Accelerator
Accelerator
Required
Demand Stock of Replacement Net Gross
Years
Rs Cost Rs Investment Investment
Capital Rs
5 machines 1 machine
2007 5lac 0 machine 3lac
15 lac 3lac
5 machines 1 machine
2008 5 lac 0 machine 3 lac
15lac 3lac
8 machines 1 machine 3 machines
2009 8 lac 12 lac
24 lac 3lac 9 lac
10 machines 1 machine 2 machines
2010 10 lac 9 lac
30 lac 3 lac 6 lac
10 machines 1 machine
2011 10 lac 0 machine 3 lac
30 lac 3 lac
8 machines 1 machine – 2 machines
2012 8 lac – 3 lac
24 lac 3 lac 6 lac
Cost per machine: Rs. 3 lac per machine
In the above example, suppose we are living in a world, where the only
commodity produced is cloth. Further suppose that to produce cloth Rs.
100,000, we require one machine worth Rs.3 lac, which means that the value
of the accelerator is 3 (i.e., the capital-output ratio is 1:3). That is, if
demand rises by Re.1 lac, additional investment worth Rs. 3 lac takes place.
If the existing level of demand for cloth remains constant, let us say, at Rs.5
lac , then to produce this much cloth we need five machines worth Rs. 15
lac. At the end of one year, let us suppose, that one machine becomes
useless as a result of wear and tear, so that at the end of one year, a gross
investment of Rs. 3 lac must take place to replace the old machine in order
that the stock of capital is capable of producing output worth Rs. 5 lac.
In the third period, i.e., the year 2009, demand rises to Rs.8 lac . To produce
output worth Rs. 8 lac, we need 8 machines. But our previous stock
consisted of only 5 machines. Thus if we are to produce output worth Rs. 8
lac, we must install 3 new machines, worth Rs. 9 lac. The net investment for
the year 2009 will be Rs. 9 lac and with the replacement cost of one machine
Rs. 3 lac, our gross investment jumps from Rs. 3 lac in the year 2008 to Rs.
12 lac in the year 2009. A 60 % increase in demand led to a 400 %
increase in gross investment. Here one can see a glimpse of the powerful
destabilising role of accelerator.
Likewise when there is fall of demand for cloth for Rs 2 lac , from Rs 10 lac
to Rs 8 lac, one can find a negative demand for a machine( Rs -3 lac). Thus
smaller changes in demand for consumer goods are followed by greater
changes in investments. Thus acceleration principles explain better than
multipler the swings in the economy.