CFA Level III Mock Exam 2 - Questions (AM)
CFA Level III Mock Exam 2 - Questions (AM)
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level III Mock Exam 2
June, 2018
Revision 1
Total: 180
Michael and Andy Seinfeld are married and live in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Michael, 45
years old, is a physician working in the North Memorial Hospital in Minneapolis. The
Seinfelds have two children; Ryan, a college student in the State University of New York,
and Rebecca, a marketing specialist working for a multinational firm, with headquarters
in Boston. The Seinfelds are in excellent health and have sufficient medical insurance.
Michael earns a current salary of $150,000 annually which is taxed as income at 25%.
Andy earns $75,000, and her income is taxed at a rate of 20%. Both Michael and Andy
expect their salaries to grow at the inflation rate of 3.5%. In addition, the Seinfelds are
obligated to pay Ryan’s tuition fee, which equals $50,000 per year. Ryan expects to
specialize in economic studies in a university in Boston, a year from now. The admission
fee will equal $25,000, which would be paid at the beginning of the next year, and the
annual tuition fee will equal that he pays currently—this fee will remain constant till he
graduates in about seven years’ time. Rebecca is independent and her salary sufficiently
covers her living expenses. The Seinfelds fully own and live in a well furnished home in
Minneapolis with a current price of $1,800,000.
The family also owns a small side business of home furnishing that they plan to sell by
next year. Michael has received an offer of $5,000,000 for his business, and if he decides
to sell, the entire amount will be taxed at a capital gains tax rate of 17%. Exhibit 1
displays information about the Seinfelds personal assets as of today.
Exhibit 1
Stock holdings $950,000
Fixed-Income holdings $850,000
Cash and cash Equivalents $550,000
Real Estate $1,800,000
Michael just hired Jay Peck, a financial advisor and portfolio manager, to manage their
personal portfolio. During a conversation with Michael, Peck discovered that the average
living expenses of the family equal $155,000 a year that will increase at 3.5% annually,
the U.S. inflation rate. Peck also found out that both Michael and Andy (who is currently
43 years old) want to retire in about ten years time after which they want to fulfill their
lifelong dream of travelling around the globe. They believe that by that time, Ryan would
also be independent and earning.
To make sure that their portfolio allows for the achievement of their goals, Michael often
reads financial journals to gain information on what trading strategies would reap the
most profit. Most of his investments were based on research of several analyst
recommendations and market information. Andy believes that investing should be done
after careful analysis to minimize the probability of the loss of principal. Her past
experience has shown her that rushing into investments can cause unexpected losses.
Peck is in the process of developing an appropriate investment policy statement for the
Seinfelds.
A. Assuming that the market value of the current portfolio remains unchanged and
Michael sells the family business, calculate the after-tax nominal rate of return
that is required by the Seinfelds for year 2. Show your calculations.
(12 minutes)
i. Risk tolerance.
ii. Time horizon.
(8 minutes)
(4 minutes)
Five years have passed and Michael and Andy Seinfeld have incomes that just cover their
current expenses. Their joint after-tax salary equals $350,000 and both their incomes and
expenses grow at the inflation rate of 5.0%. The Seinfelds current investment portfolio
includes stocks, corporate bonds and short-term instruments and has a current market
value of $3,500,000. Ryan and Rebecca are each financially independent and earn
competitive salaries in their respective fields. Both Michael and Andy plan to retire in
five years time, after which they want their portfolio to provide sufficient income to cover
their expenses. Neither of the two has participated in a pension plan. Peck has continued
to be their financial advisor and the Seinfelds have explained to him that a real after-tax
return of 4.5% would be adequate to meet their objectives, while instructing him to take
on only those risks with their portfolio that are absolutely necessary to meet their return
requirement. They also mentioned that they would like to maintain their current standard
of living during retirement and have no further goals or objectives. The Seinfelds are now
taxed at a rate of 30%. The U.S. inflation rate will continue to be 5.0% even after their
retirement.
