986, when DC was unable to service its supplies and it suffered from widespread looting (Keyser,
2009).
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looting. The informal market comprises both direct sales by producers to consumers in
the neighbourhood of their farms and sales to traders, vendors and associations that
transport milk to local urban markets. The associations are estimated to account for 60
percent of farm sales, though this proportion varies significantly across regions in the
country.
The level of private sector investment after the liberalization of the dairy industry is the
subject of this section. Focus is placed on the number of new dairy plants and mini
dairies that have been established, as well as the expansion in value addition i.e.
through the introduction of new milk products (UHT, powdered milk, yoghurt, cheese
etc.) on the market. Growth in milk processing signifies strides made to expand the
formal milk sector. This has improved the quality of milk, and created capacity for milk
exports to the regional market.
With policy and institutional changes in the milk sub sector that began in early 1990s, a
number of private enterprises, cooperatives, and associations began processing and
marketing raw milk and other dairy products, competing directly with DC. In 2001,
seven dairy companies were pasteurizing, packing, selling milk and other dairy
products mainly in urban areas in Central and South-western areas of the country
(World Bank, 2016). Between 2008 and 2016, the number of companies grew from 12 to
20 private milk processing enterprises (Table 9). It is worth mentioning that with the
exception of White Nile Uganda Limited that is located in the Eastern region (Jinja
Town), eighteen out of the twenty processing plants are located in Central and Western
Milk sheds (Table 9).
Most processing plants are located in the Central and Southwest milk sheds and are
operating at 76 percent capacity of the combined installed capacity output of 1,802,200
litres per day. More important to note is that Brookside Dairy Uganda Limited‟s market
share of the processing capacity stood at 80 percent in 2018, despite the increasing
participation of other private players in the market (see Table 9). The benefits of the
privatization process of the dairy industry have not yet spread out equitably at the
processing and marketing stages of the dairy industry commodity value chain. Milk
processing in the Eastern and Northern region is undertaken on small scale mini-
dairies. The mini-dairies are managed and organized by private individuals and
primary cooperative societies. The success story here is that value addition focusing on
products like cheese, yoghurts for the local markets that are scale neutral is produced
by mini-dairies in milk deficit Northern and Eastern regions.
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Table 9: Milk Processing Plants and Mini-Dairies in Uganda
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Box 3: Processor responses to a changed business and policy environment
Eastern Region
The processors interviewed in eastern Uganda also revealed that there are noticeable
improvements when it comes to milk collection and transportation although the region
still lags behind South-western Uganda.
The system is predominantly door to door collection of milk by traders and some farmers
organized in groups have milk collection centres.
There is a gradual shift from transporting milk using plastic jerry cans to aluminium cans
(DDA regulations). There is a gradual shift from using bicycle for transporting milk to
motor-cycles (Boda-Bodas) and pick-up trucks, this has ensured timely delivery milk and
has reduce wastages. But the total absence of refrigerated trucks was apparent in the
Eastern Region.
The increase in farm level milk production is partly attributed to increased market for
milk, trainings from NGOs and government agencies, reduction in cattle rustling and
increased regional market for animal, and animal products especially in South-Sudan.
Northern Region
There is minimum processing of milk done in Northern Uganda. The one processor
interviewed revealed that there is an increase in farm level milk production, partly
attributed to increased market for milk, trainings from NGOs and government agencies,
restocking programs following the end of LRA war and increased regional market for
animal, and animal products especially in South-Sudan.
Source: Consultant’s Field Work
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7.6.2 Milk Processing and Distribution
Although Uganda‟s milk processing capacity has increased four-fold over the past
decade, most dairy processors operate below installed capacity, with the exception of
JESA Farm whose business model replies on trust-based relation with milk suppliers.
Industry-level capacity utilization oscillates between 40-60% between the lean and peak
production seasons, implying an upward push on the per-litre processing cost
especially in the dry season. Despite the end of state-controlled processing, the dairy
industry is still highly concentrated; the top three processors control 73% of the national
installed capacity, and there are about 20 processors for the whole country.
With an installed capacity to process of about 511 million litres annually, the processors
have a redundant capacity of 91 million litres annually. At the industry level, actual
capacity utilisation remains low, oscillating between 40 and 60 per cent at the industry
level between the lean and peak milk production seasons. This low utilization of
capacity is in most cases driven by the presence of raw milk, where farmers prefer to
make their own direct sales, without adding value. This problem, in part, arises from
what farmers considered low prices and what processors also consider as poor quality
milk. For instance, Fresh Dairy has the highest plant utilization of about 70 per cent
because of its extensive presence around the country. Its distribution and retail network
is the largest of any milk processor in the country, giving it that advantage.
Other players have set up factories closer to the source of milk. VTD [Vital Tomosi
Dairy], Pearl Dairy and Amos Dairies are all located in Mbarara, near the source of the
milk. According to DDA, South Western Uganda accounts for about 30 per cent of all
the market produced in Uganda, which explains why most processors set up shop
there. The central region is largely dominated by Fresh Dairy and Jesa Farm Dairy. For
the factories to set up shop in western Uganda, they take-out the middleman and offer a
“competitive price” to the farmer.
For Jesa, it is a whole different arrangement, much like the beer companies operate
when purchasing sorghum and barely from farmers. Under a long-term MoU, JESA
pays its milk suppliers a constant price throughout the year and provides training and
animal disease control to cooperative farmers. The fixed price allows Jesa to plan ahead
in terms of expenses to farmers. For the farmer, they are guaranteed income through the
year. The price fixed is, however, reviewed annually to incorporate the prevailing
market conditions.
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There are currently three distribution systems for processed dairy products:
1. Distribution systems owned and operated by the dairy processor, using trucks
to distribute products to distribution outlets,
2. Distribution systems owned by the dairy company but outsourced to
independent entrepreneurs; and
3. Grocery retailers and modern supermarkets.
Supermarket retailers consider dairy a key product line and market a range of dairy
products manufactured by local and regional dairy processors: pasteurised milk, UHT
milk, powdered milk, yogurt, and cheese. Despite the challenges in Uganda‟s dairy
industry, the country has been identified as one of the 20 „Markets of the Future‟ that
will offer the most opportunities for consumer goods companies (Euromonitor, 2015).
The modern retail outlets are expected to increase their sale of dairy processed products
at 11% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) during 2013-18.
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Box 4: The underutilized processing capacity paradox
The problem of underutilized processing capacity is still a paradox among the actors
along the milk value chain:
Dairy farmers do not understand why processors operate below installed capacity yet
they are frequently faced with un-purchased volumes of surplus milk during peak
seasons especially in the South Western Milk Shed;
SALL the major player in the formal value chain imposes quotas during the peak
season when there is surplus milk and this is accompanied by a drop in raw milk
purchase prices;
The processors link the underutilized processing capacity phenomenon to the limited
market for pasteurized milk due to stiff competition from the informal sector that
deal in relatively cheap loose unprocessed milk;
In Uganda about 80% of marketed milk is sold as loose unprocessed milk at relatively
lower prices thereby outcompeting processed pasteurized milk in the market.
Processors recognize that the informal market is strong and vibrant, (John Anglin,
October 2011). Pasteurized milk (the main processed milk product on the market) has
a limited shelf life therefore processors set their production targets depending on
what the market can absorb.
Another facet of the paradox is that whereas the industry is struggling with the
problem of underutilized processing capacity, more processing plants are being set
up. For example, two more plants (UCCCU and Pearl) are currently being set up in
South-western Uganda.
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7.6.3 Processed Milk Products on Ugandan Market
Pasteurized Milk
Production of pasteurized milk is the largest processing activity in the dairy industry.
About 80% of processed milk goes into the production of pasteurized milk currently as
nine firms are involved in the production of pasteurized milk.
UHT Milk
Until 1995, all the UHT milk in Uganda was imported mainly from Kenya. As of 2018,
five (5) firms in the country produce UHT milk with a combined annual installed
capacity of 112,120 tons. The two companies Brookside Dairy Limited and GBK
currently handled about 60% of their installed Capacity and 80% of this is exported to
Kenya, Sudan, Rwanda, Tanzania, Egypt, Syria and Ethiopia.
Cheese
Although cheese is produced locally, Uganda still continues to import this product. The
Brookside Dairy Limited produces 3.0 metric tons/year, which is mainly is Cheddar,
Gouda, Maribou cheeses. Other private firm like Paramount Dairies Ltd in Mbarara
have exploited the increasing cheese market and started production of cheese mainly
Cheddar and Gouda types.
Yoghurt
The yoghurt produced in the country is mainly the set and drinking type. Led by
Brookside Dairy Limited, the production of yoghurt has continued to increase due the
growing market for this product since 1995, a number of small and medium scale dairy
processors have started producing and marketing yoghurt.
Cultured milk
Commercial cultured milk is newly developed from indigenous cultured milks. Several
small scale dairy processors do production and marketing of cultured milk.
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Butter and ghee
Brookside Dairy Uganda Limited [Fresh Dairy], Jesa Farm Dairy and DairiBoard are the
only firms producing salted and unsalted butter. The butter demand and production is
expected to increase. Farmers produce ghee mainly on small scale which is for domestic
consumption. A number of small scale processors have started production and sell of
ghee. Other firms producing ghee includes. GBK Diaries (U) Ltd based in Mbarara.
With the advent of the dairy sector reform, the national domestic consumption of milk
has been growing with time (Figure 8). The UNPS data provided insights into milk
consumption at household level. However, such survey data did not capture
information on other milk products. The results are presented in Table 10. The per
capita milk consumption, on average, stood at 62 litres per annum well below that of
neighbouring Kenya of 100 litres and the internationally (FAO/WHO) recommended
200 litres. While the World Bank (2017) indicates that Uganda has attained a level of
near national self-sufficiency in milk production, it is apparent that attaining the 200
litres per capita per person mark recommended by the World health Organization
(WHO) requires 8 billion litres per annum to be produced in the country (assuming a
population of 40 million Ugandans). Currently annual milk production in Uganda is
estimated to be 2.2 billion litres.
Significant regional differences in per capita milk consumption within the country are
notable, ranging from 92 litres per annum in Western region to 46 litres in Eastern
region in 2016/17 (Table 10). Per capita milk consumption remained rather static at 62
litres per capita at national level – and below this national average figure in the Eastern
(46 litres), Northern (51 litres). Milk consumption figures are low and constant in the
Eastern region are possibly due to increasing pressure on due to the high population
growth that negatively impact on investment in the stocking of dairy cows at household
level. While having expansive dairy activities and the tradition of milk consumptions
may explain the high per capita milk consumption in Western Uganda. The decline in
milk consumption recorded in the Northern region over the four year period could be
linked to the decline in the stocking of dairy cattle in this part of the country.
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Figure 8: Per capita annual consumption of fluid milk, 1997-2018 (litre/p.a.)
60
62
Litres per annum
50
50
40
40
38.1
30
28.5 29.5 30
20
10 16
0
1986 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2007 2018
Table 10: Regional Distribution of Milk Consumption per Capita (litres) 2009-2017
2005/06 2009/10
Per capita Per annum Per capita Per annum
Central 53 5,238,422 57 6,149,148
Eastern 43 2,393,511 46 4,018,487
Northern 62 916,835 51 1,337,132
Western 67 3,892,705 92 6,006,658
Uganda 58 12,441,473 62 17,511,425
Source: Author’s calculations based on the 2009/10 UNHS, & 2016/17 UNHS
Some studies have attributed the low level of milk consumption in Uganda to poverty–
low disposable income – and the poor cultural value of milk consumption in Uganda. A
number of initiatives are being implemented to increase consumption of milk and dairy
products and build a strong local market. The DDA is liaising with the Ministry of
Health (MoH), and Ministry of Education and Sports (MoES) to promote milk
consumption in schools. Similar initiatives are being supported by the private sector,
particularly NGOs such as Land O‟ Lakes (DDA, 2018).
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7.7.2 Exports and Imports of Dairy Products
The demand for imported milk products is not quantified from any available demand
statistics, but can alternately be analyzed from the current level of imports. Records
from UBOS and MAAIF indicate that a number of dairy products are imported into the
country, the most important of these being long life milk products, cheese, infant milk
products and yoghurts. The relative importance of these products is highlighted in
Table 11 below:
Quality is the main driver of demand for imports as these are perceived to be of higher
quality to local products. With the exception of infant milk products however, there are
a variety of local product substitutes for all milk product imports. Kenya is the biggest
milk exporter into Uganda, accounting for over 50% of all imports. It is also worth
considering that imports are demanded by the more affluent customers and are
accessed primarily through supermarket stores and a limited number of grocery shops.
