COVID-19 DATA SET FOR PAKISTAN
Days Date Infections Death Recovered
1 26-Feb 2 0 0
2 27-Feb 2 0 0
3 28-Feb 2 0 0
4 29-Feb 4 0 0
5 1-Mar 4 0 0 Infe
6 2-Mar 4 0 0
7 3-Mar 5 0 0 3000
8 4-Mar 5 0 0 2500
9 5-Mar 6 0 0
2000
10 6-Mar 6 0 1
11 7-Mar 6 0 1 1500
12 8-Mar 7 0 1 1000
13 9-Mar 16 0 1
500
14 10-Mar 19 0 1
15 11-Mar 20 0 2 0
0 50
16 12-Mar 21 0 2
17 13-Mar 28 0 3
18 14-Mar 31 0 3
19 15-Mar 53 0 3
20 16-Mar 187 0 4
21 17-Mar 241 0 4 Infec
22 18-Mar 302 2 5
60000
23 19-Mar 461 2 5
24 20-Mar 495 3 5 50000
25 21-Mar 646 3 5 40000
Recovered
26 22-Mar 784 5 6
27 23-Mar 887 6 6 30000
28 24-Mar 991 7 18 20000
29 25-Mar 1057 8 21
10000
30 26-Mar 1197 9 23
31 27-Mar 1420 11 26 0
0 5000
32 28-Mar 1526 13 28
A
33 29-Mar 1625 18 32
34 30-Mar 1865 25 58
35 31-Mar 2039 26 82
36 1-Apr 2291 31 107
37 2-Apr 2450 35 126
38 3-Apr 2640 36 126
39 4-Apr 2818 41 131
40 5-Apr 3059 45 170
41 6-Apr 3556 51 259
42 7-Apr 4005 55 429
43 8-Apr 4207 61 467
44 9-Apr 4489 63 572
45 10-Apr 4695 66 727
46 11-Apr 5011 86 762
47 12-Apr 5230 91 1028
48 13-Apr 5496 93 1097
49 14-Apr 5837 96 1378
50 15-Apr 6383 111 1446
51 16-Apr 6919 128 1645
52 17-Apr 7025 135 1765
53 18-Apr 7638 144 1832
54 19-Apr 8348 168 1868
55 20-Apr 8418 176 1970
56 21-Apr 9565 201 2073
57 22-Apr 10076 212 2156
58 23-Apr 11057 235 2337
59 24-Apr 11950 253 2775
60 25-Apr 12723 269 2866
61 26-Apr 13328 281 3029
62 27-Apr 13915 292 3029
63 28-Apr 14612 312 3233
64 29-Apr 15525 343 3425
65 30-Apr 16817 385 4315
66 1-May 18114 417 4715
67 2-May 19103 440 4810
68 3-May 20186 462 5590
69 4-May 21501 486 5782
70 5-May 22049 514 5801
71 6-May 23214 544 6281
72 7-May 24644 585 6464
73 8-May 26435 599 7530
74 9-May 28736 636 7809
75 10-May 30334 659 8063
76 11-May 30941 667 8212
77 12-May 32674 724 8555
78 13-May 34336 737 8812
79 14-May 35788 770 9695
80 15-May 37218 803 10155
81 16-May 38799 834 10880
82 17-May 40151 873 11341
83 18-May 42125 903 11922
84 19-May 43966 939 12489
85 20-May 45898 985 13101
86 21-May 48091 1017 14155
87 22-May 50694 1067 15201
88 23-May 52437 1101 16653
89 24-May 54601 1133 17198
90 25-May 56349 1167 17482
91 26-May 57705 1197 18314
92 27-May 59151 1225 19142
93 28-May 61227 1260 20231
94 29-May 64028 1317 22305
95 30-May 66457 1395 24131
96 31-May 69496 1483 25271
97 1-Jun 72460 1543 26083
98 2-Jun 76398 1621 27110
99 3-Jun 80463 1688 28923
100 4-Jun 85264 1770 30128
101 5-Jun 89249 1838 31198
102 6-Jun 93983 1935 32581
103 7-Jun 98943 2002 33465
104 8-Jun 103671 2067 34355
105 9-Jun 108317 2172 35018
106 10-Jun 113702 2255 36308
107 11-Jun 119536 2356 38391
108 12-Jun 125933 2463 40247
109 13-Jun 132405 2551 50056
110 14-Jun 139230 2632 51735
Sum 6105 4833565 2942049 60465 921177
Mean 55.5 43941.5 26745.9 549.68182 8374.33636363636
St 31.89828 31.8982758 35281.855 711.80873 12264.0478495668