(8 minutes)
i. Risk
tolerance
ii. Time
horizon
Cautious
Methodical
Andy Individualistic
Spontaneous
Cautious
Methodical
Michael Individualistic
Spontaneous
Secure Capital Investments (SCI) is a financial advisory firm headed by Lucy Appleby,
the firm’s chief portfolio manager and head of the advisory department. Appleby has
been introducing a number of new concepts and techniques toward an improved
management of clients’ capital. One such change has been the application of behavioral
finance in the development of clients’ investment policy statements, and in implementing
portfolio investment strategies. During a conversation with a member of the portfolio
management team, Appleby mentioned the following client behaviors reflecting
deviations from perfect rationality:
Client B: “These last few years, my portfolio experienced a number of ups and
downs. Most of my gains resulted from my accurate prediction for the
telecommunications sector. However, last year my portfolio’s value
dropped by 15%, primarily due to the unanticipated turn of economic
events in Canada and Europe.”
A. Identify the biases inherent in each of the above statements. Give one reason
each for their existence.
(4 minutes)
Appleby is currently managing the investment portfolio for Chris Moss, a civil engineer
working as a consultant for a number of construction companies in the U.S. He is 50
years old, is not married, and has no children. Moss earns a salary of $175,000 annually
and has living expenses well within his annual income (net of tax). However, Moss
spends a considerable amount on travelling and entertainment, and so, frequently spends
more than his net income. Due to a comprehensive retirement savings and investment
plan at his firm, Moss has managed to accumulate a portfolio worth $2,500,000, invested
mostly in international and domestic equities. Over the past few years the equity
allocation of his portfolio had an 18% annual return, primarily due to some successful
bets made by him on oil stocks. Appleby noticed that Moss’s equity allocation is
concentrated in the stocks of a few oil companies. In addition, Moss frequently traded in
and out of investments based on his predictions since he believes they have helped him
earn high returns in the past. Appleby also observed an investment in the stock of Lions
Enterprises (LEN) that had been performing poorly for the past two years. When he
recommended liquidating the investment, Moss stated that he would hold it for another
year until the stock price reaches his purchase price. When Appleby asked him about his
retirement goals, Moss mentioned that he would not like to compromise his current
spending for future consumption. He believed in ‘living in the present’.
B. i. Identify three biases that Moss is most likely subject to. Justify your response
for each bias.
(6 minutes)
ii. Determine whether to adapt to, moderate, or adapt to and moderate Moss’s
biases. Justify your response.
(4 minutes)
Roger Wong is a financial advisor at SCI. Wong has been assigned the responsibility to
work with Jasmine Arcus, a 35-year old successful entrepreneur who owns a fashion
boutique in Chicago, USA. Arcus has an investment portfolio worth $5,000,000 that is
invested 55% is stocks, and 45% in bonds. She manages to make an annual profit from
her boutique that comfortably covers her living expenses and also contributes to her
savings. Arcus is convinced about the future prospects of the U.S. automobile sector and
has invested 25% of her equity allocation in automobile stocks. When Wong suggested
diversifying part of the holding due to a deterioration of the industry’s fundamentals,
Arcus disagreed, and stated that his predictive model validated the industry’s positive
outlook. Arcus also mentioned that most of the companies within the auto industry had
high P/E multiples which confirmed that her investment in the industry is of good value.
When Wong asked her how she gathered the information about the P/E multiples, Arcus
mentioned that she read in most of the best selling financial journals about how high P/E
multiples for companies within the industry prove that their stocks have growth potential
and can yield high returns for investors.
(4 minutes)
During her regular lunch break at office, Browning met Denise Petcher, her colleague,
and a portfolio manager at GRI. Petcher is responsible for the management of the
investment portfolio of the Shining Star Endowment (SSE), an endowment owned and
established by a nonprofit institution, operating in the health care industry. The
endowment was established to provide budgetary support for the Medical Care Hospital
(MCH), established in Chicago, USA. The endowment is worth $45 million, composed of
$25 million of a restricted fund to support the procurement of medical equipment, and
$20 million for unrestricted use. SSE receives donations from its sponsor organization,
and its annual spending comprises of 25% of the hospital’s overall revenues. About 55%
of the endowment is invested in domestic stocks of the health care industry, and 35% is
invested in bonds. The sponsoring nonprofit institution has established the endowment to
permanently fund the Medical Care Hospital. Exhibit 1 displays some information about
SSE. MCH has recently taken a loan worth $25 million to expand its operations to other
states of the country.
