Research-Paper - The-Fundamental-Models-of-Recurring-Revenue Winning by Design
Research-Paper - The-Fundamental-Models-of-Recurring-Revenue Winning by Design
● To achieve recurring revenue, companies must deliver recurring impact to their customers. A
common operating system across Sales, Marketing, and Customer Success is needed to drive
sustainable growth.
● The majority of the customer lifetime value comes after the initial sale, yet many leadership
teams overlook the importance of CS motions in recurring revenue to successfully onboard,
renew, and grow their existing customer base.
● Success in optimizing revenue and increasing productivity includes the alignment of all GTM
teams to a common methodology, framework, metrics, and language, in order to deliver the best
possible customer experience.
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Pay Upfront
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No cure. No pay
Business Model
Recurring revenue businesses can have a range of ● Ownership: The most extreme example in
different business models, operating on an arc this category is where a company is
between two extremes: the ‘pay upfront’ model selling on-premise hardware, where the
on the far left side, to consumption-based buyer pays upfront (e.g., perpetual
business models on the far right side. Each model software license).
along this arc has distinct implications for the ● Subscription: Most typical SaaS
sales cycle, win rate, level of risk, and go to businesses fall in this category, often with
market model. monthly, quarterly, or annual contracts
paid upfront.
Business Models on a ● Consumption: This includes various
forms of usage-based pricing; an example
Continuum
of this is pay-as-you-go cloud computing
resources. (Footnote 1)
With the term ‘recurring revenue’, most people
● Businesses can move from left to right, as
typically think of software sold on monthly,
well as from right to left, along this arc;
quarterly, or annual contracts, yet recurring
doing so changes how the business
revenue models actually exist across a much
should price their product, as well as how
wider continuum. There are three types of
they sell it. It is crucial to be aware of
models along this continuum:
these necessary changes, and the impact
they have on the company's revenue
operation.
FINDING 2.
Businesses can successfully utilize multiple
business models at the same time. Businesses
typically are successful when they rely on one
model until around $10-20M in revenue, at which
point they often expand and deploy additional
business models to drive additional revenue
streams.
FINDING 3.
The chosen business model has an effect on the
sales cycle. As you move from perpetual to
subscription to consumption, the sales cycle
typically decreases from years (as in perpetual
hardware contracts) to merely hours (customers
paying as they go for cloud compute resources).
FINDING 4.
The chosen business model has an effect on the
win rate. The win rate of qualified leads
decreases moving from left to right in the
business model. This is a result of the level of
commitment that the customer needs to make in
each scenario. This makes leads for a freemium
business model the hardest to convert, because
the customer needs to make very low level of
commitment in order to engage with you.
FINDING 5.
The chosen business model has an effect on the
level of risk. There are radical implications for the
level of risk borne by the seller versus the buyer
as you move across the spectrum of recurring
revenue business models. As we move toward a
The modern Data Model for recurring revenue is won), onboarded, ARR, and LTV. The exact
represented as a bowtie, aligning all Revenue metrics used will vary based on stage of the
capabilities with a consistent set of metrics. company (e.g., product-led growth companies
with smaller contracts may be using monthly
This contrasts with the typical 'sales funnel' or contracts, in which case they will focus on MRR
'marketing funnel' that many Revenue teams rather than ARR). [Footnote 1].
historically have used to measure their
performance across a sales process; that funnel (ii) Time metrics
has distinct shortcomings for enabling a
recurring revenue model. The Time metric most often used by Revenue
teams is the length of the sales cycle. Others
The Metrics often measured are time to go-live and average
length of contract. For a more sophisticated,
The Data Model for recurring revenue is granular view that can help pinpoint where issues
comprised of three types of metrics: are happening in the sales cycle, revenue teams
should be measuring the average time between
(i) Volume metrics each sales stages, rather than the length of the
entire sales cycle, so that they can determine
Volume metrics are typically what revenue teams which parts of the sales cycle need further
are most familiar with. These metrics often improvement.
include measuring the following (or similar):
prospects, MQLs, SQLs, SALs, commit (closed
often focuses on those three phases. But once sustainable growth for successful recurring
Key Findings
FINDING 1.
The typical 'sales funnel' or 'marketing funnel'
does not serve the needs of recurring revenue
business models.
FINDING 2.
The Bowtie is a more accurate way to model the
inner workings of a recurring revenue engine and
reflect the principles that define it.
FINDING 3.
