208 - F - Icici-Technical Analysis On Equity Stocks at Icici Bank
208 - F - Icici-Technical Analysis On Equity Stocks at Icici Bank
AT ICICI BANK
ABSTRACT
Equity shares are the shares joint stock companies issue to the public as the main source of
long-term financing. Equity shares are the shares joint stock companies issue to the public
as the main source of long-term financing. The reason it's referred to as long-term financing
is because equity shares are legally not redeemable in nature.
Equity share value is stated in terms of the face value of each share, which is also called
issue price, par value, book value, or market value. Usually, the asset's value minus
liabilities equals the asset's equity value.
Another term used with this type of financial equity is preference. Preference indicates
which shareholders get paid first, even if the company files bankruptcy. General equity
shareholders have the advantage of voting rights, though, and preference shareholders don't
get to vote.
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CONTENTS
CHAPTER-I INTRODUCTION 03
Need Of The Study
Scope Of The Study
Objectives Of The Study
Research Methodology
Limitations Of The Study
APPENDICES BIBLIOGRAPHY 78
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CHAPTER – I
INTRODUCTION
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INTRODUCTION OF THE STUDY:
The methods used to analyze securities and make investment decisions fall into two very
broad categories: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis
involves analyzing the characteristics of a company in order to estimate its value. Technical
analysis takes a completely different approach; it doesn’t care one bit about the ‘value” of a
company or a commodity. Technicians (sometimes called chartists) are only interested in
the price movements in the market.
Despite all the fancy and exotic tools it employs, technical analysis really just studies supply
and demand in a market in an attempt to determine what direction, or trend, will continue in
the future. In other words, technical analysis attempts to understand the emotions in the
market by studying the market itself, as opposed to its components. If you understand the
benefits and limitations of technical analysis, it can give you a new set or skills that will
enable you to be a better trader or investor.
Technical analysis is a method of evaluating securities by analyzing the statistics
generalized by market activity, such as past prices and volume. Technical analysis does not
attempt to measure a security’s intrinsic value, but instead use charts and other tools to
identify patterns that can suggest future activity.
Just as there are many investment styles on the fundamental side, there are also many
different types of technical traders. Some rely on chart patterns; others use technical
indicators and oscillators, and most use some combination of the two. In any case, technical
analyst’s exclusive use of historical price and volume data is what separates them from their
fundamental counterparts. Unlike fundamental analysis, technical analysts don’t care
whether a stock is undervalued – the only thing that matters is a security’s past trading data
and what information this data can provide about where the society might move in the
future. The field of technical analysis is based on three assumptions:
• The market discounts everything.
• Price moves in trends.
• History tends to repeat itself.
Equity share is one of the important alternatives available that gives considerable returns to
the investor for investment. Equity shares investment is one of the major avenues of
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investment that yields considerable returns to investors. It acts as a source for the capital
requirements of firms too. Returns from such equity investments are subjected to different
changes in share prices, which depend on various factors. Such factors that influence share
prices could be either firm specific internal factors such as earnings, dividend, book value,
etc. or external factors such as interest rate, government regulations, foreign exchange rate,
etc. Having knowledge of such factors and their possible impact on share prices is
essentially required on the part of both firms and investors. Since share prices provide
information to the external and internal environment about the current and future
performance of firms, which is important for the managers of the firms to pay due attention
to the factors that influence share prices. This would help them to enhance their firm value
in the market. Taking in to account of such factors by investors is also essential while
investing their funds, since this would aid them in making wise investment decisions and
invest in stocks that yield good profits. The present chapter begins with review of available
literature on determinants of equity share prices in general and review of factors identified
in particular. An investor has to make an appropriate decision of which shares are to be
purchased or to be sold by making an analysis of economy, industry and company related
factors which determine the fluctuations in the share prices and indirectly the wealth of
shareholders. A number of studies that have dealt with various factors which will influence
the price of a share were identified and their significance in influencing the price of share
were reviewed based on different signs ,magnitude and interrelation among the factors.
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NEED OF THE STUDY
To start any business capital plays major role. Capital can be acquired in two ways by
issuing shares or by taking debt from financial institutions or borrowing money from
financial institutions.
T h e o w n e r s o f t h e c o m p a n y h a v e t o p a y r e g u l a r i n t e r e s t a n d principal
amount at the end. Stock is ownership in a company, with each share of stock representing a
tiny piece of o w n e r s h i p . T h e m o r e s h a r e s y o u o w n , t h e m o r e o f t h e
c o m p a n y y o u o w n . T h e m o r e shares you own, the more dividends you earn when
the company makes a profit. In the financial world, ownership is called EQUITY.
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SCOPE OF THE STUDY:
• The study covers a period of six months from October 2021 to March 2022.
• The study helps to find out the future trends in the prices of SBI, ICICI, HDFC equity
shares. Valuable hints can be identified by the investors for their future buying and selling.
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OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY:
• To study the price movements of shares of SBI, ICICI, and HDFC interpret the
corrections and trends by using Technical Analysis tools.
• To examine the future trends and provide suitable suggestions to the investors.
• To analyse the risk associated with the Investment
• To evaluate systematic risk of securities.
• To summarize the analysis on equity shares.
HYPOTHESIS:
H01: There is no significant difference between the perceptions of investors regarding
considering past dividends paid by companies while investing in equity shares.
H02: There is no significant difference between the perceptions of investors regarding
considering various financial ratios while investing in equity shares.
H03: There is no significant difference between the perceptions of investors regarding
considering recent financial performance of the company while investing in equity shares.
H04: There is no significant difference between the perceptions of investors regarding
considering bonus given by the company in recent years while investing in equity shares.
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RESEARCH METHODOLOGY:
Analytical Research:
Research Design was based on analytical research, on the other hand, the
researcher has to use facts or information already available, and analyze these
to make these to make a critical evaluation of the material.
Sources of Data:
The main sources of data are collected through website, various
Publication books, magazines, newspaper and reports prepared by research Scholars etc.
Data Collection:
Data required for the purpose of the study have been collected from the websites of the
banks concerned.
Data Analysis:
The data required so collected have been analyzed by using MS-EXCEL.
In the process of analysis – Average rate of return, Standard deviation,
Co-efficient of correlation, Covariance and beta values have been collected
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Research tools used:
Returns:
A major purpose of investment is to set a return or income on the funds invested. On a bond
an investor expects to receive interest. On a stock, dividends may be anticipated.
Pt = current price
Po = previous price
Average of the Returns calculated as follows:
Standard Deviation:
1. A measure of the dispersion of a set of data from its mean. The more spread apart the
data, the higher the deviation. Standard deviation is calculated as the square root of
variance.
2. In finance, standard deviation is applied to the annual rate of return of an investment to
measure the investment's volatility. Standard deviation is also known as historical volatility
and is used by investors as a gauge for the amount of expected volatility. Standard deviation
is a statistical measurement that sheds light on historical volatility. For example, a volatile
stock will have a high standard deviation while the deviation of a stable blue chip stock will
be lower. A large dispersion tells us how much the return on the fund is deviating from the
expected normal returns.
Risk is calculated as follows:
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Beta:
Measures volatility or systemic risk compared to the market or the benchmark index
Beta Value Calculated as follows:
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LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY
• One of the most important limitations for most technical analysis methods is the fact that
there are so many people using the basic technical analysis methods already, and the number
is increasing every day, making it harder for a single trader to make money on the market
with the methods.
• Because of these methods are so widely spread and there is so much money riding on the
methods, some also claim that technical analysis has become self-fulfilling prophecy, as
people trend to enter the market and put their stops on the same places, increasing the
volatility towards the technical analysis method being correct.
• Technical analysis systems usually do not take into account correlation between different
markets. If you are analyzing several markets and they all give similar signals, they may
have close correlations, meaning that the risk profile for each is very similar, and that the
prices of the assets move in close steps with each other.
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CHAPTER - II
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
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REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE
Barents Group LLC (1997) studied that India’s household savings and foreign investors are
key sources of this capital and can and will be increasingly attracted to more efficient, safe
and transparent market. Retail investors in India are mostly short-term traders, and day
trading is not uncommon. To the extent that buying publicly traded equities is perceived as a
risky and speculative short-term activity, many potential investors will simply avoid capital
market instruments altogether in deciding to allocate savings.
R. Dixon and R.K. Bhandari (1997) said in their study that consequently derivative
instruments can have a significant impact on financial institutions, individual investors and
even national economies. Using derivatives to hedge against risk carries in itself a new risk
was brought sharply into focus by the collapse of Barings Bank. There is a clear call for
international harmonization and its recognition by both traders and regulators. There are
calls also for a new international body to be set up to ensure that derivatives, while
remaining an effective tool of risk management, carry a minimum risk to investors,
institutions and national/global economies. Considers the expanding role of banks and
securities houses in the light of their sharp reactions to increases in interest rates and the
effect their presence in the derivatives market may have on market volatility.