Exhibit 1
Long-term average spending rate 4.75%
Long-term expected real return 5.85%
Expected annual inflation as determined by the CPI 4.5%
Last year’s inflation rate as determined by the CPI 2.55%
Policy spending rate 4.75%
Last year’s spending $1,675,500
Smoothing rate 0.75
Last year’s beginning market value $37.5 million
Last year’s ending market value $44.75 million
SSE uses a smoothing rule that determines the spending level in a year well before the
endowment market value at the beginning of the fiscal year becomes known. In addition,
Medical Care Hospital’s inflation rate has averaged 1.2% above the economy in general.
The investment management expenses equal 0.10%. Due to the increase in the growth of
patients under 12 years of age, SSE is expected to pay $10 million at the end of the
coming six months for the construction of a medical facility with accommodation for
more than 200 patients. Petcher determined that the endowment’s smoothed spending rate
for the past few years has been 4.0%.
(8 minutes)
B. Prepare the liquidity constraint portion of the investment policy statement of:
(6 minutes)
(8 minutes)
D. Calculate the dollar spending amount for Shining Star Endowment for the
coming year based on the smoothing rule. Show your calculations.
(4 minutes)
After a meeting with Browning, Petcher met Simon Jones, the head of the research
department at Get Right Investments. Jones has worked with a number of institutional
clients and has played an active role in determining appropriate asset allocations for
them. During a conversation with Petcher, Jones made the following comments:
Statement 1: “Since most endowments have to meet spending needs of the beneficiary
institution, their portfolios should invest significantly in high-yielding,
high quality fixed-income securities that typically make their promised
nominal payments on time, according to a predetermined schedule.”
E. Determine whether each statement is correct or incorrect, and give one reason
each for your selection.
(4 minutes)
The Towers
Foundation
Increase
The Towers
Foundation
Decrease
Exhibit 1
Proposed Strategic Asset Allocations for Gwyneth Larson
Asset Class A B C D E
Cash 7% 5% 6% 4% 5%
Treasury bills and notes 15% 15% 10% 5% 0%
Intermediate and long-term
25% 20% 15% 5% 0%
corporate bonds
International emerging
5% 15% 20% 25% 35%
market equities
U.S. equities 25% 25% 25% 30% 30%
International developed
15% 15% 20% 20% 20%
market equities
Alternative Investments 10% 5% 4% 1% 10%
Expected return 15% 12% 9% 17% 19%
Expected standard deviation 25% 17.5% 10.3% 27% 29%
A. Determine the most appropriate portfolio for Larson, assuming she retires
immediately. State, for each portfolio not selected, one reason why it is not the
most appropriate.
(14 minutes)
Woods also manages the investment portfolio for Chris Hayes, who is 60 years old,
retired, and lives in Canada. Hayes wants to transfer his estate worth CAD2 million to his
only relative, Jeff Graham. During the process of developing an estate planning strategy
to transfer wealth to Graham, Hayes discovered that the relevant tax for bequests is 45%
in Canada. However, he determined that gifts made prior to the age of 75 are subject to
only 65% of the normal estate tax. Hayes pays a 35% tax rate on investment income and
will be responsible to pay the gift tax in case he decides to gift his estate prior to death.
Graham falls in a low income tax bracket, and hence pays a tax rate of 25% on
investment income. Woods has determined that Hayes’s assets will earn an 8.0% return
over the next 15 years.
B. Determine whether it is appropriate for Hayes to gift the assets or bequeath them
as part of his estate. Justify your response.