This implies a relatively small level of demand10. Therefore, the degree to which
demand for imported dairy products should influence investment decisions is viewed
as relatively insignificant as imported products cater to only a small percentage of the
population who prefer or can afford such products.
Dairy exports stood at US$ 60 million in 2016 and increased to approximately US$ 130
million in 2017/18 while Dairy Imports dropped from US$ 5.4 million to US$ 5.2 million
over the same period.
The increase in the net exports has been as a result of increased compliance and meeting
standards of Uganda‟s milk and milk products on both regional and international
markets due to efforts by the DDA in regulation and quality assurance.
The Dairy exports mainly go to EAC, COMESA countries, SADC, UAE, Nigeria, Syria,
Egypt, Oman, USA, Nepal and Bangladesh. The exported dairy products include; UHT
milk, ghee, casein, whey proteins, and butter oil.
Going by the recent export commodity trends, Uganda is predicted to become Africa‟s
largest dairy exporter in the next five years.
According to a report published by the East African Business Week, the dairy sector is
slowly inching its way into Uganda‟s top exports, next to coffee and tea, where a pool of
exporters is largely responsible for this transformation.
The report shows that in the last 10 years, the value of milk and milk products exported
from Uganda has increased astronomically from $5 million US$ in 2008 to 130 million
USD in 2017.
Dairy exports in 2017 amounted to approximately 300 million litres, which is more than
10% of the total milk produced in Uganda; currently estimated at 2.5 billion litres per
annum.
The growth in the sector can be attributed to favourable natural conditions as well as
dairy development programmes instituted by government and development partners,
the same report indicates.
With the world dairy market still poised for further growth, and local conditions
favouring production at relatively low prices, exports are likely to further increase in
the future. Based on current market predictions, dairy exports from Uganda are likely
to reach 150 million US$ in 2019. Figure 9 and Figure 10 below depict the increasing
dairy exports performance trend for the period 2014-2017 by quantities and values of
dairy products exported from Uganda.
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Figure 9: Uganda Dairy Exports by Quantity [Kgs], 2011-2017
UHT Milk Milk Powders Buttermilk/Yoghurt Whey
Butter/Fats/Spreads Cheese & Curd Casein
80,000,000
70,000,000
60,000,000
50,000,000
Kgs
40,000,000
30,000,000
20,000,000
10,000,000
0
2014 2015 2016 2017
50,000,000
40,000,000
30,000,000
20,000,000
10,000,000
0
2014 2015 2016 2017
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8.0 MARKETING
Customer focus
The proposed Caremark Investments Limited will commit to strict quality standards in
all its operations – from the milking of its on-farm dairy herd of 300 cows to the
provision of hygienically processed nutritious products to its customers. The company
will follow the philosophy of "delighting the customers" by providing them quality
products at the right price on their door step.
Competitor intelligence
Caremark Investments Limited will keep a bull eye on the activities of competitors and
try to offset all the possible threats, which they can encounter in the future.
Caremark Investments Limited will continuously measure and monitor the market
trends and competitor moves. This will be one of the channels that shall be used to get
feedback from its sales teams and dealers about what is happening in the market.
The top management and employees at Caremark Investments Limited will commit in
their work as they will be aware about the importance of coordination and interaction
of different departments in order to achieve better results. Weekly meetings will be held
between different departments in order to solve problems as well as to make accurate
decision so that resources are not desecrated.
Strengths:
International packaging
Affordable and reasonable prices
Have our own packaging plant
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Weaknesses:
Heavy capital will be required for promotion
Consumers are brand loyal toward competitors‟ products so we have to convince
them.
Opportunities:
Increased consumption of milk products
Can introduce flavored milk
People are switching from unhygienic to hygienic milk
Threats:
Competitors can come up with plastic bottles
Product
High quality and convenience product.
Packaging.
Aseptic packaging or bottle is reusable.
Price
Price is less than competitor.
Using market penetration.
Promotion
To enhance awareness.
To do promotion on TV channels, FM radios and newspapers.
Place
We will give incentives to retailers.
Type:
Brand promotion.
Objective
Establish market position and extend target market.
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Product strategy:
Identified weakness (Packaging, taste).
Advertising objectives:
Provide information on product benefits and features.
Distribution:
Build a strong distribution network with a good distribution strategy. Caremark
Investments Limited will use a conventional distribution strategy having strategically-
positioned distribution outlets in the major towns and cities of Uganda, South Sudan
and western DR Congo. The dairy products will primarily be distributed to A and B
class outlets with exclusive shelf positioning having different POP‟s displays.
Pricing:
The prices of the proposed dairy products will be competitive. The prices will be
UShs2,000 for 1 litre of pasteurized milkUShs 4,000 for 1 litre of yogurt; UShs 20,000 for
1 kg of butter; and UShs 32,000 for 1 kg of cheese.
Geographic
Region (city): Kampala, Jinja, Entebbe, Mbarara, Masaka, Mbale, Gulu, Arua, Soroti,
etc.
Density Urban
Demographics
Age: Above 4 years
Income: US$ 200 per month and above
Social Class: Lower-middle Class; Middle-upper class; Middle-middle class.
Psychographics
Activities: Health related, education, convenience
Interest: Outdoors, active, sports, fashion, family values
Opinion: Social concern
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8.3.3 Targeting and Positioning Strategies
The targeting strategy for composite dairy products is recommended to be selective due
to the following market and industry dynamics which are as follows;
Diversity of Preferences
Consumer awareness for the health factor is on the rise due to media exposure and
education within certain segments. With shifts in priorities for hygienic consumption
and family health concerns increasing, packaged brands of milk are increasing for
various consumption usages of milk.
Industry Structure
Competitive intensity is not as high and entry barriers are quite high. With the process
being a highly complex and delicate matter [any impediment or disruption in the
process can cause the entire batch processing to restart allover] which can cause
tremendous financial crunch to medium-sized organization.
Competitive Advantage
In the packaged composite dairy products category, the competitive advantage that can
be obtained is through effective distribution and consistent marketing communications.
Target Strategy
Targeting approaches for developing the proposed composite dairy products will be
Selective Targeting since the industry is growing at a rapid pace and since the product
portfolio is fairly diversified [related] creating;
Organization Fit all units operating under the Caremark Investments Limited
umbrella will have a high degree of synergy that can be capitalized to gain
competitive advantage and cost efficiencies
Technology Fit since the Caremark Investments Limited will be using the
proprietary technology of Toning Processing and Double Sterilization technology
– it can be easily traded with the shared technology of other units i.e. Instant
[Powder], Homogenized etc.
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Management Fit resource of management can be cumulatively shared since the
learning curve is minimized.
Repositioning Strategy
Repositioning Concept
Trying to create the perception that drinking milk is healthy and is a quality habit that
should be a part of all family members – giving them nutrition, satisfaction and
happiness.
Repositioning Strategy
Shelved in A, B and C category retail outlets to create favorable brand associations and
using competitive unit prices that signal consistent quality in a new aseptic packaging.
Advertising and sales promotions will be focused according to the quality and fun
drinking association of the proposed composite dairy products as health assuring milk
beverages.
Repositioning Effectiveness
The objective is to monitor and evaluate how the positioning of the proposed composite
dairy products is received by the target market and according to what the core values of
the proposed UHT milk product brand communicates.
The product strategy that Caremark Investments Limited will follow will be the
Product Line Strategy. Within this strategy, the company will also use the “Product
Improvement Strategy”. Through these strategies, Caremark Investments Limited
aims at improving the proposed composite dairy products product through:
1. Taste
2. Nutritional value – Added enriched vitamins and Zinc [fatty acids] with iron for
supplementing healthy growth. Milk for growth, enriched with zinc, vitamins,
essential fatty acids and, above all, iron, with content 25 times higher than
conventional milk. This is a decisive advantage when you know that 70% of
babies have an iron deficiency. With half a litre of pasteurized milk every day,
children will get 65% of the iron and 80% of the calcium they need.
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3. Pasteurized Milk– Pasteurized milk products will be produced in 1000ml, 500ml
packs.
4. Yoghurt, in cups of 500ml, 250 ml, 150ml and 100ml as well as in sachets of 400ml
in plain, vanilla, mango, butterscotch, banana and strawberry flavours.
5. Butter will be made available in 250g and 500g packs.
Caremark Investments Limited will use the “Specific Product Branding” strategy
because the brand name gives a unique identification in the market place. Using an
identifiable brand name will enable the customers to associate this product with
Caremark Investments Limited so that it enhances the product‟s image and corporate
brand identity.
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8.3.6 Distribution Strategy
The reason why we have chosen this strategy is due to financial considerations. Profit
for the distributors will be 1.25%. Distributors will pay cash in advance to the Caremark
Investments Limited to obtain the composite dairy products.
Pricing Objectives
The other considerations also include the Non-price factor. Buyers are always willing to
pay more prices to gain other competitive advantage, so taking this factor into
consideration; Caremark Investments Limited will include new nutritional elements in
its composite dairy products to maintain the quality and freshness of its composite
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dairy products. The company is committed to giving added value to its customers as
one of the guarantees to provide quality products with a difference.
The Caremark Investments Limited advertising and promotion strategies will be based
on three phases.
Promotion
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Advertising and Sales Promotion Strategy
Caremark Investments Limited will also use the services of prominent doctors and
medical associations in its advertising campaign (1st phase).
These doctors will focus on the nutritional needs and advantages of Milk
recommending the Caremark Investments Limited composite dairy products.
Caremark Investments Limited will devote a special issue to milk, because day after day we're reminded
of its many benefits. It helps prevent osteoporosis, especially if it's taken very early in life; and it is the ideal
way of for the body to obtain vitamins, minerals, trace elements and essential fatty acids that our bodies
need to avoid nutritional deficiency. Not to mention the numerous nutritional properties that make milk a
basic food for the infant and an ideal food for the adolescent, the pregnant or nursing mother and so on. In
short, we all need milk, whatever age we happen to be. Milk has always played an important part in our
diet.
Caremark Investments Limited will also focus on different composite dairy products usage
situations like at playing sports; during tours and safaris; in hospitals during convalescence; etc.
Caremark Investments Limited will also target kids having composite dairy products for fun and
enjoyment.
Caremark Investments Limited will deliver composite dairy products in different packages and
flavors.
Caremark Investments Limited will launch a campaign in Schools. Sticking Posters on Walls
near schools and providing mobile refrigeration.
Caremark Investments Limited will go for co-branding activities with companies that
use the company‟s composite dairy products‟ processing by-products in their products.
Caremark Investments Limited will also celebrate different occasions like Children
days and will provide various gift packs.
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9.0 RAW MATERIALS
This section of the Business Plan assesses the source of raw materials for the proposed
Caremark Investments Limited Dairy processing plant. This section also takes a look at
the availability of the other raw material processing inputs for the dairy section of the
farm-industry enterprise.
The proposed Caremark Investments Limited will be producing and processing its
own on-farm produced organic milk and the surplus raw milk sourced from dairy out
growers as raw material feedstock to manufacture the indicated composite dairy
products of pasteurized milk, butter, yogurt, and cheese. Caremark Investments
Limited already keeps 40 high-yielding dairy cows (Holstein-Friesian) with a potential
daily milk yield of 400 litres of raw milk per day. The ambition of Caremark
Investments Limited is to set up a dairy hub with a milk collection, bulking and
processing capacity from the dairy producers in the neighbourhood that will start at
2,000 litres of raw milk per day or 730,000 litres of raw milk per annum – basing on the
assumption that the balance of 1,600-1,800 litres of raw milk will be collected from the
dairy out grower farmers daily as raw milk input for the proposed Caremark
Investments Limited mini dairy plant. As the Caremark Investments Limited‟s Dairy
plant‟s processing capacity gradually expands and grows to 5,000 litres of milk per day
by the fifth year of operations, additional raw milk input will be sourced from other
dairy farmers within Kabarole District to top up to the installed dairy plant‟s daily
maximum processing capacity.
Raw Milk: Dairy processing starts with raw whole milk. On average, the milk that
comes from a milking center will contain 87% water and 13% solids. The solids will be
made up of about 3.7% fat solids and 9% non-fat solids. The fat solids carry the vitamins
A, D, E, and K. The non-fat solids include protein levels that average 2.9%. It is
delivered to the processing center at a temperature between 36 and 42 degrees
Fahrenheit.