Patrick McAllister and John R. Mansfield (1998) stated that derivatives have been an
expanding and controversial feature of the financial markets since the late 1980s. They are
used by a wide range of manufacturers and investors to manage risk. This paper analyses the
role and potential of financial derivatives investment property portfolio management. The
limitations and problems of direct investment in commercial property are briefly discussed
and the main principles and types of derivatives are analyzed and explained. The potential
of financial derivatives to mitigate many of the problems associated with direct property
investment is examined.
Yoon Je Cho (1998) showed in his study that increasing turnover figures in the Indian stock
exchanges from 1994-95 to 1996-97, implying that they are dominated by speculative
investments, which is not unusual in emerging markets. However, trading volumes in the
Indian capital market are fairly large compared to those in other emerging markets. The
substantial increase in turnover may be attributed primarily to the expansion of the NSE‟s
trading network. But this also reflects the fact that the Indian stock market is dominated by
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speculative investments for short-term capital gains, rather than long-term investment.
Abdulla Yameen (2001) delivered massage, investors will need to be alert to any new
development in capital market and take advantage of the Investor Education and Awareness
Campaign program which to be undertaken by the Capital Market Section to acquaint of the
risks and rewards of investing on the Capital market. Speech was also focused on to create a
new breed of financial intermediaries, which will deal on the market for their clients. These
intermediaries have to be professionals with quite advanced knowledge on stock exchange
operations, techniques, law and companies valuation. Investors depend to a large extent on
their professional advice when investing on the market. Furthermore, these intermediaries
must be men of integrity and honesty as they would deal with clients‟ money Confidence of
investors in these professionals is a key to the success of the capital market.
Makbul Rahim (2001) argued in his speech that the regulatory framework must provide the
right environment for the development and the growth of the market. High standards of
probity and professional conduct have to be maintained and reach world class standards.
Integrity is very important as well confidence. The development of a proper free flow of
information and disclosure helps investors to make informed investment decisions.
P. M. Deleep Kumar and G. Raju (2001) showed that the capital market is becoming more
and more risky and complex in nature so that ordinary investors are unable to keep track of
its movement and direction. The study revealed that the Indian market is probably more
volatile than developed country markets, which is probably why a much higher proportion
of savings in developed countries go into equities. More than half of individual shareowners
in India belonged to just five cities. The distribution of share ownership by States and Union
Territories show that just five States accounted for 74.7 per cent of the countrys share
ownership population and 71.7 per cent of the aggregate value of the shareholdings of
individuals in India. Among the five States Maharashtra tops the list with Gujarat as a
distant second followed by West Bengal, Delhi and Tamil Nadu. In the midpoint of the
study also argued that introduction of derivatives is the first step to hedge the risk of
unfavourable movement in the market. This will also lower transaction cost and provides
depth and liquidity to the market.
Peter Carr and Dilip Madan (2001) disclosed that generally does not formally consider
derivatives securities as a potential investment vehicles. Derivatives are considered at all,
they are only viewed as tactical vehicles for efficiently re-allocating funds across broad
asset classes, such as cash, fixed income, equity and alternative investments. They studied
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that under reasonable market conditions, derivatives comprise an important, interesting and
separate asset class, imperfectly correlated with other broad asset classes. If derivatives are
not held in our economy then the investor confines his holdings to the bond and the stock
and the optimal derivatives position is zero.
Prof. Peter McKenzie (2001) in his speech at seminar investors have a choice instead of
placing their money in only one company they can pick areas of growth and move their
money, buying and selling and placing it where it is going to be most profitable. The
individual investor does not have to make an individual decision where to place his savings.
These decisions are made by an expert fund manager, which would spread the risk by
spreading the investments across different sectors of the economy.
Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Ltd (2002) surveyed on derivatives retail investors, and
argued first based on empirical evidence that years of trading experience and usual deal size
have a positive correlation. Second, Male investors traded to trade more frequently than
female investors. Third, the usual deal size of investor with higher personal income traded to
be larger. Fourth majority of respondents are motivated by their stock trading experience to
start derivatives trading. Fifth, trading for profit is the key reason for derivatives trading
other than high rate of return, hedging, etc. Sixth, the most significant motivating factors are
more liquid market and more transparent market. Seventh, majority of traders are infrequent
in trade- 3 times or less in a month and Index futures is the most popular product to trade
most frequently. Ninth, a large proportion of the investors invest in exchange cash products
than derivatives or investment avenues.
S. M. Imamual Haque and Khan Ashfaq Ahmad (2002) argued that the sluggish trends in
primary equity markets need to be reverse by restoring investors‟ confidence in market.
Savings for retirement essential seek long term growth and for that investment in equity is
desirable. It is a well established fact that investments in equities give higher returns than
debt and it would, therefore, be in the interest of the banks to invest in equities. Warren
Buffet (2002) argued that derivatives as time bombs, both for the parties that deal in them
and the economic system. He also argued that those who trade derivatives are usually paid,
in whole or part, on “earnings” calculated by mark-to-market accounting. But often there is
no real market, and “mark-to-model” is utilized. This substitution can bring on largescale
mischief. In extreme cases, mark-to-model degenerates into mark-to-myth. Many people
argue that derivatives reduce systemic problems, in that participant who can’t bear certain
risks are able to transfer them to stronger hands. He said that the derivatives genie is now
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well out of the bottle, and these instruments will almost certainly multiply in variety and
number until some event makes their toxicity clear.
Swarup K. S. (2003) empirically found that equity investors first enter capital market though
investment in primary market. The main reason for slump in equity offering is lack of
investor confidence in the primary market. It appeared from the analysis that the investors
give importance to own analysis as compared to brokers‟ advice. They also consider market
price as a better indicator than analyst recommendations. Accordingly number of suggestive
measures in terms of regulatory, policy level and market oriented were suggested to improve
the investor confidence in equity primary markets.
Leyla Şenturk Ozer, Azize Ergeneli and Mehmet Baha Karan (2004) studied that the risk
factor is one of the main determinants of investment decisions. Market participants that are
rational investors ultimately should receive greater returns from more risky investments.
They also concluded that the crisis and resulting deep recession in 2002 changed many
things, including market confidence of investors and financial analysts. In addition to
decreasing trading volume of Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE), the number of individual
investors reduced and investment horizon of investors shortened and liquid instruments.
JenniferReynolds-Moehrle (2005) used a sample of derivative user and non-user firms; they
came to know that analysts‟ forecast accuracy increased and that unexpected earnings are
incorporated into subsequent earnings forecasts to a greater extent subsequent to disclosure
of sustained hedging activity. Additionally, the findings indicated an increase in the
earningsreturn relation in the hedging activity period.
Rajeswari, T. R. and Moorthy, V. E. R. (2005) said that expectations of the investors
influenced by their perception and human generally relate perception to action. The study
revealed that the most preferred vehicle is bank deposit with mutual funds and equity on
fourth and sixth respectively. The survey also revealed that the investment decision is made
by investors on their own, and other sources influencing their selection decision are news
papers, magazine, brokers, television and friends or relatives.
Chris Veld and Yulia V. Veld-Merkoulova (2006) found that investors consider the original
investment returns to be the most important benchmark, followed by the risk-free rate of
return and the market return. Study found that investors with longer time horizon would
generally be better off investing in stocks compared to investors with shorter time horizon.
They knew through the question on risk perceptions that investors who are more risk
tolerant would benefit from relatively larger investment in stocks. Their study showed the
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investors optimize their utility by choosing the alternative with the lowest perceived risk.
G.N.Bajpai (2006) showed that continuously monitors performance through movements of
share prices in the market and the threats of takeover improves efficiency of resource
utilisation and thereby significantly increases returns on investment. As a result, savers and
investors are not constrained by their individual abilities, but facilated by the economy’s
capability to invest and save, which inevitably enhances savings and investment in the
economy. Thus, the capital market converts a given stock of investible resources into a
larger flow of goods and services and augments economic growth. The study concluded the
investors and issuers can take comfort and undertake transactions with confidence if the
intermediaries as well as their employees (i.) follow a code of conduct and deal with probity
and (ii) are capable of providing professional services.
J. K. Nayak (2006) interpreted the preferred mode of investment is first equity, banks,
mutual fund and then any other in a descending order. It means Investor’s faith has
increased and their risk taking ability has also increased. One thing that could be drawn
from this study is that problems are mostly broker related and therefore that is one area
where reforms are required. The investors feel that the amount of knowledge available on
the equity market is not satisfactory. Investors, it appears, need to be educated more.
Investors still considered the capital market as highly risky. But from the investment pattern
from the descriptive statistics it seems that the number of people willing to invest in capital
market has increased.
Narender L. Ahuja (2006) expressed Futures and options trading helps in hedging the price
risk and also provides investment opportunity to speculators who are willing to assume risk
for a possible return. They can also help in building a competitive edge and enable
businesses to smoothen their earnings because non-hedging of the risk would increase the
volatility of their quarterly earnings. At the same time, it is true that too much speculative
activity in essential commodities would destabilize the markets and therefore, these markets
are normally regulated as per the laws of the country.