(3 minutes)
Graham knows that the appropriate asset allocation for his portfolio also depends on his
human capital. He works for the sales department at a large utility company, with his
compensation based on the amount of sales he makes to retail stores in his allotted region.
Graham has no contractual relationship with his company regarding his employment
tenure. In addition, Graham has indicated a strong desire to leave an estate to his children.
(7 minutes)
Determine whether
Graham’s human capital Justify your response with one
and bequest desire increase reason each.
or decrease his demand for
life insurance.
Increase
Human Capital
Decrease
Increase
Bequest Desire
Decrease
Thomas McGrath is 46 years old and lives in Germany. McGrath started a clothing line
for women around ten years ago. The business achieved high success and the demand for
his clothing increased manifold over the years. McGrath has managed to recently launch
his personal designer wear by the name of ‘Exquisite Fashion’ that covers designs for
both men and women. McGrath owns several boutiques in the country and has a total net
worth of around €50 million. Even though he has taken several risks to grow his business
to its current level, McGrath has always remained a conservative investor and has tried to
take minimum amounts of debt. He now wishes to invest some of his money in the stock
market, and for this, has hired Martin Allen, the chief portfolio manager at Allen
Investment Advisors. McGrath believes that active management of funds is a way too
risky strategy, and that given the costs of trading, administrative expenses and
management fees, average active investors generally underperform market indices over
time. Therefore, during an introductory meeting with Allen, McGrath instructed him to
passively manage his investment portfolio by indexing it to a comprehensive equity
benchmark index. Allen stated the following categories of indexed portfolios to choose
from:
Since McGrath wants to invest indefinitely and may use his portfolio for hedging his
business risks, he wants to minimize costs as measured by the fund’s expense ratio, as
well as the costs associated with cash drag. McGrath is not sure which indexed portfolio
to invest in; the one that would be most suitable to meet his objectives.
Allen considers McGrath as having an above average ability to tolerate risk, since he has
a well-established business, has minimum liabilities and a long-term time horizon. Allen
has tried to convince him during several client meetings to take some risk with his capital
and has explained how he could generate higher returns if he relaxed his stringent rules
with regards to risk-taking. McGrath has finally agreed to manage part of his assets using
an active management approach and has hired Melissa Wells for this purpose. Wells will
manage €5 million for McGrath and is instructed to invest in domestic equities only. To
evaluate Wells past performance, Allen has gathered the following information.
Exhibit 1
Wells Portfolio Analysis (1)
Portfolio Market Benchmark
Number of stocks 35 1000
P/E ratio 22 15
P/B ratio 2.9 2.0
Dividend yield 1.5% 2.3%
Weighted average market cap €16 billion €22 billion
Expected EPS growth rate 17% 12%
Exhibit 2
Wells Portfolio Analysis (2)
Sector Portfolio Market Benchmark
Consumer discretionary 10% 18%
Energy 15% 13%
Finance 13% 25%
Health care 22% 12%
Information Technology 25% 17%
Industrials 5% 7%
Telecommunications 10% 8%
As part of his evaluation process, Allen met with Wells to ask her how well she
performed in the past. Wells stated that her age old belief that value stocks outperform
the market in general finally paid off last year. She made the following comment:
“Last year, not only did value stocks outperform the market as a whole, my superior stock
picking skill also added to my portfolio’s outperformance relative to the market.”
To confirm Wells’s statement, Allen requested her to provide him with some facts about
her portfolio’s performance. Allen gathered the following information:
• The Euro-zone Value Stock Index earned a return of 18% during the past year.
• The Euro-zone Market Stock Index earned a return of 15% during the past year.
• During the same period, Well’s portfolio earned a return of 21%.
• Wells active risk computed with respect to the Euro-zone Market Stock Index is 6.7%
annually.
• Wells misfit risk is 5.5% annually.
(6 minutes)
(7 minutes)
ii. Determine the major risk factor faced by investors following the
investment style identified in part (i).
