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Probability QT Notes

probability notes for quants

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
29 views

Probability QT Notes

probability notes for quants

Uploaded by

a;kdfljddkk
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
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Ln iL lA) ridthuwng A bine Bit) = ofc 1 “olel “of a tbe, ove ee Cte a 2 wala ten dit” i Garten ‘tm €| HI Plclemsting At: a quer) o 7 a - es DP drauimg qorwm os uabe: kat) S5 94g BIG isn a ; i ra paces cece eo GD Cra, 4 A. 18 40. a nae serena FSi age 4) a Gd “Gy Ws) Bd Conds: winad 6 tk roby td 1 | 2) On, ee OD 9 a, Don hte eat eae fs Rascal | to tow, td to) WD) thd) + A] opus LO © BR ag ow tad” tod tad Coed Tal Ia) ye - at boo if ' eotanat ts tre Rectabtily tent a leapyen —. A icap yor ms 306 dage = and 2 dap. SA weet tisen a tend ue drown foam a Poste | | selected ab Gamdaan canal lame Ge aes ch ends tne oultames att las a weeks Spade Ras Hes © Darra lee Cenc) (ad tea) ave ca suclaips 4 sack xace ine aes ci Fra vat ade ook a any, =) wal aoardoy, Mesden raced ieee ok eter nam wo 1 CS a nm, ord rnd, Clay ar ede - 2 ete Sada oor) Sorel 6 oro Charest Rootaviuigejocurene of AA team call eM seta Fo cueernn A 09 Summdaye . e £ s fusunable mo. cae = + s 2 x z, te elleap yom having, on mente) 38 7 ete! AniooneKe Apgecder, te ‘podeabitty ' $ Inaphie Tine erekematic aprecach path juaas Ueoduind by te, Ruusion craton 25 the del mo. Cuter = 63 | sa “ el deciveng a Brace tong) = 46/e2! : eo Gincoqeeer= : Kdeaasieng 0. fea | rotate cf oor event ranger Bemeemtc aia of": > | Tame to ome. ip the evert coment = “| ae wPlagauneng 9 queep = a” oo ee eee Wp tt fe Canter fe touinl omnes Pldsousimg a apace) ~ he oe ; ae vi doaiding 4 spele tong) Yen: | |e mawaily Prat be ome S ae al ee * : ‘ a s Wididddi ~~ . 2 Cs ~ POUDDEEEEEEEE We A ant naw everk than Pechabitt of Cerweere of €iftme A OF 8 damrhd by PAU) aba! he gute by Rave = raderie) (% orm be petrlad Cub tet, out of te Foie Crhowpeetaiiane o “the Caraplot Prob Cacke tones cum armani 70) On erny Ver uncle ever oppecat, & Cowvimlert amd armeepountt ee the pootiem tandew’ come apo che, eteut ushfch appeoach is the Rote ome te use? DEFIANTION OF TERMS (4 he AW Yt on Wve rt aes se mesuit ne Urrprediclable 0. toe expen fe mepealabee Goargie pom f meple e1ah 07 earthen oho, ivan use dice Ane thscuan Gating, We a comople powk [eee eee A Compa cpaca ch a Aero conn lomark 18 tha cet A foccible Ocbtrares of tak comaleon eapeorairt. hice 2 Cow Is tossed tne sowory space 16 find te ‘shan ‘a toms ca ‘oaced Sommpla dpoce ts : a ts 2 a at ruta Je gi gbling a Fuad and bail svherr <0 tb 5 a YA and A ace mutually ecccliife Har’ aon Sore he hor [2 ® | oa ia ies Zz ee fe oct | Sani ‘ we pbdddddddce CARAT EEE nel ee = f24s] le] 7 Fxhaudtire aa | Looe