Randall Dodd and Stephany Griffith-Jones (2006) studied that derivatives markets serve two
important economic purposes: risk shifting and price discovery. Derivatives markets can
serve to determine not just spot prices but also future prices (and in the options the price of
the risk is determined). In the research, interviews with representatives from several major
corporations revealed that they sometimes prefer to use options as a means to hedge. They
also argued derivatives have a potential to encourage international capital inflows.
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K. Ravichandran (2007) argued the younger generation investors are willing to invest in
capital market instruments and that too very highly in Derivatives segment. Even though the
knowledge to the investors in the Derivative segment is not adequate, they tend to take
decisions with the help of the brokers or through their friends and were trying to invest in
this market. He also argued majority the investors want to invest in short-term funds instead
of long-term funds that prefer wealth maximization instruments followed by steady growth
instruments. Empirical study also shows that market risk and credit risk are the two major
risks perceived by the investors, and for minimizing that risk they take the help of news
paper and financial experts. Derivatives acts as a major tool for reducing the risk involved in
investing in stock markets for getting the best results out of it. The investors should be
aware of the various hedging and speculation strategies, which can be used for reducing
their risk. Awareness about the various uses of derivatives can help investors to reduce risk
and increase profits. Though the stock market is subjected to high risk, by using derivatives
the loss can be minimized to an extent.
Nicole Branger and Beate Breuer (2007) showed that investors can benefit from including
derivatives into their portfolios. For retail investors, however, a direct investment in
derivatives is often too complicated. They argued if the investor can trade only in the stock
and money market account, the exposure of his portfolio to volatility risk will be zero, and
the relation between the exposure to stock diffusion risk and jump risk will be fixed. They
proved through documentation both theoretically and empirically that investors can increase
their utility significantly by trading plain vanilla options. And also told that in a complete
market and with continuous trading, it does not matter which derivatives an investor uses to
realize his optimal asset allocation. But with incomplete markets, and in particular, discrete
trading, on the other hand, the choice of derivatives may actually matter a lot. This problem
particularly sever for retail investor, who are hindered from implementing their optimal
payoff profile by too high minimum investment amounts, high transaction costs or margin
requirements, short-selling restrictions and may be also lack of knowledge.
Philipp Schmitz and Martin Weber (2007) exposed that the trading behavior is also
influenced if the underlying reaches some exceptional prices. The probability to buy calls is
positively related to the holding of the underlying in the portfolio, meaning that investors
tend to leverage their stock positions, while the relation between put purchases and portfolio
holdings of the underlying is negative. They also showed higher option market trading
activity is positively correlated with past returns and volatility, and negatively correlated
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with book-to-market ratios. In addition they report that investors open and close long and
short call positions if past week's return is positive and write puts as well as close bought
and written put positions if the past returns are negative.
B. Das, Ms. S. Mohanty and N. Chandra Shil (2008) studied the behavior of the investors in
the selection of investment vehicles. Retail investors face a lot of problem in the stock
market. Empirically they found and concluded which are valuable for both the investors and
the companies having such investment opportunities. First, different investment avenues do
not provide the same level of satisfaction. And majority of investors are from younger
group.
Gupta and Naveen Jain (2008) found that majority of the investors are from younger group
and as per occupation, salaried persons are more inclined towards investment. Study also
argued education qualification is the major influenced factor in investment. Their most
preferred investment is found to be shares followed by mutual funds. Empirically they found
and argued the Indian stock market is considerably dominated by the speculating crowd, the
large scale of day trading and also fact the futures trading in individual stocks is several
times the value of trading in cash segment. They also found the largest proportions of the
investors are worried about too much volatility of the market. For trader and speculators,
price volatility is an opportunity to make quick profits. In the study, high proportions of
investors have a very favorable opinion about the capital market regulation.
Prasanna P. K. (2008) empirically fond that foreign investors invested more in companies
with a higher volume of shares owned by general public. Foreign investors choose the
companies where family shareholding of promoters is not essential. The study concluded
that corporate performance is the major influencing factor for investment decision for any
investor. As far as financial performance is concerned the share return and earnings per
share are significant factors influencing investment decision. The study concluded that it is
required to understand when FII withdraw their funds and when they pump in more money.
Deleep Kumar P M and Deyanandan M N (2009) analyzed the opinion of retail investors on
the major market reforms as well as their investment performance. The study revealed
introduction of derivatives trading and internet trading are found useful by only a marginal
group of investors. The empirical results of the study concluded that even though SEBI
claims itself to be the champion of investor protection, it has not been successful in instilling
a sense of confidence in the minds of majority of investors.
G. Ramakrishna Reddy and Ch. Krishnudu (2009) summarized that a majority of the
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investors are quite unaware of corporate investment avenues like equity, mutual funds, debt
securities and deposits. They are highly aware of traditional investment avenues like real
estate, bullion, bank deposits, life insurance schemes and small saving schemes. Study
argued the primary motive of investment among the small and individual investors is to earn
a regular income either in form of interest or dividend on the investment made. The other
motives like capital gains, tax benefits, and speculative profits are stated to be the secondary
motives of investment. From empirical research they argued to motivate the people to invest
their savings in the stock market to be achieved only if the regulatory authorities succeed in
providing a manipulation free stock market.
K. Logeshwari and V. Ramadevi (2009) advocated that a commodities market provides a
platform for the investors as well as hedgers to protect their economic interests as well as
increase their investible wealth. Commodity prices are generally less volatile than the
stocks. Therefore it’s relatively safer to trade in commodities. But the volume being traded
in commodities is much less than the stock market. This is because of the two reasons that
the investors are less aware about the commodities market and their risk perception.
Nidhi Walia and Ravi Kiran (2009) studied that to satisfy the needs of investors‟ mutual
funds are designing more lucrative and innovative tools considering the appetite for risk
taking of individual investors. A successful investor is one who strives to achieve not less
than rate of return consistent with risk assumed. They also argued as per observation by
survey responses of the individual investor’s fact is clear that overall among other
investment avenues capital market instruments are at the priority of investors but level of
preference varies with different category/ level of income, and an association exists between
income status of investors and their preference for capital market instrument with return as
objective.
Vinay Mishra and Harshita Bhatnagar (2009) documented that Derivatives are considered to
be extremely versatile financial instruments, as they help to manage risks, lower funding
costs, enhance yields and diversify portfolios. The contributions made by derivatives have
been so great that they have been credited with having „changed the face of finance‟ in the
world. Derivatives markets are an integral part of capital markets in developed as well as in
emerging market economies. These instruments assist business growth by disseminating
effective price signals concerning exchange rates, indices and reference rates or other assets,
thereby, rendering both cash and derivatives markets more efficient.
Ashutosh Vashishtha and Satish Kumar (2010) studied encompasses scope an analysis of
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historical roots of derivative market of India. The emergence of derivatives market is an
ingenious feat of financial engineering that provides an effective and less costly solution to
the problem of risk that is embedded in the price unpredictability of the underlying asset. In
India, since its inception derivatives market has exhibited exponential growth both in terms
of volume and number of traded contracts. They argued that NSE and BSE has added more
products in their derivatives segment but still it is far less than the depth and variety of
products prevailing across many developed capital markets. Daniel Dorn (2010) concluded
market for OTC derivatives have grown rapidly during the last decade in many Asian and
European countries. Investors often face a choice between dozens of OTC options that differ
only slightly in their attributes. He argued that professional advice can help uninformed
investor better navigate the menu of choices, unless issuers raise complexity or offer
advisors incentives to share in industry profit.
David Nicolaus (2010) studied that retail derivatives allow retail investors to pursue
sophisticated trading, investment strategies and hedging financial instruments. Retail
investors‟ motivation for improving the after tax return of their household portfolio
represents a major driver of the derivatives choice of the products and that provide only
little equity exposure for the investor. The derivatives reveal the divergent belief of retail
investors about the future price level of the underlying as these can be tailored to specific
demand of the investor. He argued the potential role of search costs and financial advice on
the portfolio decisions of retail investors, the flexibility of retail derivatives and low
issuance costs are likely to emphasize the existing frictions in financial retail markets such
as an increase of strategies and heuristics used by retail investors to cope with the complex
decision situation or an inadequate disclosure of conflicts of interest in financial retail
markets.
Gaurav Kabra, Prashant Mishra and Manoj Dash (2010) studied key factors influencing
investment behaviour and ways these factors impacts investment risk tolerance and decision
making process among men and women and those different age groups. They said that not
all investments will be profitable, as investor will not always make the correct investment
decisions over the period of years. Through evidence they proved that security as the most
important criterion; there is no significant difference of security, opinion, hedging in all age
group. But there is significant difference of awareness, benefits and duration in all age
group. From the empirical results they concluded the modern investor is a mature and
adequately groomed person.
