Nigeria: Author: DR Roland Igbinoba
Nigeria: Author: DR Roland Igbinoba
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Africa Housing Finance Yearbook 2019
NIGERIA
Annual income profile for rural and urban households based on consumption (PPP$)
PPP$40 001 – PPP$10 000 000
PPP$21 199 Population: 195 874 740
PPP$23 001 – PPP$40 000
PPP$12 001 – PPP$23 000 Urbanisation rate: 4.24%
PPP$8 001 – PPP$12 000 PPP$13 717
population resides in slums, which provide the ideal conditions for transmission approximately 30 percent in Abuja and 10 percent in Lagos State. The housing
and progression of infectious and communicable diseases such as tuberculosis.26 deficit is 477 96632 and 2 949 91233 respectively. The preferred house type in
both locations is a block of flats.
Despite the lull in housing supply, the rental market in Nigeria is moderately
attractive to investors, returning yields of approximately 4 – 5 percent a year.27 An analysis of house prices in four major states of Lagos, Abuja, Rivers and Kaduna
There is a lot of industry interest in rental housing as witnessed during the recently in Nigeria by The Roland Igbinoba House Price Index (RI Index)34 suggests that
held Abuja International Show (July 2019). This may be one sure avenue to the movement of house prices in the second quarter of 2019 was more erratic
meeting the current housing demand if properly harnessed. than in the first quarter of the same year. In the four major cities, prices fluctuated,
and price changes were more in the negative, contrary to what was observed in
The campaign promise made by President Mohammadu Buhari in 2015 to provide the first quarter. The negative change in prices between Q1 and Q2 of 2019 can
2 million new middle class houses has suffered setbacks. However, the be attributed to post-election activities.
administration has continued to devise ways to remedy this situation. As part of In Lagos, compared to the corresponding second quarter 2018, there was a 6.1
the government efforts to redeeming the housing situation in the country, the percent decrease in the composite price indices for 5-bedroom houses. For
FHF was created in 2017. The focus of FHF is to provide housing for low income 4-bedroom apartments, the composite house price index for Q2 2019 reduced
earners as part of the government’s social intervention program.28 by 10.6 percent when compared to Q2 2018. Index of prices for 3-bedroom
houses decreased by 12.4 percent when compared with Q2 2018. For
Since it began in 2018, FHF has delivered approximately 3 700 new homes, created 2-bedroom apartments, the price index in the second quarter of 2019 decreased
20 000 jobs and helped 5 000 families.29 FHF has also signed framework by 16.0 percent when compared with second quarter of 2018.
agreements with Echostone Nigeria Limited and Mixta Africa Limited to develop
200 000 units (split 100 000 apiece) of affordable housing. Some of FHF’s Movement of house prices was most erratic in Abuja between Q1 and Q2 2019.
completed and ongoing projects include 1 020 units comprising studio flats, 1 and Although prices rose slightly across all house types in a few areas like Apo and
2-bedroom flats and 3-bedroom bungalows in Ogun state; 604 units of 1- and 2- Dakwa, most areas had fluctuations as house prices increased for some house
bedroom terrace bungalows, 3-bedroom terrace duplexes in Kaduna state; types and decreased for others within the same location. In all, the composite
582 units comprising 1- and 2-bedroom semi-detached bungalows in Nasarawa price index showed that house prices increased by 0.64 percent for 5-bedroom
state; 757 units of 2- and 3-bedroom flats and 3-bedroom detached bungalows in houses, while it decreased by 2.6 percent and 2.0 percent for 3- and 4-bedroom
Kano state; and 650 units comprising 1- and 2-bedroom semi-detached bungalows houses respectively. In the second quarter of 2019, the composite price index of
in Delta state. With funding from the FHF, the Millard Fuller Foundation completed 5-bedroom houses increased by 7.7 percent when compared with corresponding
construction of 400 housing units in Luvu Madaki, Masaka. MFF is set to begin Q2 2018. For 4-bedroom houses, the composite price index decreased by 2.5
building 36 semi-detached bungalows in Luvu Madaki, Masaka percent when compared to Q2 2018 and the index for 3-bedroom houses
decreased by 1.8 percent in comparison with Q2 2018. The flurry of pre and
Other government initiatives include 700 units of affordable housing by the Federal post-election activities is the only feasible reason for these unpredictable price
Housing Authority (FHA) in Zuba; a partnership between Mixta Africa Limited changes.
and Edo state government to build approximately 2 000 housing units; Echostone
Limited and Lagos state government to develop 2 000 units a year; and the Policy and regulation
development of Asokoro Hills Smart City by Nigeria Army Properties and Fresh The quality of land administration in the country significantly needs improvement.
