Fantahun Research Pporposal
Fantahun Research Pporposal
JANUARY, 2020
SAWLA, ETHIOPIA
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
First and for most I will like to thank to give glory to almighty God for his presence in
all my works and for my success. Next, I will express my deepest gratitude to my
advisor Mihretu .T (MSc) who has helped me to organize and improve my research
work. Furthermore I will like to express my appreciation to my family for their ability
to accept my delay and difficulty peacefully and assistance throughout my education
and also for their assistance for my study. And I will like to express my appreciation
to my friends for their moral and idea assistance. At last I will like to gratify for all
persons contributing in writing and printing my research porposal.
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ACRONYMS
WB Western Bond
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TABLE CONTENT
Contents
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT........................................................................................................2
ACRONYMS...........................................................................................................................3
TABLE CONTENT..................................................................................................................4
CHAPTER ONE.......................................................................................................................5
INTRODUCTION................................................................................................................5
1.1 Back Ground of the study...............................................................................................5
1.2 Statement of the problem................................................................................................7
1.3 Objectives of the study....................................................................................................8
1.3.1 General objective.....................................................................................................8
1.3.2 Specific Objectives..................................................................................................8
1.4 Significance of the study.................................................................................................8
1.5 Scope of the study...........................................................................................................9
1.6. Organization of the study...............................................................................................9
CHAPTER TWO....................................................................................................................10
2. LITRATURE REVIEW......................................................................................................10
2.1 Theoretical related literature.........................................................................................10
2.1.1 Definition of investment........................................................................................10
2.1.2 Determinates of investment....................................................................................11
2.1.3 Private Investment Demand...................................................................................12
2.1.4 Determinants of Private investment.......................................................................13
2.1.5. Constraint of private investment in developing countries.....................................15
2.2 Empirical related literature............................................................................................17
CHAPTER THREE................................................................................................................19
3. METHDOLOGY...............................................................................................................19
3.1. Description of the study area...........................................................................................19
3.2 Sources and types of data..............................................................................................19
3.3 Data collection technique..............................................................................................20
3.4 Sampling technique and sample size.............................................................................20
3.5 Data analysis.................................................................................................................21
CHAPTER FOUR..................................................................................................................22
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CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
1.1 Back Ground of the study
In most developing countries the development issues are the most crucial. In order to
excite out from their deprivation situation these regions have been making continual
efforts on one hand and the assistance of multilateral institution like WB, IMF,
bilateral and multilateral cooperation with donor countries on the other hand, these
regions are unable to use existing capital accumulation and skilled man power and
low level of saving. The growth of output of any economy depends on capital
accumulation and capital accumulation requires investment and an equal amount of
saving to match it. Two of the most important issues in development economics and
for developing countries are how to stimulate investment and how to bring an increase
in level of saving to found increased saving.The paper tackled the issue of foreign
saving and the conditions that need to be met for borrowing from abroad(A P
Thirlwall,2010)
Most developing countries face lack of capital accumulation and this is the main
cause for their backwardness. Improving capital accumulation means improving the
investment of the nation and then socio- economic performance of the nation. It
primarly focus on the growth of existing wealth through the investment of earnd
profits and saving.This investment focused by the variety of ways through out the
economy ,one method of growing capital is through purchase of tangiable goods that
drive production (Alica Tuovila,Jun,2020)
Like any city of the country Arab Minch city makes its effort towards development.
Even if investment is not a recent phenomenon, several private investment have been
undertaking currently, but like most less developing countries Arab Minch city is also
with problems of lack of capital .
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Which are factors of production. In other words the constraints are lack of productive
factors (Todaro, 2002)
Capital can accumulate through saving. In our country, however, the voluntary saving
is highly constrained by low income. In addition the attitude of Ethiopian people
towards saving is also indispensible for low level of saving. In our society there is
pervasive extravagant practice with unwise consumption and this can leads to
In Ethiopia and foreign direct investment has been steadily growth federal and
regional gov't encourage investment the provide land incentive such as tax holding
and improved bureacray at federal regional investment office.