ae so con dee a, een eee Ha ak \eve sabrintecl a Be dae fete: ie es heen) | csdeones UAH UT FF togethor aoitt | \foua exhaustive + a aaryple pote Legs A gilli cea oe b= gckhag a putigle of {fun Ave = gtig * ruullple | oad \fi gis en, feuiaylailn 20 ee alae — ee ue Ut Y sath, cathe 1 ete pyplaiigg he Hae ull 3 Whe chart of Me git aati tt afd by Me tub Mani Ro pp j Lusosnieg Auawirg of a cad ail uti veplaciig th, drawing anthin plane) = PA) PO) 3 Ale ae ) 45 ae ‘odsinbtel pak stl rit le difective fenlataall ceria FrbabiSiy tk paik a shri dee “ny Sear ee deaf xtas ‘eS Ge Sao Ra ve Se: i ~~ bi Sams problem ara yb sbability Chak (s) Problern € Solved 5 28) co Were pom tek © be se conn of getting PISS econ *8/s &S i P [7 Bhes ihe probe) = pl/)= doesn't Solve pe a % Tec. t2e5) everta ee es cae Theufous, on plgelting one cantte ont on pce): p(#A) = gx sus \ Seis eee pana) - Ss eee . fe ‘Bp se sek oy haa arrose as Tro AH Gama cacs ah — ‘ gph tay tin ota a ve he | _penslem » pasta on Gare AaniZer Tempe rows qf 3 Fuld cm viata (SgeI BIDE pita BE Tek te grt Ma Daa aang il ge AS ong Cae See aia duns 92. a anottss Ht ye 7S oy peewee | cael ae ie anes to Ply tek 2 I ie oF gate tm te exon one ae LOK CAdG + Ree hogs eae) =) q act NwedoQ\ Q = & NM Se aig - 4 dard ig wwe Han 5 whak ott rade a th on com clety : J BE\oto89 Sy, ous | See Taken VS Ceveben ‘Ak ve =pla pee foam Ihe ancl a black dell. ad or a back ba// from 1aR a a whit: eae Second ) FBS See = * Modis BREABAES Os Eueaol te Rachie AOE 48 48 vie oe ) Ta : fan) (*%8) = 1050 + @5So “je00e 70000 Ms in abatistees 0 sure : 4 pines whence chances PA Clack ipitwiak A passat) ran, ahal A do ee : solving the PO) + Matudnk undecgraduah sh \ptpargresoichiedal) {a0 red + Har Kod so xo/022' Sper -0r0 + carow 1 te wn en eae! ner d\s will gel a plurkog 7a : bey te GA ay + 4ay t Yon \ fen ie ond apse eee noes iS Lilainiaur oh ne a rh: th va aoe pet The, genlg Oe eee ‘esha -ssecliars [rae maeaaae Z cnet, elec Lacchast os emin RAE Me poay pita) pcan cerrce senna) sh t Han Yor ab ae pete O\1 phere be | Mb E oe Bp TAD “) ay ib 22 aL > ah sade Selva MO aa 2 RAAF ae luents " pusae« MERC ¥ | Kt Ie Mh Sport MO soe | ur Wee S we ee ey | 4 slant, fon Adan ely a dct de ay weer va) Lat A be thes ov ; a . ptaye'y Had Us ae Vy un ta be POM) +h yey? > Pe) * My jae pi) | pli fn) Pe TEL, Meas Ha eethed : | P sesso) 4100) 7 ee ee re MM) Gy A bit fs dou at tard feamn We ptaduk eee tc | -sSs5oo Bee 4 oe anes Sy Ret Pe idee menace fy Porton Bx ee "a ! ee Gana Ganeieumanaes reas jaf NAGeg Hawaag rd CHESSGNG =Cahang SGADSEDSS Gagne | sues 154 140 + 69 e Re Pees ane (000 deve ond 3000 bats produced By meats Cz rapt Pex) = 2 + 50-0) 04 fase, ty "he Yu} PD HOH “4's h 94 941 | AAdbiadon Sormpe Nyaes MOrnAytAle\ AYP cssinn My tsa lig cH\ Daye's Ssruron Weslo patents Heaytnin Yon BINYyLAIns Ayes ag, eierels asnachared 101A m apoeron eng Pigs bd. maby (caliive ook endependan ovth silte tas Matlp taornpe IA Aree vauinle "40s $84 enting pasa iy MeN dinate | e)¥ 8 0 0 yg fn) 0 te om me ont bog { [Feed-tne valid of ts rend analiadeCi? 