Cowries Creek. The Land Use Act No. 6 of 1978 (LUA)35 continues to hinder the land markets
in Nigeria. The major objective of making land easily available has not been
Property markets achieved by the Act. Tenure of security and title system is largely formal, requiring
Nigeria ranks 146 out of 190 countries in the 2019 World Bank Doing Business the consent of a governor of a state on all transactions since the LUA has vested
report dropping one level from its 2018 ranking.30 The country’s score is 52.89 all lands in the governor. Although most title deeds are in a computerised format
percent which is above the average score of 51.61 percent for Sub-Saharan Africa. in a central repository that enables checking of encumbrances, there are no
Nigeria ranks 12 in getting credit while ranking 149 in dealing with construction electronic databases for maps, recording of boundaries, checking plans and
permits and 184 in registering property. For example, registering a property in providing cadastral information.
Lagos takes a total of 12 procedures through an average of 105 days at a cost of
11.1 percent of the property value. The opaque market hinders decision making The CBN recently unveiled a 5-year policy thrust starting in June 2019. The CBN
both at investment and at policy levels.31 This often results in house out of the Governor has made some significant commitments to real estate in this policy.
reach of low and middle income earners. To date, home ownership is Excerpts of the policy reads: “In our effort to support the growth of Nigeria’s real
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estate industry, the CBN will work in developing a framework that will enable no deep pocket yet for seed capital or series A funding for the PropTech
banks to securitize mortgage loans, which can then be sold in the capital markets. community. There is therefore a good window of investment for venture capital
Adequate safeguards will be put in place to reduce the risk of delinquency in the and start-up funders to take a critical look at the emerging industry.
mortgage backed assets that will be sold in the capital markets. These measures
will reduce the credit and liquidity risk to banks of holding these assets on their The Federal Mortgage Bank of Nigeria (FMBN) has deployed huge resources in
balance sheets and improve the amount of funds available to support mortgage designating approximately 3 000 units of low income housing for rental housing.
loans. It will also reduce the high cost of obtaining mortgages for banking Rental housing presents a promising opportunity for private sector players.
customers.”36 Industry analysts believe that this policy statement will encourage
state governments to aggressively prioritise digitisation of their land registries. Additional sources
Igbinoba, R. (2017). The State of Abuja Housing Market. RIRFHUD, 2017.
Igbinoba, R. (2016). The State of Lagos Housing Market. RIRFHUD, 2016.
With the possible emergence of a mortgage securitisation market, coupled with The Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights (2019). Visit to the
increased household income due to the new minimum wage, activity in the Republic of Nigeria by Ms. Leilani Farha, Special Rapporteur on adequate
housing and housing finance subsector might increase. The National Assembly in housing as a component of the right to an adequate standard of living, and on
2019 passed a new minimum wage bill of N30 000 (US$83.2) a month for the the right to non-discrimination in this context - End of Mission Statement.