In Ethiopian gov't special focus on investment and private investors both Ethiopian
gov't and non Ethiopian national undertaken investment activities in the agriculture,
construction and manufacturing sectors flower farm,cement factory steel melting and
rolling mills are becomes more and more command in Ethiopia.Investment in flawless
speaking is the back bone of Ethiopian economy growth and pipeline to technology
transfer.Due to different reasons, however ,regional disparity of investment is critical
problem in Ethiopia.The aggregate data shown that there was increment of investment
investment in Ethiopia interns of number of projects ,capital and job.Creation with
significant deviation in regional growth and distribution from (2002-2017). Most
investment projects and capital were placed in a few developed regions,SNNPR,Addis
Ababa,Oromiya ,Amhara.The study also showed that developing regions like Afar,
Somali,Gambella etc..were founded at lowest level of investment in all aspects.
Therefore in order to diminish these unequal distribution of investment regional
policy makers of Ethiopia should analyze scientifically(Mohamed seid and Tigezaw
Lamesgen, 2019/Regional disparity of inv't in Ethiopia from (1992-2018,Nobel
information Journal).The SNNPR,regional government which understand the
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irrplacable dominant role of the private investment sector for the over all economic
development of the region established our agency in 1985 E.C. The agency since its
establishment has been making varoius efferts to promote investment activities in the
region. Arba Minch is attractive location for investment in tourism,agro-forestry
recreation and real estate.The city's main industrial branches concentrates on textile
production based at the 193 million birr.Arba Minch textile mill and weaving
agricultural production and tourism.(www.Ethiopian cities organization).
Since Arba Minch city is located in Ethiopia, it is countered by the same problem
such as incentive problems, lack of appropriate government policy and financial
problems of the investors(www.Ethiopia city organization).
Even if there are abundant low cost of labor force and investment land for private
investment in the city which attract investors to invest in different sectors such as in
agriculture, construction, industry ,trade and service, the level of private investment
is still low in the city,(wikaiafida organization)
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Different studies conducted before tries to assess the determinants of private
investment (Keynesian Model), but this study will tries to identity the major reasons
behind potentials and constraints of private investment in Arba Minch city. Ultimately
the study answers the following questions
• What are the potentials of private investment in the town?
• What are the main constraints affecting private investment in the study area?
• What are the techniques incentives for attracting investors by the investment
agency of the town?
• Which sectors possess highest potential regarding capital amount and
employment creation capacity in the town?
1.3 Objectives of the study
1.3.1 General objective
The general objective of this study will be to assess the overall existing potentials of private
investment and its constraints in Arba Minch town, southern Ethiopia.
1.3.2 Specific Objectives
The specific objective of this study will be;
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the study shows the whole situation assess private investment potential and
constraints, techniques to attract private investors, investment incentives as well as
the contribution of private investment in terms of employment creation in the city.
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CHAPTER TWO
2. LITRATURE REVIEW
GDP= C+I+G+NX
Where C= Consumption
I= Investment
G= Government expenditure
NX= Net export i.e. (x –m)
X= Export
M= import
According to Ayale Kuris, from the above national income identity, investment does
not include the purchase of the corporation securities and opening saving accounts in
the banks.
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Business fixed investment means investment in the machines, tools and
equipments,that businessmen buy for use in further production of goods and services
according to neoclassical theory business fixed investment is determined by the
marginal products of capital on one hand and users cost of capital on the other. The
users cost of capital merely dependes on the prices capital goods,the interest
rate,depreciation. Resdential investment refers to the expenditure which people make
on constructing or buying new houses or dwelling apartment for the purpose of living
or renting out to others. Is form of real estate investment that constitutes one of the
worked most valuable assets due to its durability .Houses are assets that throw off
streams of income representing future earning in the in the form of houses price
appreciation and renting. Inventory investment is the part of investment it includes
currently produced goods or consumer goods which are not consumed but added to
stock. In this firms hold inventories of raw materials ,semi-finished goods to be
processed in to final goods.The firms also hold inventories of finished goods to be
sold shortly.(Mankiw,N Gregory ,Macroeconomics,2019)
Interest Rate: we often hear reports that low interest rates have stimulated housing
construction or that high rates have reduced it,such reports imply a negative relation
ship between interest rates and investment in residential structure.This relationship
applies to all forms of investment: higher interest rates tend to reduce the quantity of
investment while lower interest rates it(wall streat Journal,2005).