Raw Milk Storage: Caremark Investments Limited will have significant raw milk
storage capacity on-site that will include a 3,000 litre capacity milk cooler. The storage
capacity of the installed milk cooler will be adequate for the supply of the daily ram
milk inventory required by the installed multi-line dairy processor for processing it to
the end-use composite dairy products.
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Separation: The first step in processing is separation. No matter what product is to be
produced, the raw milk goes through a separation process. In theory, 100% of the fat is
removed and then re-blended to the different fluid products that are to be processed. In
practice, some of the fluid and a small amount of non-fat solids are removed with the
fat solids. Some plants do not separate all the fat and then re-blend. Instead, they
remove (separate) only the fat that needs to be removed for the product being bottled.
The separation process involves separating the 96.3% water and other non-fat solids
from the 3.7% fat solids. In some arrangements, the separation process simply removes
the amount of fat solids that are needed to push the amount of fat solids contained in
the milk down to 3.25% in order to reach the minimum required for whole milk. In
other situations, all of the fat solids are removed and then added back to the water to
push the fat solids up to the desired level. The excess fat solids (cream) that are not used
for the fluid milk process are used to make other dairy products (primarily ice cream)
or sold for use in other food manufacturing (i.e. candy).
Raw processing: This consists of putting the raw whole milk through a separator to
produce raw skim milk (96.5% water and other non-fat solids) and raw cream. Raw
skim milk will be piped to a raw skim storage tank, while the cream will be piped to
raw cream storage. There are very few dairy processing operations that would not
require a separation process.
Multi-Line versus Single Line Processing: The process for milk processing moves in
different directions from this point, based upon whether or not the facility is a Multi-
Line (several products) facility or a Single-Line facility. For the sake of explanation, the
following is a description of a Multi-Line processor that bottles Fluid Milk and
manufactures Cheese and Ice Cream.
Multi-Line Processing: After the separation process in a Multi-line operation, the cream
and skim can be blended for any product. This Business Plan assumes that the products
will be fluid milk products, full cream milk powder or yogurt. A multi-line processing
plant would likely sell as much milk as possible into the high-priced fluid market. The
raw milk and raw cream would be re-blended for whole milk, 2% milk, 1% milk, skim
and flavored milks such as chocolate or strawberry. Additives such as vitamins, non-fat
dry milk and stabilizers will be added when the milk products are blended.
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9.2 Availability of other Processing Raw Material Inputs
Caremark Investments Limited will be able to easily source and procure other vital
composite dairy product production inputs such as packing materials, disinfectants,
dairy processing chemicals & detergents and other dairy industry consumables from
local suppliers in Uganda – who produce, stock, and supply them in abundance in
major towns including Kampala.
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10.0 TECHNICAL ASPECTS
The technical assessment of the viability for setting up a 5,000 litres per day composite
dairy products processing plant depends on several major factors. These are discussed
below:
Physical dispersal of small & medium dairy farms makes enforcement of quality
standards difficult, but crucial. One factor would be the on-site milk collection,
circulation, cooling and delivery system to the processing unit. Other issues where
control is expected to yield positive results include adequate testing/laboratory
facilities and close monitoring of staff to ensure that necessary quality checks are made
and standards enforced.
The rationale for including a composite dairy products processing component y of 5,000
litres per day (LPD) capacity includes:
Current availability of more than 4.38 million tonnes per day (projected figure
2012) of raw milk, out of which only 2 – 3% is actually being processed.
A current market size of more than 30 million litres per annum of processed
milk, market for processed milk growing at more than 20% per annum for the
past 3 years and projected to continue growing at the same rate for the next 5
years.
The Government of Uganda‟s Strategic initiative for the milk processing industry
which includes; increasing milk yield per animal, stronger enforcement of laws
relating to adulteration and hygiene, a media program aimed at informing
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consumers about the dangers of consuming raw milk, a concentrated program by
the dairy industry promoting the use of yogurt and other cultured milk
products.
Availability of requisite technology for setting up composite dairy products
processing plant and trained manpower for running the same.
Huge export potential for yogurt and other cultured milk products in the East
and Central Africa Region, with Uganda being the only milk surplus country in
the East and Central Africa Region.
The milk passes into the heating section of the plate pack where it is subjected to the
legally required temperature / time combination of 71.7°C minimum for 15 seconds. It
is then cooled to 5°C and pumped into a holding tank.
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If required, homogenization of the pre-heated milk takes place prior to the
pasteurization stage. Homogenization breaks the milk fat globules into smaller sizes
and distributes them evenly throughout the milk preventing them rising to the top
forming a „cream‟ line.
The skim returns to the heating section of the milk pasteurizer and is subjected to the
legally required temperature / time combination of 71.7°C minimum for 15 seconds. It
is then cooled to 5°C and pumped into a holding tank.
It is then returned to the heating section of the milk pasteurizer and is subjected to the
legally required temperature / time combination of 71.7°C minimum for 15 seconds.
The semi-skimmed milk is then cooled to 5°C and pumped into a holding tank.
The surplus cream is transferred to a raw cream storage tank prior to pasteurization in a
dedicated cream pasteurizer.
Filling / Capping:
The cooled, pasteurized milk in the finished milk holding tank is pumped or gravity fed
into a filling machine. Bottles are filled, capped and have labels and codes applied prior
to being crated and transferred to cold storage at less than 5°C in preparation for
dispatch and sale. Product testing for compliance with legal requirements is carried out
at this stage.
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10.4.3 Pasteurized Milk Process Flow
Raw Milk
Pasteurizer Plant
Surplus Cream
Cream Label/Code
Filling/Capping/Label/Code
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10.5 Cheese Processing
Cheese: -
product made from the curd of the milk of cows (or other animals)
• Soft
- unripened: cottage cheese, cream cheese
- ripened: Brie, Camembert
• Semisoft
- Munster, Limburger, Blue
• Hard
- cheddar, swiss
• processed cheese
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Figure 13: Cheddar Cheese Making Process
Pasteurized milk
Pressing
Ripening
Primary proteolysis
- 60 days; residual chymosin
- caseins broken down into medium molec. wt. peptides
secondary proteolysis
- starter cultures break down peptides to lower molec. wts.
Temperature: 5-7°C
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o Allow LAB to utilize proteins present in milk to obtain essential amino acids
necessary for growth
- Generates peptides and amino acids
o Impart flavor directly or serve as flavor precursors
We assume that, the proposed Caremark Investments Limited „on farm‟ operation
keeps about 100 cows, producing around 3000 litres of milk per day. From the milk
produced, we can establish a clotted cream business but since this will leave us with a
lot of skimmed milk, we shall put up a Yoghurt production line. The Yoghurt
production facility can be set to work for three to four days per week with a maximum
capacity of 100 litres per batch. The number of batches produced per day will depend
on the market size and demand.
Note: Rigorous hygiene standards shall be observed at all stages of the process.
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Milk for Yogurt production:
The highest quality milk shall be used for yogurt production as poor bacteriological
quality inhibits the growth of the yogurt culture during incubation.
Residues of penicillin and cleaning and sterilising solutions also impede culture growth.
For low-fat or fat-free yogurt production the milk fat content of the milk is standardised
by separating off some of or all the fat.
A normal (full-fat) yogurt has butterfat content greater than 3%. The fat content of a
low-fat yogurt is greater than 1.5%, and for a fat-free yogurt about 0.1%.
Ingredients Addition:
Dry ingredients, skimmed milk powder, sugar, stabilizers and emulsifiers, are weighed
and added to a measured volume of milk in the manufacturing tank according to the
recipe to produce the base mixture.
Skimmed milk powder is used to increase the total solids content of the milk to produce
a firmer and more stable set when incubated.
Stabilisers, gelatine and pectin for example, increase the viscosity of the product and
help to minimize the risk of whey separation in the finished yogurt.
Stirring / Heating:
The yogurt base mixture is heated to ~ 60 to 70°C while continuously being stirred to
dissolve the ingredients.
Homogenization:
The mixture is passed through a homogeniser to break the milk fat globules into smaller
sizes and aid even distribution throughout the mix. This process improves the stability
and consistency of the yogurt by preventing fat separation.
Pasteurisation / Cooling:
The yogurt base mixture is batch pasteurised at 90°C for 10 - 15 minutes then cooled to
35°C. This heat treatment provides a „clean‟ medium for culture growth and also
improves consistency by denaturing the whey proteins.
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Culture addition:
A culture of harmless micro-organisms, which converts the milk sugar, lactose, into
lactic acid, is added to the mixture and stirred. The yogurt can be filled at this stage and
incubated in the pot if „set‟ yogurt is required.
Incubation:
The yogurt mixture is incubated until the required acidity has been reached. Incubation
temperatures and acidities may vary depending on cultures used and final product
requirement.
Filling:
The finished yogurt is filled into pots and lids and labels applied.
Storage / testing:
The finished product is transferred to a cold store and cooled to below 4°C ready for
despatch and sale. Product testing for compliance with legal requirements is carried out
at this stage.
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10.6.3 Yogurt process flow
Store
Homogenization
Cooling (350C)
Culture Addition
Incubation
Cooling (~10-150C)
Storage/Testing
A modern Dairy processing plant of 5,000 liters per day needs to be purchased from a
reputable supplier of dairy processing machinery. There are a number of overseas
suppliers or their agents in Uganda. It is estimated that a plant of the capacity specified
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above would cost UShs 470.22 million including storage tanks, processing machinery,
packaging machinery, quality control laboratories, installation, start-up etc.A list of the
most renowned and reputable international suppliers of dairy equipment is attached in
Appendix I on page 153.
The Business Plan suggests purchasing anirrigation system for year-round water
provision for pasture improvement on the farm. Other essential dairy farm equipment
that will be purchased include: a 3,000 litre-capacity milk cooler, a 16-unit cow milking
system (Vacuum Line System), a stand-by electricity generator, 2 portable livestock
scales, feeding troughs, and milk utensils. Additional dairy section farm equipment that
needs to be purchased includes 2 fodder/maize choppers, a water pump, water
troughs, and feeding mangers. These items (with the exception of the irrigation system
and milk cooler) are all categorized under Allied Service Equipment in Table 15 below.
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10.8 Irrigation Equipment
The following tables present the office equipment and furniture/fixtures requirement
for a milk pasteurization unit.
10.10 Vehicles
Caremark Investments Limited has its own light truck vehicle which it is currently
using to transport raw material inputs to the farm and the processed dairy products for
market distribution in Kampala and other major sales outlets in Uganda. The current
market value of this distribution van is UShs 35 million.
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11.0 THE BUSINESS CASE FOR A DAIRY HUB
11.1 Overview
At the core of the intervention is the establishment of a MCC [Milk Collection Centre]
that acts as a central hub (a dairy hub). This dairy hub links the processor closely to the
farmers, both of whom benefit in terms of supply/sales security and quality control.
Besides storing and cooling, the dairy hub provides milking services for the farmers as
well. Additional business activities (not in this simulation model) are fodder and feed
supply and vet services.
Investment is needed if the model is to succeed. Most farmers have a low investment
capacity. Therefore finance needs to come from the processors, as they are able to raise
capital and need to develop their supply chain to secure a successful future for their
own businesses. To link farmers and processors and secure input and output of milk,
the model proposes shared ownership between the local farmers‟ cooperatives and the
processor. Dedicated staff (independent service providers or staff from the processing
company) will operate the dairy hub.
In this model, one of the most significant business risks is farmers selling their milk on
the side. This can be mitigated by agreeing contracts between farmers and the
processor, either directly or through the dairy hub. In return, the processor must
guarantee a minimum purchasing level of milk from the dairy hub. Shared ownership
also creates incentives for farmers to sell their milk to the dairy hub as they will benefit
from positive results through dividends.
Table 17 below gives an overview of the major risks associated with the
implementation of dairy activities on farmer and dairy hub level in Uganda.
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Table 17: Business Risks and Mitigation Strategies for a Dairy Hub
RISK EXPLANATION MITIGATION OPTIONS
Selling milk on the The dairy hub runs the risk of not Establish a relationship in which off-take
side (side selling) procuring milk in high-demand periods. during dry seasons is coupled with off-
take during peak seasons.
Off-take blocks during Processors may establish extra-high Improve milk quality to enable longer
fasting periods quality demands or completely block milk storage and engage in long-term
procurement during the fasting period. relationship with processors to enable
production schemes that meet demand
during fasting periods
Processor lacks Processors need both financial and milk Milk processing in the short-term will not
capacity processing capacity. be a problem as there is currently an
under-capacity. Financial capacity will
have to be identified per processor, but
the benefits of a secure supply chain will
possibly interest investors to ensure there
is enough capacity.