country.37 However, on one hand, market analysts believe the new wage will ease 23 September 2019. https://www.ohchr.org/EN/NewsEvents/Pages/
affordability and access to mortgages for low income earners. On the other hand, DisplayNews.aspx?NewsID=25033&LangID=E/
the reality is that most state governments are incapable of meeting this new
minimum wage. The excitement of the news has waned and the effect of the Websites
passage of the bill is not being experienced by the intended beneficiaries. Central Bank of Nigeria htpps://www.cbn.gov.ng
Federal Mortgage Bank of Nigeria (FMBN) https://www.fmbn.gov.ng/
Opportunities Haggai Mortgage Bank https://haggaibank.com/
Nigeria represents a behemoth of opportunities. The Nigerian diaspora Millard Fuller Foundation https://www.mffhousing.com/index.php
community is one such opportunity when it comes to housing. According to the Nigeria Bureau of Statistics https://www.nigerianstat.gov.ng
Nigerians in Diaspora Commission (NiDCOM), the estimated number of Nigerian Nigerian Mortgage Refinance Company (NMRC) htpps://www.nmrc.com.ng/
in the diaspora is approximately 15 million.38 It has been projected that the Pison Housing Company https://www.pisonhousing.com
remittances from Nigerians abroad will be N96.5 billion (US$34.8) billion by Real Estate Developers Association of Nigeria (REDAN) http://redanonline.org.ng/
2023.39 Proper transaction structuring and execution of all categories of income
housing will attract this target group.
1 The Freezone Channel. Nigeria external reserves stand at US$45bn. 23 The World Bank. Nigeria Affordable Housing Project.
https://thefreezonechannel.com/2019/06/24/%EF%BB%BFnigeria-external-reserves-stand-at-us45bn-cbn/ http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/278041531299329812/pdf/Concept-Project-Information-
(Accessed 21 September 2019). Document-Integrated-Safeguards-Data-Sheet-Nigeria-Affordable-Housing-Project-P165296.pdf (Accessed
2 Colato, J. (2019). Nigeria Inflation May 2019. Focus Economics, 17 June 2019. https://www.focus- 22 August 2019).
economics.com/countries/nigeria/news/inflation/inflation-holds-steady-in-may (Accessed 21 September 2019). 24 The World Bank. Nigeria Affordable Housing Project.
3 The Abuja International Housing Show. Today’s Nigerian mortgage market: lending conditions and the 25 The World Bank. Nigeria Affordable Housing Project. Pg. 3.
regulatory environment. https://abujainternationalhousingshow.com/aihs/conference-paper-aihs2019/ 26 StopTB Nigeria. National Tuberculosis Conference.
(Accessed 19 September 2019). http://www.stoptbnigeria.org/2019/img/Presentations/DAY%202%20SESSION%205/Roland%201.pdf
4 PwC. Bringing dead capital to life – what Nigeria should be doing. (Accessed 26 August 2019). Pg. 5.
https://www.pwc.com/ng/en/assets/pdf/bringing-dead-capital-life.pdf (Accessed 24 August 2019). 27 Lalaine C Delmendo. Nigeria’s housing market stabilizing, amidst improving economic conditions. Global
5 Central Bank of Nigeria. 5-year policy thrust of Central Bank of Nigeria: 2019 – 2024. Property Guide, 14 July 2019. https://www.globalpropertyguide.com/Africa/Nigeria/Price-History (Accessed
https://www.cbn.gov.ng/Out/2019/CCD/Five-Year%20Policy%20Thrust%20-%20CBN.pdf (Accessed 19 September 2019).
26 August 2019). 28 Family Homes Fund (online). About Us. https://fhfl.com.ng/about/# (Accessed 25 August 2019).
6 The ERGP was crafted in 2017 as a medium term plan (2017 – 2020) for the purpose of returning the 29 Family Homes Fund. (online) Home. https://fhfl.com.ng/ (Accessed 25 August 2019).
country to economic growth path following the recession of 2016. 30 The World Bank (2019). Doing Business 2019.
7 Budgit. Federal Republic of Nigeria: Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (2017 – 2020). https://www.doingbusiness.org/content/dam/doingBusiness/country/n/nigeria/NGA.pdf (Accessed 27 August
https://yourbudgit.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/Economic-Recovery-Growth-Plan-2017-2020.pdf 2019). Pg. 4.
(Accessed 26 August 2019). 31 JLL (2018). Global Transparency Index 2019. https://www.us.jll.com/en/trends-and-insights/research/global-
8 PwC. Bringing dead capital to life - what Nigeria should be doing. real-estate-transparency-index-2018 (Accessed 6 October 2019).