Infected and Death Death and Rec
Recovered
60000
3000
2500 50000
2000
40000
1500 Infected and Death
30000
1000
500 20000
0 10000
0 50000 100000 150000
0
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2
Axis Title
Infected and Recovered
60000
50000
40000
Recovered
30000 Infected and Recovered
20000
10000
0
0 50000 100000 150000
Axis Title
Death and Recovered
Death and Recovered
500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000
Axis Title
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.998461
R Square 0.996925
Adjusted R 0.996896
Standard E 39.65701
Observatio 110
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 55057363 55057363 35008.67 1.71E-137
Residual 108 169849.2 1572.678
Total 109 55227212
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 10.91572 4.752727 2.296728 0.023563 1.494991 20.33645 1.494991 20.33645
Infection 0.020144 0.000108 187.106 1.71E-137 0.01993 0.020357 0.01993 0.020357
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
1 10.95601 -10.95601
2 10.95601 -10.95601
3 10.95601 -10.95601
4 10.9963 -10.9963
5 10.9963 -10.9963
6 10.9963 -10.9963
7 11.01644 -11.01644
8 11.01644 -11.01644
9 11.03658 -11.03658
10 11.03658 -11.03658
11 11.03658 -11.03658
12 11.05673 -11.05673
13 11.23802 -11.23802
14 11.29846 -11.29846
15 11.3186 -11.3186
16 11.33874 -11.33874
17 11.47975 -11.47975
18 11.54018 -11.54018
19 11.98335 -11.98335
20 14.68263 -14.68263
21 15.7704 -15.7704
22 16.99917 -14.99917
23 20.20205 -18.20205
24 20.88694 -17.88694
25 23.92867 -20.92867
26 26.70852 -21.70852
27 28.78334 -22.78334
28 30.8783 -23.8783
29 32.2078 -24.2078
30 35.02794 -26.02794
31 39.52003 -28.52003
32 41.65528 -28.65528
33 43.64952 -25.64952
34 48.48405 -23.48405
35 51.98908 -25.98908
36 57.06534 -26.06534
37 60.26822 -25.26822
38 64.09555 -28.09555
39 67.68116 -26.68116
40 72.53584 -27.53584
41 82.54734 -31.54734
42 91.59195 -36.59195
43 95.66101 -34.66101
44 101.3416 -38.34158
45 105.4912 -39.49122
46 111.8567 -25.85668
47 116.2682 -25.26819
48 121.6265 -28.62646
49 128.4955 -32.49553
50 139.4941 -28.49408
51 150.2912 -22.2912
52 152.4265 -17.42645
53 164.7746 -20.77465
54 179.0768 -11.0768
55 180.4869 -4.486871
56 203.5919 -2.591897
57 213.8854 -1.885417
58 233.6466 1.35344
59 251.635 1.364959
60 267.2063 1.793742
61 279.3933 1.606697
62 291.2178 0.782242
63 305.258 6.74196
64 323.6494 19.3506
65 349.6753 35.32471
66 375.8019 41.19811
67 395.7242 44.27581
68 417.54 44.45999
69 444.0292 41.9708
70 455.068 58.93195
71 478.5357 65.46434
72 507.3414 77.6586
73 543.4191 55.58091
74 589.7701 46.22985
75 621.9601 37.03994
76 634.1874 32.81261
77 669.0967 54.90327
78 702.5759 34.42415
79 731.8248 38.17524
80 760.6305 42.3695
81 792.478 41.52203
82 819.7125 53.28751
83 859.4765 43.5235
84 896.5614 42.43862
