IRPC
IRPC
Operating Results
27 Feb 2023
IRPC Strategy
Financial Performance
Performance by Business
2
Financial Performance
Refinery
Utilization Rate MKT GIM EBITDA
• Robust Gross Refining Margin supported from Diesel & Gasoline spreads
• Gain Financial Derivatives mainly from Interest Rate Swap (IRS) contract
• Weakened petrochemical spread pressured by slumped demand as a slowdown in the global economy
amid the war in Ukraine and China’s lockdown
• Escalated crude premium weighting the cost
• Major Turnaround of Refinery Plant in 4Q22 resulting to low utilization in 4Q22
33
Projects Update
Ultra Clean Fuel (UCF) Project
Diesel hydro-treating Unit (DHT Unit)
Objective : Upgrading HSGO to LSGO Timeline
to meet Euro5 specification FID,Q3 COD, Jan’24
Capacity : 75 KBD (of DHT Unit) 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
INNOPOLYMED
Coverall Other
Structure : 60% : 40% e.g. Filter/ Battery
e.g. hair net, shoe cover Drape
Application Separator / Oil Absorbent
Objective : Non-Woven Fabric Mask
e.g. Surgical, N95, N99
Location : IRPC Industrial Estate PPE ,
Surgical Gown Isolation Gown
Capacity : ~ 5.6 KTA
Progress
CAPEX : ~ 260 MB
Timeline
Progress : 99% of Target (as of Jan 2023) Jan Mar Apr 1Q23
COD : 1Q23
EPC
Status : Commissioning IRPC and PTT Approved by Established
signed MOU BOD “Innopolymed” COD, 1Q23
4
E S
ENVIRONMENTAL SOCIAL
G
GOVERNANCE ECONOMIC
“Decarbonize Thailand
Symposium 2022” Lam Sai Yong Model Project
Financial Performance
Performance by Business
6
Medium Term Long Term
Actual
2025 2030 2050 2060 2065
1 Business Growth
EBITDA Target (MB)
The River of 2 Streams Target
Financial Driver
Based
MB
Avg. Year Target
New Stream 2017-2021
MB
2 Sustainability Driver
Carbon
Thailand Net Emissions Goal Neutrality Net Zero
Base line
•
Climate change
20% GHG reduction by 2030
Circular Economy Creating Shared Value Carbon Inclusive
Investment
Turning Waste to Value Increase 20% of True Value by 2030
• Net zero by 2060
Grow with ICE while build up readiness for EV Develop advanced and super safe properties for
medical & hygiene
9
New Stream : Project Highlight – VISUP (New Investing Vehicle)
10
New Stream : Project Highlight - 3D printing Technology
Step out business - Sandbox
Filament Supplier
Products
• More stability and More tolerances • Easy to print and smooth surface
• Long shelf life • Low-volatile
PLA PETG
• Environment-friendly material • High performance material with water
resistance, chemical resistance
• Low-volatile
ABS • Good toughness and impact resistance
11
New Stream, New Frontiers
Material Energy
Health & Life Advanced Materials Circular Business Future Energy Energy Storage
Science
3D-Printing:
Focusing on Medical
Equipment
12
2023 Perspective
13
Y2022 Key Highlight
IRPC Strategy
Performance by Business
14
Key Drivers
Crude Oil Price (average) Foreign Exchange (average)
Dubai QoQ 12% Unit: $/bbl QoQ appreciated 0.1% Unit : THB/USD
Dubai Brent Dubai YoY 8%
YoY depreciated 9%
130 2021 Avg. Dubai: 69.24 2022 Avg. Dubai: 96.34 2021 Avg. FX 32.15 2022 Avg. FX 35.23
40
39 30.43 31.53 33.09 33.55 33.22 34.56 36.58 36.55
110
38
37
3Q22