Dairy hub governance The dairy hub requires good governance Hire quality personnel, implement a good
to deliver consistently high-quality milk, management system and ownership
maintain impeccable financial standards model with appropriate checks and
and help farmers increase their herd and balances and ensure frequent training of
milk collection rates. personnel.
Lack of high-quality High-quality fodder availability is a key Fodder production should be part of any
fodder availability precondition for achieving efficient cows approach. Entrepreneurs can be
and higher farmer income. encouraged to start large-scale fodder
farms supported by technology to enable
storage and handle high production levels
during the wet season. Smallholders in
mixed crop systems can be included so
they become specialized fodder
producers
Smallholder farmer Despite the positive business case, The Uganda Development Bank [UDB]
financing financing smallholders remains difficult and MFIs in place can already partially
and will require support to convince banks extend credit but may need support to
and/or supply chain partners to extend release financing on a longer-term basis.
credit to smallholder farmers so they can Backing loans with securities to drive
initiate development. down interest rates will be key to
developing the initial business case and
enabling smallholder farmers to become
entrepreneurial 10/10 farmers
Climate impact Droughts and other climate-related events Within the approach, there should be
can have a big impact on smallholder attention to looking at farmers as
farmers. In particular, the farms not able businesses that through the
to build up reserves are at a high risk of implementation of improvements will be
losing everything they have. able to build up reserves and either deal
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with climate events or have the capacity
to take out insurance policies.
Milk price and off take Milk prices fluctuate throughout the year Efficient high-quality production is
and can go down sharply or even lead to necessary to enable value-added
a lack of off-take during fasting periods. processing and overcome fasting periods.
Dairy hubs need to make sure that high
quality is key as this will increase
consumer trust creating local processing
and in the long term export markets which
are able to absorb fasting period
fluctuations.
Farm management & Farms their management and access to Ensure that the dairy hub will function not
access to services services plays a major role in achieving only as a simple provider of milk collection
high quantities and high quality milk. but ensure advice and linkages to
Without enough knowledge and proper services are available. The dairy hub
implementation or access to good manager that is recruited should be a
services it is hard to improve cow milk trusted adviser with connections to high
output. quality service providers in the region.
These risks are an initial selection that have arisen during development of dairy hubs
elsewhere in Uganda. In specific locations, there may be additional risks such as
cultural acceptance of changing methods, influence of local chiefs on business practices,
corruption blocking further development and the general risks of doing business in
Uganda. This overview is not exhaustive, but it gives an idea of the most important
risks associated with the business cases.
11.3 Conclusion
Looking at the business case for dairy farmers who own ten or more milking cows that
are productive, it is clear that a significant return on investment can be achieved and
dairy can become a profitable business when this growth is realized. Accessing loans for
this group of farmers to invest in heifers and feed can be done via MFIs [Microfinance
Institutions], through joint initiatives (cooperatives) or seed capital provided by special
grants. TA [Technical Assistance] interventions can be provided by development
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partners [i.e. Operation Wealth Creation and/or NAADS] in collaboration with local
government authorities.
To address the bottlenecks relating to milk quality, hygiene and safety of milk products,
investment in a dairy hub is an important and necessary development. This applies to
production zones, whether in urban or rural areas, since a constant supply of high-
quality milk can only be guaranteed through joint collection, cooling and milking at
village level. The business and investment case simulation is positive, with a positive
cash flow from year 2 onward and all debts and/or investments paid off in years 6 to 7.
Setting up the dairy hub requires a big initial investment, immediately generating cash
flow as long as supply and sales of milk are guaranteed through strong involvement of
both farmers and processors. Because farmers and cooperatives lack the capital to make
these investments themselves, the investment has to be made by private milk
processors.
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12.0 CIVIL WORKS & BUILDINGS INFRASTRUCTURE
The entire site shall be fenced with barbed wire or compound wall will be constructed
with gates at suitable places;
Internal roads shall be of tar/bricks/WBM depending upon the soil conditions, rainfall
and the number of vehicles moving every day;
The cost for site preparation and development shall be UShs 80.975 million as indicated
in Table 20 below and Schedule 02/2 on page 137.
The total constructed area has been envisaged at 4,000 square meters to house the main
cow sheds and multi-line dairy production facility and storage of composite dairy
products infrastructure. The composite dairy products need to stay in the factory
warehouse for a minimum of 3 days to allow for stabilization before they can be
transported. The total cost of the buildings and civil works has been estimated at UShs
323,900,000 (Ref. Table 18 below & Schedule 02/2 on page 137).
The civil works comprise of factory building, administration offices, living quarters,
security post, etc. The factory building for the milk reception, quality control,
processing, packing and storage of milk products should be as per the BSI (British
Standards Institution). The total covered area depends on the processes involved,
products manufactured, the quantity of milk handled and the equipment chosen for
services and product manufacturing. About 3,000 sq. metres area of building is required
for handling 3,000 liters of milk.
The milk processing plant shall have the following essential facilities:
i) Raw Milk Reception Dock (RMRD) - consisting of can conveyor, can washer,
weighing balance, dump tank etc.
ii) Processing Hall - cream separator, chiller, homogenizer, pasteuriser and other
related machinery are installed.
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iv) Products manufacturing area-depends upon the type of products, quantity of
milk handled and the machinery to be installed.
vi) Cold storage-for keeping the milk and milk products before sending to market.
vii) Quality Control Laboratory-for testing the quality of milk and milk products.
viii) Utilities area-for installing boiler, generator set, water treatment plant,
maintenance and store area for spares.
ix) Waste water treatment plant area-for treating the dairy effluents before releasing
to the fields.
xi) Vehicle parking area-both for the milk procurement and distribution vehicles.
xii) Input supply area- for providing veterinary service, supply of feed, fodder
seeds, etc.
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12.3 Utilities and other Infrastructure Services
i) Power:
Normally a three phase electricity supply is required for milk processing plants. The
power requirement depends upon the load to be connected and the necessary approval
from UEDCL should be obtained for connection. Depending upon the position of power
supply, standby generators may be considered for connecting the essential sections.
ii) Water:
The mini-dairy processing plant infrastructure requires the water in the ratio of 2:1 (2
liters of water for 1 liter of milk processed) for cleaning of equipment, cold storage and
drinking purposes. The source of water for the proposed mini-dairy processing plant
infrastructure will be from a borehole water point within the precincts of the farm. A
water softening plant for the mini-dairy processing plant will also be considered.
iii) Fuel:
Fuel and oil requirements for the mini-dairy processing plant infrastructure will be
sourced directly from any of the local fuel product dealers and services providers in
Uganda.
Compressed air will be needed for various pneumatic operations flow control
operations as well as for cleaning purposes.
v) Other Services:
vi) Communication:
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13.0 OPERATIONS PLAN
The interface between construction and operations will require careful consideration,
especially as the plant moves from a construction environment to a „live‟ operational
environment.
The delivery of operating manuals and the training of operational staff should take
place during the commissioning of the plant and prior to full operations. Indeed, it
would be usual for this to be a precondition to taking over the plant. It is during this
period that the establishment of best practice and guidelines for cleaning and
contamination prevention should also be outlined.
The operator may be responsible for maintenance and lifecycle replacement, or the
contractor may retain these responsibilities (at least, for a fixed period) under the terms
of a technical services agreement. Except where maintenance and lifecycle replacement
requirements are due to defects in the works or poor operating procedures, the
associated cost will usually be a developer risk and should therefore be planned for.
A further key stage of the operational process is the sampling and monitoring
procedures for the product. There will be a number of stages involved in this but, for
obvious reasons, the two key stages will be prior to the raw materials entering the plant
and prior to the end product leaving the plant.
Prior to raw materials entering the plant, the following should be verified to establish
whether raw materials or the product should be rejected:
presence of antibiotics
milk fat levels
protein levels
bulk milk cell count
bacteria levels.
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Following processing, the final product will be checked for specification compliance
(e.g. fat content) and the presence of bacteria. If proper sampling and monitoring
procedures have been carried out, it is likely that any deficiency will have arisen due to
operational issues or a problem in the process plant. Either way, the cause should be
identified and appropriate actions taken (which may include a plant shutdown) until
the cause has been established and the problem rectified.
The extent to which the cost risk of a contaminated product may be passed down to the
supply chain (including any third-party operator) is a matter for negotiation.
Experience tells us that the extent to which a third-party operator will accept such risks
under a services contract may be limited, although exclusions from any limit on liability
have been achieved around particular project/sector-specific risks.
Care should be taken when drawing up the Operating and Maintenance (O&M)
contract. It will not usually be possible to pass off to the operator the full extent of the
developer‟s potential losses arising from poor operational performance or negligence.
The developer will therefore manage performance under the terms of the O&M contract
through a mix of monetary sanctions designed to incentivise good performance against
defined key performance indicators (KPIs). Also, the developer should have the right to
replace the operator in defined circumstances, with the additional cost to the developer
arising from such replacement being met by the operator.
The residual risks that are not passed off to the operator will typically be managed by
the developer, through a combination of risk management, monitoring and insurance.
a) The milk will be tested for adulterations and quality at the time of collection
from the farmers.
b) The Milk that comes from the collection points to the Caremark Investments
Limited Dairy plant will be ensured to have a temperature of not more than 4°C
and is subjected to 15 product and quality checks.
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c) The Milk quality will be checked repeatedly after each processing phase and the
temperature will be judiciously maintained less than 4°C always.
d) Before the milk leaves the plant for the delivery/distribution outlets the milk will
be tested again.
e) The temperature of milk in the delivery trucks will always be maintained at less
than 4°C.
f) All the trucks that deliver milk will have specified guidelines to bring back 100
litres of milk after distribution. This is done in order to test the delivered milk
and to ensure that the tankers are not adulterated during distribution.
h) To ensure milk freshness the collection and distribution points will always be
chosen such that the travel time between them is always less than 36 hours.
Procurement:
Fresh milk will be sourced directly from the Caremark Investments Limited dairy farm
and other smallholder dairy producers in Kabarole District. Milk received from
individual producers will be checked for all basic quality parameters meeting company
specifications & requirements at respective collection & chilling centers. Milk is then
supplied to the Caremark Investments Limited Dairy processing plant through
insulated Milk Tankers under refrigerated conditions to maintain the freshness. Strict
Quality checks will be performed for all incoming Milk received at the Dairy processing
plant. These includes organoleptic (Taster, Odor & Appearance), Physico-chemical (e.g.
Temperature, Foreign matter, % Fat, % SNF, %Acidity, % Protein etc.), microbiological
(e.g. MBRT), also presence of any adulterations in Milk (e.g. Formalin, urea, starch,
sugar, Glucose, maltodextrin, nitrate, Salt, Hydrogen Per-oxide, neutralizer, ammonium
compounds and Fat adulterations). Commodities, ingredients & packaging material
used for our products are checked, approved and released by Quality functions as per
company specifications and requirements.
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GMP & Hygiene:
Good manufacturing Practices (GMP) for the Caremark Investments Limited Dairy
processing plant will be part of our heritage of producing best quality and safe
products. Caremark Investments Limited will maintain highest level of GMP and
hygiene requirements for production and handling of safe products for our valued
customers and consumers.
Processing:
The products will be manufactured in a state of the art manufacturing facilities using
innovative Process & Technologies. The Milk received at the plant will undergo various
processing steps before it reaches to the customer. Process steps include filtration,
clarification, pasteurization, chilling, filling, packing and storage for our liquid milk
category. For other dairy product category, few of the process steps are
homogenization, etc. Cleaning & Sanitation of the processing equipment will be
ensured using automatic Cleaning in Place (CIP) systems by applying “5T‟ principles
viz. Technology, Time, Temperature, Turbulence and Testing. Critical control points
(CCP), Operational Prerequisite Programs (OPRP) will be identified for each process
using scientific methodology and appropriate control measures are applied to ensure
compliance of Quality and Food Safety requirements. Process control parameters will
be monitored, recorded and reviewed as per the Quality Plan to ensure right product
right at first time. Manufacturing processes will be benchmarked against best-in-class
standards towards continual improvement for infrastructure and system requirements.
Packing:
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Finished products will be tested for the specified quality parameters of each product
category as per our internal standardized sampling plan and test procedure. Test results
will be recorded, reviewed by Quality functions. It will be ensured that only good
quality product will be released for dispatch to reach our valued customer & consumer.