85 935.4793 49.52065
86 979.6549 37.34513
87 1032.089 34.91062
88 1067.2 33.79985
89 1110.792 22.2085
90 1146.003 20.997
91 1173.318 23.68191
92 1202.446 22.55386
93 1244.265 15.73517
94 1300.688 16.31218
95 1349.617 45.3827
96 1410.835 72.16546
97 1470.541 72.45901
98 1549.868 71.13243
99 1631.752 56.24757
100 1728.463 41.53682
101 1808.737 29.26348
102 1904.098 30.90237
103 2004.011 -2.011258
104 2099.252 -32.2515
105 2192.84 -20.83995
106 2301.315 -46.31473
107 2418.834 -62.8341
108 2547.694 -84.69447
109 2678.066 -127.0656
110 2815.548 -183.5476
Infections Line Fit Plot
3000
2500
2000
Death
Linear (Death )
Deaths
1500 Linear (Death )
Linear (Death )
1000
500
0
0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 140000 160000
Infections
Y= 0.020144*(X)-10.915 :Y= Death :X= Infection
R^2 = 0.9969
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.994979
R Square 0.989982
Adjusted R 0.98989
Standard E 1233.159
Observatio 110
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 1.62E+10 1.62E+10 10672.93 8.47E-110
Residual 108 1.64E+08 1520681
Total 109 1.64E+10
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -875.9113 147.789 -5.926771 3.748E-08 -1168.855 -582.9679 -1168.855 -582.9679
Infection 0.345857 0.003348 103.3099 8.47E-110 0.339221 0.352493 0.339221 0.352493
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
1 -875.2196 875.2196
2 -875.2196 875.2196
3 -875.2196 875.2196
4 -874.5278 874.5278
5 -874.5278 874.5278
6 -874.5278 874.5278
7 -874.182 874.182
8 -874.182 874.182
9 -873.8361 873.8361
10 -873.8361 874.8361
11 -873.8361 874.8361
12 -873.4903 874.4903
13 -870.3776 871.3776
14 -869.34 870.34
15 -868.9941 870.9941
16 -868.6483 870.6483
17 -866.2273 869.2273
18 -865.1897 868.1897
19 -857.5809 860.5809
20 -811.2361 815.2361
21 -792.5598 796.5598
22 -771.4626 776.4626
23 -716.4714 721.4714
24 -704.7122 709.7122
25 -652.4879 657.4879
26 -604.7597 610.7597
27 -569.1364 575.1364
28 -533.1673 551.1673
29 -510.3408 531.3408
30 -461.9209 484.9209
31 -384.7948 410.7948
32 -348.134 376.134
33 -313.8942 345.8942
34 -230.8886 288.8886
35 -170.7095 252.7095
36 -83.55367 190.5537
37 -28.56246 154.5625
38 37.15031 88.84969
39 98.71279 32.28721
40 182.0642 -12.06425
41 353.955 -94.95501
42 509.2446 -80.24465
43 579.1077 -112.1077
44 676.6393 -104.6393
45 747.8857 -20.88574
46 857.1764 -95.17645
47 932.9191 95.08094
48 1024.917 72.08307
49 1142.854 235.1459
50 1331.692 114.3082
51 1517.071 127.929
52 1553.732 211.2682
53 1765.742 66.25811
54 2011.3 -143.3001
55 2035.51 -65.51009
56 2432.208 -359.2077
57 2608.94 -452.9404
58 2948.226 -611.2258
59 3257.076 -482.0758
60 3524.423 -658.423
61 3733.666 -704.6663
62 3936.684 -907.6841
63 4177.746 -944.7462
64 4493.513 -1068.513
65 4940.36 -625.3602
66 5388.936 -673.9363
67 5730.988 -920.9885