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Iypbat an dittaont, fap ie a ci: rn yp Bast tr td dm Ae\ Corctriatnd hak 4 ore hepa 3s mepld, ee Mall Apes ord alaseitve pothesis RRR wweenweseee eee eee spt tle int A dorms he tnt of He lage Bn let Lipllncs TFB deck be dettng = ge Lye eos stun an then dnl, the adabiily of Sore ste teil oe 8 = me ay 4 Be temple | 5) 3 a te ded bie Be hl | 7 demise lien Line he ee fron | ad So 4 Aled ek 4 Mate ual asjesd Ae mall Tagotans 4 te Gp Ce ie 4 gaan chy Bon ee _ ‘ ap Tg et cet Kt by be le ae Po ofp tat Ea Baye iat ae fat we ao teste oh Cae 7) he wall Lj aed fie bem we tl be taba te fopdm Bee eratu ens ott it em is and abortive Haas si hed Are Flt a | | Fit Be tee di i ma fhe Hedieteal hfs | peace 4 Tes capes A vl i a fetess bey ~ | cll om Nee . fey When Bo all Aypabars 4 He Ase hapless ip Kom vl_of Si ji yrs Fromce tuk 4 Infrens 3 \¥! Gupte 1 a T# sf de eile ‘—_ SUED OGUUUTEL LECCE ceed [ert Fb boy eae he tank calenm a) br toplon 3° wd rae Eph Comte Be bed wD Q om Steszegn cin Bal the ean dice tanihes for oP ta tal ten he ay Peete Saniora seh eiae $9 fae eS Sigler BOT che tae MoH y 26 Som seen sland plan da BEEP ERE ‘ ore 30 6 od bn : ie Bie |Soce sample & Srall and) Ppalatten 5:0 2g se 20 ely = bal Pam 8 Paden einen Mat § Syateunoe) -06) os Stordord oun (6) -.c. = S23, = 302 = 60 ie 2 eer e | Ve Lay dawn Re nel Hed How & ne gyn bossre RS Ln ie. Bue aa et | ey Cho, Pah $0 bear oer Be sane | Frege 46 dal oo zal Anaise 4 tea | eee pole \ 8s yah ond = oe | Sette roverm SE cao be abloind by oon 8 Lllesy | ae ee ate 9) When Ee teow sample aoe dnasen Pear pepln tt | some 5007 hen j Balle Hee fia aall ; Rpleheart=] se. Dookes pepubalun $0 atte Wa RoPEAT Caregen me all for amrigy phen 20m sore Ge be CS om ng me mo at co Sheled Dusen bs Dye 8 Sabie Gyomea) @ Ebas d | ~ dagen § Cader = Gk Gh = bal ' 5. Obleie - 42a dab Vole } 6. he ols WL. ei rumeteally tte tek slabs QU cs 46. acenphame nef oe a A Kiet Sime merle om Leys spe = fad Sh esl Jonge Be dls ord ale pn one or He Rous nebtre dif Ry v9 Hea, PRL. i [Wither 4e< tom Redlag roctGada. have diPReank | cs et er p bh eh Lo coun ce etic oe od ars, es 2 ead 5 aa a eee |e Bobo o lig. suman e, | > Somes as fos 2 ye ia ae +19-< = 1507-1225 > 282 ot 517 + 26" )-€ py Qalasun sum seq (0. (22! osscTt (42) nae = 1359-1225 Bdurcee sam om Gover (Of rags ad)—< afer 4140 435) 21347-1225" VL a igre ta tatgicgs ip n | a oe “Snow Suma 755 [2530+ es 3] + 2e2- (0442) | «26 lus Biba Cay math ba aft 9 ten MRA Sore rire i x aes 1 j Table dalOune i: jess yale \ a ho lenis lbs pe ley 065, 2 Bho Qadon aa |s-192 tren |e eeed