90 36 (End 38.07)
35
70 34 4Q22
(End 34.73)
33
4Q21
50 32
(End 33.59)
1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 31
30
Brent 60.90 68.83 73.47 79.73 101.40 113.78 100.85 88.71
8.04 6.06
6.17 5.27 5.02 5.91 0.96 3.83
1.08 1.10 3.13
1.29 2.80 0.54 1.68
2.03 7.08 2.02
5.09 3.98 0.37 0.40 2.93 0.81
2.99 3.11 1.81 0.73 0.87
0.14
4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022
4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022
15
Production & Performance by Business
2022 & 4Q22: Lessened U-rates due to the Major Turnaround
Crude Intake/Utilization Rate Production Volume & Sales Volume
Petroleum Petrochemical Petroleum Petrochemical
4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022 4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022 4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022 4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022
92% 90% 54% 90% 77% 98% 85% 54% 99% 86% 15.53 15.33 10.43 60.10 56.73 426 409 310 1,789 1,601
4Q22 Net inventory loss = -17.00 $/bbl 2022 Net inventory loss = -2.82 $/bbl
Stock Loss & NRV = -14.29 $/bbl Stock Gain & NRV = 0.91 $/bbl
MKT GIM Product Crude Premium Fuel loss & MKT GIM Realized Oil Hedging = -2.71 $/bbl Realized Oil Hedging = -3.73 $/bbl
2021 Spread Premium on sales Internal Use 2022
16
Financial Highlight: 2022 & 4Q22 performance
Sluggish Petrochemical market dampened the performance
Overview of Business Performance by Business
Dubai (Avg.) 78.35
96.88 84.85 96.34 Net Sales
69.24 (net excise tax)
Unit: $/bbl
4Q22 2022
2% 1%
Crude run KBD 198 189 119 192 175
QoQ 37% YoY 35%
Net Sales YoY 19% 318,396
(net excise tax) 235,174 23% 22%
4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022 4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022
Net Sales 67,840 87,312 55,081 235,174 318,396 110.92 137.18 137.38 104.22 141.52
Market GIM 6,680 4,485 2,609 29,588 23,761 10.92 7.05 6.50 13.12 10.57
Stock Gain (Loss) 2,122 (2,163) (3,826) 13,112 4,384 3.47 (3.40) (9.54) 5.81 1.95
NRV (54) (496) (1,905) (54) (2,347) (0.09) (0.78) (4.75) (0.02) (1.04)
Oil Hedging Gain (Loss) (1,801) (1,361) (1,085) (1,954) (8,385) (2.94) (2.14) (2.71) (0.87) (3.73)
Net Inventory Gain (Loss) 267 (4,020) (6,816) 11,104 (6,348) 0.44 (6.32) (17.00) 4.92 (2.82)
Accounting GIM 6,947 465 (4,207) 40,692 17,413 11.36 0.73 (10.50) 18.04 7.75
OPEX + Selling Exp. (4,254) (3,566) (3,945) (15,699) (14,777) (6.95) (5.61) (9.84) (6.96) (6.57)
Other Incomes 401 303 316 1,968 1,351 0.66 0.48 0.79 0.87 0.60
EBITDA 3,094 (2,798) (7,836) 26,961 3,987 5.07 (4.40) (19.55) 11.95 1.78
Depreciation (2,068) (2,014) (2,022) (8,587) (8,059) (3.38) (3.16) (5.04) (3.81) (3.58)
Cost of Finance (402) (496) (515) (1,699) (1,836) (0.66) (0.78) (1.28) (0.75) (0.82)
Financial Derivatives Gain (Loss) 107 (81) 281 (302) 238 0.17 (0.13) 0.70 (0.13) 0.11
FX Gain (Loss) 70 (312) 402 (474) (171) 0.11 (0.49) 1.00 (0.21) (0.08)
Unrealized Oil Hedging Gain (Loss) 1,526 2,426 849 313 28 2.50 3.81 2.12 0.14 0.01
Investment Gain (Loss) 215 67 (86) 719 289 0.35 0.11 (0.21) 0.32 0.13
Income Tax (319) 655 1,752 (2,351) 1,142 (0.52) 1.03 4.37 (1.04) 0.51