(2 minutes)
(6 minutes)
Graham Kelly works for Multiple Investment Management (MIM), a capital management
firm that serves as a comprehensive financial solution provider. Kelly is in charge of
managing the MIMF Short Duration Fixed Income Fund that invests only in investment
grade fixed-income securities with effective durations of 5 or less. The fund’s mandate
gives Kelly the flexibility to alter the fund’s duration as long as it stays within ±0.50 of
the benchmark duration of 3. Exhibit 1 displays the fund’s current composition.
Kelly strongly believes that the yield curve will experience an upward parallel shift of 50
bps within the next year. Given the confidence in his forecast, he plans to alter the fund’s
composition to reap maximum benefits from the change in yields. Consequently, Kelly
requests MIM’s research department to work with him towards estimating expected
returns for each maturity.
A. Given the forecast yields, estimate the total expected return for each maturity
given in Exhibit 1. Based on your calculations, justify an appropriate strategy to
maximize returns over the next year. Give two reasons to support your answer.
(6 minutes)
When working with the research department of MIM, Kelly met with Ian Jackson, a yield
curve specialist that has been working with the firm for over ten years. As the discussion
on the future discourse of interest rates progressed, Jackson mentioned that his
department had developed several scenarios detailing the changes in yields in the
imminent future. He presented the following views:
Scenario 1: “Short-term rates are expected to fall as monetary policy aims to help the
economy reach the target growth rate. However, long-term rates are
expected to remain stable.”
Scenario 2: “Even though the economy lags the long-term target, a rise in inflation will
encourage monetary policy setters to raise short-term interest rates; with the
rise being greater than the rise in long-term rates.”
Scenario 3: “Future volatility of interest rates is likely to be much less than that reflected
in current prices. Neither short-term nor long-term rates are expected to
change much owing to a stable economic environment.”
B. State a suitable strategy for each of the interest rate scenarios presented by
Jackson. Support your answer by explaining why each strategy is appropriate.
Use the template on page 28 to answer the question.
(6 minutes)
C. Suggest one way Jackson could alter the part of the portfolio that is fully invested
in 15-year German bonds to take advantage of the move in interest rates.
Construct the new portfolio and show its convexity and yield. State one risk
factor of the suggested alteration.
(7 minutes)
B.
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
Scenario 3
Total Asset Management is an investment firm in the U.S. that invests funds for high net-
worth private wealth clients. TAM specializes in excess return and risk management
strategies involving traditional asset classes as well as alternative investments and
derivatives. Recently, the firm launched the “Global Equity Fund’, an investment vehicle
that invests in foreign markets. Marc Fishman is part of the portfolio management team
for the fund, and is responsible for managing investments made in the euro-zone. The
high growth in the region, development in the services sector, and the removal of barriers
to foreign capital inflow has caused Fishman to believe that the euro market would be an
attractive inclusion to the Global Equity Fund. Based on his research, Marc has
determined that a $39,550,000 investment in an equity portfolio of European stocks with
a beta of 1.27 would be appropriate. The fund will make this investment for a year,
starting from 31 January 2009, till 31 January 2010. TAM, however, does not yet
specialize in currency risk management. In addition, Fishman is uncertain about the
future movements in the pound-dollar exchange rate. For these reasons, Fishman wants to
fully hedge the currency risk associated with the investment and not base his hedge on
estimates or uncertain expectations. For this purpose, Marc approached a currency risk
dealer, who gave him the following quotes:
In addition, Fishman determined that the euro-zone risk free rate is 4.67% and the dollar
risk free rate is 2.95%. Both these rates are annually compounded rates. Also, the current
spot exchange rate is $1.1938.
A. Determine and explain the hedging strategy that Fishman should implement to
achieve his objective. Show your calculations.