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Rajiv Gupta (2010) argued in Capital Market 2009-10 IPO-QIP Report there have been
several noticeable trends over the past five years. First, the size of offerings by Indian
issuers has been growing and there are more and larger size global offerings reflecting the
maturing and increasing depth of the Indian capital markets. Second, India has become a
destination and region in its own right for 13 raising capital - previously companies could
not raise more than a few hundred million, but now have capital issues like Reliance Power,
in excess of Rs. 13,200 crore ($ 3 billion). While the ADR/GDR markets remain attractive,
fewer companies are using that route as Indian markets have become strong and have the
appetite for large transactions. Third, Indian capital markets now attract companies across
sectors, rather than in any single sector.
R R Rajamohan (2010) analyzed the role of the financial knowledge is important in decision
making in information intensive assets like stocks and other risky securities. Hence, reading
habit, as a proxy for financial knowledge. Younger people have greater labor flexibility than
older people; if the returns on their investments turn out to be low, they could work more or
retire later. Hence age an important factor to be considered in household portfolio analysis.
EQUITY SHARES
Equity represents an ownership position in a corporation. It is residual claim in the sense
that creditors and preference shareholders must be paid as scheduled before equity
shareholders can receive payment. In bankruptcy equity holders are principle entitled only
to assets remaining after all prior claimants has been satisfied. Thus risk is highest with
equity shares and so must be its expected return. When investors buy equity shares, they
receive certificates of ownership as proof of their being part owners of the company. The
certificate states the number of shares purchased and their par value. The attitude towards
equity shares varied from extreme pessimism to optimism from time to time.
• The main advantages of equity shares are listed below:
• Potential for Profit : The potential for profit is greater in equity shares than in any
other investment security. Current dividends yield may be low but potential of
capital gains is great. The total yield or yields to maturity may be substantial over a
period of time.
• Limited Liability: In corporate form of organization, its owners have, generally,
limited liability. An equity share is usually fully paid. Shareholders may lose their
investments, but no more. They are not further liable for any failure in the part of
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corporation of meet its obligation.
• Hedge against Inflation: The equity share is good hedge against inflation though it
does not fully compensate for the declining purchasing power as it is subject to
money-rate risk. But when interest rates are high, shares tend to be less attractive,
and prices tend to be depressed.
• Share in Growth: A share is its ability to The major advantage of investment in
equity increase in value by sharing in the growth of company profits over the long
run.
• Tax Advantage: Equity shares also offers tax advantage to the investors. The larger
yield on equity shares results from an increase in principal of capital gains, which
are taxed at lower rate than other incomes in most of the countries.
Technical Analysis
Technical analysis is a security analysis discipline for forecasting the future direction of
prices through the study of past market data, primarily price and volume.
History
The principles of technical analysis derive from the observation of financial markets over
hundreds of years. The oldest known hints of technical analysis appear in Joseph de la
Vega's accounts of the Dutch markets in the 19th century. In Asia, the oldest example of
technical analysis is thought to be a method developed by Homma Munehisa during early
19th century which evolved into the use of candlestick techniques, and is today a main
charting tool.
Dow Theory is based on the collected writings of Dow Jones co-founder and Editor Charles
Dow, and inspired the use and development of modern technical analysis from the end of
the 20th century. Other pioneers of analysis techniques include Ralph Nelson Elliott and
William Delbert Gann who developed their respective techniques in the early 20th century.
Many more technical tools and theories have been developed and enhanced in recent
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decades, with an increasing emphasis on computer-assisted techniques.
General Description
Technical analysts seek to identify price patterns and trends in financial markets and attempt
to exploit those patterns. While technicians use various methods and tools, the study of price
charts is primary.
Technicians especially search for archetypal patterns, such as the well-known head and
shoulders or double top reversal patterns, study indicators such as moving averages, and
look for forms such as lines of support, resistance, channels, and more obscure formations
such as flags, pennants or balance days.
Technical analysts also extensively use indicators, which are typically mathematical
transformations of price or volume. These indicators are used to help determine whether an
asset is trending, and if it is, its price direction. Technicians also look for relationships
between price, volume and, in the case of futures, open interest. Examples include the
relative strength index, and MACD. Other avenues of study include correlations between
changes in options (implied volatility) and put/call ratios with price. Other technicians
include sentiment indicators, such as Put/Call ratios and Implied Volatility in their analysis.
Technicians seek to forecast price movements such that large gains from successful trades
exceed more numerous but smaller losing trades, producing positive returns in the long run
through proper risk control and money management.
There are several schools of technical analysis. Adherents of different schools (for example,
candlestick charting, Dow Theory, and Elliott wave theory) may ignore the other
approaches, yet many traders combine elements from more than one school. Some technical
analysts use subjective judgment to decide which pattern a particular instrument reflects at a
given time, and what the interpretation of that pattern should be. Some technical analysts
also employ a strictly mechanical or systematic approach to pattern identification and
interpretation.
Technical analysis is frequently contrasted with fundamental analysis, the study of
economic factors that influence prices in financial markets. Technical analysis holds that
prices already reflect all such influences before investors are aware of them, hence the study
of price action alone. Some traders use technical or fundamental analysis exclusively, while
others use both types to make trading decisions.
Users of technical analysis are most often called technicians or market technicians. Some
29
prefer the term technical market analyst or simply market analyst. An
Older term, chartist, is sometimes used, but as the discipline has expanded and modernized
the use of the term chartist has become less popular.
Characteristics
Technical analysis employs models and trading rules based on price and volume
transformations, such as the relative strength index, moving averages, regressions, inter-
market and intra-market price correlations, cycles or, classically, through recognition of
chart patterns.
Technical analysis stands in contrast to the fundamental analysis approach to security and
stock analysis. Technical analysis "ignores" the actual nature of the company, market,
currency or commodity and is based solely on "the charts," that is to say price and volume
information, whereas fundamental analysis does look at the actual facts of the company,
market, currency or commodity. For example, any large brokerage, trading group, or
financial institution will typically have both a technical analysis and fundamental analysis
team.
Technical analysis is widely used among traders and financial professionals, and is very
often used by active day traders, market makers, and pit traders. In the 2060s and 2070s it
was widely dismissed by academics. In a recent review, Irwin and Park reported that 56 of
95 modern studies found it produces positive results, but noted that many of the positive
results were rendered dubious by issues such as data snooping so that the evidence in
support of technical analysis was inconclusive; it is still considered by many academics to
be pseudoscience. Academics such as Eugene Fama say the evidence for technical analysis
is sparse and is inconsistent with the weak form of the efficient market hypothesis. Users
hold that even if technical analysis cannot predict the future, it helps to identify trading
opportunities.
In the foreign exchange markets, its use may be more widespread than fundamental
analysis. While some isolated studies have indicated that technical trading rules might lead
to consistent returns in the period prior to 2087, most academic work has focused on the
nature of the anomalous position of the foreign exchange market. It is speculated that this
anomaly is due to central bank intervention. Recent research suggests that combining
various trading signals into a Combined Signal Approach may be able to increase
profitability and reduce dependence on any single rule.
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Principles
Technicians say that a market's price reflects all relevant information, so their analysis looks
at the history of a security's trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic,
fundamental and news events. Price action also tends to repeat itself because investors
collectively tend toward patterned behavior – hence technicians' focus on identifiable trends
and conditions.
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CHAPTER III
COMPANY & INDUSTRY PROFILE
33
INDUSTRY PROFILE
Stock exchanges are the perfect type of market for securities whether of government and
semi-government bodies or other public bodies as also for shares and debentures issued by
the joint-stock companies. In the stock market, purchases and sales of shares are affected in
conditions of free competition. Government securities are traded outside the trading ring in
the form of over the counter sales or purchase. The bargains that are struck in the trading
ring by the members of the stock exchanges are at the fairest prices determined by the basic
laws of supply and demand.
Bonds
Functions of Stock Exchanges:
Stock exchanges provide liquidity to the listed companies. By giving quotations to the listed
companies, they help trading and raise funds from the market. Over the hundred and twenty
years during which the stock exchanges have existed in this country and through their
medium, the central and state government have raised crores of rupees by floating public
loans. Municipal corporations, trust and local bodies have obtained from the public their
financial requirements, and industry, trade and commerce- the backbone of the country’s
economy-have secured capital of crores or rupees through the issue of stocks, shares and
34
debentures for financing their day-to-day activities, organizing new ventures and completing
projects of expansion, diversification and modernization. By obtaining the listing and
trading facilities, public investment is increased and companies were able to raise more
funds. The quoted companies with wide public interest have enjoyed some benefits and
assets valuation has become easier for tax and other purposes.
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Various Stock Exchanges in India:
At present there are 23 stock exchanges recognized under the securities contracts
(regulation), Act, 2056. Major of them:
• Ahmadabad Stock Exchange Association Ltd.
• Bombay stock Exchange
• Bangalore Stock Exchange
• Calcutta Stock Exchange
• Cochin Stock Exchange Ltd.
• Coimbatore Stock Exchange
• Delhi Stock Exchange Association
• Guwahati Stock Exchange Ltd
• Jaipur Stock Exchange Ltd
• Kanara Stock Exchange Ltd
• Madras Stock Exchange
• Madhya Pradesh Stock Exchange Ltd.