Net Profit 2,194 (2,549) (7,149) 14,505 (4,364) 3.60 (4.00) (17.83) 6.44 (1.93)
18
Financial Statement Unit: MB
4Q22 VS 3Q22: Increased net inventory loss & major turnaround hampered the performance
Net Income 180%
Net Income Margin Crude Net Inventory OPEX & Unrealized Financial Tax Others Net Income
(Loss) Premium Gain Selling Oil Hedging Exp. (Loss)
3Q22 (Loss) Exp. 4Q22
2022 VS 2021: Net inventory loss in 2022, surged crude premium & major turnaround shrank the performance
Net Income 130%
Net Income Margin Crude Net Inventory OPEX & Unrealized Financial Tax Others Net Income
(Loss) Premium Gain Selling Oil Hedging Exp. (Loss)
2021 (Loss) Exp. 2022
19
Financial Position
Secure financial position among sluggish market situations
Statements of Financial Position Cash Flow
Unit: MB Unit: MB
4%
190,492 198,187
3,230
Cash 11,236
Other Current
36,958 51,294
Liabilities
67,690
Other CA 55,866 Beginning Cash Flow Cash Flow Cash Flow Ending Cash
Cash from from from 31 Dec 2022
1 Jan 2022 Operation Investment Financing
61,079 14,647 LT Borrowing incl.
Other Non-CA 13,177 62,611 current port.
Financial Ratios
4,743
Other Non-Current
4,604
Liabilities Net IBD/Equity DSCR
PP&E
(incl.
investment 110,214 112,619
properties < 1.0x
87,712 Shareholders’ 0.86
and ROU) 79,678 Equity 3.17
0.70
0.57 1.95
1.56
≥ 1.2x
Dec. 2021 Dec. 2022
20
Y2022 Key Highlight
IRPC Strategy
Financial Performance
21
Petroleum Spread
Refinery Spread Lube Base Spread
$/bbl $/TON
QoQ 29% YoY 69% QoQ 2% YoY 20%
35.0
18.8 1,037 895
15.5 17.8 13.2 777 671 608
798 780 845 678
9.9 11.8 9.4 11.1 522
7.1
1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022
1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022
146
94
23 7 16
(3.5) (5.8) (3.4) (6.9) (3.2) (4.9)
(8.3)
(14.1)
(22.3)(22.5) (43) (29) (11)
(81) (98)
1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022
22
Petroleum Group
2022 & 4Q22: Moderate performance owing to major turnaround despite strong Petroleum market
Crude Intake Production
Unit : Mbbl
QoQ 37% QoQ 34%
YoY 9% YoY 8%
YoY 40% YoY 37% Lube
54.31
198 189 119 192 175 Crude Run (KBD) 50.10
7.48 LPG & Other
6.42
92% 88% 55% 89% 81% % U-Rate 2.27 1.77
2.58 1.36 Naphtha &
11% 10% 14% Others 9.72 Reformate
3% 26% 18% 9.00
3% 4% 4% Gasoline
11% 6% 5% 5% Domestic
15%
0.2% 14.16
13.58 Diesel & Jet Oil
75% 81% 73% Far East 1.91
8.99 30.31 28.60
69% 67% 1.87 1.13
0.580.66 0.46
Middle East 2.50 0.24 0.18 LSFO 0.5%
2.48 0.44
1.30
7.98 7.78 4.76
25% 25% 0.05 0.27 0.12 0.20 0.61 HSFO
32% 33% 29% Sweet Crude 0.48 0.48 1.06 1.75 2.34
75% 75% 68% 67% 71% Sour Crude 4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 . 2021 2022
92% 88% 55% 89% 81% % Utilization
4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022
92% 90% 54% 90% 77% Lube Base
Premium over Dubai
3.01 9.71 9.16 3.19 8.33 ($/bbl) 115% 97% 48% 115% 92% RDCC
$/TON QoQ 27% YoY 111% $/TON QoQ 17% YoY 130%
325
Aromatics 236 256 290
241 239
188 175
128 162
87 83 110 115 100 104
76
43 19 28
1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022
1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022
24
Petrochemical Group