(5 minutes)
A year has passed, and the Global Equity Fund has performed well. TAM’s upper
management has decided to continue the fund and expand its scope to include stocks
from other regions as well. Jeff Glave, an international portfolio manager, has been
assigned the task of investing part of the fund’s assets in British stocks. Glave allocates
£2.5 million to British stocks and assigns Matha Walters, an independent currency
specialist, to devise a solution for hedging currency exposure. Walters establishes a two-
month short forward position equal to the amount of the investment. Two months later
the market value of the GBP denominated assets increases to £2.8 million and Walters
expects the GBP to depreciate. Walters informs Glave that she intends to rebalance and
rollover the forward position using a foreign currency (FX) swap.
The USD/GBP spot rate and the three-month forward points (scaled by 10,000) at the
time of the rollover is 1.6621/1.6639 and -14/-12 respectively.
B. Determine:
i. the type of FX swap used to rebalance the hedged position and
ii. whether the size of the hedged position should be increased, decreased, or
remain constant.
(2 minutes)
iii. Determine the rates at which the spot and forward legs of the FX swap are
transacted. Show your calculations.
(2 minutes)
(4 minutes)
Melissa Bretherton is part of the research management team at Total Asset Management,
and is analyzing the performance of her equity portfolio under different possible
scenarios. As part of her research, Bretherton executes the following analysis:
• Bretherton has developed a multifactor model to explain the returns on her portfolio.
The model includes factors that she believes explain the majority of returns to her
portfolio. After every six months, she determines the combined effect of the risk
factors on her portfolio assuming they move in the most unfavorable way.
• Based on her probability models and expectations, Bretherton determines the worst
possible return outcome for her portfolio, one that she expects has some probability of
occurring. She then compares this return to her threshold return requirement.
• Every year, Bretherton creates scenarios based on certain investment fears she has,
and then analyzes how her portfolio would react to such events. She knows that such
scenarios have an extremely small or maybe even a zero probability of occurring, but
she still feels it is necessary to remove any uncertainties.
Bretherton has worked with Fishman on several assignments, for the past many years.
Recently, Fishman took the task of managing an institutional fund worth $10 million
owned by Orange Enterprises (OE). OE has instructed Fishman to use the funds provided
to manage the risk of their foreign transactions, and the risk of their bond portfolio. Marc
has decided to use forward contracts to meet OE’s objectives related to risk management.
(6 minutes)
ii. Determine why Fishman might have preferred the use of forwards over
futures and options for meeting Orange Enterprises’s risk management
objectives.
(2 minutes)
Futures Contracts
Option Contracts
Reyna’s employer just launched an investment product that invests in emerging and
developing markets, including Brazil, Russia and India. Reyna knows that although these
markets offer attractive return and diversification opportunities, they also have inherent
risks. One of the risks is the absence of an established and well-organized market
structure, one that encourages secondary trades. To examine the quality of Brazil’s
capital market, Reyna gathered the following information.
Reyna is working with Sam Walter, a portfolio manager, towards setting the appropriate
corridor width for asset classes within the Brazilian market. The asset classes include
Brazilian corporate bonds, Brazilian equities, and Brazilian government bonds. Walter
has determined the following about the asset c lasses:
• The volatility of Brazilian government bonds and equities has increased over the past
few years.
• The correlation of Brazilian equities with Brazilian corporate bonds is higher than
their correlation with Brazilian government bonds.
A. Calculate the components of the implementation shortfall for the trade of W-Tech
Stock. Show your calculations separately for each component.
(5 minutes)
(4 minutes)
ii. Evaluate the effect of the information Walter gathered, on the optimal
corridor width of Brazilian corporate bonds. Justify your response with
one reason each.
(4 minutes)
Hugh Ross is a fixed income analyst at White Stripes Investment Management, a firm
that offers bond portfolio management services. Ross has managed more than twenty
portfolios over the course of his career, some for institutional investors, and others for
private wealth clients. Recently, Larry Kemp, the chief investment officer at White
Stripes, instructed Ross to analyze the performance of a bond portfolio managed by one
of his subordinates, Anne Couk. While evaluating the portfolio’s performance, Ross
calculated the impact of the following on the portfolio’s total return:
A. Determine for each of the effects mentioned how Ross might have calculated
their impact on the portfolio’s total return.
(6 minutes)