Mark Scheme (Results)

Summer 2019

Pearson Edexcel GCE In Statistics 3

Paper 6691/01
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Summer 2019
Publications Code 6691_01_1906_MS
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© Pearson Education Ltd 2019
General Marking Guidance

• All candidates must receive the same treatment. Examiners must mark
the first candidate in exactly the same way as they mark the last.
• Mark schemes should be applied positively. Candidates must be rewarded
for what they have shown they can do rather than penalised for omissions.
• Examiners should mark according to the mark scheme not according to
their perception of where the grade boundaries may lie.
• There is no ceiling on achievement. All marks on the mark scheme should
be used appropriately.
• All the marks on the mark scheme are designed to be awarded. Examiners
should always award full marks if deserved, i.e. if the answer matches the
mark scheme. Examiners should also be prepared to award zero marks if
the candidate’s response is not worthy of credit according to the mark
scheme.
• Where some judgement is required, mark schemes will provide the
principles by which marks will be awarded and exemplification may be
limited.
• When examiners are in doubt regarding the application of the mark
scheme to a candidate’s response, the team leader must be consulted.
• Crossed out work should be marked UNLESS the candidate has replaced
it with an alternative response.
 EDEXCEL GCE MATHEMATICS

General Instructions for Marking

1. The total number of marks for the paper is 75.

2. The Edexcel Mathematics mark schemes use the following types of marks:

• M marks: method marks are awarded for ‘knowing a method and attempting to
apply it’, unless otherwise indicated.
• A marks: Accuracy marks can only be awarded if the relevant method (M) marks
have been earned.
• B marks are unconditional accuracy marks (independent of M marks)
• Marks should not be subdivided.

3. Abbreviations

These are some of the traditional marking abbreviations that will appear in the mark
schemes.

• bod – benefit of doubt

• ft – follow through
• the symbol will be used for correct ft
• cao – correct answer only
• cso - correct solution only. There must be no errors in this part of the question to
obtain this mark
• isw – ignore subsequent working
• awrt – answers which round to
• SC: special case
• oe – or equivalent (and appropriate)
• dep – dependent
• indep – independent
• dp decimal places
• sf significant figures
•  The answer is printed on the paper
• The second mark is dependent on gaining the first mark

4. All A marks are ‘correct answer only’ (cao.), unless shown, for example, as A1 ft to
indicate that previous wrong working is to be followed through. After a misread
however, the subsequent A marks affected are treated as A ft, but manifestly absurd
answers should never be awarded A marks.

5. For misreading which does not alter the character of a question or materially simplify
it, deduct two from any A or B marks gained, in that part of the question affected.

6. If a candidate makes more than one attempt at any question:

• If all but one attempt is crossed out, mark the attempt which is NOT crossed
out.
• If either all attempts are crossed out or none are crossed out, mark all the
attempts and score the highest single attempt.

7. Ignore wrong working or incorrect statements following a correct answer

Question
Scheme Notes Marks
Number

A B C D E F G H I Attempt to rank at least 1

M1
N 4 3 1 2 6 9 8 7 5 row with at least 6 correct.
G 3 4 2 1 8 6 9 5 7
1(a) d 1 -1 -1 1 -2 3 -1 2 -2
d2 1 1 1 1 4 9 1 4 4 Attempt at d 2 - can be
M1
implied by ∑ d = 26
2