2022 & 4Q22: Economic uncertainties dampened Petrochemical products spreads leading to slumped Market PTF
Production Sales Volume and Revenue
Unit : KMT
QoQ & YoY 39% YoY 10% Unit : KMT Sales Volume QoQ 24% YoY 11%
YoY 27%
1,806
1,621 1,789
1,601
860 Polyolefin
733 1,062 Olefins &
1,001
Olefin
Polyolefins
218 426 409 310
252
446 446 256 247 223 727 600 Aromatics &
327 Polystyrenic
202 274 294 170 162 87 Styrenics
215
53 65 153 401
94 88 36 342 Aromatic 4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022
84 91 37
48
4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022 Revenue QoQ 29% Unit : MB
YoY 1%
YoY 30%
96% 92% 74% 95% 86% % Utilization
95% 89% 67% 94% 80% Polyolefins 4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022
98% 95% 85% 95% 93% Olefins
18,313 17,863 12,748 71,089 70,402 Petrochem
98% 85% 54%
% Utilization
99% 86%
Polystyrenics 10,708 10,334 8,635 42,011 42,448 Olefins
96% 71% 54% 94% 74%
118% 93% 62% 101% 94% Styrenics Aromatics & Styrenics
7,605 7,529 4,113 29,078 27,954
89% 94% 50% 103% 92% Aromatics
PTF
70.19 63.86 Crude intake 2022 : Petrochemical revenue was Bt 70 bn
18.23 17.40 10.97 (Mbbl) YoY : 1% decrease from 11% vol. decrease VS 10% price increase
2022 Market PTF was $1.68/bbl:
QoQ 51% YoY 72%
Unit : $/bbl YoY : $4.38/bbl decrease as lower products spreads due to slowed-down end products demand,
YoY 86% recession concerns & China’s Zero-COVID policy
6.06 4Q22 : Petrochemical revenue was Bt 13 bn
3.83 QoQ : 29% decrease from 24% vol. decrease & 5% price decrease
3.13 Olefins YoY : 30% decrease from 27% vol. decrease & 3% price decrease
2.02 1.10 0.54 1.68
0.37 4Q22 Market PTF was $0.54/bbl
2.93 0.81 Aromatics &
1.81 0.73 0.40 0.87 QoQ : $0.56/bbl decrease
Styrenics
0.14 as lower products spreads
4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022 YoY : $3.29/bbl decrease
25
Power and Utility
Utilization Rate Revenue
Unit : MB
QoQ 14% YoY 4% QoQ 11%
YoY 17%
YoY 13% YoY 13%
4,041
58% 59% 61% 57%
45% 243
Steam 3,459
320
1,590
4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022 1,107 Other Utilities
QoQ 20% Steam
YoY 13%
YoY 27%
1,104 Electricity
981
74% 75% 870 61 2,208
67% 62% 57 54 2,032
438 352
47% 314
Electricity
499 605 575
GIM
2022 U-Rate of Steam was 57%; 4%
Unit : $/bbl
2022 U-Rate of Electricity was 62%; 13%
QoQ 38% YoY 26%
YoY 2% 2022 : Power & Utility revenue was 4,041 MB
YoY : 17% increase from higher average selling prices of electricity & steam
Power & Utility
1.15 4Q22 U-Rate of Steam was 45%; 14% QoQ, 13% YoY
0.92 0.94 0.85
0.68 4Q22 U-Rate of Electricity was 47%; 20% QoQ, 27% YoY
4Q22 : Power & Utility revenue was 981 MB; 11% QoQ, 13% YoY
26
Market & Accounting Gross Integrated Margin
2022: Decreased products spreads & net inventory loss pressured A/C GIM
4Q22 : Softened products spreads diminished Market GIM
Market GIM Market GIM by business
Petroleum Petrochem Power and Utility Unit: $/bbl Petrochemical Unit: $/bbl
QoQ 8% YoY 19%
YoY 40% Aromatics&Styrenics Olefins
6.06
10.92 13.12 10.57
7.05 6.50 1.15 3.83
0.92 0.68 0.85 1.10 3.13
1.68
3.83 0.94 6.06 1.68 2.02 0.54
1.10 0.54 0.37 0.40 2.93 0.81