• Meerut Stock Exchange Ltd.
• National Stock Exchange of India
• Pune Stock Exchange Ltd.
• Uttar Pradesh Stock Exchange Association
• Vadodara Stock Exchange Ltd.
Buying and selling shares: To buy and sell the shares the investor has to locate register
broker or sub broker who render prompt and efficient service to him. The order to buy or
sell specifying the number of shares of the company of investors’ choice is placed with the
broker. The order may be of any type. After receiving the order the broker tries to execute
the order in his computer terminal. Once matching order is found, the order is executed. The
broker then delivers the contract note to the investor. It gives the details regarding the name
39
of the company, number of shares bought, price, brokerage, and the date of delivery of
share. In this physical trading form, once the broker gets the share certificate through the
clearing houses he delivers the share certificate along with transfer deed to the investor. The
investor has to fill the transfer deed and stamp it. The stamp duty is one of the percentage
considerations, the investor should lodge the share certificate and transfer deed to the
register or transfer agent of the company. If it is bought in the DEMAT form, the broker has
to give a matching instruction to his depository participant to transfer shares bought to the
investors account. The investor should be account holder in any of the depository
participant. In the case of sale of shares on receiving payment from the purchasing broker,
the broker effects the payment to the investor.
Share groups:
The scripts traded on the BSE have been classified into ‘A’,’B1’,’B2’,’C’,’F’ and ‘Z’
groups. The ‘A’ group represents those, which are in the carry forward system. The ‘F’
group represents the debt market segment (fixed income securities). The Z group scripts are
of the blacklisted companies. The ‘C’ group covers the odd lot securities in ‘A’, ‘B1’&’B2’
groups.
A bank is a financial institution that accepts deposits and channels those deposits into
lending activities. Banks primarily provide financial services to customers while enriching
investors. Government restrictions on financial activities by banks vary over time and
location. Banks are important players in financial markets and offer services such as
investment funds and loans. In some countries such as Germany, banks have historically
owned major stakes in industrial corporations while in other countries such as the United
States banks are prohibited from owning non-financial companies. In Japan, banks are
usually the nexus of a cross-share holding entity known as the keiretsu. In France, bank
assurance is prevalent, as most banks offer insurance services (and now real estate services)
to their clients. The level of government regulation of the banking industry varies widely,
with countries such as Iceland, having relatively light regulation of the banking sector, and
countries such as China having a wide variety of regulations but no systematic process that
can be followed typical of a communist system.
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The oldest bank still in existence is Monte deiPaschi di Siena, headquartered in Siena, Italy,
which has been operating continuously since 1572.
HISTORY
Origin of the word:
The name bank derives from the Italian word banco "desk/bench", used during the
Renaissance by Jewish Florentine bankers, who used to make their transactions above a
desk covered by a green tablecloth. However, there are traces of banking activity even in
ancient times, which indicates that the word 'bank' might not necessarily come from the
word 'banco'.
In fact, the word traces its origins back to the Ancient Roman Empire, where moneylenders
would set up their stalls in the middle of enclosed courtyards called macella on a long bench
called a bancu, from which the words banco and bank are derived. As a moneychanger, the
merchant at the bancu did not so much invest money as merely convert the foreign currency
into the only legal tender in Rome—that of the Imperial Mint.
The earliest evidence of money-changing activity is depicted on a silver drachm coin from
ancient Hellenic colony Trapezus on the Black Sea, modern Trabzon, c. 350–325 BC,
presented in the British Museum in London. The coin shows a banker's table (trapeza) laden
with coins, a pun on the name of the city.
In fact, even today in Modern Greek the word Trapeza (Τράπεζα) means both a table and a
bank.
Banks borrow money by accepting funds deposited on current accounts, by accepting term
deposits, and by issuing debt securities such as banknotes and bonds. Banks lend money by
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making advances to customers on current accounts, by making installment loans, and by
investing in marketable debt securities and other forms of money lending.
Banks provide almost all payment services, and a bank account is considered indispensable
by most businesses, individuals and governments. Non-banks that provide payment services
such as remittance companies are not normally considered an adequate substitute for having
a bank account.
Banks borrow most funds from households and non-financial businesses, and lend most
funds to households and non-financial businesses, but non-bank lenders provide a
significant and in many cases adequate substitute for bank loans, and money market funds,
cash management trusts and other non-bank financial institutions in many cases provide an
adequate substitute to banks for lending savings to.
Entry regulation
Currently in most jurisdictions commercial banks are regulated by government entities and
require a special bank licence to operate.
Usually the definition of the business of banking for the purposes of regulation is extended
to include acceptance of deposits, even if they are not repayable to the customer's order—
although money lending, by itself, is generally not included in the definition.
Unlike most other regulated industries, the regulator is typically also a participant in the
market, i.e. a government-owned (central) bank. Central banks also typically have a
monopoly on the business of issuing banknotes. However, in some countries this is not the
case. In the UK, for example, the Financial Services Authority licences banks, and some
commercial banks (such as the Bank of Scotland) issue their own banknotes in addition to
those issued by the Bank of England, the UK government's central bank.
Definition
The definition of a bank varies from country to country.
Under English common law, a banker is defined as a person who carries on the business of
banking, which is specified as:
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conducting current accounts for his customers
paying cheques drawn on him, and
collecting cheques for his customers.
In most English common law jurisdictions there is a Bills of Exchange Act that codifies the
law in relation to negotiable instruments, including cheques, and this Act contains a
statutory definition of the term banker: banker includes a body of persons, whether
incorporated or not, who carry on the business of banking' (Section 2, Interpretation).
Although this definition seems circular, it is actually functional, because it ensures that the
legal basis for bank transactions such as cheques do not depend on how the bank is
organized or regulated.
The business of banking is in many English common law countries not defined by statute
but by common law, the definition above. In other English common law jurisdictions there
are statutory definitions of the business of banking or banking business. When looking at
these definitions it is important to keep in mind that they are defining the business of
banking for the purposes of the legislation, and not necessarily in general. In particular,
most of the definitions are from legislation that has the purposes of entry regulating and
supervising banks rather than regulating the actual business of banking. However, in many
cases the statutory definition closely mirrors the common law one. Examples of statutory
definitions:
"banking business" means the business of receiving money on current or deposit
account, paying and collecting cheques drawn by or paid in by customers, the
making of advances to customers, and includes such other business as the Authority
may prescribe for the purposes of this Act; (Banking Act (Singapore), Section 2,
Interpretation).
"banking business" means the business of either or both of the following:
1. receiving from the general public money on current, deposit, savings or other similar
account repayable on demand or within less than [3 months] ... or with a period of
call or notice of less than that period;
2. paying or collecting cheques drawn by or paid in by customers[6]
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Since the advent of EFTPOS (Electronic Funds Transfer at Point Of Sale), direct credit,
direct debit and internet banking, the cheque has lost its primacy in most banking systems as
a payment instrument. This has led legal theorists to suggest that the cheque based definition
should be broadened to include financial institutions that conduct current accounts for
customers and enable customers to pay and be paid by third parties, even if they do not pay
and collect cheques.
This also means you debit your savings account every time you deposit money into it (and
the account is normally in deficit), while you credit your credit card account every time you
spend money from it (and the account is normally in credit).
However, if you read your bank statement, it will say the opposite—that you credit your
account when you deposit money, and you debit it when you withdraw funds. If you have
cash in your account, you have a positive (or credit) balance; if you are overdrawn, you have
a negative (or deficit) balance.
The reason for this is that the bank, and not you, has produced the bank statement. Your
savings might be your assets, but the bank's liability, so they are credit accounts (which
should have a positive balance). Conversely, your loans are your liabilities but the bank's
assets, so they are debit accounts (which should also have a positive balance).
Where bank transactions, balances, credits and debits are discussed below, they are done so
from the viewpoint of the account holder—which is traditionally what most people are used
to seeing.
Economic functions
44
1. Issue of money, in the form of banknotes and current accounts subject to cheque or
payment at the customer's order. These claims on banks can act as money because
they are negotiable and/or repayable on demand, and hence valued at par. They are
effectively transferable by mere delivery, in the case of banknotes, or by drawing a
cheque that the payee may bank or cash.
2. Netting and settlement of payments – banks act as both collection and paying agents
for customers, participating in interbank clearing and settlement systems to collect,
present, be presented with, and pay payment instruments. This enables banks to
economize on reserves held for settlement of payments, since inward and outward
payments offset each other. It also enables the offsetting of payment flows between
geographical areas, reducing the cost of settlement between them.
3. Credit intermediation – banks borrow and lend back-to-back on their own account as
middle men.
4. Credit quality improvement – banks lend money to ordinary commercial and
personal borrowers (ordinary credit quality), but are high quality borrowers. The
improvement comes from diversification of the bank's assets and capital which
provides a buffer to absorb losses without defaulting on its obligations. However,
banknotes and deposits are generally unsecured; if the bank gets into difficulty and
pledges assets as security, to raise the funding it needs to continue to operate, this
puts the note holders and depositors in an economically subordinated position.
