THE INTELLIGENCE CYCLE
LESSON OBJECTIVES:
1. Define the Intelligence Cycle.
2. Identify the different stages of the
Intelligence Cycle.
3. Explain the importance of the Intelligence
Cycle.
Processing Phase
Planning and
Direction
The Six Stages Evaluation and
Collection
of the Intelligence Feedback
Cycle MISSION
Processing and
Dissemination
Exploitation
Analysis and
Production
MISSION Planning and
Direction
Established based on the
priorities of the President Evaluation and
Collection
Feedback
needed to protect
national security
These priorities are
MISSION
translated into
intelligence directives Dissemination
Processing and
Exploitation
that identifies specific
requirements
Analysis and
Production
PLANNING AND
DIRECTION Planning and
Direction
Identify the specific
requirements to guide the Evaluation and
Collection
Feedback
intel collection efforts
Provideclear direction on MISSION
how the requirements can
be complied with.
Processing and
Dissemination
Ensure
Exploitation
that the collection
of the needed info is
compliant to the Analysis and
Production
requirements.
PLANNING AND Planning and
Direction
DIRECTION
Issuance of Intel Directives Evaluation and
Feedback
Collection
or Essential Elements of
Info (EEI) to operational
units MISSION
Collection Plan
Processing and
Dissemination
Exploitation
Analysis and
Production
COLLECTION PLAN
Itis a workable collection scheme that will provide
guidance on how to undertake the collection of the
needed information.
It is a product of intensive analysis that provides an
understanding of how much we know about the
requirements and how much we need to fill in the
gaps.
THE COLLECTION PLAN CONTAINS THE FOLLOWING:
1. What are the specific information needed?
2. Who/what are the targets for information collection?
3. When is the information needed by the end-users?
4. What are the information at hand?
5. Where to obtain the information ?
6. Who will obtain the information?
7. How to obtain the information?
8. When is the best time to obtain the information?
9. How long will it take to obtain the information?
10. What are the needed support to obtain the required information?
A WELL-PREPARED COLLECTION PLAN:
prevents the possibility of omission, conflict or
unnecessary duplication of the collection effort
provides definite and precise directives for
collecting agencies
COLLECTION
Planning and
Direction
Gathering of the needed Evaluation and
Feedback
Collection
info from various sources.
The source of the needed
info may be a person, a MISSION
thing, or an activity.
The collection of the Dissemination
Processing and
Exploitation
needed info from a person
must be done
systematically..The process Analysis and
Production
is called debriefing .
BASIC COLLECTION TOOLS
Direct observation through Planning and
Direction
casing, surveillance and
actual coverage of events
Evaluation and
Research Feedback
Collection
Use of highly specialized
technical equipment MISSION
Oral/Verbal Methods
(interview, elicitation,
interrogation, investigation) Dissemination
Processing and
Exploitation
Surreptitious Entry/Access
Recruitment of Sources of Analysis and
information Production
HUMINT SOURCES Planning and
Direction
Action Agent (AA)
Evaluation and
Informant/Informant Asset Feedback
Collection
Prospective Informant (PI)
MISSION
Casual Informant
Asset Dissemination
Processing and
Exploitation
Analysis and
Production
PROCESSING AND
EXPLOITATION Planning and
Direction
This is done by highly trained
personnel, who turn the raw Evaluation and
Collection
data into usable and Feedback
understandable information
for the production of the MISSION
finished product.
Some data are stored in
laptops, USB, cellular phones
Processing and
Dissemination
Exploitation
and other equipment. Some
Pictures and images (DOCEX)
Analysis and
Production
ANALYSIS AND Planning and
Direction
PRODUCTION
This is done by highly trained Evaluation and
Feedback
Collection
personnel.
Integrate, evaluate and
MISSION
analyze processed info to
produce the finished product
(intelligence) that is Processing and
Dissemination
responsive to the requirement. Exploitation
Analysis and
Production
Information + Evaluation =
Intelligence
Evaluating Source and Information
1. Evaluation must not be influenced by personal feelings but be
based on professional judgment.
2. Evaluation of the source must be made separately to the
information.
3. Evaluation must be carried out as close to the source as possible.
Reliability of Source
A No doubt regarding authenticity, trustworthiness, integrity, competence
COMPLETELY
History of complete reliability
RELIABLE
B Some doubt regarding authenticity or trustworthiness or integrity or competence
USUALLY
History of general reliability
RELIABLE
C Doubt regarding authenticity, trustworthiness, integrity, competence
FAIRLY RELIABLE
History of periodic reliability
Definite doubt regarding authenticity, trustworthiness, integrity, competence
D
History of occasional reliability
USUALLY NOT
RELIABLE
Certainty about lack of authenticity, trustworthiness, integrity, competence
E
History of unreliability
UNRELIABLE
F Can not be judged
Evaluating Information
Confirmed by other independent sources
1
Logical in itself
CONFIRMED
Agrees with other information on the subject
2 Not confirmed independently
PROBABLY TRUE
Logical in itself
Agrees with other information on the subject
Not confirmed
3
Reasonably logical in itself
POSSIBLY TRUE
Agrees somewhat with other information on the subject
Not confirmed
4
Not illogical
DOUBTFULLY
TRUE Not believed at time of receipt although possible
Confirmation available of the contrary
5
Illogical in itself
IMPROBABLE
Contradicted by other information on the subject
6 Cannot be judged
STANDARD EVALUATION RATING
RELIABILITY OF SOURCE PROBABLE ACCURACY
OF INFORMATION
A - Complete reliable 1 – Confirmed
B – Usually reliable 2 – Probably true
C – Fairly reliable 3 – Possibly true
D – Not usually reliable 4 – Doubtfully true
E – Unreliable 5 – Improbable
F – Reliability cannot be determined 6 – Truth cannot be judged
Source of Information
T - Direct observation by a commander of a unit
U – Report by a penetration agent or resident agent
V - Report by an AFP trooper or PNP personnel in encounter or
operation
W – Interrogation of a captured enemy agent or
foreigner
X – Observation by a government or civilian
employee or official
Y - Observation by a member of populace
Z - Documentary
DISSEMINATION Planning and
Direction
Intelligence is transmitted to
its intended end-users: Evaluation and
Collection
Feedback
President
National Security Adviser MISSION
Heads of the different
departments and Dissemination
Processing and
Exploitation
agencies of the
government
Analysis and
Friendly nations Production
CRITERIA FOR Planning and
DISSEMINATION Direction
The Information is: Evaluation and
Collection
Feedback
Complete
Accurate. MISSION
Disseminated on time.
Disseminated to the Dissemination
Processing and
Exploitation
right end-user.
Analysis and
Production
METHODS OF Planning and
DISSEMINATION Direction
Personal contact Evaluation and
Collection
through lecture, briefing,
Feedback
meetings
Letter report MISSION
Summary of Information
Processing and
Special Reports
Dissemination
Exploitation
Books and Publications Analysis and
Production
EVALUATION AND
FEEDBACK Planning and
Direction
- enable those involved in the
Intelligence Cycle to adjust and Evaluation and
Collection
refine their activities and Feedback
analyses to better meet the
end-user’s changing and
evolving information needs. MISSION
- Based on the intelligence
submitted, the end-users may Dissemination
Processing and
Exploitation
levy more requirements, thus
triggering the Intelligence
Cycle. Analysis and
Production
SUMMARY:
1. Defined the Intelligence Cycle.
2. Identified the different stages of the
Intelligence Cycle.
3. Explained the importance of each stage in the
Intelligence Cycle.
Processing Phase