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How Many Red Colored Swift Cars Are There in Delhi?

The document outlines a process to estimate the number of red Swift cars in Delhi using a step-by-step decomposition approach. It breaks down the overall problem into simpler sub-problems by estimating the proportion of Swifts among all cars, the proportion of red Swifts, the number of families and cars in Delhi based on population figures. Plugging sample values into the different factors allows getting a final estimated figure of around 10,000 for the number of red Swift cars in the city.

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774 views

How Many Red Colored Swift Cars Are There in Delhi?

The document outlines a process to estimate the number of red Swift cars in Delhi using a step-by-step decomposition approach. It breaks down the overall problem into simpler sub-problems by estimating the proportion of Swifts among all cars, the proportion of red Swifts, the number of families and cars in Delhi based on population figures. Plugging sample values into the different factors allows getting a final estimated figure of around 10,000 for the number of red Swift cars in the city.

Uploaded by

ved
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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How many red colored Swift cars are there in Delhi?

We can hypothesize that (Be careful not to over-complicate the problem, it can cause
multiple issues later),

 Number of Red Color Swifts in Delhi =Number of Cars in


Delhi x Proportion of Swifts  x  Proportion of Red Color in Swifts
Note that we have decomposed the number of red colored swifts into three
independent (or at least different) quantities. It can be seen that solving these
individually is somewhat more simple than the original problem. We can directly say,

 Proportion of Swifts  =  1/20 or maybe 1/30(Your choice)


 Proportion of Red Color in Swifts  =  1/5 (Rough estimate, remember: Be
approximately correct)
Now all that’s left is computing Number of Cars in Delhi, which seems much trickier than
the other ones. What should we do? Repeat the process! Again decompose this into
simpler quantities.

 Number of Cars in Delhi = Number of Families in Delhi x Proportion of


Families owning cars
 Number of Families in Delhi = Population of Delhi / Average Size of
Families in Delhi
All the involved quantities can be easily guessed.

 Population of Delhi  =  20 million (Round off values for ease in


calculation)
 Average Size of Families in Delhi  = 4
 Proportion of Families owning cars  =  1/5  or 1/10 (Your choice)
Plugging in these values, we get,

 Number of Red Color Swifts in Delhi  ~  10,000 (Note that your answer


might differ depending on the choices you made)

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