68 6105.551 -515.5513
69 6560.353 -778.3528
70 6749.882 -948.8822
71 7152.805 -871.8052
72 7647.38 -1183.38
73 8266.81 -736.8095
74 9062.626 -1253.626
75 9615.305 -1552.305
76 9825.24 -1613.24
77 10424.61 -1869.609
78 10999.42 -2187.423
79 11501.61 -1806.607
80 11996.18 -1841.182
81 12542.98 -1662.981
82 13010.58 -1669.579
83 13693.3 -1771.301
84 14330.02 -1841.023
85 14998.22 -1897.218
86 15756.68 -1601.681
87 16656.95 -1455.946
88 17259.77 -606.7744
89 18008.21 -810.2082
90 18612.77 -1130.766
91 19081.75 -767.7473
92 19581.86 -439.856
93 20299.85 -68.85443
94 21268.6 1036.401
95 22108.68 2022.315
96 23159.74 2111.257
97 24184.86 1898.138
98 25546.85 1563.154
99 26952.75 1970.247
100 28613.21 1514.789
101 29991.45 1206.55
102 31628.74 952.2648
103 33344.18 120.8158
104 34979.39 -624.3945
105 36586.24 -1568.245
106 38448.68 -2140.683
107 40466.41 -2075.41
108 42678.86 -2431.855
109 44917.24 5138.76
110 47277.71 4457.289
Infections Line Fit Plot
60000
50000
40000
Recovered
30000
20000
10000
0
0 2 4 6 8
Infections 10 12 14 16
Y= 0.345*(X)-875.911 :Y= Recove:X= Infection
R^2 = 0.9899
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.998715
R Square 0.997432
Adjusted R Square 0.997384
Standard Error 36.40481
Observations 110
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 55085404 27542702 20782.08 2.58E-139
Residual 107 141808.2 1325.31
Total 109 55227212
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -0.529556 5.022617 -0.105434 0.916229 -10.48631 9.427196 -10.48631 9.427196
Infection 0.024663 0.000987 24.97682 1.894E-46 0.022706 0.026621 0.022706 0.026621
Recovered -0.013067 0.002841 -4.599793 1.166E-05 -0.018698 -0.007435 -0.018698 -0.007435
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation Predicted Y Residuals
1 -0.48023 0.48023
2 -0.48023 0.48023
3 -0.48023 0.48023
4 -0.430904 0.430904
5 -0.430904 0.430904
6 -0.430904 0.430904
7 -0.406241 0.406241
8 -0.406241 0.406241
9 -0.381578 0.381578
10 -0.394645 0.394645
11 -0.394645 0.394645
12 -0.369981 0.369981
13 -0.148014 0.148014
14 -0.074024 0.074024
15 -0.062428 0.062428
16 -0.037765 0.037765
17 0.12181 -0.12181
18 0.195799 -0.195799
19 0.738387 -0.738387
20 4.030174 -4.030174
21 5.36198 -5.36198
22 6.853362 -4.853362
23 10.77479 -8.774792
24 11.61334 -8.613337
25 15.33746 -12.33746
26 18.7279 -13.7279
27 21.2682 -15.2682
28 23.67636 -16.67636
29 25.26492 -17.26492
30 28.69162 -19.69162
31 34.15229 -23.15229
32 36.74044 -23.74044
33 39.12982 -21.12982
34 44.70923 -19.70923
35 48.687 -22.687
36 54.57543 -23.57543
37 58.2486 -23.2486
38 62.93458 -26.93458
39 67.25928 -26.25928
40 72.69348 -27.69348
41 83.78809 -32.78809
42 92.64048 -37.64048
43 97.12589 -36.12589
44 102.7089 -39.70887
45 105.7641 -39.76413
46 113.1003 -27.10033
47 115.0258 -24.0258
48 120.6846 -27.68458