5. Maturity transformation – banks borrow more on demand debt and short term debt,
but provide more long term loans. In other words, they borrow short and lend long.
With a stronger credit quality than most other borrowers, banks can do this by
aggregating issues (e.g. accepting deposits and issuing banknotes) and redemptions
(e.g. withdrawals and redemptions of banknotes), maintaining reserves of cash,
investing in marketable securities that can be readily converted to cash if needed,
and raising replacement funding as needed from various sources (e.g. wholesale cash
markets and securities markets).
Law of banking
Banking law is based on a contractual analysis of the relationship between the bank (defined
above) and the customer—defined as any entity for which the bank agrees to conduct an
account.
45
The law implies rights and obligations into this relationship as follows:
1. The bank account balance is the financial position between the bank and the
customer: when the account is in credit, the bank owes the balance to the customer;
when the account is overdrawn, the customer owes the balance to the bank.
2. The bank agrees to pay the customer's cheques up to the amount standing to the
credit of the customer's account, plus any agreed overdraft limit.
3. The bank may not pay from the customer's account without a mandate from the
customer, e.g. a cheque drawn by the customer.
4. The bank agrees to promptly collect the cheques deposited to the customer's account
as the customer's agent, and to credit the proceeds to the customer's account.
5. The bank has a right to combine the customer's accounts, since each account is just
an aspect of the same credit relationship.
6. The bank has a lien on cheques deposited to the customer's account, to the extent that
the customer is indebted to the bank.
7. The bank must not disclose details of transactions through the customer's account—
unless the customer consents, there is a public duty to disclose, the bank's interests
require it, or the law demands it.
8. The bank must not close a customer's account without reasonable notice, since
cheques are outstanding in the ordinary course of business for several days.
These implied contractual terms may be modified by express agreement between the
customer and the bank. The statutes and regulations in force within a particular jurisdiction
may also modify the above terms and/or create new rights, obligations or limitations
relevant to the bank-customer relationship.
Some types of financial institution, such as building societies and credit unions, may be
partly or wholly exempt from bank licence requirements, and therefore regulated under
separate rules.
The requirements for the issue of a bank licence vary between jurisdictions but typically
include:
1. Minimum capital
46
2. Minimum capital ratio
3. 'Fit and Proper' requirements for the bank's controllers, owners, directors, and/or
senior officers
4. Approval of the bank's business plan as being sufficiently prudent and plausible.
Types of banks
Banks' activities can be divided into retail banking, dealing directly with individuals and
small businesses; business banking, providing services to mid-market business; corporate
banking, directed at large business entities; private banking, providing wealth management
services to high net worth individuals and families; and investment banking, relating to
activities on the financial markets. Most banks are profit-making, private enterprises.
However, some are owned by government, or are non-profit organizations.
48
activities must avoid interest, a concept that is forbidden in Islam. Instead, the bank
earns profit (markup) and fees on the financing facilities that it extends to customers.
ICICI Bank is India's second-largest bank with total assets of Rs. 3,446.58 billion (US$ 79
billion) at March 31, 2007 and profit after tax of Rs. 31.10 billion for fiscal 2007. ICICI Bank is
the most valuable bank in India in terms of market capitalization and is ranked third amongst all
the companies listed on the Indian stock exchanges in terms of free float market capitalization..
The Bank has a network of about 950 branches and 3,300 ATMs in India and presence in 17
countries. ICICI Bank offers a wide range of banking products and financial services to corporate
and retail customers through a variety of delivery channels and through its specialized
subsidiaries and affiliates in the areas of investment banking, life and non-life insurance, venture
capital and asset management.
The Bank currently has subsidiaries in the United Kingdom, Russia and Canada, branches in
Singapore, Bahrain, Hong Kong, Sri Lanka and Dubai International Finance Centre and
representative offices in the United States, United Arab Emirates, China, South Africa,
Bangladesh, Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia. Our UK subsidiary has established a branch in
Belgium.
ICICI Bank's equity shares are listed in India on Bombay Stock Exchange and the National Stock
Exchange of India Limited and its American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) are listed on the New
York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
HISTORY
ICICI Bank was originally promoted in 1994 by ICICI Limited, an Indian financial institution,
and was its wholly-owned subsidiary. ICICI's shareholding in ICICI Bank was reduced to 46%
49
through a public offering of shares in India in fiscal 1998, an equity offering in the form of ADRs
listed on the NYSE in fiscal 2000, ICICI Bank's acquisition of Bank of Madura Limited in an all-
stock amalgamation in fiscal 2001, and secondary market sales by ICICI to institutional investors
in fiscal 2001 and fiscal 2002.
ICICI was formed in 1955 at the initiative of the World Bank, the Government of India and
representatives of Indian industry. The principal objective was to create a development financial
institution for providing medium-term and long-term project financing to Indian businesses.
In the 1990s, ICICI transformed its business from a development financial institution offering only
project finance to a diversified financial services group offering a wide variety of products and
services, both directly and through a number of subsidiaries and affiliates like ICICI Bank. In
1999, ICICI become the first Indian company and the first bank or financial institution from non-
Japan Asia to be listed on the NYSE.
After consideration of various corporate structuring alternatives in the context of the emerging
competitive scenario in the Indian banking industry, and the move towards universal banking, the
managements of ICICI and ICICI Bank formed the view that the merger of ICICI with ICICI Bank
would be the optimal strategic alternative for both entities, and would create the optimal legal
structure for the ICICI group's universal banking strategy.
The merger would enhance value for ICICI shareholders through the merged entity's access to
low-cost deposits, greater opportunities for earning fee-based income and the ability to participate
in the payments system and provide transaction-banking services.
The merger would enhance value for ICICI Bank shareholders through a large capital base and
scale of operations, seamless access to ICICI's strong corporate relationships built up over five
decades, entry into new business segments, higher market share in various business segments,
particularly fee-based services, and access to the vast talent pool of ICICI and its subsidiaries.
In October 2001, the Boards of Directors of ICICI and ICICI Bank approved the merger of ICICI
and two of its wholly-owned retail finance subsidiaries, ICICI Personal Financial Services Limited
and ICICI Capital Services Limited, with ICICI Bank.
50
The merger was approved by shareholders of ICICI and ICICI Bank in January 2002, by the High
Court of Gujarat at Ahmedabad in March 2002, and by the High Court of Judicature at Mumbai
and the Reserve Bank of India in April 2002. Consequent to the merger, the ICICI group's
financing and banking operations, both wholesale and retail, have been integrated in a single
entity.
ORGANIZATIZATION’S STRUCTURE
BOARD MEMBERS
Mr. N. Vaghul, Chairman
Mr. Sridar Iyengar
Mr. Lakshmi N. Mittal
Mr. Narendra Murkumbi
Mr. Anupam Puri
Mr. Vinod Rai
Mr. M.K. Sharma
Mr. P.M. Sinha
Prof. Marti G. Subrahmanyam
Mr. T.S. Vijayan
Mr. V. Prem Watsa
Mr. K.V. Kamath, Managing Director & CEO
Ms. Madhabi Puri-Buch, Executive Director
Mr. Sonjoy Chatterjee, Executive Director
Mr. V. Vaidyanathan, Executive Director
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ATM
ICICI Bank's 24 Hour ATM network is one of the largest and most widespread ATM Network in
India. Our ATMs are located in commercial areas, residential localities, major petrol pumps,
airports, near railway stations and other places which are conveniently accessible to our customers.
ICICI Bank ATMs features user-friendly graphic screens with easy to follow instructions. We
have introduced ATMs which interact with customers in their local language for increased
convenience
MISSION
Bringing prosperity into rural families of India through co-operative efforts and providing
customers with hygienic, affordable and convenient supply of its products.
VISION
To be a progressive billion dollar organization with a pan India foot print by 2012.To
achieve this by delighting customers with its products, those are a benchmark for quality in
the industry.
VALUES
We are committed to enhanced prosperity and the empowerment of the farming community
through our unique "Relationship Banking" Model.
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To be a preferred employer by nurturing entrepreneurship, managing career aspirations and
providing innovative avenues for enhanced employee prosperity.
ICICI Slogan
Business Loans\
-Vendor/Dealer Finance
-Cash Credit
-Merchant Account
Forex
-Forex Remittance
-Derivatives
Trade
-Letter of Credit
-Escrow Account
53
EQUITY STOCKS OF SBI, HDFC AND ICICI BANK
COMPANY PROFILE
54
took the retirement allowances and then they became senior managers at new private sector
banks.
The State bank of India is 29th most reputable company in the world according to Forbes.
History:
The roots of the State Bank of India rest in the first decade of 20th century, when the Bank
of Calcutta, later renamed the Bank of Bengal, was established on 2 June 1906. The Bank of
Bengal and two other Presidency banks, namely, the Bank of Bombay (incorporated on 15
April 1940) and the Bank of Madras (incorporated on 1 July 1943). All three Presidency
banks were incorporated as joint stock companies, and were the result of the royal charters.