6.17 5.27 5.02 5.91 8.04 1.81 0.73 0.14 0.87
YoY 20% Unit: MB Petroleum
QoQ 42%
29,588
YoY 61% 23,761 Refinery Lube Base
2,605
1,906
6,680 13,668 3,783
4,485 2,609 8.04
567 6.17 5.27 5.02 5.91
433 378 18,072 0.96
2,343 697 217 13,315 1.08 1.29 2.03 2.80
3,770 3,355 5.09 3.98 7.08
2,014 2.99 3.11
4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022 4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022
Market GIM
Accounting GIM
2022 Market GIM was $10.57/bbl,
Market GIM Stk G/(L) & NRV Hedging
Unit: $/bbl YoY: $2.55/bbl from lower Petrochemical spreads & higher crude premium VS higher
QoQ - n.a. YoY 57%
Petroleum spreads
YoY 192%
18.04 4Q22 Market GIM was $6.50/bbl,
11.36 7.75
3.38 0.73 5.79 0.91 QoQ: $0.55/bbl from lower spread
10.92 7.05 6.50 13.12 10.57 YoY: $4.42/bbl from lower spread & higher crude premium
(4.18) (0.87)
(2.94) (2.14) (14.29) (3.73)
(2.71) Accounting GIM
(10.50) Unit: MB 2022 Acct GIM was $7.75/bbl,
QoQ - n.a. YoY 57% YoY: $10.29/bbl due to $2.82/bbl net inventory loss in 2022 VS $4.92/bbl net inventory gain
YoY 161% 40,692
in 2021 & $2.55/bbl lower Market GIM
13,058 17,413
2,037 4Q22 Acct GIM loss was $10.50/bbl,
6,947 465
2,068 29,588 23,761 QoQ: compared to Accounting GIM of $0.73/bbl in 3Q22 due to $10.68/bbl increase in
4,485 2,609
6,680 net inventory loss & $0.55/bbl decrease of Mkt GIM
(2,659) (5,731) (1,954) (8,385)
(1,801) (1,361) (1,085) YoY: compared to Accounting GIM of $11.36/bbl due to $-17.00/bbl net inventory loss in
(4,207)
4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 2021 2022 4Q22 compared to $0.44/bbl net inventory gain in 4Q21 & $4.42/bbl decrease of Mkt GIM
27
Investor Relations Contact: [email protected]
Tel. +662-765-7380, Fax. +662-765-7379
Presentation is available at
www.irpc.co.th
Click “Presentations”
Disclaimers
This presentation material has been prepared solely for informational purposes only. IRPC is furnishing it solely for use by prospective investors / analysts in the proposed event. IRPC makes no
representations or warranties as to the accuracy or completeness of such information. By accepting this material each recipient agrees that IRPC shall not have any liability for any representations
(express or implied) contained in, or for any omissions from this presentation.
The information contained herein does not purport to be all-inclusive or to contain all of the Information that may be material to the recipient’s decision. Each recipient of the information and data contained
herein should perform its own independent investigation and analysis of the transaction and the creditworthiness of IRPC . Reference in this Disclaimer to this shall include references to the Appendices
(if any) hereto. 28
Maintenance Shutdown Plan 2023 (Based on Business Plan)
2023
Plant
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
ADU1 -
Petroleum
ADU2 -
RDCC -
LUBE -
EBSM -
Petrochemical
HDPE 19 6 25
PP 19 19
ABS/SAN 21 21
PS 13 13
Plant Improvement
Projects
6,605 ,
18%
Turnaround
Total 3,027 , 8%
Strategic 19,023 , 36,456 MB
Projects 52% Strengthen
1,062 , 3%
6,739 ,
19% UCF Project
13,052
10,399