49 125.4229 -29.42294
50 138.0005 -27.00045
51 148.6196 -20.61959
52 149.6659 -14.66587
53 163.9089 -19.90887
54 180.9493 -12.94926
55 181.3429 -5.342872
56 208.2856 -7.285559
57 219.8039 -7.803858
58 241.6333 -6.63327
59 257.9342 -4.934186
60 275.8097 -6.809679
61 288.601 -7.600972
62 303.0782 -11.0782
63 317.6028 -5.602764
64 337.6114 5.388648
65 357.8467 27.15331
66 384.608 32.39198
67 407.7585 32.24152
68 424.2766 37.72344
69 454.1997 31.80029
70 467.4668 46.53319
71 489.9273 54.07271
72 522.8043 62.19571
73 553.0468 45.95324
74 606.1509 29.84909
75 642.2436 16.75643
76 655.2671 11.73287
77 693.5264 30.47363
78 731.1583 5.841728
79 755.4312 14.56883
80 784.6887 18.31131
81 814.2077 19.79234
82 841.5284 31.4716
83 882.6216 20.37843
84 920.6175 18.38251
85 960.2697 24.73026
86 1000.584 16.41643
87 1051.114 15.8862
88 1075.129 25.8713
89 1121.378 11.62174
90 1160.778 6.221616
91 1183.35 13.64998
92 1208.194 16.80639
93 1245.165 14.83547
94 1287.145 29.85453
95 1323.192 71.80771
96 1383.247 99.75264
97 1445.739 97.26143
98 1529.442 91.55771
99 1606.008 81.99222
100 1708.67 61.33013
101 1792.971 45.02912
102 1891.655 43.34533
103 2002.433 -0.432593
104 2107.41 -40.41029
105 2213.332 -41.33175
106 2329.286 -74.2864
107 2445.953 -89.95288
108 2579.471 -116.4708
109 2610.919 -59.91896
110 2757.306 -125.3055
Infection Line Plot
3000
2500
2000
Deaths
1500 Death
1000
500
0
0 50000 100000 150000
infections
Upper 95.0%
Recovered Line Plot
3000
Death
2500
2000
1500 Death
1000
500
0
0 20000 40000 60000
Recovered
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.864265
R Square 0.746953
Adjusted R Square 0.74461
Standard Error 17830.08
Observations 110
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 1.01E+11 1.01E+11 318.7984 5.23721E-34
Residual 108 3.43E+10 3.18E+08
Total 109 1.36E+11
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
Intercept -26308.8 3423.378 -7.685042 7.462E-12 -33094.5283 -19523.07 -33094.53 -19523.072
Days 955.9405 53.53931 17.85493 5.237E-34 849.816332 1062.065 849.8163 1062.06475
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation Predicted Y Residuals
1 -25352.86 25354.86
2 -24396.92 24398.92
3 -23441 23442.98
4 -22485 22489.04
5 -21529.1 21533.1
6 -20573.16 20577.16
7 -19617.22 19622.22
8 -18661.28 18666.28
9 -17705.34 17711.34
10 -16749.39 16755.39
11 -15793.45 15799.45
12 -14837.51 14844.51
13 -13881.57 13897.57
14 -12925.63 12944.63
15 -11969.69 11989.69
16 -11013.75 11034.75
17 -10057.81 10085.81
18 -9101.87 9132.87
19 -8145.93 8198.93
20 -7189.989 7376.989
21 -6234.049 6475.049
22 -5278.108 5580.108
23 -4322.168 4783.168
24 -3366.227 3861.227
25 -2410.286 3056.286
26 -1454.346 2238.346
27 -498.4054 1385.405
28 457.5351 533.4649
29 1413.476 -356.4757
30 2369.416 -1172.416
31 3325.357 -1905.357
32 4281.297 -2755.297