Companies are placing an outsized emphasis on
the first half of the Bowtie, leading to a heavy
focus on winning more deals; most companies
have a great opportunity for growth by more
closely examining and measuring their metrics
The Mathematical Model shows that growth in a and if no, the sales cycle ends there. In order to
recurring revenue business is based not on linear get to a win, each meeting has its own conversion
mathematical principles, but on exponential rate; if a meeting 'converts', then the next
arithmetic. meeting occurs. It then follows that the win rate
becomes the aggregate of all of the individual
Reexamining the win rate meeting conversion rates. Continuing along these
lines, the sales cycle becomes the aggregate of
The win rate is typically determined as the the time between all meetings.
number of wins compared to the number of
The sales cycle can therefore be thought of as a
opportunities. This is a linear function, and it
simple mathematical formula, where the win rate
implies that you need twice the number of
equals the multiplication of each of the individual
opportunities in order to achieve twice the
meeting conversion rates. Similarly, the win rate
number of wins. However, this way of looking at
formula can also be thought of as the average
win rate glosses over what actually happens
conversion rate per meeting, raised to the power
during a sales cycle, and how those moments in
of the number of meetings --- which is an
the sales cycle can be improved to achieve the
exponential relationship.
highly desired exponential rather than linear
growth.
By thinking about the sales cycle in terms of the
conversion from meeting to meeting, we then can
When we break the sales cycle down in terms of
start to see how small improvements can have a
activities, we see the the sales cycle is comprised
disproportionate impact on results. According to
of a series of meetings. At each meeting, the
this mathematical formula, the two key ways to
customer determines if they are still interested in
drive exponential results are (1)
the product; if yes, a subsequent meeting occurs,
FINDING 4.
Growth in a recurring revenue Companies can deploy asynchronous selling
business is based not on linear techniques in order to accelerate sales cycles and
mathematical principles, but increase win rates, in addition to realizing other
on exponential arithmetic. benefits such as decreasing customer acquisition
costs.
Key Findings
FINDING 1.
Recurring revenue models are built to take
advantage of exponential and compound growth;
organizations need to build their revenue
functions with these principles in mind in order
to maximize their growth potential.
FINDING 2.
Disproportionate impact comes from the
compound growth of existing customers.
FINDING 3.
In practice, the number of meetings in the sales
cycle can be reduced using asynchronous tactics,
such as sending a proposal with a recorded video
100,000’s PLG
INBOUND
Number of Deals per year
COMMUNITY
10,000’s 1-STAGE
PROSPECT
HELPDESK
1,000’s 2-STAGE
ABM
VOLUME
100’s FIELD SALES
TARGET MARKETING GTM
SEGMENTED
10’s NAMED ACCTS SALES GTM
ACCOUNTS CS GTM
GTM models of Marketing, Sales, and Customer ● Product-led growth: The product itself
Success are aligned based on number of deals per acts as the marketing and sales function
year and ACV, in order to deliver the best ● 1-stage: Entire sales process is handled by
customer experience at the right cost to serve. one inside rep, from discovery all the way
through to close/commitment
Aligning GTMs across ● 2-stage sales organization: Two roles
manage the sales process (e.g., an SDR
Marketing, Sales & Customer qualifies and hands off a lead to an AE)
Success [Footnote 1]
● Field sales: Reps are located in region,
and typically hold a few hundred
The GTM Model shows how the specific motions
accounts. They may be aligned by
of Marketing, Sales, and Customer Success can
geography or vertical.
be matched and aligned, based on two key
● Named accounts: Enterprise reps work on
factors: 1) the number of deals sold per year, and
a short list of large enterprise accounts
2) the annual contract value (in the first year of
the customer's contract).
Marketing GTMs:
unsustainable
$100M E
Recurring Revenue
le
ab
al
sc
D
unscalable
$10M C
B
$1M A
Unrepeatable Repeatable
process process
S
t0 t1 t2 t3 t4 t5 Time t(n)
PMF Go To Market Fit ScaleUp Fit Grown-Up Fit
Price your product Find a repeatable process for a Go To Focus on scaling Growth by doing more of Shift of focus to profit.
based on the proven Market motion(s) that grows revenue what works, and stop doing what doesn’t Growth comes from
impact it provides. consistently. work. Multiple GTM motions. existing customers.