Can be implied by correct

∑d
2
= 26 A1
answer for rs .
6(26) Use of correct formula
rs = 1 −
with their ∑ d
2
9(80) M1
If n ≠ 9 in (a) score this M0A0 but allow ft for cv and hence upto all 4 in (b)
rs = 0.783  47 , awrt 0.783
0.783, A1
60
(5)
Both correct in terms of ρ
(b) H 0 : ρ 0, H1 : ρ > 0
= or ρ s . Must be compatible B1
with their ranking.
0.6 with sign compatible
cv 0.6 or cr rs ≥ 0.6
with their ranking. B1
For two-tailed test allow cv = 0.7 with correct sign
Correct statement e.g.
“reject H 0 ”, “in critical
rs = 0.783 lies in cr so reject H 0 region”, “significant”, M1
“positive correlation”.
test stat > 1 award M0
Correct conclusion in
context. Must mention
Data does not support University F’s claim.
“University F’s claim”. A1ft
Allow “university’s claim”
Allow the final A1 independently of the hypotheses
(4)
Total 9
Question
Scheme Notes Marks
Number
H 0 : Gender and choice of ice cream are independent
(or not associated). “gender” and “ice
2 cream” mentioned at B1
H1 : Gender and choice of ice cream are dependent least once.
(or associated).
OBSERVED Male Female Attempt to convert
Cone 50 80 fractions to observed
M1;
Sandwich 25 20 frequencies at least 1
A1
Sundae 10 10 correct;
Float 15 10 at least 6 correct
EXPECTED Male Female Totals RT×CT
Cone 59.090… 70.909… 130 Attempt
GT M1;
Sandwich 20.454… 24.545… 45
with at least 1 correct; A1
Sundae 9.090… 10.909… 20
Float 11.363… 13.636… 25 at least 4 correct to
Totals 100 120 220 3sf.
Observed Expected (O − E ) 2 O2 At least 2 correct terms
E E (O − E ) 2 O2
for or
50 59.090… 1.3986… 42.3076… E E M1
80 70.909… 1.1655… 90.2564… with their values.
25 20.45 1.0101… 30.5555… Accept 2sf.
20 24.55 0.8417… 16.2962…
10 9.09 0.0909… 11
10 10.91 0.0757… 9.1666… At least 4 correct to 2dp
15 11.36 1.1636… 19.8 or better. Allow A1
10 13.64 0.9696… 7.3333…. truncation.
Totals 6.716 226.716
(O − E ) 2 O2
or ∑ − 220 = 6.716 awrt 6.7 A1
E E
ν = (4 − 1)(2 − 1) = 3, χ 32 (5%) = 7.815 3, 7.815 B1B1ft
χ 2 = 6.7 does not lie in cr so insufficient evidence to For correct statement
linking their test M1
reject H 0 statistic and their cv.
Context required i.e.
Gender and choice of ice cream are independent or “gender” and “choice of
There is no evidence of an association between gender ice cream” or “Dave”.
A1ft
and choice of ice cream or Condone “connection”
Dave’s belief is supported. or “relationship” but not
“correlation”.
(12)
Total 12
 Question
Scheme Notes Marks
Number
3.
20
(a) = 3.0902 (Calc 3.0902323…) awrt 3.09 seen. B1
σ
20 20
σ= [ = 6.47207…] provided z > 1 M1
3.0902 their z
σ = 6.47 * Cso (Must see 3.0902 or better) A1*
(3)
H 0 : µ = 500
(b) Both B1
H1 : µ < 500
5940
=x = 495 495 cao. May be implied below. B1
12
495 − 500
z= = – 2.677… Standardise using their mean
6.47
and correct standard error.
12
M1
w − 500 w − 500
or = −1.6449 or = z value
6.47 6.47
12 12
z= −2.677... or CR w < 496.92.. awrt −2.68 or w < awrt 497
A1
Test statistic of + 2.677 or + awrt 2.68 scores M1A0 but allow final A1
−1.6449 or better seen.
5% cv −1.6449 (Calc: – 1.6448536…)
Compatible signs. B1
p-value Allow in range [0.0035, 0.0038)
For correct statement linking
Reject H 0 their test statistic and their cv dM1
dependent on first M1.
Context required. Must mention
There is evidence that the machine is filling
“machine” and “packets” or A1
packets with a mean weight of less than 500g. “filling”.
(7)
12
=
ALT X ∑W , X  N(12µ ,12 × 6.47 )
1
i
2
May be implied below. B1

5940 − 6000 Standardise using 5940, 6000

z= = −2.68 M1
6.47 12 and 6.47 12
Total 10
Question
Scheme Notes Marks
Number
38
4(a) =
Standard error = 0.8717... awrt 0.872 B1
50
(1)
2.5758 or better
(b) 172 ± 2.5758 × 0.8717... B1
(Calc: 2.575829…)
172 ± ( z value) × (their (a))
= 172 ± 2.2455... M1
with |z| > 2
(169.8,174.2) awrt (170,174) A1A1
SC 98% CI (No z seen) gives (169.97, 174.03) and scores B0M1A1A0
(4)
z = 1.96 (Calc: 1.9599639…)
(c) 1.96 or better B1
(Use in an attempt at a CI is OK)
38 38
2 ×1.96 × ≤3 2 × (z value) × (|z| > 1)
n n M1
Allow use of “=” here (Can ft their “ 38 " from (a))
22 ×1.962 × 38 Form inequality in n attempt
n≥ =64.88...
32 to solve achieving a value for n dM1
(Must have correct use of inequalities to (Can ft their z value, |z| > 1)
score this mark) (Dep on 1st M1)
65 cao
Minimum sample size is 65. (No use of inequality loses A1
cannot score final M1A1)
(Missing 2 x (giving 17) scores max of B1 in (c))
Use of z = 1.6449 or better (giving 46) could score B0M1M1 A0)
(4)
Total 9
Question
Scheme Notes Marks
Number
5.
Label both male and
(a) Label male 1-2520 and female 1-1680 B1
female. Can start at 0.
Must mention “random
Use random numbers to select from each group. B1
numbers” or “process”.
36 male and 24 female Both B1
(Use of systematic sampling scores B1 B0B0 max)
(3)
2700
(b) =w = 45 45kg B1
60
125500 − 60 × "45"2 Correct expression with their
s2 = w
M1A1ft
59
4000
s 2 = 67.7966... (Ans of only is A0) awrt 67.8 A1
59
(4)
If not clear which is which
from subscripts, then
(c) H0 : µF − µM =
1 B1
defintion is required for
the mark. oe
H1 : µ F − µ M > 1 oe B1