33 5237.238 -3612.238
34 6193.178 -4328.178
35 7149.119 -5110.119
36 8105.059 -5814.059
37 9061 -6611
38 10016.94 -7376.941
39 10972.88 -8154.881
40 11928.82 -8869.822
41 12884.76 -9328.762
42 13840.7 -9835.703
43 14796.64 -10589.64
44 15752.58 -11263.58
45 16708.52 -12013.52
46 17664.46 -12653.46
47 18620.41 -13390.41
48 19576.35 -14080.35
49 20532.29 -14695.29
50 21488.23 -15105.23
51 22444.17 -15525.17
52 23400.11 -16375.11
53 24356.05 -16718
54 25311.99 -16964
55 26267.93 -17849.93
56 27223.87 -17658.87
57 28179.81 -18103.81
58 29135.75 -18078.75
59 30091.69 -18141.69
60 31047.63 -18324.63
61 32003.57 -18675.57
62 32959.51 -19044.51
63 33915.45 -19303.45
64 34871.39 -19346.39
65 35827.34 -19010.34
66 36783.28 -18669.28
67 37739.22 -18636.22
68 38695.16 -18509.16
69 39651.1 -18150.1
70 40607.04 -18558
71 41562.98 -18349
72 42518.92 -17874.92
73 43474.86 -17039.86
74 44430.8 -15694.8
75 45386.74 -15052.74
76 46342.68 -15401.68
77 47298.62 -14624.62
78 48254.56 -13918.56
79 49210.5 -13422.5
80 50166.44 -12948.44
81 51122.38 -12323.38
82 52078.32 -11927.32
83 53034.26 -10909.26
84 53990.21 -10024.21
85 54946.15 -9048.146
86 55902.09 -7811.086
87 56858.03 -6164.027
88 57813.97 -5376.968
89 58769.91 -4168.908
90 59725.85 -3376.849
91 60681.79 -2976.789
92 61637.73 -2486.73
93 62593.67 -1366.67
94 63549.61 478.3892
95 64505.55 1951.449
96 65461.49 4034.508
97 66417.43 6042.568
98 67373.37 9024.627
99 68329.31 12133.69
100 69285.25 15978.75
101 70241.19 19007.81
102 71197.14 22785.86
103 72153.08 26789.92
104 73109.02 30561.98
105 74064.96 34252.04
106 75020.9 38681.1
107 75976.84 43559.16
108 76932.78 49000.22
109 77888.72 54516.28
110 78844.66 60385.34
DAYS Line Plot
160000
140000
120000
100000
Infection
80000
Infections
60000
40000
20000
0
1 7 1 3 19 25 31 3 7 43 4 9 55 61 67 73 79 8 5 91 9 7 0 3 0 9
1 1
pper 95.0% Days
Y= 955.94*(x)-26308.8 : X=180 days :Y=Infection
R^2 = 0.746
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.879222
R Square 0.773031
Adjusted R Square 0.770929
Standard Error 340.6812
Observations 110
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 42692332 42692332 367.8354 1.449417E-36
Residual 108 12534880 116063.7
Total 109 55227212
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
Intercept -539.2168 65.41084 -8.243539 4.343E-13 -668.8724867 -409.5612 -668.8725 -409.5612
Death 19.6198 1.022981 19.17903 1.449E-36 17.592069122 21.64752 17.59207 21.64752
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation Predicted Y Residuals
1 -519.5971 519.5971
2 -499.9773 499.9773
3 -480.3575 480.3575
4 -460.7377 460.7377
5 -441.1179 441.1179
6 -421.4981 421.4981
7 -401.8783 401.8783
8 -382.2585 382.2585
9 -362.6387 362.6387
10 -343.0189 343.0189
11 -323.3991 323.3991
12 -303.7793 303.7793
13 -284.1595 284.1595