Raw milk/cream must be negative for the presence of veterinary drug residues
and inhibitory substance residues as tested by an approved screening method or
testing below the MRL by an approved quantitative method.
Temperature of incoming raw milk into the dairy establishment should not be
greater than 4ºC. Milk coming directly from the barn and being processed within
2 hours (i.e. for cheese making) may be acceptable at higher temperatures. Time,
temperature and processing parameters must be made available to the inspector
for review and evaluation if milk is received at temperatures greater than 4ºC.
Provincial requirements must be met.
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milk/cream should not be stored longer than 72 hours at a temperature of 4ºC or
less.
If raw milk/cream (generally applies to sheep milk, because with other milks the
protein coagulates out and causes damage to the milk) is being frozen to
accumulate a larger volume for processing, proper procedures should be in place
so that milk does not go through a period of freeze, thaw, and freeze prior to use.
An establishment that stores frozen raw milk/cream and then tempers it from a
frozen state will require a written protocol of how the product will be handled so
as to minimize the growth of micro-organisms, including routine documented
temperature checks and microbiological testing. Consideration should be given
to the following:
o Warm milk should not be poured directly onto frozen milk. It should be
cooled to 4ºC before adding it to the frozen.
Where more than one dairy species are being processed in the same facility,
procedures are in place to prevent the unintentional mixing of the milk between
dairy animal species.
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Rationale:
Personnel, including the operator/owner, need to have the necessary knowledge and
skills to enable them to process and handle dairy products in a safe and sanitary
manner.
Rationale:
The implementation of an effective and up-to-date training program for dairy
establishment workers is critical to ensure that the procedures and practices of these
personnel are such that the final product will not be contaminated.
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13.5 Recall Programme
The recall program must include a mock recall (testing at a minimum frequency
of once per year that demonstrates that the affected product can be traced back to
the distribution level).
Caremark Investments Limited must maintain a complaint file that includes the
initial complaint information, investigation of the complaint, a record of the
findings and action taken,
In the case of safety concerns, the establishment must notify the UNBS for
consultation if unsure of the need for a recall or to ensure the action/decision
taken is correct.
Rationale:
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14.0 HUMAN RESOURCE AND MANAGEMENT STRUCTURE
It is proposed that a special purpose company be set-up to establish and operate the
proposed dairy unit. This company will be known as Caremark Investments Limited.
The Companies Act (cap. 110 of the Laws of Uganda) regulates the establishment and
governance of a limited company (public of private) in Uganda.
Principles and rules on corporate governance need to be laid down in the Articles &
Memorandum of Association (Incorporation) and the Regulations of Board of Directors.
The proposed governance structure is illustrated on the following page.
The business of the company is to be managed under the directions of the Board of
Directors. The Board is responsible for establishing broad corporate policies and for the
overall performance of the company. The core responsibility of the directors is to
exercise their business judgment and to act in what they reasonably believe to be in the
best interests of the company.
The Board‟s Corporate Governance Committee is required to review the principles and
rules regularly in the light of prevailing best practices and it is required to forward
suggestions for improvement to the board for approval.
The Board‟s job should be to create and maintain a structure that will ensure harmony
and cooperation between management and the employees in pursuing the goals and
objectives of the organization rather than simply rubber-stamping the actions of
management.
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The Board‟s Audit Committee will have two fundamental responsibilities: internally it
will oversee the annual external audit to ensure the accuracy and integrity of the
financial statements as required by legislation. It will also ensure that there are no
breakdowns in corporate governance rules and procedures, including the rules of
ethical conduct and internal control. The Audit Committee would also be the practical
monitor collecting information regarding corporate misconduct and encouraging those
with such information to come forward.
Share-Holders
The Company
Chief Executive
Officer
The paramount duty of the Board of Directors is to select a Chief Executive Officer
(CEO) and to oversee the CEO and the other senior management staff in the proper and
ethical operation of the company.
The Board would identify, and periodically update the qualities and characteristics
necessary for an effective CEO of the company. With these principles in mind, the
Board should periodically monitor and review the development and progression of
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potential internal candidates against these standards.
The selected CEO will be responsible for delivering policy and performance for
customers, society, staff, suppliers and the business. The core activities are briefly
described as under:
Responsible for overseeing the smooth running of the dairy processing plant.
Part of the team that determines the quantity of drinks that are to be produced.
Map out strategy that will lead to efficiency amongst workers in the plant.
Responsible for training, evaluation and assessment of plant workers.
Ensures that the steady flow of both raw materials to the plant and easy flow of
finished products through wholesale distributors to the market.
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Ensures operation of equipment by completing preventive maintenance
requirements; calling for repairs.
Ensures that the plant meets the expected safety and health standard at all times.
Food Technologist
Responsible for the production of all the flavors of yogurts produced by the
company.
Ensures that the organization follows due process as it applies to the nature of
business we are into.
Serve as the quality assurance officer of the organization.
Manage external research and coordinate all the internal sources of information
to retain the organizations‟ best customers and attract new ones.
Model demographic information and analyze the volumes of transactional data
generated by customer purchases.
Identify, prioritize, and reach out to new partners, and business opportunities et
al.
Responsible for supervising implementation, advocate for the customer‟s needs,
and communicate with clients.
Develop, execute and evaluate new plans for expanding increase sales.
Document all customer contact and information.
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Represent the company in strategic meetings.
Help increase sales and growth for the company.
Factory Workers
Responsible for carrying out all casual or unskilled jobs in the plants.
Responsible for operating sealing and packaging machines.
Handles any other dusty as assigned by the plant manager.
Accountant / Cashier
Responsible for preparing financial reports, budgets, and financial statements for
the organization.
Provides managements with financial analyses, development budgets, and
accounting reports; analyzes financial feasibility for the most complex proposed
projects; conducts market research to forecast trends and business conditions.
Responsible for financial forecasting and risks analysis.
Performs cash management, general ledger accounting, and financial reporting
Responsible for developing and managing financial systems and policies.
Responsible for administering payrolls.
Ensuring compliance with taxation legislation.
Handles all financial transactions for the organization.
Serves as internal auditor for the organization.
Ensures that all contacts with customer (e-mail, walk-In center, SMS or phone)
provides the client with a personalized customer service experience of the
highest level.
Through interaction with customers on the phone, uses every opportunity to
build client‟s interest in the company‟s products and services.
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Manages administrative duties assigned by the store manager in an effective and
timely manner.
Consistently stays abreast of any new information on Caremark Investments
Limited products, promotional campaigns etc. to ensure accurate and helpful
information is supplied to customers when they make enquiries.
Cleaners:
Purchasers Accountant
Processing &
(4)
Packing (10)
Milk Cashiers
Receptionists (2)
(5)
Drivers (2)
Security (2)
Cleaners (6)
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14.5 Manpower Requirements
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15.0 PROJECT ECONOMICS
The total project cost for setting up the proposed Caremark Investments Limited is
UShs 2.057 billion. The capital cost incurred is UShs 1.655 billion and the working
capital and contingency expense on account are altogether UShs 0.402 billion. The total
cost, project returns and financial plan are given in Tables 20-1 to 20-3 below.
The net employment effect is generally expected to grow in tandem with the
establishment of the dairy hub as a viable agri-business entity and the consolidation of
its business/ marketing position within on the local market.
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As a measure of national economic benefit, the calculation below gives an indication of
the investment to jobs created ratio (Over the 10-year financial analysis period).
Investment to Jobs Created Ratio (IJCR)
The project will beget several positive impacts to the economy. It will create 32 direct
employment opportunities for Ugandans, and will also play an important role for rural
families in Kabarole District, especially in the areas of nutrition, income and jobs and in
integrating farming systems (crop-fish-livestock) to optimize the use of available
resources, including feed/fodder, land, water, etc. The success of the Caremark
Investments Limited dairy processing project will also function as a private
entrepreneur dairy hub business model in Kabarole District providing value addition
for smallholders in the area in terms of livestock development services. The success of
the Caremark Investments Limited dairy processing enterprise will also create a strong
interest for investment in the local dairy sector that will definitely impact quite
positively on the economic out-turn of the sector and its importance in Uganda‟s overall
GDP output. There is quite likely to be an increasing awareness among local
governments, NGOs and the private sector about the significant economic and
environmental benefits of sustainable and profitable social and private-sector oriented
dairying in rural areas.
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16.0 KEY SUCCESS FACTORS
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17.0 ENVIRONMENTAL ASPECTS AND POLLUTION CONTROL
17.1 Emissions
Hardly any solid waste is produced by the dairy industry. The main solid waste
produced by the dairy industry is the sludge resulting from wastewater purification.
There are figures available about the amount of sludge production: in aerobic systems
the sludge production is about 0.5 kg per kg of removed COD and in anaerobic systems
about 0.1 kg per kg of removed COD.
17.1.2 Wastewater
Wastewater from dairy industry may originate from the following sources:
Milk receiving
Wastewater results from tank, truck and storage tank washing, pipe line washing and
sanitizing. It contains milk solids, detergents, sanitizers and milk wastes.
Cheese/Whey/Curd
Waste results mainly from the production of whey, wash water, curd particles etc.
Cottage cheese curd for example is more fragile than rennet curd which is used for
other types of cheese. Thus the whey and wash water from cottage cheese may contain
appreciably more fine curd particles than that from other cheeses. The amount of fine
particles in the wash water increases if mechanical washing processes are used.
Butter/Ghee
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Skim milk and buttermilk can be used to produce skim-milk powder in the factory itself
or itself or these materials may be shipped to another dairy food plant by tank truck.
The continuous butter production process materially reduces the potential waste load
by eliminating the buttermilk production and the washing steps (Harper et. al., 1971).
Milk powder
Condensed milk/Cream
Environmental problems related to the production of condensed milk and cream are
mainly caused by the high energy consumption during the evaporation process.
The main suspended solids mentioned in the literature are coagulated milk and fine
particles of cheese curd.
Table 21 gives an overview of the waste production data for the dairy industry.
(2): Barnes et al (1984), referring to EPA (1971) and Kearney (1973). Values between
brackets are recalculated, assuming 2400 kg waste water/ton milk processed, thereby
overestimating the range to some extent.
Table 21 confirms that it is hard to give general characteristics of dairy plants. This is, as
mentioned before, caused by the variation in the sizes of the plants and variation in
types of product manufactured. The effect of the type of product produced is illustrated
in Table 22.
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Table 22: Effect of Waste Products
Type of product Wastewater volume BOD
Average Range Average Range
(1)
Milk 3250 100 - 5400 4.2 0.20 – 7.8
Condensed milk 2100 1000 – 3000 7.6 0.20 – 13.3
Butter 800 0.85
Milk powder 3700 1500 – 5900 2.2 0.02 – 4.6
Cottage cheese 6000 800 – 12400 34.0 1.30 – 71.2
(2)
Milk (canned) 320 – 1870 0.02 – 1.13
Condensed milk 800 – 7290 0.17 – 1.48
Butter 800 – 6550 0.19 – 1.91
Natural cheese 200 – 5850 0.30 – 4.04
Cottage cheese 830 – 12540 1.30 – 42
(3)
Milk 0.2 – 4.0
Cheese 0.9
Butter/milk powder 0.3
Total 4000
(1): Taiganides (1987), refering to EPA (1971).
(2): Middlebrooks (1979), refering to EPA (1974).
(3): RIVM (1993): Dutch situation in 1990.
The ranges in Table 22 also indicate that the production of wastewater is highly
influenced by management practices (see next paragraph). It is not possible to identify
particular waste producing practices. The way in which the water consuming and
operation processes are carried out is indicative of the management quality. The major
contribution to the waste load comes from cleaning operations, which take place
throughout the production process. Only in the production process of (hard) cheese, is
whey sewering one of the main contributors to the waste load.
- Start-up, product change over and shut down of HTST and UHT pasteurizers;
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- Lubrication of casers, stackers and conveyors.
In dairy plants air pollution is mainly caused because of the need for energy. In the
process gasses may be discharged such as CO2, CO, NO2 and SO2.
Table 23 gives the emissions into the air as a result of gas- and oil-combustion. No
figures are available about the emissions into the air resulting from the use of electricity.
Emissions of CFC‟s and NH3 into the air may come about as a result of leakage and
stripping of chilling machines when out of use.