No labels but consistent use of e.g. µ1 − µ2 scores B0B1

SC
M1 for attempting standard
2.1 − 0.8 − 1
z= error. Condone swapping 1.5
1.22 0.92 and 0.9. A1 the completely M1A1
+ correct expression.
40 20

z = 1.0846... 1.085 or awrt 1.08 A1

cv z = 1.2816 (Calc: 1.2815515…) ±1.2816 or better

B1
p-value Allow a 3sf value in the range [0.1379, 0.1410] (calc gives awrt 0.139)
So not significant, insufficient evidence to reject
H0
Correct conclusion in
Manager’s claim is not supported or
context. Must mention
The mean weight loss of the female dogs is not A1
“manager” or “weight
greater than 1kg more than the mean weight loss (No ft)
loss”, “female dogs” and
of the male dogs.
“male dogs”.
(7)
Total 14
Question
Scheme Notes Marks
Number
H 0 : Arrows hit the target following the
model 60:90:90:120 / 2:3:3:4 Both oe. Accept in terms of
H1 : Arrows do not hit the target following ‘fit’or Paula’s claim. Accept
the model 60:90:90:120 / 2:3:3:4 or H 0 : Continuous uniform
H 0 : Arrows land in a particular sector in distribution is a suitable model
6. proportion to area / angle of sector. H1 : Continuous uniform B1
H1 : Arrows do not land in a particular distribution is not a suitable
sector in proportion to area / angle of model
sector.
Must mention arrows Allow U[0, 360]
60
Expected: A: ×100 etc All E correct to 2 sf. B1
360
(O − E ) 2
M1 for attempting or
(O − E ) 2 E
O2
Sector O E E O2
E with at least 2 correct M1
E
expressions or values.
A 13 16.6 0.806 10.14

B 22 25 0.36 19.36
C 25 25 0 25
All correct (2 dp) A1
D 40 33.3 1.3 48

2.5 102.5

(O − E ) 2 O2
∑ E = ∑ E − 100= 2.5 2.5 or awrt 2.50 A1

ν = 4 − 1 = 3, χ 32 (1%) = 11.345
3 can be implied by 11.345 seen B1B1ft

For correct statement linking

Insufficient evidence to reject H 0 M1
their test statistic and their cv.
A correct comment suggesting
support for Paula’s claim.
Paula’s claim is supported. (o.e.) Condone: “Paula’s claim is
A1
correct”
(No ft)
Hypotheses wrong way around
scores A0 here.
For an “o.e.” conclusion condone missing “arrows”
(9)
Total 9
Question
Scheme Notes Marks
Number
7(a) M = 4 X1 − 3 X 2 − Y
May be seen below e.g. N(0, ..
E(4 X 1 − 3 X 2 − Y ) =
0 B1
(Otherwie need E(…) = 0)
Var(−3 X 2 ) =9σ 2 , M1,
σ2
Var(4 X 1 − 3 X 2 − Y )= 16σ 2 + 9σ 2 + σ 2
4 Var(−Y ) = M1
4
101σ 2
Var( M ) = oe
4
 101σ 
2
N  0,  Normal and both correct. A1
 4 
(4)
(b) P(4 X 1 < 3 X 2 + Y + σ ) =
0.579
 
 
σ −0
P Z <  Standardise using their part
P( M < σ ) = M1
 101σ 2  (a) and clearly cancel σ
 
 4 
=P ( Z < 0.199...) awrt 0.199
A1
(Allow value in [ 0.195, 0.20])
=0.5793 *
Calc 0.57887… awrt 0.579* A1cso
(Must see more than just 0.579 1st )
(3)
(c) T = 4W1 − 3W2 − W
W1 + W2 + W3 + W4
4W1 − 3W2 − W = 4W1 − 3W2 −
4 15W1 − 13W2 − W3 − W4
15W1 − 13W2 − W3 − W4 4 M1A1
=
4
For M1 must “unpack” W and attempt to collect Wi terms
E(4W1 − 3W2 − W ) =
0 May be seen below. B1
 15W1 − 13W2 − W3 − W4 
Var   dM1
 4  Var(aWi ) = a 2σ 2
(Dep on
225σ + 169σ + σ + σ
2 2 2 2
For i = 1 or 2 1st M1)
=
16
99σ 2
= oe
4
 99σ 2 
N  0,  For distribution. A1
 4 
(5)
Total 12
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