14 -264.5397 264.5397
15 -244.9199 244.9199
16 -225.3001 225.3001
17 -205.6803 205.6803
18 -186.0605 186.0605
19 -166.4407 166.4407
20 -146.8209 146.8209
21 -127.2011 127.2011
22 -107.5813 109.5813
23 -87.96154 89.96154
24 -68.34175 71.34175
25 -48.72195 51.72195
26 -29.10216 34.10216
27 -9.482361 15.48236
28 10.13743 -3.137434
29 29.75723 -21.75723
30 49.37703 -40.37703
31 68.99682 -57.99682
32 88.61662 -75.61662
33 108.2364 -90.23641
34 127.8562 -102.8562
35 147.476 -121.476
36 167.0958 -136.0958
37 186.7156 -151.7156
38 206.3354 -170.3354
39 225.9552 -184.9552
40 245.575 -200.575
41 265.1948 -214.1948
42 284.8146 -229.8146
43 304.4344 -243.4344
44 324.0542 -261.0542
45 343.674 -277.674
46 363.2938 -277.2938
47 382.9136 -291.9136
48 402.5333 -309.5333
49 422.1531 -326.1531
50 441.7729 -330.7729
51 461.3927 -333.3927
52 481.0125 -346.0125
53 500.6323 -356.6323
54 520.2521 -352.2521
55 539.8719 -363.8719
56 559.4917 -358.4917
57 579.1115 -367.1115
58 598.7313 -363.7313
59 618.3511 -365.3511
60 637.9709 -368.9709
61 657.5907 -376.5907
62 677.2105 -385.2105
63 696.8303 -384.8303
64 716.4501 -373.4501
65 736.0699 -351.0699
66 755.6897 -338.6897
67 775.3095 -335.3095
68 794.9293 -332.9293
69 814.5491 -328.5491
70 834.1689 -320.1689
71 853.7887 -309.7887
72 873.4084 -288.4084
73 893.0282 -294.0282
74 912.648 -276.648
75 932.2678 -273.2678
76 951.8876 -284.8876
77 971.5074 -247.5074
78 991.1272 -254.1272
79 1010.747 -240.747
80 1030.367 -227.3668
81 1049.987 -215.9866
82 1069.606 -196.6064
83 1089.226 -186.2262
84 1108.846 -169.846
85 1128.466 -143.4658
86 1148.086 -131.0856
87 1167.705 -100.7054
88 1187.325 -86.32518
89 1206.945 -73.94498
90 1226.565 -59.56477
91 1246.185 -49.18457
92 1265.804 -40.80436
93 1285.424 -25.42416
94 1305.044 11.95604
95 1324.664 70.33625
96 1344.284 138.7165
97 1363.903 179.0967
98 1383.523 237.4769
99 1403.143 284.8571
100 1422.763 347.2373
101 1442.383 395.6175
102 1462.002 472.9977
103 1481.622 520.3779
104 1501.242 565.7581
105 1520.862 651.1383
106 1540.482 714.5185
107 1560.101 795.8987
108 1579.721 883.2789
109 1599.341 951.6591
110 1618.961 1013.039
DAYS Line Plot
2000
1500
1000
Death
Death
500 Linea r(Death)
0
-500
-1000
Days
Upper 95.0%
Y= 19.62*(x)-539.217 : X=180 days :Y=Death
R^2 = 0.773
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.831427
30000
R Square 0.691271
25000
Adjusted R 0.688412
20000
Standard E 6845.799
15000
Recovered
Observatio 110
10000
ANOVA 5000
df SS MS F Significance F 0
Regression 1 1.13E+10 1.13E+10 241.821 2.511E-29 -5000
Residual 108 5.06E+09 46864970 -10000
Total 109 1.64E+10 -15000
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -9366.891 1314.394 -7.126393 1.216E-10 -11972.25 -6761.533 -11972.25 -6761.533
Days 319.6618 20.55624 15.55059 2.511E-29 278.9157 360.4078 278.9157 360.4078