The waste load, expressed as BOD depends to a large degree on the style of
management. Table 25 gives an example of the relationship between management
practices and waste production in terms of BOD and the amount of wastewater
produced. The table shows that a large quantity of processed milk does not necessarily
lead to higher waste loads or to higher levels of wastewater production.
Management practices cover a wide range of water consumption and process operation
activities. Well controlled processes reflect good management qualifications, while bad
practices are a reflection of poor management. Table 24 shows the relationships. The
qualification “fair” signifies that good as well as bad practices occur. With good
management practices, values of BOD 1 kg/ton and produced wastewater below 1
kg/kg may be reached. Poor management will result in values greater than 3 kg/ton
resp. 3 kg/kg.
For the evaluation of management practices, the following indicators are useful:
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1. Housekeeping practices;
2. Water control practices; frequency with which hoses and other sources of water
are left running when not in actual use;
5. Extent of carton breakage and product damage in casing, stacking and cooler
operations;
8. The following of practices that reduce the amount of wash water from cottage
cheese or butter operations;
9. Extent to which the plant uses procedures to segregate and recover milk solids in
the form of rinses and/or products from pasteurization start-up and product
change-over;
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Table 24: An example of the relationship between management practices and waste production
Product Milk processed BOD Wastewater Management level
(kg/day) (kg/ton) (kg/kg) Range
Milk 181,600 0.3 0.4 excellent: 19, 25, 26
227,000 0.2 0.1 excellent: 19, 21, 26, 27
113,500 0.7 1.0 good: 8, 10, 18, 20
68,100 7.8 5.2 poor: 1
Cottage cheese 272,400 2.0 0.8 good: 8, 15, 16
135,200 1.3 4.7 good: 8, 17
295100 71 12.4 poor: 2
Milk, cottage cheese 454,000 4.1 1.2 good: 2, 19
211,110 1.8 1.1 good: 21, 22
408,600 3.3 1.1 fair: 8, 9
454,000 8.6 2.0 poor: 8, 3, 4
Milk, butter 135,200 0.9 0.8 good: 23, 24, 28
Whey powder 227,000 0.3 0.4 excellent: 19, 25, 26
Milk powder, butter 90,800 0.2 0.1 excellent: 19, 21, 26, 27
In the following a summary is given of suggestions for the prevention of dairy waste.
At the same time they are indicative of what is to be understood when speaking about
good management of waste control (EPA, 1971):
2. The carrying out of a study of the plant and the development of a material
balance to determine where losses occur. Modification and replacement of ill-
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functioning equipment. Where improper maintenance is the cause of losses, a
specific maintenance programme should be set up.
3. The use of adequate equipment for receiving, cooling, storing and processing of
milk, so as to take care of the maximum volume of flush production and of
special products. All piping, around storage tanks and other areas, should be
checked on mis-assembly and damage that may lead to leakage.
5. Elimination of valves on the outlet sides of internal tubular or plate heaters and
coolers and maintenance of plates and gaskets in good repair so as to eliminate
waste due to blown or broken gaskets.
6. Installation of suitable liquid level controls with automatic pump stops, alarms,
and other devices at all points where overflows could occur (storage tanks,
processing tanks, filler bowls etc.).
7. Keeping in good order of vats, tanks and pipelines so as to eliminate and reduce
to a minimum the number of leaky joints, gaskets, packing glands and rotary
seals.
8. Proper design and installation of vats and tanks at a level high enough above the
floor for easy drainage and rinsing if hand cleaned. Tanks should be pitched to
insure draining.
10. Provision and use of proper drip shields on surface coolers and fillers so as to
avoid products from reaching the floor. Avoidance of cheese vats, vat processors
or cooling tanks being overfilled so that no spillage occurs during product
agitation. The liquid level in cheese vats should be at least three inches below the
top-edge of the vat.
11. Avoidance of foaming of fluid dairy products, since foam readily runs over
processing vats and other supply bowls and contains large amounts of solids and
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BOD. The use of air tight separators, proper seals on pumps and proper line
connections to prevent inflow of air when lines are under partial vacuum, will
avoid foam production.
12. Turning off of water hoses when not in use. Use should be made of hoses
equipped with automatic shut-off valves so as to avoid excessive water usage.
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18.0 SCHEDULE OF IMPLEMENTATION
It is expected that it will take approximately 9 months to have this project put into
operation from the day funds for its execution are secured. The preparatory stage which
involves the eventual approval for funding is assumed to take 3 months from the date
of its final submission to project financiers by the project promoters. The follow-on
project implementation activities are expected to take an additional 6 months to
completion – which altogether adds up to 9 months (approximately 1 year).
The following Gantt chart presented in Figure 17 highlights the important project
implementation milestones.
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Figure 17: Project Implementation Milestones
Commence Operations
Commissioning of Industry
Full Staffing
Hiring Key Executives
Arrangements for Industrial Input
Supplies
Procure Project Office Stationery
and or Equipment
Industry Plant& Equipment:
Installation
Industry Plant& Equipment:
Shipment & Delivery
Industry Plant& Equipment:
Identification of Equipment
Suppliers/Opening of LCs and
Order of Equipment
Industry Plant Infrastructure/Site
Development
Surveys & Demarcation
Seed Financing
Period (Months) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
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19.0 FINANCIAL EVALUATION
This section evaluates various financial aspects of the project (cost of project, earnings
forecast, rates of return, payback period, cash flow, balance sheet, etc.). Wherever
calculations, workings, etc. are voluminous, a summarized version is presented in this
chapter and detailed calculations are given in the relevant Schedules of Financial
Analysis 01 – 14 on pages 134 – 152 of this Business Plan.
Total project cost is estimated at UShs 2,057 billion as shown below in Table 25 in
summarized form.
Funds will be required for the purchase of packaging materials, purchase and
installation of the multi-line dairy processing plant machinery and equipment, purchase
of an industrial generator, payments for site development, payments for building and
civil construction of the dairy processing plant, payments for construction of the yogurt
cold room, office furniture and equipment, etc. The production process for the multi-
line dairy processing plant is a continuous process and capacity has been calculated
basing on 8 hours per day, the integrated dairy processing plant must be compulsorily
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shut down for cleaning on a daily basis and the cleaning and sterilization time is 8
hours. It is expected that the dairy processing plant will run for 360 days a year and in
the second year capacity utilization will start off 40% in Project Year 2 and then expand
to 100% in Project Year 5, for the reason that the project has to utilize economies of scale
to break even early and effectively service debt.
Land:
Caremark Investments Limited proposes to base the dairy processing plant on its
own400-Acre farm land at Nyamuhuti Village in Hakibale Sub-County of Kabarole
District in the south-western cattle corridor of Uganda. The farm is located 12 kms to
the west of Fort Portal town along the Fort Portal – Kijura road with an estimated
market value of UShs 200 million at a land market rate of UShs 5 million/Acre.
Site Improvement:
The project promoter of Caremark Investments Limited will have to undertake some
extensive land improvement works at the proposed site including site surveys, land
leveling and drainage, and other structural land design works that are estimated to cost
UShs 80,975,000.
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Yogurt Cold Room:
Caremark Investments Limited will need a yogurt cold room for storage of processed
yogurt, butter and cheese before it can be transported out for market distribution. A
standard-sized and fully equipped yogurt cold-room is estimated to cost about US$
100,000 or UShs 370,000,000.
Transportation Vehicles:
Caremark Investments Limited already has its own transportation van with an
estimated value of UShs 35,000,000.
Working Capital:
Milk is a business in which cash flow is very high and companies in the industry tend to
generate cash surpluses on a regular basis, most of the milk is purchased on a 1-week
credit basis and the finished product is sold on cash. Some advances are paid especially
in the summer months when raw milk production goes down. Working capital is
mostly required for paying for purchase of vital production inputs such as milk product
packaging materials, dairy cattle feed raw material ingredients and supplements, drugs
and medication (including vaccines), agro-industrial consumables, finished goods in
warehouse that have to be preserved and stabilized before release into the market, for
payments of utility bills, wages, fuel for vehicles and for spares. There is also a variety
of other initial (business start-up) working capital expenses that are detailed in
Schedule 02/1: Initial Project Investment Costs – Initial Working Capital on page 136
of this Business Plan. The Working Capital requirements have been estimated at UShs
300,000,000 for the first three months of operation.
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19.2 Financial Plan
The projected income statement for the proposed Caremark Investments Limited is
given in Table 27 below.
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Table 27: Summary Profit & Loss Account for First Five Years of the Project (In UShs ‘000)
Description Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6
Sales 2,383,200 3,784,320 5,343,192 7,075,013 7,497,043
Less: Cost of Goods Sold 534,600 825,147 1,100,196 1,375,245 1,415,225
Gross Profit 1,848,600 2,959,173 4,242,996 5,699,768 6,081,818
Less: Operating Expenses 1,145,706 1,484,510 1,797,108 2,110,897 2,187,060
Operating Profit 702,894 1,474,663 2,445,888 3,588,870 3,894,759
Less: Interest service 121,202.4 115,200 100,800 86,400 72,000
Less: Loan service 50,020 120,000 120,000 120,000 120,000
Provision for Tax 159,501 371,839 667,526 1,014,741 1,110,828
Net Profit 372,170 867,624 1,557,561 2,367,729 2,591,931
Cum. Retained Earnings 372,170 1,239,795 2,797,356 5,165,085 7,757,016
On the basis of the projected income statements and related projections, rates of return
for the project are calculated and shown in Table 28:
Payback period for the project, both in terms of owner‟s equity and total investment, is
calculated below:
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Table 29: Calculation of Payback Period for Equity and Total Investment (In UShs)
Year Amount paid back from Balance of Total Balance of Total
“Profits” Investment Equity
1 0 -2,056,860,000 -1,041,640,000
2 610,090,000 -1,446,770,000 -431,550,000
3 1,099,541,000 -347,229,000 667,991,000
4 1,775,078,000 1,427,849,000 2,443,069,000
5 2,570,846,000 3,998,696,000 5,013,916,000
Capital output ratios, representing the production potential of the project in relation to
the investment involved in its establishment, are calculated in Table 30:
The projected cash flow for the first five years of the project is shown hereunder:
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Table 31: Projected Cash Flows (In UShs „000)
Project Year 1 2 3 4 5 6
Costs (UShs)
A. Cash inflow 2,056,860 2,383,200 3,784,320 5,343,192 7,075,013 7,497,043
1. Financial resources total 2,056,860 _ _ _ _ _
2. Sales revenue total _ 2,383,200 3,784,320 5,343,192 7,075,013 7,497,043
Projected balance sheet for the first five years of operation is shown below:
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Table 32: Projected Balance Sheet (In UShs „000)
CAPITAL EMPLOYED: YR.1 YR.2 YR.3 YR.4 YR.5 YR.6
Share Capital 200,000 200,000 200,000 200,000 200,000
Retained Earnings 372,170 1,239,795 2,797,356 5,165,085 7,757,016
Shareholder's Equity/Deficit 572,170 1,439,795 2,997,356 5,365,085 7,957,016
Long-Term Liabilities 1,010,020 960,000 840,000 720,000 600,000
1,582,190 2,399,795 3,837,356 6,085,085 8,557,016
EMPLOYMENT OF CAPITAL: `
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Table 33: Break-Even Analysis in Project Year 5 (In UShs)
Items Variable Cost Fixed Cost Total Cost
Packaging material 223,965,000 0 223,965,000
Raw Material (Milk) 1,151,280,000 0 1,151,280,000
Salaries 365,433,000 121,811,000 487,244,000
Office & Admin Overheads 95,929,000 47,965,000 143,894,000
Marketing Expenses 55,991,000 18,664,000 74,655,000
Transportation Costs 279,956,000 93,319,000 373,275,000
Chemicals & detergents 55,991,000 18,664,000 74,655,000
Maintenance (2.5%) 18,037,000 9,019,000 27,056,000
Insurance (1.6%) 11,544,000 5,772,000 17,316,000
Utilities (power & water) 111,983,000 37,328,000 149,310,000
Fuel & Lubricants 68,698,000 22,899,000 91,597,000
Milk distribution costs 251,961,000 83,987,000 335,948,000
Commission to agents on milk marketed 223,965,000 111,983,000 335,948,000
Depreciation 0 116,717,000 116,717,000
Financial Expenses 0 86,400,000 86,400,000
TOTAL 2,914,733,000 774,526,000 3,689,259,000
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Table 34: Value Added/Contribution to GDP (In UShs „000)
Description Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6
Value of Production (Sales) 2,383,200 3,784,320 5,343,192 7,075,013 7,497,043
Less Intermediate Inputs:
Cost of Goods Sold 534,600 825,147 1,100,196 1,375,245 1,415,225
Utilities 56,880 89,586 119,448 149,310 152,296
Office & Admin Overheads 133,620 136,961 140,385 143,894 147,491
Depreciation 116,717 116,717 116,717 116,717 116,717
Total Intermediate Inputs 841,817 1,168,411 1,476,746 1,785,166 1,831,730
Value Added 1,541,383 2,615,910 3,866,446 5,289,846 5,665,313
Value Added as a %age of Output 64.68% 69.12% 72.36% 74.77% 75.57%
Value Added per Worker 42,816 72,664 107,401 146,940 157,370
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20.0 CONCLUSION
It can be concluded from the foregoing business analysis and financial modelling that
the proposed full-scale establishment and operation of the proposed Caremark
Investments Limited at Nyamuhuti in Kabarole District is extremely viable from a
financial and commercial point of view; and it is further recommended that an early
decision to facilitate it with the requisite line of credit be expedited such that
implementation of the project follows the fastest track possible for the benefit of the
project promoters, the dairy sub-sector, the regional dairy industry and market, and the
Ugandan economy at large.