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Stock of capital: The stock of capital already it use affects the level of investment in
two ways first because most investment replace capital that has depreciated,a greater
capital stock is likely to lead to more investment there will be more capital to
replace.But second a greater capital stock can tend to reduce investment.that is
because,investment occurs to adust the stock of capital to its desired level.Given the
amount of investment needed to rich it will be lower then the capital stock is higher
(wall street journal,2007).
The level of economic activity: firms need capital to produce goods and services.An
increase in level of production is likely to boost demand and thus lead to greater
investment (The New York times,2018).
The demand for investment depend on interest rate which measures the cost of
the funds used to finance investment.
Investment demand also depends on tax laws. Investment demand may change
because the government encourages or discourages investment through the
tax laws. If the government increases personal income tax and use the
extra revenue to provide tax cuts for those who invest in new capital. Such
change in the tax laws makes more investment projects profitable and like
a technological innovation, increases the demand for investment. Why
investment demand is unstable? The reason is there are several volatile
determinants that cause the investment demand cave to be quit unstable.
The major factors that can shift the investment demand curve are:-
expectation, technological change and business taxes.
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2.1.4 Determinants of Private investment
In discussing the concepts of investment, it is worth reviewing that the view of
different schools of economic thought and the major factors that determine the
demand for investment. The neoclassical models of investment concentrate on the
role of price mechanism. To the neo-classical interest rate is the major determinant of
investment demand. According to the arguments of this school the decision of firms
whether to invest or not will depend on the rate of return on investment. If the return
on investment is greater than the interest payment on the loans used to finance the
investment then the planned investment spending will be encouraged otherwise it
will be discourage. The Keynesian model on the other hand has cyclically analyzed
the concept of investment demand from the aggregate point of view. Keynes in his
analysis has attempted to show that investment spending has direct impact on the
aggregate demand (Fredric’s Mishkin 3rd edition) .To justify his hipbath is he
classified the aggregate demand in to four major component parts. These are
consumption expenditure (C), planned investment expenditure (I) Government
expenditure (G) and the net export (NX) which together constitutes the aggregate
demand. Yad = C+I+G+NX
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saving and direct them to productive investment. Thus financing is an important
constraint facing the promotion of investment of developing countries. If these
countries where financial market is generally repressed, credit policy affects
investment directly through the stock of credit available to firms. Generally, as the
total amount of financing is demitted the labor of available bank credit restricts the
private investors in the developing countries.
Revenue and cost: - now investment or expansion of existing one will depend on the
amount of revenue expected to generate from the investment project and the cost of
investment. When the revenue actually earned increase the investment activity also be
promoted. Since most investments are made on borrowed capital, the interest rate
which is the cost of capital will be one of the major determinants to be considered in
investment decision. Other types of cost that may be caused due to inefficient
licensing bureaucratic procedures can also influence investment decision.
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which some of effects of inflation(western and southern finance group,2017-
2020).High and unpredictable inflation also has been site as a factor, which increase
riskiness of long term projects and distorts information about relative prices and so it
may dampen private investment especially in developing countries.
Risk and uncertainty: - a rational investor, living in a world where the factors that
affect investment decision are random has to take the effect of risk in to account. The
reason is that risk affects investment adversely.
Devaluation: - It may have deferent effects in the short run and long run. In the short
run, devaluation tends to dampen investment by raising the price of capital goods and
intermediate inputs. But, if the economy responds to its competitiveness with higher
exports the long run effect on private investment can be favorable.
The literature highlights five investment constraints that affect the macro indictors of
the rate private investment and growth and the survival and growth of firms:
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exchange rate and poltical and social stability needed to sustain high rate of
investment and growth.
