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NTIFICATION AND
EVALUATION
etl) had
» Define the term risk identification
» Discuss the objectives of risk identification
» Explain the risk identification process
» Describe tools and techniques of risk identification
2
MINTRODUCTION
ment. It refers to
and so on. The
Risk
nity Peeper provides the foundation for risk manage!
iprnant types Ee ucne events e.g. fire, flood, burglary
etwlecturing of information relating to organisation, market, environment,
ems and nee financial strengths and weaknesses, management
ess mechanism is need for risk identification in a business
bh=
13.2 Risk Identification ang
organisation. An organization may suffer a heavy loss in a
identify the risk at this stage.
3.2 DEFINITION OF RISK IDENTIFICATION
“Risk identification is the process of determining risks that cou
prevent the programme, enterprise or investment from achieving its
3.3 BACKGROUND
Re ere a’
Risk identification is the crucial step of risk management process, ,
Assess 1
Probability & Se
2. Risk Impact
‘Assessment
consequences
1. Risk
Identity Risks Identification
Reassess existing Risk
risk events & Identity Tracking
new risk events
4. Risk Mitigation 3. Risk Priortisation
Planning, Implementation | Sears conse
and Progress Monitoring Risk
Mitigation {
3.4 OBJECTIVE OF RISK IDENTIFICATION
The prime objective of risk identification is the early and continuous
identification of events that, if they occur , will have negative impact on the
ability of project to achieve performance or capability outcome goals, ‘They may
come from within the project or from external sources.
Risk identification requires to match the type of assessment needed to assist
risk informed decision making. For an acquisition programme, the first step is
to identify the programme goals and objectives. It provides context and bounds
the scope by which risks are identified and assessed.
i
i
1. To identify and prioritise potential risk events,
2. Helps to develop risk management strategies and risk management
plans.
3. To use established risk management methods, tools and techn
assist.and Evaluation
the analysis and reporting of identified risk events.
at help in
f fo find ways to identify and evaluate risks.
" po develop strategies and plans for lasting management strategies.
6.
IDENTIFICATION PROCESS
ple sources of risk are there. The project team should review the
Iti} +
Beme poapes cost estimates, schedule, technical maturity, key
ee ance parameters, performance challenges, expectations of stakeholders,
Feely, ability to handle threats for risk identification.
9 pes ieter
- jdentification is an iterative process. More information will be gained
ine project as the programme progresses. The risk statement will be
Biesed fo reflect the current understanding .
be identified as the project progress through the life cycle.
New risks can
© Estimate likelihood
and impact of risks
Quantitative Vs qualitative
'¢ Identification of
Risks and
their causes
Risk Risk Analysis/
Identification ‘Assessment
Monitoring
and Review nae
Treatment
@ Actions and
Mechanisms to
minimise risks
‘¢ Risk acceptance
* Continuous
monitoring of
risks and action
to Control them
: S8TOOLs AND TECHNIQUES OF RISK IDENTIFICATION :
K
cay §M* &f Questionnaire and Checklists. Risk manager tries to find out
of loss the firm may suffer if the property destroyed on the basis ofaaa
Risk Identification and
13.4
ecklists. Questionnaires are prepared to point out
questionnaires and chi z
major and minor loss exposures. ee
ce policy checklists are pr,
Policy Checklis' Insurans a Klist mde
ie eee other publishers specialised in insurance 4AtbY
insur:
f a ay
publications. These involve catalogues of different policies and prog, a
insurance available to meet the needs of business organisation, The isp
manager may consult such list to avail the insurance policy.
3. Financial Statement Method. Analysis of financial statements hele
identify the valuable assets that must be protected. Information relating to riey
may be produced through detailed study of each asset and liability,
4. On-site Inspection method. Major loss exposures can be identifieg
giving regular visits on the industrial site. Risk manager has to inspect
Fequired safety arrangement are made at the work pace to provide safety ang
security to workers.
5. Flow Charts Method. A flowchart is pictorial representation o
manufacturing and delivery. A flowchart shows the manufacturing bo
and discover all the possibilities that could interrupt manufacturin,
where a loss have severe financial results for the business organisatio:
f flow of
ttlenecks
'& Process
mn.
6. Interaction with Others. Regular meetings with line managers and
supervisors can be arranged for risk manager to discuss the major sources of
loss that may arise. An upto date knowledge of industrial trends and market
changes keep the risk manager to new loss exposures and cause concern,
7. Statistical Records of Losses. Risk manager can use the historical and
departmental loss data over time to identify major loss exposures. He can
estimate the future losses on the basis of detailed r
ecords of losses incurred,
loss reimbursed by insurance, loss frequency, causes of loss and other types of
information.
8. Organisational Charts. Organisation chart helps to study the nature and
extent of activities of the firm. It explains the inter-relationship and inter
dependencies between various parts of the business organization. The
knowledge about the people with the authority to participate in making the
implementing risk handling techniques.
Risk Evaluation :
- It is the process to estimate both the frequency and
severity of potential losses. The risk manager gets information that is helpful in
deciding the relative significance of identified risks and choosing specific
techniques to manage the risks.
The risk manager can use probability distributions and _ statistical
techniques in estimating both loss frequency and severity. iwith their plants in today’s process industry environment. Mé
methods of varying degrees of complexity and cost exist.