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Schedule 01: KEY FINANCIAL MODELLING ASSUMPTIONS (DAIRY FARM & PLANT)
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Table 35-5: Revenue Assumptions
Pasteurized Milk in UShs/Litre 2,000
Butter in UShs/Kg 20,000
Cheese in UShs/Kg 32,000
Yogurt in UShs/Litre 4,000
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Schedule 02/2: SOURCE AND STRUCTURE OF PROJECT FINANCING (In UShs ‘000s)
S. No. Project Investment Component Share Equity Loan Finance Total
Capital Finance
1 Existing Land (40 Acres) 9.72% 200,000 0 200,000
2 Cattle (40 heads) 3.89% 80,000 0 80,000
3 Land and Site Development 3.94% 80,975 0 80,975
4 Buildings & Civil Works 15.75% 323,900 0 323,900
5 Yoghurt Cold Room (US$ 100,000) 17.99% 0 370,000 370,000
6 Machinery & Equipment 22.86% 0 470,220 470,220
7 Industrial Generator 20 kVA 3.65% 0 75,000 75,000
8 Vehicles 1.70% 35,000 0 35,000
9 Office Furniture & Equipment 0.97% 20,000 0 20,000
10 Sub-Total 80.47% 739,875 915,220 1,655,095
11 Physical Contingency (5%) 4.01% 82,505 0 82,505
12 Working Capital 15.52% 219,260 100,000 319,260
13 TOTAL PROJECT FUNDING 100.00% 1,041,640 1,015,220 2,056,860
14 %age of Total Project Funding 50.77% 49.23% 100.00%
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Schedule 03: Loan and Interest Service Schedule (In UShs „000s)
Item Years
Loan Amount 1,010,020
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total
Interest @ 12% p.a. 0 121,202.4 115,200 100,800 86,400 72,000 57,600 43,200 28,800 14,400 639,602.4
Loan Repayment 0 50,020 120,000 120,000 120,000 120,000 120,000 120,000 120,000 120,000 1,010,020
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Schedule 04/1: CALCULATION OF WORKING CAPITAL
N.B.: All the local cost price factors for cost of goods sold, utilities and working capital
are indicated in Uganda Shillings („000s) for the ease of computational and financial
analysis.
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Schedule 04/2: CALCULATION OF WORKING CAPITAL
Plant Capacity (LPD) 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000
Milk Sales in Lts (30%) 205,200 307,800 410,400 513,000 513,000 513,000 513,000 513,000 513,000
Cheese Sales in Kgs (20%) 14,400 21,600 28,800 36,000 36,000 36,000 36,000 36,000 36,000
Butter Sales in Kgs 7,200 10,800 14,400 18,000 18,000 18,000 18,000 18,000 18,000
Yogurt Sales in Lts (50%) 342,000 513,000 684,000 855,000 855,000 855,000 855,000 855,000 855,000
Milk Sales Price 2 2.2 2.42 2.66 2.93 3.22 3.54 3.90 4.29
Cheese Sales Price 32 33.6 35.28 37.04 38.90 40.84 42.88 45.03 47.28
Butter Sales Price 20 21 22.05 23.15 24.31 25.53 26.80 28.14 29.55
Yogurt Sales Price 4 4.2 4.41 4.63 4.86 5.11 5.36 5.63 5.91
Milk Sales Revenue 410,400 677,160 993,168 1,365,606 1,502,167 1,652,383 1,817,622 1,999,384 2,199,322
Cheese Sales Revenue 460,800 725,760 1,016,064 1,333,584 1,400,263 1,470,276 1,543,790 1,620,980 1,702,029
Butter Sales Revenue 144,000 226,800 317,520 416,745 437,582 459,461 482,434 506,556 531,884
Yogurt Sales Revenue 1,368,000 2,154,600 3,016,440 3,959,078 4,157,031 4,364,883 4,583,127 4,812,283 5,052,898
Sales Revenue (USD) 2,383,200 3,784,320 5,343,192 7,075,013 7,497,043 7,947,004 8,426,973 8,939,203 9,486,132
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Schedule 04/3: CALCULATION OF WORKING CAPITAL
Total Production Costs 1,918,225 2,541,574 3,114,821 3,689,259 3,791,002 3,897,175 4,007,967 4,123,574 4,244,200
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Schedule 04/4: CALCULATION OF WORKING CAPITAL: WORKING CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS (UShs „000)
X Y Requirements (UShs ‘000s)
Minimum Coefficient
days of Full-Capacity
of
Item coverage turn-over 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
I. Current assets
A. Accounts receivable 30 12 140,026 192,471 241,442 290,512 300,190 310,238 320,671 331,505 342,757
B. Inventory
a) Raw Materials 30 12 44,550 68,762 91,683 114,604 117,935 121,374 124,923 128,586 132,368
b) Salaries & Wages 90 4 105,225 172,692 230,256 287,820 295,016 302,391 309,951 317,699 325,642
c) Plant Operations 60 6 55,450 75,085 93,075 111,080 116,034 121,221 126,653 132,340 138,295
d) Maintenance & Repair 180 2 13,528 13,528 13,528 13,528 13,528 13,528 13,528 13,528 13,528
e) Work-in-Process 9 40 9,126 14,125 18,689 23,253 23,805 24,370 24,949 25,542 26,150
f) Finished Products 45 8 45,631 70,625 93,445 116,265 119,024 121,850 124,745 127,711 130,748
C. Cash-in-hand 15 24 50,418 62,922 74,103 85,333 87,782 90,360 93,072 95,925 98,926
(from V below)
D. Current assets _ _ 463,954 670,210 856,221 1,042,394 1,073,314 1,105,332 1,138,491 1,172,836 1,208,413
IV. Total Production Costs _ _ 1,918,225 2,541,574 3,114,821 3,689,259 3,791,002 3,897,175 4,007,967 4,123,574 4,244,200
Less: Raw Material Inputs _ _ 534,600 825,147 1,100,196 1,375,245 1,415,225 1,456,485 1,499,070 1,543,029 1,588,410
Utilities _ _ 56,880 89,586 119,448 149,310 152,296 155,342 158,449 161,618 164,850
Depreciation _ _ 116,717 116,717 116,717 116,717 116,717 116,717 116,717 116,717 116,717
15 24 1,210,028 1,510,124 1,778,460 2,047,987 2,106,763 2,168,631 2,233,731 2,302,210 2,374,222
V. Required Cash Balance _ _ 50,418 62,922 74,103 85,333 87,782 90,360 93,072 95,925 98,926
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SCHEDULE 05: FIXED ASSETS AND DEPRECIATION ALLOWANCES (UShs '000s)
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Initial Dep Dep Dep Dep Dep Dep Dep Dep Dep
Asset Value Allowance Allowance Allowance Allowance Allowance Allowance Allowance Allowance Allowance
Plant Buildings 323,900 16,195 16,195 16,195 16,195 16,195 16,195 16,195 16,195 16,195
Yogurt Cold Room 370,000 37,000 37,000 37,000 37,000 37,000 37,000 37,000 37,000 37,000
Production Plant and Equipment 470,220 47,022 47,022 47,022 47,022 47,022 47,022 47,022 47,022 47,022
Diesel Electric Genset 75,000 7,500 7,500 7,500 7,500 7,500 7,500 7,500 7,500 7,500
Office Furniture & Equipment 20,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000
Motor Vehicles 35,000 7,000 7,000 7,000 7,000 7,000 7,000 7,000 7,000 7,000
TOTALS 1,294,120 116,717 116,717 116,717 116,717 116,717 116,717 116,717 116,717 116,717
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Schedule 06: TOTAL INVESTMENT COSTS (UShs '000s)
Period Construction Full Capacity
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total
3. Working Capital increase 0 327,626 153,811 137,040 137,104 21,242 21,970 22,726 23,511 24,325 869,354
Total Investment Costs 2,056,860 327,626 153,811 137,040 137,104 56,242 21,970 22,726 23,511 24,325 2,961,214
3. Current Assets increase 0 463,954 206,256 186,010 186,173 30,920 32,018 33,159 34,345 35,577 1,208,413
Total Assets 2,056,860 463,954 206,256 186,010 186,173 65,920 32,018 33,159 34,345 35,577 3,300,273
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Schedule 08: PROJECTED CASHFLOW TABLE (UShs '000s)
Period Construction Full Capacity
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 *Sal val Total
Costs (UGX „000s)
A. Cash inflow 2,056,860 2,383,200 3,784,320 5,343,192 7,075,013 7,497,043 7,947,004 8,426,973 8,939,203 9,486,132 _ 62,938,941
1. Financial resources
total 2,056,860 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2,056,860
2. Sales revenue total _ 2,383,200 3,784,320 5,343,192 7,075,013 7,497,043 7,947,004 8,426,973 8,939,203 9,486,132 _ 60,882,081
B. Cash outflow -2,056,860 -2,482,984 -3,130,952 -3,979,641 -4,901,457 -4,979,033 -5,154,440 -5,377,126 -5,612,905 -5,862,655 1,244,499 -42,293,553
1. Total assets schedule
including replacements -2,056,860 -463,954 -206,256 -186,010 -186,173 -65,920 -32,018 -33,159 -34,345 -35,577 1,244,499 -2,055,774
2. Operating Costs (Cost of Sales)
_ -1,680,306 -2,309,657 -2,897,304 -3,486,142 -3,602,285 -3,722,858 -3,848,050 -3,978,057 -4,113,083 _ -29,637,742
3. Debt Service
a) Interest _ -121,202 -115,200 -100,800 -86,400 -72,000 -57,600 -43,200 -28,800 -14,400 _ -639,602
b) Repayments _ -50,020 -120,000 -120,000 -120,000 -120,000 -120,000 -120,000 -120,000 -120,000 -1,010,020
4. Corporate tax _ -159,501 -371,839 -667,526 -1,014,741 -1,110,828 -1,213,964 -1,324,717 -1,443,704 -1,571,595 _ -8,878,415
5. Dividends 4% on equity _ -20,000 -20,000 -20,000 -20,000 -20,000 -20,000 -20,000 -20,000 -20,000 _ -180,000
C. Surplus / deficit 0 -99,784 653,368 1,363,551 2,173,556 2,518,011 2,792,564 3,049,847 3,326,298 3,623,477 1,244,499 20,645,388
D. Cumulative cash balance 0 -99,784 553,584 1,917,135 4,090,691 6,608,702 9,401,266 12,451,113 15,777,411 19,400,889 20,645,388
*Salvage values. Land: 200,000; 55% of buildings: 175,145; Working Capital: 869,354 1,244,499
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Schedule 09: PROJECTED CASHFLOW TABLE AND CALCULATION OF PRESENT VALUE (UShs '000s)
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 *Sal val Total
Constr. Full Capacity
Discount Factors at 14% 0.8772 0.7695 0.675 0.5921 0.5194 0.4556 0.3996 0.3506 0.3075 0.2697 0.2076 _
PV at 14% -1,804,278 469,464 742,190 1,051,024 1,335,298 1,266,863 1,201,557 1,139,774 1,080,604 1,024,367 258,358 7,765,221
NPV at 14% 7,765,221
Discount Factors at 17% 0.8547 0.7305 0.6244 0.5337 0.4561 0.3898 0.3332 0.2848 0.2434 0.208 0.152 _
PV at 17% -1,757,998 445,670 686,554 947,359 1,172,563 1,083,897 1,001,899 925,863 855,346 790,020 189,164 6,340,336
NPV at 17% 6,340,336
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Schedule 10: PROJECTED INCOME STATEMENT (UShs '000s)
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sales _ 2,383,200 3,784,320 5,343,192 7,075,013 7,497,043 7,947,004 8,426,973 8,939,203 9,486,132