saith e 4 | Teolal | 202 | ¢ The Ghealabed vals R PG, 4) Gr botf bls nations od bls Riding ow. \egm ABan the fablevalus ab 57 (S50 jit conclurion te Hak 48. diPRounk redionn arcoell a he diMrnot Rg, metRede dif n Aan fet ay boty seupbh: Bee A oe cos eel etpeceael Opel es = Oiies 4 Ntwelin 8 ny finn Tod eeAeuaied eeeated signers A Rene bbe 40. ndilinen- Also examine echalBin seach a sigePently Pan yelde | Veidios uu 4% fla May ee a Sel CoRReLATion! AsALysis zeuit mx) Regression + Ane Aen to-aeulton mefens © tre wxution eip betwaan, oe) Velabiess) Hier, ag Be deco vntguies cranes toqeines We aef HN Wed: Wem co Vibes steey OMe Covell cae’ cslbaisie diesel aaeqall aol Cee ae jan _£-7m. oe ie Gat ld comes poreaiteny Me bonza aera owes Yannis; : | %o cid to be Positive on deed Zn Vous of ome Vauable weculle tr: trcecase the Value Of ottae7 Vanuable alo, 3 — =—_—_—<—<—<—<— 4 6E. bool deanaasd 4 Cad 40 be Naya, | Kh the petted Rick < aies Pecan wma Gall fen Bales denned ope ton ot npg, uk & shed | tani up amd vice Weose- can toct Comere Kites fanceaie enpemce Alo teens, | Pedi coseiaon shen exremse Cmreaics Eakins devaemee fe fe megave’ consetatibo Beith resect cmratalion {© +i ara Algal Reapect tonvelstico {6 -!, Comretation ies | between -1 aod +! 4 Same cues the Vue ave We fe apaphtenl emneined F Seidiping Cometnas etecaam tego Maounines.. tore ch toe, Uamuable ©. ehovem Ore te axle eek) tre Other em the conaation beter vm Vaabies be aay 4D be Wrest ’ ’ ’ . | £ g | Maou on ie ola eck Kee om a chaclgot ink, tne corcation te he to be Feahectiy Vero i= E Reali teens ‘ Shas ee e pine pitted told Gin Sale diagram 6 om ow bn te “resghboutd Ha More = ere pe hoard tomer to wu upper Pe Cry, aru eaten Re 4 ve atch Cares 70 Weer 10a thu spagn Hoan Wie tt Ale tctmon laurie tw v0 tonite Nt whejuh h | + Za y Zs tabd 4 are ond white Con 4 Ketter bagfon to % te eas tawie Penespnig WR toni Of OCALA 6 00 tema tale I Wee tower me a layne cad to oe meagre on —— — ay. —— - En 9 Guefticvent ob Commerston tc y= dtealiys) | %)Qy0D, Gad (4 Carer) re, >, TI 4 } 4) (ays), Cod Were ay = staroland denaivo 4 x-deies ! ay = skmradond deviatioo of yncenoy 4 {______,____ Dk tr » Numbeer Pabes of obsewvation “tole fe also Kove a8 Pacduck nomen! lowrel ative to- FH Cient a Saieaa S s . 22 Wind “Seal perost | searien chron | ‘4 i 6 1 ,{ | e ‘ 4 t |i & ; fo a if sh 114 | seo jase |Ato a: Jase i ar jong | Po loeite= exta | a1 | aoe Necarne Veen at a4 ‘Tee |isge = & ‘P o = ony = exh] + (need, Bae ‘ fe) ‘5 ‘ lenieen)— 000 Klos! tof 1109 ~tes 100.97 eS » Vor aca -iio 4 (ig lie Wao Wo” ito 107 ae shear 2 > on9e ies AD SOR eis: = > a wobavle ences oh the Couefhciat Creation fe Covulated © Fat out “tu extent 40 wshien te fe dependable. ustaean te. petele evoor '¢ Veoy Sandl, Co-oe\atioo te comllened to be clymtptcnent. if Reckable evooy fs added to 00 