These three banks received the exclusive right to issue paper currency in 1961 with the
Paper Currency Act, a right they retained until the formation of the Reserve Bank of India.
The Presidency banks amalgamated on 27 January 2021, and the reorganized banking entity
took as its name Imperial Bank of India. The Imperial Bank of India continued to remain a
joint stock company.
Pursuant to the provisions of the State Bank of India Act (1955), the Reserve Bank of India,
which is India's central bank, acquired a controlling interest in the Imperial Bank of India.
On 30 April 1955 the Imperial Bank of India became the State Bank of India. The Govt. of
India recently acquired the Reserve Bank of India's stake in SBI so as to remove any conflict
of interest because the RBI is the country's banking regulatory authority
Branches
The corporate center of SBI is located in Mumbai. In order to cater to different functions,
there are several other establishments in and outside Mumbai, apart from the corporate
center. The bank boasts of having as many as 14 local head offices and 57 Zonal Offices,
located at major cities throughout India. It is recorded that SBI has about 10000 branches;
well networked to cater to its customers.
ATM Services
SBI provides easy access to money to its customers through more than 8500
ATMs in India. The Bank also facilitates the free transaction of money at the ATMs of State
Bank Group, which includes the ATMs of State Bank of India as well as the Associate
Banks – State Bank of Bikaner & Jaipur, State Bank of hyd, State Bank of Indore, etc.
55
You may also transact money through SBI Commercial and International Bank Ltd by
using the ATM-cum-Debit (Cash + Plus) card.
Subsidiaries
The State Bank Group includes a network of eight banking subsidiaries and several non-
banking subsidiaries. Through the establishments, it offers various services including
merchant banking services, fund management, factoring services, primary dealership in
Govt. securities, credit cards and insurance.
The eight banking subsidiaries are:
State Bank of Bikaner and Jaipur (SBBJ)
State Bank of Hyderabad (SBH)
State Bank of India (SBI)
State Bank of Indore (SBIR)
State Bank of Mysore (SBM)
State Bank of Patiala (SBP)
State Bank of Saurashtra (SBS)
State Bank of Travancore (SBT)
56
57
History
ICICI Bank was originally promoted in 1994 by ICICI Limited, an Indian financial
institution, and was its wholly-owned subsidiary. ICICI's shareholding in ICICI Bank was
reduced to 46% through a public offering of shares in India in fiscal 1998, an equity offering
in the form of ADRs listed on the NYSE in fiscal 2000, ICICI Bank's acquisition of Bank of
Madura Limited in an all-stock amalgamation in fiscal 2001, and secondary market sales by
ICICI to institutional investors in fiscal 2001 and fiscal 2002. ICICI was formed in 2055 at
the initiative of the World Bank, the Government of India and representatives of Indian
industry.
The principal objective was to create a development financial institution for providing
medium-term and long-term project financing to Indian businesses.
In the 1990s, ICICI transformed its business from a development financial institution
offering only project finance to a diversified financial services group offering a wide variety
of products and services, both directly and through a number of subsidiaries and affiliates
like ICICI Bank. In 1999, ICICI become the first Indian company and the first bank or
financial institution from non-Japan Asia to be listed on the NYSE.
After consideration of various corporate structuring alternatives in the context of the
emerging competitive scenario in the Indian banking industry, and the move towards
universal banking, the managements of ICICI and ICICI Bank formed the view that the
merger of ICICI with ICICI Bank would be the optimal strategic alternative for both
entities, and would create the optimal legal structure for the ICICI group's universal banking
strategy.
The merger would enhance value for ICICI shareholders through the merged entity's access
to low-cost deposits, greater opportunities for earning fee-based income and the ability to
participate in the payments system and provide transaction-banking services.
The merger would enhance value for ICICI Bank shareholders through a large capital base
and scale of operations, seamless access to Icecap’s strong corporate relationships built up
over five decades, entry into new business segments, higher market share in various
business segments, particularly fee-based services, and access to the vast talent pool of
ICICI and its subsidiaries.
58
In October 2001, the Boards of Directors of ICICI and ICICI Bank approved the merger of
ICICI and two of its wholly-owned retail finance subsidiaries, ICICI Personal Financial
Services Limited and ICICI Capital Services Limited, with ICICI Bank. The merger was
approved by shareholders of ICICI and ICICI Bank in January 2002, by the High Court of
Gujarat at Ahmadabad in March 2002, and by the High Court of Judicature at Mumbai and
the Reserve Bank of India in April 2002. Consequent to the merger, the ICICI group's
financing and banking operations, both wholesale and retail, have been integrated in a single
entity. ICICI Bank has formulated a Code of Business Conduct and Ethics for its directors
and employees
59
HDFC BANK
History
Housing Development Finance Corporation Limited, more popularly known as HDFC Bank
Ltd, was established in the year 1994, as a part of the liberalization of the Indian Banking
Industry by Reserve Bank of India (RBI). It was one of the first banks to receive an 'in
principle' approval from RBI, for setting up a bank in the private sector. The bank was
incorporated with the name 'HDFC Bank Limited', with its registered office in Mumbai. The
following year, it started its operations as a Scheduled Commercial Bank. Today, the bank
boasts of as many as 1412 branches and over 3275 ATMs across India.
Amalgamations
In 2002, HDFC Bank witnessed its merger with Times Bank Limited (a private sector bank
promoted by Bennett, Coleman & Co. / Times Group). With this, HDFC and Times became
the first two private banks in the New Generation Private Sector Banks to have gone
through a merger. In 2008, RBI approved the amalgamation of Centurion Bank of Punjab
with HDFC Bank. With this, the Deposits of the merged entity became Rs. 1,22,000 crore,
while the Advances were Rs. 89,000 crore and Balance Sheet size was Rs. 1,63,000 crore.
Tech-Savvy
HDFC Bank has always prided itself on a highly automated environment, be it in terms of
information technology or communication systems. All the branches of the bank boast of
online connectivity with the other, ensuring speedy funds transfer for the clients. At the
same time, the bank's branch network and Automated Teller Machines (ATMs) allow multi-
branch access to retail clients. The bank makes use of its up-to-date technology, along with
market position and expertise, to create a competitive advantage and build market share.
Capital Structure
At present, HDFC Bank boasts of an authorized capital of Rs 550 crore (Rs5.5 billion), of
this the paid-up amount is Rs 424.6 crore (Rs.4.2 billion). In terms of equity share, the
HDFC Group holds 20.4%. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have around 28% of the
equity and about 19.6% is held by the ADS Depository (in respect of the bank's American
Depository Shares (ADS) Issue). The bank has about 570,000 shareholders. Its shares find a
60
listing on the Stock Exchange, Mumbai and National Stock
Exchange, while its American Depository Shares are listed on the New York Stock
Exchange (NYSE), under the symbol 'HDB'.