Raw Materials _ 534,600 825,147 1,100,196 1,375,245 1,415,225 1,456,485 1,499,070 1,543,029 1,588,410
GROSS PROFIT _ 1,848,600 2,959,173 4,242,996 5,699,768 6,081,818 6,490,519 6,927,903 7,396,174 7,897,722
OPERATING PROFIT _ 702,894 1,474,663 2,445,888 3,588,870 3,894,759 4,224,146 4,578,923 4,961,146 5,373,050
NET PROFIT BEFORE TAX _ 531,672 1,239,463 2,225,088 3,382,470 3,702,759 4,046,546 4,415,723 4,812,346 5,238,650
Corporation Tax 30% _ 159,501 371,839 667,526 1,014,741 1,110,828 1,213,964 1,324,717 1,443,704 1,571,595
NET PROFIT _ 372,170 867,624 1,557,561 2,367,729 2,591,931 2,832,582 3,091,006 3,368,642 3,667,055
Accumulated Net Profit (Loss) _ 372,170 1,239,795 2,797,356 5,165,085 7,757,016 10,589,598 13,680,604 17,049,247 20,716,302
Net Profit Margin _ 15.62% 22.93% 29.15% 33.47% 34.57% 35.64% 36.68% 37.68% 38.66%
Gross Profit Margin 77.57% 78.20% 79.41% 80.56% 81.12% 81.67% 82.21% 82.74% 83.26%
Rate of Return on Investment _ 18% 42% 75.73% 115% 126.01% 137.71% 150.28% 163.78% 178.28%
Operating Profit Margin _ 29.49% 38.97% 45.78% 50.73% 51.95% 53.15% 54.34% 55.50% 56.64%
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Schedule 11: PROJECTED BALANCE SHEET (UShs '000s)
CAPITAL EMPLOYED: YR.1 YR.2 YR.3 YR.4 YR.5 YR.6 YR.7 YR.8 YR.9 YR.10
Share Capital 200,000 200,000 200,000 200,000 200,000 200,000 200,000 200,000 200,000
Retained Earnings 372,170 1,239,795 2,797,356 5,165,085 7,757,016 10,589,598 13,680,604 17,049,247 20,716,302
Shareholder's Equity/Deficit 572,170 1,439,795 2,997,356 5,365,085 7,957,016 10,789,598 13,880,604 17,249,247 20,916,302
Long-Term Liabilities 1,010,020 960,000 840,000 720,000 600,000 480,000 360,000 240,000 120,000
1,582,190 2,399,795 3,837,356 6,085,085 8,557,016 11,269,598 14,240,604 17,489,247 21,036,302
EMPLOYMENT OF CAPITAL: `
Plant Buildings 323,900 307,705 291,510 275,315 259,120 242,925 226,730 210,535 194,340 178,145
Yogurt Cold Room 370,000 333,000 296,000 259,000 222,000 185,000 148,000 111,000 74,000 37,000
Production Plant Equip. & Machinery 470,220 423,198 376,176 329,154 282,132 235,110 188,088 141,066 94,044 47,022
Diesel Electric Genset 75,000 67,500 60,000 52,500 45,000 37,500 30,000 22,500 15,000 7,500
Office Furniture & Equipment 20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000
Vehicles 35,000 28,000 21,000 14,000 7,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000
LONG-TERM ASSETS: 1,177,403 1,060,686 943,969 827,252 760,535 640,818 521,101 401,384 281,667
CURRENT ASSETS: 662,317 1,643,082 3,231,931 5,631,047 8,164,974 10,992,921 14,079,677 17,444,470 21,108,094
Accounts Receivable 140,026 192,471 241,442 290,512 300,190 310,238 320,671 331,505 342,757
Stock (Inventory) 273,511 414,817 540,676 666,549 685,342 704,734 724,748 745,406 766,730
Bank Balance and Cash 50,418 62,922 74,103 85,333 87,782 90,360 93,072 95,925 98,926
Other Current Assets 198,364 972,872 2,375,711 4,588,653 7,091,660 9,887,589 12,941,186 16,271,634 19,899,681
CURRENT LIABILITIES: 257,530 303,974 338,544 373,214 368,493 364,141 360,173 356,607 353,459
Accounts Payable 136,328 188,774 237,744 286,814 296,493 306,541 316,973 327,807 339,059
Current Portion of Long-term
Liabilities 121,202 115,200 100,800 86,400 72,000 57,600 43,200 28,800 14,400
NET CURRENT ASSETS: 404,787 1,339,109 2,893,387 5,257,833 7,796,481 10,628,780 13,719,503 17,087,863 20,754,635
TOTAL CAPITAL 1,582,190 2,399,795 3,837,356 6,085,085 8,557,016 11,269,598 14,240,604 17,489,247 21,036,302
TOTAL ASSETS 1,839,720 2,703,768 4,175,900 6,458,299 8,925,509 11,633,739 14,600,778 17,845,854 21,389,761
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Schedule 12: PROJECTED PAYBACK PERIOD (UShs '000s)
YEAR/ITEM 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Net Profit 372,170 867,624 1,557,561 2,367,729 2,591,931 2,832,582 3,091,006 3,368,642 3,667,055
Interest 121,202 115,200 100,800 86,400 72,000 57,600 43,200 28,800 14,400
Depreciation 116,717 116,717 116,717 116,717 116,717 116,717 116,717 116,717 116,717
"Profit" 610,090 1,099,541 1,775,078 2,570,846 2,780,648 3,006,899 3,250,923 3,514,159 3,798,172
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Schedule 13: BUSINESS RATIO ANALYSIS (UShs '000s)
Period Constr Full Capacity
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sales Growth 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
Current Liabilities 14.00% 11.24% 8.11% 5.78% 4.13% 3.13% 2.47% 2.00% 1.65%
Long-term liabilities 54.90% 35.51% 20.12% 11.15% 6.72% 4.13% 2.47% 1.34% 0.56%
Total Liabilities 68.90% 46.75% 28.22% 16.93% 10.85% 7.26% 4.93% 3.34% 2.21%
Net Worth (Total Capital) 86.00% 88.76% 91.89% 94.22% 95.87% 96.87% 97.53% 98.00% 98.35%
Percent of Revenues
Revenues 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Gross Margin 77.57% 78.20% 79.41% 80.56% 81.12% 81.67% 82.21% 82.74% 83.26%
Management / Administration 5.97% 5.92% 5.59% 5.28% 5.23% 5.18% 5.13% 5.08% 5.02%
Net Profit (after Interest & Tax) 15.62% 22.93% 29.15% 33.47% 34.57% 35.64% 36.68% 37.68% 38.66%
Main Ratios
Current 2.57 5.41 9.55 15.09 22.16 30.19 39.09 48.92 59.72
Quick 1.51 4.04 7.95 13.30 20.30 28.25 37.08 46.83 57.55
Total Debt to Total Assets 54.90% 35.51% 20.12% 11.15% 6.72% 4.13% 2.47% 1.34% 0.56%
Pre-tax Return on Net Worth 33.60% 51.65% 57.98% 55.59% 43.27% 35.91% 31.01% 27.52% 24.90%
Pre-tax Return on Assets 28.90% 45.84% 53.28% 52.37% 41.49% 34.78% 30.24% 26.97% 24.49%
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Schedule 12: BUSINESS RATIO ANALYSIS (UShs '000s)…. CONT‟D
Additional Ratios
Net Profit Margin 15.62% 22.93% 29.15% 33.47% 34.57% 35.64% 36.68% 37.68% 38.66%
Return on Equity 12.42% 60.26% 51.96% 44.13% 32.57% 26.25% 22.27% 19.53% 17.53%
Activity Ratios
Accounts Receivable Turnover 1.70 1.97 2.21 2.44 2.50 2.56 2.63 2.70 2.77
Collection Days 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
Inventory Turnover 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.35 0.36 0.37 0.37
Accounts Payable Turnover 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20
Payment Days 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
Total Assets Turnover 1.30 1.40 1.28 1.10 0.84 0.68 0.58 0.50 0.44
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.43 2.18 3.07 4.21 4.74 5.81 7.38 9.91 14.60
Debt Ratios
Debt to Net Worth 0.64 0.40 0.22 0.12 0.07 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.01
Current Liability to Liability 0.25 0.32 0.40 0.52 0.61 0.76 1.00 1.49 2.95
Debt-Service Coverage Ratio 3.56 4.67 8.04 12.46 14.48 16.93 19.92 23.62 28.26
Liquidity Ratios
Net Working Capital $327,626 $481,437 $618,476 $755,580 $776,821 $798,792 $821,518 $845,029 $869,354
Interest Coverage [Times Inte-
rest Earned Ratio - TIE] 5.80 12.80 24.26 41.54 54.09 73.34 105.99 172.26 373.13
Additional Ratios
Assets to Revenue 0.77 0.71 0.78 0.91 1.19 1.46 1.73 2.00 2.25
Current Debt / Total Assets 6.59% 4.26% 2.41% 1.34% 0.81% 0.50% 0.30% 0.16% 0.07%
Acid Test 1.51 4.04 7.95 13.30 20.30 28.25 37.08 46.83 57.55
Sales/Net Worth 1.51 1.58 1.39 1.16 0.88 0.71 0.59 0.51 0.45
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Schedule 14: SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS (UShs '000s)
Items PAT BEP IRR Payback
Base Case 2,367,729 18.62% 66.06% 3.20 Yrs
Increase in Operating Costs by 5% 2,293,848 19.67% 64.20% 3.26 Yrs
Selling Prices up by 25% 3,358,231 13.89% 85.86% 2.68 Yrs
Decrease in COGS by 10% 2,463,996 18.02% 68.17% 3.14 Yrs
Increase in COGS by 10% 2,271,462 19.25% 63.95% 3.45 Yrs
Legend:
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APPENDIX I: SUPPLIERS and / or PRODUCERS OF DAIRY / DAIRY PACKAGING
EQUIPMENT AND OTHER MATERIAL
Company Country Specialized in Email / Website
Tetra Pak International Whole range: processing, Contact Gary Zeller, Tetra Pak South Africa
packaging & filling (dairy and (Pty) Ltd
other products), distribution [email protected]
DeLaval International Whole range dairy systems Contact HoseinAminy, Food for Dev’t Office,
(“all but the cow”) from the Tuma, Sweden
barn to chilled milk [email protected]
Packo Belgium Wide range / general [email protected] /
equipment www.packo.com
Nile Star Import Ethiopia Wide range Tel. 011 - 6522751
Export
Serac Belgium Cooling Contact M. Petit
Elecster Finland Packing also UHT – Aseptic [email protected]
filling www.elecster.fi
Combiblock/ Germany Aseptic filling www.sigcombibloc.com
PKL/SIG
A.E.S. France Packing machines & materials Mr. Laurent Vizzavona
[email protected]
Sersia-Breeding France (contact M. Petit) Mr. Ali Haidar
[email protected]
I.P.I. France/Italy Aseptic packaging M Paul Furioux
[email protected]
www.ipi-srl.com
Novopac Germany Form-Fill-Seal Msses. Lang
[email protected]
www.novopac.de
Nova Socimec/ France Filling machines M R. Meneguz
Serac [email protected]
www.nova-packaging.com
Actini France Processing / Filling / UHT- M-. Francois Quenard
Aseptic [email protected]
www.actini.com
Promaco Kenya Everything in dairy Mr. Mulinge
Promaco.wananchi.
Com
Bernhardt France Packing machines & materials [email protected]
www.bernhardt.fr
www.bernhardt-sa.com
Thimonier France Packing machines & material [email protected]
www.thimonnier.com
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ALPES France Processing & Packaging [email protected]
materials www.alpes-is.com
Prepac France / Packing machines & material [email protected]
(Canada)
Damy France Small equipment & packing [email protected]
machines
TOMEGA Belgium Small equipment & ingredients [email protected]
www.tomega.be
Acb/Hydrolog Sterilization www.acb-ps.com
Lagarde Sterilization www.lagarde-autoclaves.com
Steriflow France Sterilization
Tel. +33-1-40370845
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