cuibbentted frown the. casepicent | A Contato, {61 usoutd Give tivo cuts Verte sition unbfch we ave waacmably expect tne wale oF co-efpicent Ff toasiahe 4 Veny. cat FOX diftewant someples the (o-ttficet & Co-rlatios usculdract fll outside tha ros: Pe = atag (inns) Mirae! Se tre Conrebttion coeftheent ard -rounrtoor & favs Mg € ede thee tne commaattoo Ccotiiclemk fe Santiok: ov 1B pe he so seme erod Commciatinn wepiicent % qeesleithinn, orn stam 7 oe uplink Wp the Co-etiicen & toonelalion te 0nd ome) “ourcher ch item 8 64. Felod the Foctable etyicr ord: wbcopedted th 0 toe ono oh i 3 S S : ,|RANIK Co-RELATIoAl — eon Speawrmemls wonk Co-reletitoo (-wetian behocem to variable: ~ Cviniened fem coccks assigned ‘D'the Nolues A those Varuibles fs cated nook Oueeliti kelascen trem. Famk corelattoncretizad Cam be adopted shan tne Venables 008 nck Capae of @uamAlane reacurenih We, rmencuarmmemt ike Srleligere beauty ete 4m thot case fh fe frnposerble tb Beslan mumertia \eluus > the clamger bub {5 Poseithe to oamk ciBtewent changer «tn cn eee art ee ee Kemi toueelation coetticient ole takes Vier belicen -\ ont 41. Ca ! 1 | gue Ut datw We a b- foe cones cent +A era Th |e [AP Bio : Ir a |e bs i ps | | i | a . i we \~ eae? i | = l~orag Bes ss | 0 hs. o : =e ; ™ ar ese 4 = > > ie ae es Pouetctvone By oe Poces a Pot Petous. Rend ort vctation oef6' = :0'.yes poate sie [Odech, Us: Me 4 F ip iene ten) we Te SES eke cormpant} oe given eter pice coil | lasdger may be steed FY (o-melatten _ (oe Besant GS 1 Vetecre $5 eolr Corr FP Sey = 74" §g= 7M ne ak ae ee > Re (6 coils towsretins fain ‘7 Sie 3 Scars ; ae ‘ Cetra. amen o-nalation toepviciark Amore | tre lounag data "(io ere Sra tne Soiousing dal - Eros | - ; Yo Gs 6, be As, 21, bo be, 45, 20790 Le ea eh ut 04,56, 50,4, $6, 69,64 1a 2 5 68, 64, 16, 90, 04, Ceumes uso terres, mm a mr w Mame, [fps Bare dong [4 9 00 pe | erin tases matt 0H = * Sih). Culansi ze a Sat- SOed 5. esar Racgt §5l0n1 Aralesis Pacression andeyis 6 4 shabiched deter cred ty Mlskend bikers 2 or wom wiabhes tl an related «3 usans tok te estuation o . chdion of tw cnkncnm vdeus of one wxcble pe ; from the krownwlen of ofr vantbhy Tn napsson epeaeeg fie hare se Tee | valcw 6 ieleanced or & to be pmdehd 65 dled) Cepancerd vertabh, and 4y uate she : tnfleinas ty values or is cs for te AAS nceperilen ecg eee iste cir regression lene & Bi x ong s i ence sion x on cy -4) ‘ia a |F 1 is te Ke Kh = bxe4 i Ho igh ht gps, eae owl she Vat oF x omy the tote Vs eect of ona peice ese ak aa , oe kn 44 ad dpe | att vet “aiileagede gator os pre tian value oF yg, we wre She age beet Me ean ol wy el scdlel, wail the cise apron tems em vet cuewible er sivbee yrble because fae O-a7Y 26:63) Regression Opn of ¥ 00% 4) a ) —y- +S = everett 7 10°8 yrs = gar (2-39) ere ee . 2 esx teat

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