The most common problem for often result in a 12-18 month delay in reaching
the expectations that have been set by investors,
Series B companies: 'Scaling
as the rate of growth and efficiency needed
failure' happens when not
cannot be sustained. A common outcome during
enough consistency in
this turn of events is that Revenue leaders are
performance has been reached.
replaced, or that new levels of executives with
experience at later stage companies are brought
in with the intent of helping set the company
Generalized at a high level to illustrate this, the back on the right path.
following skills and traits will be crucial and
typical in each phase: FINDING 2.
Launching a new GTM requires the company to
● Product-Market Fit: Self starters and reenter PMF and GTMF. The launch of a new
proven superstars with reliable product, entry into a new region, or selling into a
performance. May dislike process and new segment requires that a company, even
structure. Will help to set the tone of the briefly, reenters the product development cycle
culture that the fonder is looking to to establish product, price positioning, and GTM
establish. Fit. Another common failure point is launching a
● Go to Market Fit: Creators and builders new enterprise product in the Scale Up phase in
who love to create a process and order to scale and grow revenue, without
document what they are building. Able to reentering that product development cycle.
listen and learn from what goes on
FINDING 3.
around them, enjoying working with and
Multiple GTMs deployed too soon will spread
learning from small teams.
resources too thin. Company management will
● Scale Up: Dependable team performers
often have a tendency to deploy several GTM
who love to execute process. May need
models before each one has matured and is
guidance and structure for creating new
scalable, with the goal of growing quickly and
process, preferring structure that is
capturing as much of the market as possible. This
already built.
error results in damaging the company's ability to
scale, as resources are now spread too thin
Key Findings across multiple GTMs, products, and teams.
FINDING 1.
Scaling failure happens when not enough
consistency in performance has been reached. A
When do you
C RITICAL
need this by? EVENT
D ECISION
CUSTOMER ENGAGEMENT .
CRITERIA
I MPACT
Consultative: Asking questions Ask how this What happens
to understand what the customer impacts their if you miss that
wants you to do, share use-cases. business date?
PI
2-3 closed often results in
TC
Resets disengagement
H
questions Perform the convo
ACE, Agenda research
and talk in context
The Operating Model is a diagnostic framework before they were passed by SDRs to AEs.
for successful conversations and opportunities. At the same time, several other
methodologies are often used to help give
Issues with Sales structure later on in the discovery
process. Revenue teams have ended up
Methodologies using several methodologies at once, but
without being able to integrate these
Many sales methodologies have been developed methodologies together. The result is a
and put into the market over the years, and they very inconsistent sales process that
are very effective in bringing clarity and causes confusion between the functions
consistency to the sales process. However, there of sales, marketing, and customer
are a few common issues that occur with sales success, and a less than ideal experience
methodologies, which have become quite for the customer.
pervasive across Revenue teams:
2. Solution, consultative, or provocative
1. Too many methodologies at once. selling? These are often taught as
Companies are employing multiple sales mutually exclusive, and teams will adopt
methodologies for different parts of the one of the three based on what they feel
sales process. For example, BANT (budget, is most complementary with the product
authority, need, timing) became quite they sell. A problem arises in actual
popular in the Prospecting stage of the conversations with customers, where
sales cycle in order to qualify leads salespeople often need to employ all
Revenue teams end up misaligned across Decision)is a diagnostic framework that provides
stages because methodologies were not the guidance for keeping the customer's desired
built to integrate with each other. Each impact as the ultimate goal, at the forefront of all
one has a slightly different focus, with conversations that occur during the sales cycle.
4. Helping forecast versus helping to sell. understand what the customer wants
Most methodologies end up being utilized (consultative), and encourages the customer to
by sales managers in order to help them think differently or see a different perspective
reps win more deals (a focus on volume), happening in their world. Such as size of
rather than focus on helping reps with company, number of employees, software
what they should do in their customer they use, hiring needs, security needs, or
that type of guidance, sales reps are ● Pain. The problems the customer has
forced to figure it out on their own and purchased your product or solution to
form their own habits, which may or may help solve. This could include the need to
Key Findings
FINDING 1.
More than one sales methodology is often
applied at different points in the sales process;
however, different methodologies do not
integrate with each other, leading to confusion
and inefficiencies across the sales process.
FINDING 2.
Methodologies are often confused with
forecasting, and end up being applied so that
managers have an easier time forecasting, rather
than being applied to help clarify and guide the
seller along the sales process.
FINDING 3.
Aligning all Revenue capabilities and the full
revenue process is crucial for sustainable growth
in recurring revenue; the unifying thread for this
alignment is customer impact.