9 The Abuja International Housing Show, now in its 13th year is a gathering of sector experts who annually 32 Igbinoba, R (2017). The State of Abuja Housing Market Report, Roland Igbinoba Real Foundation for Housing
advocate for the development of the housing sector in Nigeria. and Urban Development. Pg. 46.
10 PwC. Bringing dead capital to life – what Nigeria should be doing. 33 Igbinoba, R (2016). The State of Lagos Housing Market Report, Roland Igbinoba Real Foundation for Housing
11 Businessday (2018). Imperative of informal sector for mortgage industry growth. Businessday Newspapers, and Urban Development. Pgs. 84-85.
3 June 2018. https://businessday.ng/real-estate/article/imperative-informal-sector-mortgage-industry-growth/ 34 The Roland Igbinoba House Price Index (RI Index) is a variant of the Simple Mean/Median method. The
12 Businessday (2018). Imperative of informal sector for mortgage industry growth. Businessday Newspapers, approach adopted in calculating the RI index in this report is that of the Laspeyres index. A Laspeyres house
3 June 2018. price index calculates the weighted average change in prices over a period for a fixed type of house drawn
13 EFInA. Nigeria’s new micro-pension scheme. https://www.efina.org.ng/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/A-Deep- from some base period. It compares the total cost of purchasing a specific type of house in the base period
Dive-on-Nigerias-New-Micro-pension-Scheme.pdf (Accessed 12 September 2019). with the total cost of purchasing the same type in other periods. An index of these costs is then constructed,
14 The Central Bank of Nigeria. Letter to All Banks. https://www.cbn.gov.ng/out/2018/fprd/october%20mgcs.pdf taking the quantity of each house listed for sale in the base period as weight. RI Index can be found at
15 The Committee of Governors (COG) of the CBN approved the establishment of Mortgage Interest https://hmip.nmrc.com.ng/nmrc/reports
Drawback Fund (MIDF) as an intervention fund to catalyse and deepen the mortgage and housing finance 35 Nigerian Environment. ‘Summary of the Land Use Act Decree No. 6 of 1978 in Nigeria.
market. http://nigeriaenvironment.blogspot.com/2012/11/summary-of-land-use-act-decree-no-6-of.html?m=1
16 The new draft PMBs guidelines stipulates N5Billion for state mortgage banks and N8Billion for National (Accessed 1 October 2019).
licence. 36 Central Bank of Nigeria. 5-year policy thrust of Central Bank of Nigeria: 2019 – 2024.
17 The Abuja International Housing Show. Today’s Nigerian mortgage market: lending conditions and the https://www.cbn.gov.ng/Out/2019/CCD/Five-Year%20Policy%20Thrust%20-%20CBN.pdf (Accessed
regulatory environment. https://abujainternationalhousingshow.com/aihs/conference-paper-aihs2019/’ 26 August 2019).
(Accessed 19 September 2019). 37 Tukur, S. (2019). Buhari signs new minimum wage bill. Premium Times, 18 April 2019.
18 The National Housing Fund program is subsidy fund the government and administered by the Federal https://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/headlines/325974-breaking-buhari-signs-new-minimum-wage-bill.html
Mortgage Bank of Nigeria (FMBN). (Accessed 21 September 2019).
19 This data was received from a CBN official following an Interview in March 2019 for a World Bank project. 38 NiDCOM Media. Nigerians in Diaspora Commission. https://nidcom.gov.ng/nigerians-in-diaspora/ (Accessed
20 The Housing Development Association of Nigeria (HDAN) on its social media forum has had relevant 28 August 2019).
discussions around Islamic housing microfinance and finance for mortgages and construction. 39 PwC. Strength from Abroad The Economic Power of Nigeria’s Diaspora.
21 SANEF (2019). https://www.pwc.com/ng/en/pdf/the-economic-power-of-nigerias-diaspora.pdf (Accessed 27 Aug 2019).
22 Abuja Housing Show. These real estate are projected to dominate 2019.
https://housingnews.org.ng/page/360/?wpl_format=f%3Aproperty_listing%3Aajax&wpl_function=locationtexts
earch_autocomplete&term (Accessed 22 August 2019).
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