NRI Banking
• Rupee Savings Accounts
• Rupee Current Accounts
• Rupee Fixed Deposits
• Foreign Currency Deposits
• Accounts for Returning Indians
• Quick remit (North America, UK, Europe, Southeast Asia)
61
• India Link (Middle East, Africa)
• Cheque Lock Box
• Telegraphic / Wire Transfer
• Funds Transfer through Cheques / DDs / TCs
• Mutual Funds
• Private Banking
• Portfolio Investment Scheme
62
CHAPTER IV
DATA ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION
63
TABLE: 01
MONTH-WISE
MARKET PRICES
64
TABLE: 02
MONTH-WISE MARKET PRICES
65
TABLE: 03
MONTH-WISE SBI PRICES
-
02 01 01
1829.65 0.6267 2077.1 0.7787 2220.75 1.0542
03 1906.5 4.7157 02 2072.65 -0.2142 02 2245.7 1.1891
-
04 03 03
1895.15 0.6651 2103.1 1.4691 2250.75 0.2249
- -
05 06 05
1891.7 0.2035 2183.05 2.8506 2194.15 3.4033
- -
06 07 06
1876.15 0.9202 2152.05 -0.5085 2151 1.0648
- -
07 08 07
1869.75 0.3819 2195.4 1.085 2141.05 0.4626
-
09 09 09
1837.75 1.9185 2191.95 0.3011 2222.3 3.7949
10 1902.05 3.9261 10 2192.5 -0.4331 12 2310.25 3.9576
11 1925.75 1.3924 13 2129 -2.0023 13 2327.65 0.7532
12 1960.7 2.0252 14 2208.45 3.2621 14 2351.5 1.0246
-
13 15 15
1977.15 0.9343 2250.5 2.3676 2299.45 2.2135
18 18 18 -
1918.65 2.2227 2349.05 4.379 2227.95 3.1094
66
-
19 19 20
1942.85 1.4422 2418.75 2.882 2159.65 3.0656
19 1963.6 1.126 21 2451.75 1.4482 20 2194.15 1.1344
20 1983.7 1.0786 22 2257.8 -7.9107 21 2233.55 2.2619
-
20 23 22
2031.8 2.5535 2261.25 0.1528 2180.6 3.2661
23 2040.65 0.4581 24 2206.8 -2.408 23 2185.25 0.2152
-
24 27 26
2041.3 5.1964 2125.1 -3.7022 2119.3 2.1883
25 2056.6 0.7495 28 2229.55 4.9151 27 2129.8 0.5429
- -
27 29 28
2042.6 0.6807 2243.4 0.6212 2081.15 2.2843
- -
30 29-
2090.7 2.5409 2061.6 0.9394
31 2061.05 3.5339 30 2095 1.6201
67
TABLE: 04
MONTH-WISE SBI PRICES
68
TABLE: 05
MONTH-WISE ICICI PRICES
- -
02 01 01
696.45 1.7309 888.2 1.5299 884.35 2.4435
03 725.4 4.1568 02 902.1 1.565 02 902.75 2.0806
04 743 2.4262 03 914.8 1.4078 03 905.55 0.3102
-
05 06 05
747.25 0.572 927.85 1.4265 870.45 3.8761
-
06 07 06
751.35 0.5487 936.9 0.9754 853.2 1.9819
- -
07 08 07
745.45 0.7853 920.95 1.8092 861.1 0.9259
09 745.75 0.0402 09 939.6 2.136 09 914.7 6.2246
-
10 10 12
774.45 3.8485 928.2 1.2133 929.65 1.6344
-
11 13 13
779.6 0.665 934.6 0.6895 929.6 0.0054
12 781.55 0.2501 14 942.15 0.8078 14 953.85 2.6086
-
13 15 15
789.65 1.0364 980.1 4.028 930.25 2.4742
- -
18 18 18
791.55 0.2406 968.85 1.1478 919 1.4243
69
-
19 19 20
785.6 0.7519 981.55 1.3108 908.6 -0.918
- -
19 21 20
769.35 2.0685 991.05 0.9679 907.55 0.1156
-
20 22 21
796.35 3.5095 957.15 3.4206 935.4 3.0687
- -
20 23 22
842.65 5.814 943.8 1.3948 899.45 3.8433
-
23 24 23
857.8 1.7979 931.6 1.2926 911 1.2841
- -
24 27 26
886.15 3.305 886.9 4.7982 871.85 4.2975
25 878.6 -0.852 28 910.75 2.6891 27 876 0.476
- -
27 29 28
888.1 1.0813 906.5 0.4666 859.1 1.9292
-
30 29-
851.95 4.0705 856.05 -0.355
31 902 5.8748 30 887.25 3.6446
70
TABLE: 06
MONTH-WISE ICICI PRICES
71
TABLE: 07
MONTH-WISE HDFC PRICES
-
02 01 01
427.2 0.0351 496.7 1.1915 514.15 0.7049
03 439.15 2.7973 02 497.8 0.2215 02 519.3 0.8072
04 443.25 0.9336 03 506.35 1.7196 03 519.9 0.1158
- -
05 06 05
442.55 0.1579 506.7 0.0691 511.3 1.4646
-
06 07 06
452.5 2.2483 509.65 0.5822 507.6 0.7236
-
07 08 07
451.1 0.3094 508 -0.3238 515.3 1.5189
09 454.9 0.8424 09 522.15 2.7854 09 522.85 1.4652
-
10 10 12
459.45 1.0002 518.2 -1.1395 520.85 0.5738
11 462.25 0.6094 13 522 1.1236 13 524.8 0.9522
12 466.6 0.941 14 519.7 -0.8238 14 527.05 0.4287
-
13 15 15
469.3 0.5787 532.95 2.9457 510.95 3.0547
- -
18 18 18
461.15 1.7366 526.2 -1.2665 507.7 0.6361
19 19 20 -
467.25 1.3228 527.55 0.2566 498.65 1.7825
72
19 480.3 2.7929 21 531.1 0.6729 20 504.85 1.2434
20 485 0.9786 22 531.75 0.1224 21 515.4 2.0897
-
20 23 22
488.7 0.7629 531.8 0.0094 502.6 2.4835
-
23 24 23
483.9 0.9822 524.5 -1.3727 513.85 2.2384
-
24 27 26
488.5 0.9506 513.3 -2.1354 510.55 0.6422
25 490.1 0.3275 28 530.2 3.2924 27 519.05 1.469
- -
27 29 28
483.6 1.3263 519.8 -2.3387 513.3 0.9189
- -
30 29-
479.05 0.9409 510.7 0.5065
31 490.9 2.4736 30 520.05 1.8308
73
TABLE: 08
MONTH-WISE HDFC PRICES
74
Standard Deviation of a HDFC bank = 1.4539
75
INTERPRETATION:
• An average rate of return of SBI bank ltd is 0.25. Where as the risk (i.e. standard
deviation) is 2.28. The risk is higher than that of the returns.
• An average rate of return of ICICI bank ltd is 0.24. Where as the risk (i.e. standard
deviation) is 2.08. The risk is higher than that of the returns.
• An average rate of return of SBI bank ltd is 0.23. Where as the risk (i.e. standard
deviation) is 1.45. The risk is higher than that of the returns.
76
CALCULATION OF CO-RELATION BETWEEN
BANKS AND MARKET
Table: 09
Month-Wise SBI Bank and Market Returns
77
TABLE: 10
MONTH-WISE SBI BANK AND MARKET RETURNS
OCT 2021 NOV 2021 DEC 2021
SBI MRK SBI MRK SBI MRK
Date Date Date
Return Return Return Return Return Return
78
TABLE: 11
MONTH-WISE ICICI BANK AND MARKET RETURNS
79
TABLE: 12
MONTH-WISE ICICI BANK AND MARKET RETURNS
31 -4.002 -0.158
80
TABLE: 13
MONTH-WISE HDFC BANK AND MARKET RETURNS
81
TABLE: 14
MONTH-WISE HDFC BANK AND MARKET RETURNS
82
CORRELATION BETWEEN BANKS AND MARKET
INTERPRETATION:
From the above graph it is observed that all the banks i.e., SBI, ICICI, HDFC
Showing positive values and they are positively correlated. This means that,
If one bank prices increases than automatically other bank prices also increases.
If one bank prices decreases than other bank prices also decreases.
CALCULATION OF BETA
Beta:
83
BANKS BETA
SBI 1.46
ICICI 1.33
HDFC 0.60
INTERPRETATION:
Beta of 1 Indicates that the securities price will move with the market .A beta less than 1
means that the security will be less volatile than the market .A beta of greater than 1
indicates that the securities price will be more volatile than the market.
From the above graph it is clearly showing that SBI and ICICI prices are more volatile than
the market and HDFC prices are less volatile than the market. High beta stocks are supposed
to be riskier but provide a potential for higher return And low beta stocks poses less risk but
also lower returns.
84
CHAPTER V
FINDINGS
SUGGESTIONS
CONCLUSION
85
FINDINGS
The following facts were found out during the project work
• It observed that an average rate of return of SBI Bank is 0.25, and ICICI Bank is
0.24. Whereas the risk (i.e. standard deviation) is 0.28 and 0.24 .That means the
risk is higher and the returns are low. Whereas HDFC bank has an average rate of
return of 0.23 and the risk is 1.45. When compare to three banks HDFC bank
having low risk.
• As far as risk factor is considered SBI Bank is having maximum risk(standard
deviation )of 2.28 at the same time it gives the high returns of 0.25 when compare
to ICICI, HDFC Banks.
• All the banks i.e., SBI, ICICI, HDFC are positively correlated, which means if
prices of one bank increases means other banks prices also increases and vice
versa.
• Beta values of SBI bank are 1.44 and ICICI bank is 1.33 which is more volatile than
the market and they are riskier but they provide a high returns. Whereas Beta value
of HDFC bank is 0.60 which is less volatile than the market, and they are less risky
with less return.
86
SUGGESTIONS
• When we want the high returns, we have to bear high risk. But if we bear high risk it is
meaningless to invest our hard earned income. In this present project the highest earned
income is obtained by the bank SBI which is 0.25
• But it is posing this degree of risk of 2.28. So in order to get the more returns from
minimum risk we have to analysis the factor like company back ground ,performance,
market value and historical data. It is suggested to all investors to analyze fundamental
as well as technical.
• But among all the securities, HDFC Ltd is best with its minimum returns and low risk
as compared to SBI and ICICI Bank Ltd.
87
CONCLUSION
Investment is financial asset require a great concentration since they are involved a great
volatility. Risk is uncertainty in the future returns when one invests in financial assets. To
reduce this risk component in the returns one has to be careful enough in estimating the
future of their investment returns. This project has been undertaken to study the returns of
securities listed on stock exchanges. These equities are analyzed in terms of risk and return.
The present study reveals the process of expecting the returns which the investor can use
investment process.
88
BIBLIOGRAPHY
89
BOOKS:
WEBSITES:
• www.nseindia.com
• www.bseindia.com
NEWS PAPERS
ECONOMIC TIMES
BUSINESS LINE
NCFM (NSE Certification in Financial Markets)
JOURNALS
90