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
1 -9047.229 9047.229
2 -8727.568 8727.568
3 -8407.906 8407.906
4 -8088.244 8088.244
5 -7768.582 7768.582
6 -7448.921 7448.921
7 -7129.259 7129.259
8 -6809.597 6809.597
9 -6489.935 6489.935
10 -6170.274 6171.274
11 -5850.612 5851.612
12 -5530.95 5531.95
13 -5211.288 5212.288
14 -4891.627 4892.627
15 -4571.965 4573.965
16 -4252.303 4254.303
17 -3932.641 3935.641
18 -3612.98 3615.98
19 -3293.318 3296.318
20 -2973.656 2977.656
21 -2653.994 2657.994
22 -2334.333 2339.333
23 -2014.671 2019.671
24 -1695.009 1700.009
25 -1375.347 1380.347
26 -1055.686 1061.686
27 -736.0238 742.0238
28 -416.362 434.362
29 -96.70024 117.7002
30 222.9615 -199.9615
31 542.6233 -516.6233
32 862.285 -834.285
33 1181.947 -1149.947
34 1501.609 -1443.609
35 1821.27 -1739.27
36 2140.932 -2033.932
37 2460.594 -2334.594
38 2780.256 -2654.256
39 3099.917 -2968.917
40 3419.579 -3249.579
41 3739.241 -3480.241
42 4058.903 -3629.903
43 4378.564 -3911.564
44 4698.226 -4126.226
45 5017.888 -4290.888
46 5337.55 -4575.55
47 5657.211 -4629.211
48 5976.873 -4879.873
49 6296.535 -4918.535
50 6616.197 -5170.197
51 6935.858 -5290.858
52 7255.52 -5490.52
53 7575.182 -5743.182
54 7894.844 -6026.844
55 8214.505 -6244.505
56 8534.167 -6461.167
57 8853.829 -6697.829
58 9173.491 -6836.491
59 9493.153 -6718.153
60 9812.814 -6946.814
61 10132.48 -7103.476
62 10452.14 -7423.138
63 10771.8 -7538.8
64 11091.46 -7666.461
65 11411.12 -7096.123
66 11730.78 -7015.785
67 12050.45 -7240.447
68 12370.11 -6780.108
69 12689.77 -6907.77
70 13009.43 -7208.432
71 13329.09 -7048.094
72 13648.76 -7184.755
73 13968.42 -6438.417
74 14288.08 -6479.079
75 14607.74 -6544.741
76 14927.4 -6715.402
77 15247.06 -6692.064
78 15566.73 -6754.726
79 15886.39 -6191.388
80 16206.05 -6051.049
81 16525.71 -5645.711
82 16845.37 -5504.373
83 17165.03 -5243.035
84 17484.7 -4995.696
85 17804.36 -4703.358
86 18124.02 -3969.02
87 18443.68 -3242.682
88 18763.34 -2110.344
89 19083.01 -1885.005
90 19402.67 -1920.667
91 19722.33 -1408.329
92 20041.99 -899.9906
93 20361.65 -130.6523
94 20681.31 1623.686
95 21000.98 3130.024
96 21320.64 3950.362
97 21640.3 4442.701
98 21959.96 5150.039
99 22279.62 6643.377
100 22599.28 7528.715
101 22918.95 8279.054
102 23238.61 9342.392
103 23558.27 9906.73
104 23877.93 10477.07
105 24197.59 10820.41
106 24517.26 11790.74
107 24836.92 13554.08
108 25156.58 15090.42
109 25476.24 24579.76
110 25795.9 25939.1
DAYS Line Plot
30000
25000
20000
15000
Recovered
10000 Linear (Recovered)
Recovered
5000
0
-5000
-10000
-15000
Days
Y= 319.7*(x)-9366.89 : X=180 days :Y=Recovered
R^2 = 0.69127
Group Members:
M. Zeeshan Khursheed F2018054047
M. Salman Arshad F2018054023
Faisal Tariq F2018054039
Saqlain Mustansir F2018054035
Zain-ul-hassan F2018054061