4. Taxation: Exessively high rates of tax exact high cost interms of lower
investment and growth.They reduce incentive to invest because the after tax returns
to investors are lower.The literature shows that lower rate tax can increase
investment and growth.higher rate of tax can decrease business entry and the growth
of established firms with medium sized firms hit hardest,as the small can trade
imformally, and the range avoid taxes.As well as reducing the tax rates, polices that
broaden the tax base simplify the tax structure,improve adminsration and give greater
autonomy to tax agencies help to reduce this constraints.
5. Institutions and legal systems: There is a strong cross country evidence in the
literature that weak institution, particularly for the protection of property rights and
an ineffective judiciary that is unable to enforce contracts, reduce investment and
growth.
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2.2 Empirical related literature
The study by Eric Kwaku Attefah(2016) in the case of Ghana show that private and
public investment are complimentary and thus there is the need for the government
to continue to develop the infrastructural base of the economy to boost the private
sector. The growth of real credit to the private sector had a positive and statistically
significant effect on private investment. The most important variable (in terms of
magnitude of their influence on private investment) is the trade regime, growth of
real credit to the private sector, macro-economic instability and political instability.
It is also clear from the survey that such factors as official attitude towards private
investors and lack of credibility in government policies are hindrances to private
investment. If the private sector is to be ``engine of growth `` in the economy, then
these lapse, among others need to be given serious attention.
Another study by AC Floyed (2016), in the case of Benin shows that the importance
of the quality of the business climate in making investment decision, it would be
useful to carry out deeper study of it. From an analysis of 2015 doing business
indicators for Benin and assessment of the investment climate in Benin that was
carried out by the world bank (world bank 2016) the following recommendation can
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still be made improving the availability and the quality of utilities such as electricity,
water, and telecommunication as well as reducing their price, setting up a
commercial court in Benin to settle disputes between business people or between
these and other corporate partners, notably banks. Finalizing the land legislation,
since plots of land are largely used as a security for obtaining bank loans and
strengthening strategies to fight corruption.
The study by Folorunsho M Abide(sep,2016) in the case of Nigeria shows that the
result provides evidence that private investment in Nigeria is constrained by
availability of financing and that the monetary policy could be used to influence
private investment decision. In order to attract the private investment a country must
formulate and implement suitable policies. In addition, cost of financing, i.e. interest
rate is expected to be low because it will induce private investors to invest. Therefore,
government should reduce the borrowing and lending charges, the government is also
advised to create conducive environment that will attract domestic and foreign
investors.
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CHAPTER THREE
3 METHDOLOGY
Addis Ababa at 278 km from the regional center,Hawassa.It's elevation range from 1200
m from sea level at the northern end to 1320 m avove sea level at the southern end.The
town is enclosed by two rift lakes abaya chamo in the east and south west
respectively.The city adminstration has an area of 557 sq km and divided in to four sub-
city and 11 kebeles.such sub-cities are Sikela, Secha, Nechsar and Abaya sub-cities.The
mean annual precipitation is 818 mm.Temperature vary between 23.2c° in march and
20c° in summer.The average annual temprature is 21.8c°.It gets rainfall 11 twice a year
adminstration the projected population of the city in 2018 will reach 209,000 people out
of this population 102,000 are males and 107,000 are females out of the total number of
population of the city adminstration,74,879 people live in the urban area.The remaining
number of people live in rural area of the adminstration and the annual population
3.2 Sources and types of data Types of data and methods of data collection
technique
While conducting the study the researcher used both primary and secondary source of
data so as to make the study more accurate and reliable. Primary data was collected
from private investors and investment officials.
Secondary data source are also use for this study as they hold immense information in
a documented form. This data was collected from annual and quarterly investment
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report of Arba Minch City investment bureau and periodical related with private
investment from Ethiopia investment agency (EIA).
The Researcher also made key informant interview to investment officials of the city
to know current investment progress of the town. Secondary data was collected from
different written source and documents such as annual investment reports and
quarterly investment report of investment bureau of the town. The researcher will
employes this source of data to study further about current investment progress,
investment incentives and investment potentials of the town.
n= N/ 1+N (e)2
e= is level of precisin
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CHAPTER FOUR
4. Budget Plan and Time Schedule
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REFERENCES
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